Faculty

 of  Engineering  &  Applied  Science  

Memorial  University  
ENGI  9121  -­‐  Advanced  Safety,  Risk  and  Reliability  Assessment  
 
Instructor:   Faisal  Khan,  IIC  1008,  Ming  Yang  IIC  1017  
Phone:    (709)  864  8939  ;  (709)  864  7652         Fall  -­‐  2014  
    E-­‐mail:  fikhan@mun.ca;  myang@mun.ca    

Rationale  
Risk   analysis   (RA)   is   being   widely   applied   to   all   most   every   engineering   and   management   sector.  
In  many  of  the  engineering  sectors  such  as  chemical,  oil  and  gas,  environment,  risk  analysis  has  
been  adopted  as  part  of  regulatory  framework  by  relevant  authorities.  RA  is  increasingly  applied  
to   validate   claims   for   safety/environmental   benign   characteristics   or   to   demonstrate   the   need  
for   further   improvement.     It   is   also   increasingly   used   in   the   engineering   system   design   and  
decision-­‐making.    This  course  is  to  provide  an  in-­‐depth  understanding  of  safety  and  risk  and  it  
modeling,  simulation  and  use  in  design  and  decision-­‐making.      

SCOPE  OF  THE  COURSE  

Since   RA   is   becoming   ever   more   widely   used   with   growing   sophistication,   the   course   aim   to  
provide  a  detailed  understanding  of  advanced  safety  concepts,  risk  concept,  risk  modeling  and  
simulation,   and   more   recent   advancement   in   the   field   of   risk   and   reliability   engineering.    
Another  important  aim  of  the  course  is  to  provide  a  good  understanding  of  uncertainty  in  the  
Risk   and   reliability   modeling.   This   course   will   also   provide   a   good   understanding   of   human  
reliability   assessment,   which   is   one   of   the   import   contributors   to  the   safety   issues   and   often   get  
ignored  by  engineers.  

COURSE  CONTENT  
Topics   Number  of  Lectures   Sources  
Safety  and  Accident  Modeling   2   Assael  and  Kokosimos  
• Causes  of  Concern  and  Accident   (2010)  
Scenario  
• Fire  Modeling    
• Explosion  and  BLEVE  Modeling  
• Toxic  Release  and  Dispersion  
Safety  Measure  Design   2   Gruhn  and  Cheddie  
• Industry  Guidelines  for  safety   (2006)  
• Process  Control  Vs.  Safety  Control  
• Layer  of  Protection  
• SIL  and  SIS  design  
• Case  Studies  
Human  factor   1   Modarres  (2006)  and  
• Definition   Marc  
• Human  reliability  assessment  model  
• SLIM  approach  for  human  error  
prediction  
Risk   1   Modarres  (2006)  
• Definition  of  Risk  
• Stochastic  process  
• Elements  of  Risk  Analysis  
• Risk  Assessment  and  Management  
Risk  Assessment   2   Modarres  (2006)  
• Element  of  Risk  Assessment  
• Representation  of  Risk  values  and  
acceptance  criteria  
Advanced  Reliability  Modeling   2   Ebeling,  C.  (2002)  
• Identifying  failure  and  repair  
distribution  modeling  
• Statistical  testing  
• Case  studies  
Probabilistic  Risk  Assessment   2   Modarres  (2006)  
• Probability  distributions  
• Probabilistic  Risk  Assessment  
• Data  Modeling  for  risk  assessment  
Uncertainty  Analysis   1   Modarres  (2006)  
• Fundamental  of  uncertainty  
• Uncertainty  analysis  
GRADING  SCHEME    
-­‐ Regular  Assignments  (problem  solving):       20%  
-­‐ Open  Book  Midterm  (October  20,  2014)       20%  
-­‐ Term  Project  (complete  paper  on  a  given    
             topic  related  to  the  course  and  its  application                           20%          
-­‐ Final  Exam  (take  Home  exam):                                                                       40%      
LECTURE  VENUE:  EN  4008    
TEXT  AND  READING  MATERIAL:  
1. Assael,   M   J,   and   Kokosimos,   K   E.   (2010).   Fire,   explosion,   and   toxic   gas   dispersion,   CRC  
Press,  New  York,  327  pages.  
2. Modarres,  Mohammad  (2006).  Risk  Analysis  in  Engineering,  CRC  Press,  NY,  401  pages.  
3. Gruhn,   P,   and   Cheddie,   H   (2006).   Safety   Instrumented   Systems:   Design,   Analysis   and  
Justification,   2nd   Edition,   ISA-­‐   the   Instrumentation,   Systems,   and   Automation   Society,  
NC,  310  pages.  
4. Vose,  D.  (2000).  Risk  Analysis:  A  quantitative  guide,  John  Wiley,  Sussex,  UK,  417  pages.  
5. Bedford,  T.,  and  Cooke,  R.  (2001).  Probabilistic  Risk  Analysis  foundations  and  methods,  
Cambridge  University  Press,  New  York,  NY,  383  pages  
6. Cox,  L.A.,  Jr.  (2002).  Risk  Analysis  foundations,  models,  and  methods,  Kluwer  Academic  
publishing  group,  Norwell,  MA,  556  pages.  
7. Ebeling,   C.   (2002).   Introduction   to   Reliability   and   Maintainability   Engineering,   McGraw  
Hill  publication,  Boston,  ISBN:  0-­‐07-­‐018852