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FNCE90062 RDY Valuation Models
FNCE90062 RDY Valuation Models
Table of Contents
Assumptions
COMPS
DCF
Precedent
LBO
Data_Ke
Data_Kd
Growth Rate
Annual Reports:
https://investors.readytech.com.au/investor-centre/?page=results-centre
Trading Multiples
Sales Choice : 1 FY23A 103.31
EBITDA Choice : 1 FY23A 26.62
EBIT Choice : 1 FY23A 9.35
Relative Valuation
(AUD in millions, except per share data)
Market Data
Number of
Current 52-Week Price
Company Ticker Shares
Share Price %Change
Outstanding
Market Enterprise
Sales EBITDA EBIT
Capitalisation Value
LTM
EBITDA
16.18x
45.01x
13.01x
-72.24x
739.81x
-1.53x
739.81x
45.01x
144.81x
13.01x
-1.53x
-72.24x
335.37x
346.28
117.99
$2.93
-40.81
117.99
-$0.35
1,198.12
117.99
$10.15
56.83x
7.35x
-3.05x
-7.06x
-2.67x
-6.39x
32.37x
-2.65x
21.18x
-2.28x
56.83x
17.72x
9.36x
-2.46x
-2.95x
-7.06x
2.11x
16.95x
99.58x
-1.13x
16.94x
54.43x
-17.86x
-30.35x
5.93x
17.74x
36.34x
11.96x
10.88x
2.43x
37.30x
3.80x
99.58x
27.04x
17.66x
11.96x
3.12x
-30.35x
2.06x
DCF Valuation
1. FCFF Calculation
Income Statement to FCFF
EBIT = Revenue - OpEx - D&A
FCFF = EBIT(1-t) + D&A - CapEx - In.NWC
Historical Period CAGR Projection Period CAGR
FCF Calculation : FY16A FY17A FY18A FY19A FY20A FY21A FY22A ('20 - '22) FY23A FY24E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E ('23 - '28) Terminal Period
Revenue from contracts with customers 23,472 27,230 25,626 32,711 39,254 50,027 78,284 22.2% 103,306 119,507 138,275 160,021 185,224 214,437 15.7% Sales Choice 1 103,306 FY23A
% growth NA 16.0% -5.9% 27.6% 20.0% 27.4% 56.5% 32.0% 15.68% 15.70% 15.73% 15.75% 15.77% 2 119,507 FY24E
Minus: Cost of Revenue 12,528 12,030 15,723 15,994 20,185 27,184 46,655 67,724 80,137 94,797 112,106 132,540 156,660
Hosting and other direct costs 2,679 2,614 2,696 1,961 2,836 3,473 4,685 8,244
Employee benefits expense 9,849 9,416 13,027 14,033 17,349 23,711 41,970 59,480
% Revenue 53.4% 44.2% 61.4% 48.9% 51.4% 54.3% 59.6% 65.6% 67.1% 68.6% 70.1% 71.6% 73.1% EBITDA Choice 1 26,617 FY23A
Gross profit 10,944 15,200 9,903 16,717 19,069 22,843 31,629 19.3% 35,582 39,369 43,478 47,916 52,684 57,776 10.2% 2 27,206 FY24E
% Margin 47% 56% 39% 51% 49% 46% 40% 34% 36% 37% 39% 40% 42%
Minus: OPEX 4,355 5,763 4,885 9,353 4,115 6,202 6,537 8.35% 8,965 12,164 16,148 21,088 27,187 34,692 EBIT Choice 1 9,345 FY23A
% Revenue 18.6% 21.2% 19.1% 28.6% 10.5% 12.4% 8.4% 8.7% 10.2% 11.7% 13.2% 14.7% 16.2% 2 5,433 FY24E
Advertising and marketing expenses 262 433 397 464 467 437 542 1,094
Consultancy and professional expenses 1,036 872 1,593 6,482 800 2,800 2,089 2,909
