Trend Report 2 Book 5 - Tennis Trading Almanac

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2
The Trend Report is NOT designed to be a strategy or system guide.

The main purpose is for sports investors to look at the analysis, observations
and strategy ideas we have presented in order for you to adapt and create your
own strategies to take on the markets with.

Hence why we supply you with charts and other data. We hope that with this
report you will find a good base of ideas to help you do just that.

The findings in this report are based on previous occurrences and trends. This is
obviously no guarantee of future performance or of future eventuality. You are
using this information at your own risk and the authors can not be held
responsible for any losses you might suffer as a result of you reading this
information. This also means that the authors are not entitled to any sharing of
profits that you might make from using this information too.

3
Hey guys,

I often say that we don’t really need knowledge of the players to trade tennis
profitably and you can make profits just by following the numbers.

This approach is still true however what if we DID know more about the players
just by consulting a little bit of data?

So, with the tools we have we decided to look closer at the performances of
tennis players during the last season.

It can be easy to find out who won and who lost certain matches but that is not
what we are doing here.

We are looking at the PRICES of the players involved to see who the markets are
regularly over/underrating.

As a result we can already know which players are more profitable to back (or
lay) in certain situations heading into the new season!

Read on and find out!

Ben Michaels, Founder of

1
We will start with the Men’s ATP tour. The first table below shows the
performance of each player on hard courts in 2021.

The section in light blue is for games where the player was a strong favourite
priced at under 1.5. The section in light green shows games where the player was
favourite and priced between 1.5 and 2.0. As a guide in each price band, we have
shown the performance of all players not just those in the top 40 when in the
defined price band.
Price Price Low 1 High 1.5 Price Price Low 1.5 High 2
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Hard Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 587 77% -£1,257 149 43% 45% 549 57% -£2,011 229 27% 27%
1 Djokovic N. 11 91% -£11 5 80% 80% 3 100% £214 1 100% 100%
2 Medvedev D. 30 90% £158 4 50% 50% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
3 Tsitsipas S. 27 85% £114 5 80% 80% 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0%
4 Zverev A. 19 89% £76 2 50% 50% 1 100% £73 0 0% 0%
5 Rublev A. 30 83% -£36 4 25% 25% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
6 Nadal R. 7 71% -£157 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
7 Berrettini M. 10 90% £69 2 50% 50% 2 50% -£48 2 50% 50%
8 Thiem D. 6 67% -£114 4 25% 50% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
9 Federer R. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 1 100% £60 0 0% 0%
10 Ruud C. 7 71% -£47 2 50% 50% 10 90% £550 2 100% 100%
11 Auger-Aliassime F. 12 75% -£80 5 40% 40% 9 67% £47 3 33% 33%
12 Hurkacz H. 15 80% £114 0 0% 0% 9 78% £383 2 50% 50%
13 Shapovalov D. 9 56% -£323 4 25% 25% 9 56% -£113 4 25% 25%
14 Sinner J. 22 86% £262 3 33% 33% 9 67% £118 2 50% 50%
15 Schwartzman D. 11 73% -£128 3 0% 0% 5 80% £172 2 50% 50%
16 Carreno Busta P. 9 89% £169 0 0% 0% 4 75% £76 1 0% 0%
17 Garin C. 1 100% £39 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0%
18 Monfils G. 5 100% £180 0 0% 0% 3 67% £26 1 0% 0%
19 Bautista Agut R. 10 60% -£216 3 33% 33% 12 58% -£39 5 20% 20%
20 Opelka R. 6 100% £189 0 0% 0% 8 50% -£108 4 25% 25%
21 Sonego L. 6 50% -£175 0 0% 0% 10 70% £225 3 33% 33%
22 Evans D. 4 75% £1 2 50% 50% 7 71% £177 2 0% 50%
23 Isner J. 7 86% £117 2 50% 50% 9 67% £106 4 25% 25%
24 Karatsev A. 8 88% £149 2 0% 50% 7 57% -£17 4 25% 25%
25 Humbert U. 8 75% -£42 3 67% 67% 5 20% -£342 2 0% 0%
26 Norrie C. 10 90% £185 2 50% 50% 9 56% -£50 3 0% 0%
27 De Minaur A. 11 64% -£303 2 0% 0% 8 25% -£468 6 17% 17%
28 Dimitrov G. 8 75% -£46 1 0% 0% 7 57% -£17 2 0% 0%
29 Khachanov K. 9 78% -£15 3 67% 67% 9 67% £110 1 0% 0%
30 Fognini F. 3 67% -£4 2 50% 50% 5 40% -£146 2 0% 0%
31 Harris L. 10 90% £209 3 100% 100% 6 33% -£239 4 25% 25%
32 Raonic M. 7 71% -£107 2 50% 50% 2 50% -£45 0 0% 0%
33 Goffin D. 8 38% -£401 5 20% 20% 6 67% £67 3 33% 33%
34 Krajinovic F. 4 75% -£50 0 0% 0% 3 67% £12 1 0% 0%
35 Lajovic D. 2 100% £61 1 100% 100% 4 50% -£48 2 50% 50%
36 Basilashvili N. 3 100% £126 0 0% 0% 7 57% -£24 6 50% 50%
37 Bublik A. 8 88% £135 2 50% 50% 13 62% £43 4 50% 50%
38 Alcaraz Carlos 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
39 Fritz T. 10 60% -£248 4 25% 25% 12 75% £332 4 50% 50%
40 Korda S. 4 75% £12 0 0% 0% 8 75% £200 3 33% 33%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 148 -£49 0% 21 £448 21%
Ranked 11-20 100 £206 2% 70 £364 5%
Ranked 21-30 74 -£133 -2% 76 -£422 -6%
Ranked 31 to 40 56 -£263 -5% 61 £297 5%

2
For example, we can see that Djokovic played 11 matches on a hard court where
he was priced under 1.5. Of these he won 91%, but did lose the first set 5 times.
On the occasions where he lost the first set, he recovered to win the second set
80% of the time and in these games his recovery to win percentage was also 80%.

