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vi Contents
12 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE
12-1 One-Way ANOVA 533
531
12-2 Two-Way ANOVA 547
13 NONPARAMETRIC TESTS
13-1 Basics of Nonparametric Tests 562
560
13-2 Sign Test 564
13-3 Wilcoxon Signed-Ranks Test for Matched Pairs 575
13-4 Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test for Two Independent Samples 581
13-5 Kruskal-Wallis Test for Three or More Samples 586
13-6 Rank Correlation 592
14 SURVIVAL ANALYSIS
14-1 Life Tables 604
603
14-2 Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis 614
Credits 683
Index 685
Statistics permeates nearly every aspect of our lives, and its role has become partic-
ularly important in the biological, life, medical, and health sciences. From opinion
polls to clinical trials in medicine and analysis of big data from health applications,
statistics influences and shapes the world around us. Biostatistics for the Health and
Biological Sciences forges the relationship between statistics and our world through
extensive use of a wide variety of real applications that bring life to theory and
methods.
Audience , Prerequisites
Biostatistics for the Health and Biological Sciences is written for students major-
ing in the biological and health sciences, and it is designed for a wide variety of
students taking their first statistics course. Algebra is used minimally, and calculus
is not required. It is recommended that students have completed at least an elemen-
tary algebra course or that students should learn the relevant algebra components
through an integrated or co-requisite course. In many cases, underlying theory is
included, but this book does not require the mathematical rigor more appropriate for
mathematics majors.
Hallmark Features
Great care has been taken to ensure that each chapter of Biostatistics for the Health
and Biological Sciences will help students understand the concepts presented. The
following features are designed to help meet that objective.
Real Data
Hundreds of hours have been devoted to finding data that are real, meaningful, and
interesting to students. Fully 87% of the examples are based on real data, and 89% of
the exercises are based on real data. Some exercises refer to the 18 data sets listed in
Appendix B, and 12 of those data sets are new to this edition. Exercises requiring use
of the Appendix B data sets are located toward the end of each exercise set and are
marked with a special data set icon .
Real data sets are included throughout the book to provide relevant and interesting
real-world statistical applications, including biometric security, body measurements,
brain sizes and IQ scores, and data from births. Appendix B includes descriptions of
vii
the 18 data sets that can be downloaded from the companion website www.pearson-
highered.com/triola, the author maintained www.TriolaStats.com and MyStatLab.
TriolaStats.com includes downloadable data sets in formats for technologies
including Excel, Minitab, JMP, SPSS, and TI@83>84 Plus calculators. The data
sets are also included in the free Statdisk software, which is also available on the
website.
Readability
Great care, enthusiasm, and passion have been devoted to creating a book that is readable,
understandable, interesting, and relevant. Students pursuing any major in the biological,
life, medical, or health fields are sure to find applications related to their future work.
Website
This textbook is supported by www.TriolaStats.com, and www.pearsonhighered.com/
triola which are continually updated to provide the latest digital resources, including:
■ Statdisk: A free, robust statistical software package designed for this book.
■ Downloadable Appendix B data sets in a variety of technology formats.
■ Downloadable textbook supplements including Glossary of Statistical Terms and
Formulas and Tables.
■ Online instructional videos created specifically for this book that provide step-
by-step technology instructions.
■ Triola Blog, which highlights current applications of statistics, statistics in the
news, and online resources.
Chapter Features
Chapter Opening Features
■ Chapters begin with a Chapter Problem that uses real data and motivates the
chapter material.
■ Chapter Objectives provide a summary of key learning goals for each section in
the chapter.
Exercises
Many exercises require the interpretation of results. Great care has been taken to
ensure their usefulness, relevance, and accuracy. Exercises are arranged in order of
increasing difficulty, and they begin with Basic Skills and Concepts. Most sections
include additional Beyond the Basics exercises that address more difficult concepts or
require a stronger mathematical background. In a few cases, these exercises introduce
a new concept.
End-of-Chapter Features
■ Chapter Quick Quiz provides review questions that require brief answers.
■ Review Exercises offer practice on the chapter concepts and procedures.
■ Cumulative Review Exercises reinforce earlier material.
■ Technology Project provides an activity that can be used with a variety of
technologies.
■ From Data to Decision is a capstone problem that requires critical thinking and
writing.
■ Cooperative Group Activities encourage active learning in groups.
Other Features
Margin Essays There are 57 margin essays designed to highlight real-world topics
and foster student interest.
Flowcharts The text includes flowcharts that simplify and clarify more complex con-
cepts and procedures. Animated versions of the text’s flowcharts are available within
MyStatLab and MathXL.
Quick-Reference Endpapers Tables A-2 and A-3 (the normal and t distributions) are
reproduced on the rear inside cover pages.
Detachable Formula and Table Card This insert, organized by chapter, gives students
a quick reference for studying, or for use when taking tests (if allowed by the instruc-
tor). It also includes the most commonly used tables. This is also available for download
at www.TriolaStats.com, www.pearsonhighered.com/triola and in MyStatLab.
Technology Integration
As in the preceding edition, there are many displays of screens from technology through-
out the book, and some exercises are based on displayed results from technology. Where
appropriate, sections include a reference to an online Tech Center subsection that in-
cludes detailed instructions for Statdisk, Minitab®, Excel®, StatCrunch, or a TI@83>84
Plus® calculator. (Throughout this text, “TI-83>84 Plus” is used to identify a TI-83 Plus
or TI-84 Plus calculator). The end-of-chapter features include a Technology Project.
