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The Pellet-Group Count Technique for Big Game Trend, Census, and Distribution: A Review

Author(s): Don J. Neff


Source: The Journal of Wildlife Management, Vol. 32, No. 3 (Jul., 1968), pp. 597-614
Published by: Allen Press
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3798941
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SPECIALARTICLE

COUNT TECHNIQUEFOR BIG GAME


THE PELLET-GROUP
TREND,CENSUS, AND DISTRIBUTION:
A REVIEW'
DON J. NEFF, Arizona Game and Fish Department, Flagstaff

Abstract: Systematic pellet-group counts for big game trend, census, and distribution originated in the
late 1930's and have since been used for a variety of research and management objectives. Their chief
advantage is that pellet groups can be sampled by standard field plot techniques. Most pellet-group
plots have been circles or long narrowrectangles, usually distributed in some form of stratified-random
design. Sample plot layout can often be planned to minimize variance between plots or groups of plots.
Sampling technique will depend upon local objectives, but some guidelines have been recognized.
Sampling is generally more efficient in areas of higher pellet-group density. If pellet groups are dis-
tributed uniformly, a large area may require no more plots for adequate sampling than a small area.
Pellet groups generally are deposited in a clumped pattern. Sampling intensity estimates can be made
on the basis of the mean and variance derived from preliminarysample counts. Daily defecation rate is
needed for computing deer-days use or total numbers of deer. Available data on defecation rate for
wild native North American ruminants is tabulated, with some infonnrmation on livestock and one exotic,
the Barbarysheep. High defecation rate in deer has been observed to accompany high feed intake, high
forage moisture content, high percentage of young in the herd, change in diet from roughage to concen-
trates, and the psychological impact of captivity. Observer bias arises mainly from differences in
interpretationand from missed groups. Because of missed groups most counts will underestimateactual
pellet-group density. Missed groups error is influenced by plot size and shape, type and density of
understoryvegetation, and observer fatigue and inherent visual acuity. Sources of interpretationaldif-
ferences include decisions concerning peripheral groups, scattered groups, and the minimum number
of pellets to be counted as a group. Common practice requires use of permanently marked plots which
are periodically cleared. Temporary plots are sometimes used where the deposition period can be dated
by reference to leaf-fall, by deformation of pellets due to emergence of succulent feed, or by estimation
of the period of herd occupancy of seasonal range. Such dating schemes introduce an additional source
of observer bias. Pellet group counts have been unworkable at timnesbecause of rapid loss of pellets by
insect attack or heavy rains, because of difficulties in identifying pellets of different species, or because
of extremely dense vegetation. In a few cases the pellet group count has been tested against known
numbers of deer in fenced areas, or against other census techniques. Reasonable accuracy of estimate
has been obtained in many cases.

Pellet-group counting is the process of volved, the method has the distinct ad-
estimating by fecal pellet-group counts the vantage that pellet groups are an inert kind
actual or relative numbers of big game ani- of evidence which can be subjected to field
mals, or their days of use, in a given area. plot sampling and statistical analysis.
According to Riney (1957) such counts pro- The volume of reports involving pellet-
vide an objective measure of substantial group counts is now sufficiently large and
population fluctuations, and also aid in complex that a review of the subject seems
determining preferred habitat types and warranted. This review seeks to make gen-
seasonal use patterns. Systematic use of big erally available a mass of widely scattered
information, much of it in obscure refer-
game pellet-group counts was first de-
ences available only in large libraries sel-
scribed in print by Bennett et al. (1940).
dom inhabited by wildlife managers. The
Numerous refinements have made the tech-
material reviewed consists both of general
nique a useful research and management
principles as tested and evaluated by re-
tool. Although various difficulties are in-
searchers, and of the results obtained and
1 A contribution of Arizona Federal Aid Project problems encountered in numerous field
W-78-R. tests. Few hard and fast rules have been
597
598 ournal of Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

listed here, primarilybecause conditionsin and long narrow rectangles or belts. The
the field are infinitelyvaried and each field belt transects have ranged from 66-2,000
workermust decide on his own set of rules. ft in length and 3-20 ft in width. Popular
In establishing a pellet-group sampling sizes of circular plots include 0.001 acre,
system the basic questionsof procedurein- 100 square ft, 0.01 acre, and 0.02 acre.
clude what kind of plot and how big, how According to Pechanec and Stewart
the plots are to be distributed, and how (1940) many small sampling units are
many plots are needed. No clear-cut best usually more efficient than fewer large
answers can be given, but some guide- units. (That is, less total area is requiredin
lines are offered, based on both theoretical the samplefor the same samplingaccuracy.)
and empirical considerations. The single The largernumberof sampleunits provides
most vexing problem is, without doubt, a smallerestimatedvariance. It is generally
observerbias. This is partlya characteristic agreed that long narrowplots are superior
of the individual worker, but also is af- to shorter wider plots or squares of the
fected by variouselements of the sampling same total area, and also that segmentsof a
system. Daily defecationrate undervarious long narrowplot (or belt transect) can be
conditionsvaries widely and, in the case of systematicallyomitted without proportion-
deer, has received considerable research ately reducingthe efficiencyof the sampling
attention. Other problems are discussed unit (Robinette et al. 1958). This amounts
which can be criticalin some circumstances, to a series of plots spaced at intervalsalong
for instance, the loss of pellet groups by a line (line-plots). Pechanec and Stewart
washing rains and insect attack. Finally, (1940) reported that their large line-plots
a number of more or less controlled tests were only half as efficient as small line-
of census by pellet-group counts are re- plots for forage production sampling, but
viewed. were twice as efficient as square plots of
Acknowledgmentis made of the invalu- the same total area, and appreciablymore
able assistance of Donald R. Thompson, efficient than rectangularplots of the same
Allen E. Anderson,0. C. Wallmo, Clay Y. total area.
McCulloch, and Ronald H. Smith, all of Robinetteet al. (1958) tested these prin-
whom took the time to make detailed criti- ciples in relation to pellet-group counts in
cisms of the manuscript. Steve Gallizioli Utah sagebrush-juniperwinter range. They
and other members of the ResearchDivi- found that 0.001-acre circular line-plots
sion, Arizona Game and Fish Department, were substantiallymore efficient than the
providedboth field and editorialassistance. larger 100-square-ft (0.0023-acre) plots.
Similar results were obtained by Harris
SIZEAND SHAPEOF SAMPLEPLOT (1959), Neff (1960), Smith (1964), and
The relative efficiency of various types Smith (1968). However, at the Three Bar
and sizes of field sampleplots is a universal area, near Roosevelt Lake in Arizona,Mc-
problem. A considerablebody of theoreti- Culloch (1955) compared 0.01-acre circu-
cal and practical knowledge has been de- lar plots and 0.1-acre (6.6 ft by 1 chain)
veloped on the subject,much of which can belt transects on a small chaparralwater-
be applied to pellet-groupcounting. shed and found no difference in statistical
Users of the pellet-groupcount technique efficiency.
have reportedan amazingarrayof different It should be noted that there is generally
plot sizes but only two basic shapes: circles less chance of overlookingpellet groups on
COUNTTECHNIQUE* Neff
REVIEWOF PELLET-GROUP 599

