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Understand and use the probability scale 3 A bag contains some blue (B) and red (R) counters.

B
Tom removes one of the counters
at random from the bag.
R

B
B R R
a) On the scale, draw an arrow to show R R
the probability that he gets a red counter.
1 Here is a probability scale.
Events A, B, C and D are marked on the scale.
A B C D
0 1 1 3 1
4 2 4
0 1
b) On the scale, draw an arrow to show the probability that he gets
Match the letters to the correct events.
a blue counter.
Event Letter

probability of rolling a number less than 7 on a


standard dice

probability that you will be younger tomorrow 0 1 1 3 1


than you are today 4 2 4

probability of flipping a head on a fair standard coin

probability of picking a red counter from a box 4 Aisha spins the fair spinner.
containing 4 black and 1 red counters
Y R
G R

2 Here is a probability scale and some events. G R

Draw a line from each event to its probability on the scale. R R


R R

0 1 Mark on the scale the probability of landing on each colour.

probability of probability of
probability of
rolling an even rolling a number 0 1
rolling a 5 on a fair
number on a fair less than 5 on a fair
standard dice
standard dice standard dice
© White Rose Maths 2020
5 A bag contains some coloured counters. 7 A box contains some chocolates.

A counter is taken out of the bag at random. There are mint, orange and toffee chocolates in the box.

The arrow shows the probability of picking a red counter from the bag. Teddy chooses one at random.
The probabilities of choosing each type are shown on the scale.
red
P(orange)
P(mint) P(toffee)
0 50% 1

a) Tick the bags with this probability of a red (R) counter.


0 1

B B B B Decide whether the statements are true or false or you are unable to tell.
Y R Y O R
Y O O Y R R O R R Statement True False Can’t tell
R R R R R R R

B
There is one mint chocolate

in the box.
b) Draw two more bags of counters with this probability of a red counter.
More than half of the chocolates
are toffees.

There are more mint chocolates


than orange ones in the box.

c) What is the same about all the bags where the probability of There are exactly twice as many
1
choosing red is ? toffee chocolates as orange ones.
2

Discuss the reasons for your answers with a partner.


6 The digit cards are put into a hat.

0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 8 A team plays a game of football.


The probability scale shows the probability that they win or draw the game.
A card is taken out of the hat at random.
a) Mark on the scale the probability of getting the number 2 P(draw)
P(win)

0 1 0 1

Draw an arrow on the scale to estimate the probability that they


b) Explain your reasoning.
lose the game.

© White Rose Maths 2020


Know that the sum of probabilities of 3 A box contains 12 coloured counters.
all possible outcomes is 1 • 5 of the counters are pink.
• 3 of the counters are blue.
• The rest of the counters are green.
A counter is removed from the box at random.
What is the probability that the counter is green?

1 A drawer contains some yellow and blue socks.


Rosie removes a sock at random.
3 
The probability that the sock is yellow is
5

This means that


there are only 5 socks 4 A spinner has three coloured sections: red, green and orange.
in the drawer. The table shows the probability of getting each colour.

Colour red green orange


a) Do you agree with Rosie?
Probability 0.2 0.5
Explain your answer.

a) What is the probability of getting red or green?




b) What is the probability of getting a blue sock? 


b) What is the probability of getting orange?


2 A bag contains strawberry and lime sweets.


Kim chooses a sweet at random.
5 The probability that a train arrives on time is 0.56
The probability that Kim chooses a strawberry sweet is 0.7
What is the probability that the train is late?
What is the probability that Kim chooses a lime sweet?
Show your workings.

© White Rose Maths 2020

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