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Valuation Measuring and Managing The Value of Companies by Tim Koller, Marc Goedhart, David Wessels-Página872
Valuation Measuring and Managing The Value of Companies by Tim Koller, Marc Goedhart, David Wessels-Página872
852
Historical Forecast
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Forecast Ratio
Working capital
Operating cash 20.2 14.5 16.3 18.7 22.6 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 Days in revenues
Receivables, net 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.3 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 Days in merchandise cost
Merchandise inventories 32.2 31.8 32.1 32.7 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 31.3 Days in revenues
Other current assets 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 Days in revenues
Accounts payable 32.5 27.0 31.3 33.3 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 32.1 Days in merchandise cost
Accrued salaries and benefits 7.8 8.1 7.6 7.7 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 Days in revenues
Accrued member rewards 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 Days in revenues
Deferred membership fees 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 Days in revenues
Other current liabilities 5.3 6.1 7.4 7.5 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 Days in revenues
Equity accounts2
Stock-based compensation 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 % of revenues
Stock options exercised 0.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — % of revenues
Release of vested restricted stock units 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 % of revenues
Dividends 120.5 31.7 147.3 29.9 28.9 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.4 64.4 % of net income
1 The sum of debt and debt equivalents, inclusive of leases, is forecast as a fixed percentage of projected enterprise value, using a target debt-to-value ratio. Total debt is split between debt and capital leases and between current and long-term, based
on a 5-year historical average.
2 Excess cash is paid out over 5 years. Remaining cash flow is used to repurchase shares.