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Article: https://bit.ly/JazeIssue1 Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1): (2023) 101 – 111 ISSN: 2992–4952

Energy Security in Nigeria: Challenges and Prospects

Ahmad Abdulsalam Abdallah1 and Odetokun Blessing Odeleke2


1
Jigawa State Polytechnic, Dutse
2
Federal University, Dutsin-ma, Katsina State

Abstract
This research examines the challenges and projections of energy security
Keywords in Nigeria. The objective is to identify the challenges and prospects of
Energy energy security in Nigeria. The method of the research is theoretical, and
Security
Renewable energy several literatures were revised. This study is vital to policy makers to
Energy sector adopt efficient and competent energy security policies for Nigeria. It is
Nigeria recommended that there should be deliberate efforts by government to
encourage energy independence by setting new fuel economy standards
JEL Classification
Q48, Q47, Q55, Q35, Q40
in the country, renewable energy sources should be adopted like solar
system, wind, biomass, and diversifying the economy should also be a
Corresponding author major agenda which also encourage public and private to invest in the
Ahmad Abdulsalam Abdalla energy sector to aid effectiveness and efficiency in the energy sector and
ahmadabdallahnaif@yahoo.com this will also help in reducing the oil prices.
Phone N0: +2348140159627

1. Introduction primary energy consumption worldwide is from


Energy is crucial for socio-economic development fossil fuels and hydrocarbons like coal, natural gas,
and has positive impacts on poverty eradication, and petroleum.
quality of life, and national security. Ramchandra The World Energy Assessment notes
and Boucar (2011) relate energy to climate, public significant global development in the last 50 years
health, and security, emphasizing its importance to and emphasizes the importance of energy security,
an economy. Energy affects various aspects of which entails continuous, affordable, and
human life, such as nutrition, health, education, sufficient energy availability. Energy has been
technology, transportation, and communication important since ancient times for tasks such as
(Oyedepo, 2013). Eleri (1993) recognizes energy warming, mining, and food preparation. The
as the mainstay of great economies, highlighting assessment also warns that energy insecurity can
the growth of an economy's function of reliable, disrupt production and negatively impact
affordable, and adequate energy supply. Highly consumer welfare.
industrialized economies depend heavily on Energy resources are divided into renewable
energy availability and efficient usage. Awwad and non-renewable, both of which are present in
and Mohammed (2007) postulate that 80% of Nigeria. The country's economy has long
102 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

depended on its oil and gas sector, but this between the availability of natural resources for
overreliance has caused current and future threats energy consumption and a nation's national
to the nation. Despite its rich energy resources, security. On the other hand, the International
Nigeria faces issues such as power supply Energy Agency (IEA) defines energy security as
problems, corruption, environmental degradation, the uninterrupted availability of energy resources
and fuel supply issues, leading to energy insecurity at affordable prices.
and problems like social crises and communal
clashes. 2.2 Theoretical framework
It is however important for nations like Nigeria 2.2.1 The Elite theory
to explore the energy sector as it holds a lot of The issue of energy security in Nigeria can be best
potential for the economy if efficiently managed to explained by the elite theory, which describes the
encourage a technology-driven development of the influence of a minority group over economic and
nation. The objective of this research is to identify public policies. The theory recognizes the power
the challenges and prospects of energy security in imbalance between the elites, who have greater
Nigeria. control and decision-making power, and the
majority who have less power. According to Dye
2. Literature review (1981), the elites have more information about
2.1 The concept of Energy public policy and therefore influence economic
Energy is very important as it has a larger influence policy more than the masses. The theory highlights
on productivity in sectors like agriculture, several features, including the division of society
commerce, industry, technology, education, health into two groups, with the elites having more power
and majorly in various human activities. Oyedepo to allocate values and decide on public policies.
(2014) claims that energy consumption per capita The voice of the masses does not necessarily affect
is a significant factor in assessing a nation's economic policy, but the voice of the elites does,
standard of living. He notes that energy has played and there are higher barriers to entry for non-elites
a vital role in increasing productivity and to attain elite status. Energy security in Nigeria has
advancing world civilization, leading to a rise in been the focus of numerous studies aimed at
energy demand. Energy is the ability to do work promoting sustainable development, as its
and cannot be created or destroyed, according to negative effects on the economy can be significant
Guggenheim (1985). However, the capacity of if not properly managed.
energy to perform work can be depleted and
destroyed through irreversibility. Energy is present 2.3 Empirical review
in various forms such as petroleum, natural gas, Energy security has been a topic of debate in
fossil fuels, and coal, with hydrocarbons and fossil Nigeria for several years due to the challenges
fuels constituting 80% of primary energy usage faced by the country in providing reliable and
globally, as noted by Awwad and Mohammed sustainable energy to its growing population. The
(2007). issue has attracted the attention of researchers,
According to Oppewal (2011), energy security policymakers, and stakeholders, who have sought
can be defined from both the demand and supply to understand the root causes of the problem and
sides, and its meaning varies internationally and in propose viable solutions to address it.
domestic contexts. Orazulike (2012) defines A study by Oyedepo (2016) noted that
energy security as a situation where a country and Nigeria's energy security is threatened by several
its citizens have long-term access to energy factors, including inadequate infrastructure, policy
resources at reasonable prices with minimal risk. inconsistency, corruption, and a lack of investment
Indra (2016) defines energy security as the link in renewable energy. The author argued that
103 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

