Emerson Electric Co.

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Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR | EMR is in the S&P 500

Emerson Electric Co.


S&P Capital IQ
Recommendation
HOLD ★★★★★ Price 12-Mo. Target Price
$53.50 (as of May 10, 2016 4:00 PM ET) $55.00
Report Currency
USD
Investment Style
Large-Cap Blend
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst J. Agnese

GICS Sector Industrials Summary This company designs and supplies product technology, and delivers engineering
Sub-Industry Electrical Components & Equipment services and solutions to a wide range of industrial, commercial and consumer markets
around the world.

Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)

52-Wk Range $62.75– 41.25 S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 3.15 Market Capitalization(B) $35.019 Beta 1.29
Trailing 12-Month EPS $2.92 S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 3.29 Yield (%) 3.55 S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 6
Trailing 12-Month P/E 18.3 P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 17.0 Dividend Rate/Share $1.90 S&P Quality Ranking A+
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $11,174 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 654.6 Institutional Ownership (%) 70

Price Performance Analyst's Risk Assessment


30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS
LOW MEDIUM HIGH
12-Mo. Target Price Relative Strength Up Down No Change Below Avg.
Our risk assessment reflects the cyclical nature
of several of the company's major end markets,
70
its acquisition strategy and corporate governance
practices that we view as unfavorable versus
Share Price

60
peers. This is offset by our view of EMR's strong
50 competitive position in major product categories.

40
Revenue/Earnings Data
Revenue (Million U.S. $)
Volume(Mil.)

68
30
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
20 2016 4,713 4,928 -- -- --
10 2015 5,587 5,400 5,503 5,814 22,304
0
2014 5,606 5,812 6,312 6,807 24,537
5 3 4
3 2013 5,553 5,960 6,344 6,812 24,669
1 2012 5,309 5,919 6,484 6,700 24,412
J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J 2011 5,535 5,854 6,288 6,545 24,222
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Per Share (U.S. $)
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
2016 0.53 0.57 E0.85 E1.07 E3.15
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst J. Agnese on May 03, 2016 04:21 PM, when the stock traded at $54.70. 2015 0.75 1.42 0.84 0.98 3.99
Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 2014 0.65 0.77 1.03 0.58 3.03
2013 0.62 0.77 0.27 1.10 2.76
➤ Following a 9% decline in FY 15 (Sep.), we look ➤ While EMR is well positioned to benefit from 2012 0.50 0.74 1.04 0.39 2.67
for revenues to decline 7.6% in FY 16 and 3.1% any strengthening in the global economy, we 2011 0.63 0.73 0.90 0.98 3.24
in FY 17. Top line growth is likely to be hurt by find the shares fairly valued at recent levels. Fiscal year ended Sep. 30. Next earnings report expected: NA. EPS
negative currency effects and weakness relat- The outlook for global fixed investment remains Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating Earnings; historical
GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports.
ed to oil and gas, offset by likely improvements muted, but order rates across EMR's business
in domestic residential and commercial con- units, including those in Europe and Asia, have Dividend Data
struction. Reflecting recent shifts in order bottomed. We see increased construction
trends, we look for revenue from EMR's Euro- spending in North America, plus further energy Amount Date Ex-Div. Stk. of Payment
($) Decl. Date Record Date
pean units to remain relatively weak through FY investments globally.
0.470 Aug 4 Aug 12 Aug 14 Sep 10 '15
16. ➤ Risks to our recommendation and target price 0.475 Nov 3 Nov 10 Nov 13 Dec 10 '15
➤ We anticipate a modest expansion of operating include weaker-than-expected global econom- 0.475 Feb 2 Feb 10 Feb 12 Mar 10 '16
margins during FY 16 on cost cutting, partially ic growth; a renewed financial crisis in Europe, 0.475 May 3 May 11 May 13 Jun 10 '16
offset by negative fixed cost leverage. The im- where EMR generates about 20% of group rev- Dividends have been paid since 1947. Source: Company reports.
pact of restructuring actions will also become enues; a slowing in the energy markets; and
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and
more visible as volumes increase. Raw material technology changes that shift customer de-
should not be relied upon as such.
costs will have limited impact on margins in the mand away from EMR's climate products.
coming year, while the drag from higher pen- ➤ Our 12-month target price of $55 is 17X our for-
sion and stock compensation expenses should ward 12-month EPS estimate of $3.22, in-line
lessen. with EMR's five-year average. We see valua-
➤ EMR bought back $2.5 billion in common stock tion benefits from the potential for improvement
in FY 15, and we expect an additional $1 billion in orders and in the volume-related operating
in repurchases in FY 16. Our EPS estimate for FY leverage we see embedded in the operations,
16 is $3.15, down slightly from FY 15 adjusted partially offset by weakness in some markets.
EPS of $3.17. For FY 17, we see EPS rising to
$3.29 in more stable global markets.

Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.
This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek
independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making an investment or implementing the investment strategies discussed in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.
Investors should note that income from such investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the value of such investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than they originally invested. Investors should seek advice concerning any
impact this investment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make an investment decision.
Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.


Business Summary May 03, 2016 Corporate Information

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Emerson Electric is an industrial conglomerate operating in five primary business Investor Contact
segments: Process Management, Industrial Automation, Network Power, Climate Technologies, and Com- C. Rossman (314-553-2197)
mercial & Residential Solutions. The company generated about 45% of revenues in the U.S. and Canada
during FY 14 (Sep.), with another 24% from Asia, 20% from Europe, 6% from Latin America, and the remain-
Office
der from the Middle East and Africa.
8000 West Florissant Avenue, PO Box 4100, St.
The company's Process Management segment produces process management software and systems, an- Louis, MO 63136.
alytical instrumentation, valves, control systems for measurement and control of fluid flow, and integrated
solutions for process and industrial applications. Segment sales are mainly conducted via a direct sales Telephone
force while segment brands include Emerson Process Management, AMS Suite, Baumann, Bettis, Bristol, 314-553-2000.
PlantWeb, CSI, DeltaV, and Fisher, to name a few.
Fax
The Industrial Automation segment primarily makes industrial motors and drives, transmissions, alterna- 314-553-3713.
tors and controls for automated equipment. Products in this segment are sold predominantly to manufac-
Website
turing firms via a direct sales force or independent resellers. Segment brands include Emerson Industrial
http://www.emerson.com
Automation, Appleton, Trident, McGill, and ASCO.

The Climate Technologies segment makes home and building thermostats and compressors (cooling com-
ponents used in heating and air conditioning units and refrigerators). Segment brands include Emerson Cli- Officers
mate Technologies, Computer Process Controls, Dixell, and Emerson Retail Services.
Chrmn & CEO EVP & CFO
The Commercial and Residential Solutions segment mainly makes various household appliances, hand D.N. Farr F.J. Dellaquila
held tools, piping and other related equipment, and storage solutions used in various industries. Product
distribution is mainly through Emerson's direct sales force, while segment brands include Emerson Stor- Pres Chief Acctg Officer &
age Solutions, Emerson Heating Products, and Emerson Professional Tools. E.L. Monser Cntlr
R.J. Schlueter
The company's Process Management segment produces process management software and systems, an- COO
alytical instrumentation, valves, control systems for measurement and control of fluid flow, and integrated E.M. Purvis, Jr.
solutions for process and industrial applications. Segment sales are mainly conducted via a direct sales
force while segment brands include Emerson Process Management, AMS Suite, Baumann, Bettis, Bristol,
PlantWeb, CSI, DeltaV, and Fisher, to name a few. Board Members
J. B. Bolten C. A. Borsig
The Industrial Automation segment primarily makes industrial motors and drives, transmissions, alterna- D. N. Farr A. F. Golden
tors and controls for automated equipment. Products in this segment are sold predominantly to manufac- W. R. Johnson C. B. Kendle
turing firms via a direct sales force or independent resellers. Segment brands include Emerson Industrial M. S. Levatich J. W. Prueher
Automation, Appleton, Trident, McGill, and ASCO. R. L. Stephenson
The Climate Technologies segment makes home and building thermostats and compressors (cooling com-
ponents used in heating and air conditioning units and refrigerators). Segment brands include Emerson Cli-
Domicile Auditor
mate Technologies, Computer Process Controls, Dixell, and Emerson Retail Services.
Missouri KPMG
The Commercial and Residential Solutions segment mainly makes various household appliances, hand
held tools, piping and other related equipment, and storage solutions used in various industries. Product Founded
distribution is mainly through Emerson's direct sales force, while segment brands include Emerson Stor- 1890
age Solutions, Emerson Heating Products, and Emerson Professional Tools.
Employees
The Network Power segment mainly makes power systems and precision cooling products used in com- 110,800
puter, telecommunications and Internet infrastructure sold mainly to large data centers. Product distribu-
tion is mainly through Emerson's direct sales force in Europe and Asia and independent resellers domesti- Stockholders
cally. Segment brands include Emerson Network Power, Aperture, ASCO Power Technologies, Astec, 20,130
Liebert, Netsure, Stratos, Chloride, and Avocent.

