Bankruptcy As An Auction Process - Lessons From Sweden - 2009

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Bankruptcy as an Auction Process: Lessons from Sweden

by B. Espen Eckbo, Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College and


Karin S. Thorburn, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration

The U.S. bankruptcy system seems to be fundamentally flawed. It is expensive, it exacerbates


conflicts among different classes of creditors, and it often takes years to resolve individual cases...
[The] value of viable businesses is destroyed…in providing life support for terminal cases.
— Michael C. Jensen (1991)

When firms can be sold as going concerns, the need for the traditional negotiated plan
of reorganization disappears…Today the Chapter 11 of a large firm is an auction of the assets,
followed by litigation over the proceeds…[The era of] the law of corporate reorganizations…
has come to an end. — Douglas G. Baird and Robert K. Rasmussen (2002)

C
ompanies facing the prospect of defaulting on a A poorly designed code can create costly conflicts among
loan or debt instrument have two basic options: security holders and destroy firm value by putting control over
(1) attempt a private workout (which, if success- corporate resources into the wrong hands.
ful, results in a change in debt terms and/or an For reasons that are poorly understood, different
exchange of equity for debt) or (2) file for a court-super- countries have developed substantially different approaches to
vised “one size fits all” bankruptcy. The optimal design of bankruptcy. For example, the U.S. and U.K. systems occupy
formal bankruptcy procedures is a controversial issue. From the opposite poles of a continuum in terms of their allocation
an economic standpoint, the main goal of bankruptcy is to of rights between creditors and their corporate debtors. In
reallocate control rights over corporate assets to their most the U.S., a filing under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy
efficient users. That is accomplished by deciding which Code substantially restricts creditor rights through its “stay”
distressed companies should continue as going concerns, and of debt claims. The aim of this provision is to allow compa-
which should be liquidated piecemeal. And having made that nies to continue to operate in bankruptcy while their capital
decision, the system should then aim to ensure the largest structures get reworked. At the other extreme is the U.K.
possible recoveries for creditors. receivership procedure, which is largely a contract-oriented
To accomplish this goal, bankruptcy procedures are designed system in which creditors have the upper hand. In the
to prevent a creditor race to claim collateral assets, to set rules U.K., assets pledged as collateral may be seized by creditors
for bargaining between claimholders, and to reduce some of the even if they are vital for the filing companies, effectively
information problems inherent in private workout attempts. But reducing the chance that they emerge from bankruptcy as
the devil is in the details, and the specific design of a bankruptcy going concerns.1
code can have major effects—negative as well as positive—on the Between these two poles is a third type of system—a
future operating performance and value of the filing company. mandatory auction procedure—that has been developed in
1. Until 2003, secured creditors in the U.K. could appoint a receiver who looked after
their interests and decided whether to restructure the firm or sell its assets. Changes in
2003 moved the U.K. code closer to the U.S. system.

38 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009
Sweden. While this code also provides the strong protection ability to implement a new higher-valued strategy, coupled
of the filing firm (stay of debt claims) found in the U.S., it with competitive bidding, lead to high selling prices in an
shifts control of the firm to a court-appointed trustee that is auction setting. We therefore expect creditors to push for the
charged with conducting an auction of the firm’s assets. As auction mechanism when other forms of bankruptcy proceed-
a result, the court-supervised renegotiation of the senior or ings are perceived to be more costly and less efficient.
secured debt that is so common in the U.S. is not an option Consistent with this argument, a much-cited 2003 study
in Sweden even when the firm is viable as a going concern. of U.S. bankruptcies by Douglas Baird and Robert Rasmus-
But if the U.S. system has long been recognized to be sen reported a substantial increase in the use of accelerated
more friendly to corporate debtors (and their managements), sales and auction processes in Chapter 11. Specifically, they
there is a distinct trend in the U.S. toward greater reliance on reported that more than half of all large Chapter 11 cases
the auction mechanism in Chapter 11. In the past year, for reorganized in 2002 used some kind of auction (or sales)
example, auctions have been used as a way of cleaning up the mechanism. The shift toward auction-like mechanisms has
balance sheets of financially distressed banks, and of restruc- been accompanied by the growing use of “pre-packaged”
turing large companies like GM and Chrysler. The trend bankruptcy filings (where a reorganization plan has been
towards auctions raises a number of important questions worked out prior to filing), and by the rise of an active second-
about the likely economic effects of a systematic use of the ary market for publicly traded distressed debt claims (which
auction mechanism to resolve bankruptcy: helps increase the efficiency of in-bankruptcy governance and
• Are bankruptcy auctions likely to attract high-value voting procedures).
bidders from the same industry as the target, given that these These changes are clear evidence of a growing recogni-
rival firms may also be financially distressed? tion that market-driven transactions executed through an
• Since the auction process virtually eliminates the orderly acquisition process are a cost-effective alternative to
bargaining power of incumbent management, are manag- Chapter 11 reorganizations. But this development should
ers likely to “hang on” to the firm too long before filing for not come as a surprise, given the well-documented role of
bankruptcy? the U.S. corporate takeover market in changing control of
• Are bankrupt firms purchased as going concerns gener- resources and increasing efficiency outside of bankruptcy.3
ally restructured efficiently by the buyers? While acquiring a bankrupt target may in some respects
For U.S. policy makers, the larger question here is be more complicated than acquiring a financially healthy
whether a bona fide auction bankruptcy system—one where company (involving issues of transaction initiation, transpar-
all important constituencies expect companies to be put ency and execution), it seems only natural that Chapter 11
up for sale quickly—is likely to be more efficient than the proceedings have begun to take advantage of the methods
current voluntary system under Chapter 11. The question and experience developed in the highly sophisticated U.S.
comes down to whether it makes economic sense to limit the market for corporate control.
right of managers to choose reorganization in Chapter 11 by Two studies suggest that companies acquiring targets
requiring auctions. in bankruptcy tend to realize significant shareholder gains.4
There is little systematic empirical evidence on the effects Such gains are attributed in large part to restructuring and
of bankruptcy auctions conducted in the U.S. Nevertheless, governance improvements following the takeover. Consistent
some answers to the above questions can be inferred from our with this, a third study reports that sales of plants by Chapter
recent research on the effects of the Swedish auction system. 11 companies in high-growth industries lead to increased
The main findings of this research are summarized in the plant productivity, suggesting that the auction mechanism
pages that follow.2 used in these sales promotes an efficient reallocation of corpo-
rate resources.5
The U.S. Trend Toward Auction Bankruptcy On the other hand, acquirers’ bargaining power can result
A core tenet of economics is that, in well-functioning capi- in the purchase of the targets at discounts from the targets’
tal markets, auctions tend to produce efficient reallocations full value, which may account for part of the acquirer gains.
of corporate resources. The winning bidder has an economic But how does one determine whether auction sales result in
incentive to implement the highest-valued restructuring strat- such discounts?
egy, which generally includes asset dispositions as well as the The traditional method is to compare recovery rates
choice of capital structure and top management as the firm obtained in Chapter 11 reorganizations with those in sales.
continues as a going concern after bankruptcy. The buyer’s And because we know that recovery rates in the U.S. are