The data covers both 3 and 5 set matches.

The next table shows games where the player was the underdog, usually of course
playing against a higher ranked top 40 player.
Price Price Low 2 High 2.5 Price Price Low 2.5 High 100
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Hard Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 309 45% £586 170 22% 22% 843 29% £35 560 13% 14%
1 Djokovic N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
2 Medvedev D. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
3 Tsitsipas S. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 2 0% 50%
4 Zverev A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 3 33% -£0 0 0% 0%
5 Rublev A. 1 100% £105 0 0% 0% 3 33% £2 3 33% 33%
6 Nadal R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
7 Berrettini M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 0 0% 0%
8 Thiem D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
9 Federer R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
10 Ruud C. 1 100% £102 0 0% 0% 4 0% -£4 2 0% 0%
11 Auger-Aliassime F. 2 100% £248 1 100% 100% 5 40% £1 3 0% 0%
12 Hurkacz H. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 8 63% £10 4 50% 50%
13 Shapovalov D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
14 Sinner J. 2 100% £244 1 100% 100% 3 0% -£3 2 0% 0%
15 Schwartzman D. 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
16 Carreno Busta P. 5 40% -£88 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
17 Garin C. 2 0% -£200 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
18 Monfils G. 4 75% £265 2 50% 50% 5 20% -£2 3 0% 0%
19 Bautista Agut R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 3 100% £7 0 0% 0%
20 Opelka R. 7 29% -£227 3 33% 33% 3 33% £2 2 50% 50%
21 Sonego L. 5 80% £429 2 50% 50% 6 17% -£3 3 0% 0%
22 Evans D. 5 40% -£40 3 0% 0% 6 17% -£3 5 0% 0%
23 Isner J. 3 100% £355 2 100% 100% 5 40% £1 3 0% 0%
24 Karatsev A. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 9 67% £11 6 50% 67%
25 Humbert U. 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
26 Norrie C. 10 40% -£102 4 0% 0% 5 60% £5 3 33% 33%
27 De Minaur A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
28 Dimitrov G. 3 67% £140 1 0% 0% 5 40% £2 3 0% 0%
29 Khachanov K. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 5 20% -£2 3 0% 0%
30 Fognini F. 3 67% £132 2 50% 50% 5 20% £2 2 0% 0%
31 Harris L. 5 40% -£79 1 0% 0% 10 60% £11 4 25% 25%
32 Raonic M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
33 Goffin D. 1 100% £123 0 0% 0% 3 33% £0 3 33% 33%
34 Krajinovic F. 4 25% -£195 2 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
35 Lajovic D. 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0% 11 45% £11 6 17% 17%
36 Basilashvili N. 3 0% -£300 1 0% 0% 15 53% £14 10 30% 30%
37 Bublik A. 5 60% £143 3 33% 33% 8 25% £2 3 0% 0%
38 Alcaraz Carlos 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
39 Fritz T. 4 25% -£159 2 0% 0% 5 40% £1 4 25% 25%
40 Korda S. 5 40% -£40 3 0% 0% 4 50% £2 3 33% 33%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 4 £7 2% 15 -£1 0%
Ranked 11-20 25 -£58 -2% 30 £13 0%
Ranked 21-30 33 £514 16% 48 £10 0%
Ranked 31 to 40 29 -£707 -24% 59 £37 1%

3
We seem to have found a few players that might be currently flying under
the radar and are being consistent underrated by the markets. These
players could be ones to watch in the coming year.

Casper Ruud has a 90% record when priced between 1.5 and 2.0, with his only
loss coming after winning the first set. He could be a good player to back from
the start when in this price range.

• Lloyd Harris ranked 31 in the world is pretty solid when he starts as a strong
favourite and has a 90% win rate. Look to back him from the start in matches
he is a favourite in.
• Jannik Sinner was a profitable player to follow when priced under 2.50,
showing a combined £624 profit from 33 matches, a return of 19%. When
losing the first set he only recovered 50% of the time (3/6). When winning the
first set, he closed the match out in straight sets on 24/27 occasions. Back to
lay trade on Sinner when priced below 2.50 sounds good, leaving all profits on
him if he wins the first set.