The Statdisk statistical software package is designed specifically for this textbook
and contains all Appendix B data sets. Statdisk is free to users of this book, and it can
be downloaded at www.statdisk.org.
All Chapters
■ New Chapter Objectives: All chapters now begin with a list of key learning goals
for that chapter. Chapter Objectives replaces the former Overview numbered sec-
tions. The first numbered section of each chapter now covers a major topic.
Chapter 1
■ New Section 1-1: Statistical and Critical Thinking
■ New Subsection 1-3, Part 2: Big Data and Missing Data: Too Much and Not Enough
Chapters 2 and 3
■ Chapter Partitioned: Chapter 2 (Describing, Exploring, and Comparing Data)
from the first edition has been partitioned into Chapter 2 (Summarizing and Graph-
ing) and Chapter 3 (Statistics for Describing, Exploring, and Comparing Data).
■ New Section 2-4: Scatterplots, Correlation, and Regression This new section
includes scatterplots in Part 1, the linear correlation coefficient r in Part 2, and
linear regression in Part 3. These additions are intended to greatly facilitate cover-
age for those professors who prefer some early coverage of correlation and regres-
sion concepts. Chapter 10 includes these topics discussed with much greater detail.
Chapter 4
■ Combined Sections: Section 3-3 (Addition Rule) and Section 3-4 (Multiplication
Rule) from the first edition are now combined into one section: 4-2 (Addition
Rule and Multiplication Rule).
■ New Subsection 4-3, Part 3: Bayes’ Theorem
Chapter 5
■ Combined Sections: Section 4-3 (Binomial Probability Distributions) and
Section 4-4 (Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation for the Binomial Distribu-
tion) from the first edition are now combined into one section: 5-2 (Binomial
Probability Distributions).
Chapter 6
■ Switched Sections: Section 6-5 (Assessing Normality) now precedes Section 6-6
(Normal as Approximation to Binomial).
Chapter 7
■ Combined Sections: Sections 6-4 (Estimating a Population Mean: s Known)
and 6-5 (Estimating a Population Mean: s Not Known) from the first edition
have been combined into one section: 7-2 (Estimating a Population Mean). The
coverage of the s known case has been substantially reduced and it is now lim-
ited to Part 2 of Section 7-2.
■ New Section 7-4: Bootstrapping: Using Technology for Estimates
Chapter 8
■ Combined Sections: Sections 7-4 (Testing a Claim About a Population Mean: s
Known) and 7-5 (Testing a Claim About a Population Mean: s Not Known) from
the first edition have been combined into one section: 8-3 (Testing a Claim About
a Mean). Coverage of the s known case has been substantially reduced and it is
now limited to Part 2 of Section 8-3.
Chapter 10
■ New Section: 10-5 Dummy Variables and Logistic Regression
Chapter 11
■ New Subsection: Section 11-2, Part 2 Test of Homogeneity, Fisher’s Exact Test,
and McNemar’s Test for Matched Pairs
Chapter 14
■ Combined Sections: Section 13-2 (Elements of a Life Table) and Section 13-3
(Applications of Life Tables) from the first edition have been combined into
Section 14-1 (Life Tables).
■ New Section: 14-2 Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis
Flexible Syllabus
This book’s organization reflects the preferences of most statistics instructors, but
there are two common variations:
■ Early Coverage of Correlation and Regression: Some instructors prefer to
cover the basics of correlation and regression early in the course. Section 2-4
now includes basic concepts of scatterplots, correlation, and regression without
the use of formulas and greater depth found in Sections 10-1 (Correlation) and
10-2 (Regression).
■ Minimum Probability: Some instructors prefer extensive coverage of probability,
while others prefer to include only basic concepts. Instructors preferring mini-
mum coverage can include Section 4-1 while skipping the remaining sections of
Chapter 4, as they are not essential for the chapters that follow. Many instructors
prefer to cover the fundamentals of probability along with the basics of the addi-
tion rule and multiplication rule (Section 4-2).
GAISE
This book reflects recommendations from the American Statistical Association and
its Guidelines for Assessment and Instruction in Statistics Education (GAISE). Those
guidelines suggest the following objectives and strategies.
1. Emphasize statistical literacy and develop statistical thinking: Each section
exercise set begins with Statistical Literacy and Critical Thinking exercises.
Many of the book’s exercises are designed to encourage statistical thinking
rather than the blind use of mechanical procedures.
2. Use real data: 87% of the examples and 89% of the exercises use real data.
3. Stress conceptual understanding rather than mere knowledge of procedures:
Instead of seeking simple numerical answers, most exercises and examples
involve conceptual understanding through questions that encourage practical
interpretations of results. Also, each chapter includes a From Data to Decision
project.
4. Foster active learning in the classroom: Each chapter ends with several
Cooperative Group Activities.
5. Use technology for developing conceptual understanding and analyzing data:
Computer software displays are included throughout the book. Special Tech
Center subsections are available online, and they include instruction for using
the software. Each chapter includes a Technology Project. When there are dis-
crepancies between answers based on tables and answers based on technology,
Appendix D provides both answers. The websites www.TriolaStats.com and
www.pearsonhighered.com/triola as well as MyStatLab include free text-specific
software (Statdisk), data sets formatted for several different technologies, and
instructional videos for technologies.