CORPORATE STRATEGY. We expect EMR to grow at a rate in excess of its market averages, long term,
largely due to management's focus on new product introductions and strategic acquisitions that broaden
its product portfolio. The company's major growth initiatives involve focusing on global market opportuni-
ties; achieving a greater percentage of sales from developing markets; and establishing production facili-
ties in the primary markets in order to be part of the local supply chain. EMR believes that it will be gener-
ating about 45% of revenues from emerging markets by FY 16, up from 35% in FY 11. We see the company
investing in products that address a number of long-term megatrends, including power consumption effi-
ciency and resource scarcity, while continually reviewing the medium- and longer-term prospects for
each business. As part of this process, EMR has regularly taken restructuring actions to manage costs and
margins.

FINANCIAL TRENDS. For the five years through FY 15, EMR generated a revenue compound annual growth
rate (CAGR) of 0.3% and an operating profit CAGR of -3.2%. Total assets grew at a five-year CAGR of -1.5%.
Capital expenditures were $684 million in FY 15, down from the $767 million spent during FY 14. EMR's re-
turn on invested capital (ROIC) was approximately 21.8% in FY 15.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.


Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis

S&P Capital IQ 2+ 1 2 3 4 5 2015 2014 2013 2012


Fair Value LOWEST HIGHEST Price/Sales 1.45 1.77 2.06 1.59
Rank Based on S&P Capital IQ's proprietary quantitative model, stocks Price/EBITDA 7.59 8.90 10.47 8.06
are ranked from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5). Price/Pretax Income 7.78 12.98 15.87 12.49
P/E Ratio 11.94 20.24 25.32 19.77
Fair Value $48.90 Analysis of the stock's current worth, based on S&P Capital IQ's Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M) 676.5 704.1 722.9 734.6
proprietary quantitative model suggests that EMR is slightly
Calculation overvalued by $4.60 or 8.6%. Figures based on calendar year-end price

Investability 100 Key Growth Rates and Averages


Quotient LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 100
Percentile EMR scored higher than 100% of all companies for which an S&P Past Growth Rate (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 9 Years
Capital IQ Report is available.
Sales -9.10 -2.73 0.98 1.27
Net Income 26.22 10.83 3.28 1.91
Volatility LOW AVERAGE HIGH
Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.)
Technical NEUTRAL Since May, 2016, the technical indicators for EMR have been Net Margin (%) 12.15 9.67 9.48 9.38
NEUTRAL. % LT Debt to Capitalization 33.75 28.56 28.07 28.52
Evaluation
Return on Equity (%) 29.78 23.24 22.67 23.04
Insider Activity NA UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL FAVORABLE

For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide

Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Sep. 30

Per Share Data (U.S. $) 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Tangible Book Value NM 1.77 1.99 0.60 NM NM 0.44 2.25 2.99 2.67
Cash Flow 5.07 4.10 3.91 3.80 4.47 3.69 3.13 3.92 3.47 3.04
Earnings 3.99 3.03 2.76 2.67 3.24 2.60 2.27 3.11 2.66 2.24
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA 3.55 3.48 3.13 2.65 2.08 2.94 2.67 2.24
Dividends 1.88 1.72 1.64 1.60 1.38 1.34 1.32 1.20 1.05 0.89
Payout Ratio 47% 57% 59% 60% 43% 52% 58% 39% 39% 40%
Prices:High 62.75 70.29 70.66 53.78 62.24 58.74 43.71 58.72 59.05 45.21
Prices:Low 42.21 57.76 53.09 43.59 39.50 41.22 24.39 29.26 41.26 36.78
P/E Ratio:High 16 23 26 20 19 23 19 19 22 20
P/E Ratio:Low 11 19 19 16 12 16 11 9 16 16