2. The research on Swedish bankruptcy auctions appears in Thorburn (2000), Eckbo and Thorburn (2008) and Eckbo (2009).
Stromberg (2000), and Eckbo and Thorburn (2003, 2008, 2009). Full citations for all 4. Hotchkiss and Mooradian (1998) and LoPucki and Doherty (2007).
articles are provided in the Reference section. 5. Maksimovic and Phillips (1998).
3. For a recent review of the empirical literature on corporate takeovers, see Betton,

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009 39
typically higher in reorganizations, it is tempting to conclude (piecemeal liquidation) or for the entire firm as a going
that auctions lead to “fire sale” prices.6 But this conclusion concern—and the highest bidder wins. If no bid comes up for
may be premature for the following reason: because a sale the company as a going concern, the assets are sold piecemeal.
out of Chapter 11 is voluntary in the sense that it requires And thus, in the Swedish system it is the auction bids—and
approval of both managers and creditors, the U.S. evidence not the bankruptcy court, as in Chapter 11—that effectively
on auctions is likely to reflect a disproportionate number of determine whether the firm is going to be liquidated piece-
sales where the eventual outcome is likely to be piecemeal meal or continued as a restructured going concern.
liquidation as opposed to the restructuring and preservation Companies sometimes also negotiate a sale right before
of a going concern. That is, given management’s control of the filing—which we refer to as an “auction prepack,” and which
Chapter 11 restructuring process, those bankrupt companies is also subject to the trustee’s approval.7 In cases where an
that end up being put up for sale are likely to be those with a insider of the bankrupt company is the only bidder (attempt-
relatively low going-concern value—and therefore have low ing to buy back the firm), the trustee is required to search for
recovery rates per se. competing bids before approving the “saleback.”
Why would managers be more likely to support an Though it has no provision for reorganizing secured debt,
in-bankruptcy sale of a firm with relatively low going- Swedish insolvency law does provide a forum for renegotiating
concern value? The answer most likely has to do with the unsecured debt that is called “composition.” In a composition,
“private control benefits”—such as prestige and power— however, secured debt and priority claims (taxes and wages)
that top managers derive from being at the company’s helm. must be offered full repayment, and junior creditors at least
The prospect of losing those benefits following an auction 25% of their claim. These high thresholds make composi-
where managers are replaced creates a preference for trying tion uneconomic for the vast majority of distressed firms.
to reorganize the company rather than selling it. As a result, Because several claims tend to be impaired in bankruptcy,
U.S. managers tend to choose auctions only when the cost of composition is in fact rare. Moreover, recent reforms have
forgoing private benefits of control is relatively low. introduced other reorganization provisions (“företagsrekon-
In the presence of this managerial “self-selection bias,” struktion”) that, like composition, have failed to attract
the reported recovery rates in Chapter 11 auctions provide a much interest from distressed firms.8 Thus, for all practical
downward biased estimate of the recovery rates companies purposes, Sweden’s system has no effective option for the
actually reorganized in Chapter 11 would have obtained had court-supervised renegotiation of debt contracts.
they been auctioned instead. And as a consequence, we don’t Table 1 compares key aspects of this auction system with
really know the extent to which auctions organized under that of Chapter 11. Notice first that, as in Chapter 11, a filing
Chapter 11 would result in company fire-sales. triggers the automatic stay of debt payments and prevents
This fundamental problem of self-selection bias does not repossession of collateral. Moreover, the filing company may
exist in a bankruptcy system where auctions are mandatory— raise debtor-in-possession (DIP) financing to pay operating
where managerial discretion over the auction decision has expenses while in bankruptcy. In practice, DIP financing
been removed. We now turn to such a system and a descrip- does not happen because the typical auction resolves the
tion of its actual economic effects. bankruptcy quickly (within two months, on average), so there
is little need for external interim financing. In sum, while the
Anatomy of Sweden’s Auction Bankruptcy System firm must be sold in an auction, the Swedish system provides
Sweden’s auction bankruptcy system requires an immediate both debtor protection and financing opportunities for an
sale of the bankrupt company. After the filing, control of the orderly auction process.
firm is transferred to an independent, court-appointed trustee The buyer in the auction must pay for the target firm in
with fiduciary responsibility to all creditors. The trustee’s cash. Since the auction establishes the market value of the
main task is to conduct and oversee the sale of the firm in an firm, and since this market value is paid in cash, creditors are
open-bid, cash-only auction. paid in strict accordance with absolute priority (APR)—that
Before the auction begins, the trustee produces an is, senior claims must be paid in full before any junior claims.
estimate of the value of the bankrupt company if liquidated This again is in contrast to Chapter 11, where restructurings
piecemeal that is based on input from industry experts. The often involve deviations from APR, particularly for larger
auction itself then establishes whether anyone is willing to firms with complex capital structures where junior creditors
pay a premium over the piecemeal liquidation value in order tend to form creditor committees to influence the outcome.
to continue the firm as a going concern (with its core assets In Chapter 11, deviations from APR—where junior claim-
intact). Buyers are free to place bids for individual assets holders are given some recovery even when senior creditors
6. See, e.g., LoPucki and Doherty (2007). the trustees’ compensation and ability to hold a proper arms-length auction. Trustee
7. Prepacks are rarely overturned (Thorburn 2000). Trustees are certified and super- compensation is typically independent of the auction outcome.
vised by a government agency (“Tillsynsmyndigheten i Konkurs” or TSM), which reviews 8. Buttwill and Wihlborg (2004).

40 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009
Table 1 Characteristics of Swedish Auction Bankruptcy and U.S. Chapter 11 Reorganization

Characteristic Swedish auction bankruptcy Chapter 11 Reorganization

Right to file The firm or any individual creditor. The firm or a joint filing of at least 3 creditors with
unsecured claims exceeding $5,000.

Control rights in Court-appointed trustee. All labor contracts with the Employees retain in principle their labor contracts
bankruptcy firm, including those of the top management, are termi- with the firm, and incumbent management (except in
nated. The trustee may choose to retain management to cases of fraud) maintain control rights. However, the
run firm during auction process. bankruptcy judge approves major decisions.

Resolution mechanism Firm is sold in an auction, either piecemeal or as a going Management has exclusive right to propose a reorga-
concern, depending on the bids. nization plan and seek creditor approval during a
six-month period.

Voting rules Redundant. Highest bidder buys the assets. One half in number of votes and two thirds in value
of claims in each debt class. Judge can force (“cram
down”) plan on dissenting class.

Settlement Claims paid in cash according to their absolute priority. Claims paid in cash and new debt and equity securi-
ties. Absolute priority may be violated.

