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Vandegaer 2001
Vandegaer 2001
INTRODUCTION
It turns out that, to the best of our knowledge, while some of the
measures proposed are useful to measure movement, no existing measure
gives a good indication about the degree of (in)equality of opportunity or
(in)equality of life chances. This is a rather disturbing finding, since the
normative concern about equality of opportunity will almost always
(implicitly or explicitly) be present when looking at intergenerational
transition matrices. We therefore propose a new measure of intergenera-
tional mobility, capturing inequality of opportunity, in Section II. However,
first we will have to argue that the transition matrix in itself does not contain
enough information for this purpose. Information about transition
probabilities has to be supplemented with information about income
differences in the children's income distribution. Section III goes somewhat
deeper into the measurement of equality of life chances. The final section
concludes.
In this expression pij is the probability that a child whose parent has an
income in quantile i ends up with an income in quantile j.2 Contrary to most
of the literature, we do not at this stage impose that income states of parents
or children are ordered. For each meaning of mobility, different assumptions
will be made about the presence of an ordering associated with income
states.
A mobility index is a function M : 2 < : P 2 M[P ]. We assume that a
mobility index induces a complete ordering of bi-stochastic matrices such that
higher values of the index reflect a larger degree of mobility. Incomplete
orderings, which fall outside the scope of the present paper, are studied in
Atkinson (1981), Conlisk (1990) and Dardanoni (1993).
where,
8ij 6 lq; lr; kq and kr; p*
ij pij ;
and
p *lq plq "; p *lr plr "; p k*q pkq "; p*
kr pkr "
with " > 0 and l 6 k and q 6r.
When the income classes of children and parents are ordered increasingly,
these transformations are Atkinson's diagonalizing switches (see Atkinson
1981, p. 18). Hence Atkinson's suggestion that diagonalizing switches increase
mobility is equivalent to the requirement that, 8P 2 : M[T lkqr
" [P ]] > M[P ]. We
claim that not all these transformations should be positively evaluated. The
meanings of intergenerational mobility that we discuss in this paper can be seen
as different opinions about the conditions under which these transformations
are desirable.
The first reason for having an interest in mobility is that one wants to
measure the degree to which children's positions differ from the position of
their parents. Mobility is defined as movement, and mobility matrices that have
more movement in them are preferred to those that have less movement Ðor,
formulated in a less normative way, are higher in the mobility ranking.
Provided that the income classes of parents and children are ordered in the
same way, say from low to high, all transformations that push probability mass
away from the diagonal of P will move more children out of their parents'
class. If movement is desirable, such transformations of P are desirable. We
formalize this requirement as follows.3
The second reason why people find that intergenerational mobility is of interest
is because mobility matrices provide information about the extent of inequality
of opportunity. A transformation of P will be desirable if it equalizes
opportunities for children of different descent, i.e. makes the valuations of
their income prospects less unequal. While for a complete analysis we would
need a valuation function for these opportunities, for the moment a dominance
requirement can suffice: we say that children whose parents were in income
# The London School of Economics and Political Science 2001
522 ECONOMICA [NOVEMBER
class l have worse opportunities than children whose parents were in income
class k if the lottery facing the former is first-order stochastically dominated by
the lottery facing the latter. This leads to the second axiom.
M[T lkqr
" [P ]] > M[P ] V
The first condition ensures that the probability to obtain a low income
decreases (increases) for children whose parents had the level of income
associated with the l(k)th row of the transition matrix, while their
probability to obtain a higher income increases (decreases). The second
condition ensures that, after the transformation, children whose parents had
a level of income associated with the l(k)th row of the transition matrix still
have opportunities that are no better (no worse) than the opportunities
offered to children from the k(l)th row. No ordering of parental income
classes is needed for EOP to be applicable. EOP describes an (equalizing)
Pigou ± Dalton transformation in the space of opportunities. The transfor-
mation of P described by EOP is similar to, but distinct from, Dardanoni's
dynamic Pigou ± Dalton (DPD) transformation. Dardanoni (1993, p. 382)
defines the transformation on the set of monotonous matrices only.4 Since
EOP has to hold over a larger domain, requiring that EOP holds is more
demanding than requiring DPD.
The third reason why people care about intergenerational mobility is
because mobility matrices provide some indication of the extent of inequality of
life chances. Contrary to equality of opportunities, the only thing that matters
here is that children get equal lotteries. The prizes do not matter. Although
perhaps somewhat strange at first sight, this may be sensible when there is no
obvious ordering of the prizes. This is possible, for example, when one looks at
mobility matrices that describe the transition between socioeconomic
categories. Usually these categories are ordered in increasing socioeconomic
status. However, such an ordering can be questioned. The idea that prizes do
not matter is reflected by Axiom 3.
