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Vietnam Consumer Outlook 2023 ENG - Summary Deck 1
Vietnam Consumer Outlook 2023 ENG - Summary Deck 1
Consumer Outlook
Explore the evolving Vietnamese consumers
© 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed.
Vietnam FMCG records +17.5% growth in 2022, with highest uplift in Q3/4
…thanks to organic consumption. TET’23 (Jan-Feb) also delivers good growth, yet majorly add-up by price increase
37.6
31.8 21.4
17.5
14.3
11.7 11.4 10.7
7.4 8.3 4.4
6.3
5.2 4.7 4.3 4.6 4.3
5.8 4.9 6.9 5.0 5.8 7.1 6.4
2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 0.6 2.5
-7.7 -4.1
-4.0 -7.6 -8.7 -3.7 -3.3
-7.1 -13.5 -7.2
-8.3
-12.2
-13.7
-16.3
Q1'19
Q3'19
Q2'20
Q4'20
Q1'22
Q3'22
Q2'19
Q4'19
Q1'20
Q3'20
Q1'21
Q2'21
Q3'21
Q4'21
Q2'22
Q4'22
Jan-Feb'23
2019
2020
2021
2022
9%
14%
10%
Strugglers: Have Rebounders: Cautious: Not Unchanged: Not Thrivers: Saved
14% suffered financial Experienced income impacted financially impacted & continued money and feel more
insecurity & continue or job loss but now but cautious with to spend the same. financially secure.
to do so today. they are back on track. spending.
36%
34% 39% 40% 36% 23%
31%
Less personal/beauty Minimize the OOH Less alcoholic Regularly look after Buy in bulk/
care if prices rise (*) eating/entertainment beverages if prices rise health & wellness larger sizes
Source: NielsenIQ 2022 Consumer Outlook Survey (APAC – Dec’22/Jan’23 , Vietnam - Mar’22) | Asia Pacific data includes 7 countries – Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, South Korea
19.8 17.7
22.1 20.9
Beer (38.7%)
NA Beverage (22.5%)
17.9
19.7
18.3 18.7 45% 42% 40% 40%
Cigarette (16.6%) Fruits & Veg. Health & Wellness Fresh meat Dairy
13.9
14.0 13.8 Baby Care (-6.6%)
14.7 2.2
2.3 1.7 Milk Bases (3.7%)
1.0
15.3
11.8
14.5 13.5
Staple Food (5.4%)
39% 33%
Home essentials Personal/ Beauty Care
10.7 11.8 10.5
10.3 Impulse Foods (17.6%)
Items to SPEND LESS/ STOP BUYING if prices rise in the next 3 months
7.4 7.4 8.0 8.1
Home Care (16.2%)
6.4 6.3 6.6 6.5 36% 34%
6.6 6.6 6.6 6.2 Personal Care (11.2%) Snacks and Alcoholic
Confectionery items beverages
2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: NielsenIQ 2023 Consumer Outlook Survey, Dec 2022 | Change in spending calculated by subtracting % of respondents w ho are spending less from % of respondents who are spending more
Basket preference Packsize choice Value hunting © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. 5
Consumers prefer a larger size to deal with rising prices
But for consumers who are not willing to spend, they sought out price promotions
FMCG – Volume & Unit growth 2022 vs. YA APAC – Upsizing & Promotion
By super categories (Vol % Growth | Unit % Growth) % respondents
Unit %
28%
Downsizing Growth
Beer (+25 | +25)
Milk Bases
(+0 | -1)
Impulse Foods
(+12 | +8)
37%
Home Care Total APAC value sales was a result
(+10 | +6)
of price promotion in FY21
Volume %
Staple Foods Growth
(-2 | -5) Personal Care
(+8 | +2)
Bab y Care
(-7 | -13)
Upsizing
Source: NIQ Advanced Analytics – Everyday Pricing Analytics & Consumer Outlook Survey – APAC (Australia, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, & India) , June 2022 .
