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SYA Rifinitive Research 20240701
SYA Rifinitive Research 20240701
AVERAGE SCORE
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: SYA's current score of 3 Score Averages
places it among the bottom quartile of stocks Metals & Mining Group: 4.9 Small Market Cap: 6.7
scored. Mineral Resources Sector: 4.9 ASX 200 Index: 6.8
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IPX 6 9 9 10 9
WC8 2 9 9 9 9
Neutral INR 4 6 4 4 4
SYA 5 5 3 3 3
Negative
SYR 6 3 2 2 2
2021-06 2022-06 2023-06 2024-06
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 6 Years) Positive 2023-09-29 2023-06-30 -0.002 -0.007 71.4%
Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
0.04 (AUD) 33.7M 0.20 -- -- -4.3% -- -16.3%
2024 June 28 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
AUSTRALIAN Exchange
371M 0.03 -- -- 118M 19.3% -7.7%
AVERAGE SCORE
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: SYA's current score of 3 Score Averages
places it among the bottom quartile of stocks Metals & Mining Group: 4.9 Small Market Cap: 6.7
scored. Mineral Resources Sector: 4.9 ASX 200 Index: 6.8
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IPX 6 9 9 10 9
WC8 2 9 9 9 9
Neutral INR 4 6 4 4 4
SYA 5 5 3 3 3
Negative
SYR 6 3 2 2 2
2021-06 2022-06 2023-06 2024-06
BUSINESS SUMMARY
Sayona Mining Limited is an Australia-based lithium producer with projects in Quebec, Canada and Western Australia. The Company's projects include
Authier Lithium Project, Tansim Lithium Project, Moblan Lithium Project, Lac Albert Lithium Project, Western Australia Lithium Projects, Western
Australia Gold Projects, and Western Australia Graphite Projects. The Authier Lithium project is situated approximately 45 kilometers (km) northwest of
the city of Val d'Or, a mining service center in Quebec. The project area comprises 19 mineral claims totaling 653 hectares and extends approximately
3.4 km in the east-west, and 3.1 km in a north-south direction, respectively. The Tansim Lithium project is situated approximately 82 km southwest of
the Authier Lithium Project. The project comprises 355 mineral claims spanning 20,546 hectares (ha) and is prospective for lithium, tantalum, and
beryllium. The Moblan Lithium project is located in the Eeyou-Istchee James Bay region of northern Quebec.
Page 1 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
9 JMS 0.32 -4.5% 40.0% 57.5% 617M 8.1 12.1 7.0% 548.5% -- Buy 1
7 OMH 0.45 -11.0% 2.3% -11.9% 341M 11.9 8.7 2.3% 3.1% -- -- --
5.1 Average 0.82 -20.8% -6.2% -7.0% 572M 169.6 10.4 4.6% -951.5% -- Buy 3.8
PEER COMPANIES
INR ioneer RNU Renascor Resources
IPX Iperionx SYR Syrah Resources
JMS Jupiter Mines TLG Talga Group
LTR Liontown Resources VUL Vulcan Energy Resources
OMH OM Holdings WC8 Wildcat Resources
Page 2 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive INR 5 8 8 8 8
SYA 2 6 7 6 6
Neutral SYR 5 1 3 1 1
IPX NR NR NR NR NR
Negative
WC8 NR NR NR NR NR
2021-06 2022-06 2023-06 2024-06
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)
INR
IPX
INR SYA
SYA
WC8
SYR SYR
IPX INR
SYA IPX
WC8 SYR
WC8
Page 3 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
-0.009
2023 2024 2025
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 6 Years) Positive 2023-09-29 2023-06-30 -0.002 -0.007 71.4%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may HIGH
influence a buy recommendation, while 250.0M MEAN
LOW 2024 2025
flat or falling sales and faltering 200.0M
earnings may explain a sell Mean 220.1M 240.4M
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 150.0M High 230.2M 241.7M
or falling sales may result from
increased cost efficiency and margins, 100.0M
Low 210.1M 239.0M
rather than market expansion. This Forecasted Growth 13395% 14639%
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 50.0M
# of Analysts 2 2
1.6M
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next 0.00
2023 2024 2025
fiscal year.
Page 4 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
FUNDAMENTAL
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Fundamentals relatively Fundamental Score Averages
in-line with the market. Metals & Mining Group: 5.3 Small Market Cap: 6.0
Mineral Resources Sector: 5.3 ASX 200 Index: 5.7
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2020 2021 2022 2023 Current 6Y Trend
WC8 4 1 2 2 8
Positive SYA 1 2 9 9 7
IPX 4 1 6 4 6
Neutral
INR 3 6 2 3 3
Negative
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 SYR 6 8 10 4 2
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
SYA
WC8 WC8 SYA
INR
IPX IPX
IPX
SYR SYR
INR
INR
SYR
SYA
WC8
INR
IPX
SYA
SYR
WC8
Revenue Growth 7367% Current Ratio 3.0 Oper. Cash Yield 127.5% Dividend Growth --
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-12 ending -- ending --
Gross Margin -20.7% Debt-to-Capital 3.2% Accruals 47.2% Dividend Payout --
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-06 ending 2023-06 ending --
Return On Equity -4.3% Interest Funding 2.1% Days Sales In Inv. -509.8 Dividend Coverage --
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-12 ending 2023-06 ending --
Net Margin -23.3% Interest Coverage -106.3 Days Sales In Rec. 5080.1 Current Div. Yield --
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 2023-12 ending 2023-12 ending 2023-06 ending --
HIGHLIGHTS
- The Fundamental Rating for Sayona Mining improved significantly over - The company's accruals ratio has been higher than its industry group
the last year from 1 to 7. The average Fundamental Rating for its average for each of the past five years.