Firm protection Stay of debt payments and assets. Debtor-in-possession Stay of debt payments and assets. Debtor-in-posses-
financing legal, but largely irrelevant due to speed of sion common for publicly traded firms.
auction.

are not paid off in full—have often been used as a “sweet- temporary consulting-type contracts. In the Swedish system,
ener” to encourage acceptance of a restructuring proposal. as noted earlier, it is the auction bids that effectively deter-
In the auction system, however, the winning bid automati- mine whether the firm is going to be liquidated piecemeal
cally completes the deal with no deviations from APR or continued as a restructured going concern. Thus, an
necessary. Perhaps for this reason, the U.S. trend towards employee may continue to work for the firm after filing only
bankruptcy auctions has been accompanied by a reduction if the winning bidder decides to continue the firm and rehire
in the incidence of priority violations under Chapter 11 (a the employee. The rehiring decision depends, of course, on
topic we return to later). the quality of the employee; and as discussed further below,
Requiring bidders to settle the payment for the target in the evidence suggests that only the highest-quality CEOs
cash could conceivably prevent some cash-constrained bidders tend to be rehired.
from participating in the auction.9 If the cash constraint is
widespread, auction prices could be lower as a result. On the Auction versus Reorganization: Potential Inefficiencies
other hand, there is a way for would-be buyers to effectively Table 2 summarizes some of the potential for economic distor-
relax the cash constraint. Buyers in going-concern sales may tions and inefficiencies in reorganization and auction systems.
choose to structure the acquisition either as a merger or, if We first provide a brief discussion of these issues to set the
cash constrained, as a leveraged buyout (LBO). In a merger, stage for the review of the empirical evidence that follows.
the buyer finances the cash payment using retained earnings Thanks in large part to the speed of the Swedish auction
and the proceeds from securities issued by the acquiring firm. process, the evidence suggests that both the direct and indirect
In an LBO, by contrast, the target assets are placed in a new bankruptcy costs associated with auctions (the out-of-pocket
company, and the cash payment is raised by issuing securi- legal and transaction fees as well as disruptions of investment
ties directly on this buyout firm. In the sample of Swedish and operating plans) are relatively low, as compared to those
companies discussed below, two-thirds of the going-concern experienced by U.S. companies in Chapter 11. Also, keep
sales were structured as LBOs. in mind that the winning bidder—and, again, not the court
In addition to mandating an auction, the Swedish system or creditors, as in Chapter 11—determines the company’s
differs fundamentally from Chapter 11 in that a bankruptcy new capital structure and focuses the firm’s operations. As
filing automatically terminates all labor contracts, includ- the firm’s new owner and residual claimant, the buyer bears
ing those of top management. Key employees are kept on the cost of making poor restructuring decisions. As a result,
for the duration of the auction period through their period the auction system tends to promote an efficient allocation
of notice (often up to six months) and, if necessary, with of control rights.

9. Aghion, Hart and Moore (1992).

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009 41
Table 2 Reorganization vs. Auction Bankruptcy: Potential Inefficiencies

Type of inefficiency Auction Reorganization

Direct and indirect costs Relatively low due to fast and simple auction process. Substantial due to large numbers of lawyers and bankers
representing the different committees, and drawn-out
proceedings.

Allocation of control Assets allocated to highest bidder in the auction. Assets allocated to the residual class of claimholders.
of assets

Excessive continuation? Unlikely that buyer would invest in continuation unless Managers may force a continuation of the operations
profitable. also when it is optimal to liquidate or to transfer control
of the firm to more efficient users of the firm’s assets.

Excessive liquidation? Viable firms could be liquidated prematurely if high- Bias toward continuation limits chance of liquidation.
value bidders are constrained from participating in the
auction.

Asset fire-sales? Price discounts may occur if high-value bidders are Court-supervised reorganization counteracts fire-sales.
liquidity constrained or it is costly to prepare a bid.

Risk shifting and Managers may take on excessively risky projects and With continued control in bankruptcy, managers may be
delayed filing? delay filing in an attempt to avoid a loss of control encouraged to file in a timely manner.
through the auction.

But this conclusion comes with two important condi- projects in order to delay filing or stay out of bankruptcy
tions: altogether. The combination of shareholders’ limited liability
• The auction must be sufficiently liquid to avoid fire-sales and the automatic labor contract termination could cause
and a premature breakup of the firm (excessive liquidation). managements facing the prospect of an auction to gamble
• The prospect of an automatic auction facing CEOs with creditors’ money. An example would be to liquidate
must not cause them to distort the firm’s investment policy relatively safe assets and invest the proceeds in high-risk
in an attempt to stay out of bankruptcy and avoid being fired ventures. Although this kind of risk-shifting benefits stock-
(costly risk shifting). holders (and possibly managers), it comes at the expense of
The potential for a fire-sale is a concern when conduct- creditors and in some cases lowers total firm value.10
ing any kind of auction. A fire-sale discount results when the But in a 2003 article, we pointed out that, particularly
final auction price is lower than the fundamental value of the in a context such as the Swedish auction bankruptcy system
assets (that is, their value in their best alternative use). This where managers are facing automatic termination, risk-
may happen if demand for the firm’s assets is temporarily low shifting incentives are reduced and perhaps dominated by
while the auction takes place. other incentives: the private benefits associated with retain-
For example, since financial distress tends to be “conta- ing control. Since retaining control at a minimum requires
gious” within an industry, industry rivals that may be the preserving the company as a going concern going into the
logical (highest-value) acquirers may themselves be finan- bankruptcy auction, it is possible—perhaps even likely—that
cially constrained and unable to bid in the auction. Industry CEOs of troubled companies opt for a conservative investment
debt overhang could also discourage industry rivals from policy prior to filing.11 We return to this argument in light of
investing in the bankrupt firm. To the extent industry rivals the empirical evidence discussed below.
are unwilling to bid, the risk increases that lower-valuation In contrast to the auction system, a reorganization
industry outsiders win the auctions—and at fire-sale prices. procedure such as Chapter 11 leaves asset control in the
The chance of this happening is greater for companies that hands of the debtor (de facto the management) and requires
consist largely of unique or highly firm-specific assets, which a voting procedure for creditors to accept restructur-
tend to attract fewer potential buyers. ing proposals. The essence of Chapter 11 is to provide a
As for the possibility of costly risk-shifting, because the legal framework for the bankrupt firm to restructure its
auction bankruptcy system automatically terminates all labor impaired debt claims while continuing to operate as a going
(including management) contracts, there is a concern that concern in bankruptcy. As mentioned earlier, to help the
managers may decide to take on excessively risky investment firm continue its operations in bankruptcy, pressures for

10. The risk-shifting argument appears in Jensen and Meckling (1976). 11. Eckbo and Thorburn (2003).

42 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009
Table 3 Description of the Swedish Bankruptcy Sample, 1988-1991

Sample characteristic All filings Going concerns Prepack sales Piecemeal liquidations

Number of cases a
263 147 53 60

A: Pre-filing firm average characteristicsb

Total assetsc ($ mill.) 3.8 3.8 4.1 3.7

Total salesc ($ mill.) 7.7 7.0 9.2 8.2

Number of employees 45 43 47 35

Operating margin (EBITDA/ -0.2 0.4 0.1 -1.8


sales, in %)

Debt to total assets (in %) 92 94 87 93

B: Firm average characteristics at bankruptcy filing

Fraction of debt that is 39 40 30 42


secured (in %)

Percent CEOs with ≥10% 74 72 77 77


of equity

C: Auction characteristics

Average auction proceedsc 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.0


($ mill.)