4
Price Price Low 1 High 1.5 Price Price Low 1.5 High 2
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Clay Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 352 78% -£333 100 41% 44% 376 60% £611 154 23% 24%
1 Djokovic N. 18 89% -£14 3 0% 33% 1 100% £68 1 100% 100%
2 Medvedev D. 4 100% £154 1 100% 100% 2 50% -£26 2 50% 50%
3 Tsitsipas S. 22 91% £233 3 67% 67% 2 100% £111 0 0% 0%
4 Zverev A. 11 91% £94 2 50% 100% 4 75% £100 2 50% 50%
5 Rublev A. 10 70% -£137 4 50% 50% 2 50% -£41 1 0% 0%
6 Nadal R. 20 85% -£113 4 50% 50% 2 100% £119 0 0% 0%
7 Berrettini M. 8 100% £156 1 100% 100% 4 75% £118 2 50% 50%
8 Thiem D. 7 57% -£196 4 50% 50% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
9 Federer R. 3 67% -£52 1 0% 0% 1 100% £52 0 0% 0%
10 Ruud C. 23 91% £191 5 60% 60% 4 75% £114 1 0% 0%
11 Auger-Aliassime F. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 6 50% -£37 4 25% 25%
12 Hurkacz H. 2 50% -£70 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0%
13 Shapovalov D. 4 50% -£113 2 50% 50% 6 83% £181 1 0% 0%
14 Sinner J. 9 78% -£62 1 0% 0% 2 100% £154 1 100% 100%
15 Schwartzman D. 12 83% £64 3 33% 33% 4 25% -£249 3 0% 0%
16 Carreno Busta P. 10 90% £133 2 100% 100% 3 67% £35 0 0% 0%
17 Garin C. 13 77% -£14 4 25% 50% 6 67% £37 2 0% 0%
18 Monfils G. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% -£39 0 0% 0%
19 Bautista Agut R. 9 67% -£129 3 0% 0% 2 50% -£15 1 0% 0%
20 Opelka R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 3 67% £35 1 0% 0%
21 Sonego L. 2 50% -£69 1 0% 0% 2 50% -£25 1 0% 0%
22 Evans D. 1 100% £44 1 100% 100% 4 25% -£227 2 0% 0%
23 Isner J. 1 100% £28 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
24 Karatsev A. 8 63% -£112 3 0% 0% 4 75% £161 2 50% 50%
25 Humbert U. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0%
26 Norrie C. 4 100% £160 1 100% 100% 5 100% £401 1 100% 100%
27 De Minaur A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 5 60% -£7 2 0% 0%
28 Dimitrov G. 3 33% -£158 1 0% 0% 2 50% -£30 1 0% 0%
29 Khachanov K. 3 67% -£29 1 0% 0% 6 50% -£106 1 0% 0%
30 Fognini F. 3 67% -£47 0 0% 0% 7 57% -£33 3 0% 0%
31 Harris L. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
32 Raonic M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
33 Goffin D. 3 67% -£12 0 0% 0% 5 40% -£158 2 0% 0%
34 Krajinovic F. 8 88% £161 1 0% 0% 7 43% -£191 4 0% 0%
35 Lajovic D. 2 50% -£51 0 0% 0% 9 44% -£167 5 0% 0%
36 Basilashvili N. 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0% 5 100% £365 0 0% 0%
37 Bublik A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
38 Alcaraz Carlos 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
39 Fritz T. 2 50% -£82 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
40 Korda S. 4 50% -£131 2 0% 0% 4 75% £118 1 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 126 £316 3% 22 £613 28%
Ranked 11-20 61 -£391 -6% 36 -£98 -3%
Ranked 21-30 26 -£283 -11% 37 -£67 -2%
Ranked 31 to 40 21 -£316 -15% 31 -£134 -4%

5
Price Price Low 2 High 2.5 Price Price Low 2.5 High 100
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Clay Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 237 43% -£631 121 13% 13% 521 27% £27 342 9% 10%
1 Djokovic N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 50% £1 2 50% 50%
2 Medvedev D. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
3 Tsitsipas S. 2 50% £20 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 1 0% 0%
4 Zverev A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 3 33% £2 2 0% 0%
5 Rublev A. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 100% £6 0 0% 0%
6 Nadal R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
7 Berrettini M. 3 67% £127 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
8 Thiem D. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
9 Federer R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
10 Ruud C. 2 100% £203 0 0% 0% 3 67% £4 1 0% 0%
11 Auger-Aliassime F. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 1 0% 0%
12 Hurkacz H. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
13 Shapovalov D. 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
14 Sinner J. 1 100% £104 0 0% 0% 4 0% -£4 4 0% 0%
15 Schwartzman D. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
16 Carreno Busta P. 3 67% £129 1 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
17 Garin C. 2 50% £32 1 0% 0% 4 25% -£1 2 0% 0%
18 Monfils G. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 2 50% 50%
19 Bautista Agut R. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
20 Opelka R. 2 50% £27 1 0% 0% 5 60% £5 2 0% 0%
21 Sonego L. 1 100% £142 0 0% 0% 4 50% £4 3 33% 33%
22 Evans D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 6 67% £16 3 33% 33%
23 Isner J. 2 100% £270 0 0% 0% 4 50% £4 0 0% 0%
24 Karatsev A. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 2 50% £4 1 0% 0%
25 Humbert U. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 4 25% -£1 3 0% 0%
26 Norrie C. 1 100% £137 0 0% 0% 9 44% £5 5 20% 20%
27 De Minaur A. 2 50% -£1 2 50% 50% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
28 Dimitrov G. 2 50% £8 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
29 Khachanov K. 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
30 Fognini F. 3 33% -£96 2 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
31 Harris L. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 6 33% £4 2 0% 0%
32 Raonic M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
33 Goffin D. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
34 Krajinovic F. 5 20% -£292 4 0% 0% 1 100% £7 1 100% 100%
35 Lajovic D. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
36 Basilashvili N. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 6 33% £1 2 0% 0%
37 Bublik A. 4 0% -£400 3 0% 0% 6 67% £7 3 33% 33%
38 Alcaraz Carlos 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
39 Fritz T. 1 100% £135 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
40 Korda S. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 10 £50 5% 14 £8 1%
Ranked 11-20 14 -£307 -22% 24 -£6 0%
Ranked 21-30 14 £159 11% 33 £28 1%
Ranked 31 to 40 14 -£957 -68% 25 £18 1%

6
The clay data is interesting and strong favourite bias seems prevalent once
again.

• Backing ANY top 10 male players when favourite in a competitive match


showed a 28% return (1.5 to 2.0 price range). With this information you could
consider backing these players if they go a set or break down and then trading
from there.
• Cameron Norrie is solid on clay and it seems like the markets have not yet
caught up to this. He won 9/9 when favourite for a combined profit of £561
and a return on investment of 62%. He also won his only game when priced
in the 2.0-2.5 bracket.

