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2016 HT EmailAuthority
2016 HT EmailAuthority
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Palakorn Achananuparp
Singapore Management University
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Kwan Hui Lim*† , Ee-Peng Lim† , Binyan Jiang#‡ , and Palakorn Achananuparp†
*
The University of Melbourne, Australia, and † Singapore Management University, Singapore
#
Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, and ‡ Carnegie Mellon University, USA
limk2@student.unimelb.edu.au, {eplim,palakorna}@smu.edu.sg, binyanj@andrew.cmu.edu
User continues
ABSTRACT User drops out Event email
sent to user
Authority users often play important roles in a social sys-
tem. They are expected to write good reviews at product
review sites; provide high quality answers in question an- EP1: User
User opens
ignores email
swering systems; and share interesting content in social net- (does not open
and read
email
email)
works. In the context of marketing and advertising, know-
ing how users react to emails and messages from authority
senders is important, given the prevalence of email in our EP2: User opens
email but does
User clicks
on URL in
everyday life. Using a real-life academic event, we designed not click-thru
email
and conducted an online controlled experiment to determine
how email senders of different types of authority (depart-
ment head, event organizer and a general email account) EP3: User clicks- User browses
thru but does
affect the range of response behavior of recipients, which in- not browse the
on event
website
event website
cludes opening the email, browsing the event website, and
registering for the event. In addition, we proposed a sys-
tematic approach to analyze the user response behavior to EP4: User
browses event User registers
email campaigns from the time the user receives the email website but does
Registered
for event
not register
till he/she browses the website in a seamless manner. 1
1.00
1.00
Clicked-through, and Active and Registered Users.
0.50
0.50
Emails Emails Clicked- Active Registered
Cumulative Percent
Cumulative Percent
0.20
Sent Opened through Users Users
0.10
0.20
0.05
TGroup1 153 61 22 14 6
0.10
TGroup1 (HOD) TGroup1 (HOD)
TGroup2 288 88 20 14 6
0.02
TGroup2 (Org) TGroup2 (Org)
0.05
CGroup (General) CGroup (General)
0.01
CGroup 289 76 12 9 1 1e+01 1e+03 1e+05 1e+07 1e+02 1e+04 1e+06
Time (Sec) Time (Sec)
achieving the end goal. We will now examine each exit point Figure 3: Time to Email Open (left) and Click-thru
sequentially to determine if the authority status of email (right)
senders affect the user outflow at each exit point.
reject HC0 and HD0 . Thus, there is insufficient evidence
4.1 Authority Effect on Email Open Rate to show that emails sent by the HODs or event organizer
The first exit point we examine is when a user receives an are opened by its recipients in a different amount of time,
email but ignores it completely, i.e., does not even open the compared to that sent by the general account.
email as illustrated in EP1 of Fig. 1. Thus, we are inter- This lack of difference in email open times could be ex-
ested to see if the email sender affects the email open rates. plained by the mailbox checking routines of users. Users
TGroup1, TGroup2 and CGroup show an email open rate of are likely to check their mailbox only at specific time inter-
0.399, 0.306 and 0.263 respectively. One main observation vals and upon checking their mailbox, they will look at the
is that TGroup1 outperforms CGroup by more than 51% in email preview (including sender name/address) before decid-
terms of email open rate, while TGroup2 manages a 15.8% ing whether to open the email. Thus, users in a group are
improvement over the latter. This result indicates that the unlikely to open an email faster than users in other groups
authority effect of the superior (HOD) has the greatest in- as they would not have checked their emails. However, once
fluence on email open rate, followed by that of the domain they have checked their mailbox, users in TGroup1 and
expert (event organizer), then the general account. TGroup2 are more likely to proceed to open and read the
After examining the differences between the email open email, as discussed previously in Sect. 4.1.
rates, we now determine if the differences are statistically
significant. Using our collected data (Table 2), we conduct 4.3 Authority Effect on Email Click Rate
a two-sided Fisher’s Exact Test to determine if there is any After a user opens an email, the next possible exit point is
significant difference for the following null hypotheses: when he/she simply closes the email after reading it, with-
• HA0 : The email open rate of CGroup (general account) out clicking through to visit the event website, i.e., EP2
is equal to that of TGroup1 (department head). of Fig. 1. We now investigate if the authority status of
email sender is effective in influencing the recipient to visit
• HB0 : The email open rate of CGroup (general account)
the event website. Our experiment shows that the email
is equal to that of TGroup2 (event organizer).
