Professional Documents
Culture Documents
6KNPLXINMGRYUM4XHZU4 (1)
6KNPLXINMGRYUM4XHZU4 (1)
of Alternative
Investments
Edited by
Greg N. Gregoriou
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HG4513.E53 2008
332.603--dc22 2008015276
FranÇois-Serge Lhabitant
Douglas Cumming
University of Lausanne
York University
Lausanne, Switzerland and
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
EDHEC, Nice, France
William Fung
Colin Read
London Business School
State University of New York (Plattsburgh)
London, England, UK
Plattsburgh, New York, USA
vii
Annualized Compound B
Return ................................................21
Backfilling Bias ....................................37
Mohamed Djerdjouri
Robert Pietsch
Annualized Standard
Deviation ...........................................22 Back Pricing ..........................................38
Mohamed Djerdjouri Bill N. Ding
Timothy W. Dempsey
e Bid-Ask Spread......................................44
Assignment ............................................ 31 François-Éric Racicot
Raymond Théoret
Block Trade............................................44
Associated Person.................................32 Paolo M. Panteghini
Julia Stolpe
Bonds (Overview of Types) ..................45
At-the-Money Option ...........................32
Karyn Neuhauser
Raymond Théoret
Bookbuilding ........................................47
Attrition Rates ......................................33
Edward J. Lusk
Robert Pietsch
C CDO........................................................70
Calendar Report ...................................57 François-Éric Racicot
IPOX (Initial Public Offering Index) .... 251 Life of Contract.................................. 268
Josef A. Schuster Michael Gorham
Limit .....................................................269
J Annick Lambert
Jensen Alpha........................................255 Limited Partners.................................270
François-Éric Racicot Philipp Krohmer
Jones Model .........................................256 Limited Partnership and LLC ...........270
Jörg Richard Werner
Martin Eling
Franziska Feilke
Opening Premium ..............................333
O Colin Read
Optimization.......................................335 P
Mehmet Orhan
Pairs Trading ......................................351
Option Buyer.......................................336 Jens Johansen
Jerome Teiletche
Par ........................................................352
Option Contract .................................337 Raymond Théoret
M. Nihat Solakoglu
Participating Underwriters ...............353
Option Premium.................................338
Robert Christopherson
Stefan Wendt
Pearson Correlation Coefficient ......353
Option Seller .......................................339
Fabrice Douglas Rouah
Jerome Teiletche
Peer Group Based Style Factors ........354
Options ................................................341
Iwan Meier
João Duque
T U
Takedown .............................................473 Uncovered Options .............................489
Ulrich Hommel Christian Hoppe
xxvii
xxix
xxxi
Mariela Borell
Markus Ampenberger
Centre for European Economic
Munich University of Technology
Research (ZEW)
Munich, Germany
Mannheim, Germany
Sergio Sanfilippo Azofra Wolfgang Breuer
University of Cantabria RWTH Aachen University
Cantabria, Spain Aachen, Germany
Brian L. King
Martin Hibbeln
McGill University
Technical University
Montréal, Québec, Canada
at Braunschweig
Braunschweig, Germany
Berna Kirkulak
Dokuz Eylul University
Ulrich Hommel
Izmir, Turkey
European Business School
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
Winston T. H. Koh
Christian Hoppe Singapore Management University
Dresdner Kleinwort Bank Singapore, Singapore
Frankfurt, Germany
Maher Kooli
Georges Hübner University of Québec at Montréal
HEC University of Liege Montréal, Québec, Canada
Liege, Belgium
Claudia Kreuz
Lutz Johanning RWTH Aachen University
WHU Otto Beisheim School of Management Aachen, Germany
Vallendar/Koblenz, Germany
Philipp Krohmer
Jens Johansen CEPRES GmbH
Deutsche Securities Center of Private Equity Research
Tokyo, Japan Munich, Germany
xxxix
Sean Richardson
Tremont Group Holdings Inc.
Rye, NY, USA
REFERENCES
Amenc, N., Goltz, F., and Martellini, L. (2006) Hedge funds from the institutional inves-
tor’s perspective. In: G. N. Gregoriou, G. Hübner, N. Papageorgiou, and F. Rouah
(eds.), Hedge Funds: Insights in Performance Measurement, Risk Analysis and Portfolio
Allocation. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Lake, F. C. (2003) The Democratization of Hedge Funds: Hedge Fund Strategies in Open-End
Mutual Funds. Lake Partners, Greenwich, CT.
7. A natural person with income exceed- difference between the annualized return of
ing $200,000 in each of the two most an investment and the annualized return of
recent years or joint income with a a benchmark:
spouse exceeding $300,000 for those
years, and a reasonable expectation
of the same income level in the cur- Active Premium = Investment’s
rent year Annualized Return −
8. A trust with assets in excess of $5 Benchmark’s
million, not formed to acquire the Annualized Return
securities offered, whose purchases a
sophisticated person makes (Securities
Lawyer’s Deskbook, 2007) From a fi nancial point of view, these
differential returns correspond to a zero-
Once any of the above criteria is met, an investment strategy, which consists in
investor has the option to invest in certain going long on the fund in question and
restricted offerings and limited partner- short on the benchmark. Alternatively, one
ships, which often have unique liquidity could swap the return on the benchmark
and redemption terms. Examples of these for the return on the fund and vice versa
offerings include hedge funds and hedge (Lhabitant, 2004). Th is is a particularly
fund of funds. These requirements ensure versatile measurement, given that it allows
that the investor has the capital to with- the choice of the portfolio with which the
stand lengthy lock-up periods and risky investment to be evaluated is compared.
investment processes. It is useful in the calculation of the infor-
mation ratio. This is a measure of perfor-
mance developed by Nobel Prize winner
REFERENCE William F. Sharpe, and is a revised version
University of Cincinnati College of Law (2007) of the original Sharpe ratio, that evaluates
General rules and regulations promulgated the behavior of investment funds (Sharpe,
under the Securities Act of 1933. In: Securities 1994). It is calculated by dividing the
Lawyer’s Deskbook. University of Cincinnati
College of Law Publishers, Cincinnati, OH. “Active Premium” by the “Tracking Error.”
The Active Premium for each unit of risk
is obtained, derived from the ability of the
Active Premium manager to use the information available
to improve on the results of the references
benchmark.
Carlos López Gutiérrez
University of Cantabria
Cantabria, Spain
REFERENCES
The evaluation of the return offered by a
particular investment must be made in rela- Lhabitant, F.-S. (2004) Hedge Funds: Quantitative
Insights. Wiley, London, UK.
tion to the return of the benchmark that is Sharpe, W. F. (1994) The Sharpe ratio. Journal of
taken as a reference. Active Premium is the Portfolio Management, 20, 49–58.
TABLE 1
Distinguishing Criteria for Private Equity, Hedge Funds, and Activists
Private Equity Hedge Funds Activists
Active contribution to Yes No Yes
investment
Time for investment 3–6 months Quick Quick
decisions
Liquidity Low High Medium
Investment criterion Exit price Market price Exit price
Level of participation >50% Basis: daily traded volume 5–20% of voting rights
Amount of participation Fixed Very flexible Very flexible
Outside capital Yes, but rarely Yes, often Yes, but rarely
Hedging No Yes Yes
Common interest with Yes No Yes
management
Exit strategy IPO/M&A Public market M&A/public market
Time to exit About 6 months Quick Quick if necessary
Long-term return 10–20% 10–20% 20–40%
Investment targets Not exchange-traded Not exchange-traded Exchange-traded
of the company. Klein and Zur (2006) show Mietzner, M. and Schweizer, D. (2008) Hedge Funds ver-
sus Private Equity Funds as Shareholder Activists—
that activists succeed in getting manage-
Differences in Value. Working Paper, European
ment to meet their demands more than 60% Business School, Schloss Reichartshausen.
of the time (e.g., they obtain board represen- Wyser-Pratte, G. (2006) Active value investing: a
tation, they effect a change in strategic oper- case study on creating Alpha in Europe. In:
G. N. Gregoriou and D. G. Kaiser (eds.), Hedge
ations, they effect share repurchases, or they Funds and Managed Futures: A Handbook for the
succeed in halting merger proposals and/or Institutional Investors. Risk Books, London, UK.
buyouts or acquisitions). For the time period
of 2004–2005, Brav et al. (2006) showed that
the announcement of hedge fund activism
generated statistically significant abnormal Aftermarket
returns in the range of 5–7% for a 20-day
window. However, Mietzner and Schweizer
Colin Read
(2008) find evidence in the German market,
State University of New York
that the long-term wealth effects created Plattsburgh, New York, USA
by private equity investors are significantly
higher than those of hedge fund activists. The aftermarket is the market that develops
following an initial public offering (IPO).
REFERENCES While it might be expected that this aftermar-
Brav, A., Jiang, W., Partnoy, F., and Thomas, R. (2006) ket which functions similarly to that which
Hedge Fund Activism, Corporate Governance, determines the initial pricing of an IPO, there
and Firm Performance. Working Paper, Duke
are various factors that come into play once
University, Durham, NC.
Klein, A. and Zur, E. (2006) Hedge Fund Activism. the IPO begins trading. For instance, while
Working Paper, New York University, New York. the initial price for the IPO depends highly
on the IPO’s prospectus, the balance between of the IPO may be locked in before trading
supply and demand only becomes apparent begins. As a consequence, once the IPO
in the aftermarket, which can be manipu- lists, a seller’s market is often created.
lated. There has been a growing level of litiga- This seller’s market is sometimes exacer-
tion over such manipulations of aftermarket bated by carefully timed demand for the
orders, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange security arising from th ese aftermarket
Commission (SEC) has been attempting to orders. The exercising of these orders can
expand their oversight of aftermarket activi- create greater attention and interest on the
ties through the courts and through expan- market, and drive the IPO up still further.
sion of regulations. Most notable is the Because there is often a dearth of new
creation of demand in an informal second- information on an IPO, the market could
ary market that can cause prices to rise in the read the interest generated through after-
primary market for the IPO. Because such market orders and the subsequent band-
secondary markets are informal, they are wagon effect to indicate as yet unrevealed
often beyond the reach, but arguably within positive information about the newly
the scope, of regulatory authorities. listed security. As a consequence, the U.S.
Justice Department and the Securities and
Exchange Commission suspects that after-
REFERENCES market orders have been used as a tool for
Akhigbe, A., Johnston, J., and Madura, J. (2006) Long- market manipulation.
term industry performance following IPOs.
Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 46,
638–651. REFERENCES
Cornelli, F., Goldreich, D., and Ljungqvist, A. (2006)
Jenkinson, T. and Liungqvist, A. (2001) Going Public.
Investor sentiment and pre-IPO markets. The
Oxford University Press, New York.
Journal of Finance, 61(3), 1187–1216.
Stehle, R., Ehrhardt, O., and Pryzborowsky, R.
Ellul, A. and Pagano, M. (2006) IPO underpricing
(2000) Long-run stock performance of German
and after-market liquidity. The Review of Finan-
initial public offerings and seasoned equity.
cial Studies, 19, 381–421.
European Financial Management, 6, 173–196.
Wagner, N. (2004) Time-varying moments, idiosyn-
cratic risk, and an application to hot-issue IPO
aftermarket returns. Research in International
Aftermarket Orders Business and Finance, 18, 59–72.
is initially sold to the public. Thus, aftermar- Ross, S., Westerfield, R., and Jordan, B. (2008)
Fundamentals of Corporate Finance, 8th ed.
ket performance refers to the gain or loss
McGraw-Hill, New York.
associated with a security, subsequent to its
issuance. The aftermarket can typically be
viewed in three distinct phases. First, the
initial return, or underpricing, refers to the
aftermarket performance on the first day a
Agency Problem
security trades. This return varies over time
with the general level of the market, but Oana Secrieru
Loughran and Ritter (2005) find an average Bank of Canada
level for recent years is approximately 15%, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
although during the Internet bubble of 1998–
1999, average underpricing was over 65%. Agency problems arise when there is a con-
The second phase of aftermarket perfor- flict of interest between a principall and an
mance concentrates on the period of time agentt hired having different objectives.
when the lead underwriter would actively Conflicts of interest of the principal–agent
trade in the market to support the price of type are very common. Conflicts between
an issue. This activity, which usually occurs the shareholders and the managers of a firm,
for approximately 30 days after issuance, or between the government procurement
provides stability to the price of the security agencies and contracting firms are two such
but may artificially inflate the true value of examples. The principal–agent problem typ-
the asset. ically arises when there are asymmetries of
The last period of aftermarket perfor- information between the two parties before
mance refers to the longer term, which will or after the contract is signed. The literature
be many months or years from the initial has distinguished between two types of
offering. Whereas early aftermarket per- informational asymmetries that can arise
formance is positive, Ritter (1991) finds the in a principal–agent setting—those result-
longer term performance of equity issues ing from hidden actions and those result-
is not as strong, with the majority of IPOs ing from hidden information. The hidden
underperforming their previously exist- actions case is also referred to as the moral
ing counterparts. Much of this difference hazard and refers to a situation where the
may be attributed to the overreaction of principal-owner cannot observe the actions
investors to the initial offering. Thus, high of the agent-manager. For example, after the
underpricing is strongly correlated to weak owner of a firm hires a manager, the owner
long-term performance. may not be able to observe how much effort
the manager puts into the job. In the hid-
den information case, even if the owner can
observe the manager’s effort, the manager
REFERENCES
may still have better information about
Loughran, T. and Ritter, J. (2005) Why has IPO the underlying productive environment.
underpricing changed over time? Financial
The basic principal–agent problem was ini-
Management, 33(3), 5–37.
Ritter, J. (1991) The long-run performance of initial tially studied by Ross (1973). Others, such
public offerings. Journal of Finance, 46(1), 3–27. as Mirrlees (1976), Spence and Zeckhauser
Assuming the monotone likelihood ratio his or her type and associates a payoff with
condition holds, that is, φπ > 0, ensures that each announcement. The revelation prin-
the optimal compensation is increasing in π. ciple allows to restrict attention to incentive-
It is straightforward to show that the sec- compatible revelation mechanisms. Assum-
ond-order condition holds, that is, the man- ing the firm’s production function is f (e, θ),
ager’s objective function, u(e) = ∫u
∫ (w (π))
π × the principal’s problem is to offer a set of con-
f πe)dπ
f( π – c(e), is concave and, thus, the tracts to maximize profits and induce work-
first-order approach is legitimate. ers to self-select among these contracts:
max ⎡⎣ f (eH , H ) wH ⎤⎦
wH ,wL ,eH ,eL
Hidden Information
(1 ) ⎡⎣ f (eL , L ) wL ⎤⎦ , (7)
In many principal–agent problems the agent
has better information than the principal subject to
about the realization of some random vari- u(wH , eH , H ) uH , (8)
able that affects the profitability of the project.
These informational asymmetries can appear u(wL , eL , L ) uL , (9)
either before or after the contract is signed.
Although the same techniques can be u(wH , eH , H ) u(wL , eL , H ), (10)
employed in both cases, here we choose to
focus on the case where informational asym- u(wL , eL , L ) u(wH , eH , L ). (11)
metries are prior to signing the contract. To
illustrate, we employ a monopolistic screen- Constraints (8) and (9) are the individual
ing model, where the principal-owner can- rationality constraints for the risk-averse
not observe the productivity levels of the worker. For a type θi worker to accept the
agents managers. The principal offers a menu contract, he must be guaranteed his reser-
of contracts to screen informed agents. vation utility, ui , for i = H, L. Constraints
To see this, assume there are two types (10) and (11) are the incentive-compatibility
of workers who differ in their productiv- (or the truth-tellingg or self-selection) con-
ity. The productivities of the two types are straints. These constraints require that a
denoted by θ ∈ {θL, θH}, with θH > θL > 0. type θi worker do not have incentives to
The owner of the firm cannot observe the mimic a type θj worker, for i ≠ j.
worker’s productivity but knows that a frac- Assuming the single-crossing property
tion λ of workers are of type H H. A worker of holds, that is, indifference curves in the (e, w)-
w
type θ has utility u(w,w e, θ), which depends space for the two types of workers cross only
on the wage and the worker’s education level, once, it can easily be shown that the optimal
e. The selection of an optimal contract can be contract is characterized by the following:
greatly simplified by invoking the revelation
principle which says that the principal can
H
MRSew f eH , (12)
restrict himself or herself to using a revela-
tion mechanism for which the agent always
L
MRSew fe L , (13)
responds truthfully. A revelation mechanism
is a contract that asks the agent to announce wH wL , (14)
i
where MRSew is the marginal rate of sub- markets (e.g., the crash of October 1987).
stitution between e and w for a type i ∈ {H, This is the reason why the Commodity
L} worker. Under the optimal contract with Exchange Act (CEA) in the United States
hidden information, the owner elicits the authorized the Commodity Futures Trading
first-best effort level from a type θ H worker. Commission (CFTC) to impose limits on
However, the effort level provided by a type the size of speculative positions in futures
θ L worker is distorted downward from its markets. To aggregate his/her position, an
first-best level. investor must also consider his/her part-
nership in funds. For instance, each par-
ticipant with an interest of 10% or more in
a partnership account must aggregate the
REFERENCES entire position of the partnership, not just
his fractional share. Note that acceptable
Grossman, S. and Hart, O. (1983) An analysis of the
principal–agent problem. Econometrica, 56,
speculative limits levels combine futures
755–785. and options on a delta-adjusted basis. For
Mirrlees, J. (1976) The optimal structure of incen- instance, the Montreal Stock Exchange
tives and authority within an organization. Bell has the following aggregation rule for the
Journal of Economics, 7, 105–131.
Ross, S. (1973) The economic theory of agency: the option on the 3-month Canadian banker’s
principal’s problem. American Economic Review, acceptance. For the purpose of calculating
63, 134–139. the reporting limit, position in the option
Spence, M. and Zeckerhauser, R. (1971) Insurance,
information, and individual action. American
contracts are aggregated with positions in
Economic Review, 61, 380–387. the underlying futures contract. For aggre-
gation purposes, the futures equivalent of
one in-the-money option contract is one
futures contract and the futures equivalent
Aggregation of one at-the-money or out-of-the-money
option contract is half a futures contract.
Sharpe and Alexander (1990) expose the
François-Éric Racicot rules of aggregation in their book and show
University of Québec at Outaouais how the multiple transactions of an inves-
Gatineau, Québec, Canada tor are aggregated in one account to see if
the account is undermargined, restricted,
In the context of managed futures, aggre- or overmargined. According to these
gation can be defined as the policy under authors, aggregation is straightforward in
which all futures positions owned or con- the case of multiple margin purchases. The
trolled by one trader or group of traders are following formula is then used to calculate
combined to determine reporting status and the actual margin: actual margin = (mar-
speculative limit compliance. Speculative ket value of assets – loan)/market value
limits are imposed to protect futures mar- of assets. In the same manner, the actual
kets from excessive speculation that could margin of an investor who has sold short
cause unreasonable or unwarranted price more than one stock may be easily com-
fluctuations. Indeed, a trader who owns too puted: actual margin = (market value of
many futures contracts may destabilize the assets – loan)/loan. However, according to
Sharpe and Alexander, things become more risk arising from the specific agricultural
complicated when the investor has both commodity. For example, a cornflakes
bought and shorted stocks. The account plant owner wants to insure against an
can then be analyzed in terms of the dollar increasing corn price and negotiates a call
amount of assets that are necessary for the option with the ATM, which gives him/
account to meet the maintenance margin her the right to take delivery of corn at
requirement. a specified price within a specified time
period (Spears, 1999).
Trade options on some agricultural com-
modities were prohibited until 1998. In
REFERENCES
1936, the Congress completely interdicted
Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Retrieved the offer or sale of option contracts both
April 1, 2007 from http://www.cftc.gov/
Montreal Stock Exchange (2007) Options on three-
on- and off-exchange in enumerated com-
month Canadian banker’s acceptance (OBX), modities under regulation because of large
retrieved April 1 from www.m-x.ca. price movements and disruptions in the
Sharpe, W. F. and Alexander, G. J. (1990) Investments,
futures markets arising from speculative
4th ed. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
trading in options. These commodities
included, among others, wheat, cotton, rice,
and corn, whereas trade options on non-
Agricultural Trade enumerated commodities, for instance, cof-
fee, gold, and sugar, were possible. The issue
Option Merchant of whether to eliminate the prohibition on
the offer and sale of trade options on the
enumerated commodities has been recon-
Franziska Feilke sidered by the Commodity Future Trading
Technical University at Braunschweig
Commission (CFTC) several times since
Braunschweig, Germany
1991. In 1998, final rules concerning trade
options became effective. Since then agri-
An agricultural trade option merchant cultural trade options are regulated by the
(ATM) is a person or organization that is CFTC and could only be sold by a registered
in the business of soliciting, offering, or ATM, who has to meet several conditions,
entering into option transactions involv- for instance, a net worth of at least $50,000
ing enumerated agricultural commodities (Spears, 1999).
such as wheat, cotton, rice, corn, or rye
(i.e., commodity option) (17 CFR 3.13).
Agricultural trade options are traded
off-exchange, and are not conducted on REFERENCES
the rules of an exchange but offered on Legal text: United States: Code of Federal Regulations
an over-the-counter (OTC) market. As a (CFR), 17 CFR 3.13.
result it is possible to conclude individual Spears, D. D. (1999) Testimony on Behalf of the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission con-
contracts. Generally, the commercial pro-
cerning Agricultural Trade Options. Retrieved
ducers or users of agricultural commodi- July 18, 2007 from http://www.cftc.gov/opa/
ties ask for trade options to manage the speeches/opaspears-4.htm
benchmark portfolio as predictive variables obtained from a linear regression of the his-
and the portfolio return as response vari- torical portfolio returns on the benchmark
able. The calculation of the alpha is based returns.
on either a simple regression, that is, on a In Figure 1, we simulate the portfolio
regression with one single predictive vari- return given two benchmark assets F1 and F2.
able, or a multiple regression, that is, on The resulting portfolio returns are plotted as
a regression with more than one predic- points in three-dimensional space spanned
tive variable. The goal of performing such by the benchmark and portfolio excess
a regression analysis is to break down the returns. In A, all excess returns are zero. The
portfolio return into a systematic compo- linear regression determines a line through
nent that is correlated with the benchmark the point cloud that minimizes the quadratic
factors and an uncorrelated unsystematic distance between the regression line and the
component. For the benchmark factors, one simulated points. The intercept with the hori-
often uses a portfolio of investable market zontal line through A, that is, the horizontal
indices. Since a passive investor can also gen- distance between A and B, equals the alpha
erate the systematic component of the portfo- of portfolio P
P. From Figure 1 we can conclude
lio return by simply following a buy-and-hold that, in our case, the active portfolio manager
strategy in the benchmark factors, alpha is has outperformed the benchmark portfolio.
commonly used as a measure to assess an Another concept related to alpha is the
active manager’s mean excess return. concept of portable alpha, also referred to
Formally, denoting by rP (tt) the excess as alpha transport. A portable alpha strat-
returns of a portfolio P in excess of the risk- egy starts with a portfolio that has a return
free interest rate in periods t = 1, …, T and representation as in Equation 1. Then, the
by rF (t)
t the excess returns on the benchmark investment manager intentionally hedges
i
factors Fi over the same periods, we often away the factor exposure using deriva-
assume that the portfolio return is a linear tives or through short selling. The portfo-
combination of the benchmark returns: lio becomes immune to changes in factor
returns rF . The resulting returns correspond
i
N
to the residual returns in Equation 2, that is,
rP (t ) P ∑ Fi rFi (t ) P (t ) (1) the hedged portfolio is a pure alpha port-
i =1 folio and can be added as an independent
component to other portfolio structures.
The residual (or unsystematic) returns for
portfolio P
P, say λP(t),
t are given by the differ-
ence between the portfolio return, and the
benchmark returns weighted by the factor
Alternative Asset
exposures βF , that is,
i
Begoña Torre Olmo
P (t ) P P (t ) (2) University of Cantabria
Cantabria, Spain
The alpha of portfolio P is then given by
t = αP.
the average residual return, E(λP (t)) Alternative Asset refers to any nontradi-
The sensitivities βF and the intercept αP are tional asset with prospective economic value
i
Portfolio return
Return F2
Return F1
FIGURE 1
Multiple regression to determine alpha.
that cannot be found in a typical investment depending upon both the organization
portfolio. As a result of the unconventional and the changes over time (Anson, 2003).
nature of some of these assets, valuation can For example, domestic stocks and actively
be problematic because it is not always pos- managed bonds, which were thought of
sible to use traditional investment valuation as alternative investments in the 1960s,
techniques. For this reason, investors who however, are now part of most traditional
choose these products usually have to con- investment portfolios. The same applies
sider a long-term investment horizon. for international stocks or derivatives in
The scope of this term has increased sig- the 1970s and for real estate and emerging
nificantly over the last two decades, but market stocks in the 1980s. Current exam-
alternative assets or alternative investments ples of alternative assets and investments
still have to gain complete acceptance from are private equity, venture capital, com-
both institutional and private investors, and modities, precious metals, art, antiques,
also regulators. They are regarded as specu- and hedge funds.
lative investments by some marginal inves- Hedge funds can be considered as one of
tors, many of whom are wealthy individuals the fastest-growing sectors of alternative
willing to take greater risks to obtain higher assets (Gregoriou, 2002). They experienced
returns. tremendous growth throughout the 1990s,
Nevertheless the consideration of “tra- initially in the American markets, soon
ditional” or “alternative” asset varies followed by markets around the world.
Today they are an important feature of all themselves, although some hedge funds
world markets; however, in European mar- may give investors access to alternative
kets they remain a major source of contro- asset classes (e.g., those funds engaged in
versy due to disagreements over methods managed futures). An important charac-
of their regulation (Lhabitant, 2005). As a teristic of alternative asset classes is that
result, considerable confusion permeates they expand the investment opportunity
European definitions over what they are, set and potentially improve the risk-return
how they operate, and how they should be trade-off of an investment portfolio. This is
integrated along with traditional assets into due to the fact that, by definition, alterna-
modern portfolios. tive asset classes exhibit relatively low cor-
relations with traditional assets. Typically,
alternative assets tend to be less liquid than
traditional assets, implying that valuation
REFERENCES
may be a problem and suggesting that
Anson, M. J. P. (2003) The Handbook of Alternative investors considering these alternatives
Asset. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
should have longer investment horizons.
Gregoriou, G. N. (2002) Hedge fund survival lifetimes.
Journal of Asset Management, 3, 237–252. The Journal of Alternative Investments, pub-
Lhabitant, F. S. (2005) Hedge Funds: Myths and Limits. lished by the CAIA Association since 1998,
Wiley, Chichester, UK. is specialized in publishing research in this
field. Hedge funds are an important topic.
For example, Agarwal and Naik (2000)
present a complete analysis of the risk-
Alternative Asset Class return characteristics, risk exposures, and
performance persistence of different num-
Marno Verbeek ber of hedge fund strategies. Liang (2004)
Rotterdam School of Management analyzes the differences and similarities in
Erasmus University this respect between hedge funds, funds-
Rotterdam, The Netherlands of-funds, and commodity trading advisors
(CTAs). Ansom (2006) provides a compre-
The term “alternative asset class” is typically hensive guide examining how alternative
used to describe a group of assets that is asset classes can be incorporated into a
considered nonstandard or nontraditional diversified portfolio.
for an investor to include in his/her port-
folio. Depending on the context, alterna-
tive asset classes include real estate, private REFERENCES
equity, hedge funds, commodity and man-
aged futures, currency futures, art, credit Agarwal, V. and Naik, N. Y. (2000) On taking the
‘alternative’ route: risks, rewards and perfor-
derivatives, and emerging markets equity. mance persistence of hedge funds. Journal of
There is, however, no uniform definition of Alternative Investments, 2, 6–23.
what constitutes an asset class. While hedge Ansom, M. (2006) The Handbook of Alternative Assets.
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
funds are typically characterized as “alter- Liang, B. (2004) Alternative investments: CTAs, hedge
native investments,” many people argue that funds, and funds-of-funds. Journal of Investment
hedge funds are not an alternative asset class Management, 2, 76–93.
The term “alternative alpha” is a by-product Generically, the string “alternative beta,”
of the alternative beta. It was originally which is a registered trademark of Alpha
defined by Fung and Hsieh (2003) as the dif- Swiss Group, Switzerland, refers to the
ference between the total return of an alter- nontraditional systematic risk exposures of
native investment fund p and its required alternative investments. These correspond-
return, which is equal to the sum of alter- ing risk factors provide investors with risk
native betas times the corresponding asset- premia—which reward them for the cor-
based strategy (ABS) factors: responding exposures—that they could not
access with a portfolio of traditional assets,
such as stocks, bonds, or cash instruments.
K
Alt. R p ∑ Alt. ABSk Alternative risk factors are supposed to dis-
k1 play low correlations with traditional risk
factors. Thus, even though the additional
returns generated by alternative betas are
not pure abnormal returns like the alpha,
difficult to disentangle from “acciden- they act as portfolio diversifiers.
tal alphas.” The latter alphas are returns Alternative betas can result from two
that are mistakenly attributed to the fund major kinds of reasons. First, managers of
manager’s skill. Following Fung and Hsieh hedge funds have access to investment tech-
(2007), accidental alpha creation is mostly niques and instruments (e.g., short selling,
attributable to missing factors and to the derivatives, leverage, etc.) that are not acces-
misspecification of time-varying alterna- sible to managers of traditional funds. They
tive betas. can dynamically influence their investment
exposures to create nonlinear, option-like
payoffs. Second, managers have access to
exotic investment classes that are not easily
REFERENCES
available outside the alternative investment
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2003) The risk in universe, such as private equity, credit risky
hedge fund strategies: alternative alphas and
alternative betas. In: L. Jaeger (ed.), The New
investments, or macroeconomic bets.
Generation of Risk Management for Hedge This distinction between method-based
Funds and Private Equity Funds. Euromoney and market-based generation of alternative
Books, London.
betas has been unified by Fung and Hsieh
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2007) Will hedge funds
regress towards index-like products? Journal of (2003). They show that the return-generating
Investment Management, 5(2), 46–65. process of alternative investments is
Zsolt Berenyi
RISC Consulting REFERENCES
Budapest, Hungary Agarwal, V. and Naik, N. Y. (2000) On taking the
‘alternative’ route: risks, rewards, style, and per-
formance persistence of hedge funds. Journal of
Alternative investment strategies refer to any Alternative Investments, 2, 6–23.
investment strategy that is not based on a Davies, R. J., Kat, H. M., and Lu, S. (2006) Single strat-
long-only portfolio of traditional—cash, egy funds of hedge funds: how many funds?
In: G. N. Gregoriou (ed.), Funds of Hedge Funds:
publicly traded fi xed income, or equity— Performance, Assessment, Diversification, and
instruments. This term denotes both invest- Statistical Properties. Elsevier, Burlington, MA.
ing in alternative assets (by purchasing Hedge Fund Strategy Definitions, http://www.
hegdefund.net/def.php3
traditional alternatives, such as commodi-
Karavas, V. (2000) Alternative investments in the
ties, private equity, real estate, etc.), and institutional portfolio. Journal of Alternative
pursuing alternative investment strategies Investments, 3, 11–26.
TABLE 1
Investment Strategies of Hedge Funds
Strategy Class Investment Strategy Main Characteristics
Long-short Long/short equity Investing on both the long and the short side of the
equity equity market; the total market risk position is usually
not neutral
Long-only Like a traditional mutual fund, except that it invests in
a variety of financial assets and may employ leverage
Equity market neutral Investing in both long and short market positions while
attempting to eliminate market risk
Dedicated short bias Strategies that usually keep a net short market position,
using both equity and derivatives
Relative value Statistical arbitrage Aiming at finding pricing discrepancies based on
statistical data
Relative value Looking for undervalued investments
Other arbitrage Trying to explore any other mispricings
Discretionary Options strategies Strategies focusing on combined options positions
trading Market timer Trying to “time the market” by switching between more
and less risky market instruments
Short-term trading Any strategies focusing on short-term trading
(day trading) opportunities
Event-driven Merger arbitrage Investing in securities of companies involved in
mergers or acquisitions (e.g., by selling the acquirer
and buying the target)
Distressed securities Trading in securities of distressed or bankrupt
companies
Special situations Opportunistic strategy focusing on anything that might
drive the price of the securities
Fixed income Convertible arbitrage Trying to explore pricing discrepancies on the market
for convertible securities
Capital structure arbitrage Exploring pricing inefficiencies between different
classes of debt and equity of the same (or similar)
companies
Fixed income (arbitrage) Trying to catch pricing discrepancies at the fixed
income market
Fixed income Investing in fixed income securities (long-short), often
(nonarbitrage) using leverage
Macro Global macro (macro) Investment strategies aiming at taking advantage of
major economic trends or events such as interest or
exchange rate movements
Emerging markets Trading in emerging market securities
(macro)
Sector-based Sector-based strategies Focusing on a particular investment sector such as
mortgage, health care, regulation, small/micro cap,
technology sector, financial sector, venture capital/
private equity, and so on
result, Angel Groups are easier to identify provide valuable assistance to the start-up
and reduce the search costs for entrepre- company, such as helping to fine-tune their
neurs seeking financing. Most Angel Groups business plan, introduce them to venture
may be accessed via the Internet or organi- capital firms, or provide contacts for business
zations such as local chambers of commerce opportunities.
or regional development agencies. Since angel investors invest at the begin-
ning stage of a business, when the business
has not proven its viability; the risk under-
REFERENCES
taken by them is very high, in light of the high
Scherman, A. (2005) Raising Capital: Get the Money failure rate of start-up companies. However,
You Need to Grow Your Business. Amacom,
the rewards can be very high as well if the
New York.
Vinturella, J. and Erickson, S. (2003) Raising Entre- company is successful, because the angel
preneurial Capital. Elsevier Butterworth– investor invests at a very low valuation.
Heinemann, Burlington, MA.
REFERENCES
Angel Investor Benjamin, G. A. and Margulis, J. (2001) The Angel
Investor’s Handbook: How to Profit from Early-
Stage Investing.
g Bloomberg Press, Princeton, NJ.
Winston T. H. Koh Gladstone, D. and Gladstone, L. (2004) Venture
Capital Investing: The Complete Handbook for
Singapore Management University Investing in Private Businesses for Outstanding
Singapore Profits. Financial Times Prentice Hall, Upper
Saddle River, NJ.
Wainwright, F. and Horvath, M. (2002) Note on
An angel investor refers to an individual
Angel Investing. Center for Private Equity, and
that invests in a start-up company, typi- Entrepreneurship, Tuck School of Business at
cally when the company is at its inception. Dartmouth, Hanover, NH.
The term “angel investors” originated in the
early 1900s, when new theatrical produc-
tions were supported by wealthy individuals. Annualized
Nowadays, the angel investor, sometimes
referred to as a business angel, usually invests Compound Return
an amount that ranges from a few thousand
dollars to a few hundred thousand dollars.
Mohamed Djerdjouri
Angel investors are generally considered to
State University of New York (Plattsburgh)
provide funding after support from friends Plattsburgh, New York, USA
and family but before the company is ready
to face the venture capital firms.
Many business angels are experienced Assuming that the return on investment for
entrepreneurs, retired executives, or busi- period i is denoted by Ri (i = 1, 2, …, N), the
ness professionals who have some knowl- compound return (or cumulative return) over
edge of the industry. Angel investors usually the last N periods is calculated as follows:
form informal networks and keep each other
abreast of industry development to source CR = (1 + R1)(1 + R2) …
for investment opportunities. They may (1 + Ri) … (1 + R N) – 1
CR is simply the geometric mean of the series the average return can be misleading and
of past returns (Feibel, 2003; Benninga, hence there is a need to use the ACR.