Axiom I says that the identity matrix, I, is the most immobile matrix
possible; if I holds, M [I] can be considered to be a lower bound for mobility. If
PM holds, then M[P M ] can be considered to be an upper bound for mobility.
Related to I is the eighth axiom.5
TABLE 1
INCOMPATIBILITY RESULTS
I y y y
PM n y y
AN n y y
(PP) (n) (y) (y)
FP n y n
TABLE 2
MOBILITY INDICES AND THEIR PROPERTIES
Ml [P] y n n ± n n n
MB [P] y n n ± n n n
Mf [P] n n n ± y y y
M [P] n n n y n n y
Mt [P] y n n y n n n
Md [P] n n n y y y n
MFO [P] y n n y n n n
MC [P] y n n y n n n
all the relevant information about the prospects of a child with parents in
position i. More specifically, the marginal distribution of children's incomes
(or, more generally, their socioeconomic positions) is treated as irrelevant. A
more general approach to intergenerational mobility would use the
information on this marginal distribution, i.e. on the prizes in the children's
lotteries. Denoting the domain of distribution functions by = and a typical
member of = by h, such a more general definition of a mobility index could
be M * : ( ; =) 2 < : (P; h) 2 M *[P; h]. The assumption implied in the
previous section can then be formalized as Axiom 9.
The first six mobility indices in Table 2 satisfy IND. Is this a sensible
assumption? It certainly is when we accept FP and reason within a
framework of equalization of chances, because in that approach the
information about the prizes is irrelevant by definition. IND may also be
sensible in an approach to mobility as movement. If there is a natural
ordering of the prizes, but we want to concentrate only on the rank order of
the children, the concrete form of h does not matter. Movement then is to be
interpreted as `jumps in the rank order'. However, an alternative
interpretation of `movement' could be in terms of `distances' between the
income positions of the children and those of their parents. This intuition is
present in the seventh and eighth mobility measure in Table 2. Compare two
situations with the same P. In the first situation there is only very little
inequality in the marginal distributions, which moreover are similar. In the
second situation, on the contrary, there are huge inequalities. One could
argue that in the latter situation the same transition matrix P implies much
more movement. This second interpretation is ruled out by IND, and hence
by the first six indices taken up in Table 2. Therefore, while IND is
defensible when measuring movement, it is not an innocuous assumption.
Finally, IND is clearly unacceptable when we want to measure equality of
opportunity. In a situation where the marginal distribution of the children's
incomes (or their socioeconomic positions) is almost equal, it is reasonable
to say that there is hardly any inequality of opportunity, irrespective of what
way the transition matrices look like.
In the following section, in which we propose a measure of equality of
opportunity, we will therefore use information about the possible income levels
of the children. Since we look at transitions between quantiles of parents' and
children's distributions, the information on h reduces to the vector (y1 ; :::; yn )
giving the incomes of the children in the different quantiles.
possible formulation is
X
n
(1) OPi pij i (yj ) with h 0i > 0
j1
X
q
pij :
j1
The opportunity set from which children can `choose' by behaving more or
less responsibly can then be represented as in Figure 1, where we have drawn
the case of three income categories and where we put cumulative frequencies
on the x-axis. This opportunity set will become more valuable if the
probabilities of obtaining higher incomes increase. This is obviously a more
attractive situation for the children. Our expression (2) measures the area
under this opportunity set.12
Second, we formulate a general social evaluation function
X
n
(3) S (OPi );
i1
where
X
n y 1j 1
(5) OPi pij ; æ 0:
i1 1
OP E
(7) I OPP 1 :
IO
From the way I OPP is constructed, it clearly satisfies EOP if > 0 and > 0,
AN and PM. It does not satisfy FP nor MOV.
# The London School of Economics and Political Science 2001
530 ECONOMICA [NOVEMBER
Theorem 5. A social ordering satisfies AD, AN, FP and ELC if and only if it is
represented by a social ordering function of the form.
n X
X n
S ELC [P ] g[pij ] with g 00 [] < 0 and g 0 [] > 0:
i1 j1
second line will be positive if g 00 [] < 0. Consequently, if g 00 [] < 0, ELC
transformations are desirable for the social ordering in the theorem.