Administration expenses 317 1,411 367 678 591 710 767 970
Communication and IT expenses 1,039 921 666 707 1,047 1,343 1,628 2,031
Occupancy costs 710 729 783 384 365 435 530 723
Management fees 482 887 60 112 0 0 0 0
Other expenses 509 510 1,019 526 845 477 981 1,238 2
EBITDA 6,589 9,437 5,018 7,364 14,954 16,641 25,092 25.0% 26,617 27,206 39,775 48,431 58,837 71,333 21.8%
% Margin 28.1% 34.7% 19.6% 22.5% 38.1% 33.3% 32.1% 25.8% 27.3% 28.8% 30.3% 31.8% 33.3%
Minus: D&A 721 1,476 5,818 8,063 9,375 11,057 14,079 17,272 21,773 27,267 33,955 42,081 51,935
% Revenue 3.1% 5.4% 22.7% 24.6% 23.9% 22.1% 18.0% 16.7% 18.2% 19.7% 21.2% 22.7% 24.2%
EBIT 5,868 7,961 (800) (699) 5,579 5,584 11,013 11.1% 9,345 5,433 12,508 14,475 16,755 19,398 15.7%
% Margin 25.0% 29.2% -3.1% -2.1% 14.2% 11.2% 14.1% 9.0% 10.5% 12.0% 13.5% 15.0% 16.5%
Minus: Taxes 807 2,583 314 (301) 872 1,262 2,681 2,505 1,456 3,353 3,880 4,491 5,200
EBIAT 5,061 5,378 (1,114) (398) 4,707 4,322 8,332 8.7% 6,840 3,976 9,155 10,595 12,264 14,198 15.7%
Plus: D&A 721 1,476 5,818 8,063 9,375 11,057 14,079 17,272 21,773 27,267 33,955 42,081 51,935
Minus: CapEx 8 28 577 322 639 391 572 1,463 1,692 1,958 2,266 2,623 3,037
% Revenue 0.0% 0.1% 2.3% 1.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% TV Choice 1 Gordon 879,339
Minus: Increase (Decrease) in NWC 0 (8,174) (1,824) 6,068 (7,267) (15,168) (170) 2,442 2,825 3,269 3,783 4,378 5,069 2 Exit Multiple
% Revenue 0.0% -30.0% -7.1% 18.6% -18.5% -30.3% -0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
FCFF (Unlevered) 5,774 15,000 5,951 1,275 20,710 30,156 22,009 20,207 21,232 31,195 38,502 47,344 58,027 905,582 TV Choice : 2 V Exit Multiple 905,582 Exit Multiple Choice 1 EV/S 905,582
% growth 160% -60% -79% 1524% 46% -27% -8% 5% 46.92% 23.42% 22.97% 22.57% Exit Multiple Choice : 1 V EV/S 905,582 2 EV/EBITDA 894,225
EV 631,664
Minus: MVD 52,001 Debt Choice : 1 V MVD Debt Choice 1 MVD 52,001
Minus: Non Controling Interests 0 2 BVD 52,110
Minus: Pref Stocks 0 3 Net Debt 31,418
Plus: Cash and Equivalents 20,616
Equity Value : $600,279
Profit before income tax expense 5,885 8,022 (1,667) (2,617) 4,673 2,784 11,624 6,797
18,000
Income Tax Expense 809 2,603 654 (1,127) 730 629 2,830 1,822
Tax Rate 13.7% 32.4% -39.2% 43.1% 15.6% 22.6% 24.3% 26.8% 16,000
CapEx 14,000
CapEx = Cash spent on fixed assets - Cash received from sale of fixed assets 12,000
10,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Cash spent on PPE 8 67 577 322 639 395 572 1,463 8,000
Minus: Cash received from sale of PPE 0 39 0 0 0 4 0 0
