Question 1. (1 mark) A restaurant manager classifies customers as regular, occasional, or
new, and finds that of all customers 50%, 40%, and 10%, respectively, fall into these categories. The manager found that wine was ordered by 70% of the regular customers, by 50% of the occasional customers, and by 30% of the new customers. What is the probability that a randomly chosen customer orders wine? Question 2. (2 marks) According to a Gallup poll 27% of American adults have confidence in banks. Suppose that you interview 5 Americans adults at random. a. (1 mark) What is the probability that 2 or fewer have confidence in banks? b. (1 mark) What is the probability that no one had confidence in banks? Question 3. (1 mark) A random variable has the following density function.
Calculate the mean and variance of the random variable.
Question 4. (2 marks) A survey of 611 office workers investigated telephone answering practices, including how often each office worker was able to answer incoming telephone calls and how often incoming telephone calls went directly to voice mail. A total of 281 office workers indicated that they never need voice mail and are able to take every telephone call. a. (1 mark) What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of the population of office workers who are able to take every telephone call? b. (1 mark) At 90% confidence, what is the margin of error? Question 5. (3 marks) SuperScapes specializes in custom-designed landscaping for residential areas. The estimated labour cost associated with a particular landscaping proposal is based on the number of plantings of trees, shrubs and so on to be used for the project. For cost-estimating purposes, managers use two hours of labour time for the planting of a medium-sized tree. Actual times from a sample of ten plantings during the past month follow (times in hours). 1,7 1,5 2,6 2,2 2,4 2,3 2,6 3,0 1,4 2,3 Assume that the random variable is normally distributed. a. (1 mark) Compute the sample mean and standard deviation. b. (1 mark) Contruct a 95% confidence interval for the population variance. c. (1 mark) With a 0.05 level of significance, test to see whether the mean tree-planting time differs from two hours. Question 6. (1 mark) Given two events A and B such that they are statistically independent. Prove that and are also statistically independent.
*Critical Values for the standard normal distribution:
TEST 7 Time: 60 minutes Question 1. (1 mark) Suppose 20 % of the employees of company ABC have only a high school diploma, 60 % have bachelor degrees, and 20 % have graduate degrees. Of those with only a high school diploma, 15 % hold management positions; whereas, of those having bachelor degrees, 30 % hold management positions. Finally, 60 % of the employees who have graduate degrees hold management positions. What percentage of employees holds management positions? Question 2. (1 mark) Suppose you play a game with a biased coin. You play each game by tossing the coin once. Given P(heads) = 2/3. If you toss a head, you pay $6. If you toss a tail, you win $10. What is your expected profit of playing the game over the long term? Question 3. (1 mark) Text message users receive or send an average of 41,5 text messages per day. a. (0,5 marks) What is the probability that a text message user receives or sends two messages per hour? b. (0,5 marks) What is the probability that a text message user receives or sends more than two messages per hour? Question 4. (1 mark) A company wants to estimate the proportion of people who are likely to purchase electric shavers from those who watch the nationally telecast baseball playoffs. A random sample obtained information from 120 people who were identified as persons who watch baseball telecasts. Suppose that the proportion of those likely to purchase electric shavers in the population who watch the telecast is 0,25. The probability is 0.05 that the sample proportion is lower than the population proportion by how much? Question 5. (2 marks) You do a study of hypnotherapy to determine how effective it is in increasing the number of hours of sleep subjects get each night. You measure hours of sleep for 12 subjects with the following results. 8,2 9,1 7,7 8,6 6,9 11,2 10,1 9,9 8,9 9,2 7,5 10,5 a. (1 mark) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean number of hours slept for the population (assumed normal) from which you took the data. b. (1 mark) At 90% confidence, what is the width of the confidence interval? Question 6. (3 marks) At the insistence of a government inspector, a new safety device is installed in an assembly-line operation. After the installation of this device, a random sample of 8 days’ output gave the following results for numbers of finished components produced: 618 660 638 625 571 598 639 582 a. (1 mark) Calculate the samle mean and deviation. b. (1 mark) Contruct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean. c. (1 mark) Management is concerned about the variability of daily output and views any variance above 500 as undesirable. Test, at the 10% significance level, the null hypothesis that the population variance for daily output does not exceed 500. Question 7. (1 mark) In a promotion for a particular airline, customers and potential customers were given vouchers. A 1/325 proportion of these were worth a free round-trip ticket anywhere this airline flies. How many vouchers would an individual need to collect in order to have a 50% chance of winning at least one free trip?
*Critical Values for the standard normal distribution:
TEST 8 Time: 60 minutes Question 1. (1 mark) A survey of middle-aged men reveals that 28% of them are balding at the crown of their heads. Moreover, it is known that such men have an 18% probability of suffering a heart attack in the next 10 years. Men who are not balding in this way have an 11% probability of a heart attack. Find the probability that a middle-aged man will suffer a heart attack sometime in the next 10 years. Question 2. (1 mark) The following density function describes the random variable X.
a. (0,5 marks) Find the probability that X lies between 1 and 3.
b. (0,5 marks) Calculate the expected value of X. Question 3. (1 mark) The Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey shows 28% of individuals, ages 25 and older, have completed four years of college (The New York Times Almanac, 2006). For a sample of 15 individuals, ages 25 and older, answer the following questions: a. (0,5 marks) What is the probability four will have completed four years of college? b. (0,5 marks) What is the probability three or more will have completed four years of college? Question 4. (2 marks) A statistics practitioner working for major league baseball wants to supply radio and television commentators with interesting statistics. He observed several hundred games and counted the number of times a runner on first base attempted to steal second base. He found there were 373 such events of which 259 were successful. a. (1 mark) Estimate with 95% confidence the proportion of all attempted thefts of second base that are successful. b. (1 mark) At 99% confidence, what is the margin of error? Question 5. (2 marks) A process that produces bottles of shampoo, when operating correctly, produces bottles whose contents weigh, on average, 20 ounces. A random sample of nine bottles from a single production run yielded the following content weights (in ounces): 21,4 19,7 19,7 20,6 20,8 20,1 19,7 20,3 20,9 Assuming that the population distribution is normal, test at the 5% level the hypothesis that the process is operating correctly. Question 6. (2 marks) Your statistics instructor claims that 60 percent of the students who take her Elementary Statistics class go through life feeling more enriched. For some reason that she can't quite figure out, most people don't believe her. You decide to check this out on your own. You randomly survey 64 of her past Elementary Statistics students and find that 34 feel more enriched as a result of her class. Now, at the 10% significance level, what do you think? Question 7. (1 mark) You are given two indistinguishable envelopes, each containing money, one contains twice as much as the other. You may pick one envelope and keep the money it contains. Having chosen an envelope at will, but before inspecting it, you are given the chance to switch envelopes. Should you switch?
*Critical Values for the standard normal distribution: