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Gravity Models of Migration
Gravity Models of Migration
o Ravenstein observed that most migrants moved short distances. This concept
anticipated the development of “gravity” models, which describe the relationship
between migration and distance. Recent studies still use these models to understand
migration patterns1.
o In the 19th century, Ravenstein found that internal migration in Britain was
predominantly toward “centres of commerce and industry.” Urbanization remains a
dominant flow direction in most countries, although suburbanization, counter-
urbanization, and re-urbanization can occur1.
3. Migrant Attributes:
o Ravenstein noted that women migrated more than men. In recent decades,
researchers have studied migrant behavior by age, sex, education, ethnicity, social
class, and partnership status using census and survey data1.
o Ravenstein’s laws still hold some significance today. Most migrations are driven by
economic factors, such as job seeking and higher wage rates. Rural dwellers tend to
be more migratory than urban settlers, and economically active adults (aged 20-35)
migrate more frequently2.
o While Ravenstein did not specifically address climate-related migration, it’s essential
to consider environmental factors. Recent research highlights floods, droughts, and
sea-level rise as predisposing factors for migration in sub-Saharan Africa3.
In summary, Ravenstein’s theories continue to inform migration research, and their applicability
extends to sub-Saharan Africa. However, contemporary studies also consider additional factors like
climate change. If you’d like more detailed information, feel free to ask! 😊🌍
Assistant
Poe
Here is a critical analysis of 10 relevant factors of Ravenstein's immigration theory and how they
apply to the current situation in Southern Africa:
1. Economic Factors: Ravenstein's theory states that the primary driver of migration is
economic, with people moving from areas of low economic opportunity to areas of higher
economic opportunity. This holds true in Southern Africa, where many migrants are moving
from economically depressed rural areas to urban centers or across borders to seek better
employment and income prospects.
2. Push-Pull Factors: Ravenstein identified both "push" factors (e.g. lack of jobs, low wages,
political instability) that drive people to leave an area, as well as "pull" factors (e.g.
availability of jobs, higher wages, political freedom) that attract migrants to a new location.
This dynamic is very prevalent in Southern Africa, with political and economic turmoil in
some countries pushing out migrants, while relative stability and economic growth in others
act as a pull.
3. Distance of Migration: Ravenstein noted that most migration occurs over short distances,
with migrants tending to move to the nearest area of opportunity. This is seen in Southern
Africa, with significant internal migration from rural to urban areas, as well as cross-border
movements between neighboring countries.
4. Migration Streams and Counter-Streams: Ravenstein observed that migration flows are
often accompanied by counter-flows, as people return to their place of origin or move to
new destinations. This two-way movement is evident in Southern Africa, with circular
migration patterns and return migration occurring.
5. Urban-Rural Migration: Ravenstein found that migration was not just from rural to urban
areas, but also from urban to rural areas. This urban-rural migration flow is present in
Southern Africa, as some migrants return to their rural homes or seek opportunities in
smaller towns and villages.
6. Gender Differences: Ravenstein noted differences in migration patterns between men and
women, with women more likely to migrate over shorter distances. In Southern Africa,
gender roles and norms continue to influence migration, with women often migrating for
family reasons while men may migrate independently for work.
9. Migration and Economic Development: Ravenstein theorized that migration was both a
cause and consequence of economic development. This dynamic is evident in Southern
Africa, where migration both drives and is driven by economic transformation and growth in
the region.
10. Environmental Factors: While not explicitly addressed in Ravenstein's original theory,
environmental factors such as climate change, natural disasters, and resource scarcity have
become increasingly important drivers of migration in Southern Africa. These environmental
"push" factors are causing some people to move in search of more favorable living
conditions.
Tell me more.
Assistant
Poe
Certainly, let me dive deeper into the analysis of how Ravenstein's immigration theory relates to the
current migration dynamics in Southern Africa:
1. Economic Factors:
The stark economic disparities between rural and urban areas, as well as between
different countries in the region, continue to drive people to migrate in search of
better employment, higher wages, and improved living standards.
2. Push-Pull Factors:
Political instability, violent conflicts, and poor governance in some Southern African
countries act as significant push factors, forcing people to flee their homes.
Conversely, the relative political and economic stability in countries like South Africa,
Botswana, and Namibia exerts a strong pull, attracting migrants from neighboring
states.
3. Distance of Migration:
Internal migration within countries is also common, with rural residents moving to
nearby urban centers or secondary towns.
Circular migration patterns are prevalent, with migrants frequently moving back and
forth between their home communities and urban destinations, or between
countries.
5. Urban-Rural Migration:
While the dominant flow is from rural to urban areas, there is also a significant
movement of people from cities back to rural communities, often driven by factors
such as land availability, cost of living, and desire for a more traditional lifestyle.
This urban-rural migration counter-flow is influenced by the availability of economic
opportunities in both settings.
6. Gender Differences:
Gender norms and roles continue to shape migration patterns in Southern Africa,
with women more likely to migrate for family reasons, such as marriage or joining
spouses, while men often migrate independently for work.
However, these gender-based patterns are evolving, with more women participating
in labor migration and economic-driven movements.
8. Intervening Obstacles:
Social stigma and discrimination against migrants in host communities can also
impede their integration and further limit their mobility.
The movement of people within and across Southern African countries has been
both a driver and a consequence of the region's economic development, with
migrants contributing to the labor force, skills, and entrepreneurship in urban
centers.
At the same time, the uneven distribution of economic growth and development has
created pockets of prosperity that continue to attract more migrants, further
reinforcing regional inequalities.
