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The Delusions of Crowds Why People Go Mad in Groups Chinese Edition William J.Bernstein Full Chapter Download PDF
The Delusions of Crowds Why People Go Mad in Groups Chinese Edition William J.Bernstein Full Chapter Download PDF
The Delusions of Crowds Why People Go Mad in Groups Chinese Edition William J.Bernstein Full Chapter Download PDF
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群体的疯狂
[美]威廉·伯恩斯坦(William J.Bernstein) 著
王兴华 译
中信出版集团
目录
彩插
前言
1 末日论的起源 约阿希姆的子民们
2 滥用末日叙事的悲剧 信徒与无赖
3 短暂的致富 密西西比泡沫与南海泡沫
4 资本主义的英雄 英国铁路泡沫
5 米勒运动的“大失望” 数秘主义与确认偏
见
6 弹性货币政策的灾难 泡沫与崩溃的四个前
提
7 致富空想的破灭 1929年大萧条
8 天启之牛 时代论如何兴起
9 圣殿山的争夺 末日叙事如何影响犹太人建
国
10 《启示录》的开创者 畅销书与美国核武
政策
11 时代论的灾难 大卫教派的悲剧
12 “被提”类小说 末日文学为何畅销
13 资本主义的慈善家 从环球电讯、安然公
司到互联网泡沫
14 数字时代暴富梦的推手 投资分析师、大
众、媒体与政治家
15 伊斯兰国的兴衰 马赫迪与哈里发
后记
致谢
导读锦囊
版权页
彩插
苏格兰词曲作家、诗人、记者查尔斯·麦基最为人所知的是他写的回忆录《大癫
狂:非同寻常的大众幻想与群众性癫狂》。该书于1841年首次出版,至今仍在印刷
中
图片来源:维基共享资源
扬·博克尔松是一位小镇镇长的私生子,他的魅力和戏剧表演技巧促使他领导了
1534—1535年灾难性的明斯特末日时代叛乱
图片来源:明斯特国家博物馆
曾经折磨过博克尔松和他的副手的钳子(左图),以及将他们的尸体吊在教堂塔楼
上的笼子(右图)。笼子至今仍然可见
图片来源:明斯特国家博物馆
这幅1720年的漫画把约翰·劳描绘成堂吉诃德
图片来源:哈佛大学贝克图书馆
爱德华·马修·沃德1847年的画作《南海泡沫,1720年交易巷中的场景》
图片来源:©伦敦泰特美术馆
心理学家彼得·沃森于20世纪50年代的实验中确立了如今被广泛引用的“确认偏
见”概念
图片来源:阿默尔和萨拉·沃森
19世纪40年代不屈不挠的铁路大亨乔治·哈德森同时毁掉了数千投资者,并为英格
兰资助了世界上第一个高速运输网络
图片来源:维基共享资源
威廉·米勒早期的不可知论被强烈的宗教信仰和对末日迫在眉睫的执着取代
图片来源:基督复临安息日会数字图书馆
约书亚·海姆斯的财富、社会关系和组织能力将米勒的神学推进成一场强大的群众
运动
图片来源:基督复临安息日会数字图书馆
《午夜呼声》的头版图片,从1844年10月19日开始,也就是“世界末日”的三天前
图片来源:基督复临安息日会数字图书馆
1842—1844年,威廉·米勒的末日追随者组织了125次“野营集会”,多达数千名
信徒参加。铁路公司经常修建专门的车站来接待与会者,传教士免费乘坐铁路
图片来源:基督复临安息日会数字图书馆
20世纪60年代和70年代,打破传统的经济学家海曼·明斯基描述了建立在金融杠杆
基础上的现代经济体系固有的不稳定性
图片来源:贝林格-德拉奇/巴德学院利维经济研究所
在20世纪20年代,“阳光查理”米切尔向纽约城市银行(花旗银行前身)的毫无戒
心的客户出售了数十亿美元的不可靠股票和债券
图片来源:维基共享资源
费迪南·佩科拉是一位经验丰富的检察官,他的质询如此巧妙地让查理·米切尔入
罪,以至于他在美国参议院银行和货币委员会首席法律顾问的任期内领衔的委员会
被称为“佩科拉委员会”
图片来源:维基共享资源
英国突击队员奥德·温盖特深刻吸收了他家族的时代论末世神学,并指导了以色列
军队高层的许多人,包括摩西·达扬
图片来源:维基共享资源
1948年,以色列耶路撒冷前线指挥官摩西·达扬(右侧握手者),与他的对手阿卜
杜拉·塔勒(左侧握手者)乘车前往安曼与约旦国王会谈
图片来源:维基共享资源
1967年6月,占领旧城后,狂热的以色列军队首席拉比什洛莫·戈伦立即在西墙吹
响了仪式性的羊角号。后来,他试图说服乌兹·纳尔基斯炸毁岩石圆顶清真寺,但
没有成功
图片来源:维基共享资源
以色列当地指挥官乌兹·纳尔基斯(左)、国防部长摩西·达扬(中)和参谋长伊
扎克·拉宾(右)大步走进这座古城,1967年6月7日
图片来源:以色列国家图片收藏
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