Plus: Cash spent for intangibles 3,114 3,312 2,883 3,592 4,329 5,739 12,038 18,239 6,000
CapEx 8 28 577 322 639 391 572 1,463
4,000
Increase in NWC
2,000
NWC = Non cash CA - Non interest bearning CL =
(A/R+Inventory+Prep. Expenses and Other CA)-(A/P+Accrued L+Other CL) 0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Cash spent on PPE Plus: Cash spent for intangibles
Non cash current assets 3,585 3,988 3,019 3,945 5,256 9,610 14,115 17,042
Minus: Non interest bearing CL 11,171 19,748 20,603 15,461 24,039 43,561 48,236 48,721
NWC (7,586) (15,760) (17,584) (11,516) (18,783) (33,951) (34,121) (31,679)
Increase/(Decrease) in NWC (8,174) (1,824) 6,068 (7,267) (15,168) (170) 2,442
2023-09-28 FY23
Weight
Close Price : $3.62 BVD (FY23A) : $52,110 0.50
MVD (29-Sep-2023) : $51,892 0.50
Total Shares Outstanding : 116,775
MVE : $422,725 MVD : $52,001
$000 %
MVE : 422,725 89% ke : 13.65%
MVD : 52,110 11%
474,835 100% kd : 6.10%
WACC : 12.62%
Precedent Transactions Valuation
Deal Details
Rank Value
inc. Net Debt
Date
M&A SDC Deal Number Rank Date of Target Target Full Name
Announced
(USD,
Millions)
Precedent Valuation
EV/EBITDA
Targets Date Deal Value (A$m) ACTUAL NTM
1 Elmo Software Ltd 2022 485.61 -32.87 21.81
2 Over the Wire Holdings Ltd 2021 343.02 15.31 11.71
3 Class Ltd 2021 386.59 18.52 15.64
4 rhipe Ltd 2021 402.69 19.03 15.93
5 Citadel Group Ltd 2020 448.65 31.39 11.02
Maximum
Implied Enterprise Value 506.52 424.01
Plus: Net Debt 31.42 31.42
Minus: Cash and Equivalents 20.70 20.70
Implied Market Value of Equity 506.52 424.01
Shares Outstanding 117.99 117.99
Implied Value per Share $4.29 $3.59
With Premium $6.31 $5.28
Target Macro
Target Mid Industry Target Nation Acquiror Full Name
Industry
EV/EBITDA
FY1 FY2 Median Premium pre 1 day (%)
25.33 16.89 13.09 46.97%
12.17 10.81 10.71 15.00%
16.05 14.76 18.52 72.93%
15.94 12.53 11.08 20.77%
11.43 9.68 16.75 43.22%
76.64%
55.95%
42.06%
34.12%
27.88%
15.69%
24.23%
Target Financial Advisor Name Acquiror Financial Advisor Name
('|') ('|')
Financials
Operating Model Year 0 Year 1
Revenue 103,306 119,553
% growth 15.7%
Interest 9,199
EBT 3,409
% sales 2.9%
Taxes 1,023
% tax rate 30.0%
Debt Schedule
Year 0 Year 1
Bank Debt
Beginning Balance 53,234
Interest 3,290
Paydown 25,664
Ending Balance 53,234 27,570
Sr. Notes
Beginning Balance 106,468
Interest 5,909
Paydown 0
Ending Balance 106,468 106,468
Total Debt
Beginning Balance 159,702
Interest 9,199
Paydown 25,664
Ending Balance 159,702 134,038
IRR
EBITDA at Exit
Exit Multiple
Enterprise Value
Net Debt
Sponsor Equity Value
MOIC
x IRR
Capital Structure Amount Cost