the smaller plots, and thus degree of ob- OF SAMPLEUNITS


DISTRIBUTION
server error is confounded with statistical The sample unit may be a single circular
efficiency of plot sizes and shapes (Smith plot or belt transect. More likely the unit
1968). will be a series of circular plots spaced
One criterion for choice of appropriate along a line transect, or a cluster of plots
plot size is the density of pellet groups in or belts in a systematic pattern around a
the sample area. Smith (1964:443) calcu- reference point.
lated the appropriateplot sizes at various The area to be sampled is chosen on the
levels of deer use. He found that 400- basis of local research or management goals
square-ft circularplots might average one and on prior knowledge of animal use pat-
pellet group each where use was as low as terns in relation to topography and vege-
10 deer-days per acre. With the 100- tation. The chosen sampling area must
square-ftcircularplot, densitywill not aver- satisfy biological data requirements and
age one pellet group per plot until deer use must also be practicable in terms of avail-
reaches 40 deer-daysper acre. able manpower. Getting maximum results
In terms of man-hours,the plot size re- for time expended involves the statistical
quiringthe smallestarea of groundsampled efficiency of various combinations of plot
is not always the best plot size. For in- size and shape and the sample unit layout
stance, much less effort might be required in the field.
to establish and maintain 10 transects of Sampling units may be distributed by
0.01-acre circular plots than 20 transects subjective, random, or systematic selection.
of the smaller 100-square-ft plots, even Various combinations of these elements are
though the total plot area is twice as large. possible. Plots within transects or clusters
Travel between plots and transectsusually usually are arranged systematically. Sam-
takes more time than the actual searching pling units placed strictly at random usually
of the plots. However,if the sample system are difficult to establish and relocate in the
can be designed for an increased number field. The most advantageous system in
of smaller plots without greatly increasing most cases is restricted random sampling,
travel time, a markedincrease in efficiency which insures adequate distribution of sam-
may result (Smith 1968). pling units over the whole sample area, yet
One of the most importantconsiderations satisfies statistical requirements for ran-
in choice of plots for pellet-groupsampling domness.
is the effect of plot size and shape on ob- Few pellet-group sampling systems have
server error. One source of error is the employed a completely random distribu-
interpretationof groupspartlyin and partly tion. Dasmann and Taber (1955) placed
out of the plot. The boundariesof circular 50 circular plots at random on a 400-acre
plots are mucheasierto delineate accurately study area in the northern California chap-
than are those of belt transects. Reportsof arral. Brown (1961) used 14 belt transects
pellet-groupcounts have often stressed the randomly distributed in a 36,000-acre tree
errors arising from missed groups. Gen- farm in western Washington.
erally, the smallerthe sample area and the One report of distributing sampling units
more accurate its delineation, the smaller by subjective selection is that of Leopold
the error. Because of the importanceof the et al. (1951:95) whose best estimate of deer
problem of observer bias a full section of numbers on the Jawbone winter deer range
this review is devoted to it. in the Sierras was obtained from 95 miles
600 Journalof Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

of belt transects. These transects apparently were then oriented at right angles to this
followed trails or ridgetops. baseline, spaced at random intervals in
If sample units are distributed on a re- groups of four transects each. The same
stricted random basis, some form of sub- series of randomly chosen intervals was re-
division, or stratification, of the sample area peated in each group of transects.
is required. On large-scale pellet-group sur- In rough country it is often necessary to
veys, strata based on section and township locate transects in relation to the roads,
have been used for deer (Hanson 1954, trails, or washes which provide access to
Bever 1955, Bennett 1964, Ryel and Bennett them. Exact location of sampling points
1964), and for Barbary sheep and deer may be accomplished by random or system-
(Ogren 1964). Stratification of this type atic choice of distances along the road from
insures that sample units will be more or an arbitrary starting point. Transects may
less evenly distributed. However, stratifi- be laid out perpendicular to the road or on
cation based on biological properties can a chosen azimuth. The use of roads and
have the additional effect of increasing the trails as a basis for distribution of sampling
homogeneity of the population to be sam- introduces a certain amount of bias, since
pled. Thus, strata based on soils, topog- areas farther from the nearest road or trail
raphy, and elevation were used by Wallmo than the length of the sample transect will
(1958) in the Black Gap area of western have no chance of being sampled (Schultz
Texas. Van Etten (1959) divided the 647- and Muncy 1957). On the 310,000-acre
acre Cusino deer enclosure in Michigan into Interstate deer herd winter range in north-
four strata on the basis of well-known ern California, McCain (1948) employed
patterns of deer use, which presumably belt transects oriented at right angles to
arose from patterns of topography and the roads at 1-mile intervals. Similar road-
vegetation. oriented systems were used by Gallizioli
The multiple-random-start system (Kreft- (1958), Hanson (1954), and Wallmo (1958).
ing and Shiue 1960) represents an unusual In many cases sample plots have been
combination of random and systematic ele- arranged in clusters. For white-tailed deer
ments. In this system the sample area was movement studies in the Chiricahua Moun-
divided into small square blocks within tains, Welch (1959) used five very large
which five plot locations were chosen by clusters, each 70 by 20 chains with 48 cir-
random coordinates. The same pattern of cular plots arranged systematically in eight
five plots was repeated on each of the transects. Eberhardt and Van Etten (1956)
blocks. Pellet-group counts were totaled used clusters of two or three circular plots
for corresponding plots from all blocks, and at the Cusino deer enclosure in Michigan.
five mean pellet-group densities were cal- Van Etten (1959) later used courses of belt
culated. From these mean values an over- transects, three per course, in the Cusino
all mean and confidence limits for the whole enclosure. Jantzen (1957) employed simi-
area were obtained. lar courses of belt transects at the Grape-
A variation of the multiple-random-start vine study area in northern Arizona. Smith
system was adopted for experimental water- (1964) recommended the use of clusters of
sheds at Beaver Creek, Arizona (Wallmo four circular plots (0.0025 acre) which pro-
1964). On each watershed a baseline was vide a sample area equal to one 0.01-acre
established from the weir to the head of plot, but are subject to less observer error
the drainage. Transects of circular plots and may provide less variability per unit
COUNTTECHNIQUE*
REVIEWOF PELLET-GROUP Neff 601