Income Statement Analysis (Million U.S. $)


Revenue 22,304 24,537 24,669 24,412 24,222 21,039 20,915 24,807 22,572 20,133
Operating Income 4,264 4,885 4,844 4,828 5,096 4,325 3,710 4,639 4,174 3,676
Depreciation 721 743 819 823 867 816 651 638 656 607
Interest Expense 200 218 234 241 223 261 244 244 261 225
Pretax Income 4,161 3,348 3,196 3,115 3,631 2,879 2,417 3,591 3,107 2,684
Effective Tax Rate 34.3% 34.8% 35.4% 35.0% 31.0% 29.5% 28.7% 31.7% 31.3% 31.3%
Net Income 2,710 2,147 2,004 1,968 2,504 1,978 1,724 2,454 2,136 1,845
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA 2,583 2,560 2,353 2,001 1,580 2,321 2,145 1,846

Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million U.S. $)


Cash 3,153 3,149 3,275 2,367 2,052 1,592 1,560 1,777 1,008 810
Current Assets 10,049 10,867 10,999 10,126 9,345 8,363 7,653 9,331 8,065 7,330
Total Assets 22,088 24,177 24,711 23,818 23,861 22,843 19,763 21,040 19,680 18,672
Current Liabilities 7,800 8,454 7,625 7,133 6,465 5,849 4,956 6,573 5,546 5,374
Long Term Debt 4,289 3,559 4,055 3,787 4,324 4,586 3,998 3,297 3,372 3,128
Common Equity 8,081 10,119 10,585 10,295 10,551 9,952 8,555 9,113 8,772 7,848
Total Capital 12,708 14,248 15,040 14,789 14,875 14,538 12,553 13,131 12,144 10,976
Capital Expenditures 685 767 678 665 647 524 531 714 681 601
Cash Flow 3,431 2,890 2,823 2,791 3,371 2,794 2,375 3,092 2,792 2,452
Current Ratio 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4
% Long Term Debt of Capitalization 33.8 25.0 27.0 25.6 29.1 31.5 31.9 25.1 27.8 28.5
% Net Income of Revenue 12.2 8.8 8.1 8.1 10.3 9.4 8.2 9.9 9.5 9.2
% Return on Assets 11.7 8.8 8.3 8.3 10.7 9.3 8.5 12.1 11.1 10.3
% Return on Equity 29.8 20.7 19.2 19.0 24.6 21.4 19.5 27.4 25.7 24.1

Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.


Sub-Industry Outlook Industry Performance
Our fundamental outlook for the S&P Electrical order index for February was flat from the prior GICS Sector: Industrials
Components & Equipment sub-industry is neutral. month at 51.5. Sub-Industry: Electrical Components &
Valuations for the group are modestly ahead of Equipment
historical averages, likely in anticipation of Year to date through March 24, the S&P Electrical
improving growth rates in North America and Components & Equipment sub-industry index was Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
Europe, balanced against concerns about the pace up 8.2% versus a 0.3% decline in the S&P 1500 Five-Year market price performance through
of growth in Emerging Markets over the next Index. The sub-industry index declined 12.9% in May 10, 2016
12-months. We believe results for the group are 2015, versus a 1.0% decline for the S&P 1500.
likely to improve, with new orders increasing as S&P 1500 Sector Sub-Industry
short- and mid-cycle products benefit from higher --Jim Corridore 90%
overall demand. The sub-industry consists largely of
companies that produce electric cables and wires, 70%
electrical equipment, transformers, motors and
generators, wiring devices, power supply systems,
50%
fuel cells, lighting, and solar power systems.

% Change
We think the rate of growth in this sub-industry 30%

group, while volatile month to month, has stabilized.