2006; Besley and Brigham, 2006). The annualized compound return is the
An annualized compound return reflects constant rate of return which when applied
the compound rate on an annual (yearly) to the initial investment over the N time
basis, and is given by the following formula: periods will result in a total amount equal
to the amount obtained when applying the
ACR = [(1 + R1)(1 + R2) …
series of returns Ri over the N time periods
(1 + Ri) … (1 + R N)](1/k) – 1
(Feibel, 2003; Benninga, 2006; Besley and
where k is the number of years. Brigham, 2006).
The annualized compound return is sim-
ply the geometric mean of returns with REFERENCES
respect to one year (Feibel, 2003; Benninga,
Benninga, S. (2006) Principles of Finance with Excel.
2006; Besley and Brigham, 2006). For
Oxford University Press, New York.
example, if an investment of $1000 had a Besley, S. and Brigham, E. (2006) Principles of Finance.
return of 60% the first year and a return Thomson/South-Western, Mason, OH.
of –10% (a loss) the second year then the Feibel, B. J. (2003) Investment Performance Measure-
ment. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
investment will grow to $1600 the first year
and then go down to $1440 the second
year. The compound multiplier is: (1 + 0.6) Annualized Standard
(1 − 0.1) = 1.44, which means that the com-
pound return over the 2-year period is 44%. Deviation
The annualized compound return is
ACR (1.44)1/2 1 0.2 or ACR 20% Mohamed Djerdjouri
State University of New York (Plattsburgh)
Applying the ACR to the original invest-
Plattsburgh, New York, USA
ment of $1000 over the 2-year period:
$1000 × (1 + 0.20) = $1200 at the end of
the first year and $1200 × (1 + 0.2) = $1440 Given a set of N time periods assume that
at the end of the second year. The ACR the return on investment for period i is
ends up with the same cumulative return denoted by Ri (i = 1, 2, …, N) and the aver-
at the end of the 2-year period. age return by AR.
However, the average return is The standard deviation measures the
mean dispersion of the series of return
60% 10% around the average return AR. It is given by
AR 25% the following formula:
2
∑ i1(Ri R) 2
N
Applying the AR to the original $1000
investment over the 2-year period: $1000 × SD
N 1
(1 + 0.25) = $1250 at the end of the first
year and $1250 × (1 + 0.25) = $1562.5 at the
end of the second year, which is evidently ation, which is most commonly used as an
not correct. This example clearly shows that estimate of the “true” population standard
deviation. In finance, the standard devia- Black, K. (2005) Business Statistics: Contemporary
Decision Making. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
tion is used to measure the risk of an invest-
Feibel, B. J. (2003) Investment Performance Mea-
ment. The higher the standard deviation surement. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
value, the more volatile the investment StatSoft, Inc. (2007) Electronic Statistics Textbook.
returns are. StatSoft, Tulsa, OK, http://www.statsoft.com/
textbook/stathome.html
The annual standard deviation (ASD) is
calculated as the standard deviation multi-
plied by the square root of the number of
periods per year (Black, 2005; StatSoft, Inc., Approved Delivery
2007; Besley and Brigham, 2006). The spe-
cific formula is
Facility
Ingo G. Bordon
∑i1(Ri R)2
N
REFERENCES
REFERENCE
Benninga, S. (2006) Principles of Finance with Excel.
Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. Cavaletti, C. and Holter, J. T. (1996) The delivery tri-
Besley, S. and Brigham, E. (2006) Principles of Finance. angle. News, Analysis, and Strategies for Futures,
Thomson/South-Western, Mason, OH. Options and Derivatives Traders, 25, 72.
Payment
FIGURE 1
Delivery process.
allowed. These assumptions generate a dif- goal in terms of asset mix, while the latter
ferent model for determining the efficient assesses the proportion of assets in port-
frontier. folio to take benefit of market timing or
The seminal paper was written by stock-bond picking. Portfolio managers
Markowitz and published in 1952. The core may implement different policies, but these
intuition, as he wrote at the time of receiv- can be associated to benchmarks dynamics:
ing the Nobel award, was that “Investors policies can be defined as active or passive
diversify because they are concerned with management. Passive investment manage-
risk as well as return. Variance came to ment assumes that it is very difficult to out-
mind as a measure of risk. The fact that perform the market, because it should be
portfolio variance depended on security efficient. It is called passive, because man-
covariances added to the plausibility of the agers do not make decisions about which
approach. Since there were two criteria, risk securities to buy and sell. They can repli-
and return, it was natural to assume that cate the index by (i) holding each bond or
investors selected from the set of Pareto stock in the same proportion of the index;
optimal risk-return combinations” (from (ii) forming a portfolio that tracks the index
Markowitz’s autobiography). historically; and (iii) finding a small num-
After that, Sharpe proposed a model that ber of securities that matches in a defined
was able to estimate the relation between set of factors (Elton et al., 2007). Now, with
securities’ returns and markets’ returns exchange-traded funds (ETFs), individ-
where they are traded on. “The CAPM is ual investors can buy broad sectors of the
built using an approach familiar to every market. On the other side, active portfolios
microeconomist. First, one assumes some should add to market return a premium
sort of maximizing behavior on the part generated by the choices, which depend on
of participants in a market; then one managers’ ability to forecast price move-
investigates the equilibrium conditions ments. Forecasting methodologies consist
under which such markets will clear” (from of fundamental and technical approaches.
Sharpe’s autobiography). Treynor et al. Some problems must be faced by port-
obtained the same relationships. folio managers in their asset allocation
According to Michaud (1989), Markowitz’ activity. In particular, according to Ibbotson
optimizers maximize errors. Since there are no and Kaplan (2000), portfolio styles explain:
correct and exact estimates of either expected (i) portfolio returns almost completely;
returns or variances and covariances, these (ii) most of the return volatility of funds
estimates are subject to estimation errors. across time; and (iii) a large part of the vari-
To minimize the returns forecasting error, ation or earnings across portfolios.
the Black–Litterman model’s output is the There is a third way combining the active
expected returns vector, through a reverse and the passive styles. One well-known
engineering of global portfolio weights, vola- approach is called core-satellite, which
tilities, and correlations. The analyst estab- means that most of the portfolio (core) is
lishes her relative or absolute views. invested in bond or equity index funds,
The Black–Litterman model has the bene- or ETF to minimize costs and generate
fit to merge strategic and tactical asset allo- the market yield, and the marginal port-
cation. The former maintains a long-term folio (satellite) is invested to produce and
maximize. The satellite component can be to the question how hedge funds deliver
built using alternative investments, such as returns that exhibit intriguing behaviors
hedge funds, in particular hedge and macro over time. Indeed, their return characteris-
strategies. In this case, asset allocation ben- tics often resemble those of options on the
efits from the unusual correlation profiles equity market. To answer this question, one
(frequently negative with the other asset must understand the underlying strategy
classes) and the option-like payoffs. of the hedge fund and then relate it to the
traditional asset class benchmarks. What we
obtain is a direct link between hedge fund
REFERENCES returns and its styles, namely the ABS fac-
Black, F. and Litterman, R. (1992) Global portfolio opti-
tors. These factors can be used for portfolio
mization. Financial Analysts Journal, 48, 28–43. construction and for benchmarking hedge
Elton, E. J., Gruber, M. J., Brown, S. J., and Goetzmann, fund performance on a risk-adjusted basis.
W. N. (2007) Modern Portfolio Theory and Furthermore, since ABS factors are con-
Investment Analysis. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Ibbotson, R. G. and Kaplan, P. D. (2000) Does asset allo- structed using market prices, one can easily
cation policy explain 40%, 90%, or 100% of per- obtain the return history of the style provid-
formance? Financial Analysts Journal, 56, 26–33. ing long-term track record for group of hedge
Markowitz, H. M. (1952) Portfolio selection. Journal
funds. In this way, it is possible to overcome
of Finance, 7, 77–91.
Michaud, R. O. (1989) The Markowitz optimiza- problems with the hedge fund databases,
tion enigma: is ‘optimized’ optimal? Financial which are essentially incomplete and subject
Analyst Journal, 45, 31–42. to different limitations, such as the instant-
Sharpe, W. F. (1964) Capital asset prices—a theory of
market equilibrium under conditions of risk. history, the selection, and the survivor-ship
Journal of Finance, 9, 425–442. biases (see Fung and Hsieh, 2004).
A first notable example of how ABS factors
work is in Fung and Hsieh (2001). The authors
Asset-Based used traded options to model the attributes
of trend-following hedge funds, showing
Style Factors that the returns from these strategies may
be duplicated by a dynamically managed
option-based strategy, which is typically
Roberto Savona known as a “lookback option.” The trend
University of Brescia follower is usually a trader who purchases
Brescia, Italy
an asset at its low and sells it at its high over
a certain time frame. Because this pattern
Asset-based style (ABS) factors are bench- may be explained by a payout of a lookback
marks derived from observed market prices, option on that particular asset, the return of
which provide direct descriptions of hedge the strategy is isomorphic to the payout of the
fund strategies. It is well known that hedge lookback option minus the option premium.
fund returns vary considerably from the Using this economic reasoning, Fung and
returns of traditional asset classes. However, Hsieh (2001) relied on lookback options as
as noted by Fung and Hsieh (2002) hedge to ABS factors for trend-following hedge
fund managers and traditional managers funds, capturing high degree of explanatory
trade in the same asset markets. This leads power for hedge funds adopting this style.
In the same way, such an approach is also Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2001) The risk in hedge fund
strategies: theory and evidence from trend fol-
useful to compute the correct manager’s
lowers. Review of Financial Studies, 14, 313–341.
excess return: the alpha is estimated by Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2002) Asset-based style
comparing the returns of the hedge fund factors for hedge funds. Financial Analysts
with ABS factors that describe the expected Journal, 58, 16–27.
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2004) Hedge fund bench-
returns of a class of intricate hedge fund marks: a risk-based approach. Financial Analysts
strategies that cannot be directly moni- Journal, 60, 65–80.
tored. Computationally, the first step is to Mitchell, M. and Pulvino, T. (2001) Characteristics
identify primitive trading strategies that of risk in risk arbitrage. Journal of Finance, 56,
2135–2175.
explain hedge fund returns; then, ABS fac-
tors are created using market data to such an
extent as to best capture the main character- Asset-Weighted Index
istics of such primitive trading strategies.
Another example of ABS is in Mitchell Timothy W. Dempsey
and Pulvino (2001), where the returns of DHK Financial Advisors Inc.
merger arbitrage hedge funds are mod- Portsmouth, New Hampshire, USA
eled by constructing a proxy for a merger
arbitrage strategy by referring to announce- An asset weighted index, when compared to
ments over the period 1963–1998. Finally, an equally weighted index, presents a clearer
Agarwal et al. (2005) extend the search on and more realistic view of the dollar-weighted
common risk factors among hedge fund performance of the hedge funds in the index.
strategies analyzing the risk and return char- The first hedge fund index of this kind was
acteristics of convertible arbitrage strategy. the CSFB/Tremont Hedge Fund Index.
Fung and Hsieh (2001) identified primitive However, several of the largest and well-
trading strategies; then using market data known hedge funds may choose not to report
on Japanese and US convertible bonds, they their monthly net returns to database ven-
created ABS factors that are able to cap- dors, thereby making the examination of the
ture the main characteristics of convertible returns of an asset weighted index an ardu-
arbitrage funds’ strategies. ABS factors are ous task. “An asset weighted index is suscep-
useful tools that help inspect and model tible to disproportionate representation from
financial intermediation in over-the-counter large funds that have a very large gain or
(OTC) markets and have significant impli- loss in any given time period. Additionally, an
cations for risk management, portfolio con- asset weighted index can be distorted by errors
struction, and benchmark planning and in reporting by larger funds” (see Schoenfeld,
creating in the hedge fund industry. 2004, p. 200). Larger funds tend to have more
weight in the index than smaller funds, and
research has shown that smaller hedge funds
have a significantly higher mortality rate than
REFERENCES
larger hedge funds (Gregoriou, 2002).
Agarwal, V., Fung, W., Hsieh, D. A., Loon, Y. C., and Naik, According to Fung and Hsieh (2004, p. 67),
N. Y. (2005) Risk and Return in Convertible
“… more than 75% of assets are concentrated
Arbitrage Strategies: Evidence from the Con-
vertible Bond Market and Hedge Funds. Working in less than 25% of hedge funds. In the light
Paper, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA. of this right-skewed distribution of the
expensive and are therefore preferred for period. The Hennessee Group reports an
hedging strategies. Besides, the implied average rate of 4.96% (1999–2004) (Heidorn
volatility of a call or a put on an action or et al., 2006). There is substantial variation
a stock index is usually at its low when the across the different hedge fund categories
option is at-the-money, the profile of the in a specific database. Within the TASS
implied volatility being a skew which is at database, convertible arbitrage funds are
its maximum for very out-of-the-money less likely to dissolve (5.2%), which is con-
options. For exchange rates, the profi le of sistent with a low average return volatility.
the implied volatility is rather a smile, the Managed futures funds, on the contrary,
implied volatility being at its low when the have the highest average attrition rate of
option is at-the-money but being higher for 14.4% (1994–2003) along with a high aver-
out-of-the-money or in-the-money options age return volatility (Chan et al., 2005).
(Hull, 2006; MacDonald, 2006; Racicot and A similar measure for the death rate of
Théoret, 2006). hedge funds is the mortality rate, which
examines a period of more than 1 year
REFERENCES (Heidorn et al., 2006).
The different values for attrition rates for
Hull, J. C. (2006) Options, Futures, and Other Deriv-
similar sample periods are due to the het-
atives, 6th ed. Pearson, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
MacDonald, R. (2006) Derivative Markets, 2nd ed. erogeneity of the underlying data, and point
Addison-Wesley, New York. out the limitations of usage of the data.
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2006) Finance Hedge fund managers provide data on a
Computationnelle et Gestion des Risques, Presses
de l’Université du Québec, Québec. voluntary basis. They usually try to develop
a positive track record before providing
their return data to a database. The incuba-
Attrition Rates tion period for a hedge fund before its entry
into the TASS database can range on aver-
age from 1 to 3 years. Managers of hedge
Robert Pietsch funds that perform well are more likely to
Dresdner Kleinwort provide their results to one or more data-
Frankfurt, Germany bases than managers with a poor perfor-
mance (selection bias). This causes an
The death rates of hedge funds can be upward bias as the full history of these
measured by the attrition rate, which can funds are instantly included into the data-
be defined as the ratio of all funds exiting base (backfill bias). In addition, the reasons
a specific database in a given year to the why managers discontinue to report their
total number of funds at the beginning of performance is not always known (self-
the year. Empirical analyses from Liang reporting bias). Funds that are closed to new
(2000) and Chan et al. (2005) show an investors, for example, might protect a
average attrition rate of 8.3% (1994–1998) winning strategy, which in turn will cause a
and 8.8% (1994–2003), respectively, for the downward bias. On the other hand, funds
TASS database. The HFR database, on the that are liquidated due to bad performance
contrary, shows a much lower average attri- will cause an upward bias (survivorship bias).
tion rate of 2.7% (Liang, 2000) for a similar Only 57% of all defunct funds from the
TASS database in June 2001 have been returns for all positive months are summed
clearly identified as being liquidated, mostly and divided by the number of months, as
due to low returns (Barry, 2002). follows:
Gimbel et al. (2004) have come to the
∑ ri
N
conclusion that attrition rates are on the Average gain (gain mean) i1
increase for younger funds (up to 2 years) N
due to less attractive profit opportunities. ri is the return for each positive month,
However, they still outperform older funds and N is the number of positive months.
as new ideas and strategies are more likely Average gain is most useful when combined
to generate superior returns. with information about positive returns as
a percentage of all returns. Combining the
two provides a more complete picture of the
REFERENCES
risk-return profile of an investment. Some
Barry, R. (2002) Hedge Funds: A Walk Through the investors look for small positive, but consis-
Graveyard. MAFC Research Paper No. 25.
Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=
tent gains over time, such as the returns of
333180 bonds or low-risk relative value hedge funds.
Chan, N. T., Getmansky, M., Haas, S. M., and Lo, A. Others can tolerate larger swings in the value
W. (2005) Systemic Risk and Hedge Funds. MIT
of their investments but look for periodic
Sloan Research Paper No. 4535-05, available at
SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=671443 high positive returns, such as the returns of
Gimbel, T., Gupta, F., and Pines, D. (2004) Entry and equities or directional hedge funds. In other
Exit: The Lifecyle of a Hedge Fund. Industrial words, risk-averse investors prefer strategies
Organization 0407002, EconWPA.
Heidorn, T., Hoppe, C., and Kaisar, D. G.
that have a high probability of small positive
(2006) Konstruktion und Verzerrungen von returns, while more risk-taking investors
Hedgefonds-Indizes. In: M. Busack and D. G. accept investments with a low probability
Kaiser (eds.), Handbuch Alternative Investments of large positive returns. Investors may also
Band 1, Gabler, Wiesbaden, pp. 573–599.
Liang, B. (2000) Hedge funds: the living and the seek to combine managers with both profiles
dead. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative for a diversified portfolio. Most investors,
Analysis, 35, 309–326. however, like consistent returns. An investor
can plot the average gains against frequency
of gains for all investments in his or her port-
Average Gain folio to understand the nature of return dis-
tributions available and combine managers
(Gain Mean) so as to create a desired risk-return profile.
Robert Pietsch
Dresdner Kleinwort
Frankfurt, Germany
Backfilling bias occurs when a hedge fund with a good performance decides
to report and the hedge fund manager includes the full or part of the return
history to show the track record in a database. This bias is also called an
instant-history bias. Hedge fund managers are not required to provide infor-
mation regarding the fund’s return and hence only start to report when the
hedge funds have achieved a good track record. Therefore, hedge funds usu-
ally go through an incubation period—the time lag between the inception
date of the fund and the date the track record is included in the database—
before the hedge fund managers decide to report (Fung and Hsieh, 2000). They
use the listing in the database for marketing purposes because hedge funds
are not allowed to attract investors through public advertisement (Posthuma
and Sluis, 2003). Backfilling of hedge fund returns causes the performance of
the overall hedge fund universe to be overestimated because funds with bad
return histories terminate and never report to a database vendor or the histo-
ries are not backfilled. More than 50% of the funds in the TASS database have
backfilled returns for the period 1996–2002 (Posthuma and Sluis, 2003).
There are two methods to adjust the data for obtaining a backfill-free data-
base. The first one is the indirect method where the average or median incu-
bation period is calculated from all funds in a specific database. The return
data for each fund in the database is then corrected by eliminating the aver-
age number of months or years from the beginning of the reported data.
The direct method uses the information provided by the database vendor to
calculate the individual incubation period for each fund and adjust the data
accordingly (Posthuma and Sluis, 2003). Using information from the TASS
database for the period 1994–1998, Fung and Hsieh (2000) have reported a
median incubation period of approximately 1 year (343 days). The result from
the indirect method is a lower mean performance of 1.4% p.a. for the TASS
database. The backfill bias is therefore an estimated 1.4% p.a. Posthuma and
van der Sluis (2003) used the direct method over the period 1996–2002. They
also analyzed the TASS database and calculated an average length of instant
histories of about 37 months, which is a longer period than that estimated by
the indirect method. The reported backfill bias is about 4% p.a.
37
say that the commodity is “backwardated.” Keynes (1930), the markets abhor an excess
The converse is “contango.” Backwardation of commodity inventories because of the
occurs when supplies of a commodity are enormous expense of financing them. If
inadequate. Therefore, one interpretation such excess inventories come into exis-
of backwardation is that when inventories tence, “the price of the goods continues to
of commodities are tight, market partici- fall until either consumption increases or
pants are willing to pay a premium to buy production falls off sufficiently to absorb
the immediately deliverable commodity. them.” Therefore, for commodity investors,
Historically, the term backwardation has by going long commodities when scarcity
been strongly associated with Keynes, the is indicated by backwardation, one would
economist. In 1930, Keynes published his be attempting to avoid being on the wrong
“normal backwardation” commodity hypo- side of the “strong forces [that] are immedi-
thesis. Keynes’ hypothesis can be summa- ately brought into play to dissipate” surplus
rized as follows. inventories (Keynes, 1930). Seven-and-a-half
Commodity spot prices tend to be highly decades after Keynes’ writings, a number of
volatile because: authors, including Erb and Harvey (2006)
and Feldman and Till (2006), have carried
a. Demand is difficult to predict out empirical studies, which have confirmed
b. In the short run, the supply response the importance of confining one’s invest-
for most commodities is inelastic ments in commodities to those markets
c. Redundant inventories are prohibi- that are structurally backwardated.
tively expensive to hold
Beta
Benchmark
Raymond Théoret
Wolfgang Breuer University of Québec at Montréal
RWTH Aachen University Montréal, Québec, Canada
Aachen, Germany
The beta of a stock is a popular measure
In general, a benchmark is something that is of its systematic risk, which is related to
used as a reference for comparison purposes. the market. We can define beta in regard to
the market model. The relation between the stocks with a beta less than 1 are less risky
excess return of a stock (ri), defined as the than the benchmark. A stock may have
difference between the return of this stock a negative beta and in this case is a good
and the risk-free rate, and the market risk hedging instrument for a portfolio because
premium (rrm) is as follows: the beta of a portfolio is a weighted average
of the betas of the stocks that constitute the
ri i i rm i portfolio. The beta of uncovered options is
very high in relation to the usual betas of
where αi is the alpha of Jensen and εi is the stocks, which are in a range running from
innovation term of the equation. Beta is 0.5 to 2.0. The relation between the beta
thus given by the following formula: of a call (βc) and the beta of the underly-
ing stock (βs) is βc = ηc βs, where ηc is the
Cov (ri , rm ) call option’s eta or price elasticity measured
i =
Var(rm ) by the ratio of the percentage change of the
price of the call to the percentage change
Cov(.), the covariance and Var(.), the of the underlying. The beta may be much
variance. Beta may also be defined in terms higher than 1. For instance, the beta of an
of the correlation coefficient between ri and in-the-money call may be higher than 6.
rm. We then have Typically for hedge funds strategies, beta is
usually less than 1 because these strategies
i ⎛ i⎞ are covered by hedging activities. Case in
⎜⎝ ⎟
m⎠
im point, for the market neutral strategy, the
beta is near 0 and it is also very low for the
where ρim is the correlation coefficient fund of funds strategy (approximately 0.2).
between ri and rm. An efficient portfolio Moreover, the beta of short-seller funds is
has a correlation coefficient which is 1. Its negative and quite high in absolute value,
beta is then the ratio of the return standard which is in the range of 1.25. The beta of
deviations, that is the hedge funds also changes depending on
the benchmark used. If we use a hedge fund
composite index instead of the market port-
i ⎛⎜ i⎞
⎟ folio index to compute the betas of the vari-
⎝ m⎠
ous strategies, the betas are higher because
this benchmark is more similar to the style
Beta is a measure of systematic risk because of the hedge fund strategies. For example,
it only accounts for the market risk. The the beta of the market neutral strategy is
risk related to the issuing company, which 0.20 when using the weighted composite
is nondiversifiable, is not taken into account index of hedge funds as a benchmark and
by beta. This risk is incorporated in the the fund of funds beta increases to 0.57.
innovation term of the market model. The When estimating this parameter, practi-
benchmark that is used to compute the beta tioners must consider specification errors
of a stock has a beta of unity (or 1) by defi- related to the correlation of the risk fac-
nition. Stocks that have a beta greater than tors with the innovation term (Racicot and
1 are riskier than the benchmark and those Théoret, 2007a, 2007b; Whaley, 2006).
1 and 10 years are called notes. Callable Mae, and the RTC). Many of these entities
bonds allow the issuer to redeem the bond issue bonds to raise funds for loans to cer-
prior to maturity at a prespecified price tain groups such as homeowners, students,
while puttable bonds allow the bondholder and farmers. Bonds with maturities of
to sell the bonds back to the issuer prior to less than 1 year are referred to as discount
maturity. Convertible bonds give the bond- notes. An important element of this market
holder the right to convert, or trade, the is mortgage-backed securities (MBSs), also
bond for a prespecified number of common known as mortgage pass-throughs. MBSs
stock shares. are bonds backed by a pool of mortgages
In the United States, four types of entities whose interest and principal payments are
issue bonds: the federal government, federal passed through to the investors. The major-
agencies, state and local governments, and ity of these MBSs are issued by Fannie Mae,
corporations. Bonds issued by the federal Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. MBSs issued
government are referred to as U.S. Treasury through Ginnie Mae are guaranteed by the
bills, U.S. Treasury notes, or U.S. Treasury U.S. Treasury while those issued by Fannie
bonds depending on the time of maturity. Mae and Freddie Mac are only guaranteed
Treasury bills (T-bills) are issued with vary- by the agency itself. While mortgages were
ing maturities of 1 year or less. T-bills do the first assets to be securitized in this man-
not make interest payments but are instead ner, the idea quickly spread to other assets,
sold at a discount from par value. Treasury such as credit card receivables and auto-
notes are issued with maturities of 2, 5, and mobile loans. These bonds are referred to as
10 years while Treasury bonds carry matur- asset-backed securities.
ities of 30 years. Both Treasury notes and State and local governments and their
Treasury bonds pay interest every 6 months. agencies also issue bonds. These bonds are
The interest earned on Treasury securities is referred to as municipal bonds, or munis,
exempt from taxation at the state level. and are exempt from taxation of interest at
The federal government also issues sav- the federal level. General obligation bonds
ings bonds. These bonds are nonmarketable are backed by the taxation authority of the
(but can be redeemed prior to maturity). issuer while revenue bonds, which are issued
Interest payment terms vary with some to fund specific projects, are backed only by
series having a semiannual fi xed interest the revenue generated by the project.
payment (Series EE) while others are ZCBs In general, corporations issue three types
(Series HH and Series I). In recent years, the of debt: secured debt, unsecured debt, and
U.S. government began offering Treasury tax-exempt debt. Secured debt consists
inflation-protected securities (TIPS), a new of mortgage- and asset-backed securities,
type of T-bond in which the par value is which carry a lien on the property or assets
adjusted daily based on the consumer price identified in the indenture; collateral trust
index for all urban consumers (CPI-U). bonds, which carry a lien against particular
Bonds are also issued by agencies of the securities; and equipment trust certificates,
U.S. government (Ginnie Mae, the export- which carry a lien on assets such as airplanes
import bank, and the TVA) and by privately or other equipment. Unsecured debt, or
owned, U.S. government sponsored enter- debentures, are backed only by the general
prises (e.g., Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Sallie credit of the issuer and includes both senior
debt, which has the first claim on the cor- Thau, A. (2001) The Bond Book: Everything Investors
Need to Know About Treasuries, Municipals,
poration’s assets in the event of bankruptcy,
GNMAs, Corporates, Zeros, Bond Funds, Money
and subordinated debt. Finally, in order to Market Funds, and More, 2nd ed. McGraw-Hill,
finance certain activities, such as hazardous New York, NY.
waste disposal, corporations can issue debt Zipf, R. (1997) How the Bond Market Works, 3rd ed.
New York Institute of Finance, New York, NY.
that is exempt from federal taxation.
Most corporate debt is rated on the likeli-
hood that the issuer will be able to honor
the debt obligation. These debt ratings are
Bookbuilding
an indicator of the default risk of the issue.
In the United States, the two major rating Edward J. Lusk
agencies are Standard and Poor’s (S&P) and State University of New York
Moody’s. Under the S&P system, the top (Plattsburgh), Plattsburgh,
four ratings (AAA, AA, A, and BBB) are New York, USA
known as investment-grade ratings; lower The Wharton School,
ratings (BB, B, CCC, CC, C, and D) are Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
known as speculative-grade ratings. Bonds
in the lower categories are generally referred To best understand bookbuilding, it is
to as high-yield or junk bonds. important to realize that the IPO process
In the international bond market, domestic usually starts because the IPO firm, here
currency bonds are issued in a foreign coun- illustrated by WeB-Genes, a small phar-
try and denominated in the issuer’s currency maceutical boutique, is in need of a major
while foreign currency bonds are denomi- infusion of cash so that they can take full
nated in the currency of the intended inves- market advantage of their patented genome
tors. When foreign currency bonds are issued product, Kur Y’all. The various players in
in the United States and United Kingdom, the IPO launch may have vastly different
they are referred to as Yankee bonds and strategies. The founders of WeB-Genes may
Bulldog bonds, respectively. Eurobonds are want to maintain their connection with the
sold simultaneously in a number of countries firm, others may have exit strategies geared
and denominated in a variety of currencies. to their retirement plans, and some will just
ride the stock to what they believe to be the
REFERENCES NPV high point and then cash out, that is,
sell their stock. However, all of these plans
Fabozzi, F. (2001) Bond Portfolio Management. Frank
J. Fabozzi Associates, New Hope, PA.
are contingent on the successful market per-
Finnerty, J. and Emery, D. (2001) Debt Management: formance of WeB-Genes. Usually, the only
A Practitioner’s Guide. Harvard Business School practical way for these unproven firms to
Press, Boston, MA. garner such funding and keep their orga-
Gowland, D. H. (1991) International Bond Markets.
Routledge, London, UK. nization growing is to go public by selling
Liaw, K. and Moy, R. (2001) The Irwin Guide to Stocks, stock in a capital market thereby becoming
Bonds, Futures, and Options: A Comprehensive a publicly traded company. In this scenario,
Guide to Wall Street’s Markets. McGraw-Hill,
suppose that WeB-Genes contacts an invest-
New York, NY.
Livingston, M. (1999) Bonds and Bond Derivatives. ment banker (IB), and convinces the banker
Blackwell, Malden, MA. that Kur Y’all is a surefire market winner.
The IB does its homework and based on The road show is usually finished in a
an excruciating, extensive, and expensive week or so and often culminates in a flurry
examination of WeB-Genes known as due of emails that set the final price of the
diligence, the IB agrees to help WeB-Genes shares of WeB-Genes at the launch, that is,
go public. As such, they agree to underwrite the moment they open for trading on the
the shares that WeB-Genes is going to offer exchange. Just before the launch, the shares
in the market. Then the IB and the manage- are distributed according to the subscrip-
ment of WeB-Genes set an initial working tions recorded in the book. What is in it
range for the offer price, which is the price for the IB? Well, money of course, and at
that investors will be asked to pay for the almost no risk. The IB takes as its cut what
stock. The proposed price range is usually is called the spread. The spread seems to be
dictated by the IB who often has a “my way the preferred terminology because IBs are
or the highway” attitude. And, actually the not permitted to charge commissions on
IBs are right; usually it would be the kiss- IPO placements in the United States. The
of-death for an IPO firm to be dumped by IB spread is calculated based on the gross
a major IB firm over a price squabble. After proceeds from the IPO and so WeB-Genes
setting the initial price range for WeB-Genes, gets the net. This spread, independent of
the road show commences. This means that its labeling, is almost always around 7%.
the IB will shop the issue around to their For example, assuming that the shares are
clients. This is where the term bookbuilding offered at $12 each with a 7% commission,
comes from; in the past it was the “little black the IB gets 84 cents per share [$12 × 7%],
book” where all the preferred clients—privy which is usually labeled as follows: a sell-
in the pecking order to the latest popular ing concession of 48 cents, an underwrit-
IPO prospects—were written down. The IB ing fee of 19 cents, and a management fee
gets feedback from their clients, who also of 17 cents (Chen and Ritter, 2000, p. 17).
perform due diligence study, about how The last event is the launch and then WeB-
many shares of WeB-Genes they want and Genes is a public company. They now have a
at what price. The road show is the finan- significant amount of money to follow their
cial equivalent of the “dog and pony” show genome dreams—perhaps less than they
popularized by P.T. Barnum who wrote the could have had thought, which is a topic
book on hucksterism. To see an actual road treated in underpricing.
show, the following URL has an interesting
selection: http://www.retailroadshow.com/
REFERENCES
index.asp. At this stage, the IB and their reg-
ular clients are all just talking; while noth- Chen, H.-C. and Ritter, J. (2000) The seven percent
solution. The Journal of Finance, 55, 1105–1131.
ing is binding in a legal sense, the common Lusk, E., Schmidt, G., and Halperin, M. (2006)
understanding is that these bids and agree- Recommendations for the development of a
ments are contracts in spirit. The IB is simply European venture capital regulatory corpus:
lessons from the USA. In: G. N. Gregoriou,
trying to get a sense of the market clearing
M. Kooli, and R. Kraeussl (eds.), Venture
price so that they are not stuck with any of Capital, in Europe. Elsevier, Burlington, MA,
the stocks that they have underwritten. pp. 85–96.
“Booking the basis” occurs in forward Bottom-up investing targets the selection of
sales arrangements between two parties. outperforming financial assets on an indi-
Rather than specifying the cash price vidual basis (e.g., equities, bonds, money
immediately, the arrangement implies an market assets, and real estate). This approach
agreement about the time period in which relies on the fact that outperforming com-
the price will be fi xed and the basis that panies are able to generate profits whatever
will be added to the then-current futures the prevailing market conditions. Such a
quotation. For example, suppose that the viewpoint requires identifying attractive
agreement was effected in July, with the firms with good return prospects whatever
two parties having settled on a time hori- the related industry or prevailing macro-
zon ending in December and furthermore economic environment. For this purpose,
agreed on a basis of $10 to be added to the firm-specific fundamentals are cautiously
current futures quotation. This means that considered such as market size, profitability,
the seller, the buyer or both (as specified earnings and related growth prospects, sales,
in the contract) have the option to declare, balance sheet, free cash flows, market share,
for instance, in November, with a futures and corresponding growth prospects among
price of $110, that now payment should others (i.e., financial health and economic
be made. The total amount would then be value). Then, a two-step analysis is under-
$120 because the basis has to be added. taken to identify outperforming financial
Note that the basis (which could also be a assets. The first step employs a fundamen-
negative value, for further details see entry tal analysis to establish a future expected
in this encyclopedia) is usually the differ- asset value (i.e., fair value) for each security
ence between the futures price and the spot under consideration. The fair value is esti-
price, the latter here being $120, possibly mated while considering a set of key specific
contrary to the then-current market price, fundamentals such as the price earnings
since the parties fi xed the spread between ratio (PER), growth ratio, return on equity
futures and spot price at $10. (ROE), price-to-sales ratio, dividend yield,
and price-to-book value ratio among oth-
ers. The second step compares the firm(s)
under consideration (i.e., securities’ issuers)
to equivalent firms belonging to the same
REFERENCE sector, whatever their location in the world.
Hull, J. C. (2006) Options, Futures and Other Derivatives. Such a step allows for identifying competitive
Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ. and attractive firms based on the forecasts
TABLE 1
Overview and Classification of Financing Stages
Early Stage Expansion Stage Late Stage
Financing
Stage Seed Start-Up Expansion Bridge LBO/MBO/MBI
Business • Product • Corporate • Production • Preparation of • Acquisition by
Stage concept foundation commencement – IPO financial investor
• Market • Ready for • Market – Trade sale (LBO), current
analysis production introduction (MBO) or
• Fundamental • Marketing • Growth external (MBI)
development concept financing management
Source: Schefczyk (2006).