6. Use assessments to improve and evaluate student learning: Assessment tools
include an abundance of section exercises, Chapter Quick Quizzes, Review
Exercises, Cumulative Review Exercises, Technology Projects, From Data to
Decision projects, and Cooperative Group Activities.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the many statistics professors and students who have contrib-
uted to the success of this book. We thank the reviewers for their suggestions for this
second edition:
James Baldone, Virginia College
Naomi Brownstein, Florida State University
Christina Caruso, University of Guelph
Erica A. Corbett, Southeastern Oklahoma State University
Xiangming Fang, East Carolina University
Phil Gona, UMASS Boston
Sharon Homan, University of North Texas
Jackie Milton, Boston University
Joe Pick, Palm Beach State College
Steve Rigdon, St. Louis University
Brian Smith, Black Hills State University
Mahbobeh Vezvaei, Kent State University
David Zeitler, Grand Valley State University
We also thank Paul Lorczak, Joseph Pick and Erica Corbett for their help in
checking the accuracy of the text and answers.
Marc Triola
Mario Triola
Jason Roy
September 2016
www.mystatlab.com
xiii
■ New! Technology Video Tutorials - These short, your textbook, there is a library of 1000 Conceptual
topical videos address how to use Excel, Statdisk, Questions available in the assessment manager that re-
and the TI graphing calculator to complete exercises. quire students to apply their statistical understanding.
■ StatTalk Videos: 24 Conceptual Videos to Help ■ StatCrunch™: MyStatLab integrates the web-based
You Actually Understand Statistics. Fun-loving statistical software, StatCrunch, within the online as-
statistician Andrew Vickers takes to the streets of sessment platform so that students can easily analyze
Brooklyn, NY, to demonstrate important statistical data sets from exercises and the text. In addition,
concepts through interesting stories and real-life MyStatLab includes access to www.StatCrunch.com,
events. These fun and engaging videos will help a website where users can access more than 15,000
students actually understand statistical concepts. shared data sets, conduct online surveys, perform
Available with an instructors user guide and assess- complex analyses using the powerful statistical
ment questions. software, and generate compelling reports.
■ Statistical Software Support: Knowing that students
MyStatLab™ Online Course (access code required) often use external statistical software, we make it
MyStatLab is a course management system that delivers easy to copy our data sets, both from the ebook and
proven results in helping individual students succeed. the MyStatLab questions, into software such as
■ MyStatLab can be successfully implemented in StatCrunch, Minitab, Excel, and more. Students have
any environment—lab-based, hybrid, fully online, access to a variety of support tools—Technology
traditional—and demonstrates the quantifiable differ- Tutorial Videos, Technology Study Cards, and Tech-
ence that integrated usage has on student retention, nology Manuals for select titles—to learn how to
subsequent success, and overall achievement. effectively use statistical software.
■ MyStatLab’s comprehensive online gradebook au- MathXL® for Statistics Online Course (access code
tomatically tracks students’ results on tests, quizzes, required)
homework, and in the study plan. Instructors can use MathXL® is the homework and assessment engine that
the gradebook to provide positive feedback or inter- runs MyStatLab. (MyStatLab is MathXL plus a learning
vene if students have trouble. Gradebook data can be management system.)
easily exported to a variety of spreadsheet programs,
such as Microsoft Excel. You can determine which With MathXL for Statistics, instructors can:
points of data you want to export, and then analyze ■ Create, edit, and assign online homework and tests
the results to determine success. using algorithmically generated exercises correlated
at the objective level to the textbook.
MyStatLab provides engaging experiences that personal- ■ Create and assign their own online exercises and
ize, stimulate, and measure learning for each student. In
import TestGen tests for added flexibility.
addition to the resources below, each course includes a full
interactive online version of the accompanying textbook. ■ Maintain records of all student work, tracked in
MathXL’s online gradebook.
■ Tutorial Exercises with Multimedia Learning Aids:
The homework and practice exercises in MyStatLab With MathXL for Statistics, students can:
align with the exercises in the textbook, and they
regenerate algorithmically to give students unlim- ■ Take chapter tests in MathXL and receive personal-
ited opportunity for practice and mastery. Exercises ized study plans and>or personalized homework
offer immediate helpful feedback, guided solutions, assignments based on their test results.
sample problems, animations, videos, and eText clips ■ Use the study plan and>or the homework to link
for extra help at point-of-use. directly to tutorial exercises for the objectives they
■ Getting Ready for Statistics: A library of questions need to study.
now appears within each MyStatLab course to offer ■ Students can also access supplemental animations
the developmental math topics students need for the and video clips directly from selected exercises.
course. These can be assigned as a prerequisite to ■ Knowing that students often use external statistical
other assignments, if desired. software, we make it easy to copy our data sets, both
■ Conceptual Question Library: In addition to algo- from the ebook and the MyStatLab questions, into
rithmically regenerated questions that are aligned with software like StatCrunch™, Minitab, Excel, and more.