Our opinion reflects data from the National 10%

Electrical Manufacturers Association's


Electro-industry Business Confidence Indexes. The -10%
February 2016 current conditions index readings
indicated that survey respondents see current -30%
conditions weakening, with a reading of 44.4 in
North America, versus 50.0 in January. In contrast,
-50%
survey respondents expect business conditions to
improve over the next six months, with survey
participants' modestly optimistic. The future -70%

conditions index for North America was 52.6 in


February, but was down from 67.6 in January. A -90%

reading of 50 separates growth from contraction. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the


Our opinion also reflects recent data from the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
Institute for Supply Management's Purchasing
Managers Index (PMI). The February 2016 PMI was Past performance is not an indication of future performance
49.5 p 1.3 percentage points from the January and should not be relied upon as such.
reading of 48.2, indicating some improvement after
weakening in the second half of 2015. The February
reading for production was 52.8, 2.6 percentage
points above the January reading of 50.2. The new

Sub-Industry : Electrical Components & Equipment Peer Group*: Electrical Equipment - Diversified
Stk.Mkt. Recent 52 Fair S&P Return on LTD to
Stock Cap. Stock Week Yield P/E Value Quality IQ Revenue Cap
Peer Group Symbol (Mil. $) Price($) High/Low($) Beta (%) Ratio Calc.($) Ranking %ile (%) (%)
Emerson Electric EMR 35,019 53.50 62.75/41.25 1.29 3.6 18 48.90 A+ 100 12.2 33.8
AMETEK, Inc AME 11,335 47.02 57.67/42.82 1.26 0.8 19 54.40 A 99 14.9 31.9
Espey Mfg & Electr ESP 56 24.60 28.11/21.93 0.37 4.1 22 NA B+ 90 11.9 NA
Hubbell Inc HUBB 6,172 106.65 112.50/80.33 1.18 2.4 22 NA A- 99 8.2 25.4
Regal Beloit RBC 2,573 57.61 81.36/47.77 1.42 1.7 18 79.50 B+ 63 4.1 46.4

NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.


S&P Capital IQ Analyst Research Notes and other Company News

February 2, 2016
01:20 pm ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ KEEPS HOLD RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES
OF EMERSON ELECTRIC (EMR 45.50***): We cut our 12-month target price by $6,
to $47, applying a P/E of 15.7X, 5% below its 5-year average and in the lower half
of its historical range, to our FY 16 (Sep.) EPS estimate of 3.02, down from $3.17.
Dec-Q adjusted EPS of $0.56 vs. $0.75 is $0.05 above our estimate. Underlying
sales fell 9%, less than we expected. We see sales pressured in FY 16 with oil &
gas industry demand and overall global industrial spending remaining weak
throughout FY 16. We expect the company to remain focused on cost cutting in FY
16 as it makes progress on its portfolio re-positioning strategy. /J. Agnese

November 3, 2015
10:28 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ KEEPS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF EMERSON
ELECTRIC CO (EMR 48.35***): We trim our 12-month target price by $2 to $53,
16.7X our FY 16 (Sep.) EPS estimate of $3.17, cut today from $3.36. This is above
peers but in line with EMR's 5-year normalized average. EMR Sep-Q EPS of $0.93
vs. $1.30 missed our $1.00 estimate and the Capital IQ consensus of $0.97.
Revenues dropped 15%, but were in line with expectations. Currency reduced
revenues by 6%. We expect continued weak market conditions to result in lower
revenues and EPS in FY 16, year over year. We see little catalyst for significant
share price appreciation over the next 12-months. /J. Corridore

August 5, 2015
10:19 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
EMERSON ELECTRIC CO. (EMR 50.05***): We lower our 12-month target $9 to $55,
17X our FY 16 estimate, about in line with industrials peers and slightly above
EMR's five year forward P/E average. We cut our FY 15 (Sep.) and FY 16 EPS
estimates to $3.25 and $3.36, from $3.52 and $3.77. EMR adjusted fiscal Q3 EPS of
$0.84 vs. $0.80 missed our $0.95 estimate on 2.2% lower revenues than we were
expecting, but beat Capital IQ consensus of $0.83. EMR guides to adjusted EPS of
$3.20-$3.30. We expect EMR's operating environment to remain challenging for
the next few quarters amid slowing global growth and lower oil prices. /J.
Corridore, /E. Levy-CFA