% of auctions with multiple n/a 75 n/a n/a


buyers expressing an inter-
est in placing a bid

% of auctions where the 49 46 57 n/a


bankrupt firm’s bank
finances the winning
bidder

Average auction premiumd 94 125 n/a 8


(in %)

Average total recovery rate 35 39 31 27


(in %)

Average bank recovery rate 70 76 77 50


(in %)

a
The outcome of the auction could not be determined for three cases.
b
The financial data is from the last public statement prior to bankruptcy, dated on average 16 months before filing.
c
The values are denominated in 2007 prices, adjusted by the consumer price index.
d
The proceeds received in the auction in excess of and as a percentage of the trustee’s pre-auction estimate of the piecemeal liquidation
value of the firm’s assets.

immediate liquidation are temporarily eliminated by staying down by creditors.12 Proponents of this system argue that it
all debt claims and by permitting the firm to raise cash effectively preserves value by encouraging management to file
through new, super-priority debt instruments (debtor-in- sooner than otherwise, when problems are presumably more
possession or “DIP” financing). manageable. And by so doing, Chapter 11 is said to minimize
Chapter 11 proceedings, then, are management-driven the potentially costly efforts to delay bankruptcy filing that
in the sense that management has the exclusive right to are thought to arise in an auction system.13
propose a restructuring plan, which is then voted up or But critics of Chapter 11 see things very differently. They

12. If voted down, the Bankruptcy Court routinely allows management another try. A 13. When Chapter 11 was introduced in 1978, the consensus among lawmakers was
proposal is approved by impaired creditors provided at least one-half in number of votes that Chapter 11 would provide sufficient time and managerial protection to avoid filing
and two-thirds in value of claims in each debt class are in favour. Judge can cram down delays and excessive liquidations.
plan on dissenting class. The Bankruptcy Reform Act of 2005 limits the exclusivity pe-
riod (for management to propose a reorganization plan) to a maximum of 18 months.

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009 43
question the wisdom of letting the same people who got the of $8 million and 45 employees. Notice, however, that this
company into trouble maintain control of the firm’s assets in is somewhat larger than the typical firm reorganized in U.S.
bankruptcy. The risk is that management continues to operate bankruptcy.16
the firm even when liquidation would be more efficient or, as Not surprisingly, companies tend to perform poorly prior
Michael Jensen puts it (in our opening quote), Chapter 11 to filing, with an average operating margin (EBITDA/sales)
ends up providing “life support for terminal cases.” of -0.2%. Those companies that end up surviving bankruptcy
In sum, although Chapter 11 may provide a safeguard as going concerns typically exhibit better pre-filing operat-
against excessive corporate liquidations, it may instead cause ing performance than firms that are liquidated piecemeal.
the opposite problem—excessive continuations. The essence The average filing firm is highly leveraged, with a book-value
of the auction system is that it reallocates the distressed firm’s debt-to-assets ratio of 92% according to the last financial
resources based on market values to the highest bidder in the statement before filing.
auction. The auction process is relatively quick and straight- Panel B of Table 3 shows corporate characteristics at filing,
forward, which lowers direct bankruptcy costs. The highest based largely on information contained in the bankruptcy
bidder gains the right to restructure both the asset side and file. A substantial fraction of the debt (on average 39%) is
the financial side of the balance sheet, improving economic secured. This debt is held largely by banks and secured by real
efficiency relative to a court-administered restructuring. Still estate and other fixed assets, as well as ”floating” assets such
another benefit of auctions is that creditors are paid off with as inventory and accounts receivables. Most of the compa-
cash strictly according to absolute priority, which increases nies are run by owner-managers, with three-quarters of the
the value of priority covenants in debt contracts and hence the CEOs owning at least 10% of the filing firm’s equity. Since
value of the debt itself. The potential downsides of auctions the equity is wiped out in bankruptcy, this ownership has
are the possible incentive for risk shifting prior to filing and substantial wealth implications for the CEO.
illiquid auctions leading to fire-sale prices and perhaps prema- As shown in Panel C, the proceeds generated by the
ture liquidation of the firm. auction are substantially lower than the pre-filing book
We now turn to the empirical evidence on these issues value of the assets. The difference is attributable primarily to
and provide a comparison with the existing evidence on various assets sales and other restructuring efforts undertaken
Chapter 11. prior to filing. More importantly, companies sold as going
concerns in the auction generate a substantial premium over
Characteristics of the Swedish Auction Sample their piecemeal liquidation value estimates announced at the
The empirical results summarized below are based primar- beginning of the auctions.
ily on our recent research using 263 bankruptcy auctions In what follows, we review key empirical findings on
by privately held Swedish companies that filed during the (1) bankruptcy costs, (2) auction liquidity and bidder compe-
period 1988-1991. The sample characteristics are described tition, (3) premiums and debt recovery rates, (4) fire-sales,
in Table 3. The auction sample is a subset of the popula- (5) post-bankruptcy performance, and (6) risk-shifting and
tion of 578 bankruptcy filings by companies with at least 20 CEO income effects. The main results are summarized
employees that filed in one of the four most populous prov- in Table 4. We make comparisons to Chapter 11 evidence
inces in Sweden.14 As shown in Table 3, three-quarters of when possible.17
the auctioned companies ended up being purchased as going
concerns, with the remaining one-quarter sold piecemeal. Bankruptcy Costs
The companies preserved as going concerns were either sold The direct costs of the bankruptcy process, such as court fees
in the bankruptcy auction (147 firms) or in a prepackaged and payments to lawyers and consultants, directly reduce the
sale (auction prepack) arranged by the firm shortly before funds available to creditors. The direct costs for the Swed-
filing (53 cases).15 ish companies in the sample average 4-6% of the pre-filing
Panel A of Table 3 shows characteristics from the last book value of assets and 13-19% of the proceeds generated in
publicly filed financial statement, which was provided on the auction. The direct costs decrease with firm size, suggest-
average 16 months (median 15 months) prior to filing. All ing that there is a fixed component to bankruptcy costs. In
values are in 2007 dollars, adjusted with the consumer price comparison, the direct costs of U.S. bankruptcy range across
index (from Statistics Sweden). The average filing company different studies from 1% to 10% of the book value of assets,
is relatively small, with total assets of $4 million, total sales with an average of 6.5% (also decreasing with firm size).
14. The four provinces are Stockholms län, Göteborg och Bohus län, Malmöhus län, 16. Chang and Schoar (2006) report average sales of $2 million and 22 employees
och Upplands län. Case-specific information is collected manually from the bankruptcy for a random sample of 5,000 Chapter 11 filings from 1998-2004.
records kept on file at the supervisory authority (TSM) in each province. 17. For a comprehensive survey of empirical studies on Chapter 11, see Hotchkiss,
15. One-third of the filing firms were in manufacturing industries and one-fifth in John, Mooradian and Thorburn (2008).
various trade industries, with the remaining firms relatively evenly distributed across
construction, transportation, services, and miscellaneous other industries.

