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195088 RM
195088 RM
Students are required to complete 2 copies of the Coursework Submission and Statement of Academic Honesty Form. 1
copy must be kept by the student as evidence of submission and compliance with University Regulations. Students must
also keep a copy of their coursework assessment. 1 copy of the form should be submitted and kept by the Module
Leader/Department .
Students should complete Section A, B and C. Section D should be completed by the Department. The Assessment Brief will
specify the mode of submission. This will be either (a) via eLearning, (b) a hard copy via agreed Departmental/Faculty
procedures, or (c) via Turnitin.
SECTION A: YOUR DETAILS
To be completed by the student
Assessment title: A shift to a cashless society: The impact of Investment in financial inclusion on liquidity risk in Egypt.
Module code:22BBST28H
Assessment title:
Signature: Date: *Provisional grade:
*This grade is subject to review by the Subject Advisor and External Examiner and may be reduced or increased
before final approval by the Programme Examination Board.
SECTION C: FEEDBACK
To be completed by the tutor
A Research Proposal
Prepared by:
Mahmoud 195088
Year 2022/2023
Table of Contents
Introduction:...............................................................................................................3
Importance of research:.........................................................................................4
Research objectives:..............................................................................................5
Research Gap:.......................................................................................................5
Literature review:.......................................................................................................6
Overview on Liquidity.............................................................................................6
History:...................................................................................................................6
Definition:............................................................................................................... 7
Liquidity risk:.......................................................................................................... 8
Overview on Investment:.........................................................................................11
Definition:............................................................................................................. 11
Types of investment.............................................................................................11
Financial inclusion:...............................................................................................14
Research questions:................................................................................................18
Research Hypothesis:..............................................................................................18
Theoretical Framework:...........................................................................................18
Research Design..................................................................................................... 19
Research philosophy:...........................................................................................19
Deductive Approach:............................................................................................20
Sampling:............................................................................................................. 22
Statistical techniques:.......................................................................................... 23
Referencing:............................................................................................................ 25
Introduction:
There have been several different types of trading platforms throughout history,
including exchange of goods, gold, and paper currency. Credit card first appeared in the
mid-twentieth century. But since, critics have predicted the demise of cash and the
beginnings of a cashless society. We still utilize cash and checks nowadays, however
certain card payments are growing much faster than paper instruments. (Daniel D.
Garcia-Swartz, 2006)
“Financial inclusion means that individuals and businesses have access to useful
and affordable financial products and services that meet their needs - transactions,
payments, savings, credit, and insurance - that are delivered in a responsible and
advances. Contactless card payments have advanced to the point of radical innovation
in the financial services industry and has established itself as a competitive alternative
main ways Egyptians rely on to go and from different locations and almost all of the
transactions made in public transport are made in cash. Cash transactions are usually
made with the end user and at the POS (point-of-sale) with excessively long ques along
Egypt.
Contactless cards include a chip and a basic wireless sign. The basis of cashless
opposed to traditional cards, allows for faster payment, greater convenience, and lower
costs. In regards to speed, contactless payment cards compete with and, in some
Importance of research:
“Consumers are gradually moving away from paper payment instruments and
toward electronic ones, especially payment cards” (Bank W. , 2022). Egypt's nationwide
investment vision 2030: a national agenda launched in February 2016 that reflects
Egypt's long-term strategy for achieving sustainability principles and goals in all regions;
Egypt's digitalization framework: one of the outcomes of the National Payment Council
and become a cashless society as of 2017 have indeed prepared the path to counter
the liquidity risk challenges, but have also accelerated the pace of digitization across all
The main research problem in this proposal is the increase in liquidity risk along the
short decline in tourism, increase in imports and decrease in exports this overall
increase the liquidity risk along the country (Azzam, 2022) where the main aim of this
proposal is to focus on investing in financial inclusion to reduce the liquidity risk Egypt
was chosen for the global financial inclusion initiative, that also seeks to improve access
to financial services for those who are exempted out from traditional banking system
while also introducing innovative digital finance policies. (Bank A. , 2017). The Egyptian
(Azzam, 2022)
Research objectives:
Research Gap:
This research entails the connection between Investment and liquidity risk, there are
several articles about both the variables but the drawback of this research is the lack of
pure literature that represents the connection/link between the exact type of investment
in financial inclusion and how to it effects the liquidity risk in Egypt. Another drawback is
Investment.
Overview on Liquidity
History:
The first form of liquidity arose throughout trade. Exchange of goods may be the
first form of liquidity, in which each agent generated his possess liquidity. If someone
possessed a widespread used tool, he could conveniently negotiate for a good "price,"
that is, he was liquid without money. Agents who didn't require such goods graciously
took them, realizing that they would be useful in a later barter transaction. In other
words, these types of goods assumed the role of medium of exchange, becoming
money commodities.