Junior Debt 2.0x 6.18%
Senior Debt 4.0x 5.55%
Reference
IRR 37.4%
Go/No Go Go
27,570 - - -
1,704 - - -
27,570 - - -
- - - -
195,369
4.9x
37.4%
Cost of Equity (Ke) Data
Sample Size : 54 Rf benchmark :
Duration : 5 year Monthly Commonwealth Government 5 year bond
Dates : 2019-04-30 2023-09-30 Frequency : Monthly, p.a
Source : Refinitiv Source : RBA
Marketwatch
-4.56% -0.56%
14.30% 0.47%
-2.13% 0.29%
10.79% 1.82%
0.00% 0.11%
-14.15% -0.65%
-2.12% -1.34%
1.31% -0.58%
-4.05% 8.31%
5.57% 0.28%
4.66% -5.68%
15.72% 0.59%
9.43% -1.14%
-10.74% 0.83%
8.35% 2.58%
44.19% 7.13%
-45.34% -22.83%
-22.71% -9.85%
21.78% 3.34%
-0.78% -4.01%
-9.11% 1.09%
3.69% -2.02%
5.26% -0.37%
3.73% -4.70%
0.95% 1.28%
-15.13% 1.82%
6.23% -0.52%
SS MS F Significance F
0.37 0.37 30.56 0.00
0.62 0.01
0.99
Rm-Rf
50%
40%
30%
20%
0767127847 x + 0.0307192170817984
10%
4745119637
0% Ri-Rf
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
Cost of Debt (Kd) Data
Equivalent Bond Default Spread
FY23A
BVD :
Interest bearing
ST Debt $0
LT Debt $46,949
ST Capital Leases $1,229
LT Capital Leases $3,932
As At : 30-Jun-2023
Debt Structure Type Amount Coupon/Base Rate Floating Rate
Facility A Term Loans 35,000 NA BBSY + 2.750%
Facility B Revolving Credit 12,000 NA BBSY + 2.750%
Lease Liabilities Capital Lease 5,161 4.81% NA
0.50
Workforce Solutions
3 Year 5 Year Max
Average 16.9% 28.7%
Standard Error 1.5% 3.5%
CAGR 16.83% 27.80%
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
$k
40,000
45.7%
39.7%
20,000 32.7%
By [%]
Subscription, licence and hosting 88% 90%
Implementation, training, consultancy and other 12% 10%
Total Revenue 100% 100%
120,000
100,000
80,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
$k
40,000 11%
10%
12%
20,000 89%
90%
88%
0
FY18A FY19A FY20A
120,000
103,306
100,000
80,000
60,000
$k
40,000
23,472
20,000
0
FY16A FY17A FY18A FY19A FY20A FY21A FY22A FY23A
Revenue WA
37.4%
30.5%
9.7% 27.7%
30.0%
40.6%
45.7%
39.7%
32.7%
39.6% 34.9%
60.3% 54.3% 49.8%
67.3%
970
18%
18%
16%
13%
82%
11%
10% 84%
12% 87%
90% 89%
88%
𝑉_𝑇𝑉=(𝑉_𝐹𝑌28𝐸×(1+𝑔))/
(𝑘_𝑒−𝑔)→𝑔=(𝑉_𝑇𝑉×𝐾_𝑒−𝑉_𝐹𝑌28𝐸)/
(𝑉_𝑇𝑉+𝑉_𝐹𝑌28𝐸 )
FY28E Revenue Target CAGR Terminal Value Implied Terminal Growth
81,245 485,000 86,593
16% 66% 7% -9%
68,505 335,000 72,353
13.7% 56% 6% -12%
64,687 150,000 67,231
17.75% 39% 4% -26%
214,437 970,000 226,554
15.8% >>> Mid-teen growth achieved 56.5% 5.7% -13%
g
20.40%
12.20%
17.8%
FY28E
0
)/
−𝑉_𝐹𝑌28𝐸)/
Assumptions
General Assumptions
Guide
External Numbers [###]
Black Calculation
Blue Assumption
Red Hard coded
Orange Input
Yellow box Note
Retrieved - Updateable [###]
Data Source Refinitiv