Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chapter One and Two
Chapter One and Two
goods.
and total system approach to plan, acquire, store, move and control materials (raw
materials, supplies, work-in-process, and semi finished goods) in order to optimize all
management is attitude.
materials.
Reducing materials costs by systematic use of scientific techniques.
Increasing the competitiveness of end products by ensuring right quality at the right
substitution.
Establishing good buyer-seller-relation.
C. Purchasing
Independent demand is not related to the demand for any other product. For
example, if a company makes wooden tables, the demand for the tables is
independent.
However, dependent demand is directly related to the demand for higher-level
assemblies or products.
The demand for the sides, ends, legs, and tops depends on the demand for the
Please determine the planned order receipts and releases assume there are 50
Example: complete the following table. Lead time for the part is two weeks.
The order quantity (lot size) is 100 units.
Weeks 1 2 3 4
Gross requirement 50 45 20
Project available (75)
Net requirement
Planned order receipts
Planned order release
If this is the case, it is necessary to make sure that all gross requirements for
times are one week, and the following amounts are in inventory: A, 20 units;
B, 10 units; and C, 10 units.
future events.
Forecasting provides information about the
Forecasting can be made for any thing but the focus here is demand
forecasting.
Forecasting is one of the inputs to all types of business planning and control.
Thus, quality of a decision depends in large part on the quality of the forecast.
It is a most important aspect for a business for achieving its objectives.
It reduces risk related to business activities and helps it to take efficient
decisions.
For firms having production at the mass level, the importance of forecasting
5. Comparing results
6. Follow up action
some managers.
Panel Consensus
Historical Analogy
Delphi method
intuition and experience as the bases of forecasts and are subjective by their
very nature.
1. Grass Roots - drive a forecast by compile input from those at the end of the
hierarchy of the organization who deal with what is being forecasted.
2. Market Research - When market research technique is adopted data is
collected in various ways (surveys, interviews, etc) to test hypothesis about the
market.
patterns over time and to project these patterns forward into the future.
Causal models are used when one variable is related to and therefore, depend
A) Last Period Demand (LPD): method simply forecasts for the next period
Ft = (At – 1) + 1- (Ft - 1)
46 Samara University Department of Management
8/23/2023
Continued
Example
Year Actual demand Forecast Predict the next year(s) demand based on
2010 2000
Exponential smoothing (a=0.6)
2011 2500
2012 2300
2013 2700
2014 2400
2015 2600
2016 - ?
Year Time period (x) Actual demand (y) Predict the next year(s) demand for 2016
2009 1 100
based on:
2010 2 110
Simple regression method
2011 3 122
2012 4 130
2013 5 139
2014 6 152
2015 7 164