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Sovrenn Times 10 May 2024
Sovrenn Times 10 May 2024
SOVRENN TIMES
DISCLAIMER: This document is created for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT
be construed as a Buy/Sell recommendation, investment advice or a research report. Although the
document accurately reflects the personal views of the authors, there may be manual/ human errors in the
document. The authors may also have equity shares in the companies mentioned in this report. Investor is
advised to consult his/her investment advisor and undertake further due diligence before making any
investment decision in the companies mentioned. Authors are not liable for any financial gains or losses due
to investments made as per the information written in this document.
10th May 2024
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SOVRENN FRAMEWORK
Please look at the following parameters to assess any company for investment:
(1) Company type: Evergreen or Seasonal sector is preferable over Cyclical. This is because it is difficult
to predict upswing in Cyclical stocks.
(2) Profit uptrend: The revenue, operating profit and net profit should ideally be following an increasing
trajectory and company must not be loss making.
(3) PE: TTM PE or Trailing 12m Price to Earnings ratio should ideally be on the lower side of the sector
PE range, unless the growth prospects are compelling to justify a higher PE.
(4) Futuristic Sector: A futuristic sector (eg: Solar, Wind EV, Railways, Defence, 5G, Electrification, New
Age IT, etc.) enjoys sector tailwinds and usually has higher growth potential.
(5) HNI / Institutional / Promoter Buying: If a known HNI enters the Company by picking equity stake in
it, it can add to one’s conviction building. Similarly, promoters buying their company’s shares is
generally a positive signal of them demonstrating confidence in their business.
(6) Special Situation: If a company is raising funds through preferential issuance of shares to a select
group of investors, or through Rights issuance where all the current shareholders have the right to
buy additional shares in the company, it signals incoming cash into the company. This cash is
generally used for future growth and hence signals increased possibility of higher future profits.
(7) Future Information: If we have information about future growth drivers of a company, it can help build
conviction before making investment decisions. Examples of such events include: (a) capacity
expansion which indicates future increase in sales, (b) new product launches, (c) large orders, (d)
partnerships and agreements, (e) acquisitions, etc.
SUMMARY: 4y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 16.4x (Sector PE range 20-50) | Institutional entry | EPC
• MCap of INR 2,318 Crore (share price = INR 418 / share) (as on 10th May ‘24)
• TTM PE 16.4x (as on 10th May ‘24) Retail float = 14.0% (Mar-24)
Company Description: EMS Limited is a multi-disciplinary EPC company, headquartered in Delhi that
specializes in providing turnkey services in water and wastewater collection, treatment and disposal. EMS
provides complete, single-source services from engineering and design to construction and installation of
water, wastewater and domestic waste treatment facilities.
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
EMS - - - - 266 293 435 424 527 498 402 456
(In INR Cr) Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23
Sales - 75 121 151 191 138 211 200
Op Profit - 13 43 43 50 32 57 47
Net Profit - 13 30 30 36 23 45 37
OPM - 17% 36% 29% 26% 23% 27% 23%
NPM - 17% 25% 20% 19% 17% 19% 19%
Promoter % - - - - - - 69.7% 69.7%
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend No
PE 16.4 (EPC: 20-50)
Below sector range
No
Futuristic Sector
HNI / Institutional
/ Promoter Yes Mar ’24: Abakkus Diversified Alpha Fund is holding 3.5% stake.
Buying
Special Situation No
Feb ’24: Company received the Letter of Acceptance (LoA) worth INR
34.7 Cr for the Construction of Proposed Multi Level Car Parking at
Nagar Nigam Office, Distt- Meerut (U.P). It was declared as the lowest
bidder earlier this month.
Jan ‘24: EMS is the lowest bidder (L-1) in the tender worth INR 479 Cr
for the Development of Water Supply and Sewerage System with 18y
of O&M, in Vikas Nagar, Uttarakhand. The awarding body is
Future Visibility Yes Uttarakhand Urban Sector Development Agency.
Dec ‘23: Company has received LoA worth INR 359 Cr from Urban
Development Department, Uttarakhand for the Development of
Sewerage System for Raipur with 5 years of O&M.
Oct ‘23: Company has been awarded a contract worth INR 271 Cr from
Office of Municipal Corporation, Jaipur Heritage for Providing, Laying,
Jointing, Testing and Commissioning of Sewerage System.