click-through rate of TGroup1, TGroup2 and CGroup are
The resulting p-values are 0.0048 and 0.2691 for HA0 and 0.144, 0.069 and 0.042 respectively. One main observation
HB0 respectively. At significance level α = 0.01, we reject is that TGroup1 offered the best improvement with an in-
HA0 and fail to reject HB0 . There is moderate evidence to creased email click-through rate of almost 3.5 times that
suggest that emails sent by the HODs are more likely to be of CGroup, while TGroup2 offered an improvement of 67%
opened by its recipients compared to emails from a general over CGroup. This result indicates that there is an author-
account. However, there is insufficient evidence to suggest ity effect on email click-through rates, with the authority
that emails sent by the event organizer are statistically more type of superior (HOD) being most effective, followed by
effective than those sent by a general account. the domain expert, then the general email account.
Similar to the previous sections, we now determine if the
4.2 Authority Effect on Email Open Time differences in email click-through rate are statistically signif-
In addition to the email open rate, we also investigate if icant. Using Table 2, we conduct a two-sided Fisher’s Exact
users take less time to open emails from the HOD (TGroup1) Test on the following null hypotheses:
or event organizer (TGroup2) compared to that from a gen- • HE0 : The email click-through rate of CGroup (general
eral account (CGroup). Fig. 3 shows an Empirical Cu- acct.) is equal to that of TGroup1 (dept. head).
mulative Distribution Function (ECDF) plot of the time
taken by a user before he/she opens the email. The results • HF 0 : The email click-through rate of CGroup (general
show no observable difference among TGroup1, TGroup2 acct.) is equal to that of TGroup2 (event org.).
and CGroup in terms of the time taken to open the email. We obtained p-values of 0.0002 for HE0 and 0.1506 for
To further support our observation that there is no dif- HF 0 . At significance level α = 0.01, we reject HE0 and
ference in email open times, we test for statistical differ- fail to reject HF 0 . There is strong evidence to suggest that
ences in the email open times by conducting a Two-sample emails sent by HODs are more effective than those sent by
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test on the following null hypotheses: the general account, in attracting the recipients’ attention to
the extent that these recipients are interested in visiting the
• HC0 : Distribution of email open times of CGroup (gen-
event website to find out more. There is insufficient evidence
eral acct.) is equal to that of TGroup1 (dept. head).
to suggest the same for emails sent by the event organizer.
• HD0 : Distribution of email open times of CGroup (gen-
eral acct.) is equal to that of TGroup2 (event org.). 4.4 Authority Effect on Email Click Time
The resulting p-values are 0.7724 and 0.3034 for HC0 and In addition to the email click-through rate, we also inves-
HD0 respectively. At significance level α = 0.01, we fail to tigate if the email sender affects the amount of time taken by
the recipient before he/she clicks through the email. Specif- 4.6 Authority Effect on Event Registration
ically, we are interested to see if a user takes a shorter The main goal of any email campaign is not only to en-
time to click-through an email from the HOD (TGroup1) tice users to read the email but ultimately to perform some
or event organizer (TGroup2) compared to that from a gen- specific action, such as registering for an event. We now
eral account (CGroup). Fig. 3 shows that users who received further investigate if the authority status of email sender af-
emails from either their HOD (TGroup1) or the event orga- fects the conversion rate of users, i.e., do they register for
nizer (TGroup2) are more likely to click-through in a shorter the event or leave without registering, as shown in EP4 of
amount of time, compared to those received from the gen- Fig. 1. The registration rates of users in TGroup1, TGroup2,
eral account (CGroup). This result further reinforces our and CGroup are 0.039, 0.021 and 0.003 respectively, indicat-
hypothesis that users receiving emails from their HODs and ing that the authority types of superior (HOD) and domain
the event organizer are more likely to react to it and in a expert (event organizer) are approximately eleven and six
shorter time, compared to emails from a general account. times more effective than that without authority, in terms
Having determined that authority status does affect email of influencing users to register for the workshop.
click-through time, we now examine if the difference is statis- Once again, we want to determine if the differences in
tically significant by conducting a Two-sample Kolmogorov- event registration rates are statistically significant. Using
Smirnov test on the following null hypotheses: Table 2, we conduct a two-sided Fisher’s Exact Test on the
• HG0 : Distribution of email click-through times of CGroup following null hypotheses:
(general acct.) is equal to TGroup1 (dept. head). • HK0 : Probability of event registration in CGroup (gen-
• HH0 : Distribution of email click-through times of CGroup eral acct.) is equal to that of TGroup1 (dept. head).