7
Price Price Low 1 High 1.5 Price Price Low 1.5 High 2
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Grass Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 159 82% £877 42 48% 50% 131 60% £14 52 23% 23%
1 Djokovic N. 7 100% £54 2 100% 100% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
2 Medvedev D. 9 78% -£53 3 33% 67% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
3 Tsitsipas S. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
4 Zverev A. 6 67% -£148 3 33% 33% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
5 Rublev A. 7 86% £27 2 50% 50% 2 50% -£44 1 0% 0%
6 Nadal R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
7 Berrettini M. 11 100% £306 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
8 Thiem D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0%
9 Federer R. 5 80% -£3 1 0% 0% 2 50% -£49 0 0% 0%
10 Ruud C. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 3 67% £20 1 0% 0%
11 Auger-Aliassime F. 3 100% £57 0 0% 0% 5 80% £163 1 0% 0%
12 Hurkacz H. 2 100% £93 0 0% 0% 2 50% -£30 1 0% 0%
13 Shapovalov D. 6 100% £166 0 0% 0% 5 60% £28 2 0% 0%
14 Sinner J. 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
15 Schwartzman D. 2 100% £44 1 100% 100% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
16 Carreno Busta P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 100% £136 0 0% 0%
17 Garin C. 2 100% £83 0 0% 0% 1 100% £55 1 100% 100%
18 Monfils G. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
19 Bautista Agut R. 5 80% £23 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
20 Opelka R. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
21 Sonego L. 4 100% £93 1 100% 100% 2 50% -£10 1 0% 0%
22 Evans D. 2 100% £57 0 0% 0% 3 67% £22 1 0% 0%
23 Isner J. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
24 Karatsev A. 1 100% £25 1 100% 100% 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0%
25 Humbert U. 1 100% £38 0 0% 0% 6 67% £80 3 67% 67%
26 Norrie C. 3 100% £105 2 100% 100% 1 100% £52 0 0% 0%
27 De Minaur A. 6 83% £31 2 100% 100% 3 67% £2 2 50% 50%
28 Dimitrov G. 1 100% £34 1 100% 100% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
29 Khachanov K. 2 100% £67 0 0% 0% 3 67% £56 2 100% 100%
30 Fognini F. 3 100% £115 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
31 Harris L. 2 100% £76 0 0% 0% 4 50% -£66 2 0% 0%
32 Raonic M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
33 Goffin D. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
34 Krajinovic F. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
35 Lajovic D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
36 Basilashvili N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 100% £145 0 0% 0%
37 Bublik A. 5 100% £194 0 0% 0% 4 25% -£207 2 0% 0%
38 Alcaraz Carlos 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
39 Fritz T. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 100% £75 0 0% 0%
40 Korda S. 1 100% £13 0 0% 0% 1 100% £81 1 100% 100%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 46 £83 2% 8 -£174 -22%
Ranked 11-20 24 £65 3% 19 -£48 -3%
Ranked 21-30 24 £464 19% 20 £2 0%
Ranked 31 to 40 9 £183 20% 12 £29 2%

8
Price Price Low 2 High 2.5 Price Price Low 2.5 High 100
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Grass Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 72 44% -£151 39 13% 15% 232 24% -£35 153 7% 7%
1 Djokovic N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
2 Medvedev D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
3 Tsitsipas S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
4 Zverev A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
5 Rublev A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
6 Nadal R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
7 Berrettini M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
8 Thiem D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
9 Federer R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
10 Ruud C. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
11 Auger-Aliassime F. 2 50% -£1 1 0% 0% 3 67% £4 2 50% 50%
12 Hurkacz H. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 4 50% £5 3 33% 33%
13 Shapovalov D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
14 Sinner J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
15 Schwartzman D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
16 Carreno Busta P. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
17 Garin C. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
18 Monfils G. 1 100% £99 1 100% 100% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
19 Bautista Agut R. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
20 Opelka R. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
21 Sonego L. 1 100% £119 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 1 0% 0%
22 Evans D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
23 Isner J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
24 Karatsev A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
25 Humbert U. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 3 100% £6 0 0% 0%
26 Norrie C. 1 100% £118 0 0% 0% 3 33% -£0 2 0% 0%
27 De Minaur A. 1 100% £108 1 100% 100% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
28 Dimitrov G. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
29 Khachanov K. 1 100% £127 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
30 Fognini F. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
31 Harris L. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
32 Raonic M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
33 Goffin D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
34 Krajinovic F. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
35 Lajovic D. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £0 1 0% 0%
36 Basilashvili N. 3 67% £160 1 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
37 Bublik A. 2 50% £18 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
38 Alcaraz Carlos 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
39 Fritz T. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 50% £1 0 0% 0%
40 Korda S. 3 33% -£61 1 0% 0% 2 100% £4 0 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 0 £0 #DIV/0! 2 -£2 -1%
Ranked 11-20 5 -£102 -20% 11 £5 0%
Ranked 21-30 6 £271 45% 14 -£3 0%
Ranked 31 to 40 10 -£84 -8% 10 £1 0%

9
• There is strong favourite bias once again during Grass season.

Just blindly backing ANY favourites showing a 5.5% return on investment,


although this may be weighted by Wimbledon where the top players are of course
highly motivated.

With this information you should always strongly consider trading in favour of
favourites rather than against in Grass matches.