Bridge loans are usually converted into chances on raising such fi nancing and sec-
equity immediately in the subsequent ond increase the duration the bridge debt
financing round, where lenders get invested may last. Last but not the least, to improve
in the identical series of preferred stock their room for maneuver in future financ-
issued to all other investors. While the ing decisions, many investors negotiate the
conversion was historically priced at the complimentary issuance of warrants on
same stock price third-party investors paid the portfolio firm’s equity. These enhance
in the round itself, bridge lenders today the attractiveness of issuing bridge debt
often negotiate conversion discounts to by increasing the lenders’ options with
compensate for the additional risk they respect to the borrower’s future develop-
incur beyond the agreed payment of inter- ment. The amount of issued warrants and
est. Although also optional instead of their underlying securities and exercise
automatic conversion provisions are some- prices strongly vary across bridge financ-
times negotiated, potential confl icts with ing agreements.
third-party investors in the next equity
round usually force a conversion anyway
REFERENCES
and also hinder investors to make use of
their conversion price discount, as they Achleitner, A.-K. (2002) Handbuch Investment Banking,
g
have only little interest in impeding a capi- 3rd ed. Gabler Verlag, Wiesbaden, Germany.
Gompers, P. A. and Lerner, J. (1999) The Venture
tal increase intended to replace their bridge Capital Cycle. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
investment. Harris, T. J. (2002) Bridge financing over troubled
Unlike only few years ago, today’s bridge waters. Journal of Private Equity, 6, 59–63.
Leopold, G., Frommann, H., and Kühr, T. (2003)
investments are often secured by pledges Private Equity–Venture Capital: Eigenkapital für
of collateral. Many investors negotiate innovative Unternehmer. Verlag Franz Vahlen,
high-order claims on part or all of the Munich, Germany.
company’s assets, including its intellectual Schefczyk, M. (2006) Finanzieren mit Venture Capi-
tal: Grundlagen für Investoren, Finanzinter-
property. This way, they can reach the sta- mediäre, Unternehmer und Wissenschaftler.
tus of a secured creditor and protect their Schäffer-Poeschel-Verlag, Stuttgart, Germany.
investment in an event of bankruptcy. Weitnauer, W. (2001) Handbuch Venture Capital: Von
der Innovation zum Börsengang. Verlag C.H.
Venture capitalists can also contractually
Beck, Munich, Germany.
limit the use of investment proceeds to
certain causes, thereby constraining the
borrower’s ability to distribute capital to Bridge Loan
other investors or fi nance past operations
instead of current ones. Many also condi-
tion their payments on the fulfi llment of Christian Hoppe
certain duties by the borrower. Such con- Dresdner Kleinwort Bank
ditions may include the raising of a certain Frankfurt, Germany
minimum threshold amount of fi nancing
by third-party investors. Alternatively, the A bridge loan as a short-term loan serves to
investor may require operative restructur- maintain a liquidity measure until an antic-
ing activities to first improve the company’s ipated or expected cash flow is realized or
800 760.32
700
Indexed value
600
500
400
300
200
100
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
FIGURE 1
BTOP 50 Index Cumulative Performance: January 1987 to June 2007. (Retrieved from http://www.barclaygrp.
com/indices/btop/ on 30th June 2007.)
the order was made, the client will pay the trends: The “primary” or the “major trend”
higher price and the difference will be kept lasts for a period of at least 1 year, within
by the broker who managed the operation. which it is possible to distinguish a “sec-
The term originates from the tradition of ondary trend” lasting for several weeks.
placing an order in a bucket as opposed to The direction of a secondary trend is oppo-
sending it to an exchange as brokers would site to that of the primary trend. The third
typically do. type, the “minor trend,” normally has a very
short duration, lasting for no more than 3
weeks and moves in the same direction as
the primary trend.
REFERENCES
A buyer’s market can be seen as the final
Raines, J. P. and Leathers, C. G. (1994) Financial phase of the three-phase bear market.
derivative instruments and social ethics. Journal
of Business Ethics, 13, 197–204.
During the first phase called “distribu-
Stout, L. A. (1999) Why the law hates speculators: tion,” well-informed investors who have
regulation and private ordering in the market detected the potential development of a
for OTC derivatives. Duke Law Journal, 48(4),
buyer’s market situation begin to sell. Next
701–786.
is the “public participation” phase, in which
negative news spreads throughout the mar-
ket resulting in large numbers of sellers
Buyer’s Market and few buyers, so prices continue to fall.
During the final phase, that of “accumula-
tion,” prices fall to such an extent that they
Begoña Torre Olmo become undervalued, with the logical result
University of Cantabria
of a reverse in the process. It is important
Cantabria, Spain
to consider that these trends are directly
related to volume, with volume defined as
Th is refers to the situation in fi nancial the number of transactions carried out dur-
markets when supply exceeds demand due ing a period of time. In a buyer’s market, the
to the presence of more sellers than buy- downtrend will continue as long as prices
ers. When this occurs, suppliers usually fall and volume rises.
have to lower their prices, thus favoring
the buyer. According to Dow theory, when
successive price fluctuations reach con-
stantly higher points, a seller’s market can
REFERENCES
be identified, signaling an upward trend
and a bull market. In the opposite situa- Blume, L., Easley, D., and O’Hara, M. (1994) Market
statistics and technical analysis: the role of vol-
tion, where successive fluctuations involve
ume. Journal of Finance, 49, 153–181.
constantly decreasing values, we refer to Malkiel, B. (2000) A Random Walk Down Wall Street.
a downward trend, a buyer’s market or a W. W. Norton, New York, NY.
bear market. Murphy, J. J. (1999) Technical Analysis of the Financial
Markets. A Comprehensive Guide to Trading:
Dow theory establishes that market per- Methods and Applications. New York Institute of
formance can be broken down into three Finance, Prentice Hall, New York, NY.
Bill N. Ding
University at Albany (SUNY)
Albany, New York, USA
TABLE 1
Economic Calendar
Statistic Release Date Source
Auto and truck sales First to third business Department of Commerce
day of month
Business inventories 15th of month Department of Commerce
Construction First business day of month Department of Commerce
spending
Consumer confidence Last Tuesday of month Conference Board
Consumer credit Fifth business day of month Federal Reserve
Consumer price index 13th of month Department of Labor
(CPI)
Durable goods orders 26th of month Department of Commerce
Employment cost End of first month of quarter Department of Labor
index
The employment First Friday of month Department of Labor
report
Existing home sales 25th of month National Association of
Realtors
Factory orders First business day of month Department of Commerce
(continued)
57
TABLE 1 (Continued)
Statistic Release Date Source
Gross domestic Third or fourth week of month Department of Commerce
product (GDP)
Housing starts and 16th of month Department of Commerce
building permits
Industrial production 15th of month Federal Reserve
Initial claims Thursdays Department of Labor
International trade 20th of month Department of Commerce
Leading indicators First few business days of month Conference Board
M2 Thursdays Federal Reserve
NAPM First business day of month National Association of
Purchasing Managers
New home sales Last business day of month Department of Commerce
Personal income and First business day of month Department of Commerce
consumption
Producer price index 11th of month Department of Labor
(PPI)
Productivity and costs 7th of second month of quarter Department of Labor
Regional Third Thursday of month Federal Reserve
manufacturing
surveys
Retail sales 13th of month Department of Commerce
Treasury budget Third week of month Treasury Department
Weekly chain store Tuesdays Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
sales and LJR Redbook
Wholesale trade Fifth business day of month Department of Commerce
Note: Compiled from Yahoo! Finance at http://biz.yahoo.com/c/terms/terms.html
period before expiration or at maturity are decision of the holder and cancel the position
called European style options. It should be by buying the identical call option at the
noted that these names have no geographi- current price.
cal meaning; hence, this categorization is The holder and the writer differ in their
based on applicable exercise periods. expectations of the price of the underly-
The holder of a call option is the one who ing asset as well. The holder of a call option
obtains the right to exercise the option and expects the asset prices to rise so that the
the call option writer (seller) is paid the pre- option will be in the money and provide
mium to provide this right to the holder. profit opportunities. That is, the holder
Thus, the call option writer has contractual expects to buy the asset at a lower price by
obligation to meet the terms of the option exercising the option and then selling it at a
contract if the option is exercised. The writer higher price in the market. The writer, on the
of a call option is obligated to sell the asset other hand, expects the security price to go
to the holder in case of exercise, regardless down so that the option is not exercised and
of the market price of the asset. The writer the premium received is retained as profit.
is not obligated to own the underlying asset Since the maximum loss for the holder is
that is deliverable upon exercise of the call limited to the premium while it is unlimited
option. Based on the possession of the asset, for the (uncovered) writer, the risk structure
the writer can choose to be in three posi- of a call option is asymmetric. On the other
tions: (i) covered—already owns the asset, hand, options transactions are called to be
(ii) spread—owns an option that offsets some zero-sum games since the aggregate wealth
or all the risk of the option written, and of the parties involved does not change, that
(iii) uncovered
d (naked)—neither in covered is, the profit (loss) of the holder equals the
nor in spread position. loss (profit) of the writer. The payoff figure
The holder and the writer can take vari- for an uncovered call writer and a holder of
ous actions. The holder of a call option can a call option is provided in Figure 1.
wait until the option expires, exercise the The break-even point for a call option is
option, or sell the option at the second- the sum of the exercise price and the pre-
ary market to close out the position. The mium. The option is out-of-the-money
writer, on the other hand, can wait for the if the exercise price is greater than the
Profit / loss
Premium Holder
0
Market price
−Premium Writer
FIGURE 1
Payoff for an uncovered call writer and holder of call option.
market price and in-the-money if it is less. used for option pricing, the factors affect-
The option is at-the-money if the exercise ing option prices can be listed as the current
price is equal to the market price. The value asset price, the exercise price, time to expi-
(price) of an option, the premium, consists ration, volatility of the asset price, and the
of the intrinsic value and the time value. interest rate. Table 1 presents the relation-
The intrinsic value is zero if the call option ship between option prices and the factors
is out-of-the-money and positive if it is in- for both European and American style call
the-money. The intrinsic value of the call options.
option is expressed as follows: The motivation in being a holder or a writer
of a call option varies. The holder may pur-
Intrinsic Value = max[0, (Market Price –
sue two goals as (i) to control a larger quan-
Exercise Price)]
tity of the underlying stock by committing
The value of an option is always greater relatively smaller amount of funds (com-
than its intrinsic value. Similarly, a call pared to purchasing the asset directly) and
option with a lower exercise price will be (ii) to protect a short sale. The writer, on the
more expensive than the call option with the other hand, may pursue (i) to retain the pre-
same characteristics but with a higher exer- mium in case the option is not exercised and
cise price. The time value is also influenced (ii) to reduce total loss from the price decline
by the relationship between the exercise if the writer is covered.
price and the market price of the underly- Most commonly known trading strat-
ing asset. The options that are at-the-money egies using only call options are (i) bull
have the greatest amount of time value. spreads—buying a call option on an asset
The most widely used model in option with a certain exercise price and selling a
pricing is the Nobel Prize winning Black– call option on the same asset with a higher
Scholes model (Black and Scholes, 1973; exercise price; (ii) bear spreads—buying
Merton, 1973). It is based on the possibil- a call option on an asset with a certain
ity of constructing a risk-free hedge. The exercise price and selling a call option on
formula directly concerns call option valu- the same asset with a lower exercise price;
ation. However, a simpler way is by con- (iii) butterfly spread—buying a call option
structing binomial trees introduced by with a low exercise price and another with
Cox et al. (1979). Independent of the model relatively high exercise price, and selling
TABLE 1
Relationship between European and American Style Call Options
European Style American Style
Call Option Price Call Option Price
Increase in current asset price Increase Increase
Increase in exercise price Decrease Decrease
Increase in time to expiration Uncertain Increase
Increase in volatility of the asset price Increase Increase
Increase in interest rate Increase Increase
Source: Adapted from Hull (2002, p. 183), Kolb (2000, p. 377).
two calls with an exercise price in between; a larger return and a smaller maximum
and (iv) condor—buying a call with a low drawdown; thereby an investment with
price, selling a call with a higher price, sell- a larger Calmar ratio is preferred. It is a
ing a call with a somewhat higher price, and common practice to set the time period to
buying a call with the highest price. 36 months while using the Calmar ratio;
however, one can use shorter time horizons
REFERENCES in case of data unavailability.
The basic idea behind the design of such
Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1973) The pricing of options
and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political
performance criteria is to penalize the mean
Economy, 81, 637–659. return with the risk assumed. The Calmar
Cox, J., Ross, S., and Rubinstein, M. (1979) Option ratio is similar to the Sharpe and Sterling
pricing: a simplified approach. Journal of Finan- ratios; however, the main difference among
cial Economics, 7, 229–264.
Hull, J. (2002) Futures and Options Markets. Prentice these performance criteria is the proxy used
Hall, London, UK. for risk. The Calmar ratio is not as popu-
Kolb, R. W. (2000) Futures, Options, and Swaps. lar as the other two, but is being used more
Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA.
Merton, R. C. (1973) Theory of rational option pric-
frequently because it is simpler and easier
ing. Bell Journal of Economics and Management to calculate than the Sharpe and Sterling
Science, 4, 141–183. ratios (Kestner, 1996). Furthermore, Young
(1991) concludes that the Calmar ratio gives
a more realistic view of performance results.
Conversely, the Sharpe ratio has the short-
Calmar Ratio coming of not reflecting the performance
correctly in case autocorrelation is present
Mehmet Orhan in the returns.
Fatih University The Calmar ratio has numerous pitfalls the
Istanbul, Turkey most prominent of which is ignoring the sec-
ond and third greatest drawdowns. The other
Calmar ratio is one of the most popular shortcoming is that the maximum draw-
performance criteria to assess the alterna- down is larger as the time period becomes
tive investment opportunities in the con- longer; this characteristic of the Calmar ratio
text of hedge funds and commodity trading causes a lack of time-invariance. Therefore,
advisors (CTAs). The ratio is defined as the the same time period must be used to com-
return over the maximum drawdown for a pare Calmar ratios of alternative invest-
time period of [0, t] ment options. Theoretical contributions by
Magden-Ismail and Atiya (2004) introduce
AR the use of the expected loss in the frame-
Calmar ratio
Max.DD work of the Brownian motion to make time-
invariance possible. This contribution makes
The mean return is represented by the com- Calmar ratios of different time periods com-
pounded annual return (AR) and the risk parable and enables us to compute factors to
is represented by the maximum drawdown work out the relation between the Sharpe and
(Max.DD). The typical investor will ask for Calmar ratios.
the course of 5–7 years. The specific tim- is called committed capital. In contrast, the
ing and the size of the series of drawdowns amount of money invested is called capital
may be planned beforehand and defi ned by invested or drawdown. Due to the fact that
a “takedown schedule” in the partnership usually a large amount of capital is invested,
agreement. In private equity, there is also a there is no liquid secondary market for
substantial entry cost. Most private equity limited partnership stakes. Usually, a sale
funds require an initial investment of more requires at least the consent of the general
than $100,000 and subsequent drawdowns partner and, in many cases, it is not pos-
in the next few years. sible at all. The return on investment occurs
only after a comparable long period of time.
Therefore, capital commitment fulfils all
REFERENCE
criteria of a lock-in investment. Hence, the
Gompers, P. and Lerner, J. (1999) An analysis of com- careful selection of private equity funds to
pensation in the U.S. venture capital partnership.
invest in is an important part of the inves-
Journal of Financial Economics, 51, 3–44.
tors’ capital commitment.
REFERENCE
Capital Commitment
Levin, J. (2002) Structuring Venture Capital, Private
Equity, and Entrepreneurial Transactions. Aspen/
Panel Publishers, Aspen, NY.
Markus Ampenberger
Munich University of Technology
Munich, Germany
The distributions may be in the form of securities issued by a single firm. There exists
cash, such as when a fund investment is sold a variety of ways to implement a capital struc-
or when income from ongoing operations is ture arbitrage. The closest strategy to convert-
received. Alternatively, the inflows may also ible arbitrage is to purchase a long convertible
be in the form of equity as in an initial pub- debt and to take a short position in the high-
lic offering (IPO). In some cases, the limited yield debt of the same company (instead of
partners are able to choose how they wish to shorting the stock as in the traditional con-
receive the proceeds from a particular deal vertible arbitrage), which neutralizes credit
(e.g., take cash or retain equity). Given the risk and creates a free stock option.
inherent ambiguity of any capital flows in These kinds of opportunities may appear
a private equity fund, capital distributions when either the stock or the bond market
are governed by the partnership agree- is largely overbought or oversold. Calamos
ment between the general and the limited (2003) examines the example of the Amazon
partners. The agreement contains specific convertible combined with the Amazon
language on the timing, method, and fre- straight debt in mid-March 2000. The 4.75%
quency of distributions, and is central to convertible due in 2009 was trading at 40%
measuring other key provisions of a typical of par with a yield of 19%, while the 10%-
partnership agreement such as the hurdle coupon debt maturing in 2008 and start-
rate, clawback, and carried interest. ing to pay a coupon in 2003 was trading at
58% of par with a yield of 15%. A strategy
of going long 145 convertibles and short 100
REFERENCE straight bonds had a net dollar value of zero.
Grabenwarter, U. and Weidig, T. (2005) Exposed to the By mid-July, the convertible traded at 54 and
J-Curve: Understanding and Managing Private the straight bond traded at 66, inducing a
Equity Fund Investments. Euromoney Books, net gain of $12,300 on the net position.
London, UK.
Another classical strategy of this category
is the arbitrage between a firm’s stock and its
high-yield debt. Since 2002, as reported by
Currie and Morris (2002) in a Euromoney
Capital Structure report, capital structure arbitrage using
credit default swaps (CDS) instead of junk
Arbitrage debt has become very popular. The arbitra-
geur takes opposite positions in the firm’s
Georges Hübner stock and in a credit risk protection through
HEC-University of Liege, Belgium
a CDS. This type of strategy assumes that
Maastricht University, The Netherlands there is a significant correlation between
Luxembourg School of Finance, the stock return and the credit spread and
Luxembourg sufficient liquidity on both the stock and
the CDS markets. Chatiras and Mukherjee
Like the convertible arbitrage strategy, capi- (2004) and Yu (2006) all find that the imple-
tal structure arbitrage involves trying to mentation of this strategy does not produce
get advantage of the relative mispricing of significant performance, on a large-scale
basis; this strategy yields Sharpe ratios sim- value) as an annual fixed payment and the
ilar to the traditional fi xed income arbitrage carried interest as a variable part of com-
strategies. pensation. They receive the carried interest
(usually about 20–25% of fund’s profits) if
the fund achieves a certain level of profit-
REFERENCES ability that exceeds a predefined hurdle
rate. One option is to distribute all net prof-
Calamos, N. P. (2003) Convertible Arbitrage: Insights
and Techniques for Successful Hedging. Wiley, its according to the prenegotiated compen-
Hoboken, NJ. sation scheme (e.g., 20% carried interest
Chatiras, M. and Mukherjee, B. (2004) Capital to the general partners and 80% to lim-
Structure Arbitrage: An Empirical Investigation
using Stocks and High Yield Bonds. Working ited partners). Another option is to use a
Paper, University of Massachusetts, Center model of preferential returns, for example,
for International Securities and Derivatives disappearing preferential returns. In such
Markets, Amherst, MA.
a model, 100% of net profits are allocated
Currie, A. and Morris, J. (2002, December) And now
capital structure arbitrage. Euromoney, 38–43. pro-rata to the limited partners until the
Yu, F. (2006) How profitable is capital structure private equity fund accomplishes the hurdle
arbitrage? Financial Analysts Journal, 62, rate. Thereafter, 100% (or sometimes less)
47–62.
of net profits are distributed to the general
partner(s) as carried interest until the pre-
negotiated level of 20% of all net profits is
Carried Interest achieved. Both the management fee and the
carried interest are specified in the limited
partnership agreement. It is usually not
Markus Ampenberger renegotiated and, therefore, the compensa-
Munich University of Technology tion is prenegotiated upon the entire life of
Munich, Germany the fund.
are held until expiration or during a time a commodity when the contract is held
frame that allows for physical settlement. until expiration or into the delivery period.
The last trading day for the CBOT 10-year Cash settled contracts do not require physi-
U.S. Treasury note futures is the seventh cal delivery, but simply exchange the dif-
business day before the last day of the deliv- ference between the trade price and the
ery month, while the last delivery date is the settlement price upon expiration or the
last business day of the trading month. Any time of a closing trade. At the expiration
trader who has a long position at the time of a physical delivery futures contract, the
of the last trading day is required to pur- buyer is required to pay the entire contract
chase $100,000 face value of any deliverable price and the seller will deliver a quantity
US Treasury note at the futures price at any and quality of the underlying commod-
time the seller delivers the note within the ity as dictated by the exchange’s contract
delivery period. Similarly, anyone holding a specifications.
long position during the delivery period for The price of a commodity in the futures
corn futures is required to purchase a ware- market can differ significantly from the
house receipt for 5000 bushels of corn at the price of the same commodity in the cash
futures price. market. The cash, or the spot, market is
Cash settled futures do not require the the variety of locations where a commod-
physical delivery of any commodity, but ity can be purchased for immediate deliv-
require settlement in cash. Differences ery. For grains, the cash market may be at
between the futures price and the spot mar- a grain elevator. For government bonds,
ket price are exchanged at the expiration the cash market is at the bond dealer desk
date. of a large bank. For energy commodities,
the cash market may take place at a given
pipeline location. While there is only one
futures price for the same commodity at a
REFERENCE given date, the price of commodities in the
Fink, R. and Feduniak, R. (1988) Futures Trading: cash market may differ on any given day.
Concepts and Strategies. NYIF/Prentice Hall, Commodity prices in the cash market can
New York.
differ due to transportation costs between
different locations or to the variety of
quality specifications of a given commod-
ity. Financial commodities tend to have
Cash Market smaller price differences than physical
commodities, as the storage and shipping
Keith H. Black costs of financials are much lower than that
Ennis Knupp and Associates of physical commodities.
Chicago, Illinois, USA At the expiration of the futures contract,
the price of the futures contract converges
Futures contracts traded on organized to the price of the specific cash market des-
exchanges require the future delivery of ignated in the contract specifications.
wall.” The reinforced Chinese wall includes that contains information about all (actual
further restrictions such as stop lists and no- and potential) relevant insider information
recommendation policies (MacVea, 2001). or sensitive business situations, and their
The widespread use of Chinese walls in affected financial instruments, companies,
more modern times dates to the SEC’s deci- and staff members. A watch list can make it
sion in 1968 that forced Merrill Lynch & Co. possible to uncover violations of the Chinese
to erect a Chinese wall. At the time, Merrill wall at an earlier stage, thereby averting seri-
Lynch was the managing underwriter of ous business problems. However, the effec-
Douglas Aircraft’s convertible subordinated tiveness of a Chinese wall always rests on
debentures, and thus was in possession of the loyalty and integrity of the employees, as
information about the negative financial well as the efficiency of the internal controls
situation at Douglas Aircraft. On the basis (for further details, see MacVea, 2001).
of this shared information, several Merrill
Lynch clients sold the respective stock (more
than 190,000 shares were affected), and REFERENCES
Merrill Lynch earned either transaction fees Calomiris, C. W. and Singer, H. J. (2004) How Often
or give-up payments (for further details, Do “Conflicts of Interests” in the Investment
see Dolgopolov, 2006). The then-common Banking Industry Arise During Hostile
Takeovers?? Working Paper, http://ssrn.com/
practice of give-up payments and other abstract=509562.
fixed brokerage commissions led the SEC to Dolgopolov, S. (2006) Insider Trading, Chinese Walls,
restrict confidential information. Although and Brokerage Commissions: The Origins of
Modern Regulation of Information Flows in
the Chinese wall is a combination of legally Securities Markets. Working Paper, Institute for
enforced mandatory control and commercial Economic Studies, Worcester, MA.
discretion, the discretion component may be MacVea, H. (1993) The Chinese Wall. In: Financial
more important (Calomiris and Singer, 2004). Conglomerates and the Chinese Wall: Regulating
Conflicts of Interest. Oxford University Press,
Investment banks nowadays often choose to New York.
systematically erect a Chinese wall because it Wiesike, A. G. (2004) Wohlverhaltensregeln beim
is ultimately in their best interests, and can Vertrieb von Wertpapier- und Versicher-
ungsdienstleistungen—Unter besonderer
be a way to attract clients (MacVea, 2001). Berücksichtigung der USA. Großbritanniens
In practice, having a Chinese wall in a und der Europäischen Union, thesis, Humboldt
company causes each department to act University, Berlin, Germany.
independently. Internal information flow is
restricted according to the rules of conduct
for each department, which are ensured on
the basis of executive rights of the financial
CISDM Indexes
intermediary. However, under the “need to
know” principle, which is necessary to ful- Laurent Favre
fill basic departmental tasks, “wall cross- www.alternativesoft.com, EDHEC
ing” may sometimes occur (Wiesike, 2004). London, England, UK
In order to ensure general compliance with
the Chinese wall rules, however, compa- CISDM is The Center for International
nies often compile a so-called insider list Securities and Derivatives Markets, located
or watch list. This is a confidential database at Isenberg School of Management at the
the market clears. Any price above this Closings are used to exchange real estate,
price will result in a surplus of corn and any initiate real estate loans or corporate loans,
price below this price will cause shortage of and consummate mergers and spin-offs.
corn supply. The clearing price in any given Closings are not used to effect exchange-
market is an ongoing and dynamic process, traded transactions because the terms of
with the equilibrium price changing due to the transactions are highly standardized.
the forces of supply and demand and some- Closings are not used with most over-the-
times government intervention. counter derivatives, perhaps because they
are frequently designed to have little or no
intrinsic value at initiation. Instead, these
REFERENCES
exchanges are called settlements.
Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, R. (2003) Capital Markets, The closing of a private investment caps
Institutions and Instruments. Prentice Hall, Upper
Saddle River, NJ. extended and sometimes tense negotia-
Scott, D. L. (1988) Every Investor’s Guide to Wall Street tions over detailed provisions and word-
Words. Houghton Mifflin, Boston, MA. ing of major and minor provisions. By the
time the closing is scheduled, most of the
details have been negotiated and the closing
Closing usually involves routine tasks such as sign-
ing documents and transferring money.
Occasionally, problems are uncovered at a
Stuart A. McCrary closing, but all involved parties usually work
Chicago Partners out differences or compromises. If the prob-
Chicago, Illinois, USA lems cannot be resolved quickly, the closing
might be adjourned until a problem can be
The word “closing” usually applies to the resolved. If differences cannot be resolved,
conclusion of some activity or artistic work. the closing may be cancelled.
In investments, the closing is the legal pro- The parties buying or selling the asset
cess that is the end of negotiations lead- may attend the closing. For routine closings,
ing up to the purchase or sale of an asset. investors frequently grant the authority to
Josh Lerner defined a closing as “the sign- their lawyers to effect the exchange for their
ing of the contract by an investor or group benefit. While legal representatives of the
of investors that binds them to supply a set buyer and seller attend a closing, there can
amount of capital to a private equity fund. be other parties if the transaction involves
Often a fraction of that capital is provided debt financing that commences at the time
at the time of the closing. A single fund may of the exchange. In some cases, the closing
have multiple closings.” involves multiple buyers, multiple sellers,
A closing may be the most common legal and multiple lenders.
action most individuals experience since For most securities, the buyer/investor
homeowners buy, sell, and refinance several pays for the investment at the time of closing
times during their lifetimes. In contrast, or simultaneously arranges for financing.
many people never experience many other Typically, however, venture fund inves-
legal experiences (marriage, execution of a tors contribute only a portion of the capi-
will, filing a law suit, for example). tal at the closing and commit to additional
contributions as the venture fund begins to into the variability due to the model (SSR),
make investments. often called the “explained error,” and the
Following the closing, the parties involved remaining variability due to pure error (SSE),
with the closing often have a closing din- often called the “unexplained error.” The
ner. A closing dinner is a celebration of the coefficient of determination, R2, is defined as
transaction where adverse parties come the proportion of total variability attributed
together to celebrate the agreement nego- to explained error, so that R2 = SSR/SSTO.
tiated under stressful conditions between In multiple linear regression, R2 is called
parties that are motivated to negotiate the the coefficient of multiple determination. It
most favorable terms. After the closing, is well known that R2 always increases when
the dinner recognizes that the negotiations extra independent variables are added to the
have identified a set of terms where both regression, even when those variables have
the buyer and the seller believe they gain little or no explanatory power. Hence, many
an advantage. The dinner celebrates those analysts prefer the adjusted coefficient of
advantages and announces that the parties multiple determination, RA2 , which incorpo-
and their legal representatives are no longer rates a penalty for extra variables. Contrary
adversaries. to R2, RA2 will decrease when extra variables
have no explanatory power and may even
take on negative values.
REFERENCES Since it measures the proportion of
Anson, M. J. (2006) Handbook of Alternative Assets. explained variability, R2 is often used as a
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. goodness-of-fit measure for evaluating and
Lerner, J. (2000) Venture Capital and Private Equity:
A Casebook. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
comparing models. The coefficient is sub-
ject to numerous caveats, however, and if
these are ignored the coefficient can pro-
duce misleading results. Moreover, it can
only be used to evaluate simple and mul-
Coefficient of tiple linear regression models. Usually 0 ≤
Determination R2 ≤ 1, but it is easy to show by algebra that
this holds on when the regression model
contains an intercept (Greene, 2003). When
Fabrice Douglas Rouah other types of models are employed, such
McGill University as a regression model that contains dummy
Montréal, Québec, Canada variables, logistic or probit regression, or
a generalized linear model, R2 cannot be
This coefficient is often used to evaluate used to assess fit and other measures must
the goodness-of-fit of linear regression be employed. In generalized linear models,
models. This is the “R-squared” that one for example, deviance is used to evaluate fit,
usually encounters when running a linear and a “pseudo” R2 has been developed for
regression model with a soft ware package. logistic regression.
Analysis-of-variance (ANOVA), as applied Many authors have fitted linear models to
to linear regression, decomposes the total hedge fund returns, with varying success.
variability of the dependent variable (SSTO) The R2 from these models is typically low,
especially compared to R2 from linear mod- Asia and Africa accounted for 24 and 16%,
els of mutual fund returns. Moreover, the respectively (Baffes et al., 2005). The two
magnitude of R2 is heavily dependent on the main types of coffee are (i) Robusta, which
style of hedge fund for which the returns are is especially suitable for instant and flavored
being fitted, with some styles showing high coffee, and (ii) Arabica, which is processed
values of R2, and other styles, low values. to high-quality coffee and is generally sold
at a higher price than the price of Robusta
coffee. Figure 1 shows that coffee is a partic-
REFERENCE ularly volatile commodity, even compared
Greene, W. (2002) Econometric Analysis. Prentice Hall, to other agricultural products.
Upper Saddle River, NJ. Coffee supply and prices can change
dramatically depending on weather con-
ditions like drought and frost. For many
African and Latin American countries cof-
Coffee Market fee constitutes a major share of their GDP,
so that incomes in those countries change
Zeno Adams with the variability of world coffee prices.
University of Freiburg Furthermore, the supply of coffee has
Freiburg, Germany recently been increased by new production
from Brazil and Vietnam. The entrance of
Coffee is the highest volume primary com- Vietnam as a new large producer of Robusta
modity after crude oil and is traded mainly coffee, as a result, has depressed coffee prices
at the New York Board of Trade and the to a historical low. To keep prices above a
London International Financial Futures and minimum price level, several consortiums
Options Exchange. In 2005 Latin America and agreements were formed in the past.
accounted for 60% of world output while The most recent ones are the International
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06
FIGURE 1
Price movements in the coffee market.
Invested capital
1,200
Cumulative profits
1,000 Cumulative capital calls (Drawdown capital)
Committed capital
Million U.S. $
800
600
400
200
0
96
97
98
99
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
00
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
1
1
1
Q
Q
Q
FIGURE 1
Typical capital flow profi le of a large U.S. buyout fund.
drawn capital for the management fees of The CCC is managed by a board of
the fund. However, the limited partner may directors and chaired by the Secretary of
use those returns for later capital calls in the Agriculture, who is an ex-officio director
fund’s lifetime. of the board. Board members are appointed
As shown in Figure 1, during the year 2003 by the U.S. President with the advice and
the limited partners receive their invested consent of the U.S. Senate. The CCC has no
capital back. They continue to participate operating personnel of its own; all employ-
in the later return distributions until mid- ees and board members are USDA officials
2007, when the fund is liquidated (for a (FSA, 2007).
more in-depth examination of this topic, The CCC has a capital stock of U.S. $100
see Anson, 2006; Fraser-Sampson, 2007). million subscribed by the United States
(15 U.S. Code Section 714e). With the 1987
Amendment, the CCC can issue and have
REFERENCES
outstanding obligations up to $30 billion at
Anson, M. J. (2006) Handbook of Alternative Assets. any one time (15 U.S. Code Section 713a-4).
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. The major operations of the CCC involve
Fraser-Sampson, G. (2007) Private Equity as an Asset
Class. Wiley, Chichester, UK. price support, foreign sales, and export
credit programs for agricultural commodi-
ties, along with some secondary production
and marketing tasks. It is responsible for
Commodity Credit managing the supplies of twenty agricul-
tural commodities via loans, purchases, and
Corporation (CCC) payments (for further details on the specific
commodities, see Becker, 1994). To ensure
Lutz Johanning balanced and adequate supplies, the CCC
WHU Otto Beisheim School organizes storage and reserve programs,
of Management aids in the orderly distribution of agricul-
Vallendar/Koblenz, Germany tural commodities, and authorizes sales
to other domestic and foreign government
The Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC), agencies. Under the 1966 Food for Peace
which is government-owned and -operated, Act, the CCC also began to manage dona-
was established in 1933 to assist American tions to relief agencies to combat hunger and
agriculture by stabilizing, supporting, and malnutrition in developing countries (FSA,
protecting farm prices. It was funded and 2007). The annual budget programs of the
managed in affiliation with the Reconstruc- CCC are submitted to and approved by the
tion Finance Corporation (for further details, Congress (15 U.S. Code Section 714c).
see Stephenson, 2005). However, in 1939, con- Since the passage of the 1996 Federal
trol of the CCC was transferred to the U.S. Agricultural Improvement and Reform
Department of Agriculture (USDA). In 1948, (FAIR) Act, the CCC has managed produc-
it was reincorporated as a federal corporation tion flexibility contract (PFC) payments
within the USDA by the Commodity Credit to eligible farmers, who are subject to vari-
Corporation Charter Act (62 Stat. 1070; 15 ous conservation compliance obligations.
U.S.C. 714). The FAIR Act, however, also reduced the
maximum payment farmers are eligible to Grain Futures Act of 1922. The act was
receive each fiscal year. For more informa- passed to decrease or terminate varia-
tion on the FAIR Act and its implications, see tions in the prices of grains of organized
Basic Foodstuffs Service Commodities and futures exchanges. The CEA is the pillar for
Trade Division (1998). Further information federal regulation of trading in commod-
on the CCC’s history can be found on the ity futures and for reauthorization of the
website of the USDA’s Farm Service Agency, Commodity Futures Trading Commission
www.fsa.usda.gov/ccc/default.htm. (CFTC), which is the chief regulator for
futures markets (http://www.cftc.gov). In
2000 the CEA was last reauthorized when
REFERENCES the Commodity Futures Modernization
Basic Foodstuffs Service Commodities and Trade Act was passed.
Division. (1998) The review of the 1996 Farm
Legislation in the United States. In: Cereal
Policies Review, 1995–97. Food and Agriculture
Organization of the United Nations, Rome.