than the single large plot. Shaw (1962) Harris (1959) divided the Cedar Ridge
used a radial pattern based on sample points mule deer winter range study area in
chosen at random within vegetative strata Middle Park, Colorado, into 18 transverse
in the Hatter Creek enclosure in northern blocks and randomly located one transect
Idaho. Eight transects radiated from a of 25 circular plots within each block. Be-
center stake, with the azimuth of the first cause of irregular boundaries the transects
line chosen at random and the other lines varied from 1/4 mile to over 2 miles in
at 45 degree angles. On each transect four length, with the 25 plots evenly distributed
circular plots were established at regular over the transect length. This resulted in
intervals. This radial system permits easy a much greater sampling intensity on the
relocation of permanent plots, but does not shorter sections, but was said to be justi-
provide even distribution of sample plots fied on the basis of simplified data analysis.
over the area (Greig-Smith 1957:22). In a few cases where deer were confined
Where general coverage of an area is de- to fenced enclosures or where the sample
sired, a series of transects of circular plots site was small, a complete count of the
traversing the entire width of the study entire area was attempted (Wing 1962,
area may be the best solution. Distance be- Neff 1964, Smith 1964, McKean 1965).
tween transects may be either systematic This type of count is possible only on areas
or restricted random, and intervals between no larger than a few acres, with sparse
plots along each transect may or may not ground cover.
be uniform for the whole system. Robinette
et al. (1958) surveyed Utah winter deer SAMPLING INTENSITY
ranges with parallel line-plot transects The term sampling intensity refers to the
running diagonally across the stream drain- percentage of the study area which must be
ages from the lower to the upper edge. The included in the sample plots to obtain the
diagonal orientation was designed to in- desired statistical confidence level. There
clude maximum variability within each
is no definite answer to the question of
transect, with minimum variability between
sampling adequacy: "It is dependent upon
transects. Calculations of various sampling
many variables such as pellet group density,
intensities required for various plot intervals
size of the area to be sampled, size, shape
indicated that the most efficient system
and distributional pattern of the sampling
statistically was one in which the interval
unit, pellet group distribution and sampling
between plots along the transect was about
accuracy desired" (Robinette et al. 1958:
equal to the interval between adjacent tran-
sects. However, it was noted that the most 412). Robinette and his associates examined
these variables as they applied to pellet-
efficient system from the standpoint of
time and effort involved a smaller interval group counts. The ensuing discussion de-
between plots than between transects. pends heavily upon their work.
Webb (1959) estimated deer populations
on the Three Bar study area in central Ari- Pellet-Group Density
zona with a series of 15 line-plot transects Other factors being equal, the requisite
running due north and south. Transects sampling intensity varies inversely with
averaged 1/4 mile apart on a restricted ran- pellet-group density. At the Little Hills,
dom basis and 45 circular plots were spaced Colorado, experimental deer pastures the
at 4-chain intervals along each transect. sample plot area needed for comparable
602 Journalof Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

precisionwas more than five times as great dom. It is assumed that pellet groups are
for a pasture with 109 pellet groups per deposited most heavily in those places in
acre as for a pasture with 538 groups per which the deer spend the greater part of
acre (Robinette et al. 1958:413). In their time. Thus pellet-groupdensity will
another study at Little Hills it was found usually vary considerably between south
that doubling the stocking rate (from 10 and northslopes (Bever 1955) and between
to 20 deer-days per acre) reduced the re- differentvegetationtypes (Van Etten 1959).
quired sample area by as much as 70 per- If the line-plottransector belt transectis to
cent (Rogers et al. 1958:197). Smith(1964: be the unit of sampling analysis, then as
Fig. 2) plotted his calculationsof sampling much as possible of this variationmust be
intensityfor variouslevels of deer use from included within each transect,and as little
10 to 80 deer-daysper acre. At the lowest as possible between transects. One way
levels of pellet-group density, anywhere that this has been accomplished is by
from 900 to 2,300 100-square-ftplots were running transects diagonally across the
required to achieve the desired accuracy. drainagepatternso that all slope exposures
At the highest pellet-group densities only will be sampledby each transect(Robinette
200 to 300 plots were necessary. The same et al. 1958).
rule held true for pellet-group counts on
roadside transects of circularplots in cen- Area of Range Unit to be Sampled
tral Arizona chaparral (Neff 1960). With Robinette et al. (1958:413) found an in-
a decline from 525 to 127 pellet groups per verse relationship between percent of an
acre, the number of units required rose area to be sampled to attain the desired
from 20 transectsto 141 transects. confidence limits and the total area of the
In short, pellet-group sampling is more range unit. This relationshipis illustrated
efficient in areas of high pellet-group by data from four Coloradoand Utah deer
density. Winter ranges or other deer con- ranges ranging in size from 100 acres in a
centrationareas should be chosen for herd pasture at Little Hills to over 8,000 acres
census or trend studies whenever possible. at Ephraim, Utah. Required sampling in-
Preliminarysurveyson temporaryplots are tensity dropped from about 0.8 percent of
a necessary step in the preparationof a the total area at Little Hills to less than 0.1
pellet-group sampling program. Survey percent at Ephraim.
counts provide the necessary estimates of This principle is based on the fact that
mean pellet-groupdensity and variance as the precisionof the estimateof mean pellet-
well as some idea of pellet-group distri- group density remainsabout the same on a
bution. large area as on a small area, if the pellet-
group density and pattern remain roughly
Pellet-GroupDistribution the same for the whole area. However, the
Population distributionpatterns may be careless inclusion of large areas of highly
random,regular,or contagious (clumped), variable deer use into one block for sam-
with all possible intergradations. Indica- pling will increasethe varianceof the data
tions are that pellet groupstend towardthe and a larger sample size will be required.
contagious distribution. Thus, a plot that
has one group on it has higher probability Sampling Accuracy Desired
of having more than one group than would Other factors being equal, the sampling
be the case if the distributionwere ran- intensity required varies directly with the
REVIEWOF PELLET-GROUP
COUNTTECHNIQUE Neff 603

