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TVS BNPL Discussion Material VSent 20210805
TVS BNPL Discussion Material VSent 20210805
BNPL concept
It’s particularly
represents a chance “It’s very different popular with
to capitalize on a from the traditional younger
shift away from consumer-financing consumers -- who
traditional credit, business model.” may NOT HAVE a
especially among
credit card.
younger consumers.
Source: Bloomberg “Square to Buy Afterpay for $29 Billion to Tap Younger Users”
3
BREAKING NEWS
BNPL market becomes exciting…
4
BUY NOW PAY LATER
INDUSTRY CALL - PRESENTATION
WHAT IS BUY NOW, PAY LATER (“BNPL”)?
More consumer-friendly and seamless alternative purchase option
A type of short-term financing that allows consumers to shop (online and in-store)
and defer payment with flexible installments, often interest-free.
2005
2012 2016
2014
6
CONSUMER LOAN MARKET IN VIETNAM
Customers suffer high interest rate charged by BNPL alternatives
$15B
Credit card 50%
Untapped market
$12B
Consumer $10B 30%
Bank Consumer
15%
Loan
$65B Finance
5%
Bubble size
Low
Credit cards
Bank loan
Consumer
finance
High
No Debt Collection
Bypass Credit
Fee Transparency
Card’s Credit Limit
Gen Z + Millennials
9
VALUE PROPOSITIONS FOR MERCHANTS
Attract more underserved customers and increase merchants’ revenue
Increase >75%
repurchase rate Increase
revenue
Increase 30-60%
average order value
Improve up to 30%
conversion rates
Merchant
Attract more
consumers
10
BUSINESS MODEL
Typical business model of pure-play BNPL providers
Merchant fee
Overdue charge 3-6% per transaction
BNPL
+ (Interest rate**) Players
Consumers Merchants
In-house/
Outsourcing*
Credit Checking
Parties
Buy Now Pay Later pure-play market in Vietnam is still small but it is estimated to grow by 140% on
annual basis to reach $400M in 2021 (CAGR of 30% during 2020-2027).
2027E
Estimated Pure-play BNPL Market Size
By loan outstanding Global
$34B
2020
$9B
APAC
$2.5B $14.5B
$150M
Vietnam
$1B
Source: Research and Markets, 2021; TVS Analysis
12
BNPL COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE IN VIETNAM
Besides BNPL pure-players, the space is crowded with…
Pure-play
BNPL
Company
Payment
Company
Consumer
Finance
Company
Retail &
E-Commerce
NO
Training Data Decision
YES
NO
Cost Default Loss Consumer Payment
YES
Merchant
Revenue
Consumer
Source: TVS Analysis
Notes: (*) Risk Management Model
14
BNPL BUSINESS MODEL FLOWCHART
Key takeaways
§ Dilemma for young BNPL players: BNPL players who lack high
quality training data will need to be more aggressive in loan
underwriting and hence increasing the risk of default loss. Either
they need to have strong financing backers whom normally
staying away from unproven risk management models, or they need
to increase revenue as their consumer default loss mounts.
INCREASE REVENUE
15
BNPL BUSINESS MODEL FLOWCHART
Key takeaways
16
BNPL BUSINESS MODEL FLOWCHART
Key takeaways
A strong Risk
Management Model
§ Eco-system BNPL
players’ advantage:
Lower fees charged
Allow BNPL to further
BNPL offering from data- reduce fees
to both consumers
and merchants
abundant giants (such as
PayPal, Grab, Shopee,
Traveloka, or Apple) would Attract more
Help improve Risk merchants and
have huge advantage over Management Model consumers to the
network
startups with little high-
quality data to start with.
