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REPORT_2024_food_industry_audit_report_may24__1_
REPORT_2024_food_industry_audit_report_may24__1_
Back to business
as unusual
Introduction .......................................................................................4
Conclusion.........................................................................................13
Appendix........................................................................................... 14
Methodology ................................................................................... 15
References ....................................................................................... 15
About this report
The food and beverage industry is under greater pressure from small independents to large global brands and
than ever. The risks faced by businesses are constantly compares the findings to those pre-pandemic (2018)
growing and shifting. This report aims to illustrate which and the previous 12 months.
urgent, short-term challenges are crowding out strategic
issues. Armed with this insight, boards can take stock of This provides a powerful overview of the sector
whether their focus is in the right place. based on its own words. Ideagen has uncovered and
ranked 45 risks in order of importance based on the
It draws on findings from the risk and uncertainty percentage of firms that mentioned them.
statements of food and beverage businesses ranging
Highlights
Finance focus: commodity inflation comes 1st (75%)
Global disruption: supply chain concerns have doubled for larger businesses (38%)
Big business is risky: 34 of 45 risk factors more prominent for larger firms
The food and beverage industry has come through the seemingly
short-term shocks of the pandemic and Brexit to face a new world of
uncertainty characterized by global unrest, high costs, growing competition,
reputational issues, regulatory risks, and a laser focus on dealing
with the planet’s health.
In 2024, COVID-19 and Brexit have covered in our analysis). Combined This might explain significant shifts in other The following sections delve deeper into the
plummeted out of the top 10. This means ecological risks are also a huge issue. Their risks too. Competition has shot up five details of these changes.
the top risks for 2024 look similar to those cumulative impact is undeniable. Overall, places to fifth while reputation has moved
of 2018, with a major focus on finances. this paints a picture of ‘back to business up the same amount, from 28th to 23rd
Commodity inflation, currency, credit and as unusual.’ place, reclaiming some of the relevance it
liquidity are the top four. The same as in 2018 had in 2018, when it ranked 17th.
– although in a different order. But does this In this context of continued instability,
mean it’s back to business as usual? consumers are unsure of their long-term
Far from it. spending power and how far their food
Importantly,
budget might stretch from week to week.
Because the world can never go back to This means retailers and food manufacturers regulatory risks now
how it was. New challenges have arisen, have got the unenviable job of trying to feature in ninth place,
including Ukraine, a new entrant now placed balance the books, which either brings having languished below the top
10th in the rankings (the conflict in Gaza increased costs for customers 10 in previous years.
and the challenges of crossing the Red Sea or ‘shrinkflation’.
and Suez Canal fall outside the timeframe
COVID-19 and Brexit have disappeared from the top 10. Rated first and third in
Percentage of businesses saying commodity inflation is a risk 2023, they’re in 15th and 13th places respectively in 2024. COVID-19 is particularly
notable for its fall, dropping 14 places, called out by just 21% of businesses
Overall Large Mid-sized Small (down 4%).
Current labor statistics suggest two-thirds £100m and £250m) are more likely to see Ukraine 10 29% 38% 34% 14%
Major incident 18 17% 28% 14% 8%
Inflation (non-commodity) 19 16% 22% 16% 10%
Labor shortage/cost 20 15% 20% 22% 4%
Climate change 21 14% 24% 14% 4%
Recession 29 5% 4% 8% 4%
Making an appearance in the Medium-sized businesses are M&A 32 3% 6% 0% 2%
rankings for the first time, more concerned about the ESG commitments 33 2% 4% 0% 2%
Asset valuation/impairment 34 1% 4% 0% 0%
labor shortages or costs impact of recession Taxation 35 1% 0% 4% 0%
are alluded to by 15% of on their ability Insurance 39 1% 2% 0% 0%
businesses overall. to survive. Section 172 40 1% 2% 0% 0%
Capacity 41 1% 0% 0% 2%
Internal controls 42 1% 2% 0% 0%
The wellbeing of the planet has now become a throughout the worldxvii. As PwC points out, “The
major pressing issue for businesses. In fact, cereal global food and beverage industry is particularly
12%
crops and other commodities including olives vulnerable to the consequences of
Combined 42%
and tomatoes were seriously hit by European climate changexviii.” environmental
heatwaves in 2023xiv. 58%
60%
This is reflected in the findings of this report. In last 0%
year’s Food industry audit report, environmental of all Climate change 0%
businesses,
risks were mentioned by 15% of businesses, 14%
weather by 10% and sustainability by 9%. Because
regardless of size, report environmental
this is a growing area of concern, new categories or climate related risks as a concern. 1%
of risk have been added to 2024’s research. Weather 10%
That means weather is now mentioned by 18%, 18%
climate change is specifically stated by 14%, With this in mind, 48% of businesses mention at
environmental risk by 11% and sustainability by 5%. least one of the risks related to the planet, which 1%
would put the combined group in fourth place. If Environmental 15%
Generally, it’s the larger organizations who flag we do the same for large businesses, it adds up 11%
these issues. This could be down to their global to 74%, making it the second biggest overall risk.