Becker, G. S. (1994) An introduction to farm com- Commodity Futures
modity programs. In: CRS Report for Congress.
Congressional Research Service, Washington, Indices: Spot, Excess,
DC.
Farm Service Agency (FSA). (2007) About the Com- and Total Return
modity Credit Corporation. U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Washington, DC.
Stephenson, J. B. (2005) Conservation Reserve Pro-
gram, Farm Service Agency, U.S. Department
Denis Schweizer
of Agriculture. In: Environmental Information: European Business School (EBS)
Status of Federal Data Programs that Support Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
Ecological Indicators. Diane Publishing Co.,
Darby, PA.
The major goals of commodity indices, or
commodity benchmarks, are to quantify
the performance of the underlying com-
modities, and to provide market partici-
Commodity pants with a continuous information basis.
Exchange Act To calculate commodity performance, these
indices use commodity futures contracts,
which have a finite maturity. It is thus nec-
Timothy W. Dempsey essary to use a “chaining” method, which
DHK Financial Advisors Inc. allows for an infinite chain of commodity
Portsmouth, New Hampshire, USA futures with finite maturities. Depending
on whether the objective is creating a
The Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) was benchmark for commodity price levels or
created in the 1920s to standardize and providing an investable benchmark, the
monitor the trading of grain and other relevant chaining method is either replace-
agricultural commodities futures by inves- ment or rolling. A rich source of informa-
tors. In 1936, the CEA was passed by the tion about index construction can be found
U.S. government, substituting the original, in Goldman Sachs (2007). Good surveys
8,000
S&P GSCI Excess Return
7,000
S&P GSCI Spot Return
6,000
S&P GSCI Total Return
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
70
78
90
98
02
74
82
86
94
06
19
19
19
19
20
19
19
19
19
20
FIGURE 1
Performance of the S&P GSCI indices. (From Bloomberg.)
prices and roll performance. Because inves- • The investment bank sells an invest-
tors can replicate the trading strategy, the ment product on the index and receives
index can be used as a basis for financial U.S. $100.
instruments. Depending on the construction • The investment bank wants to repli-
method, the underlying excess return index cate the investment product, and buys
is an uncollateralized futures instrument. a futures contract with the value of
U.S. $100. The investor must deposit an
initial margin of U.S. $10, which will
earn the risk-free rate. The remaining
TOTAL RETURN INDEX
U.S. $90 can also be invested in the
To buy or sell futures contracts, investors risk-free rate. Typically, the U.S. dollar
must deposit funds into what is known as T-bill rate is used as a proxy for the
a margin account. The amount deposited at risk-free rate.
the time the contract is first entered into is
the initial margin, and is determined by a These interest earnings add to the perfor-
fi xed ratio to the underlying capital (Hull, mance of the total return index. The differ-
2002). The initial margin is lower than ence between the total return index and the
the underlying capital. Thus, we arrive at excess return index is the disposition of the
the third calculation method. The rolling dividends, which are credited to the inves-
procedure from the near-month futures tors on a daily basis. Investors in an excess
contract to the second-shortest futures con- return index do not participate in dividend
tract is identical to the method used for the earnings. They earn the roll and price per-
excess return index. The only exception is formance of the underlying commodities
that the total return index is based on a fully exclusively.
cash collateralized commodity investment, However, it is not truly possible to com-
which means the whole futures position pare the excess return index and the total
must be deposited. For example, suppose return index, because the excess return plus
the index level equals 100. Then the replica- the T-bill rate does not equal the total return.
tion strategy may be as follows: The rationale is found in the influence of
Timothy W. Dempsey
Commodity Futures DHK Financial Advisors Inc.
Portsmouth, New Hampshire, USA
Modernization
Trading agricultural commodities via
Act of 2000 futures contracts in the United States has
existed for approximately 160 years and
Keith H. Black has been under federal supervision since
Ennis Knupp and Associates the early 1920s. Recently, with a universe
Chicago, Illinois, USA consisting of 9500 hedge funds, trading
in futures contracts has caused an explo-
Before the year 2000, the financial regula- sive growth in the commodities industry,
tors in the United States did not permit the over and above the standard agricultural
commodities well into different financial period, as well as full redemption of the
instruments, such as international curren- principal upon maturity. The price of a
cies, U.S. and international government conventional bond equals the discounted
securities, as well as U.S. and international expected future payments from the prin-
stock indexes. The Commodity Futures cipal and interest payments. Consequently,
Trading Commission (CFTC, http://www. the price is determined by the development
cftc.gov) was created as a result of the of the risk-free rate, and the contingency
Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) to keep risk of the issuer.
watch over the U.S. futures and options A commodity-linked bond, however, is
markets. The CFTC is a U.S. federal agency linked to a commodity through an option-like
established by the CFTC Act of 1974 with structure. The coupon, principal payments,
its main objective being to guarantee that and therefore the price of commodity-linked
futures markets behave in an efficient and bonds are determined to a certain extent by
organized manner. The CFTC is the main the development of the price of the under-
regulatory body for futures markets in the lying. This structure allows a country or
United States and operates as an agency of a company to hedge against adverse price
the U.S. government. The CFTC’s mission is movements (Johnson, 2004). In the case of a
to stand for the rights of the investing pub- country, this could be a decline in price of
lic by protecting investors from deception, its natural resources, whereas in the case of
and unethical practices occurring from the a company, this could be an increase in the
sale of commodity futures, financial futures price of its raw materials.
and options, as well as maintaining the The coupon or principal payment from
proper clearing and functioning of futures a commodity-linked bond has an option-
markets. like character. If a developing country, for
example, has plenty of natural resources
like precious metals, but is in need of
capital, it may issue a commodity bond
linked to precious metals. The bond can
Commodity-Linked be structured so that if the price of pre-
Bond cious metals falls below a certain strike
price, the issuer (or borrower) is allowed
to pay a lower coupon and/or principal
Juliane Proelss payment to the holder. If the price of pre-
European Business School (EBS) cious metals rises above the strike, then
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany the payments from the commodity-linked
bonds would not rise. Th is payoff profi le
A conventional bond is usually issued as a resembles a short put, where the holder of
long-term credit financing. It offers hold- the short option receives a premium from
ers the contractual right of a regular inter- the option writer for the one-sided risk.
est payment (coupon) during the holding In a similar way, the holder (investor) of
a commodity-linked bond receives a pre- coupon than they would for comparable
mium from the issuer (borrower) for bear- standard debt, they may benefit from an
ing the one-sided risk of falling precious increase in the redemption value (the bull
metals prices in the form of a lower bond tranche), or a decline in the underlying
price or higher coupons. commodity price (the bear tranche) (for a
The payoff provision of a commodity- more detailed description, see Reilly and
linked bond may also somewhat resemble Brown, 2005; Walmsley, 1998).
a long call option. The holder (investor) Commodity-indexed bonds are closely
in this case would participate in rising related to commodity-linked bonds.
prices of the underlying above the strike Commodity-indexed bonds are linked to
price; the issuer (borrower) would receive commodities through a forward derivative
a premium from the investor in the form contract (Dodd, 2004). To continue the pre-
of lower interest (coupon) for bearing the vious example, a developing country might
downside risk. Commodity-linked bonds issue a commodity-indexed bond with a
thus offer the possibility of transferring short forward character. In this case, if the
commodity price risks to investors or prices of precious metals fall, the issuer
speculators (Dodd, 2004). (borrower) pays less. If prices rise, the holder
A special case of a commodity-linked (investor) participates in the rise. Contrary
bond is the so-called commodity-linked to commodity-linked bonds, however, there
bull and bear bond. It was first issued in is no extra premium because the payoff
1986 by the kingdom of Denmark and was profile is symmetrical. Neither the issuer
linked to gold price movements. The bond nor the holder takes any one-sided risks,
has a bull and bear component issued in and neither has rights but no obligations.
two tranches: the bull component earns However, contrary to a commodity-linked
on price increases and the bear component bond with a short put option character, the
earns on price declines. The redemption issuer will not benefit from a rise in prices
payments for the bull and bear tranches (Walmsley, 1998).
vary along with the underlying commod-
ity. But the commodity-linked bull and
bear bond is usually structured so that the REFERENCES
average redemption amount the issuer must
Dodd, R. (2004) Protecting developing economies
pay, with both the bull and bear tranches from price shocks. Special Policy Brief, 18,
together, is independent of the commodity Financial Policy Forum—Derivatives Study
movements. In other words, exposure to Center, Washington, DC.
Johnson, R. S. (2004) Bond Evaluation, Selection,
the underlying’s price movements is neu- and Management, Blackwell Publishing Ltd.,
tralized internally. There are two main rea- Oxford, UK.
sons for this construction: (1) issuers may Reilly, F. K. and Brown, K. C. (2005) Investment
Analysis and Portfolio Management. Dryden
benefit from funding costs (coupon) that
Press, Orlando, FL.
are lower than those for “standard” debt Walmsley, J. (1998) New Financial Instruments. Wiley,
and (2) although investors receive a lower Hoboken, NJ.
of commodities more easily than if they were by the Commodity Exchange Act includes
investing individually, because they are now not only persons who manage commodity
part of a big fund. Many of these commodity pools but also persons who operate other
pools are hedge funds, which use high-risk funds, which trade in futures or commod-
techniques looking for big gains (Kolb and ity markets (Meer and Mehrespand, 2003).
Overdahl, 2007), so it should be managed Likewise a CPO can also operate one or
by a skilled broker to minimize the risk. more commodities pools. They should not
An additional risk is that there have been be confused with the commodity trading
several cases where investors’ funds have advisors (CTAs), because CPOs manage
been misappropriated, but the Commodity funds, investing the money, whereas the
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is CTAs advise of futures and commodity
fighting against this by introducing tight options trading to them, that is, in general,
regulations. Lastly but very importantly, CTAs are hired by CPOs to make invest-
this should not be confused with an omni- ment decisions. CPOs, and also CTAs,
bus account, which is an account used for have to register with the Commodity
financial intermediaries to aggregate their Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
clients’ orders in a single account. (Fung and Hsieh, 1999) and, although they
are tightly regulated by CFTC, they have
grown over the last few years. CPOs oper-
ate with larger amounts of money, and
REFERENCES
they are advised by specialists, so they can
Kolb, R. W. and Overdahl, J. A. (2007) Futures, take advantage of their size to obtain big-
Options, and Swaps, 5th ed. Blackwell Publishing ger margins. Moreover, in a bear market
Limited.
Miller, M. H. (1997) The future of futures, Pacific-Basin (when the prices of securities are falling in
Finance Journal, 5 (2), June 1997, 131–142. the market or they are expected to do so)
Waldron, R. E. (2003) Futures 101: An Introduction they can remain in the market more easily
to Commodity Trading. Squantum Publishing
Company.
than other investors until prices grow and
their securities become profitable again.
Commodity Pool
Operator (CPO) REFERENCES
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (1999) A primer on
hedge funds. Journal of Empirical Finance, 6,
Miriam Gandarillas Iglesias 309–331.
University of Cantabria Meer, C. J. and Mehrespand, M. (2003) CFTC adopts
major relief from CFTC registration require-
Cantabria, Spain
ments for mutual funds, hedge funds and
investment advisers. The Investment Lawyer,
The commodity pool operators (CPO) are 10(9), 3.
the managers of funds that invest cus- Weiner, R. J. (2002) Sheep in wolves’ clothing?
Speculators and price volatility in petroleum
tomer money in futures and options mar- futures. The Quarterly Review of Economics and
kets (Weiner, 2002). The defi nition given Finance, 42, 391–400.
400
CRB Spot Index
350 Reuters-CRB Index (CCI)
Reuters/ Jefferies-CRB Index
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1956-09-28
1959-09-28
1962-09-28
1965-09-28
1968-09-28
1971-09-28
1974-09-28
1977-09-28
1980-09-28
1983-09-28
1986-09-28
1989-09-28
1992-09-28
1995-09-28
1998-09-28
2001-09-28
2004-09-28
FIGURE 1
Performance of the Reuters CRB Spot Index and the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index. (Data source: Thomson
Financial Datastream.)
New York Board of Trade. (2007) Reuters/Jefferies other products, their investment scope wid-
CRB, Futures & Options, New York.
ened considerably. Nowadays, CTA trading
Reuters/Jefferies CRB. (2005) Index Materials, Jefferies
Financial Products, New York. programs are characterized by the market
Zoller, J. H. (2007) History of Commodity Research strategy (which can be either trend-follow-
Bureau (CRB). Chicago, http://www.crbtrader. ers or market neutral) as well as the market
com/history.asp
segment (agricultural, currency, financial,
metals, stock index, or diversified). It is
worth noting that such funds often keep
highly leveraged positions through borrow-
Commodity Trading ing or the use of economic leverage through
Advisor (CTA) derivative assets, thus generating fairly non-
normal return profiles (Kat, 2004).
CTAs are, to a certain extent, similar to
Zsolt Berenyi hedge funds. CTAs and hedge funds might
RISC Consulting both invest in similar assets and employ
Budapest, Hungary comparable strategies. The main distinction
between CTAs and hedge funds lies, how-
Commodity trading advisors or CTAs are ever, not in the strategies CTAs follow but is
professional money managers (firms or a more structural one: while investors keep-
individuals) that offer advice and active ing a managed account are able to follow all
services, like derivatives trading or run- the trading that takes places on their behalf
ning managed futures account, to, and on on a regular basis, hedge funds still remain
behalf of, their clients. This kind of activity an opaque investment form in this respect
on the U.S. markets requires a registration (Edwards and Liew, 1999).
with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading
Commission (Summa, 2005).
Commodity funds that are managed
REFERENCES
by CTAs count to the modern alternative
investments. Managed commodity funds or Edwards, F. R. and Liew, J. (1999) Hedge funds versus
managed futures as asset classes. Journal of
managed futures are publicly offered invest-
Derivatives, 6, 45–64.
ment vehicles that may invest in forwards, Gregoriou, G. N., Hübner, G., Papageorgiou, N., and
futures, options, and other derivative con- Rouah, F. (2005) Survival of commodity trading
tracts on a wide range of assets: physical advisors: 1990–2003. Journal of Futures Markets,
25, 795–816.
commodities (precious and nonprecious Kat, H. M. (2004) Managed futures and hedge funds:
metals, agricultural products like grains, a match made in heaven. In: G. N. Gregoriou,
soft commodities, etc.), and financial instru- V. Karavas, F. S. Lhabitant, and F. Rouah (eds.),
Commodity Trading Advisors: Risk Performance
ments (equity indices, foreign currency, and
Analysis and Selection. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
fi xed income products) (Potter et al., 1996; Potter, M., Schneeweiss, T., and Spurgin, R. (1996)
Gregoriou et al., 2005). Managed futures and hedge fund investment for
In the early years, CTA’s trading was downside equity risk management. Derivatives
Quarterly, 3, 62–72.
indeed limited to commodities (hence the Summa, J. (2005) A primer on managed futures,
name CTA)—however, with the introduc- http://w w w.investop e d i a . c om / ar t i cles /
tion of derivatives on a series of financial and optioninvestor/05/070605.asp
start companion funds. Covenants limit- full control over the firm. Since the nature of
ing fundraising activities often specify that venture capital finance lies in the fact that the
fundraising for companion funds is not entrepreneur or the firm is short of liquidity,
prohibited outright but is prohibited for the a buyback will often go along with consider-
first five years in the life of the fund. able borrowing, leading to a leveraged buy out
(LBO) or management buy out (MBO). As the
markets for leveraged finance transactions
REFERENCES are still developing, the buyback option is less
Cumming, D. and Johan, S. (2006) Is it the law or available for venture capital–backed firms
the lawyers? Investment covenants around the of high value. Hence venture capital finance
world. European Financial Management, 12,
553–574.
contracts often include contractual provisions
Gompers, P. A. and Lerner, J. (1996) The use of cov- (redemption rights) that give the venture cap-
enants: an empirical analysis of venture capital italist the right to demand a buyback from the
partnership agreements. Journal of Law and
entrepreneur, if an IPO or a trade sale has not
Economics, 39, 463–498.
occurred within a certain time frame, that is,
the firm is of potentially less value.
Company Buy-Back
REFERENCES
Cumming, D. and MacIntosh, J. G. (2003) A cross-
Andreas Bascha country comparison of full and partial venture
Center for Financial Studies capital exits. Journal of Banking and Finance, 27,
Frankfurt, Germany 511–549.
Kaplan, S. N. and Strömberg, P. (2003) Financial
contracting theory meets the real world: an
A company buyback is one instance out of the empirical analysis of venture capital contracts.
empirically observed exit strategies in ven- Review of Economic Studies, 70, 281–315.
ture capital finance, which are initial public
offerings (IPO), acquisitions (also often called
trade sales, where the whole entrepreneurial
firm is sold to another company), secondary Conditional
sales, buybacks, and liquidations (i.e., write-
off ). In a buyback, either the entrepreneur
Value-at-Risk (CVaR)
or a group of insiders in the firm, that is, the
management, purchases the venture capital- Zeno Adams
ist’s shares in the company. In a sense it is a University of Freiburg
special case of the broader category of a sec- Freiburg, Germany
ondary sale, where only the venture capitalist
sells its shares in the company to some other Value-at-risk (VaR) is a downside risk mea-
investor in the secondary market. The dis- surement widely used by financial institu-
tinctive characteristic of a buyback lies in the tions for internal and external purposes. It
fact that it is the entrepreneur himself, even- has the appealing property of expressing
tually together with senior management, who risk in only one figure and is the estimated
buys the venture capitalist out, to provide him loss of an asset that, within a given period
with liquidity for his investment and to regain (usually 1–10 days), will only be exceeded
0.4
0.3
f (Z )
0.2
0.1
0.0
−4 −2 VaR 0 2 4
CVaR
Z
FIGURE 1
The CVaR is the expected loss in case of an extreme event.
by a certain small probability θ (usually The conditional VaR (CVaR), also called
1 or 5%). Thus, the 1-day 5% VaR shows the the mean excess loss, mean shortfall, or tail
negative return that will not be exceeded VaR, is the expected loss under the condi-
within this day with a probability of 95%: tion that the loss is already higher than the
VaR:
prob[returnt < –VaR
– t ∣ Ωt ] = θ (1)
where Ωt denotes the information set avail- CVaR E[returntreturnt VaR] (3)
able at time t.
In statistical terms, we need to consider So while the 5% VaR estimates the loss that
the 5% quantile of the probability density will not be exceeded under normal market
function of asset returns. Assuming the circumstances with a probability of 95%,
returns to be normally distributed, the the CVaR estimates the expected loss under
VaR can be calculated as the deviation of the 5% extreme cases when the returns are
Z—which is the value of the distribution even more negative than the VaR. This rela-
function of the standard normal distribu- tionship is shown in Figure 1, where the
tion—times the standard deviation σ minus probability density function of the stan-
its mean μ: dard normal distribution has a Z value of
–1.645. In contrast to the conventional VaR,
VaR (Z ) (2) the CVaR is a coherent risk measure that
TABLE 1
Z Values for Different Significance Levels (May 1, 2007)
Significance (%) 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5
Z value 1.695 1.751 1.812 1.881 1.959 2.054 2.170 2.326 2.576
VaR −1.345 −1.390 −1.440 −1.496 −1.561 −1.637 −1.732 −1.859 −2.063
CVaR −1.614 −1.614 −1.614 −1.614 −1.614 −1.614 −1.614 −1.614 −1.614
is more appropriate under extreme market encountered an event with returns being
circumstances such as a financial crisis even more negative than the VaR.
(Artzner et al., 1999). Figure 2 shows the development of
There are two approaches for estimating the VaR and the CVaR for the FTSE 100
the CVaR (Dowd, 2002). One is a para- index from January 1, 1990 to May 1,
metric approach, which assumes a stan- 2007 (4522 observations). By definition,
dard normal distribution of the return the CVaR is always below the normal
process. The advantage of this approach VaR, but otherwise follows the VaR in its
is that the CVaR can be calculated by the development.
mean and the variance of the returns. The However, the existence of volatility clus-
second approach is nonparametric and tering in the return process leads to con-
uses a historical simulation of the CVaR. secutive hits in highly volatile periods,
This method sorts the past n returns in an since the VaR and CVaR are very inertial,
ascending order and observes the lowest in which case the risk is systematically
5% directly rather than estimating them. underestimated. This systematic underesti-
The advantage of this approach is that mation comes from the false assumption of
no distributional assumptions are neces- normally distributed returns.
sary. Both approaches require estimat- In contrast, the historical simulation
ing the normal VaR for significance levels approach is nonparametric and does not
below 5% but above 0% and then taking depend on any distributional assumptions.
the averages of those VaRs. In the case of The method is to sort the returns of the
the parametric approach, the 5% VaR is past 250 trading days in an ascending order
calculated according to Equation 2. The and determine the average of the 5% lowest
value of the standard normal distribution returns. The result is shown in Figure 3, which
Z changes for the significance levels shown shows the 5% historical simulation HS-VaR
in Table 1. The VaR is then recalculated and the HS-CVaR for the FTSE 100 index.
for the respective significance level. The It is easy to criticize both the approaches.
CVaR is computed by taking the averages In the first approach, the normality
of all the VaRs from 4.5 to 0.5%. Table 1 assumption is clearly violated since most
also shows the respective VaR and CVaR financial returns exhibit significant skew-
of the FTSE 100 index for the 1st of May ness and excess kurtosis, which make an
2007. The observation period for the VaR extreme event more likely than in the case
calculation is 250 trading days. The CVaR of a normal distribution. Thus, the CVaR
of –1.614 tells us that on this specific date, systematically underestimates the actual
the expected loss was 1.614% in the case we loss. Estimating the CVaR by historical
−2
−4
FIGURE 2
CVaR for the FTSE 100 index (January 1, 1990 to May 1, 2007).
−2
−4
FIGURE 3
HS-VaR and HS-CVaR for the FTSE 100 index (January 1, 1990 to May 1, 2007).
simulation has the main disadvantage that extreme negative return drops out again.
all past n returns have the same weights For instance, the HS-CVaR increased dra-
while the (n + 1)th return has a weight of matically during the highly volatile period
zero. This rolling window property leads to in 2002 and then returned to a modest –2%
a sharp increase in the CVaR if an extreme within a few months. Most financial time
negative return enters the window, and series exhibit volatility clustering so that
accordingly to a sharp decrease when this extreme occurrences in the past few days
expiration or exercise of the option. In the the situation is the opposite. In a contango
instance of a commodity futures or com- market, the investor in effects pays for the
modity option transaction caused to be exe- storage costs of the commodity by con-
cuted for a commodity pool, the merchant tinuously locking in losses from futures
only has to issue a confirmation statement contracts converging to a lower spot price.
to the commodity pool operator (CPO) Correspondingly, a bond investor might
(17CFR1.33(b), 2007). liken this scenario to one of earning nega-
tive carry.
REFERENCE
U.S. Government Printing Office via GPO Access REFERENCES
(revised 2007) Code of Federal Regulations, Till, H. (2007) A long-term perspective on commodity
Title 17—Commodity and Securities Exchanges, futures returns. In: H. Till and J. Eagleeye (eds.),
Volume 1, (17CFR1.33(b)), http://www.cftc.gov. Intelligent Commodity Investing: New Strategies
and Practical Insights for Informed Decision
Making. Risk Books, London, UK.
Till, H. and Eagleeye, J. (2006) Commodities—active
Contango strategies for enhanced return. In: R. Greer (ed.),
The Handbook of Inflation Hedging Investments,
McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Hilary F. Till
Premia Capital Management, LLC
Chicago, Ontario, USA
Contract Grades
When a near-month futures contract is trad-
ing at a discount to more distant contracts, Jean-Pierre Gueyie
we say that a commodity futures curve is University of Québec at Montréal
in “contango.” The converse is “backwar- Montréal, Québec, Canada
dation.” When commodities are not in a
situation of scarcity, the maximum price The contract grade is the quality of a physi-
difference between the front and back con- cal asset such as a commodity or of a finan-
tracts tends to be determined by carrying cial instrument that must be fulfilled at the
charges, which include storage costs, insur- delivery when a future contract is executed.
ance, and interest, discuss Till and Eagleeye Contract grades are usually specified by the
(2006). This difference is the amount by stock exchange. In commodity contracts,
which the curve is in contango. several acceptable grades of a commodity
A commodity market that is in contango may be allowed for delivery. For instance, on
is frequently referred to as a carry market. the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), deliv-
In a carry market, the futures market is erable grades for wheat futures are no. 2 soft
providing a return for carrying inventories red winter, no. 2 hard red winter, no. 2 dark
forward because the futures price is trading northern spring, and no. 2 northern spring
at a premium to the spot price, explains Till at par; no. 1 soft red winter, no. 1 hard red
(2007). However, for a commodity investor winter, no. 1 dark northern spring, and
no. 1 northern spring at 3 cents per bushel contracts. The designation of contract
over contract price (http://www.cbot.com). markets is conducted by the Commodity
In financial futures, the contract must indi- Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
cate which financial assets are deliverable. under the Commodity Exchange Act
For a 10-year U.S. Treasury note futures (CEA). In order to be designated, a con-
traded on the CBOT, deliverable assets are tract market must meet certain require-
U.S. Treasury notes maturing at least six ments about their location, exchange
and a half years, but not more than 10 years, operations, agricultural cooperatives,
from the first day of the delivery month. public interest, economic purpose test,
A conversion factor is described as the and so on. A commodity exchange must
price of the delivered note ($1 par value) to receive a separate designation for each
yield 6%. It is used to compute the delivery type of contract traded. Certain transac-
price of the chosen U.S. Treasury note (the tions in the contract market may only be
invoice price equals the futures settlement effected between members, the seats of
price times a conversion factor plus accrued which are traded in an active market like
interest). At the delivery time, the seller will other assets. Each commodity trades in a
probably select that grade which minimizes designated pit and futures contract trade
its delivery costs. This grade is also called by a system of open outcry. In this system,
the cheapest to deliver. a trader must make an offer to buy or sell
to all other traders present in the pit. A
designated contract market is required to
REFERENCES fi le with the CFTC their rules, bylaws, and
Chance, D. M. (1998) An Introduction to Derivatives. all the changes made therein. The CFTC
Dryden Press, Chicago, IL. then reviews the exchange rules and may
Ritchken, P. (1996) Derivatives Markets: Theory,
affi rmatively approve them. In addition,
Strategy and Applications. HarperCollins
College Publishers, New York, NY. a contract market must carry out a num-
ber of duties associated with required
fi lings, terms of delivery, warehouses,
enforcement programs, and arbitration
Contract Market procedures. Finally, a contract market is
required to disseminate the trading infor-
mation (including prices and volume) to
Bill N. Ding the public in a timely manner.
University at Albany (SUNY)
Albany, New York, USA
REFERENCES
A contract market is an exchange or
board of trade on which a futures con- Kaufman, P. (1984) Handbook of Futures Markets:
Commodity, Financial, Stock Index, and Options.
tract is traded. For example, the Chicago
Wiley, New York, NY.
Mercantile Exchange is a contract mar- Kolb, R. (1997) Futures, Options, and Swaps. Blackwell
ket for S&P500 Index options and futures Publishers, Malden, MA.
deviates from the requirement. This prevents embedded in the futures contract disap-
deliveries being refused for small departures pears. Figure 1 demonstrates the relationship
(Ritchken, 1996). between the spot price, expected future spot
price, and the futures price. In this exam-
ple, there are more commercial producers
REFERENCES than commercial consumers hedging as in
Chance, D. M. (1998) An Introduction to Derivatives. Keynes’s theory of normal backwardation.
Dryden Press, Chicago, IL. Producers want to hedge against a future
Ritchken, P. (1996) Derivatives Markets: Theory,
spot price drop by selling futures, while
Strategy and Applications. HarperCollins College
Publishers, New York, NY. investors want to earn a risk premium by
buying the futures at a lower price than the
future expected spot price. At time t, today,
Convergence the spot price is $30, the expected future
spot price is $27, and the futures price is $25.
As time T T, the expiration date, approaches,
Jodie Gunzberg the futures price converges toward the spot
Marco Consulting Group price because uncertainty diminishes.
Chicago, Illinois, USA Gunzberg and Kaplan (2007) demonstrate
another way to view convergence, by showing
As a commodity futures contract appro- the net hedging pressure on futures prices in
aches its expiration date, the futures price Figure 2. Similar to the prior example, the
converges toward the expected future spot line labeled “normal backwardation” repre-
price. Commercial producers (consumers) sents the case where there are net short hedg-
are uncertain of future spot prices so wish to ers or where commercial producer hedging
hedge against the risk of a price drop (rise) by outweighs commercial consumer hedging.
selling (buying) futures. As the time to expi- The speculators get paid a risk premium for
ration of the futures contract draws near, bearing the risk of future price uncertainty
the uncertainty of the expected future spot on the long side that forces the futures price
price diminishes, hence the risk premium to be less than the expected future spot price.
Spot/futures
Current price
spot price converge
$30 at
Expected expiration
future
spot price $27 $27
$25
Current
futures price
t T
Time
Futures and spot returns. (Adapted from Gorton and Rouwenhorst, 2006.)
Futures price
Expected
future
spot price
Normal
backwardation
Time
FIGURE 2
Futures price patterns.
Again, as time to expiration approaches, the storage. It has no direct relationship with net
risk premium diminishes and the futures hedging pressure and measures the benefit of
price converges to the expected spot price. holding inventory per marginal unit versus
Likewise, the line labeled “contango” is the the cost of storage plus the forgone interest
opposite situation where there are net long from the cash proceeds of a future sale. The
hedgers or where commercial consumer relationship in a perfect market can be quan-
hedging outweighs commercial producer tified by the equation: F0,t = S0(1 + C) as dis-
hedging. The short speculators get paid a risk cussed by Kolb (1999). As time to expiration
premium for that forces the futures price to nears, the cost of carry approaches zero and
be more than the expected future spot price the futures price converges to the spot price.
until the expiration date approaches and
the futures price is forced to converge to the
REFERENCES
expected spot price.
Lastly, the curve labeled “net hedging” Gorton, G. and Rouwenhorst, K. (2006) Facts and
fantasies about commodity futures. Financial
shows how futures prices behave through
Analysts Journal, 62, 48–49.
time as net hedging pressure changes. Early Gunzberg, J. and Kaplan, P. (2007) The Long and
on, more commercial producers are hedging short of commodity futures index investing: the
against a price drop, forcing the curve into Morningstar commodity index family. In: H.
Till and J. Eagleeye (eds.), Intelligent Commodity
normal backwardation; however, as time Investing. Risk Books, London, UK.
passes, commercial consumers get ready to Kolb, R. (1999) Futures prices. Futures, Options, and
purchase and therefore buy futures to hedge Swaps. Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA.
against a price increase. As commercial
consumer hedging surpasses commercial
producer hedging, otherwise known as net
Conversion Factors
long hedging pressure, the futures curve is
forced into contango and the price will fall Roland Füss
to converge to the expected spot price at European Business School
expiration. Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
Finally, a distinctly different concept that
explains convergence of a futures price The conversion factor is a mechanism for
toward the spot price has to do with the con- adjusting different prices or quantities as a
venience yield versus the opportunity cost of means to guarantee comparability. In the
bond futures market, the objective of con- where f describes the full months until the
version factors is to make different deliver- next coupon payment divided by 12 (if f =
able bonds comparable, because most of the 0, n = n – 1 and f = 1), c denotes the nomi-
bonds do not correspond exactly in form to nal interest rate of the bond, and n equals
their underlyings. the full years until bond maturity. However,
Consider the examples of U.S. Treasury the yield on which the conversion factor is
bond futures (traded on the Chicago Board based varies, for example, it is 8% for the
of Trade [CBOT]), Bund or Bobl futures CBOT U.S. Treasury bond or note, and 7%
(traded on the EUREX), or long gilt (traded for the LIFFE long gilt. To determine the
on the London International Financial most favorable bond, investors must dis-
Futures Exchange [LIFFE]). The seller of the tinguish between the profits from selling
futures, that is, the holder of the short posi- the available bonds, and those from deliv-
tion at delivery day, can choose any bond to ery in the bond futures contract. The bond
fulfill the delivery commitment (Fabozzi, offering the highest advantage at delivery is
1998; Hull, 2003; Chance and Brooks, called the cheapest-to-deliver bond (CTD)
2007). Because deliverable bonds normally (Fabozzi, 2001).
have different maturities and different cou- There are many factors to consider, how-
pons, the conversion factor can level out ever, in determining the cheapest-to-deliver
any existing discrepancies. The conversion bond. For example, if yields are in excess
factor thus defines the price received by the of (less than) 6%, the conversion factor
holder of the short position. The quoted system tends to favor the delivery of low-
price of delivery is the product of the con- coupon (high-coupon), long-maturity
version factor times the quoted futures price (short-maturity) bonds. Also, when the
(Hull, 2003). yield is upward- (downward-) sloping,
For another example, consider the con- bonds with a long (short) time to maturity
version factor for a bond at the EUREX. tend to be delivered. Furthermore, low-
It is assumed that the return level at the coupon bonds and those where coupons
capital market equals 6% on delivery day. can be stripped from the bond tend to sell
This enables EUREX to produce compre- for more than their theoretical value. These
hensive tables, and the conversion factor is bonds consequently cannot be the cheapest
thus based on the present value method. By to deliver (Hull, 2003).
including the compound interest effect, we The term conversion factor is used similarly
can define the equation to calculate the con- for quanto options. While quanto options
version factor (CF) or the price of the deliv- exhibit all the features of standard options,
ered bond, respectively, as follows: they pay off at a fixed currency conversion fac-
tor. Thus, a GBP-denominated option on the
1 Jc ¼ 1 ¹ 1 M underlying crude oil, which is paying in USD,
CF f I º
1.06
1.06 H 6 1.06n»
1.06n LK would have a fixed GBP-to-USD exchange
rate. Conversion factors are also used to con-
c (1 f ) vert units of measurement in the commodity
100 market, such as bushels (short tons) into metric
tons or bales (for example, 5000 bushels of be monetized at the latest at the maturity of
wheat corresponds to 136 metric tons). the convertible bond.
In practice, a long position in the convert-
REFERENCES ible bond carries a series of risks:
There are 18 core principles for desig- exchanges, for example, CBOT. Future con-
nated contract markets, 9 core principles for tracts refer to a delivery of 5000 bushels; the
derivatives transaction execution facilities, tick size for a contract is 12.50 USD, corre-
and 14 core principles for derivatives clear- sponding to 1/4 cent per bushel. The daily
ing organizations (7 USC 7, 7a, 7a-1). Table 1 price limit is 50 cent per bushel. Deliveries
summarizes the core principles. end at the second exchange trading day after
the last trading day of the delivery month.
REFERENCES
Parkinson, P. M. (2000) Statements to the congress. REFERENCES
Federal Reserve Bulletin, 86, 644–645.
Rogers, J. (2004) Hot Commodities. New York:
United States Commodity Exchange Act (CEA): 7 USC
Random House.
7, 7 USC 7a, 7 USC 7a-1, 7 USC 7a-2. Retrieved
Spurga, R. (2006) Commodity Fundamentals: How
July 18, 2007 from http://www.cftc.gov.
To Trade the Precious Metals, Energy, Grain,
and Tropical Commodity Markets. Wiley,
Hoboken, NJ.
Corn Market
Stefan Ulreich
Cornish-Fisher
E.ON AG Value-at-Risk
Düsseldorf, Germany
in the same magnitude of order (USA 32%, variance-covariance VaR estimates the maxi-
China 20%, Brazil, 6%, Mexico 5%). Since mum loss of an asset for a given investment
most of the big supplier countries also act as horizon, at a specified significance level α and
consumers, only a small part of global pro- under normal market conditions. The VaR of
duction is available for the global market; asset i can be evaluated as follows:
therefore regional trading dominates.