More data
17
VIETNAM MARKET
A young market with much opportunities but also many challenges ahead
CHALLENGES OPPORTUNITIES
REGULATORY RISK
High demand of consumers and merchants
• No clear regulation for fintech
COMPETITION
• Profit erosion No dominant player in the market yet
HIGH COSTS
4th Floor, TDL Building, No. 22 Lang Ha Street, Dong Da 9th Floor, Bitexco Nam Long Building, No. 63A Vo Van
District, Hanoi, Vietnam Tan Street, District 3, HCMC, Vietnam
Phone: +84-24 3248 4820 Phone: +84-28 7300 6588
Fax: +84-24 3248 4821 Fax: +84-28 6299 2088
www.tvs.vn
APPENDIX
I. Global Market Page [22]
Credit Checking
Parties
22
BNPL: TWO-SIDED REVENUE STREAM
Generated from merchant vs. consumer
e-Wallet based
Merchant Fee Model Consumer Interest Income Model
Revenue mainly generated from merchant Revenue generated from both merchant side
Stand-alone typical model & customer side (interest rate)
Self-
reported
Traditional Data
Data
Sources Bank
User Account &
Behavior
Govt Data
Phone &
E-comm Telco
Merchant
Network
25
BNPL: KEY OPERATING METRICS
As a lending business, BNPL players need to keep these metrics in check
Cash Conversion
NPL (Bad Debt)
Cycle
BNPL Financing
Est. 2005 (Sweden) 2014 (Australia) 2012 (USA)
Geographies 17 countries in Europe, USA, UK and Australia USA, AUS, UK, NZ USA
Revenue model Merchant fee Consumer interest Merchant fee Consumer interest
28
E-WALLET BASED COMPANIES OFFER PAY-LATER
Some data-abundant giants have jumped into the BNPL space
Revenue model Merchant fee Consumer interest Consumer interest Merchant fee
Late fee $10/time 0.06% daily interest 0.04% daily interest Vary by states
The reverse growth of BNPL and credit card ..as BNPL is considered as an alternative
has been observed in the last 5 years... payment of credit card.
Number of Credit Cards & BNPL Revenue Reasons customers choose BNPL over credit cards
in Australia (2011-2020) (2020)
39% 38%
Million AUD$
Credit cards (‘000)
25%
30
BNPL IN THE UNITED STATES
Has grown by 180% in 2020
37%
250 GenZ
214 33%
31%
Millenials
change in value of purchase
200 186
170
Gen X and older 23%
150
15%
100
7%
50
21 19
6
0
-4 -6 cs
s
n
s
d
s
re
ie
er
r ie
ol
hio
-16
itu
ni
ov
eh
th
Credit Debit BNPL
ce
ro
s
-50
rn
O
M
Fa
us
ro
t
Fu
ec
s/
Ho
ok
El
Bo
Source: CB Insights, 2021; Sacra Report, 2021
31
RECENT TREND
Successful Story: Klarna (Sweden) – Global Player
GMV/consumer (USD)
• Overdue: $7 per transaction
10
YoY Growth %
500
8
400
• Pay up to 30 days later without interest 0
Pay In 30 Days 300
or any fees
1M
200 750K -10
-15
100
• Pay over 6 to 36 months with monthly
Financing repayments 0 -20
2017 2018 2019 2020
• Interest-bearing (up to 18.99% APR)
32
RECENT TREND
Successful Story: PayPal – “Pay In 4” (USA)
Products
PayPal Pay in 4 Total Transactions Value (USD)
36%
• Pay in 4 installments every two weeks Launched Pay in 4 last
Pay in 4 1M year, PayPal processed
• Interest Free (0% APR)
(launched in 2020) 750K $1B transactions and
• Overdue: daily interest charge reached 3.3M unique
• No Credit Scoring impact active users in Q1/2021.
Q4/2020 Q1/2021
33
RECENT TREND
Klarna vs. PayPal
Klarna is more in line with how younger generations think about consumption and counter-position
itself against PayPal to win Generation Z. They takes an incumbent’s business model, counter-
positioning their product against it, and aligns with a youth movement.