May 5, 2015
11:20 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ MAINTAINS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
EMERSON ELECTRIC CO. (EMR 57.99***): We cut our FY 15 (Sep.) and FY 16 EPS
estimates to $3.52 and $3.77, from $3.88 and $4.11. We keep our 12-month target
price at $64, 17X our FY 16 estimate, about in line with industrials peers and
slightly above EMR's five year average forward P/E. EMR fiscal Q2 EPS of $0.65
vs. $0.80 missed our $0.82 estimate and the Capital IQ consensus of $0.76, on
slightly lower revenues than we were expecting. EMR guides to adjusted EPS of
$3.49-$3.64, versus Capital IQ consensus of $3.64. We expect EMR's operating
environment to remain challenging for the next few quarters. /J. Corridore

February 3, 2015
10:20 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ KEEPS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF EMERSON
ELECTRIC (EMR 58.33***): We trim our FY 15 (Sep.) and FY 16 EPS estimates to
$3.88 and $4.11, from $4.04 and $4.40, respectively. We cut our 12-month target
price to $64 from $71, 15.6X our FY 16 estimate, below peers and the S&P 500 to
reflect our view that EMR is likely to grow EPS slower than the peer average. This
valuation is in the middle of the company's ten year historic range. ETN Q1
adjusted EPS of $0.75 vs. $0.67 was a penny ahead of our forecast and beat the
Capital IQ consensus of $0.72. ETN guides to FY 15 adjusted EPS of $3.75-$3.85
excluding restructuring costs and one-time gain. /J. Corridore

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.


Analysts' Recommendations Wall Street Consensus Opinion

Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion EMR Trend HOLD
B BH H WH S

Wall Street Average Companies Offering Coverage


B
Argus Research Company
BH
Atlantic Equities LLP
H
Barclays
WH
BofA Merrill Lynch
S
Buckingham Research Group Inc.
Number of Analysts Following Stock CLSA
CRT Capital Group
30 Citigroup Inc
Cowen and Company
20
Credit Suisse
10 Deutsche Bank
Goldman Sachs
Langenberg & Company, LLC
Stock Price ($ 000)
Longbow Research LLC
1000
Macquarie Research
Morgan Stanley
1000
Morningstar Inc.
Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.
1000
RBC Capital Markets
Robert W. Baird & Co.
1000
J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., Inc.
Stifel
2014 2015 2016
UBS Investment Bank
Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Of the total 25 companies following EMR, 25 analysts currently publish recommendations.
William Blair & Company L.L.C.

No. of % of Total 1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior


Recommendations
Buy 2 8 0 2
Buy/Hold 2 8 0 3
Hold 17 68 0 19
Weak Hold 3 12 0 3
Sell 1 4 0 1
No Opinion 0 0 0 0
Total 25 100 0 28
Wall Street Consensus Estimates Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance

For fiscal year 2016, analysts estimate that EMR


Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2015 Actual $3.99 will earn US$ 3.08. For fiscal year 2017, analysts
4.5 estimate that EMR's earnings per share will grow
by 6% to US$ 3.26.
4

3.5

3 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M

2015 2016

Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2017 3.26 3.40 2.85 25 16.4
2016 3.08 3.16 2.88 26 17.4
2017 vs. 2016 6% 8% -1% -4% -6%

A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.

