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Chapter 3 - Valuing A Bond
Chapter 3 - Valuing A Bond
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
CHAPTER 3
VALUING A BOND
Balance Sheet
Liabilities
Assets
Equity
Balance Sheet
Face Value
Face Value
US: 1,000$; Europe: 100 euro; Viet
Nam: 10 million dong
Face Value
US: 1,000$; Europe: 100 euro; Viet
Nam: 10 million dong
Equity =>
STOCK
Yield-to-maturity
Face Value
US: 1,000$; Europe: 100 euro; Viet
Nam: 10 million dong
Equity =>
STOCK
Yield-to-maturity
= Discount rate (%)
C C C C C C C C C C + FaceValue
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Yield-to-maturity
= Discount rate (%)
Yield-to-maturity
= Discount rate (%)
C C C C C C C C C C + FaceValue
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
−𝑛
1− 1+𝑟 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
𝑃𝑉 = 𝐶 × +
𝑟 1+𝑟 𝑛
Yield-to-maturity
= Discount rate (%)
C C C C C C C C C C + FaceValue
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
−𝑛∗2
1 − 1 + 𝑟/2 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
𝑃𝑉 = 𝐶 × +
𝑟/2 1 + 𝑟/2 𝑛∗2
C C C C C C C C C C + FaceValue
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year Ci PV(Ci)
1 C C / (1 + r)^1
2 C C / (1 + r)^2
3 C C / (1 + r)^3
n C + Face Value (C + Face Value) / (1 + r)^n
C C C C C C C C C C + FaceValue
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
duration
Modified Duration = volatility (%) =
1 + yield
duration
Modified Duration = Volatility (%) =
1 + yield
𝑷𝟏 − 𝑷𝟎
% 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒂 𝑩𝒐𝒏𝒅 =
𝑷𝟎
= 𝑽𝒐𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒕𝒚 × 𝒀𝑻𝑴 𝒂𝒇𝒕𝒆𝒓 − 𝒀𝑻𝑴 𝒃𝒆𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒆
YTM (r)
1981
1987 & Normal
1976
Year
1 5 10 20 30
Spot Rate - The actual interest rate today (t=0)
Forward Rate - The interest rate, fixed today, on a loan
made in the future at a fixed time.
Future Rate - The spot rate that is expected in the future
Yield To Maturity (YTM) - The IRR on an interest bearing
instrument
Expectations Theory
• Interest rates and bond prices are inversely related. High interest rates cause
bond prices to fall and vice-versa. For a given change in interest rates, prices of
long-term bonds fluctuate more than for short-term bonds. Similarly, for a given
change in interest rates low coupon bond prices fluctuate more than for high
coupon bonds.
• Yield to maturity is the weighted average of spot interest rates and estimated
forward rates.
• A forward rate prevailing from period three through to period four can be
extracted from spot interest rate with 3 and 4 years to maturity.
• Interest represented by "r2" is: Spot rate on a two-year investment (APR).
• One person can invest today at the 2-year forward rate of interest by buying a 2-
year bond and selling a 1-year bond with the same coupon.
• The relationship between spot and forward rates: A forward rate is the internal
rate of return derived from the future value of bonds given spot rates from two
different maturity bonds.
9/18/2023
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2009 Aug 15 2009
2011 Aug 15
2013 Aug 15
2015 Aug 15
2017 Aug 15
2019 Aug 15
2021 Aug 15
2023 Aug 15
Maturity
2025 Aug 15
2027 Aug 15
2029 Aug 15
Self-study
2031 Aug 15
2035 Aug 15
2037 Aug 15
U.S. Treasury Strip Spot Rates as of February
Spot rates & Forward rates
44
Expectation theory
Self-study
• The expectations theory implies that the only reason for a declining term
structure is that investors expect spot interest rates to fall.
• The expectations theory postulates that the current forward rates are the
expected value of the corresponding future spot rates.
• The expectations hypothesis states that the forward interest rate is the
expected future spot rate.
r
Supply
Real r
Demand
$ Qty
9/18/2023 B02037 – Chapter 3: Valuing a Bond 46
Real rates and nominal rates
Self-study
• The relationship between nominal interest rate and real interest rate is given by:
• Key to bond ratings. The highest-quality bonds are rated triple A. Bonds
rated triple B or above are investment grade. Lower-rated bonds are called
high-yield, or junk, bonds.