44 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009
Table 4 Evidence on Swedish Bankruptcy Auctions and Chapter 11 Reorganizations*

Issue Swedish Auction Bankruptcy U.S. Chapter 11

Direct costs: 4-6% of book value of total assets; 13-19% of market 6.5% of book value of total assets; averages ranging
value. Costs decrease in firm size. from 1-10% across various samples.

Time in bankruptcy: Business sold after 2 months. 2 years.

Creditor recovery: 35% total recovery (paid in cash); 39% in going concern 60% based on face value of distributed claims, 41%
sales and 27% in piecemeal liquidations. using market values.

Firm survival: 75% of firms are sold as a going concern. 60% of firms exit as independent firms or are acquired.
Survival rates are higher for large firms.

Fire sales: Fire-sales in piecemeal liquidations but not in going Reorganization value in traditional Ch. 11 proceedings
concern sales. Banks often finances a buyer, increasing exceeds sales proceeds in 363 auctions as a fraction of
liquidity in the auction. pre-filing value of total assets.**

Post-bankruptcy perfor- Less than 20% of surviving firms show operating losses. 20-40% of emerged firms continue to show operating
mance: The performance is at par with industry rivals. losses. Two-thirds of the firms underperform industry
rivals over a five-year period.

Bankruptcy refiling: One-third of firms refile for bankruptcy within five years. One-third of emerging firms subsequently need to
restructure the debt through bankruptcy refiling or an
out-of-court workout.

CEO turnover: 61% of incumbent CEOs lose their job; 39% are rehired Three-quarters of CEOs in place two years prior to filing
by the buyer in the auction. Buyers screen CEOs on are replaced within two years of filing.
quality.

CEO compensation: CEOs experience a substantial income drop following Managers who retain their position take a substantial
bankruptcy, rehired or not. pay cut. The compensation is often tied to the success
of the debt restructuring.

* The evidence on the U.S. Chapter 11 is reviewed in Hotchkiss, John, Mooradian and Thorburn (2008) and the
evidence on Swedish auction bankruptcy is from Thorburn (2000) and Eckbo and Thorburn (2003, 2008, 2009).
** LoPucki and Doherty (2007).

In light of the much larger firm size in most of the U.S. total value available to creditors. Such indirect costs normally
studies (which include publicly traded companies), auction increase with the length of time that a company spends in
bankruptcy almost certainly involves lower direct costs than bankruptcy. In Sweden, the bankrupt firm is typically sold
reorganization under Chapter 11. as a going concern after only two months—a much quicker
The fact that Chapter 11 (but not Swedish auctions) process than what is typically observed for Chapter 11
permits deviations from APR further adds to the cost of debt cases. Studies of Chapter 11 cases report an average time in
(in the form of higher effective interest rates). But, as noted bankruptcy of about two years, with a substantially shorter
earlier, such deviations have been declining in the U.S. For period (less than one year) for prepackaged filings.
example, a recent study of over 500 large-firm Chapter 11
filings between 1991 and 2005 reports that, while over 25% Auction Liquidity and Bidder Competition
of the bankruptcies in the 1990s involve deviations from APR, How competitive are the Swedish bankruptcy auctions? In
less than 10% after the year 2000 record such deviations.18 two of our own recent studies, we address this questions using
This stricter upholding of APR suggests a shift in the admin- information on bidders recorded by the bankruptcy trustees.19
istration of Chapter 11 toward greater emphasis on creditor These records contain information on both actual and poten-
rights, which in turn is likely to be a direct consequence of tial bidders—firms or investors who are recorded as expressing
the greater use of auction mechanisms in Chapter 11. substantial interest in submitting bids to the trustee. Poten-
Indirect costs of bankruptcy, such as those associated with tial bids create competition even in cases where a bid fails
declining customer demand, lack of management focus on to materialize. As shown in Panel C of Table 3, multiple
the business, and loss of key employees can further reduce the bidder interest occurs in 75% of the sample of going-concern

18. Bharath, Panchapegesan, and Werner (2007). A similar conclusion is reached by 19. Eckbo and Thorburn (2008, 2009)
Ayotte and Morrison (2007), who find that 6% or less of a sample of 153 large corporate
Chapter 11 filings in 2001 violate absolute priority rules by distributing any value to
equityholders (excluding warrants).

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009 45
Figure 1 Frequency of Number of Interested Bidders and Actual Bids in Automatic Bankruptcy Auctions

40
Interest Bids

35

30
Number of Bankruptcy Auctions

25

20

15

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+
Number of Interested Bidders and Actual Bids per Auction

auctions with available data, suggesting that bankruptcy Auction Premiums and Debt Recovery Rates
auctions attract substantial bidder competition. 20 Panel C of Table 3 shows average auction premiums and debt
Figure 1 shows the frequency distribution of actual and recovery rates. The auction premium is the price paid by the
potential (interested) bidders in going-concern sales. The winning bidder in excess of the trustee’s liquidation value
number of actual bids ranges from one to 22, with a mean estimate for the assets sold in the auction.24 The premium
of 3.5. The number of interested bidders (which includes the averages 8% for piecemeal liquidations. That is, when the
actual bids) ranges from one to 40, with an average of 5.5 firm is liquidated piecemeal, the various buyers of the indi-
(median 3.0). There are multiple actual bids in a majority vidual assets pay a price that is very close to the trustee’s initial
(63%) of the going-concern auctions. Interestingly, the bid piecemeal liquidation value estimate.
frequency reported here for automatic bankruptcy auctions In contrast, the premium paid in going-concern sales
is somewhat higher than both the number of bids per target averages 125%. Thus, here the price is more than double
in U.S. tender offers and the number of bidders reportedly the trustee’s initial piecemeal liquidation value estimate.25
involved in pre-merger talks with targets.21 This substantial going-concern premium directly reflects the
The major creditor of the filing firms is almost always a market value of continuing to operate the firm with its core
single bank, which is typical of Sweden’s small-firm environ- assets intact, and it is generally consistent with the proposition
ment. This same bank also frequently finances a bidder in that the auctions tend to be competitive and liquid.
the auction. As shown in Panel C of Table 3, the original Turning to recovery rates, Panel C lists the average value
bank finances the winning bidder in almost half (49%) of of the total debt recovery rate, as well as the recovery rate of
the cases, including 20 of the 35 auction prepacks and 44 of the main creditor (the bank). Figure 2 shows the frequency
the 95 going-concern auctions where we were able to find distribution of the bank recovery rate. The total recovery rate
information on bank financing.22 Importantly, this financing is calculated by dividing the proceeds distributed to all of
opportunity effectively increases bidder liquidity and access the firm’s creditors by the face value of total debt. It averages
to cash in the auction. 23 35%, with 39% recovery in going concern sales and 27%

