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Hilal 2015
Hilal 2015
Clinical Genitourinary Cancer, Vol. -, No. -, --- ª 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Epidemiology, Healthcare systems, Incidence, Middle East, Risk factors
when Nasseri et al studied cancer incidence in the Middle Eastern Table 1 The ASIR and ASMR of Prostate Cancer in the MENA
Arab population in California, they found that the prostate cancer Countries Compared With European Countries, Japan,
rate was 11-fold higher in the Arab individuals in California than and the United States (USA)
the reported rates from the Middle Eastern countries themselves.9
Country ASIR ASMR
The authors attributed this to several factors including accultura-
Algeria 8.8 4.9
tion to the lifestyle of the host country9 and possible underreporting
Bahrain 13.5 6.5
of good quality data in most of the Middle Eastern countries
Comoros 23.2 21
because of the lack of organized cancer-based registries.10
Djibouti 8.5 8
Figure 1 shows the lower ASIR of prostate cancer in the Middle
Egypt 7.8 5.1
East and North Africa (MENA) countries compared with Western
Iraq 8.7 6.4
countries such as the US based on GLOBOCAN 2012 data.11 In
Jordan 15.9 8.3
2005, during the sixth International Consultation on Prostate
Kuwait 14.5 3
Cancer and Prostatic Diseases, sponsored by the International
Lebanon 37.2 17.1
Union Against Cancer, concerns were raised regarding the future
Libya 15.5 7.5
increase in the incidence of prostate cancer in Asia and the Middle
MENA 19.7 10.2
East. This notion was spurred by the observed trends of prostate
Morocco 18.5 12.9
cancer in the Middle East and Southeast Asia. The meeting synopsis
Oman 10.2 6.3
clearly depicted an alarming increase in the incidence rate in
Qatar 13.2 6
Lebanon, exceeding that of Korea and Japan.
Saudi Arabia 9.5 4.8
Although the incidence and mortality rates for prostate cancer in
Syria 11.9 8
the US and other developed countries are decreasing, the limited
West bank 15.2 e
reports from the Middle East have shown an unexpected increase in
Tunisia 11.3 6
incidence and mortality rates for prostate cancer in our part of the
UAE 10 5.6
world.11 In Lebanon for example, the ASIR increased from 29.9 per
Yemen 2.7 2.3
100,000 in 2003 to 39.2 per 100,000 in 2008.12 As for the
World 31.1 7.8
survival, several studies have used the age-standardized mortality
USA 98.2 9.8
rate (ASMR) to ASIR ratio, known as the mortality rate to inci-
Japan 30.4 5
dence rate ratio (MR:IR), as an indicator of survival.13 Table 1
Southern Europe 58.6 10
shows the ASIR and ASMR of several countries in the MENA
Northern Europe 85 14.5
region compared with European countries, the US, and Japan,
based on the GLOBOCAN 2012 database on prostate cancer.11 The data for MENA region and USA is shown in bold because it’s the data that was used to
show the difference between our MENA region and the USA regarding the MR:IR ratio.
Based on this, Shahait et al used the MR:IR ratio, from the Abbreviations: ASIR ¼ age-standardized incidence rate; ASMR ¼ age-standardized mortality
GLOBOCAN 2012 database on prostate cancer (MR:IR ratio rate; MENA ¼ Middle East and North Africa; UAE ¼ United Arab Emirates.
Data from International Agency for Research on Cancer. World Health Organization. GLOBOCAN
being inversely proportional to the survival), and they found that 2012: Estimated Incidence, Mortality and Prevalence Worldwide in 2012. All Cancers (Excluding Non-
the population-averaged MR:IR ratio was 0.5 in the MENA region Melanoma Skin Cancer). Available at: http://globocan.iarc.fr/Pages/fact_sheets_cancer.aspx.
weighed against 0.09 in the US (Figure 2).14 These data suggest with regional lymph node metastasis, and only 111,824 (4%)
that mortality from prostate cancer in our part of the world, the with distant metastasis.5
MENA region, is approximately 5.6 times that of the US. According to the available data it is difficult to determine whether
Moreover, the limited data on the stage at presentation of this prediction of a worse stage and survival in the MENA Arab
prostate cancer in the Middle East report a more advanced stage region compared with the US should be attributed to a different
in our part of the world compared with the US. Osman et al biology of the tumor or to the health care systems in those Arab
reported on prostate cancer in Saudi Arabia: of a cohort of 72 countries or, most probably, to a combination of those different
patients, 46 (64%) had extraprostatic disease at presentation. Of factors. Underreporting of incidence rates and overreporting of
the 54 patients who had staging imaging, 27 (50%) had lymph mortality rates and inaccuracies in mortality reports can lead to
node metastasis, 12 (22%) had pulmonary metastasis, and 6 such inconsistencies. The incidence and mortality rates from
(11%) had liver metastasis.15 This is contrary to the lower rate of prostate cancer are on the rise based on future projection models.
extraprostatic disease in the US. According to the SEER database, Shamseddine et al published a report on the cancer trends in
out of a sample size of 2,795,592 men, 2,264,430 (81%) prostate Lebanon, and showed that the incidence rate of prostate cancer is
cancer patients present with localized disease, 335,471 (12%) expected to increase from 42 per 100,000 in 2009 to 64 per
Figure 3 Ten-Year Cancer Incidence Projection of the 5 Most Common Cancers in Men (2009-2018)
Reproduced With Permission From Shamseddine et al. Cancer Trends in Lebanon: A Review of Incidence Rates for the Period of 2003-2008 and Projections Until 2018. Popul Health Metr 2014; 12:4.
Population-Related Factors
Age. The age structure of the Middle Eastern population has
changed over the past 20 years with a decrease in the fertility
and mortality rates, yet it is still a relatively young population. A 2010
report from Yemen revealed that three-quarters of its population is
younger than the age of 30 years and 46% younger than the age of 15
years; Yemen has the most youthful age structure in the world outside
of sub-Saharan Africa.24 People in Yemen who are 65 years and older