10
Price Price Low 1 High 1.5 Price Price Low 1.5 High 2
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Hard Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 600 82% £3,373 115 43% 43% 595 58% -£623 261 27% 27%
1 Barty A. 18 83% £33 2 0% 0% 5 100% £372 0 0% 0%
2 Sabalenka A. 19 84% £117 3 33% 33% 10 60% -£38 4 0% 0%
3 Pliskova Ka. 11 91% £196 1 0% 0% 11 45% -£287 7 14% 14%
4 Swiatek I. 13 92% £189 3 67% 67% 6 33% -£237 4 0% 0%
5 Krejcikova B. 11 100% £206 0 0% 0% 7 100% £480 0 0% 0%
6 Muguruza G. 22 95% £435 2 50% 50% 10 50% -£113 5 20% 20%
7 Svitolina E. 21 81% £147 3 33% 33% 9 67% £125 3 33% 33%
8 Kenin S. 6 83% £11 1 100% 100% 4 50% -£73 4 50% 50%
9 Sakkari M. 11 73% -£21 3 0% 0% 9 78% £276 3 67% 67%
10 Bencic B. 10 80% £29 3 33% 33% 9 44% -£207 4 0% 0%
11 Kvitova P. 12 58% -£318 2 0% 0% 8 63% £71 2 0% 0%
12 Osaka N. 16 81% -£70 2 50% 50% 4 75% £87 2 100% 100%
13 Pavlyuchenkova A. 7 86% £58 0 0% 0% 4 75% £94 1 100% 100%
14 Jabeur O. 11 100% £322 1 100% 100% 12 42% -£335 7 29% 29%
15 Kerber A. 6 50% -£224 2 50% 50% 4 100% £296 2 100% 100%
16 Rybakina E. 13 69% -£181 4 25% 25% 8 50% -£97 4 25% 25%
17 Halep S. 10 80% -£18 3 67% 67% 2 100% £167 1 100% 100%
18 Mertens E. 15 93% £227 4 75% 75% 9 67% £129 4 25% 25%
19 Gauff C. 11 82% £99 1 100% 100% 6 33% -£241 5 20% 20%
20 Kontaveit A. 13 92% £211 2 100% 100% 6 67% £80 2 0% 0%
21 Andreescu B. 9 89% £181 1 0% 0% 5 60% -£11 1 0% 0%
22 Raducanu E. 1 100% £19 0 0% 0% 3 100% £202 1 100% 100%
23 Brady J. 9 67% -£135 2 50% 50% 6 67% £67 1 0% 0%
24 Pegula J. 11 100% £240 0 0% 0% 10 80% £377 2 50% 50%
25 Collins D. 13 100% £394 3 100% 100% 8 63% £34 4 50% 50%
26 Muchova K. 5 80% -£12 1 0% 0% 5 60% £9 2 50% 50%
27 Gibert P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
28 Fernandez L.A. 6 83% £51 1 0% 0% 5 40% -£156 3 0% 0%
29 Ostapenko J. 7 86% £94 2 50% 50% 9 67% £62 3 0% 0%
30 Kasatkina D. 11 82% £118 4 50% 50% 10 100% £647 5 100% 100%
31 Kudermetova V. 10 80% £51 3 33% 33% 4 100% £318 1 100% 100%
32 Azarenka V. 11 91% £179 1 0% 0% 6 67% £100 1 0% 0%
33 Zidansek T. 2 50% -£75 1 0% 0% 5 20% -£322 4 0% 0%
34 Alexandrova E. 11 73% -£72 4 25% 25% 3 33% -£138 2 0% 0%
35 Tormo S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
36 Podoroska N. 3 100% £97 0 0% 0% 10 30% -£499 6 0% 0%
37 Vondrousova M. 13 69% -£108 2 50% 50% 11 73% £307 4 50% 50%
38 Giorgi C. 3 67% -£53 1 0% 0% 5 80% £188 2 50% 50%
39 Teichmann J. 4 75% -£11 0 0% 0% 8 100% £554 2 100% 100%
40 Cirstea S. 3 100% £74 0 0% 0% 8 38% -£278 4 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 142 £1,343 9% 80 £299 4%
Ranked 11-20 114 £107 1% 63 £251 4%
Ranked 21-30 72 £949 13% 61 £1,230 20%
Ranked 31 to 40 60 £83 1% 60 £229 4%

11
Price Price Low 2 High 2.5 Price Price Low 2.5 High 100
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Hard Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 344 46% £672 164 20% 20% 865 23% -£131 606 8% 8%
1 Barty A. 2 100% £238 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
2 Sabalenka A. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
3 Pliskova Ka. 2 100% £207 0 0% 0% 3 33% -£0 2 0% 0%
4 Swiatek I. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
5 Krejcikova B. 3 67% £127 1 0% 0% 8 25% -£1 7 14% 14%
6 Muguruza G. 5 80% £345 2 50% 50% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
7 Svitolina E. 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0% 2 50% £1 2 50% 50%
8 Kenin S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 1 0% 0%
9 Sakkari M. 6 50% £16 3 0% 0% 2 50% £3 1 0% 0%
10 Bencic B. 6 83% £481 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
11 Kvitova P. 1 100% £118 0 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
12 Osaka N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
13 Pavlyuchenkova A. 3 0% -£300 2 0% 0% 5 0% -£5 5 0% 0%
14 Jabeur O. 5 80% £371 2 50% 50% 3 33% -£0 2 0% 0%
15 Kerber A. 2 100% £263 0 0% 0% 6 33% £0 4 0% 0%
16 Rybakina E. 3 33% -£80 2 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
17 Halep S. 5 20% -£292 2 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
18 Mertens E. 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0% 5 40% £0 3 0% 0%
19 Gauff C. 4 50% £22 2 50% 50% 2 50% £1 2 50% 50%
20 Kontaveit A. 4 25% -£163 2 0% 0% 5 40% £0 4 25% 25%
21 Andreescu B. 4 25% -£183 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 1 100% 100%
22 Raducanu E. 2 100% £260 0 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
23 Brady J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
24 Pegula J. 8 38% -£155 6 33% 33% 5 40% £2 1 0% 0%
25 Collins D. 7 43% -£18 2 0% 0% 3 33% £1 2 0% 0%
26 Muchova K. 3 33% -£75 0 0% 0% 3 67% £6 2 50% 50%
27 Gibert P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
28 Fernandez L.A. 3 100% £344 0 0% 0% 7 57% £11 4 50% 50%
29 Ostapenko J. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 5 20% -£2 2 0% 0%
30 Kasatkina D. 6 67% £307 3 33% 33% 6 17% -£3 4 0% 0%
31 Kudermetova V. 4 0% -£400 3 0% 0% 9 33% -£1 7 14% 14%
32 Azarenka V. 4 0% -£400 3 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
33 Zidansek T. 3 67% £130 1 0% 0% 8 50% £7 5 20% 20%
34 Alexandrova E. 3 0% -£300 3 0% 0% 5 40% £1 3 0% 0%
35 Tormo S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
36 Podoroska N. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 5 40% £1 4 25% 25%
37 Vondrousova M. 3 33% -£79 1 100% 100% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
38 Giorgi C. 4 50% £50 2 0% 0% 5 40% £0 2 0% 0%
39 Teichmann J. 2 50% £42 1 0% 0% 14 43% £6 8 13% 13%
40 Cirstea S. 4 50% £21 2 0% 0% 5 40% £3 3 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 28 £1,014 36% 20 -£1 0%
Ranked 11-20 29 -£261 -9% 28 -£3 0%
Ranked 21-30 34 £380 11% 33 £15 0%
Ranked 31 to 40 28 -£1,037 -37% 54 £14 0%