As for all agricultural commodities, the VaR i E(Ri ) z c i
total harvest depends on the weather and
especially on the water supply. Genetically where E(Ri ) is the expected return, σi the
engineered corn is widely adopted, at least in expected volatility, and zc the 1 – α quantile of
the United States. Corn is traded on several the standard normal distribution. To analyze
REFERENCES
VaR CF ( )
Favre, L. and Galeano, J.-A. (2002) Mean-modified
value-at-risk optimization with hedge funds.
1
Journal of Alternative Investments, 5, 21–25. () z () (z ()2 1)S
Lhabitant, F.-S. (2004) Hedge Funds—Quantitative 6
Insights. Wiley, Chichester, UK.
1
Mina, J. and Ulmer, A. (1999) Delta-Gamma four (z ()3 3z ())K
ways. RiskMetrics, http://www.riskmetrics.com 24
Rockafellar, T. and Uryasev, S. (2000) Optimization
1
of conditional value-at-risk. Journal of Risk, 3, (2z ()3 5z ())S 2
21–40. 36
1.2%
1.1%
1.0%
0.8%
0.7%
0.6%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
Efficient Frontier with normal VaR
0.1% Cornish-Fisher VaR of normal VaR optimal portfolios
Efficient Frontier with Cornish-Fisher VaR
FIGURE 1
Value-at-risk efficient frontiers.
where μ and σ are, respectively, the sample The dashed line, which displays the actual
mean and standard deviation, S is the skew- Cornish-Fisher VaR of the normal VaR
ness and K is the excess kurtosis of the return optimal portfolios from the efficient fron-
distribution, and Ω(α) is the modified critical tier with the normal VaR, clearly shows that
value in the VaR calculation in order to take the parametric VaR underestimates the true
account of skewness and kurtosis. Both VaR portfolio risk and an optimization with the
models—the parametric and the Cornish- Cornish-Fisher VaR provides better portfo-
Fisher VaR—can be used as risk measure lios on a risk-adjusted basis. Additionally,
for the following portfolio optimization as Schwindler (2006) shows that the CF-VaR
Favre and Galeano (2002) show: provides more accurate VaR predictions
than the normal parametric VaR.
RCF
Minimize VaR
N
REFERENCES
Subject to ∑ xi i PF
i1 Favre, L. and Galeano, J. (2002) Mean-modified value-
at-risk optimization with hedge funds. Journal
of Alternative Investments, 5, 21–25.
N
∑ xi 1
Schwindler, O. A. (2006) Value-at-risk predictions of
and xi ⩾ 0 hedge fund portfolios: a comparison of alter-
i1
native approaches. In: G. N. Gregoriou and
Figure 1 displays the efficient frontiers for D. G. Kaiser (eds.), Hedge Funds and Managed
Futures. Risk Books, London, pp. 209–233.
the portfolio optimizations of hedge fund
Signer, A. and Favre, L. (2002) The difficulties of mea-
returns with the normal VaR (dotted line) suring the benefits of hedge funds. Journal of
and with the Cornish-Fisher VaR (solid line). Alternative Investments, 5, 31–42.
Jens Johansen
Deutsche Securities
Tokyo, Japan
Corporate Venture
A corporate structure arbitrage trade is a
type of relative value trade in equities, which
Capital
are related by parent/subsidiary relation-
ships or cross-shareholdings. This is also Stefano Caselli
known as holding company arbitrage. Often, Bocconi University
parent/subsidiary relationships between two Milan, Italy
listed shares can be difficult to unravel, but
situations can arise where the market value Corporate venture capital is a term used to
of a parent trades at an effective discount to describe direct investments in entities that
the value of its equity stake in the subsid- are in the initial—or better still—start-up
iary. This is only economically rational if the phases of an economic initiative. Large-
parent company’s operating businesses have scale companies normally undertake such
negative value. Since this is often not the investments. Primarily, the goal that drives
case, this could represent an opportunity these institutions is a strategic one, aimed
to buy the parent and sell its subsidiary in at financing companies or projects that may
equivalent values. If the wider market sub- later become targets for M&As. However,
sequently becomes aware of the discrepancy, one may find players who, like traditional
the discount should narrow or disappear. venture capital investors, are prompted to
A more aggressive variant of this strategy invest for the sole purpose of remuneration
is to buy out the parent company entirely on the capital they invest; in other words,
and then sell the listed subsidiaries on the they seek high returns.
open market, and any unlisted operating What must be underscored, in particu-
businesses to private buyers. This requires lar when the investor’s aim is a strategic
more initial capital than most investors have and nonfinancial one, is that the degree of
access to and takes longer to unwind than interconnection between the businesses
many can stomach. The limited number of the two participants in the deal is quite
of large players and the often deliberately obvious. In other words, unlike traditional
obscure nature of holding company struc- venture capital, in corporate venture capi-
tures mean that more of these situations tal there is a complementarity between the
arise and persist than many would expect. interested parties. On one hand, this con-
firms how careful and focused the investor’s
REFERENCES selection process is, and on the other clari-
Anson, M. J. P. (2006) Handbook of Alternative Assets. fies the actual competitive advantage and/
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. or value-creating driver of these ventures.
TABLE 1
Top Producers and Consumers
Rank Top Five Producers (in ‚000 tonnes) Top Five Consumers (in ‚000 tonnes)
1 China 4,871 China 7,000
2 United States 3,975 India 2,950
3 India 3,009 Pakistan 2,100
4 Pakistan 1,734 United States 1,413
5 Brazil 1,309 Turkey 1,350
Source: The Economist, World in Figures 2006, Profile Books Ltd.
borrower is called an indenture. The inden- company to take positive actions that serve
ture lists responsibilities for the borrower to reduce the risk of default. Covenants may
to make periodic interest payments and to require a company to maintain adequate
repay principal as well as to protect and pre- liquid assets to reduce the risk of cash short-
serve assets. Covenants are specific provi- fall. Companies may be required to have
sions included in the indenture to protect the adequate insurance for a variety of business
borrower or reduce the risk of default. risks. Covenants may require the borrower
In many cases, equity holders and bond- to invest in the upkeep of assets.
holders have conflicting interests. Further, Covenants in existing indentures can
managers of most companies are equity become overly restrictive as business con-
holders. Without protective covenants, the ditions and corporate strategies change.
managers and directors would be able to Companies cannot unilaterally change
make decisions adverse to the bondholder. covenants in outstanding indentures but
For example, a company may dramatically lenders can agree to make changes to cove-
increase its debt load. New debtholders can nants. Sometimes, lenders will make minor
demand a higher return to compensate for changes when the changes don’t materi-
the increased risk of default. In the absence ally affect the risk of default. Other times, a
of protective covenants, existing bondhold- bondholder may agree to eliminate or relax
ers can be harmed by this increased lever- covenants if the change permits profitable
age, if a change in capital structure forces growth, which indirectly reduces the risk
the value of existing bonds lower. of default. Sometimes, a borrower will ask
Equity holders and managers may also other borrowers to relax or eliminate cov-
benefit from the presence of restrictive cov- enants in return for a higher coupon or to
enants. In the absence of covenants, bond tighten a different covenant that reduces the
yields must compensate lenders for potential risk to the borrower.
risks that are permitted. When a company
issues a bond with fair and sound covenants, REFERENCE
lenders need only to demand compensa-
Garner, B. A. (2004) Black’s Law Dictionary. Thomson
tion for risks that are present, not risks that West Publishing, St. Paul, MN.
might occur if management makes changes
in policy that increase the chance of default.
Many types of covenants are negative cov- Covenants (Venture
enants. Covenants may limit the ability of a
corporation to pay out cash to shareholders as Capital and Private
dividends or return of capital. Negative cov-
enants may limit the amount of leverage in
Equity Context)
the capital structure. Indentures frequently
contain covenants that restrict the ability of a Brian L. King
company to issue more senior debt. Covenants McGill University
may limit the actions of current or potential Montréal, Québec, Canada
new owners in merger or divestiture.
While negative covenants limit the actions Covenants, in the private equity and ven-
of the company, other covenants require a ture capital context, are key contract
stipulations that bind a firm and restrict its Second, their study also confirmed that
actions. A covenant is a general legal term covenants reflect the general supply and
for a signed, written agreement binding two demand conditions in the industry; when
or more parties. Private equity firms (and funds are readily available, venture capi-
venture capital firms, a subset of this indus- tal firms are able to negotiate better con-
try focused on high growth opportunities) tractual terms with fewer covenants. More
are governed by long-term contracts, both recently Cumming and Johan (2006) stud-
when they raise money from their capital ied covenants of 50 private equity contracts
suppliers and when they invest in promis- in 17 different countries. These authors
ing business opportunities. To raise capital, update and expand a typology of cove-
private equity firms form a partnership and nants established by Gompers and Lerner
act as the general partner, obtaining funds (1996). These authors also note that some
from limited partners, typically wealthy covenants protect the fund manager by
individuals and institutional investors such offering them limited liability in the case
as pension funds. These investors monitor of disappointing returns or if they fail to
the funds’ progress but they cannot take invest the specified capital in the agreed-
decisions; in this way they maintain their upon time. Cumming and Johan fi nd that
limited liability status. Given that the the extent that such covenants are used in
investors must remain passive, the contract a country depends somewhat on the local
imposes certain restrictions on the private legal system, but more importantly reflects
equity firm, such as not allowing the firm the presence of legally trained managers.
to commit too much capital to any one sec- While the term covenant is more typi-
tor or to any particular investment. These cally used to describe stipulations in lim-
restrictions are known within the industry ited partnership agreements, there are also
as covenants. covenants in venture capitalists’ contracts
In an empirical study, Gompers and with the companies they fund. These cov-
Lerner (1996) examined 140 venture capi- enants prevent entrepreneurs from taking
tal partnership agreements in the United certain actions without the venture capi-
States and determined that these contracts talists’ approval, such as taking on debt or
were fairly heterogeneous in their inclusion selling their shares until preferred shares
of covenants. These authors also examined (owned by the investors) are first paid back
and found support for two complementary in full.
explanations for the use of covenants. First,
covenants exist to prevent agency prob-
lems where one party—the private equity
firm—acts as an agent on behalf of the REFERENCES
investor; here covenants restrict the fi rm’s
Cumming, D. and Johan, S. (2006) Is it the law or
actions to ensure that actions are not taken the lawyers? Investment covenants around the
that advance the interest of the firm at the world. European Financial Management, 12,
expense of the investors. Empirical evi- 535–574.
dence showed that investment situations Gompers, P. and Lerner, J. (1996) The use of covenants:
an empirical analysis of venture partnership
with greater potential to encounter such agreements. Journal of Law and Economics, 39,
confl icts led to more restrictive covenants. 463–498.
TABLE 1
CRB Index Chronology
1957 1961 1967 1971 1973 1974 1983 1987 1992 1995 2005
Number of futures 26 25 26 27 28 27 27 21 21 17 19
markets
Number of spot 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
markets
Markets in index 28 27 28 29 28 27 27 21 21 17 19
Markets removed –1 0 –10 –1 –1 –4 –6 –1 –5 –1
Markets added 0 1 9 2 0 4 0 1 1 3
Forward averaging 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 6 Nearby
window (months) rolling
Source: Index Chronology (CRB Reuters/Jefferies, 2007).
In order to permanently guarantee the there is a rebalancing within the first 6-day
representativity of the current commod- work days of each month where over-
ity sector and simultaneously improve the weighted commodities are sold and under-
liquidity as well as the economic relevance weighted ones are bought. In addition to
of the index, its concept was fundamentally these monthly index revisions, the Reuters/
changed with the 10th revision. The switch Jefferies CRB Index Oversight Committee
to the (continuous) nearby rolling method, comprising six members nominated by
where only one single futures contract per Jefferies, Reuters and the Board of Trade of
commodity is used for index calculation, the city of New York, Inc., meets once a year
increases the transparency, tradeability, and to possibly modify the index composition
real replicability of the index. Future roll- and calculation and the processes included
over takes place during the first four work- (Commodity Research Bureau, 2007).
ing days of each month, however, only if no
so-called futures rollover disruption event is
characterized by the following three events: REFERENCES
(1) the relevant contracts for the commodity Commodity Research Bureau (2006) The CRB Ency-
settle at the daily maximum or minimum clopedia of Commodity and Financial Prices.
Commodity Research Bureau, Chicago, IL.
price as determined by the rules for the rel-
Commodity Research Bureau (2007) The CRB Com-
evant exchange, (2) the exchange fails to modity Yearbook. Commodity Research Bureau,
publish an official settlement price for the Chicago, IL.
commodity, (3) the exchange on which the
commodity trades is not scheduled to be
open. Furthermore, the equal weights of
the index constituents were abandoned and
Credit Default Swap
a new four-step sector approach (a tiered
approach) introduced. Hence all relevant Francesco Menoncin
commodities are divided in four different University of Brescia
categories. Category I covers the three main Brescia, Italy
energy commodities (WTI crude oil, heat-
ing oil, and unleaded gas), which together In any kind of swap two parties pay a stream
make up a constant 33% of the index weight. of cash flows to one another during a given
Within the category the weights are deter- period of time. In a credit default swap
mined by the actual traded volume, thus (CDS) one party (protection buyerr) pays a
leading to 23% for crude oil and 5% for the fi xed amount of money at fi xed dates while
other two, respectively. Category II covers the other party (protection sellerr) pays back
seven highly liquid commodities with an something only if a third party (reference
index weight of 6% each. Category III covers entityy) defaults.
four equally weighted liquid commodities As it happens for an insurance policy, in
with a total weight of 20%, thus 5% each. which a periodic premium is paid to receive
Category IV contains five commodities with a refund if a given event happens, in the
1% weight each, which add additional value CDS a periodic premium is paid to receive a
to the index through diversification effects. refund if a credit event happens. According
In order to keep these weights constant, to the International Swaps and Derivatives
PRICING R 0
(which is quite an unlike hypothesis), then risks that result from these discrepancies
we have the simplified relation: are referred to as cross-hedge risks.
In order to avoid market limitations to
δ = Rλ. some extent, the cross-hedging strategy
is based on the assumption that both the
REFERENCES financial instrument position and the deriv-
Hull, J. and White, A. (2000) Valuing credit default
ative position used for the hedge are related.
swaps I: no counterparty default risk. Journal of Prices of both will (should) thus move in the
Derivatives, 8, 29–40. same pattern. It is also possible to combine
Longstaff, F. A., Mihal, S., and Neis, E. (2005) Corporate futures with different underlyings to better
yield spreads: default risk or liquidity? New
Evidence from the credit-default swap market. grasp the characteristics of the underlying
The Journal of Finance, 60, 2213–2253. transaction. The price risk of a cross-hedge
generally decreases as the (future) correla-
tion of the underlying financial instrument
Cross-Hedge increases (Reilly and Brown, 2005).
Suppose an investor wants to secure
the current value of a financial position.
Juliane Proelss Suppose further that there are no futures,
European Business School (EBS) options, or other derivatives available that
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany have the relevant financial positions for the
underlying. If the price of the position falls,
Cross-hedging is a technique used to hedge the investor hopes the financial derivative
or secure the future value of a position of a on the related position will compensate for
financial instrument (such as stocks, com- the loss, due to the negative market fluc-
modities, and bonds) through exposure to tuation. An investor wishing to do a cross-
a derivative position (such as options and hedge is therefore looking for a financial
futures) on another financial instrument. derivative with an underlying that is closely
The process occurs in this way because related to the financial position. In order to
there are no derivatives that have underly- assess which derivative is most suitable, we
ings identical to the financial instrument need to analyze the degree of congruency
from the underlying transaction. Potential of the historical price movements by using
explanations can also be found, however, regression and correlation analyses. For the
in the incongruity of the spot and futures cross-hedge, we usually choose the finan-
markets. If, for example, (1) there are dis- cial derivative that minimizes the variance
crepancies in the maturity or the timing of of the hedging position at the maturity of
the components involved in the cross-hedge, the underlying transaction. However, the
(2) the amount required and the future size historical analysis of the price character-
available do not match, or (3) the underly- istics is a necessary condition. Without
ing characteristics are not identical, then it sound economic justification, the future
will not be possible to perfectly hedge the price development between the underlying
underlying transaction (Ramesh, 2001). The and the chosen financial derivative might
differ significantly from the ex-post price By rearranging and expanding the for-
development. Furthermore, the basis risk mula with the prices of the substitute com-
of cross-hedges usually increases above that modity, we can gain more insight into the
for a direct hedge, because of the differences (basis) risks involved, as follows:
in elasticity of the pricing determinants of
the cross-hedge’s underlying. In order to
profit/ F0 (p1,Cross-Hedge F1 )
loss per =
minimize the cross-hedge risks, we must "direct hedge" basis risk
unit
calculate the hedge ratio, or the correct (p1,Basis p1,Cross-Hedge )
number of contracts (for more details see "cross hedge" basis risk
also Sutcliffe, 2006). p0,Basis
Consider the following example. A pro-
ducer wants to freeze the current market The above formula shows that the basis risk
price of a commodity. Suppose we have a involved in the cross-hedge must be higher
position of n commodity units (the underly- than that for the direct hedge, since it has
ing transaction), with a price off p0,Basis at time two components: (1) the “direct hedge” basis
t = 0, to be secured against a price decline risk, which increases along with the dispar-
at time t = 1, when the producer intends to ity between the standardized underlying
sell. Suppose there is another related com- of the futures and the underlying transac-
modity available with an almost identical tion, and (2) an additional “cross-hedge”
price pattern, with the price p0,Cross-Hedge, basis risk that results from the difference
with futures on the substitute commodity between the spot prices of the two underly-
as the underlying, and price F0 (assuming ings. This implies that even if the maturity
the contract volume is 1) at time t = 0. The of the underlying transaction is identical to
producer has three basic alternatives. First, the futures position, there will be an inher-
if possible, he/she can sell the commodity ent additional “cross-hedge” risk. This is
at t = 0 and bear any resultant costs (i.e., the not necessarily, however, a disadvantage. In
cost of carry, inventory costs, interest, etc.). the case of a short/long hedge, the investor
Second, he/she can speculate that there may benefit from a strengthening/weaken-
will be a price increase. Third, he/she can ing of the basis (see also Steward and Lynch,
do a cross-hedge, or short the futures. 1997).
Given prices in t = 1, the cross-hedge would The above example of a cross-hedge with
result in the following profit/loss per unit, futures is just one possibility for market
if there are no commissions or transaction participants. It has the advantage of low
costs: costs, because the payment profile is sym-
metrical. Thus neither the hedger nor the
profit/loss per unit = profit/loss of the speculator faces one-sided risks. However,
futures + profit/loss the hedger could also do a cross-hedge with
of the underlying options. For example, if the hedger wants
transaction to hedge a long position, he/she may buy
= (FF0 – F1) put options. And because the hedger would
+ (p
( 1,Basis – p0,Basis) still participate in price increases but not
in price declines, the issuer would receive a suppose two market participants are inter-
(option) premium from the hedger for bear- ested in shares of the same company. One
ing the one-sided risk although this makes market participant (MP1) wishes to buy,
the hedge costlier. and bids price pbid. The other (MP2) wishes
To summarize, the success of cross-hedges to sell, and offers price pask. Suppose pbid <
depends significantly on the quality of future pask. Now suppose that another bid (MP3)
price correlation forecasts, because cross- and ask (MP4), with corresponding prices
hedges are based on the similarities between pcross where pbid < pcross < pask, enters the
future correlations of the underlyings to the market. Because MP3 and MP4 will reach a
derivative prices. Although the price risk price agreement on pcross, the share will be
declines significantly, it cannot be com- sold at price pcross at the agreed-upon vol-
pletely eliminated. Cross-hedgers pay addi- ume. If the remaining market participants
tional premiums in the form of increased do not make any concessions, no further
basis risk and additional risk premiums (i.e., transactions will take place. But if con-
the option premium) that depend on the cessions are reached, the share will prob-
payment profile and the risk distribution of ably be sold for a different price than pcross
the derivative used for the cross-hedge. (Morishima, 1984).
This pricing method, however, may cause
REFERENCES market disturbances, because it is possible
that a broker is able to match two offsetting
Ramesh, R. (2001) Financial Analyst’s Indispensable
orders without offering them competitively
Pocket Guide. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Reilly, F. K. and Brown, K. C. (2005) Investment on the floor. Thus, in practice, crossing
Analysis and Portfolio Management. Dryden orders are subject to auction market prin-
Press, Orlando, FL. ciples, which often include a public offering
Steward, C. B. and Lynch, J. H. (1997) International
Bond Portfolio Management. In F. J. Fabozzi
at a bid slightly higher than the minimum
(ed.), Selected Topics in Bond Portfolio Manage- bid-ask of both parties. In the example
ment. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. above, a broker wishing to cross the trade
Sutcliffe, C. M. S. (2006) Hedging, in Stock Index Futures. between MP3 and MP4 must first offer the
Ashgate Publishing Ltd, Hampshire, UK.
shares of MP3 (MP4) at a price one mini-
mum variation higher (lower) than pcross
Cross-Trading (Hasbrouck et al., 1993). The order between
MP3 and MP4 can then only be crossed if
no other market participant or broker is
Lutz Johanning interested. Otherwise, the trade may be
WHU Otto Beisheim School broken up according to the bid and offer
of Management priority, parity, and precedence principles
Vallendar/Koblenz, Germany of the auction market (for more details, see
Hasbrouck et al., 1993).
Cross-trading, or transaction negotiation, is Cross-trading requires high information
the “offsetting or noncompetitive matching standards in order to avoid unfair settlement
of the buy and sell orders of two custom- and increased customer risk, especially when
ers” (Lugra and Ewing, 2000). To illustrate, using electronic trade-matching systems. As
Lugra and Ewing (2000) note, concerns have Since crude oil occurs in different varieties
been expressed about “insufficient system and grades, its value is expressed using cer-
capacity, inadequate system security, and tain benchmarks.
unauthorized customer trading.” However, For example, in North America, the
in addition to contract or auction standards, benchmark is West Texas Intermediate
cross-trading is also subject to Commodity (WTI), which has traded on the New York
Exchange Act and Commodity Futures Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) since
Trading Commission (CFTC) regulations. 1979. In London, the benchmark is the
To ensure fair trade, the CFTC regularly North Sea crude oil Brent/BFO (Brent,
reviews the International Organization of Forties, Oseberg), which has traded on the
Securities Commission’s (IOSCO) minimum International Petroleum Exchange (IPE)
standards for electronic trade-matching. since 1988. The Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) publishes a
REFERENCES price for a basket containing a number of
local Middle Eastern benchmarks (e.g.,
Hasbrouck, J., Sofianos, G., and Sosebee, D. (1993)
Dubai Fateh and Oman).
New York Stock Exchange Systems and Trading
Procedures, NYSE Working Paper. The price differential between crude oil
Lugra, R. G. and Ewing, T. W. (2000) Commodity types reflects the comparative ease of refin-
Exchange Act: issues related to the regula- ing. Less dense (lighter) crudes, such as WTI
tion of electronic trading systems. In: Report
to Congressional Requesters. United States and Brent, easily yield a higher fraction of
Accounting Office, Washington, DC. more valuable product than “heavy” crudes,
Morishima, M. (1984) Markets and the price such as Ural oil. Also, “sweet” crudes with
mechanism. In: The Economics of Industrial
less sulfur content, such as WTI and Brent,
Society. Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, MA. need less processing than “sour” (high-
sulfur) crudes, such as Dubai Fateh. Thus,
“light sweet” crude oils command higher
Crude Oil Market prices than “heavy sour” crudes, which are
more difficult and more expensive to refine.
Refinery shortages can also widen the spread
Roland Füss between more valuable crudes and cheaper
European Business School ones (Energy Information Administration,
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany 2007).
Worldwide, the oil industry is a highly
Crude oil is one of the world’s most impor- concentrated industrial sector, where just
tant and actively traded commodities. 10 national oil companies (NOCs), mostly
Several key factors influence global crude state-owned, control 68% of world oil
oil market prices: (1) supply, demand, and reserves. In addition, since 1960, the world
storage; (2) crude oil type; (3) market par- crude oil market has been significantly
ticipants; and (4) events such as war and influenced by OPEC, whose goal is to sta-
natural disasters. Crude oil is generally bilize worldwide oil prices by adjusting
traded on a world market, so buying and production levels to influence supply and
selling prices are referred to as global prices. demand.
80
60
Nominal dollars per barrel
50
40
30
20
10
0
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
FIGURE 1
Oil prices per barrel. (From Energy Information Administration [EIA].)
Oil prices are determined by current sup- are relatively weak and inflation is high, the
ply and demand, as well as by expectations effects may be considerably worse. However,
about future prices (Horsnell and Mabro, if prices move gradually higher and only
1993). Prices are also affected by transpor- somewhat erratically, they are not likely
tation costs and quality differences between to cause economic recession, even during
the various types of oil. Furthermore, natu- times of modest economic growth (Lee and
ral disasters (e.g., tropical storms, hurri- Ratti, 1995; Huntington, 2005).
canes, extremely cold winters), wars (e.g.,
the Arab-Israeli war in 1973, the Iran-Iraq REFERENCES
war in 1980, the Persian Gulf war in 1990,
Energy Information Administration (July, 2007) Annual
and Iraq war in 2003), militant attacks (e.g., Oil Market Chronology, Washington, DC.
in Nigeria in 2006), oil worker strikes (in Horsnell, P. and Mabro, R. (1993) Oil Markets and
Nigeria in 1994 and in Venezuela in 2002), Prices. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
Huntington, H. G. (2005) The Economic Consequences
and economic shocks can affect oil prices of Higher Crude Oil Prices, Final Report EMF
all over the world (International Energy SR 9, Stanford University, Stanford, CA.
Agency, 2007) Figure 1. International Energy Agency (2007) Oil Market
Report, Paris, France.
Oil price spikes typically slow the rate of
Lee, K., Ni, S., and Ratti, R. A. (1995) Oil shocks and
economic activity. If such shocks occur sud- the macroeconomy: the role of price variability.
denly, when baseline economic conditions The Energy Journal, 16, 39–56.
Timothy W. Dempsey
DHK Financial Advisors Inc.
Portsmouth, New Hampshire, USA REFERENCE
http://www.hedgeindex.com
The Credit Suisse-Tremont Hedge Fund
Index is the first asset-weighted hedge fund
index. The index offers a representation
of an investment in the alternative assets
category by closely replicating the entire
Curb Trading
hedge fund universe. The index neither
underweighs the best performing funds Don Powell
nor overweighs bad performing funds. The Northern Trust
index represents about 400 hedge funds Chicago, Illinois, USA
from different classifications. Each hedge
fund that is part of the index must have This is also known as “kerb” trading. It is
more than $50 million under management a form of trading that takes place via tele-
with a 1-year performance record, as well phone, computer, or any other means after
as maintain financial statements that have the official market has closed. Originally
been audited by an accounting firm. The named for securities that were traded out-
index must have documents for each of its side the New York Stock Exchange “on the
hedge fund managers, while maintaining curb,” because the securities were thought
transparency for investors. The rebalanc- to be unfit for the regular market. In 1848,
ing of the index is done on a monthly basis, curb trading took place on the streets of
and every quarter the selection process for New York. “The curb brokers often blocked
including or excluding hedge fund manag- the streets, and windows in the adjoining
ers occurs through a committee or board buildings were filled with brokers signaling
of CSFB/Tremont. To maintain a truthful orders to the street below.” The NYSE tried
representation, the index eliminates hedge to protect itself from these traders by ban-
funds that do not accurately report their net ning access to its trading sessions. However,
performance monthly returns and removes savvy traders eventually drilled a hole in a
funds that have closed down their opera- brick wall to the Exchange in order to hear
tions. The index has 10 different subclassi- the quotations and relay them to the street.
fications and its main goals and objectives Under the Commodity Exchange Act and
is to represent the hedge fund universe by Commodity Futures Trading Commission
more than 85% of assets under management rules, curb trading, or trading after hours,
in each of the subclassifications making is illegal.
Daniel Schmidt
Center of Private Equity Research
CEPRES GmbH
Munich, Germany
The term “deal flow,” used by venture capitalists, refers to the number of
potential investments that are offered to a fund in a given period of time. It
is a measure of the volume of investment opportunities made available to a
private equity investor and of the rate at which these opportunities are pre-
sented to the investors. A good deal flow means investment opportunities
coming in high quality and consistent quantity. Deal flow is often regarded
as the lifeline of private equity firms and critically influences the success of
the investment program. It may be driven by the limited partners’ total
capital available, investment strategies, reputation, how effectively the inves-
tors present themselves to the market, the extensiveness of the investors’
network, and so on. Some firms do better in capturing deal flows than others;
experienced managers can exploit the flaws of the market to their own advan-
tage. In private equity, where little public information is available, knowledge
of the market and experience in the field thus become valuable assets. There are
firms that specialize in deal flow origination and management. They provide
the investors looking to promote their deal flows with help in the form of man-
agement advice and/or direct delivery of attractive investment opportunities.
REFERENCE
Kaplan, S. and Schoar, S. (2005) Private equity performance: returns, persistence, and capital
flows. The Journal of Finance, 60, 1791–1823.
Sven Olboeter
Technical University at Braunschweig
Braunschweig, Germany
Every futures contract has a delivery month in which trading takes place.
There are two kinds of futures delivery months. The first are futures with a
133
delivery month in the near future. For the up to harvest. Their reasoning is founded
second, futures delivery months are far away. on the well-known equation for the basis
These types of delivery months are called of a futures contract: basis = cash price –
“deferred delivery month” because the deliv- futures prices. We thus have: cash price =
ery does not occur nearby (see Hull, 2007). basis + futures price. Taking expectation
Consider, for example, a futures contract on both sides, we get: expected cash price =
where delivery takes place in the following expected basis + futures price. Hence, the
month, for example, January. It is now pos- technique of forecasting is simple. It con-
sible to close this contract by a counter deal sists of adding a forecast of the basis to
and reestablish the former futures position today’s future price of the futures contract
with a delivery month far in the future, for that will be nearby during the forecast per-
example, May. So, the delivery is deferred iod. Note that commodity futures prices
from January to May. When the supply of may be used to forecast future spot prices
a traded commodity of a futures contract is because there is a convenience premium in
very low, participants of the future markets the cost-of-carry of a commodity. The net
are willing to pay a premium for contracts cost-of-carry, designated by cc, is equal to:
with a nearby delivery month in compari- cc = financing cost + storage cost − con-
son to contracts with a deferred delivery venience premium. The convenience pre-
month, so that such kinds of futures con- mium is not an observed variable and thus
tracts are traded in backwardation. allows the futures price to be used as fore-
cast of the corresponding future spot price.
The price Fc of a commodity contract is
REFERENCE
thus: Fc = Scecc, where Sc is the spot price of
Hull, J. (2007) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. the commodity. But a strict arbitrage argu-
Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey.
ment rules the computation of the price of
a financial contract. If the underlying does
Deferred Futures not pay dividends or any other cash-flow,
the price FF of a financial contract is: FF =
erSF, with r being the risk-free rate and SF—
François-Éric Racicot the spot rate of the underlying. This relation
University of Québec at Outaouais is determinist and we, thus, cannot use the
Gatineau, Québec, Canada futures price as a forecasting tool in this case
(Kastens and Dhuyvetter, 1998; Racicot and
A deferred futures is a futures contract that Théoret, 2004, 2006).
expires during the most distant months.
It is also called “back months.” According REFERENCES
to Kastens and Schroeder (1996), deferred
Kastens, T. L. and Dhuyvetter, K. C. (1998) Postharvest
commodity futures prices contain consider- grain marketing with efficient futures. Working
able information regarding market expect- paper, Kansas State University, Manhattan,
ations of futures prices. For instance, they Kansas.
Kastens, T. L. and Schroeder, T. C. (1996) Efficiency
show that wheat deferred futures prices are
test of July Kansas City wheat futures. Journal
considered as the best estimate of harvest of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 21,
time price from 6 months prior to harvest 187–198.
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2004) Traité de Gestion uses Strict Low Middling, 1 2/32nd inch sta-
de Portefeuille. Presses de l’Université du
ple cotton as the cash price equivalent for
Québec, Québec.
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2006) Finance Compu- quality specification and delivery purposes.
tationnelle et Gestion des Risques. Presses de
l’Université du Québec, Québec.
REFERENCES
Rogers, J. (2004) Hot Commodities. Random House,
Deliverable Grades New York.
Spurga, R. (2006) Commodity Fundamentals: How to
Trade the Precious Metals, Energy, Grain, and
Stefan Ulreich Tropical Commodity Markets, Wiley. Hoboken,
NJ.
E.ON AG
Düsseldorf, Germany
Delivery Date
The common grades of commodities, as
determined by the government and/or the
exchange, must be partially met while deliv- Sergio Sanfilippo Azofra
ering income against futures contracts. The University of Cantabria
differences in grades can either sell at a pre- Cantabria, Spain
mium or at a discount. In some cases a vari-
ety of deliverable grades is given in order In futures contracts for commodities, the
to meet the contracts in the cash or in the purchase or sales price of commodity on a
future markets, thus reducing the delivery future date at a specific price is agreed. In
risk. The fact that the delivered commodity majority of cases, the investors who oper-
in the futures market might have specifica- ate with these contracts close out their posi-
tions other than those needed by the buyer tions prior to the delivery period specified
leads to a basis risk. For example, crude oil in the contract. However, when they do not
is differentiated by the location of explora- close out their positions, they proceed to
tion (e.g., Brent, Western Texas, Dubai, and the delivery of the underlying asset (only a
Tapis), its viscosity (light, intermediate, small proportion of futures contracts that
heavy), and its sulfur content (sweet, sour). are negotiated in the organized markets
An oil future contract specifies the quality lead to the delivery of the underlying asset).
of the crude oil underlying the contract. Therefore, the delivery day is the day on
NYMEX Light Sweet Crude Oil futures which the delivery of the underlying asset
references to crude oil with a sulfur content has to be made and the dealer having a short
of lower than or equal to 0.42% and 40° API, position must issue a notice of intention to
for example, Western Texas Intermediate, deliver to the exchange clearinghouse. As
New Mexican Sweet, or Oklahoma Sweet. a result, the number of contracts that will
The delivery of other qualities, for exam- be delivered is established, together with
ple, Brent Crude or Oseberg Blend, leads where the delivery has been made and the
to lower prices for the seller, while in the grade that will be delivered. Each organized
case of Nigerian Bonny Light a higher price market establishes its own delivery proce-
results. The NYBOT Cotton No. 2 contract dures for each contract; thus, according to
the Chicago Board of Trade Market (http:// shipping certificates, demand certificates,
www.cbot.com), “The Delivery of Denatured and so on. So, for example, in futures con-
Fuel Ethanol Shipping Certificates may be tracts for Ethanol within the Chicago Board
made by the Seller upon any permissible of Trade, it is specified that: “the delivery
delivery day of the delivery month but no instrument for the Ethanol contract will be
later than the second business day following a shipping certificate, which gives the buyer
the last day of trading in a delivery month.” the right, but not the obligation to demand
load-out of physical ethanol from the firm
that issued the certificate […]. Shipping
REFERENCES
certificates are only issued by firms that are
Hull, J. (1997) Introduction to Futures and Options approved to be regular for delivery by the
Markets. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Chicago Board of Trade […].”
