Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are a type of statistical model that is widely used in various fields, including speech recognition, bioinformatics, finance, and natural language processing. HMMs are particularly effective for modeling systems with unobservable (hidden) states based on observable outputs. key concepts related to Hidden Markov Models: Markov Chain: A Markov chain is a stochastic model that describes a sequence of events in which the probability of each event depends only on the state of the system at the previous step. The "Markov property" states that the future state depends only on the current state and not on how the system arrived at its current state. Hidden States and Observations: In HMMs, there are two types of states: hidden states and observable states (or observations). Hidden states represent the unobservable underlying structure of the system. Observations are the visible outputs or measurements associated with each hidden state. State Transitions: HMMs assume that the system undergoes transitions between hidden states over time. These transitions are governed by transition probabilities. Emission Probabilities: Each hidden state is associated with a probability distribution over possible observation. This distribution is known as the emission probability.
Initialization: The model needs an initial probability distribution for the hidden states. This is typically represented by an initial state distribution.