20. We do not track bid frequencies in prepacks (where the trustee typically approves 23. In Eckbo and Thorburn (2009), we show empirically that the existence of bank
the prepackaged purchase agreement) or in piecemeal liquidations (where the number of (creditor) financing puts upwards pressure on auction premiums.
bidder depends on the number of individual assets sold in the auction). 24. Non-core assets such as real estate holdings, accounts receivables, securities,
21. See Betton and Eckbo (2000) and Boone and Mulherin (2007) for bid frequen- cash holdings, etc., are often sold or collected separately even if the firm’s core opera-
cies in U.S. takeovers outside of bankruptcy. tions are auctioned as a going concern.
22. When the original bank does not finance the winning bidder, it either finances a 25. The trustee typically does not report a piecemeal liquidation value estimate for
losing bid or none of the bids. There are no public records of the bank financing commit- auction prepacks, precluding a premium comparison for this subsample.
ments for losers in the auction.

46 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009
Figure 2 Frequency distribution of bank debt recovery rates in Swedish auction bankruptcy

80

70

60

50
Number of Cases

40

30

20

10

0
0–9 10–19 20–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–69 70–79 80–89 90–99 100
Recovery Rate in %

recovery in piecemeal liquidations. The bank recovery rate Do Bankruptcy Auctions Produce Fire-sales?
averages 69% of the face value of bank debt. Bank recovery Creditors prefer reorganizations to auctions if the latter lead
rates are on average significantly higher in prepacks and in to significant fire-sale price discounts. Critics of bankruptcy
going-concern auctions (77% and 76%, respectively) than in auctions argue that auctions are likely to generate low prices
piecemeal liquidations (50%). because high-valuation industry insiders themselves tend to
It is interesting to compare these auction recovery rates to be financially distressed at the time of the auction and unwill-
the approximately 60% recovery rate that has been reported for ing to bid.28 This argument is in part supported by empirical
Chapter 11 reorganizations. Recall first that creditors are paid evidence that suggests the existence of an industry-compo-
in cash (market value) in Swedish bankruptcy while in Chapter nent to bankruptcy risk.
11 the majority of claims are paid off with new non-traded Our response to this argument is that the existence of such
claims on the emerging firm. The absence of market values an industry component does not guarantee fire-sales since
for these non-traded claims causes most U.S. studies to use buyers from outside the industry may be able to overcome a
the face value of the new claims to estimate creditor recovery. valuation disadvantage relative to an industry insider by hiring
Using face value almost certainly leads one to overestimate inside managers (think of the hiring practices of private equity
true recovery rates.26 For example, one study of large U.S. firms).29 In Sweden, one obvious group of inside CEOs are
bankruptcy reorganizations reports a median recovery rate of those just fired after filing for bankruptcy, and the evidence
41% for a subsample where all new claims were publicly traded shows that the highest-quality CEOs are in fact often rehired
(thus allowing the use of market values), while the median is by the buyers in auctions. Thus, the existence of auction fire
51% when using face value for the total sample.27 sales is largely an empirical issue.
In sum, the empirical research suggests that the auction We recently estimated (cross-sectionally) the fundamental
system succeeds in preserving substantial going-concern value. value of the auctioned firms as a function of firm-specific
And when using market values of assets received by creditors, characteristics, such as firm size, pre-filing profitability, and
there is no evidence that auction bankruptcy lowers creditor asset tangibility and specificity. We then measured the “fire-
recovery rates relative to Chapter 11 reorganizations. sale discount” as the difference between this fundamental

26. For example, suppose I own a debt claim on a firm in Chapter 11, and expect to 27. Franks and Torous (1994).
recover 10% of the debt’s face value of $100. The reorganization gives me a new debt 28. Shleifer and Vishny (1992).
claim with a face value of $50. The market value of this new debt claim may be any- 29. See Eckbo and Thorburn (2008). Industry insiders continue to have an advantage
where between $10 (10% of the original claim) and $50. The tradition in the literature over outsiders when the creation of synergy gains requires the bidder to own industry-
is to estimate the value of this new debt claim as $50, which exceeds the security’s ex- specific assets.
pected recovery rate.

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009 47
value and the realized auction price. 30 If this difference indeed to bargain down the offer price.31
represents fire-sales, it should (1) increase with the degree of Do sales in Chapter 11 produce fire-sale prices? One
financial distress in the target firm’s industry and (2) should be recent study of Chapter 11 bankruptcies found that the
larger when the winning bidder is an industry outsider. reorganization values (measured as a fraction of pre-filing
To test these fire-sale propositions, we constructed total assets) in traditional proceedings exceeded the sales
industry distress measures from the financial statements of proceeds in 363 auctions.32 The conclusion reached by the
a population of 12,000 non-bankrupt Swedish firms for the authors is that auctions under Chapter 11 lead to fire-sale
period 1987-1995. The industry distress measure incorporates prices. But, as discussed above, a simple comparison of sales
the fraction of industry firms that have an interest coverage with reorganizations in Chapter 11 is likely to be misleading
ratio of less than one (i.e. whose cash flow is insufficient to due to the voluntary selection process: namely, the tendency
cover the interest expense) and the median debt ratio in the of managers in Chapter 11 to accept—and creditors to push
industry. Again, the fire-sale theory suggests that these indus- for—the auction mechanism when asset values are low. Since
try distress factors tend to lower auction prices by preventing this selection process by itself produces lower recovery rates
high-value bidders from participating in the auction. in sales than in the typical Chapter 11 reorganization, more
Interestingly, the auction evidence does not support the research is needed before one can confidently conclude that
fire-sale theory when the firm is sold as a going concern. going-concern auctions in Chapter 11 lead to fire sales.33
That is, the fire-sale discount in continuation sales is not We next turn to another set of predictions of the “exces-
significantly different from zero on average, and is (cross- sive liquidation” hypothesis. Namely, if the auction system
sectionally) independent of both the degree of industry-wide is not working, we should observe a relatively high liquida-
financial distress and whether or not the buyer is an indus- tion rate and/or relatively poor post-bankruptcy operating
try insider or outsider. Again, as discussed above, there are performance by the companies that do survive. Looking first
several plausible reasons for this important result. First, the at the question of firm survival, recall from Table 3 that three-
auctions appear quite competitive by the standard of the quarters of the filing firms in Sweden survive the auction
takeover literature. Second, recall that buyers often struc- as going concerns. By comparison, studies of U.S. Chapter
ture the acquisition as a leveraged-buyout, a type of project 11 reorganizations suggest that a lower frequency—60%
financing which circumvents potential liquidity constraints. of filing firms—either emerge as independent firms or are
Third, there is an active market for inside managers available acquired (though survival rates in Chapter 11 are higher than
to bidders outside the industry. 60% for larger companies). Thus, there is no evidence of
There is, however, some evidence of a small fire-sale a higher liquidation frequency in the Swedish auction
discount in auctions that result in piecemeal liquidations. In bankruptcy system.
these cases, auction prices tend to decline in the degree of But what about another important gauge of restructuring
industry-wide distress: a 1% increase in industry distress efficiency: the post-bankruptcy performance of the restruc-
reduces auction prices by on average 2%. We show that the tured firms? Is the post-bankruptcy performance of auctioned
probability of piecemeal liquidation is higher for targets firms superior to that of Chapter 11 survivors?
with relatively tangible assets, and higher when industry-
wide leverage ratios are high and the business cycle is in a Post-bankruptcy Performance and Refiling Probability
downturn. Thus, industry-wide distress appears simultane- Starting with the Swedish experience, we have shown that
ously to increase the incidence of piecemeal liquidation and the operating profitability of companies auctioned as going
to reduce prices somewhat. concerns is on par with that of their industry competitors for
Our study also shows that premiums in auction prepacks several years, and less than 20% of the firms report operating
are lower than premiums in regular going-concern sales. This losses.34 In contrast, two-thirds of the companies emerging
finding is consistent with the argument that auction prepacks from Chapter 11 underperform industry rivals, with 20-40%
help prevent excessive liquidations: if the seller is particularly of the emerging firms continuing to show operating losses.35
concerned that the auction may produce a premature liquida- Thus, while companies emerging from Chapter 11 reorga-
tion of the firm’s assets, a buyer who is willing to negotiate a nization continue to perform poorly, the auction method
purchase of the firm as a going concern is in a strong position appears to restructure operations efficiently.