addressing these challenges is crucial to improving considers all the key factors. It is clear from the
energy security in the country. Similarly, a study literature that the issue of energy security in
by Ogundipe and Alege (2017) highlighted the Nigeria is a problem worthy of research, and
significant role of renewable energy in enhancing further studies are needed to identify viable
energy security in Nigeria. The authors noted that solutions that can address the challenges and
renewable energy has the potential to reduce the improve energy access for the masses.
country's dependence on fossil fuels, improve
access to electricity in rural areas, and mitigate the 2.4 Overview of Nigerian Economy
impact of climate change. However, they also Nigeria is a nation that has an estimated population
acknowledged that the development of renewable of a figure close to 200 million people in 2018, the
energy in Nigeria is still at a nascent stage and nation has Abuja as its capital city while also
requires significant investment and policy support. sharing borders with Benin republic, Cameroon,
On the other hand, some researchers have argued Niger and Chat republic on the west, east, north
that energy security in Nigeria is not only about the and north respectively. (Anon, 2017) The economy
availability of energy but also the affordability of has a greater potential to be the best economy in
energy for the masses. For instance, a study by Africa as it is recognized worldwide for its
Ekeocha et al. (2018) noted that the high cost of resources advantage and population advantage,
energy in Nigeria is a significant barrier to energy despite these potentials and more, there has been
access for low-income households, thereby several issues of socio-economic growth failure
exacerbating energy poverty in the country. which can be traced to several factors including the
Contrastingly, a study by Amadi (2019) poor condition of the energy sector. Emodi and
argued that Nigeria's energy security is largely Dauda (2015) and NERC (2017) estimated the grid
dependent on the political will of the government supply potential of the country stood at
to implement effective policies and ensure 12,522MW, this has an effect on the operational
sustainable energy development. The author noted activities which results in poor maintenance,
that the lack of political will has hindered the irregular supply of primary fuel among other
growth of the energy sector in Nigeria and has dampening effects. Despite the grid reaching its
resulted in the country's overdependence on fossil highest peak of 5,375MW in February 2019, it is
fuels. still not adequate considering the continuous and
Moreover, a study by Adeleke and Oyebisi massive demand for energy in Nigeria, (Mbah,
(2021) highlighted the role of public-private 2019). Anon (2016) analyzed that despite the
partnerships in enhancing energy security in unfavorable condition, less than 50% of the
Nigeria. The authors argued that such partnerships Nigerian population is being supplied with the grid
could leverage the strengths of both sectors to with 41.1% as rural supply and 86% in urban
address the challenges facing the energy sector and supply and about 4% of Nigerians has access to
improve access to energy for the masses. clean energy for domestic usage in a nation with
In conclusion, the literature review has almost 49.6% urban population. The demand for
highlighted the raging arguments on energy energy in Nigeria is high as it currently stands at
security in Nigeria. The challenges facing the 20,000 MW and there are potentials for increase to
country's energy sector are multifaceted, and 90,000 MW in 2021. (Salau, 2016).
addressing them requires a holistic approach that
104 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

Table 1: Nigeria’s
conventional energy
Source: Enete &
Alabi, (2011)