Recent filing: (GOOD TO EXCELLENT RESULTS) For the quarter ending Mar-24 for Magellanic Cloud,
Sales up 19% YoY from INR 115 Cr in Mar-23 to INR 137 Cr in Mar-24. Similarly, Net Profit up 2.2x from INR
18 Cr to INR 39 Cr. On a QoQ basis, Sales up 5% and Net Profit up 70%.
SUMMARY: 3y Operating Profit uptrend | 3q Operating Profit uptrend | PE 72.2x (Sector PE range 30-50) |
Excellent Mar-24 results | Fund Raise | IT
• MCap of INR 7,436 Crore (share price = INR 636 / share) (as on 10th May ‘24)
• TTM PE 72.2x (as on 10th May ‘24) Retail float = 5.3% (Mar-24)
Company Description: Magellanic Cloud is a holding company invested in entities offering cloud solutions,
IT services, and advanced drone technology. It connects excellent technology and their implementation
processes worldwide. The company is represented by multiple brands with office locations in Europe, USA
and Asia.
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Mage 215 227 333 408 443 459 455 459 532 615 476 608
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 82 91 133 115 138 154 131 560
Op Profit 19 23 34 32 39 41 51 184
Net Profit 10 29 17 18 19 22 23 141
OPM 23% 25% 26% 28% 28% 27% 39% 33%
NPM 12% 32% 13% 16% 14% 14% 18% 25%
Promoter % 60.6% 60.6% 60.6% 58.7% 58.6% 58.6% 58.6% 58.6%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 161 204 174 212 253 427 560
Op Profit 7 10 11 2 7 108 184
Net Profit 4 8 7 2 29 74 103
Website link: https://magellanic-cloud.com/
Recent filing: (GOOD TO EXCELLENT RESULTS) For the quarter ending Mar-24 for Nuvama Wealth
Management, Sales up 51% YoY from INR 613 Cr in Mar-23 to INR 927 Cr in Mar-24. Similarly, Net Profit
up 2.1x from INR 85 Cr to INR 181 Cr. On a QoQ basis, Sales up 10% and Net Profit up 3%.
SUMMARY: 3y Operating Profit uptrend | 7q Operating Profit uptrend | PE 28.6x (Sector PE range 20-50) |
Excellent Mar-24 results | Ace Investor | Institutional entry
• MCap of INR 17,940 Crore (share price = INR 5,056 / share) (as on 10th May ‘24)
• TTM PE 28.6x (as on 10th May ‘24) Retail float = 6.6% (Mar-24)
FOOD FOR THOUGHT: The wealth management sector faces volatility due to market fluctuations and
regulatory risks. Changes in regulations, like banning upfront commissions, can erode margins of a company.
Company Description: Nuvama Group, formerly known as Edelweiss Wealth Management, boasts a
reputable presence in the Indian market with a rich history spanning over 25 years. The firm has established
itself as a key player in the financial services industry like Wealth Management, Asset Management, Capital
Markets.
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Nuvam - - - - 2410 2923 3143 3590 3575 4136 4672 5227
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 461 563 579 613 648 735 841 927
Op Profit 163 231 243 235 290 360 445 464
Net Profit 47 85 87 85 123 145 176 181
OPM 35% 41% 42% 38% 45% 49% 53% 50%
NPM 10% 15% 15% 14% 19% 20% 21% 20%
Promoter % - - - - - 56.2% 56.0% 55.8%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales - - 780 1,384 1,778 2,223 3,151
Op Profit - - 499 444 646 883 1,559
Net Profit - - 286 -475 857 305 625
Website: https://www.nuvama.com/
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 8
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
10th May 2024
Company Type Evergreen
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend Yes
PE 28.6 (Financial Services: 20-50)
Lower end of sector range
Futuristic Sector No
Mar ’24: Mukul Mahavir Agrawal is holding 1.4% stake.
HNI / Institutional
/ Promoter Yes Jan ‘24: Societe Generale bought 70k shares at INR 3,380 each,
aggregating to INR 23.7 Cr in a Block Deal, seller being Bnp
Buying Paribas Arbitrage.
Recent filing: (FUND RAISE) BoD of Sunita Tools has considered and approved the issuance of 5L equity
shares and 2L warrants. The price for these shares and warrants has not yet been determined. Subscribers
include Sandeep Singh, Rakesh Laroia, WOW Investments, and Ten Eighty Investments.
SUMMARY: 3y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 51.8x (Sector PE range 30-60) | Fund raise | Capacity
Expansion| Acquisitions | Industrial Products
• MCap of INR 202 Crore (share price = INR 358 / share) (as on 10th May ‘24)
• TTM PE 51.8x (as on 10th May ‘24) Retail float = 20.6% (Mar-24)
Company Description: Founded in 1988, the company specializes in the production of mold bases and
machining parts catering to Automotive, Pharmaceutical, Electronics, Consumer Goods, and Manufacturing
Sectors. Its product line includes Custom Mould Bases, Plastic Mould Bases, Mould Bases for Caps &
Closures, Standard Mould Bases, and Die Casting Mould Bases.