30. Eckbo and Thorburn (2008). 32. LoPucki and Doherty (2007).
31. Interestingly, Strömberg (2000) suggests that a saleback (in which the previous 33. Pulvino (1999) finds that sales of individual aircrafts by airlines in Chapter 11 are
owner/manager buys back the firm) may also help counteract excessive liquidation. Con- discounted from an estimate of the intrinsic aircraft value. Thus, there is some evidence
sistent with this, he finds that the saleback frequency increases with industry-wide finan- that individual asset sales (as opposed to going-concern sales) may produce fire-sale
cial distress. Under the liquidation pre-emption argument, one would also expect the discounts in Chapter 11.
additional bidder bargaining power to drive saleback prices below prices in non-saleback 34. Eckbo and Thorburn (2003, 2008).
going-concern sales. In contrast with prepacks, however, we show that there is no evi- 35. Hotchkiss (1995). The sample proportion with operating losses is greater for
dence of a premium differential in salebacks (Eckbo and Thorburn 2008). years immediately following exit from Chapter 11.

48 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009
Figure 3 Evolution of a Median income Index for Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) of Bankrupt and Non-bankrupt Firms

250
Median CEO Income Index

200

150

100

50

0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
Year Relative to the Year of Bankruptcy Filing (Year 0)

The poorer post-bankruptcy operating performance for firms may prefer to invest conservatively not to increase share-
U.S. companies does not manifest itself in a higher rate of holder value, but mainly to extend their own job tenures and
subsequent default or bankruptcy. By one estimate, one-third protect their private control benefits. Because bankruptcy
of the companies emerging from U.S. Chapter 11 reorgani- filings in Sweden summarily terminate managerial employ-
zation refile for bankruptcy or require another out-of-court ment contracts—thereby amplifying any risk-shifting
workout within five years of exiting Chapter 11.36 But incentives that already exist—Swedish bankruptcies provide
this refiling rate is essentially the same as the refiling rate a particularly interesting empirical “laboratory” for examin-
following Swedish auctions. Given a superior post-bank- ing this issue.
ruptcy operating performance of auctioned firms, one would While risk-shifting may be close to a free option for share-
expect the refiling rate in Sweden to be lower. One possible holders of an insolvent firm, ”going for broke” increases the
explanation for this puzzle is the relatively smaller size and chance that the CEO loses her job. Thus, when CEOs derive
higher post-bankruptcy debt-ratios of the auctioned firms private benefits from control and have a reasonably good
in our sample. chance of surviving the reorganization process, they have an
incentive to invest conservatively to “hedge” against unfavo-
Effects of Bankruptcy on CEO Behavior rable bankruptcy outcomes. These unfavorable outcomes
In their classic 1976 paper on agency costs, Michael Jensen include outright company liquidation, where the CEO’s
and William Meckling argued that when companies are faced position is eliminated, or reorganization as a going concern
with financial distress, the limited-liability feature of equity with another CEO at the helm. Conversely, by investing
provides an incentive for shareholders to substitute high-risk conservatively, CEOs increase the chance of firm survival
for low-risk projects. The essence of the argument is that if and, hence, of being rehired by the buyers in the auctions.37
the projects pay off, the firm is saved. If the projects fail, the Moreover, such behavior is effectively sanctioned by provi-
losses are borne by the creditors. sions in the legal codes of countries such as Sweden and the
But, as we pointed out earlier, managers of distressed United States that encourage company directors to shift their
companies are also likely to face other incentives that work fiduciary responsibility towards bondholders when approach-
against such risk-shifting. Specifically, CEOs of distressed ing bankruptcy. 38

36. Ibid. Warner (1979), such arrangements include debt covenants prohibiting certain forms of
37. If this happens, the CEO has effectively become the agent of the firm’s creditors asset dispositions, such as merger, sale-leaseback, and asset collateralization. Risk-
rather than of its shareholders. This managerial-conservatism argument, first developed shifting incentives are also reduced by the use of convertible debt in the firm’s capital
in Eckbo and Thorburn (2003), complements the traditional analysis of contractual ar- structure (Green 1984).
rangements designed to regulate risk-shifting incentives. As documented in Smith and