34
SOUTHEAST ASIA BNPL PLAYERS
Some SEA players will operate their businesses in Vietnam soon
Company Traction
Products 10x
36
II. VIETNAM MARKET & DEMOGRAPHICS
VIETNAM’S POPULATION
The Growth Of Ultra-Rich Population
The country’s total population is nearly 100 million and The country is aiming to boost per-capita GDP and
disproportionately young with 63% of Vietnamese are expected to increase 7% CAGR (2020 – 2025), which is
under the age of 40. also a positive signal for business.
3,000 – 6%
CAGR
109
99 2,000
3,874
69
2,776
57
33 1,000
2,097
17
6 7
0
2015 2020 2025
a
es
os
ar
nd
m
a
a
e
di
si
or
si
nm
na
in
La
la
bo
ay
ne
ap
pp
ai
et
ya
al
do
m
ng
Th
Vi
ili
M
M
Ca
In
Si
Ph
38
VIETNAM’S INTERNET ECONOMY
A Booming Market
The rapid development of internet infrastructure combined Internet Gross Merchandise Value in Vietnam grew by
with the rise in affordable smartphones create huge 16% in 2020, the strongest among all Southeast Asia
opportunities for internet-based services. countries and is expected to accelerate even further.
Internet Users and Internet Penetration Rate in Vietnam Internet Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) in Vietnam
120 90% (USD billion)
80%
100
70% 60 52
Penetration rate
79
80 60% 50 9%
Million users
–2
64 GR
50% 40 CA
60
40% 30
38
40 30% 20 12 14
20% 10 3
20
10% 0
2015 2019 2020 2025
0 0%
2015 2020 2025
39
VIETNAM’S CREDIT CARD ADOPTION
Low Credit Card’s Penetration comparing to other SEA countries
Cash transactions remain highly popular in Vietnam The country has low credit bureau coverage contributes
compared to other ASEAN countries as it has low to low approval rate, one of the main drivers for low credit
banking penetration. Credit card ownership in Vietnam card penetration.
accounts for only 4.1 percent of the population.
Credit Card Penetration in Selected Countries (%) Private Credit Bureau Coverage (% of Adult, 2020)
60 100
89
49
50
80
40 63 64
60
30
40
21 40
20
21
10 20
10 14
4
2 2
0 0
Phillipines Vietnam Indonesia Thailand Singapore Malaysia Phillipines Vietnam Indonesia Thailand Singapore Malaysia
40
VIETNAM’S E-COMMERCE & DIGITAL WALLET MARKET
The market is growing and gaining momentum
41
III. INVESTMENT & FUNDING
BNPL FUNDING IN GLOBAL AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
The potential of BNPL has been responded The market in Southeast Asia is still young,
with 40% growth in average funding value but the potential of BNPL has been responded
and 93% growth in global funding. with the increasing of successful deals.
Global BNPL Equity Funding* (2016-2020) Southeast Asia BNPL Equity Funding** (2016-2020)
1,600 25 500 9 10
1,400 20
19
20 400 8
Funding amount ($M)
Deal Count
Deal Count
1,000 15 300 6
800 4
600 10 200 4
7
400 5 2
5 100 3 2
200
0 0 0 0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Fundiin Vietnam Seed VC 1982 Ventures, Zone Startups Ventures undisclosed 2021
Pace
Singapore Early stage Alpha JWC Ventures, Vertex Ventures $5.25M 2020
Enterprise
Allectus Capital, Genting Ventures, iGlobe
Series A undisclosed 2020
Singapore Partners
Hoolah
AccelerAsia, Aletra Capital Partners, iGlobe
Seed undisclosed 2018
Partners
Lone Pine Capital, Temasek, Ward Ferry
Private Equity - III Management, Baron Funds, and 4 more Venture $285M $3,000M 2021
Capitals
44
BNPL SOUTHEAST ASIA FUNDING
45
BNPL SOUTHEAST ASIA FUNDING
FinAccel Series C MDI Ventures, and Telkomsel Mitra Inovasi undisclosed 2019
Indonesia
(Kredivo)
500 Startups, Jungle Ventures, GMO
VenturePartners, Square Peg Capital,
Series B $30M 2018
OpenSpace Ventures, Alpha JWC Ventures, MDI
Ventures, and Atami Capital
Jungle Ventures, Openspace Ventures (NSI
Series A undisclosed 2017
Ventures)
500 Startups, Alpha JWC Ventures, GMO Venture
Seed undisclosed 2016
Partners, Jungle Ventures
Strategic investment Ant Financial undisclosed 2017
Dana Indonesia
Strategic investment Emtek Group undisclosed 2015
46
IV. RECENT NEWS
BNPL RECENT NEWS
Aug Credit Bureau Asia to enter Vietnam financial data provider FiinGroup
2021 Credit Bureau Asia has signed a memorandum of understanding to enter Vietnam in partnership with Hanoi-headquartered financial data
provider FiinGroup. Under the agreement, both companies will form a joint venture in Vietnam to provide analytics and data solutions to
financial institutions, credit granting agencies, payment services agencies and other data companies. The partnership will also support
the data analytics capabilities Buy Now, Pay Later players and mass market services such as telcos.