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Sunita - - - - - 167 212 237 238 273 266 367
(In INR Cr) Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Sep-23* Dec-23** TTM
Sales 6.4 6.7 8.7 13.8 8.6 8.9 20.9
Op Profit 2.0 1.8 2.2 5.1 2.7 2.3 6.3
Net Profit 0.5 0.3 0.8 3.4 1.6 1.4 3.9
OPM 30% 26% 25% 37% 32% 26% 30%
NPM 8% 4% 9% 24% 19% 16% 18%
*Semi-annual data, **quarter data, rest is annual.
Promoter Holding is 73% as on Mar-24.
Website: https://www.sunitatools.com/
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 10
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
10th May 2024
Company Type Evergreen
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend Yes
PE 51.8
(Industrial Products: 30-60)
Higher end of sector range
Futuristic Sector No
HNI / Institutional
/ Promoter No
Buying
Special Situation Yes As stated above.
May ‘24: Subsidiary of the company has acquired Leo-Quip Engineering
Works, a Precision Machining and CNC machining firm specializing in
aerospace parts and air compressor cylinders manufacturing. The
acquisition, settled at INR 94.7 Lakhs, aims to expand business
operations significantly. Leo-Quip's expertise includes pattern and die
making, as well as jig, fixture, VMC, and CNC work. Leo-Quip reported a
turnover of 79.7L for FY24.
May ‘24: Ministry of Corporate Affairs has approved the incorporation of
a subsidiary named "Sunita Leoquip Aerospace" to take over the running
business of Leoquip Engineering Works. The subsidiary will focus on
designing, developing, assembling, manufacturing, and trading
aerospace and defense components, including air compressors, CNC
machining, and engineering parts. The Company owns 55% of the
shareholding in the new entity.
Apr ‘24: Company has announced the acquisition of its largest machine
to date, showcasing a significant advancement in manufacturing
capabilities. With dimensions of 2500 x 1500 x 800mm and a load
Future Visibility Yes capacity of 20 tonnes, the technology enables precision engineering
across industries. Clients can expect tailored solutions.
Mar ‘24: Company’s subsidiary will be dedicated to the manufacturing of
defense and aerospace parts and components, Air Engineering parts,
Precision Pumps and Compressor parts. This strategic move signifies
Sunita Tools Limited's commitment to diversifying its offerings and
tapping into new markets with specialized expertise. The new subsidiary
will establish strategic partnerships with key players in the defense and
aerospace industries, facilitating collaboration and knowledge exchange
to stay at the forefront of technological advancements and industry best
practices.
Mar ‘24: Company has received a contract worth INR 0.8 Cr for different
kind of mould base. These spares need to be delivered as early as
possible.
Mar ‘24: Company launched a subsidiary focused on defense and
aerospace parts manufacturing, signaling a strategic diversification
move. Leveraging precision engineering expertise, the subsidiary aims
to tap into high-growth sectors, forge partnerships, and drive
Recent filing: (ORDER) SJ Logistics has received two orders totaling INR 78 Cr from a T&D player. The first
order is to complete within 9 months, worth INR 62 Cr for end-to-end logistics service, and the second one is
to be completed in 10 months, worth INR 16 Cr for port-to-port logistics service.
SUMMARY: 3y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 35.1x (Sector PE range 10-40) | Excellent Dec-23 results | Ace
Investor | Institutional Entry | IPO | Logistics
• MCap of INR 610 Crore (share price = INR 421/share) (as on 10th May ‘24)
• TTM PE of 35.1x (as on 10th May ‘24) Retail float = 19.5% (Mar ‘24)
Company Description: The Company specializes in logistics and supply chain solutions, offering services
like freight forwarding, custom clearance, and transportation handling.
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
SJ - - - - - - - 164 213 314 279 355
(In INR Cr) Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23* Dec-23
Sales - - - - - - 103 79
Op Profit - - - - - - 13 8.7
Net Profit - - - - - - 9.3 6.2
OPM - - - - - - 13% 11%
NPM - - - - - - 9% 8%
*half year data
(In INR Cr) Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 TTM = (1/4*Mar-23) + Sep-23+ Dec-23
Sales 124 104 134 213
Op Profit 4 5 12 24.7
Net Profit 0.8 1.7 7.6 17.4
OPM 3% 5% 9% 12%
NPM 1% 2% 6% 8%
Current Promoter Holding = 49.6%
Website: https://www.sjlogistics.co.in/
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 13
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
10th May 2024
Company Type Evergreen
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend Yes
PE 35.1 (Logistics: 10-40)
Higher end of sector range
Futuristic Sector No
Feb ‘24: Company has reduced its borrowings. Earlier, the Company
had availed Term Loan from Federal Bank, a portion of which was paid
off using the proceeds from the IPO, as outlined in the IPO document
and communicated on 29th Dec 2023. Additionally, on 20th Feb 2024,
Company made a further payment of INR 3.1 Cr, resulting in the
Future Visibility Yes complete repayment of the term loan from Federal Bank. As a result,
the term loan from Federal Bank is now closed.
