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Monetary Policy Committee Meeting

MPC at its meeting decided to Keep the policy repo rate under the
liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 6.50 per cent.

The MPC also decided to remain focused on withdrawal of


accommodation to ensure that inflation progressively aligns to the
target, while supporting growth.
Monetary Policy Committee Meeting
Withdrawal of
Repo Rate - 6.50% Accommodation

Why?

Monetary policy must


continue to be actively The MPC will remain
Path of disinflation needs disinflationary to ensure resolute in its commitment
to be sustained anchoring of inflation to aligning inflation to the
expectations and fuller target.
transmission.
Monetary Policy Committee Meeting

MPC at its meeting decided to Keep the policy repo rate under
the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 6.50 per
cent.

SDF RR MSF
6.25% 6.5% 6.75%

These decisions are in consonance with the objective of


achieving the medium-term target for CPI inflation of 4 per cent
within a band of +/- 2 per cent, while supporting growth.
Domestic Economy - Inflation

From its October 2023 trough of 4.9 per cent, CPI inflation increased
successively in the next two months to 5.7 per cent by December.

Food inflation, primarily y-o-y vegetable price increases, drove the


pick-up in headline inflation, even as deflation in fuel deepened.

Core inflation (CPI inflation excluding food and fuel) softened to a


four-year low of 3.8 per cent in December.
Domestic Economy – Inflation Going forward

Rabi sowing has surpassed last year’s level. The


The inflation trajectory would be shaped by the evolving food usual seasonal correction in vegetable prices is
inflation outlook. continuing, though unevenly. Yet considerable
uncertainty prevails on the food price outlook from
the possibility of adverse weather events.

The continuing pass-through of monetary policy actions and stance


is keeping core inflation muted.

CPI inflation is projected at 5.4 per cent for 2023-24. Assuming a


normal monsoon next year, CPI inflation for 2024-25 is projected at
4.5 per cent
Domestic Economy – Real GDP
As per the first advance estimates (FAE) released by the National Statistical Office (NSO), real GDP is
expected to grow by 7.3 per cent, year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2023-24, underpinned by strong investment
activity.

On the supply side, gross value added (GVA) expanded by 6.9 per cent in 2023-24, with manufacturing and
services sectors as the key drivers.

Looking ahead, recovery in rabi sowing, sustained profitability in manufacturing and underlying resilience Real GDP growth for
of services should support economic activity in 2024-25. 2024-25 is projected
at 7.0 per cent.

Among the key drivers on demand side,


• household consumption is expected to improve,
• prospects of fixed investment remain bright owing to upturn in the private capex cycle,
• improved business sentiments,
• healthy balance sheets of banks and corporates;
• government’s continued thrust on capital expenditure
• Improving outlook for global trade and rising integration in global supply chain will support net
external demand.
Domestic Economy – Real GDP

Real GDP growth for


2024-25 is projected
at 7.0 per cent.
MCQs for Practice

Q1. As per the first advance estimates (FAE) released by the National Statistical
Office (NSO), real GDP is expected to grow by ______________, year-on-year (y-o-y) in
2023-24, underpinned by strong investment activity.

[A] 5.55%
[B] 8.95%
[C] 6.50%
[D] 6.25%
[E] 7.30%
MCQs for Practice

Q2. Recently, Monetary Policy Statement has been released by the RBI. Which of the following
statements is incorrect?

[A] CPI inflation is projected at 5.4 per cent for 2023-24 and CPI inflation for 2024-25 is
projected at 4.5 per cent.
[B] Real GDP growth for 2024-25 is projected at 7.0 per cent.
[C] Policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) kept unchanged at 6.50 per
cent with SDF at 6.25% and MSF and Bank rate at 6.85%.
[D] The MPC also decided to remain focused on withdrawal of accommodation to ensure that
inflation progressively aligns to the target, while supporting growth.
[E] None of the Above
Q. Recently (September 2021) NARCL was launched by the
Union Cabinet approving the government guarantee on
security receipts to buy bad loans of lenders. It has been
incorporated under the Companies Act and has applied for
license from RBI. What does R stand for in NARCL?

1. Resolution
2. Reconstruction
3. Restructuring
4. Revenue
5. None of the Above

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