MathXL for Statistics is available to qualified adopters. Full access to StatCrunch is available with MyStatLab
For more information, visit our website at www.mathxl and StatCrunch is available by itself to qualified adopt-
.com, or contact your Pearson representative. ers. StatCrunch Mobile is now available to access from
your mobile device. For more information, visit our web-
StatCrunch™ site at www.StatCrunch.com, or contact your Pearson
StatCrunch is powerful, web-based statistical software representative.
that allows users to perform complex analyses, share data
sets, and generate compelling reports. A vibrant online Minitab® 17 and Minitab Express™ make learning sta-
community offers more than 15,000 data sets for students tistics easy and provide students with a skill-set that’s
to analyze. in demand in today’s data driven workforce. Bundling
■■ Collect. Users can upload their own data to StatCrunch Minitab® software with educational materials ensures stu-
or search a large library of publicly shared data sets, dents have access to the software they need in the class-
spanning almost any topic of interest. Also, an online room, around campus, and at home. And having 12 month
survey tool allows users to quickly collect data via versions of Minitab 17 and Minitab Express available
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■■ Crunch. A full range of numerical and graphical
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CHAPTER
PROBLEM Survey Question: Do You Need Caffeine to Start Up Your Brain for the Day?
Surveys provide data that enable us to improve products or of a research program that studies the health and nutrition of
services. Surveys guide political candidates, shape business thousands of adults and children in the United States.
practices, identify effective medical treatments, and affect Let’s consider one USA Today survey in which respondents
many aspects of our lives. Surveys give us insight into the were asked if they need caffeine to start up their brain for the
opinions and behaviors of others. As an example, the National day. Among 2,006 respondents, 74% said that they did need the
Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) is part caffeine. Figure 1-1 includes graphs that depict these results.
The survey results suggest that people overwhelmingly need caffeine to start up their brains
for the day. The graphs in Figure 1-1 visually depict the survey results. One of the most impor-
tant objectives of this book is to encourage the use of critical thinking so that such results are
not blindly accepted. We might question whether the survey results are valid. Who conducted
the survey? How were respondents selected? Do the graphs in Figure 1-1 depict the results
well, or are those graphs somehow misleading?
The survey results presented here have major flaws that are among the most common, so
they are especially important to recognize. Here are brief descriptions of each of the major flaws:
Flaw 1: Misleading Graphs The bar chart in Figure 1-1(a) is very deceptive. By using a
vertical scale that does not start at zero, the difference between the two percentages is grossly
exaggerated. Figure 1-1(a) makes it appear that approximately eight times as many people
need the caffeine. However, with 74% needing caffeine and 26% not needing caffeine, the
ratio is actually about 3:1, rather than the 8:1 ratio that is suggested by the graph.
The illustration in Figure 1-1(b) is also deceptive. Again, the difference between the actual
response rates of 74% (needing caffeine) and 26% (not needing caffeine) is a difference that
is grossly distorted. The picture graph (or “pictograph”) in Figure 1-1(b) makes it appear that
the ratio of people needing caffeine to people not needing caffeine is roughly 9:1 instead of
the correct ratio of about 3:1. (Objects with area or volume can distort perceptions because
they can be drawn to be disproportionately larger or smaller than the data indicate.) Decep-
tive graphs are discussed in more detail in Section 2-3, but we see here that the illustrations in
Figure 1-1 grossly exaggerate the number of people needing caffeine.
Flaw 2: Bad Sampling Method The aforementioned survey responses are from a USA
Today survey of Internet users. The survey question was posted on a website and Internet
users decided whether to respond. This is an example of a voluntary response sample—a
sample in which respondents themselves decide whether to participate. With a voluntary
response sample, it often happens that those with a strong interest in the topic are more likely
to participate, so the results are very questionable. For example, people who strongly feel that
they cannot function without their morning cup(s) of coffee might be more likely to respond to
the caffeine survey than people who are more ambivalent about caffeine or coffee. When using
sample data to learn something about a population, it is extremely important to obtain sample
data that are representative of the population from which the data are drawn. As we proceed
through this chapter and discuss types of data and sampling methods, we should focus on
these key concepts:
• If sample data are not collected in an appropriate way, the data may be so completely
useless that no amount of statistical torturing can salvage them.
It would be easy to accept the preceding survey results and blindly proceed with calcula-
tions and statistical analyses, but we would miss the critical two flaws described above. We
could then develop conclusions that are fundamentally wrong and misleading. Instead, we
should develop skills in statistical thinking and critical thinking so that we are better prepared
to analyze such data.
CHAPTER OBJECTIVES
The single most important concept presented in this chapter is this: When using meth-
ods of statistics with sample data to form conclusions about a population, it is absolutely
essential to collect sample data in a way that is appropriate. Here are the main chapter
objectives:
DEFINITIONS
Data are collections of observations, such as measurements, or survey responses.
(A single data value is called a datum, a term rarely used. The term “data” is plural,
so it is correct to say “data are…” not “data is…”)
Statistics is the science of planning studies and experiments; obtaining data; and
organizing, summarizing, presenting, analyzing, and interpreting those data and
then drawing conclusions based on them.
A population is the complete collection of all measurements or data that are be-
ing considered. Typically, the population is the complete collection of data that we
would like to make inferences about.
A census is the collection of data from every member of the population.
A sample is a subcollection of members selected from a population.
Because populations are often very large, a common objective of the use of statis-
tics is to obtain data from a sample and then use those data to form a conclusion about
the population.
Conclude
1. Significance
• Do the results have statistical significance?