degree of sampling accuracy desired. For range forage to concentrates (Smith 1964).
each sampling area and for each sampling 4. High percentage of fawns. Fawns
objective a decision must be made as to after weaning show higher rates than adults.
how accurate an estimate of mean pellet- Therefore a high percentage of fawns in a
group density is desired. No standard winter herd would tend to raise the mean
value has yet been established in wildlife rate (Smith 1964).
management which can be generally ap- 5. Psychological effects of captivity.
plied. Nervous hyperactivity in a penned wild
For determining sample size needed to buck in one study resulted in numerous
produce a desired degree of sampling ac- small groups and a high mean rate (Neff
curacy, Grieb (1958:63) offers the follow- 1964).
ing formula: In regard to the defecation rates of young
N (to.10)2s2 deer, Smith (1964:438) reported that two
(0.20 x x)2' young fawns averaged about 5 groups per
where N = number of plots required day in July, increased to 7.5 and 9.0 groups
s2= variance of the preliminary per day in August, 12.6 for each in Septem-
sample data ber, and reached a peak of 22.2 and 28.0 in
x = mean of the preliminary sam- October before dropping back to 20.6 and
ple data 23.9 in November.
0.20 =selected risk of error (e.g., if
the estimate is expected to fall Smith (1964:442) suggested that 12.7
within 20 percent of the mean groups per day, the standard figure first
95 times out of 100, use 0.20 derived by McCain (1948) from the data
times the mean) of Rasmussen and Doman (1943), is too
to.10= tabular value for the selected low. Smith's data indicated that a mean
level of probability.
rate of 13 to 14 groups per day would be
DEFECATION RATE more realistic.
Rogers et al. (1958) reached similar con-
Pellet-group density estimates may be
clusions. They recommended that 15 groups
used directly as indicators of population
be used as the standard rate for
trend between years or between areas with- per day
winter deer herds on good range, but that
out consideration of defecation rate (as-
13 per day would probably be more ac-
suming that defecation rates are similar in
curate on depleted ranges where variety
all years and areas). However, the number
and volume of forage were restricted.
of groups deposited per animal per day is
Because of missed groups error, field
a necessary factor in computing either total
counts almost invariably will produce an
deer-days use, or total number of animals
underestimate of the mean pellet-group
present. Published information on defeca-
tion rate for deer and other animals is density. The effect of raising the defeca-
summarized in Table 1. tion rate factor will be to lower the esti-
Factors which are believed to cause mated total numbers of deer or deer-days
higher defecation rates include: use, reinforcing the tendency to underesti-
1. Good range condition and relatively mate deer numbers.
high feed intake (Rogers et al. 1958).
2. High moisture content in forage OBSERVER BIAS
(Longhurst 1954). Human error in pellet-group counts in-
3. An abrupt change in diet from native volves personal factors such as fatigue,
604 Journalof Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

Table 1. A summary of determinations of defecation rate for deer and other ruminants.

SPECIES SrZEOF NUMBER ANIMAL-


AND TEST SAMPLE OF DAYS TYPE OF MEANDEFECATION
RATE
REFERENCE LOCATION AREA PERIOD ANIMALS USE FEED PER ANIMAL PER DAY

Rasmussen Mule deer 741 Aug., 172 15,824 Depleted Not published
and Doman (Odocoileus h. acres Sept., winter
1943 hemionus) UTAH Oct. range
McCain Mule deer Calculations based on Rasmussen and Doman data. Mean = 12.7
1948

Julander Mule deer Calculations based on Rasmussen and Doman data. Aug. = 11.1
et al. Sept. = 13.1 tMean = 12.6
1963 Oct. = 13.5 J

Rogers Mule deer 90-160 Over- 3-40 402- Winter All plots (15 est.)
et al. COLORADO acres winter deer per 5,457 browse 12.8-20.5 Mean = 15.2
1958 per pasture per Cleared plots (8 est.)
pasture pasture 11.3-20.1 Mean = 14.9
Smith Mule deer Calculations based on Rogers et al. data.
1964 Reweighted pasture data: Mean = 15.0
Data adjusted to agree with Smith's methods: Mean = 14.3

Smith Mule deer Pens Various 30 165 Native Fawns 16.9


1964 UTAH 278 forage Yearlings 12.6
446 Adults 12.2

889 Mean 13.2


621 Native Fawns 18.2
545 + conc. Yearlings 13.2
1,012 Adults 13.4

2,178 Mean 14.7


3 acres Summer 205 Aspen- 10.0
Winter 201 forb 11.2
8-11 Summer 2,730 range 8.0
acres Winter 645 13.2
11 acres Winter 1959-266 Oak- 13.0
Winter 1960-314 sagebrush 14.1
Winter 1961- 65 9.7

Neff Mule deer 5 acres Feb. 1 adult 7.0-7.5 Dormant


1964 ABRIZONA browse 13.0-13.9
April 1 yearling 7.0-7.5 Spring
greens 14.8-15.9
July 1 adult 9.3 Summer
drouth 22.2
McKean Mule deer 2 acres 3 winters 6 120 Pine- 12.5
1965 COLORADO 2 acres 3 winters 4 80 juniper 13.3
2 acres 3 winters 3 60 range 12.0
2 acres 3 winters 2 40 15.0
4 acres 3 winters 2 20 13.1