Following the global financial crisis, legislators created global standards to improve
monetary sustainability known as Basel III banking regulations. Liquidity restrictions are
among these standards, with the clear and specific goal of reducing the necessity of
the central bank interventions when banks lack access to the money market. However,
it has become clear that there may be some conflicts seen between proposed law and
the monetary policy being implemented. As various liquidity ratios were phased in,
central banks around the world began to recognize that liquidity regulation elevates
banks' requirement for liquidity indefinitely. This usage may have to be met by the
central banks themselves. Otherwise, the price of liquidity may rise, potentially out of
Definition:
The ability of the central bank to supply liquidity to the economic system is known to
as central bank liquidity. It is generally defined as the amount of liquidity provided to the
market by the central bank, i.e., the flow of currency supply from the central bank to the
financial system. It is related to central bank activities liquidity, that also refers to the
amount of liquidity provided to the financial markets through central bank auctions in
from the economic agent's preferred realization is referred to as risk. The economic
agent would optimize liquidity in our case. Within this sense, the possibility of not being
liquid indicates the presence of a liquidity risk. The higher the probability, the higher the
liquidity risk. Whenever the likelihood corresponds one, liquidity risk reaches a
maximum and occurs. In this manner, liquidity and liquidity risk have an inverse
relationship, because of the elevated liquidity risk, the greater the probability of
The risk of receiving less than fair value for an investment when it must be sold for
cash quickly, Liquidity risk is defined as the risk of having to incur losses as a
consequence of not fulfilling payment obligations promptly when they are due or failing
The CEB assesses liquidity risk by combining internal metrics and regulatory
determinant used to assess liquidity risk. This metric measures how long it takes the
bank to fulfil its payment obligations arising from currently underway daily operations,
using liquid assets, and under an extreme stress scenario that includes a lack of new
funding sources, liquid asset value erosion, and contingent capital requirement on
(Jooste, 2006). They are determined by calculating in a later section. These ratios are
also very useful in determining the firm's wellbeing (Jooste, 2006). Cash flow ratios can
be calculated for suppliers and prospective investors to determine their wellbeing and
verify that they are not experiencing a liquidity problem. The idea of performance ratios
is not new, but data is more readily available today, and businesses should reap the
Quick Ratio
Current Ratio
DuPont Analysis
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
(Penh, 2017)
Managing Liquidity risk:
“To have efficient and effective liquidity management is very important for the
survival, especially for smaller businesses” (Sardakis, 2007) it’s very crucial for start-up
businesses, even if they can go for a long time without making a profit but fail when they
frequently forecasting cash flow, monitoring and optimising net working capital and
The World Bank Group regards financial inclusion as a vital ingredient for reducing
extreme poverty, increasing shared prosperity, and reducing liquidity risk. (Bank, 2022)
Giving 105 million Egyptians direct exposure to many financial platforms that will help
them in their day-to-day lives, whether it is to pay their bills, check their financial
records, order online products,...etc, will assist in decreasing liquidity risk because being
able to manage your income and outcomes with the help of many accounting and
expense management companies will boost the economy. One of the big hurdles in
points, along with ensuring adequate liquidity at access points, including in rural
regions. Cash out locations are an important feature irrespective of the digital payment
Definition:
Investing involves placing your money or other resources into something which you
expect to earn money, generate revenue, or provide some other value. When you
invest, you make investments that you expect to rise in value over time, potentially
the most important economic activities that businesses, consumers, and governments
can engage in. Government must consider investment principles when purchasing any
Types of investment
(Baddeley, 2003)
The possible long-term economic benefits of investments tangible, fixed asset
1. Increases in output
life.
(Drennan, 1999)
functioning, and price strategy, through its Ministry of Transport and Transportation
Planning Authority. (Fred Moavenzadeh, 1983) “Egypt could save 1% of its GDP per
financial inclusion
The investment process provides a framework for investors to evaluate the origins
detect the thousands of strategies described in the mainstream media and investment
publications back to their common origins. The United Nations first formally introduced
the term inclusive finance in 2005, and it refers to a financial system that can
indirect impacts such as local employment, reducing poverty, female equality, and
from cash to accounts enables more efficient and transparent fees from government
transactions in the Egyptian market. About 90% of Egyptian citizens are unbanked and
manage their finances outside formal banking institutions”. (SadreGhazi) As a result, the
Egypt has taken significant movements forward into digitalization in order to transition to
level policy frameworks and multiple efforts of Egypt guide the digital transformation and
innovation ideologies. (Egypt, 2021) CBE took the initial steps to modernize the finance
system, both to appeal to the youth, as well as to reshape Egypt into a digitalization in
order to accomplish its strategic objectives of financial inclusion and the promotion of
electronic methods and networks of payment. CBE ended up taking on the objective of
innovative advancements and also to meet the ambitions of youngsters for faster and
been realized through the less-cash transformation framework, inspiring public to pay
virtual for their own goods and services rather than using cash, facilitating the effective
transfer of money and contributing to increased federal invoices and public funds,
thereby continuing to support the country's economy. This was clear that almost all
digitization efforts that maximized government resources were critical. The CBE
structured a less cash framework to progress Egypt's less cash efforts, and throughout
contactless prepaid cards and "Tap & Go" transactions to restrict the transmission of the
virus:
• Raising the limit of “Tap & Go” transactions without requiring Pin for authorization
since the research gap is that there isn’t sufficient research in specific about investment
Furthermore, there are some researches that show a simple relationship between
Authors such as (Amihud, 1986)argue Less liquid market shares must be bartered
at a discount to the current price in order to promote economic growth - or, in other
words, they must can provide a risk premium in order to lure investors to hold the
According to (Demsetz, 1968) and (Amihud, 1986), Market liquidity is defined as the
measured by the bid-ask spread, or the distinction between both the cost of buying and
Also stated by (S & CP, 1995) By investigating the theoretical relationships between
firm financial policies and investment choices, we can see how excessive liquidity can
Furthermore, the greater the investment risk, the greater the impact such a strategy will
have on the system's stability. The chaotic behaviour is most visible in cash dynamics,
context, in line with the idea advanced by (Hirigoyen, 1985). (Baños-Caballero, 2013)
are the authors who discover a U-shaped relationship between the two indicators,
demonstrating that both high liquidity risk and excess investment can be detrimental to
firm performance.