Access to natural resources, such as land and water, has also become a source of
tension and conflict in some regions, contributing to migration as people seek more
favorable living conditions.
In summary, Ravenstein's immigration theory provides a robust framework for understanding the
complex and multifaceted migration dynamics in Southern Africa, while also highlighting the need to
consider emerging factors, such as environmental change, that are increasingly shaping population
movements in the region.
Can you provide examples of how migrants have contributed to economic development in Southern
African countries?
Assistant
Poe
Certainly, there are several examples of how migrants have contributed to the economic
development of various Southern African countries:
Migrants, both skilled and unskilled, have filled labor shortages in key sectors such as
agriculture, mining, construction, and services in countries like South Africa,
Botswana, and Namibia.
The influx of migrant workers has helped sustain economic growth and productivity
in these industries, which are vital to the region's economies.
Many migrants in Southern Africa have started their own small businesses, from
informal street vendors to more formal enterprises, contributing to job creation and
economic diversification.
For example, in urban areas of South Africa, Mozambican and Zimbabwean migrants
have established thriving small-scale trading and service businesses, often catering
to co-ethnic communities.
Countries like Botswana and Namibia have actively recruited skilled professionals
from neighboring countries to support their development efforts.
Migrants often bring with them new skills, techniques, and technologies that can be
leveraged to improve productivity and innovation in the host countries.
Migrants in Southern Africa often send remittances back to their home countries,
providing a vital source of income for families and communities.
These remittances can be invested in small businesses, real estate, or used to finance
education and healthcare, contributing to the economic development of the
migrants' countries of origin.
Migrants have helped to foster cultural exchange and diversity, which can open up
new trade and investment opportunities between their home countries and the host
countries in Southern Africa.
For instance, the presence of Somali, Ethiopian, and other migrant communities in
South Africa has facilitated increased trade and commercial ties with their countries
of origin.
These examples illustrate how migrants, regardless of their skill levels or socioeconomic
backgrounds, have made significant contributions to the economic development of various Southern
African countries, both directly and indirectly. Their labor, entrepreneurship, skills, and connections
have helped to drive growth, create jobs, and enhance the overall competitiveness of the region's
economies.
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Home > Population Studies > Ravenstein’s 10 Laws of Migration, Applicability & Criticism
Migration is often seen as a complex phenomenon. Many e.g, Everett Lee 1966, Todaro 1969, and
Massey 1993) tried to theorise migration patterns, how people move, and why people move. In 1885
George Ernst Ravenstein, born in Frankfurt Germany, formulated laws of migration based on the
observations he made in the UK and Europe.
There is a process of absorption, where a batch of people moving out from one area is
replaced by another coming in.
Long-distance migrants usually go to one of the great centers of commerce and industry.
Urban dwellers are less migratory than those from rural areas.
Females are more migratory than males in their local area but males migrate longer
distances more.
Other Additions:
Migration occurs in Steps, i.e there’s no one big leap from e.g village to capital city, rather
there’s a gradual(step) movement; from village to town, then to the city and then to the
metropolitan city and so on.
For example, most migrations are for economical reasons, e.g job seeking and high wage rate.
Rural dwellers are still more migratory than urban settlers and economically active adults between
the age of 20 and 35 migrate more.
Short distance migrations are are still common, e.g Mexico to USA, N. Africa to Europe, Middle East
to Europe & Zimbabwe to South Africa.
Most people from less developed countries seeking employment in the West follow a step migration.
They don’t take a big leap to the west. Instead they settle in other moderately developed countries
until they get to the more developed ones that have many opportunities and higher wages.
Expenses and migration policies in countries such as the US place barriers on migrants making them
temporarily settle in other countries before moving into the more developed ones.
Asian migrates from The Philippians and Hong Kong follow a step migration to the West. Migrants
from Central America like Panama, and Guatemala first settle in Mexico before they settle in the US.
In addition, step migration also occurs through refugees who are first put into refugee camps then
given settlement permits to live in that country.
Step migrations also occur internally. Rural people looking for better living in the city may first live in
nearby towns around the city as they cannot afford urban houses. They upgrade into higher suburbs
when they start earning more.
Assistant
Poe
1. Economic Factors:
2. Step-by-step Migration:
3. Distance of Migration:
Ravenstein noted that most migrants move over relatively short distances. This is
true in sub-Saharan Africa, where intra-regional and cross-border migration is more
common than long-distance international migration.
5. Gender Differences:
While Ravenstein's laws provide a valuable starting point for understanding migration in sub-Saharan
Africa, the contemporary migration landscape has become more complex, with the emergence of
new drivers and the evolution of existing patterns. Policymakers and researchers must consider these
additional factors to develop more comprehensive and effective migration management strategies in
the region.
What are some key policy implications of applying Ravenstein's theory to contemporary migration in
the region?
Assistant
Poe
Applying Ravenstein's theory of migration to the contemporary context of sub-Saharan Africa can
have several important policy implications:
Recognizing the step-by-step and circular nature of migration patterns in the region,
policymakers could develop policies that better facilitate and manage these
movements, such as:
This could include ensuring safe migration channels, providing access to social
services, and empowering women in the labor market and entrepreneurship.
While Ravenstein's theory did not account for environmental and conflict-related
drivers of migration, policymakers should consider these emerging factors and
develop comprehensive strategies to address them, such as:
Addressing the root causes of conflict and political instability that force
people to move
By applying the insights from Ravenstein's theory to the contemporary migration landscape in sub-
Saharan Africa, policymakers can develop more targeted, evidence-based, and integrated approaches
to effectively manage and harness the benefits of migration for the region's sustainable
development.