Total 320 Mean 13.2

Eberhardt White-tailed deer Pens Feb.- Fawns Adults


and Van (Odocoileus March 36 36 Cafeteria 13.5 14.6
Etten virginianus) (18 Swamp
1956 MICHIGAN fawns, conifers 12.3 13.2
18 Swamp
adults) hardwoods 12.6 13.0
Hemlock-
hardwoods 10.8 12.8
Fire suc-
cession 11.8 12.7
Mixed
conifer-
hardwood 11.5 13.2
Mean,
all diets 12.1 13.3
Mean,
all deer 12.0 ? 0.3
REVIEW OF PELLET-GROUP COUNT TECHNIQUE * Neff 605

Table 1. Continued

SPECIES SIZE OF NUMBER ANIMAL-


AND TEST SAMPLE OF DAYS TYPE OF MEAN DEFECATION RATE
REFERENCE LOCATION AREA PERIOD ANIMALS USE FEED PER ANIMAL PER DAY

Van Etten White-tailed deer Pens Jan. 13- 2 does 26.7 Good 5.09
1959 MICHIGAN Apr. 23 lb/day 11.8
2 does 29.1 Poor 3.52
lb/day 11.5
4 fawns 44.8 Good 3.28
lb/day 13.4
4 fawns 40.9 Poor 2.69
lb/day 12.7
2 bucks 21.3 Good 6.51
lb/day 17.9

Totals 14 162.8 Mean =- 13.2


Hines Black-tailed deer 340 Yearlong 43 Native 23.1
1963 (Odocoileus h. acres forbs,
columbianus) Dec.-May 15 grasses, 18.5
OREGON browse
Morris Rocky Mountain 3 days 5 cows and 30 Mean = 11.0
(in Julander elk (Cervus 5 calves
et al. canadensis)
1962) MONTANA

Neff et Rocky 217 Feb. 14- 4-10 598 Native Mean = 12.52 ? 1.38
al. 1965 Mountain elk acres June 5 forbs,
ARIZONA grasses,
browse

Edwards Moose (Alces 13.c


(reported by a. andersoni)
Julander et BRITISH COLUMBIA
al. 1963)

Ogren Barbary sheep Pen 4 days 10 adults 40 Zoo main- 12.7


1959 (Ammotragus tenance
lervia) ration
NEW MEXICO

Longhurst Domestic sheep 3 acres 20 days 32 wethers 640 Grain 13.3


1954 CALIFORNIA stubble, hay
Pens 1 day 2 ewes 2 Green grass 15.0-16.0
Julander Beef cattle 100 acres 1,401 Crested 11.2
1955 UTAH 1,062 wheatgrass 11.6

boredom, visual acuity, and experience, (1958) found when they counted concen-
which are difficult to evaluate. More easily tric 100-square-ft and 0.01-acre plots that
tested are such factors as type and density the smaller plot usually gave a higher esti-
of ground cover, and size and shape of mate of pellet-group density. Concluding
plots. Observer error has been found to that this was due to increased error in
arise principally from missed groups, but missed groups on the larger plots, they were
differences in interpreting what constitutes able to correct the error by counting 0.01-
a group and in methods of dealing with acre plots in two 6-ft bands rather than
peripheral groups are also important. counting the whole 11.78-ft radius in one
sweep. Two counts, clockwise and counter-
Influence of Size and Shape of Sample Plot clockwise, were made on each plot. Similar
To test observer efficiency, several tests results have been reported by Eberhardt
have been conducted with concentric cir- and Van Etten (1956), Harris (1959), Neff
cular plots of various sizes. Robinette et al. (1960), Smith (1964), and Smith (1968).
606 Journalof Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

Belt transects appear to be relatively pellets and were totaled separately from the
more subject to missed-groups error than last 40 plots. Observer totals ranged from
are circular plots. Studies in the Black Hills 38 to 47 on the clean plots with a consensus
reported by Bever (1955) and by Hart total of 48 pellet groups. On the last 40
(1958) showed that the efficiency of the plots observer totals ranged from 19 to 28
field crews on 10-ft x 2,000-ft belt transects with a consensus of 32 groups.
fell off 25 percent in the second 1,000-ft Several conclusions seem justified from
section as compared to the first section. Re- these tests:
counts of four transects gave a correction 1. Because of missed groups, pellet-group
factor of 1.97, indicating that on the first density estimates will almost always be less
count almost as many groups were missed than true density.
as were found. The following year the belts 2. Greater observer error will occur on
were reduced to 8 ft x 1,000 ft and counts temporary plots with an accumulation of
were made more thoroughly, resulting in a old scattered and bleached groups than on
correction factor of only 1.18. permanent plots which are cleared reg-
Observer comparisons were conducted ularly.
on three different occasions at the Three 3. While observers in the Three Bar tests
Bar game management unit in central Ari- tended to maintain relative rankings, they
zona (Neff 1962, 1963). In December, 1961, were not sufficiently constant that a per-
a group of 18 observers from the Arizona sonal correction factor could be applied
Game and Fish Department counted pellet with any confidence.
groups on a series of 80 circular 100-square- 4. Standards for interpretation of pellet-
ft plots in desert shrub vegetation. No group identity should be carefully adhered
consensus was reached in the field but at to by all observers.
least 67 pellet groups were present. Ob- 5. Experience is no guarantee of accu-
servers' counts varied from 41 to 85 pellet racy. A well-briefed beginner may be more
groups. Counts of research personnel reg- alert than an old-timer.
ularly involved in pellet-group counting Because of the artificialities involved in
ranged from 47 to 70 pellet groups. Indi- the transect used in the first three tests, one
cations were that the primary source of trial was made on an actual pellet-group
error was missed groups, but that differ- sampling system. This test was conducted
ences in interpretation were significant. by eight observers on Watershed C at the
In February, 1962, a second test on the Three Bar game management unit in March,
same 80 plots was conducted with eight 1964. Vegetation on this watershed con-
observers. On this occasion a field review sisted of chaparral regrowth from a 1959
of all plots established a consensus total wildfire, suppressed by herbicides. Ground
of 81 pellet groups. Observer totals varied cover in some areas was dense, including
from 64 to 81. Again missed groups error dried stems of trailing vines and new
was of major concern but interpretational growth of red brome (Bromus rubens). No
differences still remained. During the field field consensus could be obtained, but an
review, agreement was reached on several approach to a consensus was made by com-
major points of difference. paring the notes of each observer on each
A third test on the same 80 plots was plot. The differences between observer
held in December, 1962. In this case the counts and "correct"totals for the transects
first 40 plots were cleared of old scattered counted ranged from -55 percent to -24
REVIEWOF PELLET-GROUP
COUNTTECHNIQUE Neff 607