12
• Blindly backing hot favourites showed a decent profit of £3373, which
equated to a return on investment of 5.6%
• World number 1 Ash Barty hasn’t dropped a set in these matches when 1.5 to
2.0, however on the two occasions that she has dropped a set, both as
favourite, she has lost in straight sets
• Barbora Krejcikova has won all 18 matches she has played on a hard court
as the favourite in straight sets for a profit of £686

• Ranked 39, Jil Teichmann has an 8/8 record this year when priced 1.5 to 2.0,
for a profit of £554 and a return on investment of 69%. This included twice
recovering from a set down. Overall she has won 11/12 matches on a hard
court this year when favourite, but lost the other in straight sets.

13
• Darya Kasatkina, ranked 30 has an even better 10/10 win record when priced
1.5 to 2.0 recovering from a set down of 5 occasions. She has however been
beaten a couple of times when a strong favourite. Over 21 matches however,
just backing her when she was favourite yielded £765 to a £100 stake, a return
on investment of 36%.
• Danielle Collins, ranked 25 has won all 13 matches when a strong favourite at
1.5 or less, recovering from a set down 3 times, yielding £394 at an ROI of 30%
• Jessica Pegula, ranked 24 has won 11/11 matches when a strong favourite in
straight sets, but only yielded £240 profit.

• Generally assuming a strong favourite will win the second set having dropped
the first is a relatively low percentage play. This is quite interesting for those
using the Boomerang strategy in Hard Court WTA Matches. Perhaps Hammer
Reloaded might be a better option!

14
Price Price Low 1 High 1.5 Price Price Low 1.5 High 2
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Clay Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 340 78% £48 81 40% 40% 336 59% £348 146 28% 28%
1 Barty A. 15 80% £10 3 67% 67% 3 67% £72 2 50% 50%
2 Sabalenka A. 12 83% £36 2 0% 0% 1 100% £64 0 0% 0%
3 Pliskova Ka. 4 50% -£164 2 0% 0% 6 100% £448 3 100% 100%
4 Swiatek I. 13 92% £155 2 50% 50% 3 67% £69 1 0% 0%
5 Krejcikova B. 6 83% £16 4 75% 75% 7 100% £525 1 100% 100%
6 Muguruza G. 5 60% -£143 2 50% 50% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
7 Svitolina E. 4 75% -£24 0 0% 0% 2 50% -£37 2 50% 50%
8 Kenin S. 2 50% -£63 0 0% 0% 1 100% £83 1 100% 100%
9 Sakkari M. 6 83% £2 1 0% 0% 8 63% £60 4 25% 25%
10 Bencic B. 3 67% -£35 1 0% 0% 5 40% -£156 4 25% 25%
11 Kvitova P. 10 80% £7 4 50% 50% 3 67% £31 0 0% 0%
12 Osaka N. 3 67% -£69 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
13 Pavlyuchenkova A. 3 67% -£15 1 0% 0% 2 100% £122 0 0% 0%
14 Jabeur O. 11 82% £21 3 67% 67% 4 75% £82 1 100% 100%
15 Kerber A. 1 100% £30 0 0% 0% 3 33% -£133 2 0% 0%
16 Rybakina E. 6 83% £27 0 0% 0% 2 50% -£13 0 0% 0%
17 Halep S. 5 60% -£140 0 0% 0% 2 50% -£34 1 0% 0%
18 Mertens E. 8 75% -£98 3 33% 33% 3 67% £10 0 0% 0%
19 Gauff C. 8 100% £263 1 100% 100% 7 71% £162 2 0% 0%
20 Kontaveit A. 5 100% £167 1 100% 100% 2 100% £146 0 0% 0%
21 Andreescu B. 3 67% -£63 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
22 Raducanu E. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
23 Brady J. 2 100% £40 0 0% 0% 5 60% £45 1 0% 0%
24 Pegula J. 3 67% -£63 1 0% 0% 2 50% -£28 1 0% 0%
25 Collins D. 8 100% £187 1 100% 100% 4 50% -£59 1 0% 0%
26 Muchova K. 3 100% £80 1 100% 100% 3 0% -£300 2 0% 0%
27 Gibert P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
28 Fernandez L.A. 2 50% -£67 1 0% 0% 3 33% -£116 2 0% 0%
29 Ostapenko J. 2 100% £65 0 0% 0% 4 75% £116 2 50% 50%
30 Kasatkina D. 4 75% -£52 1 0% 0% 4 25% -£241 3 33% 33%
31 Kudermetova V. 8 100% £224 1 100% 100% 6 83% £294 1 0% 0%
32 Azarenka V. 1 100% £29 0 0% 0% 5 60% -£7 0 0% 0%
33 Zidansek T. 9 100% £263 1 100% 100% 7 57% £3 4 50% 50%
34 Alexandrova E. 2 100% £49 0 0% 0% 1 100% £56 0 0% 0%
35 Tormo S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
36 Podoroska N. 2 100% £51 0 0% 0% 3 0% -£300 2 0% 0%
37 Vondrousova M. 2 50% -£66 1 0% 0% 4 75% £94 2 50% 50%
38 Giorgi C. 2 50% -£88 1 0% 0% 2 50% -£44 2 50% 50%
39 Teichmann J. 4 75% -£7 2 50% 50% 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0%
40 Cirstea S. 4 100% £112 0 0% 0% 3 67% £41 2 50% 50%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 70 -£210 -3% 37 £1,027 28%
Ranked 11-20 60 £193 3% 29 £272 9%
Ranked 21-30 27 £128 5% 25 -£584 -23%
Ranked 31 to 40 34 £567 17% 33 -£63 -2%