Table 1 shows Nigeria’s conventional energy has 12.7% of the total conventional energy in
resources which include crude oil, natural gas, Nigeria.
Coal, Tar sands and hydropower with their Table 2 shows Nigeria’s non-conventional
respective reserves and unit in billion tonnes with energy resources which include fuel wood,
Tar sand representing the largest percentage of animal wastes, crop residue, small scale hydro
conventional energy in Nigeria at 28.4% and as power, solar radiation and wind with their
expected, crude oil and natural gas has a 21% and respective reserves with the majority of them
24% total conventional energy respectively while having a lifespan of over 100 years.
the Hydropower has 13.1% and Coal and lignite

Table 2: Nigeria’s non-


conventional energy
resources
Source: Enete and Alabi,
(2011)

3. Energy Situation in Nigeria hydroelectric power, and biomass. As a result, the


Nigeria is one of the leading energy giants in country has been able to generate significant
Africa due to its abundant natural resources such revenue from energy exports and the development
as crude oil, natural gas, lignite, bitumen, tar sands, of local industries.
According to Sambo (2008), Nigeria's crude
oil reserves are estimated to be the sixth largest
worldwide, with an estimated 36.2 million barrels
105 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

of oil and 5,000 billion cubic meters of gas pump price in the country. The bad road network
reserves. These resources are mainly located in the in rural areas also makes it difficult to transport and
Niger-Delta, Gulf of Guinea, and other parts of the distribute energy resources to these areas. As a
country. result, many rural dwellers are forced to rely on
However, despite the abundance of energy firewood for their energy needs, further
resources in Nigeria, the country has faced exacerbating the environmental challenges. While
significant challenges in the management and Nigeria is a leading energy giant in Africa with
distribution of energy resources, resulting in a abundant natural resources, the country needs to
supply-demand gap. Okafor and Joe-Uzuegbu address the challenges in the management and
(2010) note that inadequate development and distribution of energy resources to ensure
inefficiency in the energy sector have contributed sustainable development, especially in rural areas
to the epileptic supply of energy resources over the where access to energy is limited.
years. In Nigeria, the NNPC controlled gas and
The energy situation in rural areas is petroleum prices while the Power Holdings
particularly dire, with more than 70% of rural Company of Nigeria managed electricity.
dwellers relying on fuel wood (firewood) as their Subsidies on energy resources have been reduced
primary source of energy. This has led to and removed in order to improve efficiency,
deforestation and desertification of the arid zone, resulting in higher prices. Privatization of the
as well as erosion in the southern zone, where electricity sector was implemented to increase
firewood is used for both domestic and effectiveness, efficiency and rural electrification.
commercial purposes. The rate of deforestation in (Famuyide et al, 2011; Sambo, 2009)
Nigeria is estimated to be almost 350,000 hectares However, electricity is imperative as it aid basic
per year, which is equivalent to 3.6% of the current development activities like education, health
area of forests and woodlands (Report of the Inter- services, pipe-borne water, communication, etc.
Ministerial Committee on Combating and its absence and inconsistency has affected the
Deforestation and Desertification, 2010). economic potentials of the nation as the nation is
The lack of access to electricity and petroleum highly blessed with energy resources which
products in rural areas exacerbates the problem, include wind, biomass, sola, hydropower, etc.
with the prices of petroleum products like kerosene (Sambo, 2005)
and petrol often exceeding 200% of the official
106 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

Figure 1: Map of Nigeria showing


energy resources distribution and
socio-economic zones.
Source: GENI1, 2017

Figure 2: Pattern of Electricity


Consumption in Nigeria
Source: Central bank of Nigeria
Statistical Bulletin

According to Sambo (2009), energy


consumption in Nigeria can be divided into five lighting for 6%, and other uses for 3%. However,
categories: transport, commercial, agriculture, the electricity sector in Nigeria has been plagued
household, and industrial sectors. Among them, with inefficiencies, as identified by the Central
the household sector accounts for the largest Bank of Nigeria (2000). These issues include
share of energy consumption, at around 65%, frequent breakdowns due to outdated and
primarily due to the low level of development in overloaded equipment, equipment vandalization,
other sectors. Energy is mainly used for cooking, inefficient billing and collection systems,
lighting, heating, and powering electrical inadequate funding, and a lack of routine
appliances in households, with cooking maintenance, among others.
accounting for 91% of household energy usage,
107 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

Table 3: Electric power


capacity in Nigeria
Source: Energy Commission
of Nigeria (2006).