• Do the results have practical significance?
The word Brain Volume (cm3) 1005 1035 1281 1051 1034 1079 1104 1439 1029 1160
statistics is
derived from Prepare
the Latin word
Context Figure 1-2 suggests that we begin our preparation by considering the context
status (mean-
ing “state”).
of the data, so let’s start with context by considering the data in Table 1-1. (The data
Early uses of are from Data Set 9 “IQ and Brain Size” in Appendix B.) The data in Table 1-1 consist
statistics involved compilations of measured IQ scores and measured brain volumes from 10 different subjects. The
of data and graphs describing data are matched in the sense that each individual “IQ>brain volume” pair of values
various aspects of a state or is from the same person. The first subject had a measured IQ score of 96 and a brain
country. In 1662, John Graunt volume of 1005 cm3. The format of Table 1-1 suggests the following goal: Determine
published statistical information whether there is a relationship between IQ score and brain volume. This goal suggests
about births and deaths. Graunt’s a possible hypothesis: People with larger brains tend to have higher IQ scores.
work was followed by studies
of mortality and disease rates, Source of the Data The data in Table 1-1 were provided by M. J. Tramo, W. C.
population sizes, incomes, and Loftus, T. A. Stukel, J. B. Weaver, and M. S. Gazziniga, who discuss the data in the
unemployment rates. House- article “Brain Size, Head Size, and IQ in Monozygotic Twins,” Neurology, Vol. 50.
holds, governments, and busi- The researchers are from reputable medical schools and hospitals, and they would not
nesses rely heavily on statistical
gain by presenting the results in way that is misleading. In contrast, Kiwi Brands, a
data for guidance. For example,
maker of shoe polish, commissioned a study that resulted in this statement, which was
unemployment rates, inflation
rates, consumer indexes, and
printed in some newspapers: “According to a nationwide survey of 250 hiring profes-
birth and death rates are carefully
sionals, scuffed shoes was the most common reason for a male job seeker’s failure to
compiled on a regular basis, make a good first impression.”
and the resulting data are used When physicians who conduct clinical experiments on the efficacy of drugs re-
by business leaders to make ceive funding from drug companies, they have an incentive to obtain favorable results.
decisions affecting future hiring, Some professional journals, such as the Journal of the American Medical Association,
production levels, and expansion now require that physicians report sources of funding in journal articles. We should be
into new markets. skeptical of studies from sources that may be biased.
Sampling Method Figure 1-2 suggests that we conclude our preparation by consid-
ering the sampling method. The data in Table 1-1 were obtained from subjects whose
medical histories were reviewed in an effort to ensure that no subjects had neurologic
or psychiatric disease. In this case, the sampling method appears to be sound, but we
cannot be sure of that without knowing how the subjects were recruited and whether
any payments may have affected participation in the study.
Sampling methods and the use of randomization will be discussed in Section 1-3,
but for now, we stress that a sound sampling method is absolutely essential for good
results in a statistical study. It is generally a bad practice to use voluntary response (or
self-selected) samples, even though their use is common.
DEFINITION
A voluntary response sample (or self-selected sample) is one in which the
respondents themselves decide whether to be included.
The following types of polls are common examples of voluntary response samples.
By their very nature, all are seriously flawed because we should not make conclusions
about a population on the basis of samples with a strong possibility of bias:
■ Internet polls, in which people online can decide whether to respond
■ Mail-in polls, in which people decide whether to reply
The Chapter Problem involves a USA Today survey with a voluntary response sample.
See also the following Example 2.
Analyze
Figure 1-2 indicates that after completing our preparation by considering the context,
source, and sampling method, we begin to analyze the data.
Graph and Explore An analysis should begin with appropriate graphs and explora-
tions of the data. Graphs are discussed in Chapter 2, and important statistics are dis-
cussed in Chapter 3.
Conclude
Figure 1-2 shows that the final step in our statistical process involves conclusions, and
we should develop an ability to distinguish between statistical significance and practi-
cal significance.
It is certain that the Jews cannot appeal to the law of the prophets to
defend their rejection of the old religion of Moses, and their
preference for the new religion of the rabbies. Neither Moses nor the
prophets knew anything about the rabbies. They are quite a new
order of men, never heard of until the Jewish polity was tottering to
its destruction. There is, however, another argument to which they
might appeal, in order to justify the reception of new religious
teachers, and that is, the existence of the Sanhedrin. It may be said,
that when the rabbies arose and taught, both they and their doctrines
were approved by this great council, and that this approval is
sufficient to establish the justice of their claims, and the truth of what
they taught. Indeed, the rabbinists do actually look upon the
Sanhedrin as the great foundation on which the oral law rests:—
בית דין הגדול שבירושלים הם עיקר תורה שבע׳׳פ והם עמודי ההוראת ומהם חוק
ועליהי הבטיחה תורה שנאמר על פי התורה אשר יורוך, ומשפט יוצא לכל ישראל
זו מצות עשה וכל המאמין במשה רבינו יבתורתו חייב לסמוך מעשה הדת עליהן
ולישען עליהן ׃
“The Great Council in Jerusalem is the foundation-stone of the oral
law, and the pillars of the doctrine: and from them the statute and the
judgment goes forth to all Israel. They have the warrant of the law,
for it is said, ‘According to the sentence of the law which they shall
teach thee,’ &c. (Deut. xvii. 11); which is an affirmative precept, and
every one who believes in Moses our master, and in his law, is
bound to rest the practice of the law on them, and to lean on them.”