operations, with longer supply chains and higher 3%
emissions. It might also be a result of a host of We expect this continued focus to escalate. Sustainability 9%
new ESG reporting standards and expectations At the time of writing, Copernicus, the Earth 5%
that have arisen in the past 12 months. This observation component of the EU’s space
undoubtedly sharpens their focus, although small program, has just announced that February 2024 6%
businesses are equally under pressure to reportxv. was the hottest February globally on record with Disease 8%
the UK and Australia and parts of the US also 9%
But it’s not just regulation that drives this risk. It’s reporting record levels of rainfall in Marchxix. This
plain to see that the climate is shifting. Scientists has led to food producers reporting catastrophic 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
tell us 2023 was the warmest on recordxvi and it’s loss of certain crops. And nearly all evidence
affecting what crops can be grown in the UK and 2018 2023 2024
points to further rises ahead.
Supply chain risk is cited Beyond conflict, “Supply chains are becoming
by 38% of businesses this increasingly complex and organizations should aim
year compared to just
38%
to become more resilient in the face of increased
29% last year and 25%
pre COVID. bottlenecks,” according to the Business Continuity
Institutexxii. The global membership association also
points out that, “Inflation has significantly affected Supply chain risk for
supply chains in various industries recently.” The large corporations
According to the World Economic Forum’s Global need to ensure sustainable supply chains and has almost doubled.
Risk Report 2024, of 20 major risks, three are heightened cyber threats are also an issuexxiii.
specifically about supply chains. Namely, disrupted
supply chains for critical goods and resources,
disrupted supply chains for food, and disrupted
Interestingly, the increase in supply chain as a
risk has been driven by larger businesses where
26%
rising to 46%
supply chains for energyxx. it’s almost doubled. It was mentioned by 46%,
compared to 36% for medium-sized companies
And it’s no surprise. Recent years have been and 32% for smaller firms. In 2023, just 24% of large
Supply chain Supply chain
extremely challenging owing to the pandemic, businesses saw supply chain as a risk. This stark
Ukraine and an unstable global political landscape. increase is perhaps owing to the global nature of risk is growing £100m - £20m -
> £250m Overall
These factors have left an indelible mark, putting £250m £100m
their operations and purchasing, which is more
businesses and regulators under pressure to likely to be affected by worldwide unrest. 2024 46% 36% 32% 38%
react and adjust their operating models to better 2023 24% 40% 22% 29%
prepare for disruption and risks. 2018 36% 24% 16% 25%
40%
number of Food Standards Agency
24% to in (FSA) product recalls since prior to 2017. 2018 24% 16% 10% 17%
in 2018 2024 However, there’s been a spike in the USxxv. 2023 32% 30% 18% 27%
2024 40% 20% 16% 25%
5 places
to 23rd in our ‘Risk table’ -
see page 14.
up 1 up 2 up 2 up 2 up 5 up 2 up 2 down 1 up 4 New
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
3. Credit 4. Liquidity 5. Competition 6. Supply chain 7. Interest rate 8. Customers 9. Regulatory 10. Ukraine
£100m - £20m -
Risk Rank Change > £250m Overall
£250m £100m
Ethical 27 Down 6 6% 6% 4% 5%
Recession 29 New 4% 8% 4% 5%
Contracts 30 Down 5 8% 4% 2% 5%
M&A 32 New 6% 0% 2% 3%
Taxation 35 New 0% 4% 0% 1%
Strategy 36 Down 9 2% 0% 0% 1%
Seasonal 38 Down 8 0% 0% 2% 1%
Insurance 39 New 2% 0% 0% 1%
Capacity 41 New 0% 0% 2% 1%
From the shop floor to the flight deck, from the front
line to the boardroom, our 11,500 customers include
65% of the top 20 global food and drink companies,
more than 250 global aviation organizations, nine
of the top ten accounting firms, nine of the top ten
global aerospace and defense corporations and 15 of
the top 20 global pharmaceutical companies.
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