Feb ‘24: Company received order worth INR 70 Cr from a T&D Player,
to be completed within 6 months for Project Cargo.
• MCap of INR 353 Cr (share price = INR 229 /share); TTM PE 22.8x (as on 10th May ‘24)
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Frog 170 247 304 255 230 228 181 174 206 164 165 186
• MCap of INR 6,424 Cr (share price = INR 1,653 /share); TTM PE 15x (as on 10th May ‘24)
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Share 1,295 1,307 1,200 1,398 1,304 1,500 1,690 1,857 1,932 1,879 1,605 1,699
• MCap of INR 186 Cr (Share Price = 19 INR / Share); TTM PE 28x (as on 10th May ‘24)
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Tirup 9 8 9 8 10 11 11 15 16 19 16 19
• MCap of INR 1,766 Cr (share price = INR 83 / share); TTM PE 150x (as on 10th May ‘24)
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Serv 54 78 94 82 78 77 78 76 90 99 78 86
• MCap of INR 1,378 Cr (share price = INR 1,276 /share); TTM PE 28.8x (as on 10th May ‘24)
Price May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24
Knowle 1,109 1,147 1,124 1,724 1,508 1,351 1,410 1,497 1,597 1,557 1,405 1,297
IPO
SME / Subs
Company Status Open Close Listing GMP
Mainboard (x)
Digit General Insurance Mainboard Upcoming 15-May-24 17-May-24 23-May-24 18% NA
Quest Laboratories SME Upcoming 15-May-24 17-May-24 23-May-24 _ NA
Indian Emulsifier SME Upcoming 13-May-24 16-May-24 22-May-24 152% NA
Veritaas Advertising SME Upcoming 13-May-24 15-May-24 21-May-24 48% NA
Mandeep Auto Industries SME Upcoming 13-May-24 15-May-24 21-May-24 22% NA
ABS Marine Services SME Open 10-May-24 15-May-24 21-May-24 68% 1
Piotex Industries SME Open 10-May-24 14-May-24 17-May-24 21% 0
Premier Roadlines SME Open 10-May-24 14-May-24 17-May-24 45% 1
Aztec Fluids SME Open 10-May-24 14-May-24 17-May-24 45% 3
Energy-Mission Machineries (INDIA) SME Open 09-May-24 13-May-24 16-May-24 101% 18
Aadhar Housing Finance Mainboard Close 08-May-24 10-May-24 15-May-24 18% 27
TGIF Agribusiness SME Close 08-May-24 10-May-24 15-May-24 _ 35
TBO Tek Limited Mainboard Close 08-May-24 10-May-24 15-May-24 59% 86
Silkflex Polymers SME Close 07-May-24 10-May-24 15-May-24 23% 36
Finelistings Technologies SME Close 07-May-24 09-May-24 14-May-24 17% 37
Refractory Shapes SME Close 06-May-24 09-May-24 14-May-24 52% 255
Winsol Engineers SME Close 06-May-24 09-May-24 14-May-24 267% 682
Indgene Mainboard Close 06-May-24 08-May-24 13-May-24 61% 70
Sovrenn SME Index was up 0.77% today. Please note that the constituents of the Index are private.
Also, the Index is only an indication of the movement of the broader SME market and not available
for replication or commercialization in any form. Sovrenn has the right to make changes to Index
constituents or change weightages of the constituents as per its own discretion.
Conclusion:
India's fiscal landscape for FY24 showcases promising strides towards achieving prudent fiscal management.
With an emphasis on fiscal discipline, bolstered capex endeavors, and a proactive approach to global
economic challenges, the nation is poised for sustained economic resilience and growth.
Special Situation:
Special Situation refers to any form of capital raise by the Company – Preferential issuance or allotment
of equity shares, Preferential issuance or allotment of equity warrants, Rights issuance, recently
conducted IPO / FPO or issuance of any debt security like NCDs, commercial papers, etc.
Future Visibility:
Future Visibility refers to a piece of information / event that positively impacts future revenues. Examples:
a large order win by the company, partnership / acquisition, new factory setup, expansion in existing
factory, new stores, launch of a new brand, etc.
Futuristic Sector:
Futuristic Sector refers to those sectors where high growth is expected. Examples: Green Energy (solar,
wind, etc.), Electric Vehicle, Railways (through railways modernization), Defence (through increasing self-
reliance), New-Age IT (Cloud, AI, ML, big data), 5G, Electrification, etc.