Evidence from the paper by (Pimentel, 2008), (Vieira, 2010) Also investigated was if
there would be a brief negative correlation for both financial reporting liquidity and
liquidity performance, the study concludes that there was a positive relationship
the decrease in liquidity risk as more investment go into digitalization the better the
economy becomes and therefor leading Egypt into a better economical place. With the
decrease of usage of paper and faster response time of receiving money to merchants
or banks more and more investments can take place whether its government or
consumer sided.
Research questions:
risk?
Research Hypothesis:
H0: There is a positive relationship between the Investment and Liquidity.
Theoretical Framework:
Liquidity
Investment
(Dependent variable)
(Independent variable)
Research Design
Research philosophy:
precisely is difficult. This is due to the wide range of circumstances wherein positivism is
there are research philosophers. However, the core element of positivism is that
Positivism is an ideology that holds that only "factual" information derived from
the author's role is limited to data collection and unbiased analysis. In other words, the
researcher approaches the research as an unbiased analyst who separates herself from
fundamental and significant ideas, like causality, time, and space, are not grounded in
can be criticized for relying too heavily on the status quo. Thus, research results are
particular situation. In many cases, a theory or case study that appears to indicate a
A deductive design may be used to determine whether this relationship or link held
true under more general conditions. Potential of determining the causal links between
risk management.
into the social phenomenon in their natural context. It focuses on the "why" instead of
the "what" of social phenomena and is based on human beings' personal experiences
as significance intermediaries in their daily lives. (Eldabl, 2002)” This implies that
determining these relationships in that particular topic would then result in either the
statistical analysis and interpretation of data to determine the relationship among one
means that qualitative research is linked to face-to-face encounters with individuals and
findings.(Eldabl, 2002).
A qualitative approach is used because the focus is on analysing the liquidity risk
observations have indeed been taken into account because this study involves me to
know how to mitigate liquidity risk. Some other reason for using a qualitative approach
Time horizons
gathering replicated more than once in a lengthy period of time in order to compare
data”. (Melnikovas, 2018) This research follows the longitudinal approach as the data
needs to be collected at several periods and comparted to measure the liquidity risk.
Primary and Secondary Data:
Data can be collected in two different ways: primary and secondary. Primary data is
information that was gathered first-hand. Primary data are facts and information
gathered for the specific purpose of the study. (Rabianski, 2003). “Secondary data is
information from secondary sources that is not directly collected by the analyst”
(Rabianski, 2003). These are facts and evidence obtained for the ongoing study and for
other purposes. The information is collected for the benefit of other research groups, but
it may also be useful in analysing data for other studies. (Rabianski, 2003). One
person's primary data may be another person's secondary data. The information in this
Sampling:
As the name implies, simple random sampling is simply the process of selecting
elements for a sample at random. This sampling strategy is also used when there is a
The payback period of investments is a portion of the service life related to the
equality, a flexible approach calculates the revised term of the investment payback.
This is the variant in which the calculations are completed as from start of the
investment appears to work on the presumption that the net earnings Pt is produced
only after the goal is commissioned. If the data is generated at the time of putting the
conveyed by overall profit (Pt) being a continual volume, i.e., remaining constant over
The use of payback term analysis in the economic and financial valuation of an
investment decision is viewed as a method to account for the risk of the predicted
investments. The fact that companies facing a cash shortage will emphasise the quick
recovery of invested funds and, consequently, the ability to meet other needs is in
balance in favour of this method. Although this method provides an indication of the
project's liquidity level. (Bradu, 2005), These formulas are done a reparative basis to
measure the return on the investment and as mentioned above it could also indicate of
how liquid the project is therefor a liquidity ratio can be done to measure the liquidity to
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