Kleinman, G. (2005) Trading Commodities and
Financial Future: A Step by Step Guide to
Mastering the Markets. Prentice Hall, Upper
Saddle River, NJ. REFERENCES
CBOT. (2006) Handbook of Futures and Options.
McGraw Hill, New York, NY.
Delivery Instrument Kerr, K. (2007) A Maniac Commodity Trader’s Guide
to making a Fortune: A Not-So-Crazy Roadmap
to Riches. Agora, Newark, NJ.
positions because in contrast to forward value. For example, a jewelry store in New
contracts, and although futures contracts York might enter into a futures contract
are standardized, they often do not specify to protect against a sudden increase in the
that delivery is to take place on a particu- price of gold. Further, they might wish to
lar day; that is, the contract is referred to take actual delivery of gold to prepare mer-
by its delivery month and allows the holder chandise for sales in their retail outlets. How
of the short position to deliver at any time and exactly where gold is to be delivered is
during this period, provided the intention determined by the exchange on which gold
to deliver is advised a few days before deliv- trades. Speculators in this market attempt
ery. In commodities trading the short posi- to profit on price movements and do not
tion also fi xes the delivery location and the wish to take actual possession of gold, just
commodities grade. the profits they can earn.
REFERENCES REFERENCES
Hull, J. C. (2000) Options, Futures, and Other Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, R. (2003) Capital Markets,
Derivatives. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle Institutions, and Instruments. Prentice Hall,
River, NJ. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey.
Kline, D. (2000) Fundamentals of the Futures Market. Suresh, S. (1997) Fixed Income Markets and their
McGraw-Hill, New York, NY. Derivatives. South–Western Publishing, Mason,
Loader, D. (2005) Clearing and Settlement of Ohio.
Derivatives. Elsevier, Burlington, MA.
Demand Rights
Delivery Point
Stephan Bucher
Robert Christopherson Dresdner Bank AG
State University of New York (Plattsburgh) Frankfurt, Germany
Plattsburgh, New York, USA
A Demand Right grants the investor the
The delivery point is where a commodity is option to demand the company to initiate
actually delivered if the buyer of a futures and pursue the registration of the holder’s
contract decides to take possession of the stock so that it can be sold on the public
commodity. The delivery agreement should market. By granting access to the public
specify the exact location, the quantity and stock markets, Demand Rights offer inves-
quality of the asset to be delivered, and tors the possibility to generate liquidity and
the exact date and time of delivery. Many unlock the potential value of their invest-
futures contracts are canceled before the ment. Demand Rights may be of significant
expiration date and delivery never occurs; concern to strategic investors who hold
however, in some cases, end users of com- a sizable stake in the company and might
modities want delivery to occur. In other therefore be considered as an ‘affiliate.’
cases, speculators do not wish to take physi- In the absence of a full registration state-
cal delivery of a contract but rather the cash ment, the amount and timing of shares that
can be sold by affi liates are restricted and facilities is regulated by United States Code,
therefore hamper their access to liquidity. Title 7—Agriculture, Chapter 1, also known
Consequently, strategic investors may seek as the Commodity Exchange Act (CEAct),
Demand Rights as a means of achieving specifically in Section 7a, “Derivatives
liquidity from its equity investment. Transaction Execution Facilities.” According
Going public can be expensive and time- to those regulations, any DTEF must be
consuming, and may adversely affect capital- registered with the Commodity Futures
raising plans of the company. Therefore, Trading Commission (CFTC) [see also
the investor generally will want to negotiate CFTC (2006)]. Since access to DTEFs is
limitations in the registration rights agree- more restrictive, they are subject to fewer
ment, such as limiting when rights can be regulatory requirements than regular
exercised, minimum percentage of investors (designated) contract markets, where retail
necessary to exercise, the size of the offering, participants are generally allowed to trade.
and the allocation of expenses. The company To qualify as a DTEF, trading facilities are
could be granted the right to delay demand also subject to the following rules:
registrations, if business conditions were
adverse or if the registration of the stock had • Contracts traded on DTEFs are sub-
negative impacts on the company. ject to criteria that ensure delivery
supply and market fungibility, and min-
imize market manipulation. According
REFERENCES to the CEAct, the CFTC distinguishes
Camp, J. (2002) Venture Capital due Diligence: A between two types of commodity con-
Guide to making Smart Investment Choices tracts allowed for trade:
and Increasing your Portfolio Returns. Wiley, 1. Excluded commodities, where the
Hoboken, NJ.
underlying commodity has no cash
Taylor, J. and Bell, S. (2004) Structuring, Negotiating
& Implementing Strategic Alliances. Practising market and a nearly inexhaust-
Law Institute, New York, NY. ible deliverable supply that is large
enough for the contract to be con-
sidered highly unsusceptible to
Derivatives Transaction manipulation. The contract must
also be a security futures product,
Execution Facility that is, financial commodities
(DTEF) [Section 7a. (b) CEAct].
2. Exempt commodities, where the
CFTC makes individual deter-
Lutz Johanning minations based on commodity
WHU Otto Beisheim School characteristics that the contract
of Management (or option) is highly unsusceptible
Vallendar/Koblenz, Germany
to manipulation, that is, metals and
energy commodities [Section7a. (b)
A derivatives transaction execution facility CEAct].
(DTEF) is a specialized commodity deriva- Note that agricultural commodi-
tives board of trade. Operation of these ties are neither excluded nor exempt
will profit from decrease in the price of the responsibilities to an investment manager.
underlying positions. Hedge fund managers The manager has the authority to make
tend to combine long and short positions portfolio decisions, such as what securi-
in the market they are active in but have a ties to buy, at what price, and at what time,
greater number of long positions than short without the preapproval of the owner. At
ones globally (more short position than long the onset, the owner may specify some
positions). While in nondirectional strate- investment restrictions, such as limits on
gies the weight of the longs and the shorts allocations to selected companies, coun-
tend to be almost equal to limit the market tries, or instruments, but otherwise let the
risk, that is, the risk of loosing money in case discretionary manager follow the strategy
of unexpected market move. Long exposure in which he specializes. When trustees of
can be taken not only in equity markets but a pension plan delegate investment respon-
also in fixed income markets and the com- sibilities to a discretionary manager, they
modities markets. Generally, a strategy or obtain professional management for the
managers are said to be directional when account and transfer fiduciary liability to
they try to profit from the market trend. the manager. Large discretionary mandates
Classic mutual funds can be seen as extreme are often managed in separate or managed
directional funds as they are almost always accounts.
100% long the market while trying to beat Unlike commingled funds, separate
their respective benchmark. In some cases, accounts are created for the benefit of a sole
hedge funds managers take an approach of investor. Hedge fund managers often offer
being invested in 100% long equities. Funds separate accounts with high investment
invested in illiquid positions may or may not minimums—typically $10 million. These
be impacted by general market movements accounts are managed in parallel to a main
due to their illiquidity. hedge fund offering but they offer the inves-
tor higher transparency and liquidity than
REFERENCES the fund does. Once a separate account is
opened with a broker, the client can moni-
Bruce, B. R. (2002) Hedge Fund Strategies: A Global
Outlook. Euromoney Institutional Investor tor the investment activity, track all gains,
PLC. losses, and investments made on his behalf
Kirschner, S., Mayer, E. C., and Kessler, L. (2006) The by the manager, receive regular risk reports,
Investor’s Guide to Hedge Funds. John Wiley and
Sons, Hoboken, New Jersey.
and be fully informed but still have the
benefit of outsourcing the active investment
decisions.
Discretionary Account
TABLE 1
Discretionary vs. Mechanical System Trader
Discretionary Trader Mechanical System Trader
Trades “information” flow Trades “data” flow
Anticipatory traders Participatory Traders
Subjective Objective
Many rules Few rules
Emotional Unemotional
Varies “key” indicator from trade to trade “Key” indicators are always the same
Few markets Many markets
Source: Chande (2001).
where Pe1 = the emergence price of the dis- The last is consistent with earlier evidence
tressed debt; Pe0 = the emergence price of provided by Pulvino (1998) who argues that
the debt discounted to the time of default; recovery rate should depend on the condi-
Ie = high yield bond indices level at the tion of the industry in which the distressed
emergence date; Id = high yield bond indi- firm operates. He shows that aircrafts sold
ces level at the default date. by financially distressed firms receive lower
Pe1 or the emergence price has been prices than companies that sell aircrafts
obtained by the authors from Standard and when they are not financially constrained
Poor’s Credit Pro database. Credit Pro uses (Pulvino, 1998).
the trading prices of the prepetition debt It is possible to argue that the relevant
instruments at the time of emergence as measure for return on distressed debt or
well as the earliest recorded trading prices recovery rate should not be computed rela-
of the new instruments received at bank- tive to the face value of the debt and the cor-
ruptcy settlement, among others. rect benchmark is the price of the bond once
As different firms spend different amount it satisfies the definition of “distressed debt”
of time in bankruptcy, discounting stan- or once it defaults or files for bankruptcy.
dardizes the amount of future recoveries to Using a sample of corporate bankruptcies
their value at the time of default. Lehman filed in Arizona and New York between 1995
Brothers, Merrill Lynch and Solomon and 2001, Bris et al. (2006) obtain recovery
Brothers high yield bond indices have been rate as the following:
used by the authors to discount the emer-
gence price. These indices are for total Ve
Recovery
return and include reinvestment income. Vd
Recovery rate is a function of the type of
debt. The authors show that senior secured where Ve = “Value of assets” on emergence
debts have a recovery rate of 59.1% and were of bankruptcy; Vd = “Value of assets” prior
closely followed by senior unsecured with to default.
a recovery of 55.9%. Senior subordinated The “value of assets” is as declared by the
debts recover 34.4% or about a third of the firms and Ve is before subtracting legal and
face value. Subordinated and junior subor- administrative expenses. Asset values are
dinated debts recover only 27 and 18 cents self-reported by the firms in distress, may
to a dollar of face value, respectively. not always be market value, and occasion-
Finally, the authors find that recovery ally include intangibles.
rate is the highest in the utility industry For secured creditors, the authors find
with an average of 74.5% (of the face value a median (mean) recovery rate of 0.8%
of debt) and the lowest in the insurance and (17.2%) for the firms that filed for Chapter
real estate industry, closely followed by the 7 liquidation and 86.9% (106.5%) for the
transportation industry with average recov- firms that filed for Chapter 11 reorganiza-
eries of 37.1% and 38.9%, respectively. This tion (Bris, Welch, and Zhu, 2006). These
suggests that recovery may be asset specific. results should not be interpreted as evid-
Recovery rate is also lower when a large ence that the choice of Chapter 7 liquida-
number of firms default around the same tion or Chapter 11 reorganization accounts
time. for such large differences in the recovery
rate. Rather, the firms that have a higher of distressed firm. Journal of Financial Econo-
mics, 43, 401–432.
expected value as an ongoing concern are
Pulvino, T. C. (1998) Do asset fire sales exist? An
more likely to file for Chapter 11 reorga- empirical investigation of commercial aircraft
nization. The authors, however, argue that transactions. Journal of Finance, 53, 939–978.
Chapter 11 allows superior asset preserva- Vazza, D., Aurora, D., and Kraemer, N. (2007) Credit
Trends: US Distressed Debt Monitor, Global
tion. Hence, creditors recover more than Fixed Income Research. Standard and Poor’s,
they would in a comparable Chapter 7. New York.
The authors also report that the median
(mean) expenses for Chapter 7 liquidation
and Chapter 11 reorganization are 2.5% Distressed Securities
(8.1%) and 1.9% (16.9%) of the prebank-
ruptcy asset value, respectively. Both recov-
eries and expenses are positively skewed. François-Serge Lhabitant
If all distressed firms behave similar to HEC University of Lausanne, Lausanne
EDHEC, Nice, France
the sample used by the authors, and if at the
onset of distress investors are able to pick
the Chapter 11 firms that eventually have a “Distressed securities” is a generic term
recovery in the 75th percentile or higher but that usually points at public and private
bankruptcy expenses in the 50th percentile debt and equity securities of firms that have
or lower, they are likely to earn approxi- defaulted or are in the process of doing so.
mately 18% or higher return between Most of the time, this arises because these
bankruptcy filing and emergence. These firms have a bad balance sheet (their liabili-
returns are without adjusting for risk. Even ties exceed their assets) or weak cash flows
if the distressed firm spends only 550 days (they are unable to meet their debt ser-
(25th percentile in the sample used by the vice and interest payments as they become
authors) in bankruptcy, whether the level of due). By convenience, debt securities that
return is adequate for the risk involved or if trade at sufficiently discounted prices—the
it is comparable to any relevant benchmark usual threshold is an excess yield of 10%
is beyond the scope of this discussion. above comparable duration U.S. Treasury
bonds—are usually also considered as dis-
tressed securities.
REFERENCES The key point in distressed securities
investing is that there are more sellers than
Acharya, V. V., Sreedhar, T. B., and Anand, S. (2007) buyers. Many individual investors panic
Does industry wide distress affect defaulted
firms? Evidence from creditor recoveries. at the early signs of financial distress and
Journal of Financial Economics, 85, 787–821. would do anything to exit from their posi-
Bris, A., Welch, I., and Zhu, N. (2006) The costs tions. Many institutional investors are
of bankruptcy: Chapter 7 liquidation versus
Chapter 11 reorganization. Journal of Finance,
banned by their mandates from holding dis-
61, 1253–1303. tressed securities (or noninvestment grade
Eberhart, A. C. and Sweeney, R. J. (1992) Does the securities) and will become forced sellers.
bond market predict bankruptcy settlements? As a result, the price of distressed securities
Journal of Finance, 47, 943–980.
Hotchkiss, E. S. and Mooradian, R. M. (1997) Vulture is usually far below their fair value and they
investors and the market for corporate control offer interesting investment opportunities,
provided one is willing to spend some time of senior securities to obtain a blocking
liquidating or restructuring the underlying position, that is, more than one-third of the
issuers. given class of claims, and then opening
In several countries, there is a very clear the negotiations with other claimholders.
process and priority order when it comes The controlling position is often held for a
to liquidating or restructuring a company. long-term period and the exit will only take
For instance, in the United States, senior place after the issuer’s recovery.
secured creditors are paid first (mortgages,
senior secured bank loans) followed by
senior unsecured (senior unsecured bank
loans, bonds), subordinated unsecured
Diversified
(trade claims, lease rejection claims, prior- Classification
ity claims, convenience class claims), and
ultimately equity. While financial distress
will usually significantly impact the price Keith H. Black
of all claims because of the panicked sell- Ennis Knupp and Associates
ers, the reality is that some creditors are in a Chicago, Illinois, USA
better situation than others if the distressed
entity were to be liquidated. If they are will- Commodity trading advisers (CTAs) trade
ing to hold their securities and face tempo- a variety of futures and currency markets.
rary illiquidity, they can use their bargaining CTAs may also be referred to as managed
power to negotiate debt restructurings, hold futures funds. The underlying futures con-
up other claimants (typically the junior lend- tracts traded by these funds may repre-
ers), and avoid liquidation, either in out-of- sent investments in commodity markets,
court restructurings as well as in Chapter 11 including energy, industrial metals, pre-
reorganizations. This is exactly what dis- cious metals, grains, meats, and softs. CTAs
tressed securities hedge funds are doing. may also trade financial futures and for-
There are essentially two approaches to ward contracts, including interest rates and
distressed securities investing: the trading- fi xed income securities, equity indices, and
orientedd approach and the control-oriented currencies. CTAs that trade only financial
approach. The trading-oriented approach futures and forwards fit into the financial
consists in opportunistically purchasing classification of CTAs. Most CTAs would
distressed securities because of their attrac- fall into the diversified classification, which
tive valuations and selling them quickly to trade futures on both financial and physi-
another entity at a higher price. There is cal commodities. On average, commodity
usually no intention to seek control over trading advisers invest about 75% of assets
the underlying issuer. By contrast, the con- in financial futures and forwards, and only
trol-oriented approach consists in buying about 25% in futures on energy, metals,
fundamentally good businesses and taking and agricultural commodities. Generally,
an active role in their restructuring, either financial futures are more liquid than com-
on the operational or on the financial side modity futures. This greater liquidity leads
or on both. The investment process usually CTAs to have a larger allocation to financial
starts by accumulating a significant amount futures.
To compute the optimal value of θ P and θ E that is, we go long on the commodity for-
(i.e., the double hedging) we need to know ward by the amount of the optimal produc-
the joint behavior of all the stochastic vari- tion and we go long on the exchange rate
ables. Using the covariance identity (with C forward by the forward (foreign) value of
the covariance operator), the two last FOCs the optimal production. Battermann and
can be written as Broll (2001) have generalized this frame-
work for taking into account the inflation
⎡ ∂U ( ) ⎤ risk by obtaining that θ E depends on the
C⎢ E ; (PF P )⎥
⎣ ∂ ⎦ cost function.
⎡ ∂U ( ) ⎤
E ⎢ E ⎥ E[PF P ] 0
⎣ ∂ ⎦ REFERENCES
⎡ ∂U ( ) ⎤ Battermann, H. L. and Broll, U. (2001) Inflation risk,
C⎢ ; ( EF E ) ⎥
⎣ ∂ ⎦ hedging, and exports. Review of Development
Economics, 5, 355–362.
⎡ ∂U ( ) ⎤ Kawai, M. and Zilcha, I. (1986) International trade with
E ⎢
⎣ ∂ ⎥⎦ [ EF E ] 0 forward–futures markets under exchange rate
and price uncertainty. Journal of International
Economics, 20, 83–98.
We will now introduce the two most rele-
vant assumptions: (i) the commodity future
market is unbiased (i.e., E[P F − P] = 0), and
(ii) the risk premium on the exchange rate is Dow Jones-AIG
zero. If we call Q the risk neutral probabil-
ity measure, then Hypothesis (ii) implies
Commodity Index
E[EF − E] = EQ[EF − E] = 0. The commod-
ity future has not been evaluated by using Hilary F. Till
Q since this probability only relates to the Premia Capital Management, LLC
financial market. Chicago, Illinois, USA
If Hypotheses i and ii hold, then the two
previous FOCs ask for the two covariances to
According to Raab (2007), the Dow Jones-
be zero. In other words, we want Π to depend
AIG Commodity Index (DJ-AIGCI) uses
neither on P nor on E. This means that θP
two-thirds of a dollar-weighted liquidity
and θE must be set in order to have zero coef-
measure combined with one-third of a
ficients for both P and E in Equation 1
dollar-weighted world-production measure
to determine which commodities to include
PEQ ∗ P PE 0
in the index. Any commodity that falls
PEQ ∗ P (PF P )E E E 0 below a 0.5% threshold is eliminated from
consideration. Also, the DJ-AIGCI limits
from which we immediately obtain the weightings for each commodity sector to
double hedging strategy 33% and rebalances annually. The sector
weighting limits are in contrast to the S&P
P Q∗
GSCI, which was weighted 70% in energies,
E Q ∗ PF as of the spring of 2007. Like the GSCI, the
DJ-AIGCI consists of the same five com- than 100% indicates a manager lost more
modity sectors: energy, industrial metals, than the index when the index had negative
agriculture, livestock, and precious met- returns. Likewise, a down capture ratio that
als. The DJ-AIGCI consists of 19 individual is less than 100% indicates a manager lost
commodities while the GSCI includes 24 less than the index when the index had neg-
commodities. The DJ-AIGCI was launched ative returns. Lastly, a down capture ratio
in 1998. Akey (2007) notes that the unique that is negative indicates a manager had
benefits of the DJ-AIGCI are its emphasis positive returns when the index had nega-
on liquidity for weighting and its diversi- tive returns. Since the down capture ratio
fication rules. As of the end of 2006, there measures how much of the negative index
was an estimated US$30 billion tracking returns a manager captured, the less it is
the DJ-AIGCI. the better. However, the down capture ratio
(and all risk measures) should be evalu-
REFERENCES ated in conjunction with other investment
metrics to best assess the manager’s perfor-
Akey, R. (2007) Alpha, beta, and commodities: can a
commodities investment be both a high-risk-
mance and risk profile.
adjusted return source and a portfolio hedge?”
In: H. Till and J. Eagleeye (eds.), Intelligent
Commodity Investing. Risk Books, London. REFERENCE
Raab, D. (2007) Index fundamentals. In H. Till and
J. Eagleeye (eds.), Intelligent Commodity Davidow, A. (2005) Asset Allocation and Manager
Investing. Risk Books, London. Selection. Handout 5, p. 8. Morgan Stanley
Consulting Services Group, New York.
The down capture ratio is a measure of a A down round d is private equity or venture
manager’s sensitivity to an index when the capital financing for a company where the
index has negative returns. It is calculated valuation is lower than that in the prior
by dividing the manager’s annualized per- round of fundraising. This is especially
formance return for the intervals of time common in venture capital, a subset of the
during the measurement period when the private equity industry that focuses on high
index was negative by the index’s negative risk, high growth opportunities. Venture
returns over the same intervals (Davidow, capital firms use staged capitall where they
2005). For example, if the S&P 500 was down provide a limited amount of capital to an
100 basis points and a manager was down entrepreneurial company, typically invest-
35 basis points over the exact same period ing enough to help it advance to an impor-
of time, the down capture ratio would equal tant milestone thereby demonstrating that
35%. A down capture ratio that is greater the overall investment risk has been reduced
70%
60% Good returns
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
−10%
−20% Bad returns
−30%
1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
S&P 500 12 month return Mean
FIGURE 1
Minimum Acceptable return (MAR).
measures the variation of returns below this sell 100% of the shares to the purchaser.
value. As a result, founding partners or entre-
The formula for downside deviation can preneurs could lose their companies. At
be expressed as follows: the same time, the right ensures that the
minority shareholders get the offer under
1/ 2
⎛⎛ N ⎞ ⎞ the same conditions. The drag-along right,
Downside Deviation ⎜ ⎜ ∑ (LI )2 ⎟ N⎟
⎝
⎝ I1 ⎠ ⎠ along with other stringent investor rights,
has gained more importance after the era of
where R I = Return for period I; N = poor deal structuring in 1999 to 2000 and
Number of periods; RMAR = Period mini- is now a common prerequisite to conclud-
mum acceptable return; LI = R I − RMAR ing any new investment. Not many venture
(If R I − RMAR < 0) or 0 (If R I − RMAR ≥ 0). capitalists today will be willing to forgo the
When comparing investments, a lower drag along right in their contracts.
value for downside deviation is considered
better.
REFERENCE
Chemla, G., Habib, M., and Ljungqvist, A. (2007) An
Drag-Along Right analysis of shareholder agreements. Journal of
the European Economic Association, 5, 93–121.
Daniel Schmidt
CEPRES GmbH Drawdown
Center of Private Equity Research
Munich, Germany
Markus Leippold
This contractual right, most commonly Imperial College
London, England, UK
contained in the company’s shareholders’
agreement, enables the majority share-
holder (usually holding more than 75% Drawdown is a metric used in risk-
in nominal value) to “drag” the minority management, particularly for hedge funds
shareholders into a specific action, such and fund of funds. The drawdown measures
as selling their shares to the same pur- the distance between a historical peak of an
chaser. The majority shareholder must give investment portfolio over a prespecified
the minority shareholders who are being period and the current portfolio value. The
dragged into the deal the same price, terms, drawdown is often expressed in percentage
and conditions as any other seller. The right of the current portfolio value. Formally, if
is intended to be a protection of the major- Vt is the value of the portfolio at time t, the
ity shareholding venture capitalists. Some drawdown δtTT at time T measured over a
purchasers may be exclusively seeking to time interval [t, T] is defined as
gain complete ownership of a company,
in which case the drag-along right helps
the venture capitalist to realize the deal by max s ∈[t ,T ] (Vs ) VT
(1)
tT
eliminating the minority shareholders and VT
As becomes clear from its definition in may also provide some additional informa-
Equation 1 the drawdown δtTT is strictly tion on the nature of the risk underlying the
nonnegative. investment portfolio.
To use the drawdown defined in Equation To clarify the concept behind the above
1 as a risk-metric, we often look at the maxi- drawdown measures we simulate in Panel
mum drawdown, which is defined as 1 of Figure 1 the evolution of a hypotheti-
cal portfolio over 10 periods. In Panel 2,
the solid line represents the different draw-
max
tT max s ∈[t ,T ]( ts ) (2)
downs δ0TT as defined in Equation 1 for each
time instance T = 1, …, 11. The maximum
In addition, the average drawdown drawdown defined in Equation 2 of 21.6%
is marked with a star. The dashed horizon-
tal line represents the average drawdown
1 T
avg
tT ∑
T t st
ts (3) defined in Equation 3, which is 7.2% for the
period considered.
Panel 1 Panel 2
180 0.25
170
160 0.2
150
Portfolio value
Drawdown
140 0.15
130
120 0.1
110
100 0.05
90
0
2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10
Time Time
FIGURE 1
Portfolio value, drawdown, maximum drawdown, and average drawdown.
bidder and his/her information about the may produce higher price and lower average
probability of other bids. Reserve utility is surplus for the buyers relative to the Pareto-
his/her subjective valuation of the good being optimal English auction and can be relatively
auctioned. If he/she bids as soon as the price inefficient from the bidders’ point of view.
falls to his/her reserve utility, he/she maxi- Similarly, there are other extremes where
mizes the probability of winning the item, Dutch auction produces lower price and may
but minimizes his/her surplus, that is, the be inefficient from seller’s perspective.
difference between the winning bid and his/ Despite the complexity of the Dutch auc-
her reserve utility. If he/she waits longer for tion process and the optimization prob-
prices to fall further, he/she increases his/ lem faced by the bidders due to the tradeoff
her surplus but reduces his/her probability between maximizing the surplus or gain
of winning the item. Accordingly, other from winning and the probability of win-
bidders will behave based on their expecta- ning the auction item, Vickrey argued and
tion about the first bidder’s behavior. Milgrom further elaborated that the task of
Noble Laureate economist William a bidder in a Dutch auction is similar to that
Vickrey has shown that under a set of of a bidder in a sealed bid auction (Milgrom,
assumptions both the progressive price 1989). In a sealed bid auction, the seller sells
English auction and the regressive price the goods to the highest bidder at his/her
Dutch auction results in the same average own bid. Milgrom argues that in both cases
expected price and gains for the buyers and the bidder’s choice is to determine the price
the sellers. The variance of the price, how- at which he/she is willing to obtain the good.
ever, is smaller for the Dutch auction by a In case of a Dutch auction, the bidder starts
factor of (N − 1)/2N N than the English auc- with the highest price he/she is willing to bid.
tion where N is the number of bidders. The When price drops to that level, the bidder has
variance of the gain by the winning bid- the option to bid or to wait. If he/she chooses
der is smaller by a factor of 1/N N2 in case of to wait, he/she updates the highest price he/
a Dutch auction (Vickrey, 1961). Hence, for she is willing to bid at that point based on the
risk-averse buyers and sellers, Dutch auction latest information. This process is repeated
is slightly better than the English auction and can be summarized into a single price
because of the smaller variance of gains. that the bidder is willing to pay. Hence, the
Vickrey further argues that where bidders Dutch auction and sealed bid auction should
are fairly sophisticated and homogeneous, result in the same selling price.
that is, they have similar information and In the same article, however, Milgrom
bidding strategies, the Dutch auction may suggests that in laboratory experiments
produce results that are close to Pareto- where stakes are low, the above prediction
optimal case of English auction. The term does not hold. In these experiments, win-
“Pareto-optimal” suggests that an alterna- ning bidders in a Dutch auction on aver-
tive allocation (than the existing one) where age pay a lower price than the sealed bid
one bidder is better off without making at auction. He postulates that the design of a
least one bidder worse off is not possible Dutch auction discourages the bidders from
for the good being auctioned. Where the advance planning and hence results in lower
bidders have different set of information price. Other alternatives suggested by him
or are less sophisticated, Dutch auction are (1) the bidders in these experiments are
set about current and past market condi- asset allocation; m(t, I(t))
t is a multiplier that
tions, denoted as I(t):
t defines the amount of leverage allowed with
respect of the surplus Portfolio(t) t − Floor(t)
t
w (t )Risky t (I (t )) (1) or risk capital, known as ‘cushion’; LB and
UB are, respectively, the lower and upper
Once w(t)
t Riskyy is derived from Equation 1 bound for the risky asset position.
given a budget constrain such as For example, if we consider a long-only
portfolio whose current value is 100, with
w(t )Risky w(t )Risk-free 1 m(t, I(t))
t kept fi xed to 3, and the floor equal
to 90, with LB and UB, respectively, equal
the value for w(t)t Risk-free is easily derived. to 0 and 100, then according to Equation
Note that the function ψt can depend on 2 the value of the risky subportfolio is 3 ×
time, as some parameters of the function (100 − 90) = 30, and the risk-free invest-
tend to vary over time. ment is 100 − 30 = 70. Note that the bond
Dynamic asset allocation includes port- floor is the value below which the portfolio
folio insurance strategies, for example, value should never fall to be able to ensure
constant proportion portfolio insurance the due future payments.
(CPPI) schemes—a very popular, flexible, The leverage factor m(t, I(t)) t is often
and a general way to implement asset designed as a decreasing function of condi-
allocation in a dynamic fashion (see Black tional volatility that represents the informa-
and Jones, 1987; Corielli and Penati, 1995). tion set I(t).
t This means that, in presence of
CPPI consists of a dynamic trading strat- rising volatility, the amount of capital allo-
egy that works according to the following cated to risky assets might be reduced. The
approach (assuming for the sake of sim- leverage factor can also keep into account
plicity that we deal only with two assets, valuation information (e.g., market aggre-
a single risk-free asset and a single risky gates for Price/Earnings), or macroeco-
asset) nomic forecasts.
Quite often CPPI portfolios are capital
Risky (t ) w(t )Risky ⋅ p(t )Risky guaranteed products, but the algorithm
min[max[m(t , I (t )) ⋅ (Portfolio(t ) (Equation 2) can be used in a rather creative
way: for example, to manage core-satellite
Floor(t )), LB], UB]
portfolios, where the floor is a core asset
allocation (e.g., common stocks and bonds)
where Risky(t) t is the value of the risky sub- and the portfolio is allowed to invest in
portfolio at time t; p(t)
t Riskyy is the price of the satellites (e.g., alternative investments).
risky asset; Portfolio(t)
t is the total value of Another dynamic asset allocation strat-
the portfolio; Floor(t)
t is the present value of egy is option replication or option based
all cash flows due in the future (for example, portfolio insurance (OBPI). See Hull (2005),
a notional guarantee at future date), repre- Luskin (1988), and Corielli and Penati
sented by a zero coupon bond (or a set of (1995). In fact, a portfolio of stocks or bonds
zero coupon bonds); it can be even a ‘nor- and options can deliver a positively skewed
mal’ or reference portfolio, for example, distribution of returns. For example, a zero
a fi xed portfolio representing a strategic coupon bond coupled with a call option
allows the investor to protect the principal render dynamic asset allocation a well-liked
(via the zero coupon bond) while capturing and a viable strategy:
some market upside (through the call). As
the call option can be replicated by invest- • financial markets tend to exhibit local
ing in the underlying an amount equal to the trends (the ‘momentum’ effect or
delta of the option, δ(t),
t the investor can get autocorrelation of returns and volatil-
the asymmetric distribution mimicking the ity clusters) and move in cycles;
original portfolio through this trading strat- • some dynamic schemes based on myo-
egy. It can be shown that CPPI is a simpli- pic portfolio strategies, implemented by
fied version of OBPI. Both CPPI and OBPI some market professionals, are based
are strategies that constantly adjust the mix on market signals produced on a regu-
of assets as markets rise and fall. With these lar basis with some predictive power;
strategies investors sell assets that are declin- • dynamic strategies are linked to the
ing and purchasing assets that are increasing, concept of option replication and
making dynamic asset allocation sensitive to arbitrage-free markets, that is, it is
liquidity risk: the strategy might as well force possible to get a given distribution of
the investor to buy or sell with poor volumes, returns or a terminal payoff through
or when securities are squeezed. In fact, dur- asset allocation between stocks and
ing past market crashes, many funds man- bonds without trading options.
aged using dynamic allocation strategies did
poorly due to their difficulty in executing Dynamic asset allocation is a key con-
trades to adjust their hedges as the market cept in money management, and is exten-
dropped. For this reason, it is suggested to sively used by hedge funds, mutual funds,
implement portfolio insurance through liq- and structured products, such as principal
uid assests, like futures, that will reduce the protected notes (also known as guaranteed
market impact. It is also important to cali- linked notes) as a useful mechanism that can
brate in an accurate way rebalancing rules provide downside protection.
to minimize turnover and transaction costs
(see Scherer, 2007). REFERENCES
Alternative approaches for dynamic asset
Black, F. and Jones, R. (1987) Simplifying portfolio
allocation are: insurance. Journal of Portfolio Management, 14,
48–51.
• myopic portfolio strategies, for exam- Corielli, F. and Penati, A. (1995) Long-run equity risk
and dynamic trading strategies: a simulation
ple, repeatedly investing in one- exercise for the italian stock market. Atti del
period-efficient portfolios; Convegno “La Gestione del Rischio Finanziario
• stochastic programming, relatively per gli Investitori istituzionali”, Centro di
popular for asset liability management Economia Monetaria e Finanziaria “Paolo Baffi”,
Università Bocconi, Milano, 1995.
(ALM) purposes; Hull, J. C. (2005) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives.
• dynamic programming (stochastic Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey.
control). Luskin, D. L. (1988) Portfolio Insurance: A Guide
to Dynamic Hedging. John Wiley and Sons,
New York.
One could speculate why dynamic asset Scherer, B. (2007) Portfolio Construction and Risk
allocation works. A number of factors Budgeting. Risk Books, London.
François-Éric Racicot
University of Québec at Outaouais
Gatineau, Québec, Canada
REFERENCES
ECB (January, 2006) Hedge funds: developments and policy implications. ECB Monthly
Bulletin, 1, 63–76.
BDC (December 15, 2002) Managed Futures Notes, series N-7A. Information Statement,
Montreal, QC.
161
Stefano Caselli
Preparation—pre-seed or seed. Nor-
Bocconi University
Milan, Italy mally the fi nancial needs that arise
here are negligible. In fact, the pro-
moters of the initiative are the ones
Early stage finance encompasses any who take on these expenses person-
financing transaction or support opera- ally, or in some instances together
tion (not exclusively financial) under- with their families or friends. In
taken to benefit companies in the seed recent years, an increase in special-
and start-up phases. At a global level, ized public funds for this kind of
early stage financing is considered a key venture has been seen, along with
to innovation. However, it must also be the appearance of specialized fi nan-
stressed that several problems arise in cial intermediaries, often “spin-offs”
implementing solutions. Specifically, fin- of venture capitalists attracted by the
ancial players are unanimous in asserting chance to fi nance these companies/
that early stage projects are usually too projects during later phases.
expensive to investigate and too risky. At Start-up—development financing. Here
the same time, entrepreneurs in general more substantial capital is required
are badly trained to appreciate the team- which is invested directly in the com-
work and leadership as well as sales com- pany’s operations. In this phase, in
petence required. addition to financial requirements,
Corporate development can be summa- the need for competencies and skills
rized in four phases: must also be satisfied which help the
entrepreneurial initiative along its
Preparation—excogitating a business idea, development path.
running feasibility studies, presenting
the idea to the team of “colleagues”
Start-up—creating the company, team
building, setting up production activi-
ties, marketing, selling REFERENCES
Growth—defining the organizational Colm, S., Treanor, M., Taylor, J., and O’Neill, E. (2005)
structure of the company, creating Early Stage Financing of New Ventures. PANEL
Paper—European Commission, IPS–2001-
various supply/sales channels, grow- 41014, Provinvia, Italy.
ing the team, internationalizing, pen- Hellman, T. and Puri, M. (2000) The interaction
etrating new markets between product market and financing strategy:
the role of venture capital. Review of Financial
Exit—liquidating partially or totally the
Studies, 13, 959–984.
work of the original promoters Mayer, C., Schoors, K., and Yafeh, Y. (2002) Sources
of Funds and Investment Activities of Venture
Capital Funds: Evidence from Germany, Israel,
Again, ideally speaking, various financial Japan and the UK. K CEPR Working Paper,
needs may be associated with these phases; n. 2223, London, UK.