(Hilchoth Mamrim, c. i. 1.) Here the indispensable duty of every
Israelite to follow the decisions of the Sanhedrin is plainly asserted: it
becomes, then, absolutely necessary for us to examine into the
nature of the foundation on which claims so unlimited are based.
One would suppose that, at the very least, the Sanhedrin was
infallible, and could never say or do anything wrong; for if this council
was liable to error, and yet undeviating obedience to its decisions
required, whenever they went wrong, all Israel must have gone
wrong also. But yet, strange to say, the infallibility of the Sanhedrin is
not only not asserted, but plainly denied—yea, the possibility of error
unequivocally intimated, and even provided for:—
בית דין גדול שדרשו באחת מן המדות כפי מה שנראה בעיניהם שהדין כך ודנו דין
ועמד אחריהם בית דין אחר לסתור אותו הרי זה סותר ודן כפי מה שנראה בעיניו,
שנאמר אל השופט אשר יהיה בימים ההם אינך חייב ללכת אלא אחר בית דין,
בית דין שגזרו גזרה או תקנו תקנה והנהיגו מנהג ופשט הדבר בכל, שבדורך
ועמד אחריהם ב׳׳ד אחר ובקש לבטל דברים הראשונים ולעקור אותה, ישראל
התקנה ואותה הגזרה ואותו המנהג אינו יכול עד שיהיה גדול מן הראשונים
בחכמה ובמנין וכו׳ ׃
“When a great council has decided by one of the rules, and
according to the best of their judgment, that the judgment is so and
so, and has passed sentence; if there arise after them another
council of a contrary opinion, the latter may reverse the sentence,
and pass another according to the best of their judgment, for it is
said, ‘Unto the judge that shall be in those days’ (Deut. xvii. 9); thou
art, therefore, not bound to follow any other but the existing council.
But if a council decree a decree, or ordain an ordinance, or sanction
a custom, and the thing has spread in all Israel; and there arise after
them another council, which wishes to abrogate the former things,
and to root out that ordinance, decree, or custom, it is not permitted,
unless they excel the former in wisdom and in number.” (Ibid. c. ii. 1,
2.) According to this doctrine the Sanhedrin in one generation may
teach one doctrine, and in the next generation another Sanhedrin
may abrogate all the legislative acts of the former, and teach another
doctrine, and yet, though one of the two must necessarily be in the
wrong, Israel is bound to obey both; and thus the law is made to
sanction disobedience to itself. Nay, more, the will of God is made
actually to depend upon the wit and the will of man. Instead of being
eternal and unchangeable truth, it must vary with each succeeding
generation, so that what was truth to a father, might be falsehood to
his son; and every new Sanhedrin would, in fact, have the power to
make a new law. How, then, can the Jews pretend that the Mosaic
law is unchangeable? Here it is asserted, that the Jews are to
receive, as the law of Moses, whatever the Sanhedrin may think right
to teach—and that every new Sanhedrin may overturn the doctrines
of their predecessors, and teach the very opposite; so that instead of
being eternal, the law would be one of the most changeable things in
the world, and might never last the same for even two generations.
But how can any man possibly believe, that a command so
preposterous should come from God, or that he would deliver over
his people Israel, bound hand and foot, into the power of seventy-
one persons, and require unconditional obedience, no matter
whether these persons were in the right or in the wrong? Pretensions
so extravagant justly excite suspicion, and entirely destroy the credit
of those that make them. They betray an inordinate lust of power,
and savour far more strongly of ambition than piety. It was no doubt
very convenient for the members of the Sanhedrin to be able to
reverse the decisions of their predecessors. On these terms, the law
could never stand in the way of their own schemes. No matter how it
had been explained or understood before, they had the power of
giving a new interpretation to suit their own purpose. It is truly
wonderful how the Jews can suffer themselves to be deluded by an
imposture so exceedingly coarse. A child ought to be able to see,
that God could never require a man to renounce his understanding,
and to receive two direct contradictions as true.
The manifest absurdity of this doctrine is sufficient to prove that the
passage cited from Deut. xvii. is misinterpreted and misapplied; and
a little consideration will show that it does not refer to the Sanhedrin
at all. In the first place there is no mention of that council, nor any
thing that even implies a reference to such a body. The command of
God is, “Thou shalt come unto the priests, the Levites, and unto the
judge that shall be in those days, and inquire.” It is not said to the
judges, but to the judge השופט. To these, and not to the Sanhedrin,
Moses requires absolute obedience, and that for a just and sufficient
reason, because, as we have shown in Number 2, they had the
means of obtaining an infallible answer by means of the אורים ותומים
Urim and Thummim. It was the privilege of Israel to be able to ask
counsel immediately of God; and it was therefore only rational to
expect unconditional obedience to the command of the Almighty.