percent. Watershed C approximates the tion rate determinationsor to the numbers


worst pellet-group counting conditions to of pellets counted in well-defined groups
be expected in Arizona: extremely rough (Smith 1964, Ferguson 1955).
terrain, dense ground cover, and high ob- Another source of observer error at the
server fatigue. Three Bar tests was the finding of several
If relative pellet-group density between groups close together, consisting of pellets
areas or between years is the primary pur- similar in size, shape, and color. In one
pose of the pellet-group counts, the ob- test nine separatefresh groupswere planted
server error can be avoided by using the on one plot as a joke. The "lumpers"
same observers in both areas or both years. counted only three to five groups, while
However, if observers change with time and the "splitters"got seven to nine. After much
area, or if pellet-group density per acre is debate the decisionwas made that adjacent
important, then the time and effort involved groups of very similar appearance should
in developing approximate observer correc- be counted separately unless they were
tion factors may be well spent. The "con- definitely connected by scattered pellets.
fidence limits" on such correction factors The tendency of pellet groups to be de-
will necessarily be wide, and periodic re- posited in bunches rather than at random
checks will be needed. can contributeto low pellet-group density
estimates by observers who tend to be
Sources of InterpretationalError "lumpers."
The problem of how to count groups In Michigan, plots are not cleared of
which are only partly in the plot can be a pellets during the spring surveys. Instead,
major source of error. Strewn-out or scat- observerscount only those groupsdeposited
tered groups present a difficult problem in after the leaf fall of the previous autumn.
this regard. Robinette et al. (1958) recom- Errorsin dating groups are thus an addi-
mended tallying fractions of strewn-out tional source of interpretationalerror. Ac-
groups, or tallying those groups in which cording to Van Etten and Bennett (1965),
the midpoint of the group falls within the missed groups and dating errorswere both
plot. In the Three Bar tests (Neff 1962) major problems. The two observers em-
an edge group was counted if half or more ployed in their experimentdiffered signifi-
of the pellets were within the plot. No frac- cantly in their counts and the percent error
tions were tallied. However, failure to of one observerappeared to be influenced
locate all the pellets of the group in dense by pellet-groupdensity.
vegetation would prevent the accurate de-
termination of either the midpoint or the OTHERSOURCESOF ERROR
fraction lying within the plot. Variousproblemsexist which may apply
The minimum number of pellets to be in general or which apply only to specific
counted as a group caused much debate at pellet-group sampling situations.
the Three Bar. The final decision was
made arbitrarily that 30 pellets or more Period of Deposition
must be present to count as a group. In On permanentlyestablishedpellet-group
some studies, even one pellet has been sampling systems the period of deposition
counted as a group if it was isolated (Ben- is the elapsedtime since the previouspellet-
nett et al. 1940, Steinhoff 1947:29). This group count. All pellet groups counted are
does not seem realistic in relation to defeca- usually cleared completely from the plot,
608 Journalof Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

but may be marked with paint (Bever 1955, (about 10 percent of the 150-day winter
Hart 1958, McKean 1965). Clearing takes season) would result in an error of 35 deer
time but provides complete protection out of an estimated total number of 381, or
against counting the same pellet group less than 10-percent error.
twice. Clearing the plot also prevents the In eastern deciduous forests the period
accumulation of old scattered pellets which of winter use begins with leaf fall, and
make interpretation errors more likely. Ac- temporary plots may be used if precautions
cording to the tests made by Kufeld (1968), are taken to count only those groups de-
painting pellet groups could lead to con- posited on top of the leaf litter. This tech-
siderable error because of the rapid de- nique does not apply to cedar swamps and
terioration of paint marks. other coniferous types, of course. Additional
On some deer ranges temporary plots difficulties arise from the continuous light
may be used with confidence for annual fall of oak leaves all winter, shifting of dead
trend and census data because of circum- leaves by wind in fall and spring, and the
stances which permit the accurate dating lack of sufficient leaf cover in openings
of the period of deposition. (Eberhardt and Van Etten 1956, Van Etten
In the Rocky Mountain and Intermoun- 1959).
tain regions of the West the period of occu- Various investigators have suggested
pation of the winter range by mule deer using pellet shape and color as correlated
can be estimated within reasonable limits with the seasonal changes in diet, such as
(McCain 1948, Robinette et al. 1958, Harris from winter browse to spring greenery, as
1959, Smith 1964). During early spring a means of determining age of groups on
counts there is little confusion between the temporary plots (Eberhardt and Van Etten
depositions of the current winter and those 1956, Robinette, personal communication
of the year previous, except when pellets 1959). On the Black Gap desert shrub and
are wet. To calculate mean number of chaparral ranges of western Texas the dra-
days spent by the herd on the winter range, matically sudden appearance of deformed
periodic estimates were made of the per- deer pellet groups was observed to ac-
centage of the herd occupying the area company the abrupt development of green
(Robinette et al. 1958). High precision is herbaceous forage. However, it was not a
not necessary since an error of a week in dependable phenomenon which could be
the estimated period of occupation in a regularly used in dating perods of deposi-
140-day winter range period would result tion (0. C. Wallmo, personal communica-
in only a 5-percent error in population esti- tion 1965). In Arizona few deformed deer
mates. If the spring pellet-group count can pellet groups are found at any season of
be made before the herd leaves the winter the year.
range, only the beginning date of winter
range use must be estimated. Map Acreage vs. Acreage on the Ground
Harris (1959:245) tested this method of Estimates of pellet-group density have
determining the winter range use period been found to be conservative when study
in Colorado, and agreed that the error was area acreages were obtained from aerial
not critical. Each day of herd occupancy photos or maps, while plots were measured
accounted for a change of only 2.54 deer in on the slope (Leopold et al. 1951, Harris
the estimate of total deer numbers on Cedar 1959). This results in considerable differ-
Ridge in 1959. Thus, an error of 2 weeks ence where the terrain is steep (a 33 per-
COUNTTECHNIQUE* Neff
REVIEWOF PELLET-GROUP 609

