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Akhmadishina 2020
Akhmadishina 2020
Contents
1. Toxocariasis incidence in Russia 420
2. Toxocariasis seroprevalence in Russia 421
3. Assay sensitivity 427
4. Assay specificity 428
5. Conclusion 429
Acknowledgements 430
References 430
Further reading 432
Abstract
Overall incidence of toxocariasis in Russia is low and varies between 1.6 and 2.7 per
100,000, while in several hyper-endemic regions, such as Altay, Kurgan, Perm and
Udmurtia, it reaches 43 per 100,000. The seroprevalence of toxocariasis in published ref-
erences was on average 16% and varied across the regions of Russia from negligible in
North Siberia to 40% in southern regions of West Siberia. Seroprevalence in adults in
five regions of Russia identified in this study was on average 20%, and varied from
3% in Yakutia (north of East Siberia) to 36% in Rostov-on-Don, South Russia. There
was no correlation between seroprevalence and reported incidence of toxocariasis;
however, the pattern of seroprevalence variation could be linked to Toxocara preva-
lence in dogs. Toxocariasis seroprevalence has more than doubled over the last 20 years.
Diagnostic antibody titres (1:800 or more) were found in 3.6% of sera, suggesting about
five million of acute Toxocara invasions per year.
Fig. 2 Map of Toxocara seroprevalence study sites in previous publications (circles) and
€ppen climate
in this study (squares). Numbers correspond to Table 1. Colour indicates Ko
zones according to the legend. The original image was taken from https://en.wikipedia.
org/wiki/Climate_of_Russia.
424 Lyudmila V. Akhmadishina et al.
30
6
20
4
10 2
0 0
Moscow
region
>1:800 1:100-1:400 Incidence
Fig. 3 Seroprevalence and incidence of toxocariasis in five regions of Russia.
(Fig. 3). The Moscow region featured a high seroprevalence (24%), while
the incidence was 0.03 per 100,000, almost the lowest in the country. Given
the relatively high healthcare level, toxocariasis awareness, and the availabil-
ity of diagnostics in Moscow, the incidence of overt disease in this case is less
likely to be significantly underestimated. On the contrary, the incidence in
Ekaterinburg is among the highest in Russia, about four times the country’s
average, while the seroprevalence (13%) was below average.
The overall fraction of sera with high antibody titres ( 1:800) was 3.6%.
This titre is recommended as a threshold for acute toxocariasis diagnostics.
The fraction of high-titre sera among all positive ones varied from zero to
30%. Similar to general seroprevalence, there was no correlation between
high-titre seroprevalence and incidence. The high-titre seroprevalence var-
ied from zero in Ekaterinburg (high registered incidence) to 11% in Rostov
(low incidence). In the latter case, an incidence of 1/100,000 was accom-
panied by 11% high-titre seroprevalence. Therefore, the registered and
projected incidence differed about 10,000-fold.
A lack of correlation between incidence and seroprevalence has been
also reported in a study done in a hyper-endemic region (Altay, south
of West Siberia). While the incidence ranged between 0.7 and 5.1 per
100,000 in the central districts and reached 77.6 in the Northern region,
the seroprevalence was 10–20% in moderately endemic districts and 17%
in the hyper-endemic ones (Pautova et al., 2012).
Absence of correlation between seroprevalence and incidence can have
several explanations. First, it might be due to an absence of typical clinical
426 Lyudmila V. Akhmadishina et al.
signs, limited diagnostic capacity and a vague case definition. Second, aware-
ness of medical personnel can have an effect, both negative (lack of knowl-
edge) and positive (over-diagnostics). Antigenic cross-reactivity could also
play a role. It is conceivable that all these factors play a role in Russia.
However, the gap between seroprevalence and incidence is huge, especially
in Moscow. Also, the ratio of high-titre and low-titre sera identified in a
single experiment varies across regions.
A lack of correlation between the incidence and the seroprevalence
could be also explained by distinct invasion sources or transmission mech-
anisms. Toxocara eggs were found in 4–10% of vegetables and greenery sam-
ples in Russia (Sabirova et al., 2012; Suleymanova, 2012). This could lead to
common, but low-multiplicity invasion due to a lower number of eggs
in these sources, on average 13.8 eggs per kilogram (Bittirov et al., 2018),
and explain the significant seroprevalence in the absence of overt disease
(as observed in Moscow and Rostov-on-Don) and a low prevalence of
infection in pet dogs in the area (Moscow). This hypothetical food-borne
route could also explain a high seroprevalence in an area with the highest
socioeconomic level (Moscow) because it contradicts the published reports
of significantly higher seroprevalence in risk groups or a socially vulnerable
population (Alvarado-Esquivel, 2013; Antolova et al., 2015). Higher con-
sumption of vegetables and greenery in this economically privileged region
could promote common low-grade invasion. On the contrary, in high-
incidence regions, the classical infection directly from contaminated soil
may be relatively more common, hypothetically more likely to provide
a high infecting dose, and thus a symptomatic disease. Obviously, there
is no direct proof for this hypothesis, and further studies are required to test
the potential impact of distinct infection routes in Russia.