Such decisions were absolutely unchangeable as God himself, for
“He is not a man that he should lie, nor the son of man that He
should repent;” and no man in his senses would have thought of
getting a sentence of this kind reversed. These words can therefore
by no means apply to a tribunal fallible in judgment, and as
changeable in its opinions as in the persons of which it was
composed: but if this passage does not apply, there is no other in the
Bible which requires us to receive the decision of the Sanhedrin as
of divine authority, nor in the oral law either, for it supposes that this
council was capable of mistake. Consequently, the Sanhedrin’s
approval of the new order and new religion of the rabbies is of no
weight whatever. The Bible does not command us to believe that
they were always in the right; and they themselves tell us that they
might be in the wrong, and therefore might be in the wrong in their
approval of the rabbies.
But the truth is, that neither the Bible nor history gives us any
warrant whatever for regarding the Sanhedrin as a Mosaic institution.
In the first place, it is never once mentioned either in the Law or in
the Prophets. The word Sanhedrin is Greek, and so far as it goes
would lead us to suppose that this tribunal was not instituted until
some time after the building of the second temple, and after the
Greek occupation of the land, when the Jews had become
acquainted with the Greek language. This Greek word would lead us
even to suppose that the Sanhedrin was instituted by the Greek
rulers, and that they gave the tribunal its name. If it had been an old
Mosaic institution, the Jews themselves, who hated the Greeks, and
that with good reason, would never have given it a Greek name: and
even if the Greeks had assigned this name to a Jewish tribunal,
which had previously existed, the Jews would not have adopted it. It
is true that there is also a Hebrew name for this tribunal, בית דין
הגדול, “The great house of judgment,” but if this had been the original
name, it is not at all likely that the Greek name would have
supplanted it; whereas if it was a Greek institution, and therefore had
a Greek name, it is not to be wondered at that that name should
have obtained general currency, or that it should also be translated
into Hebrew. The Hebrew name will not do more than the Greek to
prove the antiquity of the tribunal, for it never once occurs in the
Bible, and it would be very strange, if this council had existed from
the time of Moses, that it should never once be mentioned. The High
Court of Parliament does not hold a more important place in the
history of this country, than the Sanhedrin must have done in the
history of Israel, if it had really existed: how then are we to account
for the fact, that neither the historians nor the prophets of Israel ever
make the most distant allusion to its being? If the rabbies speak
truth, the prophets, the high priests, and the kings of Israel, were
mere ciphers compared with the Sanhedrin, for it had supreme
power over them all, and could try, condemn, and execute them, and
yet they are mentioned again and again, and the Sanhedrin passed
by in mysterious silence! There are two books of Kings, and two of
Chronicles, relating the history of the Royal rulers of Israel, but the
Supreme Council of the nation, the rulers of kings and priests, the
foundation-stone of the law, the pillar of religion, have never obtained
even a casual notice! Is this at all probable? Would it be possible to
write a history of the British Constitution without ever once
mentioning the existence of the Parliament? And yet this is what has
happened, according to the rabbies to the essential feature of the
Constitution of Israel. Neither the lawgiver, nor the historians, nor the
prophets, have said one word about it.
The rabbies have felt the necessity of finding something or other in
the written law, that would look like the recognition of the Sanhedrin,
and have therefore fixed on two passages which they think will serve
their cause. One is that to which we have already alluded, “Thou
shalt come unto the priests the Levites, and unto the judge that shall
be in those days.” (Deut. xvii. 9.) We have already said sufficient to
show that this passage is totally irrelevant, and now add one remark
more, which is in itself decisive, and that is, that the constitution of
the Sanhedrin, as described in the oral law, is altogether at variance
with the conditions laid down in this passage. The oral law says—
ומצוה להיות בסנהדרין גדולה כהנים ולוים שנאמר שנאמר ובאת אל הכהנים
הלוים ואם לא מצאו אפילו היו כולם ישראלים דרי זה מותר ׃
“The command is, that there should be in the great Sanhedrin,
priests and Levites, for it is said, ‘Thou shalt come to the priests, the
Levites.’ But if they find none, yea, though they be all mere Israelites,
this is lawful.” (Hilchoth Sanhedrin, c. ii. 2.) According to this the
Sanhedrin was to consist of three distinct classes, priests, Levites,
and Israelites; but Moses does not say one word of the Levites, as
distinguished from the priests. His words are, “Thou shalt come to
the priests, the Levites.” He does not say, “The priests and the
Levites;” but simply, “The priests, the Levites;” from which it is plain
that he was speaking only of that one class of the sons of Levi, who
had the office of the priesthood; but not of that other class, whose
only title was “The Levites.” This is the first difference. The second is
like it, inasmuch as it is also an unauthorized addition, and that is,
that there should be Israelites members of this council, of whom
Moses does not say one word more than he does of the Levites.
