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ESG score prediction through random forest algorithm
Jun 2022 · Computational Management Science 19(1)
DOI: 10.1007/s10287-021-00419-3
Valeria D’Amato · Rita laura d'ecclesia · Susanna Levantesi

Research Interest Score 35.2


Citations 34
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Abstract and figures


Environment-related risks affect assets in various sectors of the global economy, as well as social
and governance aspects, giving birth to what is known as ESG investments. Sustainable and
responsible finance has become a major aim for asset managers who are regularly dealing with the
measurement and management of ESG risks. To this purpose, Financial Institutions and Rating
Agencies have created an ESG score aimed to provide disclosure on the environment, social, and
governance (corporate social responsibilities) metrics. CSR/ESG ratings are becoming quite popular
even if highly questioned in terms of reliability. Asset managers do not always believe that markets
consistently and correctly price climate risks into company valuations, in these cases ESG ratings,
when available, provide an important tool in the company’s fundraising process or on the shares’
return. Assuming we can choose a reliable set of CSR/ESG ratings, we aim to assess how structural
data- balance sheet items- may affect ESG scores assigned to regularly traded stocks. Using a
Random Forest algorithm, we investigate how structural data affect the Thomson Reuters Refinitiv
ESG scores for the companies which constitute the STOXX 600 Index. We find that balance sheet
data provide a crucial element to explain ESG scores.

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