2021 FinAccel on Monday agreed to go public through a merger with a blank-check firm, valuing the parent of Indonesian buy now, pay later
platform Kredivo at about $2.5 billion, a further sign of consolidation in the fast-growing sector. Kredivo, the largest buy now, pay later
platform in Indonesia, provides customers instant credit financing for e-commerce and offline purchases, as well as personal loans,
based on AI-enabled real-time decisioning.
48
BNPL RECENT NEWS
Jul Grab taps Adyen to extend BNPL offering across Southeast Asia
Grab, has deepened its partnership with Adyen, the payments platform of choice for many of the world’s leading companies, by enabling
2021
more merchants – starting in Singapore and Malaysia – to offer PayLater payment options to consumers. Customers will be able to
choose between interest-free payments over four installments (PayLater installments), or the following month (PayLater Postpaid).
Jul Grab PayLater, Atome, Hoolah gain traction amid BNPL boom in Singapore
About 19% of Singapore’s population over the age of 16 has tried a BNPL service such as Hoolah, Atome, or Grab PayLater. 30% of
2021
Singaporeans aged between 25 and 34 were “most likely” to have used a BNPL service. While half of the users spend about S$100
(US$74.25) or less, consumers with moderate-to-high income shell out over S$501 (US$372) while using BNPL services.
Apple, Goldman Plan ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ Service to Rival Affirm
Jul
Apple Inc. is working on a new service that will let consumers pay for any Apple Pay purchase in installments over time, rivaling the “buy
2021 now, pay later” offerings popularized by services from Affirm Holdings Inc. and PayPal Holdings Inc. The upcoming service, known
internally as Apple Pay Later, will use Goldman Sachs Group Inc. as the lender for the loans needed for the installment offerings,
according to people with knowledge of the matter.
49
BNPL RECENT NEWS
Fintech giant Klarna raises $639M at a $45.6B valuation amid ‘massive momentum’ in the US
Jun
Just over three months after its last funding round, European fintech giant Klarna is announcing that it has raised another $639 million at
2021
a staggering post-money valuation of $45.6 billion. Overall, Klarna is live in 20 markets, has more than 90 million global active users and
more than 2 million transactions a day conducted on its platform. The company’s momentum can be seen in its impressive financial
results. In the first quarter, Klarna notched $18.1 billion in volume compared to $9.9 billion in the prior year first quarter. In all of 2020, it
processed $53 billion in volume.
50
BNPL RECENT NEWS
2021 Southeast Asian online travel startup Traveloka announced plans to launch buy now, pay later services in Thailand and Vietnam to its 40
million active monthly users. Having launched its financial services in Indonesia, Traveloka said that it has facilitated more than 6 million
loans, launched “Paylater” credit cards with several local lenders while offering insurance and wealth management services. Traveloka
added that it could potentially acquire a bank in Indonesia similar to Gojek’s move in acquiring a 22% stake in Bank Jago as part of its
push into the fintech space.