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009 49
But let’s take a closer look at the incentives of CEOs depletes the assets of the firm that enters bankruptcy. Severe
facing the prospect of bankruptcy. As summarized in Table asset depletion increases the risk of piecemeal liquidation
4, in Swedish bankruptcies 61% of all incumbent CEOs (which the risk-shifting strategy was designed to avoid in
leave the firm, while 39% are rehired by the buyer in the the first place).
auction. Of the companies auctioned as going concerns, In our 2003 study, we constructed an empirical measure
roughly half retain their CEOs. In Chapter 11, by compari- of private control benefits and showed that the probability
son, three-quarters of the CEOs in place two years prior to of the CEO being rehired in the auction increases with this
filing are replaced within two years of filing. Bankruptcy also measure (after controlling for the CEO’s “quality”). This is
has a substantial negative effect on the wealth and income puzzling: since greater private control benefits are associated
of managers: CEOs experience a substantial income drop with managerial entrenchment, one would have expected
following Swedish bankruptcy—rehired or not—both in the measure of private benefits to lower the chance of being
absolute terms and compared to a control group of CEOs of rehired. But we offer the following explanation: CEOs with
non-bankrupt firms.39 greater private benefits tend to act more conservatively when
Figure 3 provides a striking visual impression of the in severe financial distress, which has the effect of maximizing
significant income difference that develops between filing firm value (rather than shareholder value) before the filing.41
and non-filing CEO as of the year of bankruptcy filing. The And by preserving the firm as a going concern, these CEOs
figure plots an index of the annual taxable CEO income, also increase the probability of being rehired, assuming they
where the index value is normalized to 100 in year -3. The top also meet the minimum “quality” standards required by the
curve in the graph is the index value for the control sample of auction buyers.
non-bankrupt firms, while the lower curve is the index value Interpreted in this way, our evidence at least indirectly
for the CEOs of bankrupt firms. As shown, the incomes of supports the hypothesis of managerial conservatism over
filing and non-filing CEOs grow at approximately the same risk-shifting. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the “harsh”
rate up until bankruptcy filing. Then, over the subsequent auction system may not exacerbate costly risk-shifting incen-
three years (year 0 through year 2), filing CEOs show a sharp tives.
income decline while the income of non-filing CEOs contin-
ues to grow at about the same rate as before. After year 2, Concluding Remarks
the incomes of the two categories of CEOs again grow at From an economic perspective, bankruptcy law should be
similar rates. From inspection of Figure 3, it is natural to designed to encourage low-cost procedures for reallocating
focus on the event period from year -2 through year 3 as the assets and resources of distressed or bankrupt compa-
capturing the full income change differential between filing nies to their highest-valued alternative use. A poorly designed
and non-filing CEOs. Measured over this window, the code exacerbates costly conflicts among security holders and
median and mean values of the abnormal income change risks destroying company value by misallocating corporate
are -47% and -66%, respectively. control rights.
In sum, bankruptcy filing seems to produce a large and The introduction of Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy
permanent income loss for the filing CEO relative to the top Code in 1978 was motivated in large part by a concern that
management of non-filing industry competitors.40 the time-pressure inherent in an auction mechanism carries
Given the substantial personal cost of bankruptcy, does an unacceptable risk of fire-sales, resulting in low sales prices
the typical filing CEO engage in asset substitution and and creditor recoveries that would ultimately have the effect
risk shifting? There is little direct evidence on this issue. of increasing the cost of debt for corporate borrowers. But
It’s important to keep in mind, however, that a success- this concern was not based on—and to this day has not been
ful risk-shifting strategy implies that the firm does not file supported by—systematic empirical studies of the actual
for bankruptcy. Conversely, a failed risk-shifting strategy economic effects of bankruptcy auctions.

38. In a number of U.S. states, the board of an insolvent firm owes a direct fiduciary ports the conclusion in the text. The first method uses data on the filing CEOs only and
responsibility to creditors. Also, creditors receive greater representation on boards of firms is computed as the annual percentage change in CEOs net income before tax. (Because
in Chapter 11 bankruptcy (Gilson 1990). For example, in a 1991 decision (Credit Lyon- capital losses are not deductible against salary income in Sweden, this reflects the full
nais Bank Netherland N.V. v. Pathe Communications Corp. No Civ A. 12130 Del. Ch. Dec salary loss of the CEO.) The second method uses the abnormal CEOs income change,
30, 1991), the Delaware Court opined that” [a]t least where a corporation is operating in measured relative to the contemporaneous CEO income change in a matched non-bank-
the vicinity of insolvency, a board of directors is not merely the agent of the residu[al] risk rupt firm of similar total asset size and in the same four-digit SIC industry.
bearers, but owes its duty to the corporate enterprise.” In Sweden, the bankruptcy trustee 40. Managers who retain their positions after U.S. bankruptcies also take a substan-
who runs the auction formally works for creditors, and creditors may reverse pre-filing tial pay cut (Gilson and Vetsuypens 1993). In the U.S. compensation is often tied to the
transactions designed to circumvent the debt priority structure. Such “look-back” provi- success of the debt restructuring. Overall, bankruptcy filing seems harsh on the incum-
sions notwithstanding, wealth transfers from debtholders due to asset substitution and bent CEO, irrespective of the system.
risk shifting may be subtle in nature and therefore difficult to detect ex post. 41. Under the classical assumption that risk-shifting is costly for bondholders (that is,
39. In Sweden, personal taxable income is publicly available, allowing research to it involves shifting to investment projects with negative net present value), managerial
follow the CEO income change also after she leaves the firm (which is not possible in the conservatism necessarily increases firm value. See Eckbo and Thorburn (2003) for fur-
U.S.). We measure the rate of income change using two methods, either of which sup- ther details of the argument.

50 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009
The experience of the Swedish mandatory auction Is the U.S. trend towards bankruptcy auctions likely to
bankruptcy system offers important clues to the economic persist? It is still true that, at the time of filing, Chapter 11
performance of auctions, and in particular on the issue of fire- proceedings favor attempts to reorganize claims—extinguish-
sale when the auctioned firm is sold as a going concern. Our ing old equity claims and converting some debt claims to
research shows that auctions are competitive when judged equity—instead of immediately promoting a sale. Though
by the evidence on takeovers more generally, and there is the system is changing, powerful special interest groups that
no evidence that auction premiums tend to undercut the benefit from the continuation of reorganization procedures
bankrupt firm’s fundamental going concern value. Moreover, are resisting such change. Among these interest groups are
three-quarters of the filing companies survive the auction with judges and lawyers with little experience with auctions and
core assets and operations intact, and these firms continue to selling procedures, valuation consultants that tend to be hired
perform at par with non-bankrupt industry rivals after the during reorganizations, and last—and certainly not least—
sale. The evidence on recovery rates, corporate survival, and incumbent management teams who prefer continued control
post-bankruptcy performance strongly suggests that auction of the bankrupt firm to the risk of being fired by the buyer
bankruptcy performs as well as—and in some respects better in an auction.
than—comparable Chapter 11 restructurings.
The recent U.S. trend towards greater use of auction-
type mechanisms indicates that investors in this country espen eckbo is the Tuck Centennial Professor of Finance, and Found-
increasingly view auctions as efficient. Unlike Sweden, the ing Director of Tuck’s Lindenauer Center for Corporate Governance, at the
U.S. has highly developed markets for both corporate control Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College (USA).
and corporate debt instruments, suggesting that the auction
mechanism should work well not only for smaller firms, but karin thorburn is Professor of Finance at the Norwegian School of
for the relatively large bankrupt firms with complex capital Economics and Business Administration (Norway).
structures that tend to use Chapter 11.

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009 51
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52 Journal of Applied Corporate Finance • Volume 21 Number 3 A Morgan Stanley Publication • Summer 2009

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