cent error in plot acreage on a 30 degree 96.5 percent were recognizable after
slope). The error can easily be avoided if 1 year
the observer keeps his radius rod or line 93.1 percent were recognizable after
horizontal when measuring the plot bound- 2 years
aries. Where very steep slopes are en- 93.1 percent were recognizable after
countered, a plumb bob may be needed to 3 years
determine the boundaries accurately. A 65.5 percent were recognizable after
pebble dropped from the end of the hori- 4 years
zontal rod will serve in lieu of a plumb bob. 24.1 percent were recognizable after
5 years.
Loss of Pellet Groups by Washing
and Insect Attack Van Etten and Bennett (1965) reported
on the persistence of pre- and post-leaf-fall
Ferguson (1955) found that loss of pellet groups under various cover and soil
groups by erosion was unimportant except moisture conditions in Michigan. They
when ground cover was very sparse, and found a few groups still present after 5
that litter and vegetation held the pellets
years, and a few 2-year-old groups which
even on slopes of 60 to 80 percent. How-
appeared to be fresh. In the chaparral and
ever, two pellet group deterioration tests in pine types in central Arizona, washing by
central Utah suffered considerable loss to summer rains and concealment by litter,
dung beetles, with up to 14 percent of the respectively, were the chief agents of pellet-
groups being completely buried in a few group loss. Neither type of loss was suf-
weeks in the spring (Robinette et al. 1958). ficiently large to cause problems with
J. B. Low (1959, unpublished report, Utah annual or semiannual pellet-group counts
Coop. Wildl. Research Unit) made further (Neff 1962).
observations of Ferguson's marked groups, Pellet-group losses in some cases have
with the following conclusions: been great enough to prevent use of the
1. Groups under maple overstory seldom technique, at least in some seasons. In
persist more than a year because of conceal- western Texas 38 percent of 53 marked
ment by leaf fall, lack of herbaceous ground pellet groups were lost in less than 2
cover to hold pellets, and attack by fungi months, and 91 percent in 4 months, be-
in the damp soil. cause of heavy washing rains (Wallmo et al.
2. Groups under sagebrush usually per- 1962:52). Because of this high degree of
sist for about 2 years, after which they are loss, pellet-group counts were subsequently
either covered by grass litter or washed conducted only during rain-free periods,
away. usually in November through March. In
3. Groups under juniper generally re- southwest Georgia, dung beetle activity re-
sulted in estimates of deer numbers only
main for 3 years or more because the groups
20 to 25 percent of the known deer popu-
are held by the litter, while further accu-
lation (Downing et al. 1965). Experiments
mulation of litter is slow.
with various insecticides failed to solve the
4. Groups on steep slopes without
problem.
ground cover usually wash within 1 or 2
years. Species Identification of Pellet Groups
5. A total of 58 groups were observed for On ranges where more than one pellet-
5 years: forming ruminant is present, pellet-group
610 Journalof Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

Table 2. Comparison of pellet-group count estimates with Table 3. Comparison of pellet-group count estimates with
known deer populations in the Cusino and George Reserve known deer populations in the George Reserve enclosure,
enclosures, Michigan (Eberhardt and Van Etten 1956:71). Michigan. (Data modified from Ryel 1959.)

ESTIMATES APPROX. 95% TOTAL ESTIMATED KNOWN


FROM CONFIDENCE AVERAGE NO. OF PELLET DEER PER DEER
PELLET LIMITS ON KNOWN YEAR PLOTS GROUPS SQUARE MILE* NUMBERS
YEAR COUNTS ESTIMATES POPULATION
1953 243 533 30.9 (23.6-38.2) 33.1
Cusino-647 acres 1954 235 483 28.5 (20.9-36.1) 38.5
1953 40.8 29.4-52.2 28.8 1955 241 285 17.3t(13.5-21.1) 39.6
1954 25.5 18.0-33.0 25.0 1956 221 769 54.1 (43.6-64.6) 32.3
1955 22.2 13.4-30.9 28.1 1957 2491 649 38.9 (24.7-53.0) 41.4
George Reserve-1,200 acres 1958 268 598 33.6 (21.9-45.3) 33.0
1953 30.7 23.2-38.2 32.7 * Confidence limits of two standard errors.
1954 28.4 20.6-36.2 36.1 t Recheck of 1955 plots gave estimate of 37.6 deer per
1955 17.3 12.5-22.1 37.2 square mile.

counts may not be feasible (Murie 1954: EXPERIMENTAL OF


EVALUATION
255-256). PELLET-GROUP
COUNTS
Smith (1954:96) expressed doubt that
On several occasions the opportunity has
pellet-group counts would be workable for been available to test the pellet-group
Idaho bighorn because of confusion be-
count technique against known numbers of
tween bighorn, mountain goats, and deer.
animals in a fenced enclosure, or to com-
Welles and Welles (1961:175-176) found
pare it with other census techniques on the
it difficult to distinguish between deer and
open range.
desert bighorn tracks and pellets. They
showed that pellet size, shape, and color are
ComparisonWith KnownDeer Populations
not reliable indicators of desert bighorn sex
or age. However, Ogren (1964) was able Eberhardt and Van Etten (1956) made
to distinguish between the pellets of mule pellet-group counts in the Cusino and
deer and Barbary sheep by their shape and George Reserve enclosures in Michigan and
checked their results against drive counts.
length-diameter relationships. Murie (1954:
Their estimates in deer per square mile are
272) warned that in ". . . joint elk-moose
shown in Table 2. In these surveys the
country some puzzling samples will be
found. . . ." But Van Wormer (personal counting of 200 to 400 circular 0.02-acre
communication 1967) found that he could plots gave estimates ranging from 2 to 53
identify winter moose and elk pellets in percent in actual error, primarily observer
northeastern Utah, and that in moose the error of various kinds. In 1953 at Cusino
sexes could be separated on the basis of some pellets dropped prior to leaf fall prob-
winter pellet shape. In Arizona few prob- ably were included, and the 1955 counts at
lems have been encountered in differentiat- George Reserve are known to have involved
ing between elk and deer. However, on a high degree of missed groups error. A
some pinyon-juniper ranges in north-central controlled test of observer error at Cusino
Arizona, both deer and pronghorn pellet confirmed that missed groups and errors
groups are found. This problem was solved in dating pellet-group deposition were the
by Howard (1967) in New Mexico with the chief problems (Van Etten and Bennett
discovery that the pellets of mule deer and 1965).
pronghorn differed markedly in pH. In another report from Michigan (Ryel
REVIEW OF PELLET-GROUP COUNT TECHNIQUE * Neff 611