15
Price Price Low 2 High 2.5 Price Price Low 2.5 High 100
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Clay Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 205 40% -£2,101 109 11% 11% 495 29% £4 325 9% 9%
1 Barty A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
2 Sabalenka A. 2 50% £13 0 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
3 Pliskova Ka. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 1 0% 0%
4 Swiatek I. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
5 Krejcikova B. 3 67% £137 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 0 0% 0%
6 Muguruza G. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
7 Svitolina E. 2 50% £23 1 0% 0% 2 50% £3 1 100% 100%
8 Kenin S. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 3 33% -£0 2 0% 0%
9 Sakkari M. 2 50% £35 1 0% 0% 1 100% £3 0 0% 0%
10 Bencic B. 3 33% -£82 2 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
11 Kvitova P. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
12 Osaka N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
13 Pavlyuchenkova A. 3 33% -£76 2 0% 0% 7 86% £11 3 67% 67%
14 Jabeur O. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
15 Kerber A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 5 40% £4 2 0% 0%
16 Rybakina E. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 1 0% 0%
17 Halep S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
18 Mertens E. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £2 1 100% 100%
19 Gauff C. 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0% 4 75% £8 1 0% 0%
20 Kontaveit A. 4 75% £227 1 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
21 Andreescu B. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
22 Raducanu E. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
23 Brady J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 1 0% 0%
24 Pegula J. 3 67% £135 0 0% 0% 3 67% £2 1 0% 0%
25 Collins D. 2 50% £32 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
26 Muchova K. 1 100% £144 0 0% 0% 1 100% £2 0 0% 0%
27 Gibert P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
28 Fernandez L.A. 1 100% £135 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
29 Ostapenko J. 4 25% -£197 2 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 0 0% 0%
30 Kasatkina D. 1 100% £138 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
31 Kudermetova V. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 5 20% -£2 5 20% 20%
32 Azarenka V. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
33 Zidansek T. 1 100% £121 0 0% 0% 4 50% £3 3 33% 33%
34 Alexandrova E. 6 67% £315 3 33% 33% 3 0% -£3 3 0% 0%
35 Tormo S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
36 Podoroska N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 100% £4 1 100% 100%
37 Vondrousova M. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
38 Giorgi C. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 3 33% £1 2 0% 0%
39 Teichmann J. 3 0% -£300 0 0% 0% 3 67% £4 2 50% 50%
40 Cirstea S. 2 50% £10 1 0% 0% 6 67% £7 2 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 14 -£74 -5% 12 £8 1%
Ranked 11-20 12 -£348 -29% 24 £25 1%
Ranked 21-30 12 £388 32% 8 £0 0%
Ranked 31 to 40 13 £46 4% 27 £12 0%

16
• Clay results look more volatile. Looking at top 10 players, they showed a loss
when a strong favourite, but that became a strong profit when likely to be
tested (ie in the 1.5 to 2.0 range). Backing all hot favourites lost £2101 over
205 matches a loss on investment of 10%. So when favourites are on clay, look
to lay!
• Barbora Krejcikova again showed up well with another 100% record when in
the 1.5 to 2.0. Her 7/7 record yielded a profit of £525 for a return on investment
of 75%. She won 6 of her matches in straight sets and recovered to win on the
one occasion that she dropped the first set.
• Katerina Pliskova had a 6/6 record when in the 1.5 to 2.0 bracket, showing a
profit of £448 for 75% return on investment, with three turnarounds after
losing the first set. Interestingly she has proven less reliable as a strong
favourite with 2 unexpected defeats, both in straight sets!
• The other obvious record to explore belonged to Veronika Kudermetova who
won 13/14 matches when favourite on Clay for a combined return of £518
(37%)