Basket preference Packsize choice Value hunting © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. 6
Consumer polarizes between value offerings & price
As their financial & economic literacy is heightened amidst inflationary pressure
4.7 5.9
+260%
4.5 5.8 Search interest in
32.7
37.0 “what is the price of goods”
24.7 20.9
+30%
7.0
8.5
24.6
20.2
Search interest in products with
66.1 67.4 “affordable price”
35.6 34.2
Basket preference Packsize choice Value hunting © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. 7
2
Resources reallocation for
growth engines
Optimize portfolio and tailor marketing activities to serve
new consumers needs
+20% +20%
Search interest for Search interest in
2018
2021
2025
2028
2032
2035
2039
2016
2017
2019
2020
2022
2023
2024
2026
2027
2029
2030
2031
2033
2034
2036
2037
2038
2040
The Elders Women Gen Z © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. 9
Vietnamese women are more empowered to work
With more financial self-reliance, beauty & skincare products benefit
+0.5%
VN 48.2 -1.6%
+1.7%
-0.3%
Thailand 45.9
Singapore 41.2
+3.0%
+3.3%
Indonesia 39.6
Philippines 38.9
Malaysia 38.7 Beauty & PC - Hygiene (Body/ Personal Care Skin Care Hair Care Fragrances Beauty & PC -
2019 Oral) 2022
(34.1%) (16.8%) (17.6%) (27.3%) (4.2%) Share Contrib ution
Myanmar 38
Source: w orldbank.org | Classification: Hair Care (Hair Colorants, Hair Conditioner, Shampoo), Hygiene (Mouth Wash, Personal Wash, Toothbrush, Toothpaste),
Personal Care (Adult Diaper, Feminine Protection, Insecticide Control), Skin Care (Body Cream Lotion, Eye Care, Facial Care Product, Facial Tissue, Sun Care),
Fragrances (Body Spray, Deodorants),
The Elders Women Gen Z © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. 10
The emerging Gen Z thinks of the consumed products as their value reflection
Successful brands are those tapping into the new social trends or issues (e.g., environmental sustainability, domestic abuse)
42% 80%
Likely to support brands that Pay more for a product if the
are environmentally brand supports an issue
sustainable they care about
58%
Cocoon in Personal Care TH True Nut, TH True Juice Milk Orange, TH
Not only claiming as a vegan brand but also True Yoghurt Orange
See brands as extension of
themselves and reflect their collaborating with Animal Asia to protect Launching the campaign "Orange with TH” to end
endangered animals violence against women and children
values
Source: https://www.adb.org/what-we-do/themes/social-development/overview/aging
https://foodinsight.org/spotlight-generation-z/
https://www.brandinginasia.com/study-looks-at-how-brands-should-navigate-purpose-with-gen-z-in-southeast-asia/
The Elders Women Gen Z © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. 11
3
The pulse of omni-channels
shoppers
Understand the shifted omni opportunities and
implications for FMCG manufacturers
Value % Chg
(2022 vs 2021)
Other
7.5 7.3 6.9
64% of APAC 6.9 6.2 5.7 6.2
consumers claimed to
20.3 21.1 be omni-shoppers
21.1 TT On Rural 28
36.3 37.3 39.9 38.2
Online
TT Off Rural 13
Growth mainly in: China,
31.1 32.8 33.6 Hongkong, Indonesia,
Traditional Trade
Philippines, Vietnam 14.1 11.6 8.8 12.2 TT On Urban 63
APAC – E-commerce – Value % Chg E-commerce – Sales index vs. average normal day
Q2 & Q3’22 vs YA During Apr-Sep’22
SG ID VN MY TW TH PH
21.1% 140%
Ecommerce to total APAC sales
120%
80%
Q2 2022
60%
Q3 2022
40%
28%
20%
0%
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
12%
-3% -4% Besides, Online Double-Day events are season to drive sales, especially for:
-5%
-14%
-22%
Baby Diaper Infant Milk Powder Facial Moisturizer
ID MY PH SG TH TW VN
*Top 3 categories in Double-Day event in VN (value sales)
Source: (Chart 1): NielsenIQ RMS and CPS data, Latest 52 w eeks ended Sept. 2022 vs. year-ago | Quarter by Numbers Q4’22
(Chart 2): NielsenIQ E-commerce Accelerator – April to September 2022 | Note: Excluding promotional days, average normal day sales value used as index
65
Beverage (W/O Beer) 20
56 58
47 49
Foods 17
38
33
24
Home Care 17
12 16 12 15
7 6
Note: Semi-Retailer is defined as having b etween 10% and 90% of Total Sales going direct to the end -consumers (defined at category level)
TT Rural – FMCG – Value % SOT & Share by Segments FMCG – Value % Share by Segments
SOT based on total TT Vietnam By Manufacturer Ranking (upon their value sales) & Price-tiers
~62.9% ~47%
FMCG by Rankings FMCG by Price-tiers
23.2
143,200 ( 19.5% ) 65,000+
Enterprises out of the market Workers are laid- 28.2
off and returns to
630,000+ hometowns due to Rural migration 2nd Rural migration
Workers impacted in Sep/Nov’22 business hardship during Covid Wave 4 given recent laid-off 19.5
19.7
71.7
52 67.7
49 48 48
45 45 46 45 45 44 44
44 41 41 41 43 43
41.6
30.4
• Understand the spending intentions to build up • Build relatable brand communication with a • Go with the symbiotic balancing approach to
the adaptive strategies amongst different conscience & customized needs. win in a hybrid and fast-changing channel.
consumer groups.
• Elder: Sought out the growth in Urban, with • Ecommerce: The channel start to stabilize
• Review resource spent among portfolio, with Elder-related product specification/ attributes. post-Covid, yet weekdays & Double-day events
more priority on Essentials, and drive growth are right period to boost sales.
• Female: Build portfolio focusing on consumers
through bigger pack sales and value-offering
skin care routines and gain trust via clear • MT & TT: Equip the recent retail technology to
communication to wiser consumers.
claim/ descriptions on the recently-preferred drive complete transformation & maximize
• Monitor the OOH landscape, and sought out the attributes. consumer/ retailer’s omni-channel experience.
occasional consumption of Non-essentials, yet
• Gen Z: Launch new products with relevant story • Region: Build our nationwide brands as
be cautious on pricing strategy.
to new social trends or burning issues (i.e., regional differentiation is diminishing. With more
• Build consumer trust is essential given familiar environmental sustainability). focus on SR and Rural deserve stronger focus.
and popular brands are considered as “safe
choices” with certified quality.
© 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed. © 2023 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserv ed.