Mar Fundiin receives financing for its Vietnam-focused BNPL platform from 1982 Ventures
Buy-now, pay-later startup Fundiin said it has raised an undisclosed amount of funding led by 1982 Ventures and Zone Startups
2021
Ventures. As part of the deal, Scott Krivokopich, Managing Partner at 1982 Ventures, has joined Fundiin’s board. The fresh funds will go
towards bankrolling market expansion plans as the BNPL startup seeks to serve a “growing waitlist of merchants and their customers.”
Amid buy-now-pay-later boom, Paidy becomes unicorn after raising $120M in series D
Mar
Tokyo-based Paidy, the Japanese startup behind cardless online payments and “Buy Now, Pay Later” service, has raised US$120
2021 million in a Series D round, according to Nikkei’s report. It says the amount is one of the largest ever raised by an unlisted startup in
Japan. Prior to this, the company secured $55 million in a Series C round in July 2018, followed by its extension round securing $83
million in November of 2019 and an undisclosed sum in April of 2020. The latest round brought the sum raised up to date to about $337
million while the total amount of debt facilities has reached $248 million. According to sources, their valuation is estimated about $1.32
billion, which means they have join the unicorn club.
51
BNPL RECENT NEWS
Feb AsiaPay, Atome to enable ‘buy now pay later’ (BNPL) acceptance
Hong Kong-based AsiaPay, a digital payment solution and technology vendor, and ‘Buy Now Pay Later’ platform, Atome, announced a
2021
joint partnership aimed at enabling seamless, flexible installment payment options online and offline retail businesses across the Asia
Pacific (APAC) region. As an integrated digital payment solution and payment service provider in Asia, AsiaPay’ s platform connects to
over 100 banks and alternative payment methods, including credit and debit cards, bank account/net banking, pre-paid cards, digital
wallets and now BNPL products in 11 country locations (including Vietnam).
Feb BNPL giant Klarna has tripled its valuation to $31 billion, making it Europe's most valuable private startup
2021 Swedish "buy now, pay later" payments company Klarna has nearly tripled its valuation to $31 billion in less than six months, after it
announced a new $1 billion fundraising round. The new round, which makes Klarna the most valuable European startup, was
oversubscribed four times and included a combination of new and existing investors. The firm completed a $650 million funding round in
September/2020 from a group of investors led by Silver Lake that valued it at $11 billion.
Jan Agoda Rolls Our Buy Now, Pay Later Payment Solution With Atome
2021 Digital travel platform Agoda has launched a regional partnership with Singaporean buy now, pay later platform Atome to offer flexible
installment payment options for accommodation bookings first in Singapore and Malaysia, before rolling out to include eight additional
markets in Southeast Asia and Asia Pacific this year. This new convenient and secure payment option for Agoda travelers will expand to
include additional SEA markets including Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam as well as Hong Kong and Taiwan next year.
Jan Affirm IPO Highlights Rapid Growth of ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ Industry
2021 Affirm kicked off trading on the Nasdaq, amid what has turned out to be a good year for BNPL companies. Shares of Affirm, the first major
tech IPO of 2021, jumping 100 % in first day of trading from the $49 per share open to just over $100 per share before closing out the day
at $97.24 per share. Inside IPO, Affirm has raised a total of $1.5 billion in funding from investors including Durable Capital
Partners, GIC, Thrive Capital and Spark Capital.
52
RESEARCH CONTRIBUTORS
4th Floor, TDL Building, No. 22 Lang Ha Street, Dong Da 9th Floor, Bitexco Nam Long Building, No. 63A Vo Van
District, Hanoi, Vietnam Tan Street, District 3, HCMC, Vietnam
Phone: +84-24 3248 4820 Phone: +84-28 7300 6588
Fax: +84-24 3248 4821 Fax: +84-28 6299 2088
www.tvs.vn