Necessity follows from the fact that, if g 00 [] > 0, it is always possible to find
values for plq ; pkq ; plr ; pkr and " such that S ELC [T lkqr
" [P ]] S ELC [P ] Æ 0. &
S ELC [P ]
I ELC [P ] 1 :
S ELC [P M ]
(pij ) 1 '
g[pij ] ;
1 '
1 X
n X
n
I ELC
' [P ] 1 (npij ) 1 '
:
n2 i1 j1
IV. CONCLUSION
Intergenerational transmission is a complex process that can be analysed
from widely divergent perspectives. One perspective is rather descriptive in
nature and relates to the amount of movement that is present in the
intergenerational process. From this perspective, the information that is
available in a transition matrix is sufficient, if we restrict our notion of
movement to jumps in the social rank order. There exist several mobility
indices that capture this concern about movement. However, researchers
often calculate such a mobility index, and then implicitly or explicitly
interpret their findings in the light of other more normative concerns related
to the degree of inequality of life chances or to the degree of inequality of
opportunity. We have argued that this latter step is not justified. We have
pinned down the necessary requirements that an index of inequality of
opportunity or inequality of life chances should satisfy. These requirements
amount to conditions under which Atkinson's diagonalizing switches are
desirable and a straightforward anonymity condition. We have shown that
none of the existing indices is satisfactory as a measure of inequality of
opportunity or inequality of life chances.
We have then proposed two new measures. Equality of life chances may be
relevant in a situation where there is no obvious ordering of the prizes. More
important for economics is the concept of equality of opportunity. This
concept has been given a more concrete content in recent social choice theory.
It is immediately obvious that the information contained in the transition
matrix is not sufficient if we want to measure equality of opportunity, and that
# The London School of Economics and Political Science 2001
532 ECONOMICA [NOVEMBER
one has to make use of information about the marginal income distribution of
the children. We propose a measure in the spirit of the social welfare function
approach to inequality measurement.
X
n
P r Ar ;
r1
where r is the rth eigenvalue of P and {Ar } is the corresponding spectral set. Ar As 0 if
r 6 s, Ar Ar Ar and
X
n
Ar I:
r1
The Tth period transition matrix, which, by definition, contains the probabilities that a
dynasty will be in state j after T periods, given that its founding father started in state i,
is given by
X
n
PT (r ) T Ar :
r1
X
n
P 0 r Ar
r2
and
X
n
P T 0 (r ) T Ar ;
r2
where is the equilibrium probability vector: P. When the Markov chain is assumed
to be regular, is unique and all elements of are strictly positive. If we analyse a mobility
measure that uses the equilibrium probabilities vector, we assume a regular Markov chain,
excluding matrices such as B and I from consideration. The first eigenvalue is equal to 1.
The other eigenvalues will be smaller than 1 in absolute value and therefore
limt 2 1 P t 0 : They will determine the speed at which the transition matrix converges
to the perfectly mobile matrix, which is the situation without generational dependence.
Finally, note that, for regular bi-stochastic matrices, (l=n).
1 X
n X
n 1 X
n
Ml [P ] pij 1 pii :
n i 1 j 1; j 6 i n i1
ELC or EOP. From the definition of Ml [P ], it can easily be seen that the measure does
not satisfy AN, PM or FP.
2. When we weight each class transition by the number of class boundaries that
have been crossed, we get Bartholomew's measure of mobility:
1 1 X
n X
n
MB [P ] pij j i j j:
(n 1) n i1 j1
We have that
1 1
MB [T lkqr
" [P ]] MB [P ] " ( jl qjjl rjjk qj jk r j ):
(n 1) n
1 X
n X
n 1
Mf [P ] 1 pij :
n j1 i1 n
We have
Mf [T lkqr
" [P ]] Mf [P ]
0 1
1 1 1 1 1
@ plq plq " plr plr " A
n n n n n
0 1
1 1 1 1 1
@ pkq pkq " pkr pkr " A:
n n n n n
Suppose plq (1=n) < "; plr (1=n) < 0; pkr (1=n) < " and pkq (1=n) < 0. In that case,
the expression above can be written as
0 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1
Mf [T " [P ]] Mf [P ] @2@ plq
lkqr
plr pkq plr A 4 j " jA
n n n n n
For each of the transformations considered, a suitable choice of P and " can make this
expression positive or negative. Hence this measure does not satisfy MOV, ELC or
EOP. From the definition of the mobility index, it clearly satisfies AN and FP. Mobility
is maximal if pij (1=n) 8ij so that PM is satisfied.
Md [P ] 1 j P j 1=(n 1)
:
Changing rows in a matrix does not change the absolute value of its determinant.
Therefore, this measure satisfies AN always and cannot satisfy MOV. Changing
columns does not affect the absolute value of the determinant either, so FP is satisfied.
j P M j 0 so that P M corresponds to maximal mobility. However, as soon as any two
rows of the matrix P are equal, jP j 0 such that PM is not satisfied. If we start from a
matrix where two rows are equal, no further transformation will affect the value of the
determinant. Consequently, ELC and EOP are not satisfied either. The absolute value
of the product of the eigenvalues is maximal if all i are equal to 1. Hence I is met.
elements of the transition matrix P and the frequency with which particular
combinations of parent ±child incomes occur. Each combination (zi ; zj ) occurs exactly
pij K times. Note that the effect of a transformation T lkqr" [P ] becomes equivalent to a
change in the frequency with which certain combinations of parent± child incomes
occur: (zl ; zq ) and (zk ; zr ) will occur less frequently, and (zk ; zq ) and (zl ; zr ) more
frequently. Without further loss of generality, we can assume that the change in
frequency equals one.