Glossary EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes


EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
EPS - Earnings Per Share
S&P Capital IQ STARS EV - Enterprise Value
Since January 1, 1987, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked a universe of U.S. FCF - Free Cash Flow
common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (American FFO - Funds From Operations
Depositary Shares) based on a given equity's potential for future performance. FY - Fiscal Year
Similarly, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked Asian and European equities P/E - Price/Earnings
since June 30, 2002. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System), P/NAV - Price to Net Asset Value
S&P Capital IQ equity analysts rank equities according to their individual forecast of an PEG Ratio - P/E-to-Growth Ratio
equity's future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant PV - Present Value
benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350® Index or R&D - Research & Development
S&P 500® Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet ROCE - Return on Capital Employed
the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data ROE - Return on Equity
used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analyst's ROI - Return on Investment
own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. ROIC - Return on Invested Capital
ROA - Return on Assets
S&P Capital IQ Quality Ranking SG&A - Selling, General & Administrative Expenses
(also known as S&P Capital IQ Earnings & Dividend Rankings) - Growth and SOTP - Sum-of-The-Parts
stability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&P WACC - Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Capital IQ's earnings and dividend rankings for common stocks, which are designed to
capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It should be noted, however, that Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American
the process also takes into consideration certain adjustments and modifications Depository Shares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of
deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The final score for each stock is origin).
measured against a scoring matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large and
representative sample of stocks. The range of scores in the array of this sample has
been aligned with the following ladder of rankings: S&P Capital IQ Qualitative Risk Assessment
Reflects an S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's view of a given company's operational risk,
A+ Highest B Below Average
or the risk of a firm's ability to continue as an ongoing concern. The S&P Capital IQ
A High B- Lower
Qualitative Risk Assessment is a relative ranking to the S&P U.S. STARS universe,
A- Above Average C Lowest
and should be reflective of risk factors related to a company's operations, as opposed
B+ Average D In Reorganization
to risk and volatility measures associated with share prices. For an ETF this reflects on
NR Not Ranked
a capitalization-weighted basis, the average qualitative risk assessment assigned to
holdings of the fund.
S&P Capital IQ EPS Estimates
S&P Capital IQ earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of future
EPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that are viewed
STARS Ranking system and definition:
as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, S&P Capital IQ EPS estimates reflect
★★★★★ 5-STARS (Strong Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark, by a
either forecasts of S&P Capital IQ equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS
wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute
estimate, which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data provider to S&P
basis.
Capital IQ Equity Research. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates
are asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal and
★★★★★ 4-STARS (Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the
insurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains or
coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.
losses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accounting changes;
and earnings related to operations that have been classified by the company as
★★★★★ 3-STARS (Hold):
Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant
discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock option expense and
benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an
recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors as industry
absolute basis.
practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which some types of data is disclosed by
companies.
★★★★★ 2-STARS (Sell):
Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over
the coming 12 months, and the share price not anticipated to show a gain.
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings ★★★★★1-STAR (Strong Sell):
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings is a uniform methodology for adjusting operating Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark by a
earnings by focusing on a company's after-tax earnings generated from its principal wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares falling in price on an absolute
businesses. Included in the S&P Capital IQ definition are employee stock option grant basis.
expenses, pension costs, restructuring charges from ongoing operations, write-downs
of depreciable or amortizable operating assets, purchased research and development,
M&A related expenses and unrealized gains/losses from hedging activities. Excluded
Relevant benchmarks:
In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in
from the definition are pension gains, impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses
Asia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50
from asset sales, reversal of prior-year charges and provision from litigation or
Index, respectively.
insurance settlements.

S&P Capital IQ 12-Month Target Price


The S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's projection of the market price a given security will
command 12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private
market valuation metrics, including S&P Capital IQ Fair Value.

S&P Capital IQ Equity Research


S&P Capital IQ Equity Research U.S. includes Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory
Services LLC; Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Europe includes
McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited trading as S&P Capital IQ; Standard
& Poor's Equity Research Services Asia includes: McGraw-Hill Financial Singapore
Pte. Limited, Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited, Standard
& Poor's Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poor's Information Services (Australia)
Pty Ltd.

Abbreviations Used in S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Reports


CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
CAPEX - Capital Expenditures
CY - Calendar Year
DCF - Discounted Cash Flow
DDM - Dividend Discount Model
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2016 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
STANDARD & POOR'S, S&P, S&P 500, S&P CAPITAL IQ, S&P EUROPE 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.