(general acct.) is equal to TGroup2 (event org.). • HL0 : Probability of event registration in CGroup (gen-
The resulting p-values are <0.0001 for both HG0 and HH0 . eral acct.) is equal to that of TGroup2 (event org.).
At significance level α = 0.01, we reject HG0 and HH0 . We obtained p-values of 0.0080 and 0.0684 for HK0 and
There is strong evidence to indicate that emails sent by the HL0 respectively. At significance level α = 0.01, we reject
HODs or event organizer causes its recipient to click-through HK0 and fail to reject HL0 . There is strong evidence to
in a different amount of time, compared to emails sent by indicate a significant difference in HK0 , which shows that
the general account. emails sent by HODs are more effective in getting users to
4.5 Authority Effect on Website Activity register for the event, compared to emails sent by a general
account. In particular, we observe a substantial and signif-
Even after receiving the email and clicking through, a icant improvement of more than 11 times more converted
user might simply visit the event website but leave with- users in TGroup1 (3.9% registration) compared to that of
out browsing any content, i.e., EP3 of Fig. 1. Thus, we CGroup (0.3% registration). While we fail to reject HL0 ,
now examine if the authority status of email sender is able there is mild evidence (at significance level α = 0.1) to sug-
to influence the recipients’ behavior even on the event web- gest that emails sent by the event organizer (TGroup2) are
site. For this purpose, we define an active user as one who six times more effective than emails sent by a general ac-
has interacted with any element on the event website, i.e., count (CGroup), in terms of converting users to register for
a mouse-click or mouse-over. Our experiment shows that the event.
the proportion of active users in TGroup1, TGroup2 and
CGroup are 0.092, 0.049 and 0.031 respectively. This result
once again shows the authority effect on user behavior in 5. CONCLUSION
email campaigns, particularly that the authority type of su- In this paper, we designed and conducted an email cam-
perior (HOD) are almost two times more effective than the paign experiment to evaluate the authority effect of differ-
domain expert authority (event organizer). Both types of au- ent types of email sender on user behavior in both email
thority are also shown to be more effective than our control and website. We also proposed a systematic approach to
group without any authority (the general email account). analyze such email campaigns and discussed the four exit
We now determine if the differences in website activity are points where potential users might leave before complet-
statistically significant and use Table 2 to conduct a two- ing a desired action or end-goal, such as registering for an
sided Fisher’s Exact Test on the following null hypotheses: event or purchasing an item. Other than experiment design,
• HI0 : Probability of active users on the website in CGroup we developed a multi-platform experimentation system that
(general acct.) is equal to TGroup1 (dept. head). manages and automates the key stages of controlled experi-
• HJ0 : Probability of active users on the website in CGroup ments, from user grouping randomization to data collection
(general acct.) is equal to TGroup2 (event org.). of user responses across multiple platforms, i.e., from emails
The resulting p-value are 0.0115 for HI0 and 0.2971 for to websites. Our findings show that the authority status of
HJ0 . At significance level α = 0.05, we reject HI0 and fail an email sender has a significant effect on the user response
to reject HJ0 . The significant difference in HI0 indicates and emails sent by their department heads are the most
that emails sent by the HODs effectively cause its recipient effective in terms of: (i) email open rate; (ii) email click-
to be more active on the event website, compared to that through rate; (iii) email click-through time; (iv) proportion
sent by the general account. One significant improvement is of active website users; and (v) event registration rate.
that users in TGroup1 (9.2% active) are almost three times Acknowledgments. This research is supported by the Singa-
more likely to be active than users in CGroup (3.1% active), pore National Research Foundation under its International Re-
in terms of their browsing activities on the event website. search Centre @ Singapore Funding Initiative and administered
While we do not observe any significant difference in HB0 , by the IDM Programme Office, Media Development Authority
we notice that 4.9% of users in TGroup2 are active on the (MDA). The authors thank Feida Zhu, Adrian Vu, Agus Trisna-
event website compared to only 3.1% of users in CGroup. jaya Kwee and the reviewers for their useful comments.
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