We consider two measures of distance.
1. Fields and Ok (1996) axiomatized the following measure of mobility:
X
m
d[x; y] j xi yi j :
i1
The effect of the change in frequency on MFO [P], and hence MFO [T lkqr
" [P ]] MFO [P ],
is equal to
j zl zq j j zk zq j j zl zr j j zk zr j
2(min{zl zq ; 0} min{zk zq ; 0} min{zl zr ; 0} min{zk zr ; 0})
This effect is determined only in one interesting case. If zl zq , and zk zr , then the
expression becomes positive. Since we assume in this section that the level of income
corresponding to the ith class is the same for parents and children, this is the situation
where T lkqr
" [P] takes place on the diagonal of P. In that sense, MFO [P ] satisfies MOV.
EOP and ELC are not satisfied. M[I] = 0 such that I is satisfied. PM and A do not hold
true. Finally, note that the wider class of mobility indices suggested in Fields and Ok
(1999) has the same properties as MFO [P ].
2. Cowell (1980) proposed a family of measures of distributional change. We will
check the properties of one of his measures:
2 3
1 X m x
i xi
J[x; y] ln 4 5;
m i 1 Zx yi
where Zx denotes average parental income. In the simplified framework that we use, we
get
2 3
1 Xn X n z
i zi
MC [P ] ln 4 5 pij K:
[
m i1 j1 z zj
As before, consider the case where zl zq and zk zr . In that case, it is obvious that
zr zq > (<) 0 u zk zl > (<) 0;
# The London School of Economics and Political Science 2001
536 ECONOMICA [NOVEMBER
such that the change in mobility measure is indeed positive. MC [P ] thus satisfies MOV;
it will not satisfy EOP nor ELC. MC [I] 0, and will be positive for any other P, such
that I is satisfied. PM and A are not met.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We thank Geert Dhaene, Marc Fleurbaey, Tony Shorrocks, Alain Trannoy and two
anonymous referees for their valuable comments. This paper forms part of the research
programme of the TMR-Network, `Living Standards, Inequality and Taxation'
(Contract no. ERBFMRXCT 9802480) of the European Communities, whose financial
support is gratefully acknowledged.
NOTES
1. Most of the results in this paper hold true for the broader class of stochastic matrices
8 9
< Xn =
P j pij æ 0 8pij ; pij 1 :
: j1
;
Notationally however, the problem becomes much more complex, since one has to account for
differences in the number of children corresponding to each cell of the matrix P. Consider, e.g.,
Atkinson's diagonalizing switches, defined further on for bistochastic matrices. For general
stochastic matrices they are defined in the same way, except that now
p l*q plq ("=pl ); p *lr plr ("=pl ); p *kq pkq ("=pk ) and p k*r pkr ("=pk ) where pl and pk
are the number of children whose parents were in the lth and kth income class, respectively.
Since the main ideas of this paper can be more easily explained for bistochastic matrices, we
decided to stick to the latter.
2. Some mobility indices are defined only for bistochastic matrices that correspond to a regular
Markov chain. A transition matrix P is regular if and only if, for some N, P N has no zero
entries. For these mobility indices, the domain should be adjusted to exclude non-regular
bistochastic matrices.
3. A similar requirement was introduced by Shorrocks (1978) as `monotonicity'.
4. To obtain the DPD condition, condition (ii) is replaced by monotonicity of the transformed
matrix:
X
m X
m
p s*j æ p s* 1; j 8m 2 N; 8s 2 N={n}
j1 j1
were put into a cell of his own, the transition matrix would be monotonous only if the
intergenerational process did not allow any reranking.
11. This idea is originally due to Roemer (1993).
12. See Bossert et al. (1999) for this interpretation of opportunity sets, and Fleurbaey (1998) for a
critical assessment of the hypothesis required for this procedure to work.
13. The differences in opportunity sets are due to non-responsibility characteristics. As a
consequence, the natural choice for () selects the smallest opportunity set.
14. These measures and several variants have been discussed in more detail in Sommers and
Conlisk (1979).
15. The exclusive dependence of many sociological measures upon the diagonal elements of the
matrix of transition is probably due to the difficulty of ordering sociological classes such as
occupations. We have suggested the ELC approach to analyse this situation. None of these
sociological measures satisfies ELC, however.
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