Disclosures which is regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission; and in
Japan, by McGraw-Hill Financial Japan KK ("MHF Japan"), which is registered by
S&P Capital IQ ranks stocks in accordance with the following ranking methodologies: Kanto Financial Bureau. SPIAS, MHFRE, SPIAS HK, MHFSPL, S&P Malaysia, SPIS
and MHF Japan, each a wholly owned subsidiary of McGraw Hill Financial, Inc.
operate under the GMI brand.
STARS Stock Reports:
S&P Capital IQ's qualitative STARS recommendations are determined and assigned
by S&P Capital IQ equity analysts. For reports containing STARS recommendations S&P Capital IQ and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating to,
refer to the Glossary section of the report for detailed methodology and the definition many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers,
of STARS rankings. broker-dealers, investment banks, other financial institutions and financial
intermediaries, and accordingly may receive fees or other economic benefits from
those organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they may
Quantitative Stock Reports: recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address.
S&P Capital IQ's quantitative recommendations quantitative recommendations are
determined by ranking a universe of common stocks based on 5 measures or model
For details on the S&P Capital IQ research objectivity and conflict-of-interest policies,
categories: Valuation, Quality, Growth, Street Sentiment, and Price Momentum. In the
please visit: https://www.spcapitaliq.com/disclaimers/s-p-capital-iq-research-reports
U.S., a sixth sub-category for Financial Health will also be displayed. Percentile scores
are used to compare each company to all other companies in the same universe for
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rolled up into a single percentile ranking for that company. For reports containing Financial, Inc. and/or one of its affiliates own 1% or more of common equity securities
quantitative recommendations refer to the Glossary section of the report for detailed and for a list of companies mentioned in a Research Report that own more than 5% of
methodology and the definition of Quantitative rankings. the common equity securities of McGraw Hill Financial, Inc. and/or one of its affiliates,
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generate the different types of Research Reports are reasonable and appropriate.
Generally, S&P Capital IQ does not generate reports with different ranking S&P Capital IQ and/or one of its affiliates has performed services for and received
methodologies for the same issuer. However, in the event that different methodologies compensation from this company during the past twelve months.
or data are used on the analysis of an issuer, the methodologies may lead to different
views or recommendations on the issuer, which may at times result in contradicting
assessments of an issuer. S&P Capital IQ reserves the right to alter, replace or vary
models, methodologies or assumptions from time to time and without notice to clients. General Disclosure

STARS Stock Reports: Notice to all jurisdictions:

S&P Capital IQ Global STARS Distribution as of March 31, 2016 Where S&P Capital IQ's Research Reports are made available in a language
Ranking North America Europe Asia Global other than English and in the case of inconsistencies between the English and
translated versions of a Research Report, the English version will control and
Buy 30.1% 40.6% 37.8% 33.6%
supersede any ambiguities associated with any part or section of a Research
Hold 50.6% 32.8% 48.7% 46.2%
Report that has been issued in a foreign language. Neither S&P Capital IQ nor its
Sell 19.3% 26.6% 13.5% 20.2% affiliates guarantee the accuracy of the translation.
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Assumptions, opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this
Quantitative Stock Reports: material and are subject to change without notice. This document may contain forward
looking statements or forecasts, such statement or forecasts are not a reliable
The rankings for Quantitative reports have a fixed distribution based on relative indicator of future performance.
weightings as described in the Glossary section of the report.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Analyst Certification No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, valuations, model,
software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be
modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or
STARS Stock Reports are prepared by the equity research analysts of Standard
stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of
& Poor's Investment Advisory Services LLC ("SPIAS"), McGraw-Hill Financial
Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC or its affiliates (collectively, S&P). The
Research Europe Limited ("MHFRE"), and Standard & Poor's Malaysia Sdn Bhd
Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P and any
("S&P Malaysia"), each a division of S&P Capital IQ. All of the views expressed
third-party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees or
in STARS Stock Reports accurately reflect the research analyst's personal views
agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness,
regarding any and all of the subject securities or issuers. Analysts generally
timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors
update stock reports at least four times each year. No part of analyst
or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, for the results obtained
compensation and SPIAS', MHFRE's or S&P Malaysia's compensation was, is, or
from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the
will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views
user. The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY
expressed in a STARS Stock Report.
AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED
TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A
About S&P Capital IQ's Distributors: PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS
S&P Capital IQ's Research Reports have been prepared by Global Markets OR DEFECTS, THAT THE CONTENT'S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED
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Reports are prepared and issued by SPIAS. In the European Economic Area ("EEA") HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party
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regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom. Under and consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without
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While S&P Capital IQ has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable,
regulated by the Hong Kong Securities Futures Commission; in Singapore, by
S&P Capital IQ does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or
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S&P Malaysia, which is regulated by the Securities Commission of Malaysia; in
Australia, by Standard & Poor's Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd ("SPIS"), S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2016 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
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Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.

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Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.

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Stock Report | May 10, 2016 | NYS Symbol: EMR

Emerson Electric Co.

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