Table 3 shows the various energy resources player in the global oil industry, Nigeria's energy
capacity in Nigeria with hydro and gas resources security is hampered by inefficiencies and
having the highest demand with supply projections corruption across various sectors. Orazulike
for 2030. (2012) highlighted the challenges faced by
different energy resources in Nigeria. Diesel, for
4. Energy Security Challenges in Nigeria instance, is relied upon by individuals and
Despite being a major player in the global oil businesses as an alternative source of electricity
industry, Nigeria's energy sector is plagued with due to the inefficiency of the country's power
inefficiencies and setbacks, according to distribution companies. This heavy reliance on
Orazulike's (2012) study. These issues affect the diesel has led to an increase in demand for the
energy security of the nation, and Orazulike resource, but its availability and pricing remain
investigates the individual challenges faced by major issues in the country.
different energy resources in Nigeria. One of these Petrol, Nigeria's most controversial energy
resources, diesel, is troubled by the inefficiency of resource, is also marred by inefficiencies and
both the Power Holding Company of Nigeria corruption. The security of petrol as a resource is
(PHCN) and National Electric Power Authority in the hands of a small group of elites who make
(NEPA) in supplying electricity to individuals and decisions regarding its distribution in their own
businesses. This has led citizens to rely on diesel interests, rather than the interests of the general
as an alternative source of power, but the high public. The natural gas sector has similarly been
demand for diesel has made its availability and affected by availability and affordability issues
pricing a major issue in Nigeria. Petrol, which is that discourage average citizens from demanding
the most controversial energy resource in Nigeria, Liquefied Natural Gas. Kerosene supply has been
has also been plagued with inefficiency as its controlled by major middlemen and unlicensed
security is controlled by a group of elites known as personnel in the petroleum sector, resulting in
cabals, who make decisions regarding petrol based increased prices for consumers.
on their own interests. Other challenges include corruption
The challenges facing Nigeria's energy sector are tendencies that hinder the implementation of
numerous and complex. Despite being a major effective policies, insecurity, and external forces
108 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

that negatively impact energy security. Nigeria's towards renewable energy sources would allow
mono-cultural system has encouraged a heavy fossil fuels to be allocated for industrial purposes.
dependency on oil and gas, with the country's (Off Grid Nigeria, 2017)
budget tied closely to fluctuations in oil prices. Despite the challenges faced by energy
Environmental pollution in the energy zone has security in Nigeria, there are opportunities for
also led to social unrest in the oil regions, with entrepreneurship and economic growth in the
political effects manifesting in the form of sector. The lack of access to reliable energy has left
vandalism, kidnapping, trade unionism, and cartels many Nigerians living in poverty, particularly
in oil and gas. women. Improving the efficiency and
The inefficiency of the nation's refinery effectiveness of energy supply can help to improve
capacity has further compounded these issues. The the standard of living and avoid the hazards
refineries available are underutilized, which means associated with traditional energy sources. Small
there is a looming threat of resource importation, and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) can benefit
even for Nigeria's own resources. This situation from improved energy supply, which will help
has led to fuel shortages, parallel market activities, them thrive and create employment opportunities.
and increased prices. Adenikinju (2010) noted that Nigeria has a large number of micro, small, and
this has put the nation in a state of economic dis- medium-sized enterprises that account for a
equilibrium, with the energy sector being a significant proportion of jobs, and energy security
significant contributor to the overall instability of can help reduce the cost of doing business and
the Nigerian economy. create more jobs. Energy security can also
contribute to climate change mitigation and
5. Prospects of Energy Security in Nigeria sustainability efforts in Nigeria. By avoiding 6.4
Nigeria faces several challenges in its energy million tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions
sector, but there are also numerous opportunities annually, energy management can help reduce
for growth and development. According to GIZ carbon emissions by 20% by 2030. (UNEP, 2013)
(2015), 75 million Nigerians still lack access to Industrial energy efficiency is an area that
electricity and those with access often rely on presents significant opportunities for Nigeria's
alternative sources due to frequent power outages. economic development. Energy savings remain a
However, the market for renewable energy is major issue in the country, with electricity and heat
growing rapidly, with a 36% increase in off-grid being the primary forms of energy carriers. To
solar product demand, which has the potential to address this challenge, there is a need for energy
generate $10 billion annually and provide $6 audits and surveys to be conducted to determine
billion in savings for residences and businesses, as the most cost-effective forms of energy to use in
reported by REA (2017). The Nigerian Rural industrial production. By adopting more efficient
Electrification Agency plans to deploy 10,000 technologies, industries can reduce their energy
mini-grids, which will cover 30% of the forecasted consumption and associated costs while
electricity demand in Nigeria. simultaneously reducing their carbon footprint.
Traditional energy sources such as kerosene Furthermore, improving industrial energy
pose health hazards to users, causing about 30% of efficiency will contribute to the country's
burn cases in Nigerian hospitals and pollution economic growth by increasing productivity and
affecting over 136 million Nigerians, as reported competitiveness. This is particularly important in
by Oladele and Olabanji (2018). The adoption of light of the country's high unemployment rate and
solar energy systems could alleviate these health the need to create more job opportunities.
concerns and improve healthcare access, Additionally, it will also promote corporate social
particularly in rural areas. Furthermore, shifting responsibility, as industries can reduce their
109 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