Although there was no systematic data on Toxocara prevalence in primary
hosts in all the study regions, it is worth noting that a high seroprevalence
was observed in the Moscow region. The previously reported seropreva-
lence in Moscow was similar to other regions of Russia, but not lower
(Avdiukhina and Lysenko, 1994; Guzeeva, 2009). At the same time, the
reported incidence of human toxocariasis in Moscow is one of the lowest
in Russia and varies between 0.1 and 0.5 per 100,000. This corresponds
to a low prevalence of infection in pet dogs, below 5% compared to the
30% average in Russia (Lukashev et al., 2020). In this case, the seropreva-
lence was not correlated to the hypothetical low exposure risk from infec-
ted dogs. This observation further stresses that in the case of toxocariasis,
seroprevalence may poorly reflect the overt disease incidence.
Seroprevalence and incidence of human toxocarosis in Russia 427
3. Assay sensitivity
Although dozens of toxocariasis seroepidemiology studies have been
published in the world, the data is far from comprehensive, largely due to the
limited compatibility of methodology, including sampling and testing
approaches. Moreover, some of the popular testing methods may lack both
sensitivity and specificity to the degree that would seriously complicate the
interpretation of the results (Ma et al., 2018). As antibody titres decrease over
time, this may lead to the under-estimation of seroprevalence. This is
highlighted by the reports of a seasonal pattern of toxocariasis seroprevalence
in Moscow, with the highest values (32–42%) observed in summer and
autumn, and the lowest (11–16%) in winter and spring (Guzeeva, 2009).
A similar seasonal variation of seroprevalence was observed in Omsk
(Berezina et al., 2011). This profile corresponds to seasonal fluctuations in
egg shedding by dogs and the contamination of the environment commonly
observed in Russia (Lukashev et al., 2020), and suggests that at least some of
428 Lyudmila V. Akhmadishina et al.
4. Assay specificity
Specificity is commonly a key limitation of serological tests in hel-
minthology, and in toxocariasis in particular (Ma et al., 2018). Moreover,
it may be difficult to distinguish the effect of cross-reactivity from the input
of risky behaviour and poor sanitary habits that increase chances of infection
with different parasites. In Novosibirsk (Siberia, endemic for Opisthorchis),
8.3% of adults had antibodies to Toxocara, 7.9% to Opisthorchis and 4.6%
to both parasites (Frolova et al., 1997). In Khabarovsk (Far East, endemic
for Clonorchis) 16.4% adults were positive for Toxocara, 14.8% to
Clonorchis and 8.6% to both (Kozyreva, 1999). In both studies the fraction
of Toxocara-positive adults was significantly higher among fluke-seropositive
than among fluke-seronegative individuals. Flukes are not universally pre-
valent in Russia and could not affect the results for all regions. Cross-
reactivity with Ascaris has been the major concern due to phylogenetic
relatedness of the two helminths, relatively high incidence of ascaridosis
in Russia, and published reports of cross-reactivity between Toxocara
and Ascaris suum (Munoz-Guzman et al., 2010). To test cross-reactivity
Seroprevalence and incidence of human toxocarosis in Russia 429
5. Conclusion
The results of this and many other studies show that human infection
by Toxocara is ubiquitous in the human population. The average seroprev-
alence in adults in Russia was 20%. Based upon a suggestion of rapid anti-
body clearance in humans (Deplazes et al., 2011), this corresponds to
roughly 10 million invasions per year in Russia. A comparable estimate
of five million cases can be obtained by extrapolating a ratio of diagnostically
relevant high-titre sera (3,6%) on the population of Russia. The reported
incidence of toxocariasis (about 2000 cases per year) suggests that signifi-
cantly less than 1% of infections are diagnosed. The seroprevalence in
Russia was roughly double that of Europe and the USA, which corresponds
to double the prevalence of Toxocara in its primary hosts. However, there
was no correlation between the seroprevalence of Toxocara in humans
and the prevalence in dogs among the regions of Russia.
A lack of correlation between the seroprevalence and incidence suggests
that the exposure and egg ingestion are necessary, but not the key factors for
the development of the symptomatic human disease. The multiplicity of
infection (amount of ingested eggs) may be a critical factor. Immune status,
430 Lyudmila V. Akhmadishina et al.
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the Russian Academic Excellence Project 5-100.
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Further reading
MOSCOW: Ministry of Health of Russia, 2001. Toxocarosis Prophylaxis: Methodical
Guidelines MU 3.2.1043-01. Ministry of Health.