Table 4. Estimates of winter deer populations on Cedar Table 6. Comparison of three deer census techniques, Mis-
Ridge, Middle Park, Colorado, 1958 and 1959 (Harris 1959: soula Hills, Montana (White 1960:122).
242).
TOTAL LINCOLN PELLET
YEAR COUNT INDEX GROUP
ESTIMATES OF DEER NUMBERS
AND THEIR CONFIDENCE LIMITS
1957 27 21 21
METHOD 1958 1959
1958 20 14 26
Ground drives
February 396 566
April 366 - regarded as giving the most accurate avail-
Aerial survey able estimate of deer numbers. The 1958
(helicopter) - 511 as adjusted pellet-group count estimates are very close
(fixed wing) - 545 as adjusted to the two ground-drive estimates and well
Pellet-group counts within acceptable confidence limits for man-
100-square-ft plots 371 + 94 -
agement purposes. In 1959 the two methods
0.01-acre plots 305 ? 70 381 ? 74
did not agree so well, the pellet-group
count estimate dropping to 67 percent of
the ground-drive figure. The pellet-group
1959, as reported by Julander et al. 1963), data reflected an increased population in
reasonable estimates of deer numbers were
1959; however, the ground-drive estimate
obtained 4 years out of 6 in the George
increased by 43 percent while the pellet-
Reserve enclosure (Table 3). The sample
group density estimate increased by only
covered a total of 4.4 acres in 0.02-acre
25 percent.
circular plots.
Dasmann and Taber (1955) compared
Downing et al. (1965) tested pellet-group the Lincoln index, the pellet-group count,
counts and other techniques on a known
the sample-area count, and the total deer
number of deer in a 746-acre enclosure in
count techniques on a 400-acre area of
southwest Georgia. Pellet-group counts northern California chaparral (Table 5).
gave estimates of less than 25 percent of Their pellet-group counts were made on
the known numbers of deer, primarily be-
50 circular 100-square-ft plots located at
cause of rapid destruction of pellets by random. Since the period of apparent over-
dung beetles. estimate of deer density by pellet-group
counts coincided with a period of lush
Comparison With Other Census Techniques
green forage, the authors postulated an in-
Harris (1959) compared pellet-group creased defecation rate during that period.
counts with ground drives and aerial sur- They suggested a rate of 10 pellet groups
veys in mule deer winter range in Middle per deer per day on sprouting brush, 13 on
Park, Colorado, during two different win- dormant brush, and 17 on green herbaceous
ters (Table 4). The ground drive was feed.

Table 5. Comparison of four deer census techniques in northern California chaparral (Dasmann and Taber 1955:227).

SAMPLE- PELLET-
TOTAL LINCOLN AREA GROUP
PERIOD COUNT INDEX COUNT COUNT

Jan.-May, 1952 78 79 79
June-Nov., 1952 103 109 100 93
Nov., 1952-March, 1953 94 86 83 120
612 Journalof Wildlife Management,Vol. 32, No. 3, July 1968

White (1960) compared pellet-group ularly is this true in management programs


counts, total deer count, and Lincoln index involving large numbers of observers. Be-
in the Missoula Hills, Montana, during the cause of the high degree of observer error
150-day summer range period (Table 6). that has sometimes been detected, pellet-
A total of 419 circular 100-square-ft plots group count sampling systems must be de-
were gridded over the 400-acre study area. signed to minimize this form of error: that
Estimates of total deer numbers by the is, plots must be well defined, of the
three methods differed by a large percent- smallest size consistent with pellet group
age (roughly ?+30 percent in 1958), but density, and the sampling system must be
agreement was reasonably good considering designed for efficient field location and
the small actual numbers of deer present access.
on the area. White also used pellet-group A major problem requiring future re-
distribution to classify deer use in eight search attention concerns the use of pellet-
vegetation subtypes. Distribution of pellet group distribution pattern as an index to
groups by subtype compared closely with habitat preferences. Pellet-group counts are
direct observation of deer activity patterns. widely used for this purpose, yet the re-
lationship between defecation and other
CONCLUSION animal activities remains conjectural. It is
commonly assumed that the number of
Two important subjects related to pellet-
pellet groups counted in an area is closely
group counts have not been included in this related to the number of animal-hours or
review. First, the statistical details of field-
days spent in the area, or that the pellet-
plot sampling and analysis of data need
group count is an indicator of the impor-
comprehensive study and review by a bio- tance of the sample plot site to the well-
metrician. Secondly, the material presented
being of the animal population. Neither
here has been taken almost entirely from
assumption appears entirely trustworthy,
research studies of various kinds. The ex- but in few cases (White 1960, Welles and
periences of Michigan, Wisconsin, Utah, Welles 1961) has it been possible to di-
New Mexico, and other states in statewide
rectly observe animal activity in corrobora-
pellet-group counting for deer and elk man- tion or contradiction of pellet-group distri-
agement would provide plentiful material bution.
for another review article.
In view of the many pitfalls and hazards
The problems of designing, establishing, detailed in this review it seems obvious that
and operating pellet-group sampling sys-
pellet-group counts are not a panacea or
tems have been thoroughly explored by nu- a short cut to big game population data.
merous workers in numerous habitats. No
However, it does appear that the method
insuperable technical difficulties have been is valid, and that it can be made to yield
encountered. Only the rapid destruction of reliable data under most field conditions.
pellets or their concealment by extremely
dense vegetation has prevented the use of CITED
LITERATURE
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