The economically deliverable supply is that Alternative investment strategies are often
fraction of the deliverable supply of a com- referred to as “absolute return” strategies.
modity that is in position for delivery against One could consequently argue that devel-
a future contract, and is not otherwise oping hedge fund indexes does not make
unavailable for delivery (see Pirrong, 2001). sense. However, recent research has high-
For example, oil that is held by a country for lighted that the exposure of hedge funds to
resources for crises is not considered part of multiple risk sources (volatility, default, etc.)
the economically deliverable supply of oil and the dynamic character of their manage-
futures contract. Another example is grain ment make mono- and multilinear factor
of a farmer. Assume that a portion of the models inadequate for evaluating their per-
grain is held by the farmer for his own cattle. formance. A pragmatic alternative to devel-
This portion is not economically deliverable oping factor models involves comparing the
because it is captive and so unavailable for return of a given fund to that of a portfolio
delivery as a part of a futures contract. The of funds following the same strategy (peer
deliverable supply consists of the captive benchmarking), or to that of a representa-
portion and of the portion that is part of the tive index (index benchmarking). The diffi-
futures contract. Therefore, the economi- culties related to the development of indexes,
cally deliverable supply is always equal or less which are already evident in the traditional
than the deliverable supply. The economi- universe, are exacerbated in the alternative
cally deliverable supply can explain in com- investment world. Finding a benchmark that
parison with the deliverable supply futures is representative of a particular management
price reactions. When it is significantly less universe is not a trivial problem.
than the amount needed to fulfill the short In response to the needs of investors,
position of a contract, the futures price may the EDHEC Risk and Asset Management
increase. That is the reason why futures con- Research Center has proposed an origi-
tracts are closed nearby the delivery month. nal solution by constructing an “index of
For example, the holder of a long position indexes,” the EDHEC Alternative Indexes.
can close his position with a countertrade The aim of the methodology used to con-
and realize profits because of the risen price. struct this index of indexes (see Amenc and
Martellini, 2002) was to construct a bench-
mark which is more representative and
REFERENCE stable than the indexes provided by Altvest,
Pirrong, C. (2001) Manipulation of cash-settled futures CSFB/Tremont, EACM, Hennessee, HF
contracts. The Journal of Business, 74, 221–244. Net, HFR, MAR, Van Hedge, Zurich, etc.
(such as the World Bank), SEC-regulated peanuts, soybeans, soybean meal, livestock,
brokers and dealers, associated persons livestock products, and frozen concentrated
of such brokers and dealers, futures com- orange juice. Designated contract markets
mission merchants, floor brokers and floor (DCMs) must submit to the CFTC and
traders, individuals with assets in excess receive CFTC approval prior to implemen-
of $10 million, and anybody else the CFTC tation of all new rules and rule amendments
may throw into the definition. For example, that materially change the terms and con-
floor brokers and traders who are guaran- ditions of contracts on commodities enu-
teed by a clearing member of their exchange merated in Section 1a(4) of the Commodity
were added to the list in about 2003 based Exchange Act (CEA) (Commodity Exchange
on a petition from one of the markets. Note Act, 1936), 7 USC 1a(4). This will also apply
that there is also an eligible commercial to contracts with open interest (CFTC).
entity (ECE), whose name is unfortunately In 1936, the U.S. Congress prohibited
close to and confused with ECPs. The dif- options trading in all commodities regu-
ference is that the ECE category is a subset lated under the Commodity Exchange Act.
of ECPs having a commercial connection The prohibition was a response to a history
and the ability to make or take delivery of of manipulation and price disruption in the
the underlying commodity. futures markets attributed to options trad-
ing. The prohibition applied to all the “enu-
merated” agricultural commodities named
REFERENCES
in the 1936 Act. In subsequent years the list
Commodity Exchange Act: Section 1a (11) gives the of enumerated commodities grew.
definition of Eligible Commercial Entity.
Commodity Exchange Act: Section 1a (12) gives the
definition of Eligible Contract Participant.
REFERENCES
US Commodity Futures Trading Commission,
www.cftc.gov
Enumerated Agricultural Commodity Exchange Act of 1936, Public Law No.
74-675, 49 Stat. 1491 (1936).
Commodities
portfolio. The covered investment strategies heterogeneity of hedge funds. One impor-
may be the same as in a global hedge fund tant problem in the hedge fund industry is
index. This is for example the case with the that, due to the large influence of the indi-
HFRX Equal Weighted Strategies Index vidual portfolio manager’s skills on hedge
(Hedge Fund Research Inc., 2007a). fund performance and due to manager
An equal-weighted strategies index can specific investment strategies, even in the
be regarded as a special case of a global same strategy grouping, the hedge fund
hedge fund index with static index weights. characteristics may be very different. In
These static weights may eventually cause this case, an asset weighting of the different
some shortcomings. In contrast to global strategies may be disadvantageous and may
hedge fund indices where the different lead to new distortions. In such a case an
strategies may be asset weighted according equally weighted strategies scheme could be
to the market capitalization of assets in the preferable.
hedge fund industry, the weightings of the
strategies in an equal-weighted strategies REFERENCES
index are not in accordance with the true
Brooks, C. and Kat, H. (2001) The Statistical Properties of
representation of the different strategies in Hedge Fund Index Returns and Their Implications
the hedge fund universe. The static weight- for Investors. ISMA Center Discussion Papers in
ings of the individual strategies in the Finance, University of Reading, Reading, UK.
index may also lead to the problem that it Hedge Fund Research Inc. (2007a) Strategy Definitions.
http://www.hedgefundresearch.com
becomes difficult to react to changing mar- Hedge Fund Research Inc. (2007b) HFR Indices—
ket conditions. A global hedge fund index Basic Methodology & FAQ. http://www.
offers more dynamic possibilities to react hedgefundresearch.com
to changes in the hedge fund market/peer
group and to changes in the importance of
different strategies represented in the hedge
Equally Weighted
fund universe. The static weightings of an Index (HFRX)
equal-weighted strategies index prohibit
this adaptability and flexibility.
Besides its problems, an equal-weighted François-Serge Lhabitant
strategies index can also have positive side HEC University of Lausanne, Lausanne
EDHEC, Nice, France
effects. In the case of an equal-weighted
strategies index, there are no large strat-
egy classes that dominate the index and As the name implies, equally weighted indi-
that could cause a bias toward these strat- ces are indices where all components receive
egies, see e.g. Brooks and Kat (2001). For the same weight during each measurement
example, the HFRX Equal Weighted period. Equally weighted indices have been
Strategies Index is meant to be character- one of the first attempts to address some
ized by a more balanced diversification and of the perceived flaws of asset-weighted
a historically lower volatility (Hedge Fund indices.
Research Inc., 2007b). This results in an Equally weighted indices are widely used
enhanced attractiveness of such indices for in the world of hedge funds because their
investors. Another advantage concerns the calculation is remarkably straightforward
and requires limited datasets. One just has theory, it is often harder to imple-
to sum the performance of the N hedge ment in practice as the underlying
fund managers that constitute the index hedge funds may not authorize in and
and divide the result by N to obtain the out movements on a monthly basis.
index performance. There is no need to Thus, the challenge facing any index
track the assets of each individual hedge provider is determining the adequate
fund month after month (as required in rebalance frequency.
an asset-weighted index) and no need for • Contrarian strategy. Rebalancing an
using more complex averages. This explains equally weighted index is often coun-
why the majority of hedge fund indices are terintuitive in terms of investment
equally weighted. strategy because one needs to sell
Equally weighted indices provide a clear winners (funds that performed well)
indication of the average percentage perfor- to buy back losers (funds that under-
mance of their constituent funds. However, performed). In practice, investors tend
their apparent simplicity also comes with to allocate more to funds with a better
several shortcomings: performance.
equal to 0.52. This demonstrates that equity was only 0.03. These hedge funds thus seek
hedge funds have only a portion of their to maintain their beta near 0 by combin-
assets that is hedged. Some equity hedge ing long and short transactions on equi-
funds also use leverage to magnify market ties. The gross market exposure (EG) may
exposure. According to Lhabitant (2006), the be defined as
sources of profit of long–short funds deviate LS⎞ ⎛ L S
EG ⎛ ⎞
from the traditional investing that is based ⎝ K ⎠ ⎝K K⎠
on capital gains. There are four sources of
gains for an equity hedge fund: the spread where L stands for the long position, S for the
between the long and the short position; the short position, and K for the capital invested.
interest rebate on the proceeds of the short Practitioners also use what is called “net
sale that are used as collateral; the interest market position” which may be defined as
paid on the margin deposit to the broker; the
LS⎞ ⎛ L S
spread in dividends between the long and EN ⎛ ⎞
⎝ K ⎠ ⎝K K⎠
the short position. The spread between the
long and the short position is often obtained For instance, a manager who has a long
by buying undervalued securities and selling position of 80% of his portfolio and a short
overvalued securities. These are stock-pick- position of 40% has a gross total market
ing activities and are related to a selectivity exposure of
strategy that may be based on the securities’ L S
relative Jensen alphas. Furthermore, equity 80% 40% 120%
K K
hedge funds can invest in securities other
than equities (HFRI, 2005). in terms of his capital invested. This means
that 120% of his capital is related to the mar-
REFERENCES ket. However, the net exposure, which is a
Hedge Fund Research (HFRI) (2005) http://www. measure of the real exposure to the market,
hfr.com would be in this case equal to
Lhabitant, F.-S. (2006) Handbook of Hedge Funds.
Wiley, Chichester, UK. L S
80% 40% 40%
K K
Equity Market Neutral The degree of exposure of this manager to the
market variations is thus 40%. It also means
that even if his position is covered, he has a
François-Éric Racicot net long position. This implies that the return
University of Québec at Outaouais of his portfolio will be sensitive to the whole
Gatineau, Québec, Canada
market. Besides, one can neutralize the beta
of his portfolio by equalizing the weighted
As indicated by its name, the manager of beta of the long position to the weighted beta
this strategy wants to maintain a neutral of the short position. A problem here is that
exposure to the stock market. For instance, the beta is a very volatile measure and many
over the period 1997–2007, the CAPM beta managers are not able to neutralize perfectly
of the market neutral hedge funds, com- the beta of their portfolio (Capocci, 2004;
puted using the S&P500 as benchmark, HFRI, 2005).
equity and venture capital firms in the that are not manipulable or influenceable
United States in which a series of funds, by any party and thus are excluded from
limited in both time and money, are raised. CEA regulation. They include any financial
These firms typically raise a new fund instrument such as an interest or exchange
every 3–5 years, and commit to liquidate rate, currency, security, credit risk or mea-
the fund as well as return all capital and sure. Apart from that, excluded commodi-
any profits within 10 years, which fits the ties also include any other rate that is only
needs of institutional investors who seek based on commodities without cash mar-
periodic liquidity (Sahlman, 1990). While kets. Also part of the definition of excluded
evergreen funds are uncommon in large commodities is an occurrence or contin-
American firms, there are notable excep- gency with a relevant consequence, but
tions such as Sutter Hill Ventures (Gupta, without the control of any party involved in
2000). Proponents of evergreen funds point the contract (CFTC, 2007).
to a major advantage: having only one capi- Usually, the CEA regulates the trading of
tal pool means less time is spent fundrais- commodities to protect investors against
ing and managing investors, allowing more fraud and to deter market manipulation. In
focus to be put on finding and mentoring 1999, The U.S. President’s Working Group
successful ventures. Evergreen funds are on Financial Markets (PWG) concluded
also commonly used by corporate ven- that commodity trading should be subject
ture capital firms that work with a capital to CEA regulation only if it is necessary to
pool provided by their parent corporation, ensure the achievement of public policy
and by government agencies that set up or objectives (Parkinson, 2000). Accordingly,
sponsor venture capital funds to encourage amendments regarding a more flexible
regional development. structure for the regulation of futures and
option trading have been established in
the course of the Commodity Futures
REFERENCES Modernization Act 2000. Since excluded
Gupta, U. (2000) Done Deals: Venture Capitalists Tell commodities are usually large in scale,
Their Stories. Harvard Business School Press,
they are not considered to be susceptible to
Boston, MA.
Sahlman, W. A. (1990) The structure and governance manipulation or influence of any interested
of venture-capital organizations. Journal of party. Apart from that, professional coun-
Financial Economics, 27, 473–521. terparties are able to protect themselves
against fraud. Thus, excluded commodities
were excluded from regulation under some
Excluded Commodities further conditions: eligible contract par-
ticipants have to enter into the contract,
the transaction has to be accomplished on
Christine Rehan an electronic trading facility, and trading
Technical University at Braunschweig must be on a principal-to-principal basis.
Braunschweig, Germany
As a result of these amendments, a broad
range of over-the-counter derivative trans-
The Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) de- actions are excluded from CEA regulation
fi nes excluded commodities as instruments (Kloner, 2001).
M. Banu Durukan
Exercise Option Dokuz Eylul University
Izmir, Turkey
when an option is in the money, at the characteristics but with a higher (lower)
money, and out of the money. exercise price (Wilmott et al., 1998). The
Options exchanges establish exercise time value is also influenced by the rela-
prices so that they are set at levels above tionship between the exercise price and
and below the market price of the underly- the market price of the underlying asset.
ing asset. Hence, these prices are standard The options that are at the money have the
except for stock options in case of a stock greatest amount of time value.
split or dividend. When the market price
of the underlying asset moves out of the
price series defined by the highest and low- REFERENCES
est exercise prices, trading is introduced in Hull, J. C. (2002) Futures and Options Markets.
an option with a new exercise price by the Prentice Hall, London, UK.
Kolb, R. W. (2000) Futures, Options and Swaps.
exchange (Hull, 2002, p. 167). The number
Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA.
of available exercise prices depends on the Wilmott, P., Howison, S., and Dewynne, J. (1998)
volatility of the underlying asset’s prices. The Mathematics of Financial Derivatives.
The more volatile the price movement, the Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
more exercise price alternatives.
Exercise price is also one of the determi-
nants of option value. The value of an option Exit Strategy
has two components as follows:
private equity player are the following: date for stock options in the United States
is usually the third Saturday after the third
• To sell shares on a regulated market,
Friday of the expiration month. Trading in
either in the context of a placement
the option stops on the third Friday, but the
through an initial public offering
option owner has the ability to exercise the
(IPO) or a placement after the listing
option on the third Saturday, the day after
(Post-IPO Sale)
expiration (Kolb, 2000). Many contracts have
• To sell shares to a partner in the indus-
a quarterly expiration cycle; this convention
try (trade sale)
is done in order to generate increased vol-
• To sell shares to another private equity
ume and associated liquidity in the contract.
player (replacement and secondary
For options on futures contracts, the expira-
buy out)
tion date may be different because the expi-
• To repurchase shares, which can be done
ration does not necessarily coincide with
by the company and/or group of major-
the delivery month identified in the option
ity or minority shareholders (buy back)
contract. In certain instances, the expiration
• To reduce, totally or partially, the
date for a future option may occur previous
value of the shares without selling to
to the delivery month of a futures contract by
third parties (write-off )
a few weeks (Natenberg, 1994). Several times
REFERENCES per year equity options, equity index options,
and equity index futures expire on the same
Caselli, S. and Gatti, S. (2004) Venture Capital. A date. These Fridays have become known as
Euro-System Approach. Springer Verlag, Berlin,
New York. triple-witching days; the period before this
Cumming, D. and MacIntosh, J. G. (2002) A Cross- expiration is typically marked by heavy trad-
Country Comparison of Full and Partial Venture ing in the contracts (Levinson, 2006).
Capital Exits. University of Alberta School of
Business Working Paper.
Schwienbacher, A. (2002) An Empirical Analysis of REFERENCES
Venture Capital Exits in Europe and in the United Kolb, R. (2000) Futures, Options, and Swaps, 3rd ed.
States. University of California at Berkeley Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA.
Working Paper. Levinson, M. (2006) The Economist Guide to the
Financial Markets, 4th ed. Bloomberg Press,
New York, NY.
Expiration Date Natenberg, S. (1994) Option Volatility and Pricing.
McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
as the difference between the price of an or extrinsic value and its intrinsic value. To
option and its intrinsic value. In this sense, the extent to which it reflects the excess of
the intrinsic value corresponds to the differ- the premium over the intrinsic value, the
ence between the strike price of the option extrinsic value of the option decreases as the
and the market price of the underlying moment of expiry of the title approaches.
asset (Hull, 1997), the meaning depending This is because the extrinsic value of the
on whether it refers to a Call or a Put. The option reflects the likelihood of the option
extrinsic value is also known as the time moving into the money, due to which it will
value (Kline, 2000), and can be defined as be greater the longer the time that remains
the amount of money that the purchaser before it expires.
of an option is prepared to pay in the hope
that, over the lifetime of this financial asset, REFERENCES
a change in the price of the underlying
Hull, J. (1997) Introduction to Futures and Options
asset leads to an increase in the value of the
Markets. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
option. In this way, the option premium can Kline, D. (2000) Fundamentals of the Futures Market.
be considered as the sum of the time value McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Mehmet Orhan
Fatih University
Istanbul, Turkey
In general, factor models are used to predict random variables Y Y, with the
help of explanatory variables, X. The basic idea behind these models is the
relation between the dependent and the independent variables. The inde-
pendent variables constitute the factors that determine the dependent vari-
ables. The explanatory variables must be carefully selected, as they are to be
the factors that influence the dependent variables. A linear factor model can
be formulized as follows:
where Ri is the return of fund i, and F1, F2, …, Fk are the k factors that are
claimed to influence the fund’s return. We assume that there are n funds,
i = 1, 2, …, n. The beta coefficients βi1, βi2, …, βik reflect the sensitivities
of the fund to specified factors. These coefficients designate the change in
the return on the fund per unit of change in the specified factor. The error
term εi capture all randomness in the relationship. A popular factor model
known as the CAPM has only one factor, k = 1. Models with a unique factor
are called single-factor models, whereas models with more than one factor
are called multifactor models. For hedge funds and managed futures, cer-
tain multifactor models are available in explaining managed futures and
hedge fund returns. The factors used are justified on the distinctiveness of
hedge fund manager trading styles.
The single-factor model assumes that the factors are linearly related to
fund returns, but nonlinearity of factor models is also possible. The lin-
ear multifactor model given above does not have the time dimension and
is therefore static, but dynamic factor analysis is possible when the time
dimension with subscript t is introduced.
175
The following technical assumptions must Index, and MSCI Emerging Markets Index),
be satisfied to make use of estimation by the bonds (Salomon Brothers Government and
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method and Corporate Bond Index, Salomon Brothers
statistical inference in factor models: World Government Bond Index, and
Lehman High Yield Index), Federal Reserve
• The expected value of the error term Bank competitiveness-weighted dollar index,
must be zero, E(εi) = 0, i = 1, 2, …, n. and the Goldman Sachs commodity index
• Factors and error terms should be as well as the three zero-investment strate-
uncorrelated, Cov(F Fj, εi) = 0, j = 1, gies representing Fama-French’s “size” factor
2, …, k. (small-minus-big or SMB), “book-to-market”
• Error terms should not be autocorre- factor (high-minus-low or HML), Carhart’s
lated, Cov(εi, εj) = 0, i ≠ j. “momentum” factor (winners minus losers),
• All error terms must have the same and the change in the default-spread (the dif-
variance, E(εi2) = σ2. ference between the yield on the BAA-rated
corporate bonds and the 10-year Treasury
Some additional assumptions of time series bonds) to capture credit risk.
analysis such as stationarity of each series In a similar study, Fung and Hsieh (2004,
must be imposed for dynamic factor analysis. p. 19) explain the HFR fund of funds index
Factor models are introduced in the litera- with two equity risk factors (S&P 500,
ture to facilitate the interpretation of a volu- SC-LC), “. . . two interest rate risk factors (the
minous data set to reveal factors determining change in the yield of the 10 year treasury,
fund returns. Multifactor models can be cate- and the change in the credit spread), and
gorized into broad classes of macroeconomic three trend-following factors (the portfolio
(macroeconomic indicators like interest rate returns of options on currencies, commodi-
series are used as factors), fundamental (fac- ties, and long-term bonds).” In a similar
tors concerning securities or firms, like firm attempt, Schneeweis and Spurgin (1998)
size or dividend yield are used), and statis- explain the hedge fund performance index
tical models. Factor models are helpful in with the independent variables of nominal
making decisions on asset valuation and are and absolute values of the SP500, GSCI,
extensively referred in portfolio theory. SBBI, and USDX, the intramonth standard
The researcher must determine the appro- deviation of the SP500, GSCI, bond, and
priate factors in the analysis to produce a USDX, and the nominal value of the MLM
meaningful relationship. The coefficient of index. Meredith and Figueiredo (2005) pres-
determination, R2, can be used as a benchmark ent a more detailed study of factor models to
criteria to assess the goodness of fit. There explain the returns for every strategy. The
are several serious attempts in literature to factors they use are small cap stock minus
work out the main factors that explain the large cap stocks, value stocks minus growth
hedge fund returns. Agarwal and Naik (2004) stocks, winners minus losers, GSCI, Russell
use the factor model approach to figure out 3000 (with up to four lags), Citigroup high
that hedge fund returns are attributable to yield composite, MSCI emerging markets,
risk factors consisting of indices representing Fed dollar weighted index, MLCBI, reserve
equities (Russell 3000 Index, lagged Russell moving average, and traded implied volatil-
3000 Index, MSCI World Excluding the USA ity (change in VIX).
REFERENCES REFERENCES
Agarwal, V. and Naik, N. Y. (2004) Risks and port- Altman, E. and Fanjul, G. (2004) Defaults and Returns
folio decisions involving hedge funds. Review of on High Yield Bonds. Working paper 04-008,
Financial Studies, 17, 63–98. New York University, Law and Economics
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2004) Hedge fund bench- Research Paper Series.
marks: a risk based approach. Financial Analyst Ammer, J. and Clinton, N. (2004) Good News is No News:
Journal, 60, 65–80. The Impact of Credit Rating Changes on the Pricing
Meredith, R. and Figueiredo, R. (2005, February) of Asset-Based Securities. Working paper Board
Understanding hedge fund returns: a factor of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,
approach. AIMA Journal, http://www.aima.org/ International Finance Discussion Papers 809.
uploads/CAI65.pdf Cantor, R., Pocker, F. and Cole, K. (1997) Split ratings
Schneeweis, T. and Spurgin, R. (1998) Multi-factor and the pricing of credit risk. Journal of Fixed
models in managed futures, hedge fund and Income, 7(3), 72–82.
mutual fund return estimation. Journal of Covitz, D. M. and Harrison, P. (2003) Testing Conflicts
Alternative Investments, 1, 1–24. of Interest at Bond Ratings Agencies with Market
Anticipation: Evidence that Reputation Incentives
Dominates. Working paper Board of Governors
Fallen Angel of the Federal Reserve System.
Scott, J., Stumpp, M. and Xu, P. (1999) Behavioral bias
valuation, and active management. Financial
Analyst Journal, July–August, 49–57.
Alain Coën Vu, J. (1998) The effect of junk bond defaults on
University of Québec at Montréal common stock returns. The Financial Review,
Montréal, Québec, Canada 33(4), 47–60.
www.investopedia.com
cannot expect their orders will be executed livestock. It is used in futures market to
at the best published prices when the mar- measure the profitability of feeding and
ket is trading fast. In the middle of a fast selling animals as commodities. Feed
market, brokers may be unaware of the best ratio is measured by dividing the price
execution price for their clients. However, of the animals used as commodity by the
a fast market designation does not nullify price of the grain required to feed them.
or reduce the floor broker’s obligation for Various feed ratios have been used exten-
executive care to execute orders according sively as a proxy for profitability since the
to the terms of the order. Open outcry mar- fi rst half of twentieth century. Moreover,
kets handle fast markets surprisingly well since producers respond to expected prof-
because a trader can change his previous bid itability, feed ratio has been used as a pre-
or offer, simply by a hand signal and a ver- dictor for future production levels in the
bal announcement. However, the danger of relevant market (Enrique and Shumway,
fast markets in open outcry is the increased 1981; Meilke, 1977).
risk of an out-trade. In contrast to this, the First hog/corn ratio charts, one of the
response time (elapsed time between the sub- most frequently used feed ratio type and
mission of a trading request and the system equal to the number of bushels of corn
confirming or rejecting the action) of elec- equal in value to 100 lb of live hogs, were
tronic matching systems, which normally devised by Henry A. Wallace in 1915.
do not generate any out-trades, decreases Lower values of hog/corn ratio, high corn
in fast markets as message traffic increases prices relative to pork prices, would indi-
because of the rapid and numerous alterna- cate lower profitability of feeding and
tions of the bids and offers. selling hogs. Naturally, lower profitabil-
ity cause a decline in pork supply in near
REFERENCES future. Similarly, higher values of hog/corn
ratio reveal higher profitability and a rise in
Martens, M. (1998) Price discovery in high and low
pork supply in the future.
volatility periods: open outcry versus electro-
nic trading. Journal of International Financial Other frequently used feed ratios are
Markets, Institutions and Money, 8, 243–260. as follows: steer/corn ratio, number off
Massimb, M. N. and Phelps, B. D. (1994) Electronic bushels of corn equal in value to 100 lb
trading, market structure and liquidity. Finan-
cial Analysts Journal, 50, 39–50. of live cattle; milk/feed ratio, the num-
ber of pounds of 16% protein mixed dairyy
feed equal in value to 1 lb of whole milk;
Feed Ratio broiler/feed ratio, the number of pounds off
broiler feed equal in value to 1 lb of broiler;
egg/feed ratio, the number of pounds off
Abdulkadir Civan laying feed equal in value to one dozen
Fatih University eggs; and turkey/feed ratio, the number
Istanbul, Turkey
of pounds of turkey grower feed equal in
value to 1 lb of turkey.
Feed ratio is the relationship between Feed ratios have been used to measure
feedingg costs and the dollar value of profitability of feeding and selling animals
invest despite the high risk of failure at this generally requires more funds than either
nascent stage and often demand less favor- angels or earlier stage investors, but the
able terms than would be expected by the risks of failure are considerably lower. By
investment risks present with the new com- the time of the late stage financing round,
pany. Frequently, an angel is a relative or a the company should have substantial rev-
friend of the entrepreneur. In any case, the enues and may have reached breakeven
investor relies heavily on the confidence in point. Rapid growth creates a need for cash
the entrepreneur in some cases more than that cannot be generated fast enough inter-
the business prospects of the company. nally. Many venture capital funds invest in
The second frequently identified stage of late stage venture funding.
venture capital finance is called seed capi- The fift h stage of venture capital financing
tal. This is the earliest stage that venture is called mezzanine financing. By now, the
capital funds will invest. By now, part of the company may be producing and possibly
management team should be in place. The distributing the second production version
business plan is not complete but key deci- of the product. The company may be creat-
sions have been made. A prototype product ing its own manufacturing facilities for the
may be complete or may require seed capi- first time. The company may be seeking to
tal to finish the product development. Seed expand internationally. Mezzanine financ-
capital is used to test the prototype with ing is sometimes called bridge financ-
customers and perhaps begin to market the ing as the company grooms itself for sale.
product. Mezzanine financing is frequently in the
The next venture capital state is the early form of debt or preferred stock, although
stage investing. This investment is still early lenders often get options to buy stock or
in the course of creating the new business convert their interest into common stock.
and may provide funds to refine the pro- The next stage of venture capital financ-
totype. The company prices and sells this ing is often an initial public offering of
beta prototype but revenues do not cover all equity. U.S. securities laws require a formal
costs. Production moves from the garage to registration process (including substantial
the newly acquired manufacturing space. financial and risk disclosures). Not every
Most investors avoid making early stage new company issues publicly traded com-
investments because investments made this mon stock. Instead, the entrepreneur may
early frequently fail to develop and losses sell the operation to a larger competitor or
of some or all of invested funds occur fre- a company in a related industry without
quently. As a result, early stage investors registering securities and making a public
extract favorable terms. Entrepreneurs offering. A strategic acquisition by another
often have trouble ceding as much owner- company may be the best way to maximize
ship as early stage investors demand, but the potential created with the new com-
experienced entrepreneurs realize that the pany. This exit strategy may leave the entre-
early stage investors bear much of the risk preneur with a smaller role to play in the
of failure and must be motivated by a share combined company, which may or may not
of the upside potential to accept the risk. appeal to the management team.
The fourth stage of venture capital invest- These stages exist for the benefit of both the
ment is called late stage financing. This stage entrepreneur and the investor. Early stage
investors extract more favorable terms from the offering if a fi xed minimum number
entrepreneurs, so are often seen as expensive of shares is not sold. In firm-commitment
sources of financing (at least by the entre- offerings, the over allotment option allows
preneur, who is convinced that the business the underwriter to increase sales when
will defy the odds of success). The stages demand is strong.” Bower (1989) shows
also force some control or accountability that the choice between firm commitment
on the entrepreneur because the company and best efforts affects both a firm’s cost of
may be prohibited from additional financ- obtaining capital and investors’ perceptions
ing until certain business milestones are about firm value.
achieved. Likewise, investing in stages also
benefits the investors who have observed REFERENCES
the past success ratio at different stages and
Bower, N. L. (1989) Firm value and the choice of
have decided to limit their risk somewhat offering method in initial public offerings. The
by investing in late stage companies. Journal of Finance, 44, 647–663.
Welch, I. (1991) An empirical examination of mod-
els of contract choice in initial public offerings.
REFERENCES Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,
26, 497–519.
Anson, M. J. (2006) Handbook of Alternative Assets.
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Hill, B. E. and Power, D. (2002) Attracting Capital
from Angels. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. First Notice Day
uncertainty of a future commodity price. the company’s breakeven point, and create
However, investors can also invest in futures an elaborate system of distribution. During
contracts for speculative reasons alone, with this stage, attempts are made by the firm to
no intention, and indeed no capacity, to reduce its variable costs, increase produc-
take delivery. In doing so, they provide for tion, and reduce its breakeven point.
greater market liquidity and depth, and also
use all available market, climate, supply, and
demand information in determining the First Time Fund
value of contracts to deliver commodities
on a given date. Consideration of all avail-
able information contributes to market effi- Philipp Krohmer
ciency and hence assists commodity buyers CEPRES GmbH
and sellers alike in reducing uncertainty. As Center of Private Equity Research
a contract future date nears, the spot price Munich, Germany
and the future price of the contract narrows.
A speculating investor who still holds the A first time fund is the first fund that a pri-
right to purchase the commodity on a given vate equity firm ever raises since its founda-
date typically will attempt to sell this con- tion. Usually, the firm is a spin-off, where
tract before the date arrives. managers of established funds—either of
different firms or of the same firm—create
their own new firm. Sometimes the firm is
made up of managers who have never raised
First Stage Financing a fund before. In this case, the managers do
not have a track record; therefore, raising
the first time fund requires more efforts
Timothy W. Dempsey for them than for more established fund
DHK Financial Advisors Inc. managers. Even for managers with a proven
Portsmouth, New Hampshire, USA
track record from their previous firms, rais-
ing the first time fund may be more diffi-
First stage financing or otherwise known cult than follow-up funds, as in most cases
as seed financing occurs when the venture they have never worked together as a team
has launched and attained initial momen- before. Thus, investments in first time funds
tum, thereby increasing company sales. are ranked as more risky. Furthermore, the
At this stage the company is in its infancy importance of reputation in raising capital
stage and it commences its manufacturing might induce young fund managers to take
and selling process by launching its prod- actions that are not in line with the limited
uct in the market. The venture capitalists partner’s interests. Young venture capital
appear at this stage by showing interest in firms might, for example, have incentives
the company. By this time, the management to take companies public earlier and more
team and the officers are in place along with underpriced than more established firms, to
the line employees and other marketing/ establish a track record and signal quality to
sales staff. The funding from this stage is potential investors. This behavior is known
used to boost sales in an attempt to reach as “grandstanding” (Gompers, 1996).
REFERENCE
Five Against Note Schwager, J. D. (2001) A Complete Guide to the
Futures Markets: Fundamental Analysis. Wiley,
Spread (FAN Spread) Hoboken, NJ.
According to Duarte et al. (2005), five of the of the underlying asset. Capital structure
most widely used fixed income strategies are arbitrage (also called credit arbitrage) tries
swap spread arbitrage, yield curve arbitrage, to exploit mispricing between a company’s
mortgage arbitrage, volatility arbitrage, and debt and its other financial instruments. In
capital structure arbitrage (Fabozzi, 1997). 2004, about 7% of the total value of hedge
Swap spread arbitrage combines entering a fund investments were managed accord-
par swap with a fixed coupon rate against ing to fixed income arbitrage strategies
paying the floating LIBOR rate while at the (see Garbaravicius and Dierick, 2005). The
same time shorting a par Treasury bond most important hedge funds strategies are
with the same maturity as the swap and long/short equity strategies, an example
investing the proceeds at the repo rate. Yield of opportunistic investment strategies of
curve arbitrage is characterized by taking hedge funds (32% market share in 2004),
long and short positions for different matur- and event driven strategies (19% market
ities along the term structure. A mortgage share in 2004). According to Figure 1,
backed security arbitrage emerges by buying fixed income arbitrage strategies lead to
mortgage backed securities pass-throughs, mean–variance return combinations that
that is, mortgage backed securities that pass may be interesting for investors with rather
all (remaining) cash flows of a pool of mort- high risk aversion. Although in Figure 1 the
gages through to the investors, and hedging mean–variance profile of fixed income arbi-
their interest exposure with swaps. Fixed trage is dominated by that which is achiev-
income volatility arbitrage attempts to make able by equity market neutral strategies,
use of the difference between the implied fixed income arbitrage strategies may be an
volatility of financial instruments and the important component of an overall portfo-
subsequently realized volatility by selling lio of hedge funds for an investor because of
options and delta hedging the exposure diversification effects.
(%)
14 Global macro
Event driven
12
Long/short equity
Equity market neutral S&P 500
10 Hedge Fund Index
Emerging markets
8 Convertible arbitrage
2
(%)
0
0 5 10 15 20
Dedicated short bias
FIGURE 1
Mean–variance profi les of various hedge fund strategies and stock indexes. (From http://www.hedgeindex
.com, May 2007.)
selling concession on those shares is cred- Many companies buy their shares. A com-
ited back to the lead underwriter. pany may buy registered shares in the open
market or from holders to support the value
REFERENCES of their shares or to buy shares to distrib-
Aggarwal, R. (2003) Allocations of initial public offer-
ute through employee stock option plans. A
ings and flipping activity. Journal of Financial company may reacquire restricted shares if
Economics, 68, 111–158. an employee leaves the company before the
Fishe, R. (2001) How stock flippers affect IPO pric- full vesting date.
ing and stabilisation. Journal of Financial and
Quantitative Analysis, 37, 319–340. Shares issued by a company increase the
Krigman, L., Shaw, W., and Womack, K. (1999) The number of shares outstanding. The com-
persistence of IPO mispricing and the predic- pany can retire the shares reacquired but,
tive power of flipping. Journal of Finance, 54,
1015–1044.
by convention, these shares are held by the
Welch, I. and Ritter, J. (2002) A review of IPO activi- company as treasury stock. In either case,
ties, pricing and allocation. Journal of Finance, the number of shares outstanding decreases
57, 1795–1828. by the number of shares acquired.
