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Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases
Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases
DISEASES
INFECTIOUS
Dynamics of transmissibility
Time
Dynamics of the
pathogenicity
Time
• Reservoir : natural host or habitat in which the agent
finds the conditions essential for its survival, and from
there it passes to the susceptible host through
transmission mechanisms.
• Human being, animal, plant, soil, inanimate object.
• Source of Infection : it is an occasional habitat
in which the agent temporarily maintains the
ability to reproduce:
• Secretions, feces, blood, water, food or an
object.
• Example: Hepatitis A; the man is the
contaminated reservoir, water or food source.
• Zoonoses: group of more than 400 infections,
whose reservoir is a vertebrate animal and can
spread to humans. (brucellosis, anthrax)
KIND OF PLACE WHERE MOST COMMON Form FOODS MORE
MICRO ORGANISM THEY ARE USUALLY OF TRANSMISSION APPETIZING BY
FOUND THESE
MICROORGANISMS
staphylococcus In the nose, Through our Creams, creams,
throat, skin hands, sneezing or sauces, fresh cheeses,
(especially talking over food and etc.
pimples, wounds work utensils.
and nails). Through the
SALMONELLAS In the intestine of The sauces
People and (especially
animals. hands or utensils or mayonnaise), meats,
raw materials when etc.
they are contaminated.
CLOSTRIDIUM On earth Through the tools Preserves and
BOTULINUM of work or raw homemade sausages.
material, if they have
been in contact with
the ground.
CLOSTRIDIUM Pre-cooked foods that
PERFRINGENS In the dirt, dust and are allowed to cool
hands of the slowly.
handler.
• Carrier : person who without presenting
clinical evidence of disease disseminates
microorganisms.
• It may be in the incubation or convalescent
phase.
• It may be a healthy person with colonization or
inapparent infection.
Transmission Mechanisms, Host
Susceptible and Environment
• Transmission Mechanisms : routes and means
used by the infective agent to move from the
reservoir or infected source to a susceptible host:
1. Direct Contact:
Sexual contact (HIV, gonorrhea)
Mucosal contact (conjunctivitis, mononucleosis)
Transplacental route (rubella)
Hand contact (respiratory tract, skin) Animal bite
(rabies)
2. Through the air:
Quantitative Aspects
1. Attack Rate: Measurement of the frequency of
new cases of the disease in a given population
subjected to infectious risk over a period of
time. (proportion of people who have become ill
among those exposed).
Short period (minutes to months)
Allows you to estimate the intensity of the risk
• It is calculated by : Dividing the number of
detected cases of the disease by the total number
of exposed people and multiplying by 100 to
express it in %.
• Example : food poisoning
126 attended the banquet
42 got sick
Attack Rate : (42/126)x 100= 33.3%
One third of people were affected
2. Basic Case Reproduction Number R o Average
number of disease cases produced by an infectious
case during its period of transmissibility when it
penetrates a totally susceptible population.
They are calculated using mathematical models
based on observed data.
Example:
Measles had R o = 15 and 17
On average, each case produced 15 to 17
secondary cases before the infection resolved.
According to Anderson, 1991.
• Parotitis: 10-12
• Rubella: 7-8
• Whooping cough: 16-17
• Diphtheria and poliomyelitis: 5-6
R o : When it is greater than 1 it means that an epidemic
can occur at any time, because each case of infection
generates another.
When it is less than 1: the agent is practically blocked and
the infection has a tendency to disappear. Each case
does not produce another.
Epidemiological Forms of
presentation of the EI
• Endemic : usual presence or expected level of
prevalence of an infectious disease in a
population.
• Epidemic : community phenomenon in which the
observed incidence of cases clearly exceeds that
expected. If it is localized (town, city...) Epidemic
Outbreak .
• Epidemics occur due to the presence of
factors that alter the Epidemiological Chain
• Example: Emergence of resistant MO,
unknown MOs.
Increased pathogenicity.
• Pandemic : when an epidemic affects several
countries or continents (AIDS, tuberculosis,
malaria, cholera, flu
• Three main Types of Epidemics :
1. Common Source : Disease occurs as a result
of exposure to a common vehicle containing
the pathogen.
2. Propagative : the agent is transmitted from
one person to another consecutively.
3. Mixed : mixture of the two previous types
Epidemiological surveillance
• What it is: Permanent and systematic
collection of information to understand the
distribution and trends of diseases.
• Goals:
1. Identify problems
2. Guide interventions
3. Suggest hypotheses for research
• Systems :
1. Mandatory declaration of diseases
2. Notification made by laboratories
3. Disease registries and sentinel systems.
Each country, according to its epidemiological
situation, determines the list of diseases to
notify the health administration.