Metals & Mining industry group is 5.3 and the S&P/ASX 200 index - Sayona Mining does not currently pay a dividend. Of 706 firms within
average is 5.7. the Metals & Mining industry group, it is among the 663 companies
- SYA's gross margin of -20.7% is substantially above the Metals & without a dividend.
Mining industry group average of -235%.
- SYA's debt-to-capital of 3.2% is substantially above the Metals &
Mining industry group average of 0.01%.
Page 5 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
RELATIVE VALUATION
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Multiples significantly Relative Valuation Score Averages
above the market or the stock's historic norms. Metals & Mining Group: 5.1 Small Market Cap: 5.3
Mineral Resources Sector: 5.1 ASX 200 Index: 4.9
Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive SYR 7 4 4 4 4
SYA 7 4 1 1 1
Neutral INR NR NR NR NR NR
IPX 2 NR NR NR NR
Negative
WC8 1 NR NR NR NR
2021-06 2022-06 2023-06 2024-06
SYR
SYA
HIGHLIGHTS
- Sayona Mining currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 1 which is - SYA's Price to Sales ratio of 224.7 represents a >100% Premium to its
significantly below the S&P/ASX 200 index average rating of 4.9. 5-year average of 20.0.
Page 6 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
Page 7 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
RISK
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Variable return patterns Risk Score Averages
(high volatility). Metals & Mining Group: 4.0 Small Market Cap: 7.3
Mineral Resources Sector: 4.1 ASX 200 Index: 8.6
Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IPX 6 5 7 7 7
SYR 2 3 5 5 5
Neutral WC8 2 4 4 4 5
INR 4 4 4 4 4
Negative
SYA 4 1 3 3 3
2021-06 2022-06 2023-06 2024-06
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
IPX
INR
WC8
SYA
SYR
IPX
SYR
SYR
INR
WC8 IPX
IPX
INR
SYA
SYA
INR
WC8 SYA WC8
SYR
Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. ASX 200 2.40 Correlation vs. ASX 200
Best 12.2% Last 90 Days 5.03 Positive Days Only 4.57 Last 90 Days 29%
Worst -12.2% Last 60 Months 30.64 Negative Days Only 0.94 Last 60 Months 33%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 2.79 Correlation vs. Group
Best 113.3% Average 6.7% Positive Days Only 2.27 Last 90 Days 38%
Worst -43.7% Largest 15.1% Negative Days Only 2.85 Last 60 Months 32%
Page 8 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IPX 10 10 10 10 10
WC8 9 10 10 9 9
Neutral INR 7 8 4 4 3
SYA 5 7 2 2 2
Negative
SYR 6 8 2 3 2
2021-06 2022-06 2023-06 2024-06
IPX IPX
WC8 WC8
INR
SYA
INR
SYR SYR
SYA
Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
SYA Industry Avg Jun Jul Aug
Last 10 Days 45 41 Company Avg -2.9% 1.7% 4.9%
Last 50 Days 45 45 Industry Avg -4.2% 10.3% 2.5%
Last 200 Days 45 47 Industry Rank 51 of 70 17 of 70 25 of 70
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the SYA SYA ASX 200
performance of the stock as compared to a
ASX 200 Close Price (2024-06-28) 0.04 7,768
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 0.20 7,897
2.9%
1-Week 52-Week Low 0.03 6,773
-0.4%
1-Month
-16.3% - Sayona Mining has a Price Momentum Rating of 2, which is
0% significantly below the S&P/ASX 200 index average rating of
5.6.
-7.7% - On 2024-06-28, SYA closed at 0.04, 82.0% below its 52-week
3-Month
-1.6% high and 12.5% above its 52-week low.
-49.3% - SYA shares are currently trading 7.2% below their 50-day
YTD moving average of 0.04, and 33.6% below their 200-day
2.3%
moving average of 0.05.
-78.8%
1-Year
7.9%
Page 9 of 11
© 2024 LSEG. All rights reserved.
SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
Page 10 of 11
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SAYONA MINING (SYA-AU)
Mineral Resources / Metals & Mining / Specialty Mining & Metals DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 2024-Jun-30
● Trailing P/E: Close Price / Most Recent 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings So far as laws and regulatory requirements permit, WealthHub Securities, its related
● Forward P/E: Close Price / Upcoming 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings companies (including NAB), associated entities and any officer, employee, agent,
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the methodology, information, recommendations, opinions or conclusions contained
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
in this research report ("Information") is accurate, reliable, complete or current. The
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Information is indicative and prepared for information purposes only and does not
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
purport to contain all matters relevant to any particular investment or financial
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
instrument. The Information is not intended to be relied upon and in all cases
averages.
anyone proposing to use the Information should independently verify and check its
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Price Performance
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