17
Price Price Low 1 High 1.5 Price Price Low 1.5 High 2
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Grass Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 146 77% -£194 34 26% 26% 138 59% £10 50 36% 36%
1 Barty A. 6 100% £150 0 0% 0% 1 100% £57 0 0% 0%
2 Sabalenka A. 6 83% -£2 2 50% 50% 4 50% -£43 1 0% 0%
3 Pliskova Ka. 3 67% -£38 0 0% 0% 3 67% £14 1 0% 0%
4 Swiatek I. 4 100% £120 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£200 0 0% 0%
5 Krejcikova B. 1 100% £33 0 0% 0% 2 100% £120 0 0% 0%
6 Muguruza G. 4 75% -£46 0 0% 0% 2 50% -£33 0 0% 0%
7 Svitolina E. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 4 50% -£60 3 33% 33%
8 Kenin S. 2 50% -£61 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
9 Sakkari M. 2 50% -£84 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
10 Bencic B. 3 33% -£160 2 0% 0% 4 75% £77 1 100% 100%
11 Kvitova P. 4 75% -£32 2 50% 50% 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0%
12 Osaka N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
13 Pavlyuchenkova A. 2 100% £65 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
14 Jabeur O. 6 100% £195 0 0% 0% 3 67% £33 0 0% 0%
15 Kerber A. 6 100% £132 1 100% 100% 3 100% £201 1 100% 100%
16 Rybakina E. 3 100% £69 0 0% 0% 4 75% £60 3 67% 67%
17 Halep S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
18 Mertens E. 3 67% -£80 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
19 Gauff C. 3 100% £55 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0%
20 Kontaveit A. 2 100% £66 1 100% 100% 3 67% £70 0 0% 0%
21 Andreescu B. 2 50% -£67 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
22 Raducanu E. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
23 Brady J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
24 Pegula J. 2 100% £54 0 0% 0% 2 50% -£44 1 0% 0%
25 Collins D. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 100% £58 1 100% 100%
26 Muchova K. 1 100% £35 0 0% 0% 4 75% £127 1 0% 0%
27 Gibert P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
28 Fernandez L.A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 100% £58 0 0% 0%
29 Ostapenko J. 4 50% -£124 1 0% 0% 4 100% £313 0 0% 0%
30 Kasatkina D. 2 100% £43 0 0% 0% 3 67% £20 1 100% 100%
31 Kudermetova V. 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 0 0% 0%
32 Azarenka V. 7 57% -£221 2 0% 0% 2 100% £115 0 0% 0%
33 Zidansek T. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
34 Alexandrova E. 3 67% -£58 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0%
35 Tormo S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
36 Podoroska N. 1 100% £19 0 0% 0% 1 100% £62 0 0% 0%
37 Vondrousova M. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
38 Giorgi C. 2 100% £64 0 0% 0% 1 100% £63 0 0% 0%
39 Teichmann J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
40 Cirstea S. 1 100% £12 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£200 2 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 32 -£188 -6% 22 -£69 -3%
Ranked 11-20 29 £468 16% 16 £63 4%
Ranked 21-30 11 -£58 -5% 16 £431 27%
Ranked 31 to 40 17 -£484 -28% 8 -£161 -20%

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Price Price Low 2 High 2.5 Price Price Low 2.5 High 100
£100 Lost S1 £100 Lost S1
Grass Match Lost Lost S1 Match Lost Lost S1
Won Win Won Won Win Won
es S1 Won S2 es S1 Won S2
P&L Match P&L Match
Rank All Players 87 51% £1,036 41 32% 32% 217 25% -£20 160 10% 10%
1 Barty A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
2 Sabalenka A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
3 Pliskova Ka. 1 100% £100 0 0% 0% 2 50% £1 2 50% 50%
4 Swiatek I. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
5 Krejcikova B. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
6 Muguruza G. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
7 Svitolina E. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
8 Kenin S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
9 Sakkari M. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
10 Bencic B. 1 100% £113 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
11 Kvitova P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
12 Osaka N. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
13 Pavlyuchenkova A. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
14 Jabeur O. 2 50% £39 2 50% 50% 1 100% £2 1 100% 100%
15 Kerber A. 2 100% £255 1 100% 100% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
16 Rybakina E. 1 100% £104 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
17 Halep S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
18 Mertens E. 2 0% -£200 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
19 Gauff C. 1 100% £99 1 100% 100% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
20 Kontaveit A. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
21 Andreescu B. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
22 Raducanu E. 2 50% £28 0 0% 0% 3 67% £4 1 0% 0%
23 Brady J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
24 Pegula J. 2 50% £13 1 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
25 Collins D. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
26 Muchova K. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
27 Gibert P. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
28 Fernandez L.A. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 0% -£2 2 0% 0%
29 Ostapenko J. 2 100% £252 2 100% 100% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
30 Kasatkina D. 2 100% £220 0 0% 0% 3 33% -£0 3 33% 33%
31 Kudermetova V. 1 100% £123 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
32 Azarenka V. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
33 Zidansek T. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
34 Alexandrova E. 1 100% £121 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
35 Tormo S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 0 0% £0 0 0% 0%
36 Podoroska N. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 1 0% 0%
37 Vondrousova M. 1 0% -£100 1 0% 0% 2 50% £1 2 50% 50%
38 Giorgi C. 3 0% -£300 1 0% 0% 2 100% £5 1 100% 100%
39 Teichmann J. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 1 0% -£1 1 0% 0%
40 Cirstea S. 0 0% £0 0 0% 0% 2 50% £3 1 0% 0%
ROI ROI
Top 10 Ranked 2 £213 106% 3 -£0 0%
Ranked 11-20 10 £97 10% 6 -£3 -1%
Ranked 21-30 11 £212 19% 9 £0 0%
Ranked 31 to 40 7 -£257 -37% 10 £8 1%

What To Look For

• With the grass season being quite short it is harder to draw conclusions,
but the profit from backing all players in the 2-2.5 range is interesting.
Drawing conclusions from just 87 games is dangerous though.
• Our friend Barbora Krajcikova again showed up strongly as favourite.

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• A Portfolio of FIVE profitable tennis trading strategies
• Learn how to trade tennis matches from start to finish
• Learn HOW to read a tennis match (just by looking at
numbers)
• Many more extra secrets + bonuses

Add yourself by visiting


UltimateTennisTrading.com

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So, this was very useful and now you have a decent bit of data to refer to when
investing in tennis.
Many have speculated about the unreliability of favourites during Clay season
and so it is good to see some data backing that up.
I like to go against favourites a lot of the time and so that makes sense as I tend
to really enjoy matches on the clay whereas others get frustrated!
The information about the particular players is also interesting.
But I would forewarn not to follow it blindly since players and always look at
the context of the match itself.
Lots of data there, wishing you lots of profits in the coming tennis season!

Ben Michaels, Founder of SportsTradingLife.com

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