impact on the environment by reducing their comprehensive action is needed to ensure that
energy consumption and adopting sustainable energy security is prioritized and sustainable
practices. According to a study conducted by Al- development is achieved.
Shakarchi and Abu-Zei in 2002, more than 40% of The study conducted a review of energy
Nigeria's energy resources are being wasted due to security in Nigeria and found that the government
outdated and aging industrial equipment. This not has not adequately pursued the principles of
only hinders efficiency in the energy sector but energy security, which could lead to an impairment
also poses a threat to sustainability and of sustainability. The study suggests that energy
productivity. security is critical for Nigeria to become a top
It is worth noting that a significant portion of world economy and that it is positively related to
energy resources in Nigeria is wasted in old and sustainable development. Nigeria's growing
aging industrial equipment that are no longer population has led to an increasing demand for
efficient. This waste discourages energy efficiency energy, and the current national utility grid
within the sector and reduces the overall requires significant improvements. The study
productivity of the country's industries. recommends that other fossil fuels should be
Implementing energy-saving measures will, secured through effective management throughout
therefore, improve productivity and resource the exploration, production, and consumption
efficiency, which will ultimately lead to an stages.
improvement in the per capita income of The study recommends several measures to
Nigerians. (Unachukwu, 2003) Enhancing encourage energy security, such as promoting
industrial energy efficiency in Nigeria presents a awareness of renewable energy and energy
significant opportunity for the country's economic efficiency, establishing standard policies,
development. Energy audits, efficient equipment, promoting accountability and transparency, and
and sustainable practices will aid in reducing discouraging elite influence. Energy conservation
energy consumption, promoting corporate social should be encouraged, and energy-efficient
responsibility, and improving productivity, appliances should be used to promote
ultimately leading to positive economic effects. sustainability. The study emphasizes the need to
manage energy resources in compliance with
6. Conclusion and Recommendations international standards and recommends that the
This study examines the current state of energy government encourage energy independence by
security in Nigeria and finds that the government setting new fuel economy standards, adopting
has not made adequate efforts to prioritize the renewable energy sources, and diversifying the
principles of energy security, which in turn economy. The study acknowledges the limitation
undermines sustainability efforts. In order for of limited literature but still provides a valuable
Nigeria to achieve its goal of becoming one of the contribution to the existing literature on energy
world's top economies, it is imperative that energy security in Nigeria.
security issues are effectively addressed. The The suggestions for further studies on energy
paper highlights the positive relationship between security in Nigeria include assessing the current
energy security and sustainable development, state of energy infrastructure, comparing energy
emphasizing the importance of prioritizing energy security policies in other countries, examining the
security to meet the needs of both current and role of the private sector, evaluating the impact of
future generations. As Nigeria's population energy insecurity on the economy, exploring the
continues to grow, there is an ever-increasing potential of renewable energy sources, and
demand for energy, which can lead to insecurity examining the relationship between energy
within the energy sector. Therefore, urgent and security and climate change.
110 Abdallah & Odeleke / Journal of Arid Zone Economy 1(1) (2023) 101 - 111

Ekeocha, P. C., Ezeani, E. C., & Agu, C. C. (2018).


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