Besides the priests, Moses mentions none but the judge השופט, not
the judges, so that if the judge was an Israelite, there could at the
very most be only one Israelite amongst those whom Moses
appoints as the highest court of appeal in Israel. But if the judge
השופטwas himself a priest, then there was not even one Israelite;
but the court was composed exclusively of priests. This court cannot,
therefore, be the same as the Sanhedrin, which was to be composed
of all the three classes. Thirdly, the oral law says, That though the
Sanhedrin should not reckon one priest amongst its members, but
should consist entirely of Israelites, that still it is lawful; this court
can, therefore, never be the same as that of which Moses says,
“Thou shalt come to the priests, the Levites, and to the judge.” The
court which the rabbies have appointed might not have even one
priest, and yet they ask us to believe that this is identical with that,
which, according to the appointment of Moses, could never have
more than one Israelite, but might, and in the days of Eli actually did,
consist exclusively of priests. Truly the rabbies must have calculated
upon disciples with a most inordinate measure of credulity. The man
that would believe this, would believe that black is white; or as Rashi
says, that his right hand is the left, and his left hand the right. And
this is really what modern Judaism expects, and absolutely
commands in so many words. In Rashi’s commentary on the words
“Thou shalt not decline from the sentence which they shall show
thee, to the right nor to the left” (Deut. xvii. 11); which words, as we
have seen, the rabbies apply to the Sanhedrin, he says—
אפילו אומר לך על ימין שהוא שמאל ועל שמאל שהוא ימין ׃
“Yea, though they should tell thee of the right hand, that it is the left,
and of the left hand, that it is the right.” Of course men that expected
from their followers this perfect renunciation of reason, might say any
thing they liked, and might therefore ask them to believe that a court
consisting of all priests was identical with one from which priests
were altogether excluded. But as we are not willing to give up that
reason, which we consider a noble gift of God, we cannot help
thinking that these two courts are as different as day and night, and
that the appointment of Moses does not in the remotest degree
serve as a warrant for the appointment of the Sanhedrin. Indeed, the
sad perplexity of the rabbies to find out some passage or other on
which to father their own inventions, and the desperate necessity
which they felt of appealing to this passage, proves to us most
satisfactorily, that the Sanhedrin is not a Mosaic institution at all. It is
as impossible that there could be two supreme courts, as that a man
can have two heads. Moses did appoint a supreme court, from which
there was no appeal, as is plain from the words, “Thou shalt come to
the priests, the Levites, and to the judge,” and we have proved that
this court is not identical with the Sanhedrin. But according to the
rabbies, the Sanhedrin was a supreme court; if, therefore, it had
existed, there would have been two supreme courts, perfectly
independent of each other, which is plainly impossible. It never
entered into the head even of human lawgivers to be guilty of such
absurdity, and it would be an affront to the wisdom of the Almighty to
suppose that he had sanctioned it in his own law. This one argument
is in itself sufficient to overthrow the doctrine of a Sanhedrin as
taught in the oral law. It was not only unknown to Moses, but is
directly opposed to his own institution.
This portion of the oral law is, however, most important for proving
the total disregard, or rather contempt, which the rabbies had for the
institutions of Moses, and the motives by which they were actuated.
Moses ordained a supreme court of judicature, to consist exclusively
of priests, together with the chief civil governor for the time being.
The rabbies not only did not choose to obey the command of Moses,
but actually abrogated his institution, and set up another instead of it.
They were probably enabled to do this in the time of confusion which
followed the Greek conquest. The Greeks, who cared nothing for
Moses or his laws, naturally disregarded the priests and the lawful
civil governor; and therefore when they conquered the land, set up a
tribunal of their own, composed not of those whom Moses had
appointed, but of any whom they could find. Indeed, to secure their
own dominion, their natural policy was to exclude those who had
previously held the reins of government. To this new tribunal they of
course gave a Greek name, and called it in their own language,
συνέδριον, or, as the Talmud pronounces it, Sanhedrin. The Jews,
whom they appointed members, liked the power which it gave them,
and therefore, when the Greeks were gone, endeavoured to
perpetuate it; and as they could not find a warrant for it in the written
law, declared that the institution was a part of the oral law: and thus,
to gratify their own ambition, trampled upon the law of Moses. This is
the probable history of the rise of the Sanhedrin; but however that
be, it is certain that it is directly opposed to that supreme court
appointed by Moses, and that it was love of power which induced the
rabbies to sanction it. They thereby depressed the authority of the
priests and the civil governor, and in fact became the dictators of the
Jewish commonwealth. A tribunal supported from such motives, and
so directly subversive of the commands of Moses, cannot prove to
any lover of the old religion the authority of the rabbies. Indeed, the
approval of such a body would go far to prove that the oral law and
the rabbies were Moses’s enemies. The Mosaic law was first pulled
down before the Sanhedrin could be built up, and it was founded on
the ruins of the Mosaic institutions.
We have not space at present to enter into the other passage which
the rabbies cite in proof of the authority of the Sanhedrin, but hope to
do so in our next number—not that it is necessary to the argument,
but simply because it is our earnest wish that the people of Israel
should see how the rabbies are in difficulty to find even a semblance
of proof for the foundation-stone of their whole fabric. That one
passage from Deuteronomy—“Thou shalt come unto the priests, the
Levites, and unto the judge,” is quite sufficient to prove that Moses
did not institute the Sanhedrin but that, on the contrary, it must have
been established by some determined enemies of the Mosaic law;
and that it was perpetuated by those whose ambition led them to
usurp power, which Moses had committed unto others. We have
thus another proof that modern Judaism has demolished even the
external form of the Mosaic constitution. The rabbies were not
content with rejecting the religion of Moses, and casting out the
religious teachers whom he had appointed, but have also
revolutionized the national polity. Moses ordained a supreme council,
consisting of the priests, the Levites, together with the judge, the
chief civil governor; but the rabbies have preferred a tribunal
established by idolatrous Greeks, because this Greek institution
gave the power into their own hands. No wonder that the God of
Moses destroyed their city, and put an end to that delusion with
which ambitious and wicked men deceived his people Israel.
No. XLIV.
SANHEDRIN CONTINUED.