Employees, family members, managers,
Float and members of the board of directors often
hold significant positions in a company’s
stock. For a variety of reasons, these own-
Stuart A. McCrary ers may be motivated differently than other
Chicago Partners shareholders. Employees, managers, and
Chicago, Illinois, USA board members are more likely to vote as
directed by the management. Sometimes,
Float refers to the outstanding shares held these stakeholders have an interest in pre-
by outsiders, usually reported as a percent serving the status quo (including their jobs),
of the total shares outstanding. A corpo- rather than maximizing the shareholder’s
ration (usually the board of directors) will welfare. Family members and other large
authorize a certain number of shares. This holders may have controlling positions that
authorization permits the company to issue are more valuable because of the control,
shares, but most companies issue fewer than and so may be less likely to sell their shares
the total number of authorized shares. at a particular price. Also, this group may
From time to time, the company will sell have large deferred capital gains that dis-
some of the authorized shares. The company courage them from selling.
might sell shares by registering an offer- The percent of shares not held by insiders
ing, and then selling through an initial or provides a rough measure of the amount of
secondary offering. The company may also control held by insiders. It also provides a
issue authorized shares as private equity, measure of the chance that a hostile com-
sell shares through employee stock purchase pany could force a takeover.
plans and employee stock option plans, or
issue shares on exercise of convertible bonds
or preferred stock options. Some companies REFERENCE
sell shares to existing shareholders through Lerner, J. (2000) Venture Capital & Private Equity: A
dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs). Casebook. Wiley, Hoboken, New York.
REFERENCES REFERENCES
Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, R. (2003) Capital Markets, Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, R. (2003) Capital Markets,
Institutions and Instruments, 3rd ed. Pearson Institutions and Instruments, 3rd ed. Pearson
Education, Inc., Upper Saddle River, NJ. Education, Inc., Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Scott, D. L. (1988) Every Investor’s Guide to Wall Street Scott, D. L. (1988) Every Investor’s Guide to Wall Street
Words. Houghton Mifflin. Words. Houghton Mifflin.
S(T ) − K
K − S (T )
K S(T ) K S(T )
FIGURE 1
Forward agreement payoff.
where K is the price at maturity, F0 is the price spread (assuming that the non-
actual forward price (i.e., the price of a for- arbitrage condition holds, this oppor-
ward is exactly the same as of the initial for- tunity fails)
ward but traded at the valuation date), r is
the continuously compounded rate, and T Allaz and Vila (1993) put forward the rea-
is the final date of the contract. son of the existence of forward contracts
Some of the most important characteris- even in a world without uncertainty. Many
tics of the contract are as follows: studies show the weakness of forward con-
tracts to predict spot rates and prices. In
• High flexibility, in terms of underly- case of interest rates, Fama (1976, 1984)
ing asset, size, and delivery date demonstrates that forward rates fail to
• Counterpart risk forecast since they do not incorporate the
• Gain/loss completely computed at term premium. Buser et al. (1996) show that
maturity adjusting for the premium, forwards are
• Low secondary liquidity reliable predictors of future spot rates.
Forward contracts are frequently used
Agents can decide to operate in the for- to implement hedge fund strategies, which
ward market with the following three trade derivatives, take short positions, or
purposes: gain from arbitrages. In particular, forwards
are frequently used by global asset alloca-
• Speculation, when positions depend tor (or macro) funds managers, who match
on price expectations, with the risk to long positions in undervalued investments
misinterpret the market dynamics and short forward positions in overesti-
• Hedge, when the evolution of the for- mated assets.
ward price protects from unexpected
price movements of cash positions REFERENCES
held in portfolio
Allaz, B. and Vila, J.-L. (1993) Cournot competi-
• Arbitrage, when it is possible to match tion, futures markets and efficiency. Journal of
two positions obtaining a gain for a Economic Theory, 59, 297–308.
Buser, S. A., Karolyi, G. A., and Sanders, A. B. (1996) to better pricing. Nevertheless, one must not
Adjusted forward rates as predictors of futures
forget that (at least) the FX forward market
spot rates. Journal of Fixed Income, 6, 29–42.
Fama, E. F. (1976) Forward rates as predictors of future is very liquid and pricing can therefore be
spot rates. Journal of Financial Economics, 3, considered as competitive. Furthermore,
361–377. futures contracts may require substantial
Fama, E. F. (1984) The information in the term
structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 13,
intermediate payments due to the mark to
509–528. market practice, which must be financed
with cash. Furthermore, contract specifica-
tions like the settlement date can be tailored
Forward Market to the specific needs of the counterparties
as opposed to the standardized contracts on
future exchanges.
Matthias Muck
University of Bamberg
Bamberg, Germany
REFERENCE
Hull, J. (2006) Options, Futures and Other Derivatives.
Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
On the forward market, delivery is at a future
point in time rather than spot. Neverthe-
less, prices are fi xed at the initiation of the
contract. Trading takes place over-the-
Forward Volatility
counter (OTC). This means that contracts Agreement
are traded directly between counterpar-
ties (e.g., banks and their customers) and
not on an exchange. Forward contracts Niklas Wagner
enable companies to hedge their exposure, Passau University
Passau, Germany
for example, to exchange rate movements.
Consider for instance a U.S. company
that runs a business in Germany. The U.S. A forward volatility agreement (FVA) is a
company expects to earn €10 million in 6 forward contract on the realized or implied
months. This corresponds to substantial volatility of the returns on a prespecified
exchange rate risk. If the euro depreciates financial asset. Such assets can be common
by say 0.1 dollar per euro, then the profit stock, a stock or commodity index, or a for-
decreases by $1 million. In order to hedge eign currency or a bond interest rate. The
this exposure the company may enter a for- contract settlement is analogous to that of
ward contract in which it sells €10 million other forward agreements. It is based on the
in 6 months to its bank. Since the price of difference between the contractual volatility
the euro in terms of dollar is fi xed today, level, which is determined at the trade date,
the U.S. company knows exactly how many and the volatility level given at the settlement
dollars will be obtained for delivering euros. date in the future. The principal use of FVAs
Alternatively, the company may also trade is the trading and hedging of changes in the
futures contracts. In contrast to forward return volatility of the underlying asset.
contracts, futures prices are determined on Volatility is an essential input param-
an exchange. One may argue that this leads eter in option pricing. While the classical
discount rate in the dividend valua- vital activity, regardless of the legal clas-
tion model. It reflects the risk of the sification of the deal, the structure of the
company stock. players involved, or the characteristics of
3. Estimation of the expected growth the companies or projects that will subse-
rate (g)
g of the earnings or the dividend quently be chosen. Despite its importance,
stream. this issue has never elicited much interest
4. Estimation of the payout (or retention) in terms of academic research. However,
ratio. some results from recent empirical studies
can be cited.
It should, strongly, be emphasized that the The activity, or better still, the ability to
above-mentioned parameters are induced raise funds is strongly correlated with the
to change by the changes at the econ- track record of the player in question from
omy, industry, and company levels. These the previous year. Specifically, historic
changes introduce immense difficulties in returns on transactions undertaken in the
the estimations of EPS, r,r gg, and the payout past and the amount of resources made
(or retention) ratio. available by the market are particularly
indicative variables.
REFERENCES The size of private equity investors is
directly proportional to their capacity for
Cornell, B. and Landsman, W. R. (2003) Accounting
fundraising, and this capacity is a function
valuation: is earnings quality an issue? Financial
Analysts Journal, 59, 20–28. of certain factors: market conditions, the
Damodaran, A. (2002) Investment Valuation: Tools structure of venture capital investors, the
and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any type of investment in which resources are
Asset. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Lev, B. (1989) On the usefulness of earnings and channeled, the financial instruments that
earnings research: lessons and directions from are held by the private equity player with
two decades of empirical research. Journal of respect to the deal, the level of development,
Accounting Research, 27, 153–192.
and the sector in which the companies do
Lev, B. and Thiagarajan, S. R. (1993) Fundamental
information analysis. Journal of Accounting business.
Research, 3, 190–215. Fundraising performance does not
Schipper, K. and Vincent, L. (2003) Earnings quality. depend solely on expected and historic
Accounting Horizons, 17(s-1), 97–110.
returns, or on the “joy of giving” of resource
providers. Instead it is also linked to factors
that are not purely financial, such as repu-
Fundraising tation building or the future ability to carry
out transactions. In this context, the impor-
tance of contractual formulae and clauses
Stefano Caselli emerges within the relationships between
Bocconi University suppliers of financial resources and inves-
Milan, Italy tors in venture capital: the structure of the
agreement between the parties can impact
Financing entrepreneurial ventures is inex- the success of the fundraising phase, and
tricably linked to raising the funds needed consequently, the outcome of later invest-
to carry out investments. Fundraising is a ment policies.
More than
100 Funds 20 −60 Funds
10,000 hedge
funds
FIGURE 1
FoHF investment process.
is characterized by simplicity, clear invest- the fund, must also be considered by inves-
ment rules, and significant diversification to tors. According to an AIMA study, 70% of
safeguard investors from managerial risks. FoHFs require a lock-up period of at least
Funds following the quantitative concept, 6 months. The other 30% usually have an
hold up to 50 funds, and attempt to quan- individual lock-up period. The minimum
tify their weight and style allocations based investment in a FoHF ranges from U.S.
on models. Many statistically uncorrelated $50,000 to $250,000.
hedge funds may thus be combined in one One of the major disadvantages of invest-
portfolio. Quantitative managers try to gen- ing in FoHFs is the additional fee level com-
erate additional value through selection and pared to an allocation in single hedge funds.
active optimization of different hedge fund Typically, FoHFs charge a combination fee,
style allocations. consisting of either a 1.5% management fee
The qualitative conceptt is characterized with no performance fee, or a 1.0% manage-
by limiting the portfolio to a maximum of ment fee combined with a 10% performance
20 hedge funds selected through thorough fee. We assume that the pressure on FoHF
due diligence and rigid qualitative monitor- fees will increase in the coming years, and
ing of portfolio positions. Managers follow- we expect they will ultimately decrease to a
ing this approach do not see any additional management fee of between 0.70 and 1.00%,
value in past hedge fund performance. They with no performance fee.
aim to generate value by sound diversifica- The literature thus far has found mixed
tion of different performance strategies. results regarding FoHF performance ver-
Due diligence and monitoring, however, are sus individual hedge fund performance.
large expenses for these managers. Brown et al. (2004), for example, fi nd that
Lhabitant and Learned (2003) note that individual hedge funds dominate funds
most funds of funds hold between 15 and of funds on an after-fee return basis or a
40 underlying hedge funds, but a portfolio Sharpe ratio basis. Based on an empiri-
consisting of 5–10 would provide most of cal analysis of 907 FoHFs, Capocci and
the diversification benefits. Lhabitant (2006) Hübner (2006), however, fi nd empirical
also shows that as the number of hedge evidence of performance persistence, and
funds increases, the beta of the portfolio also show that the Sharpe ratio is the most
increases. Kat (2004) shows that FoHFs pro- suitable measure. According to Fung and
vide skewness protection while offering diver- Hsieh (2000), FoHF performance does
sification through a basket of hedge funds. not depend on various biases (survivor-
Subscription and exit solutions are pos- ship bias, self-selection bias, instant his-
sible in the hedge fund universe on at least tory bias) because (1) they also include
a monthly basis. Fothergill and Coke (2001) hedge funds, which are not found in any
have shown that most FoHFs do not charge database, (2) they feature data on hedge
an entry fee. However, if third parties such funds that have ceased to operate, and
as brokers or banks are involved in the sale (3) their historical track records do not
of shares, there is usually a sales fee and a include the performance of any new funds
yearly performance fee. they may have invested in.
Hedge fund lock-up periods, during The market for FoHF can be divided
which investors cannot take money out of into small (up to U.S. $500 million
similarly, fungibility can also be attributed a futures contract holds the so-called long
to money. In the organized commodity position, that is, to buy the underlying. The
futures markets, the goods that serve as other position is called the short position.
underlying assets have to be homogeneous A futures contract itself is traded and listed
or fungible with one another (Kolb and on a futures exchange. This contrasts it with
Overdahl, 2007). To ensure this, mini- a forward contract that is not standardized
mum accepted standards are established, and is done on an over-the-counter basis.
which the commodity must satisfy to be Futures contracts are always binding for
accepted as an underlying asset (this is both parties of the contract. This differen-
known as basis grade). In addition, the tiates futures from options contracts where
futures (options) that are negotiated in a only one party, the option writer, is obliged
market and that have the same character- to fulfill the contract, while the other party,
istics (the same underlying asset, the same the option holder, has the option but not the
delivery period or exercise date, the same obligation to buy or sell.
size, etc.) can be considered as homoge- There are two important classes of
neous or fungible with one another (The underlyings that can be identified: com-
Options Institute, 1999). Th is makes it pos- modities and financial assets. Typical com-
sible to eliminate the direct link between modities that underlie futures contracts
the buyer and the seller, which facilitates are pork, live cattle, sugar, wool, lumber,
negotiation, as both types of investors can copper, aluminum, wool, and tin. Typical
close out their positions before the delivery financial assets include stock indices,
period (or exercise date) entering into an currencies, and Treasury bonds. Futures
opposite trade to the original one. contracts are normally traded on special
futures markets. The largest markets for
REFERENCES futures are the Chicago Board of Trade
(CBOT), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange
Kolb, R. and Overdahl, J. A. (2007) Futures, Options,
(CME), the London International Financial
and Swaps. Blackwell, Malden, MA.
The Options Institute. (1999) Options: Essential Futures Exchange (LIFFE), or the Eurex in
Concepts. McGraw-Hill, New York. Frankfurt.
The value of a futures contract can be
explained by the relationship between
Futures futures and spot prices. This relationship is
called cost of carry because the owner of a
short position has always the opportunity
Jan-Hendrik Meier to buy the underlying asset immediately
University of Bremen after the closing of the futures contract
Bremen, Germany by paying the spot price and carrying the
asset until the settlement date. The cost of
A future or futures contract is a standard- carry consists not only of carrying charges
ized agreement to buy or to sell an asset but also of financing costs. Financial assets
(the underlying) at a certain future time do not only have cost of carry but they also
(settlement date) for a prearranged price deliver cash inflows deriving from interest
(the future price). One of the two parties of or dividends. If the futures price is larger
than the spot price plus the cost of carry, clearing members themselves are required
arbitrage opportunities arise by getting into to trade through an FCM that is a clearing
a short position and by immediately buying member. For its services the FCM charges
the underlying on the spot market. If the its customers brokerage and other fees.
futures price is smaller than the spot price, The FCM assumes the counterparty risk
selling the underlying and getting a long for both long and short futures contract
position in the futures market would also positions. To mitigate this risk, to guaran-
deliver an arbitrage opportunity. tee market integrity, and to protect other
market participants the customers, except
for exchange members, typically have to
REFERENCES deposit a margin with the FCM. Minimum
Hull, J. C. (2005) Options, Futures, and other Deriva- and additional margin requirements are set
tives. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ. by the exchange and by the FCM, respec-
Kolb, R. W. (1994) Futures, Options & Swaps. Blackwell
tively. The margin account is opened with
Publishers, Oxford, UK.
Neftci, S. N. (2000) An Introduction to the Mathematics an initial margin payment and is used to
of Financial Derivatives. Academic Press, New ensure daily (or more frequent) settlement
York City, NY. of the gains and losses of the contract posi-
tion. The FCM may make margin calls to
rebalance the account and typically ben-
efits from the interest-free use of the mar-
Futures Commission gin deposits. To mitigate the risk of its own
Merchant default the FCM must deposit a margin
with the clearing organization.
Stefan Wendt
Bamberg University REFERENCES
Bamberg, Germany
Kaufman, P. J. (1984) Handbook of Futures Markets.
Wiley, New York.
A futures commission merchant (FCM) is Kramer, A. S. (1999) Financial Products: Taxation,
Regulation, and Design. Aspen Publishers,
a legal entity or an individual that offers
Gaithersburg, MD.
futures market brokerage services. An FCM
has to be a member of the National Futures
Association (NFA), which is responsible for
registration and general supervision, and Futures Contract
it must be registered with the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to
whose regulation it is subject. Furthermore, M. Nihat Solakoglu
FCMs are subject to the regulation of the Bilkent University
respective commodity exchanges. To enter Ankara, Turkey
into a futures contract, each party that is
not an exchange member itself must utilize Futures contracts, like options and swap,
directly or indirectly an FCM’s brokerage are an example of a financial instrument
service. Exchange members who are not known as derivatives. In other words,
futures contracts derive their value from an position trader will earn a profit of $0.0375
underlying asset such as stocks, currencies, per contract. In other words, total gain will
an index such as the S&P500, Treasury-bill be $0.0375 × 125,000 = $4,687.50. On the
rate, etc. These contracts are standard con- other hand, short position trader will lose
tracts in terms of maturity date and also exactly the same amount—long position
contract sizes. In a way, futures contracts trader’s gain will be equivalent to short
replace forward contracts in organized position trader’s loss. Especially for finan-
markets—that is, they do not rely on chance cial futures, marking to market will mini-
matching—with standardized contracts. mize the credit/default risk for traders. For
The major traders in the futures markets example, if the price of euro decreases to
are hedgers and speculators. While hedgers $0.7425 at the end of the day, there will be a
try to eliminate or lower the risk they may loss of $312.50 for the long position trader.
face from price changes in the future, spec- This amount will be taken from the mar-
ulators’ aims to profit from price changes gin account. As a result, the contract will
based on their expectations. be renewed with the new price, $0.7425, at
Trading for a futures contract takes the end of the day. If there is a profit next
place on an organized futures market (e.g., day, the gain will be deposited to the mar-
Chicago Mercantile Exchange [CME]), to gin account. In addition, if the amount in
buy or sell an underlying asset/instrument the margin account falls below the main-
at a specified delivery or maturity date for tenance margin, say $1500, there will be a
an agreed-upon price which will be paid margin call to the trader. The trader needs
at the delivery date. The agreed-upon price to deposit additional funds to the margin
is called the future price. The trader tak- account. Hence, default risk will be mini-
ing the long position in the futures market mized as a trader with a high risk, and an
promises to buy the asset/instrument at the unprofitable position will be forced into
delivery date, whereas the trader taking default at an early stage because of small
the short position promises to sell/deliver losses rather than huge losses built after
the asset/instrument at the delivery date. a long time. Thus, marking-to-market is
In a futures contract, each trader has to another difference between a forward con-
establish a margin account. Usually, the tract and futures contract. With forward
amount required for margin or perfor- contract, a trader has to wait until the matu-
mance bond ranges from 5 to 15% of the rity date to realize any loss or gain, which
contract value. Under marking to market, leads the default risk to be higher.
profits and losses go to traders’ margin
account at the end of the day. For example,
assume you have a long position for euro
that will mature in 76 days. One lot of euro REFERENCES
contract will have 125,000 euros traded in Bodie, Z., Kane, A., and Marcus, A. J. (2003) Essentials
CME, with an initial margin at $2025. Let us of Investments. McGraw-Hill, New York.
Hull, J. C. (2000) Options, Futures, and Other Deriva-
assume the future price is $0.7450 per euro.
tives. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
At the maturity date, if the price of euro is Shapiro, A. C. (2005) Foundations of Multinational
$0.7825—hence USD appreciates—the long Financial Management. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Zsolt Berenyi
Risc Consulting
Budapest, Hungary
REFERENCE
Lhabitant, F. S. (2006) Handbook of Hedge Funds. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Gain-to-Loss Ratio
Christian Kempe
Berlin & Co. AG
Frankfurt, Germany
The gain-to-loss ratio is the ratio of the expected gain divided by the
expected loss in a certain measurement period. The term “gain” refers to the
expected excess returns that are above the risk-free rate and the term “loss”
is the negative of expected excess returns that are below the risk-free rate.
The approach is intuitively appealing, inasmuch as gain conceptualizes a
profit and a loss as its antonym. A gain-to-loss ratio greater than one means
205
the expected gain exceeds the expected loss. redemption request exceeds the given limit,
In this concept, expected gain and expected redemptions are usually granted on a first-
loss serve as an alternative to mean and come, first-serve basis, where the remain-
variance, which are more commonly used der is pro rata distributed on the next given
in finance. In terms of a gain-to-loss ratio, period. The gate will be stated in each fund’s
this appears to be especially valuable when offering documents and varies from fund
return distributions are not normally dis- to fund. Typical gates range in the area of
tributed. This is particularly the case in 15–25% of the fund’s assets. Gates can be
options markets, bond markets, insurance on a share class, feeder fund, or master fund
markets, and equity markets. For example, level. The following is an example fund
suppose an asset is selling for $100 and an that has a 25% gate with the next available
investor assumes a 0.60 chance that the asset redemption date of 31st March. The fund
could appreciate to $140 within 1 year and receives redemption requests of 32% of the
a 0.40 chance that it could decline to $90. outstanding shares of the fund. The first
Given a risk-free rate of 5%, the expected 25% of investor’s capital that was received
gain is 0.60[(140/100) – 1.05] = 0.21. The to be redeemed will be payable according
expected loss is 0.40[1.05 – (90/100)] = 0.06. to the fund’s redemption schedule. The
The gain-to-loss ratio is 0.21/0.06 = 3.50. remaining 7% will be held over until the
This compares favorably with the average next redemption date.
S&P 500 long-term ratio which O’Connor The purpose of a gate is to protect the
and Rozeff (2002) estimate to be 3.0 for the remaining shareholders of the fund. The
period 1926–1997. gate is usually set with accordance of a
limit where the fund manager believes that
redemptions past the limit will have adverse
REFERENCE effects on the fund. As Anson (2006) notes,
if the fund is fully invested at the time of
O’Connor, P. and Rozeff, M. S. (2002) Are gain redemption, the additional transaction
and loss respectable? The Journal of Portfolio
Management, 28, 61–69. costs that otherwise would not be incurred
will be borne by all investors. Additionally,
the less liquid assets the manager holds,
the greater the costs associated with with-
Gate drawal. If a large redemption forced the
fund to raise funds to meet the redemption,
a fire sale might occur, where all the selling
Kevin McCarthy would drive down the price of the assets the
Tremont Group Holdings Inc. fund holds and set off a material decline in
Rye, New York, USA the fund’s net asset value.
Christoph Kaserer
∑ pit qiT ffiT cit
i1
Index t K T n Basis
Munich University of Technology
Munich, Germany ∑ pi0qi0
i1
The German Entrepreneurial Index (GEX®) where KT is the index specific chaining fac-
is an innovative style index that measures tor from time T,
T T is the time of the previous
chaining, pit (or pi0) is the price of stock i at Kaserer, C. and Moldenhauer, B. (2007) Insider owner-
ship and corporate performance—new evidence
time t (or the final price of stock i on the
from Germany. Review of Managerial Sciences,
trading day before the first trading inclu- 1, 143–162.
sion in an index), qiTT (or qi0) is the number
of underlying stocks of company i at time
T (or the number of stocks of company i
on the trading day before the first trading
Global Hedge
inclusion in an index), ff iTT is the free-float Fund Index
factor of type i at time T,T cit are the present
correction factors of company i at time t, n
is the number of stocks in the index and on Elisabeth Stocker
base 1000, which for the GEX® was set at University of Passau
Passau, Germany
July 7, 2004 (Achleitner et al., 2005).
The GEX® is calculated as a performance
and as a price index. The former measures Hedge funds are more or less unregulated
performance in terms of total return, that investment instruments that vastly differ in
is, potential income from dividend and pre- their management strategies. To create an
mium payments are reinvested in the index index including all hedge funds is a chal-
portfolio (operation blanche), whereas the lenging task. Nevertheless, global hedge
latter calculates the true price changes, only fund indices try to represent the global
taking into account corrections for income universe of hedge fund investments across
from stock purchase warrants and special different strategies, see e.g. Hedge Fund
payments. The technical GEX® regulations Research Inc. (2007). There are indices rep-
(e.g., regarding exactness of the calculations, resenting only one particular strategy (e.g.,
adjustments, capital increases and reduc- convertible arbitrage). In contrast, a global
tions, readjustments of the nominal value, hedge fund index consists of a combination
etc.) correspond to the regulations for the of selected strategies. These strategies can,
other indices of Deutsche Börse and are for example, be asset weighted. This weight-
therefore not considered in detail here. The ing scheme automatically reacts to changes
theoretical motivation of the GEX® is a pos- in the composition of the hedge fund
itive influence of insider ownership on firm industry because the different investment
value documented for the German capital strategies are weighted according to the
market by Kaserer and Moldenhauer (2007). distribution of assets in the overall hedge
fund universe. Such a dynamic weighting
scheme would be an alternative to an equal-
REFERENCES weighted strategies scheme. Another alter-
native weighting scheme equally weights
Achleitner, A.-K., Kaserer, C., and Moldenhauer, B.
(2005) German Entrepreneurial Index (GEX®)—
each fund to avoid that only a small num-
ein Style-Index zur Performance eigentüm- ber of large funds have the most significant
ergeführter Unternehmen. FinanzBetrieb, 7, impact on the index. In contrast, usually by
118–126.
weighting the investment strategies accord-
Deutsche Börse (2005) Leitfaden zum German entre-
preneurial index. http://www.deutsche-boerse. ing to the number of funds in each strategy,
com. a global hedge fund index is constructed.
Then, the strategies included in a global events may particularly affect the prices of
hedge fund index can generally be classified corporate stocks and bonds. Typical strate-
into (a) relative value strategies, (b) event- gies include merger arbitrage or distressed
driven strategies, and (c) opportunistic securities strategies.
strategies.
OPPORTUNISTIC STRATEGIES
RELATIVE VALUE STRATEGIES
These strategies are based on the assump-
Relative value strategies (or market neutral tion that some market participants have
strategies) aim at exploiting price differences better forecast abilities than others and,
between different investment instruments, hence, there is a situation of informa-
whose prices are related to some underlying tion asymmetry. Opportunistic strategies
economic relation. The strategies are based include global macro, long short equity or
on the assumption that over a long-time hori- equity hedge i.e., long short equity, equity
zon prices tend to move toward their intrin- hedge, short selling, and emerging markets
sic values. Once misvaluations in asset prices strategies. Concentrating on securities in
have been corrected over time, asset prices emerging markets, an emerging markets
converge back to an equilibrium state. At the strategy aims at earning abnormal returns
same time, the different kinds of risk (such as by exploiting inefficiencies in the valuation
market, sector, or interest rate risks) should of equity and fi xed income securities in less-
be eliminated. This means that, for example, developed regions.
the beta or duration of the overall investment An example of a global hedge fund index is
portfolio is approximately zero. Relative value the Greenwich Global Hedge Fund Index, see
strategy types are equity market neutral, fixed Greenwich Alternative Investments Research
income arbitrage, and convertible arbitrage Inc. (2006). This index consists of 13 differ-
strategies. For a description of the different ent types of strategies. Another example is
strategies, see e.g. Hedge Fund Research Inc. the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index that
(2007a), Credit Suisse Tremont Index LLC includes strategies such as convertible arbi-
(2007) or AIMA and ASSIRT (2007). trage, distressed securities, equity hedge, and
equity market neutral strategies, see Hedge
Fund Research Inc. (2007b). The dynamic
weighting of these strategies, that is, asset
EVENT-DRIVEN STRATEGIES
weighting, allows for a representation of the
These strategies are based on the observation overall hedge fund universe.
that certain events may result in a new valu-
ation of companies and, hence, there will be
a corresponding change in prices given such
REFERENCES
events. Possible events might be mergers
and acquisitions, spin-offs and carve-outs, AIMA and ASSIRT (2007) Hedge Fund Booklet,
http://www.asx.com.au
financial decisions like initial public offer-
Brooks, C. and Kat, H. M. (2001) The statistical
ings, capital increases, or share repurchases properties of hedge fund Index returns and
as well as restructuring activities. Such their implications for investors. ISMA Center
can buy back the oversold shares from the 2002; FSA, 2007). The term comes from
market. In this case, the greenshoe option is the Greenshoe Manufacturing Company,
abandoned. However, with rising prices of which used this technique for the first time,
the stock the underwriter would have to buy giving the intermediary who was follow-
back the shares at a higher price compared ing the listing process the chance to buy an
to the offering price. To avoid this loss, the additional quantity of shares at the issue
greenshoe option is exercised: the under- price for the IPO; these shares would be
writer can buy additional shares from the sold in case of excessive demand.
issuer at the offering price. Another possi- A greenshoe is an option to buy shares
bility without overselling the offering is the issued by a company in the process of
deferred settlement. Here an investor agrees being listed to the benefit of the bookrun-
to receive his shares from the offering not ner who follows the operation, with a strike
until the end of a lending period (e.g., a price equal to the share price at the IPO.
month). If during that time the price of the Normally, these options have a 30-day expi-
shares needs to be stabilized, the under- ration. The stabilization mechanism that
writer will buy back the agreed number takes effect with a greenshoe is based on the
of shares from the market and if the price behavior of the intermediary who holds the
rises, the underwriter will purchase the option. In fact, the intermediary charged
additional shares at offering price from the with stabilizing the share price takes a long
company. The general term refers to the fact position on the option (as a holder), and in
that the Green Shoe Company was the first order to achieve the correct balance, a short
to introduce that kind of option. position on the market, short selling a num-
ber of shares equal to that established in the
REFERENCES greenshoe at a price very near to the offer
price (Oehler et al., 2004). If the share price
Brealey, S. C. and Myers, F. A. (2006) Principles of
Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY. falls, the intermediary does not exercise
Chisholm, A. M. (2002) An Introduction to Capital the greenshoe option and buys the shares
Markets: Products, Strategies, Participants. Wiley, to close the short position and the security
Chichester, London.
lending with the issuer. By doing so, demand
is stimulated and, consequently, the price is
kept steady. If, on the contrary, the share
Greenshoe Option price rises, the intermediary exercises the
option and issues new shares on the market,
stopping or slowing the price upsurge.
Stefano Gatti
Bocconi University
Milan, Italy REFERENCES
CESR (2002) Stabilization and allotment—a European
The greenshoe option, also known as the supervisory approach. CESR Note.
overallotment option, is a tool used by a FSA (2007) Market Conduct. http://www.fsa.co.uk
Oehler, A., Rummer, M., and Smith, P. N. (2004) The
company and a financial intermediary
Existence and Effectiveness of Price Support
(the bookrunner) to stabilize the com- Activities in Germany—A Note. Bamberg
pany shares price after an IPO (CESR, University Working Paper, Bamberg, Germany.
Raymond Théoret
University of Québec at Montréal
Montréal, Québec, Canada
A hedge is a trade designed to reduce risk (Hull, 2006). The hedge ratio is
another concept related to this definition. A hedge ratio is the ratio of the
size of a position in a hedging instrument to the size of a position being
hedged. There are many different ways to compute the hedge ratio. In the
simple case of an European call, the hedge ratio is the inverse of the delta of
the call defined by: delta = e –q(T–
T t)
N(d1), with q being the continuous divi-
dend yield and N( . ) the cumulative function of the normal distribution.
There are many ways to hedge. One popular method to compute the hedge
ratio has been developed by Witt et al. (1987). This method consists in the
regression of the spot price of a security over its future price: St = β0 + β1Ft +
εt, where St is the spot price, Ft the future price, and εt the innovation. In
this equation, β1 is the hedge ratio. In practice, the method to estimate this
hedge ratio is the ordinary least squares (OLS). Brown (1985) proposes to
compute the hedge ratio using the percentage change of St and Ft in the
regressions. The idea behind this procedure is that these prices are not sta-
tionary. Therefore, it seems preferable to relate these two prices by an error
correction model because they seem to be cointegrated. Wilson (1983) esti-
mates the hedge ratio using the change in the spot and future prices. In this
case, the computation of the hedge ratio corresponds to the minimization
of the variance of ∆S – β1∆F, F β1 being the hedge ratio. A hedged portfolio
is not necessarily a portfolio whose beta is equal to zero and there may be
a nonlinear relation between the return of a portfolio and the return of the
market. However, we cannot resort to the correlation coefficient to judge
the relationship between two variables when there is a nonlinear associa-
tion between them (Bellalah, 2003; Myers and Thompson, 1989; Racicot
and Théoret, 2004, 2006).
REFERENCES
Bellalah, M. (2003) Gestion des risques et produits dérivés classiques et exotiques. Dunod,
Paris.
219
Brown, S. L. (1985) A reformulation of the portfolio Limited partnership means the managers
model of hedging. American Journal of Agricul-
do not bear responsibilities for where they
tural Economics, 67, 508–512.
Hull, J. C. (2006) Options, Futures and Other Deriva- invest their clients’ money. It can be risky
tives, 6th ed. Pearson, New Jersey. for an investor to give money to these man-
Myers, R. J. and Thompson, S. R. (1989) Generalized agers. Low liquidity means the financial
optimal hedge ratio estimation. American Jour-
nal of Agricultural Economics, 71(4), 858–868.
products in the respective portfolio are dif-
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2004) Traité de gestion de ficult to liquidate/sell in the financial market
portefeuille. Presses de l’Université du Québec, as there is no appropriate pricing available
Québec. within a short or reasonable time period. At
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2006) Finance com-
putationnelle et gestion des risques. Presses de times this can mean days or weeks before
l’Université du Québec, Québec. a cash flow can be obtained. Low transpar-
Wilson, W. W. (1983) Hedging effectiveness of U.S. ency means that the financial products, in
wheat futures markets. Review of Research in
Futures Markets, 3, 64–67.
which the hedge fund is invested, will not
Witt, H. J., Schroeder, T. C., and Hayenga, M. L. be disclosed to the final investors.
(1987) Comparison of analytical approaches for Alternative premium means the returns
estimating hedge ratios for agricultural com- received by being exposed to credit risk
modities. Journal of Futures Markets, 7, 135–146.
(e.g., buying a risky bond), to interest rate
risk (e.g., buying a long-term bond), liquid-
ity risk (e.g., investing in small capitaliza-
Hedge Fund tion stocks in Korea) and volatility risk (e.g.,
being exposed to panic on the market, short
options strategies).
Laurent Favre
www.alternativesoft.com, EDHEC
London, England, UK
REFERENCES
“A hedge fund is a portfolio that is struc- http://hedgefund.blogspot.com/2006/04/hedge-fund-
tured as a limited partnership between a definition.html
http://www.allabouthedgefunds.com
small number of partners. It entails incen-
tive fees, does not have any investment
constraints and is generally of low liquid-
ity and has a low degree of transparency
of the portfolio positions. It often displays Hedge Fund
creative and new investment techniques,
with exposure to alternative premiums Replication
and delivering returns that are due to
market inefficiencies. A lot of the invest-
ments are considered unscalable.” Bernd Scherer
Morgan Stanley
A hedge fund is not hedged in terms of not London, England, UK
having exposure to the underlying market.
It can be, but this is not a prerequisite for Hedge fund replication is driven by the
being a hedge fund. Thus, a hedge fund can investor’s desire for liquidity, transpar-
simply be long or short financial products. ency, low fees, and the need to arrive at a
meaningful benchmark for products that hedge fund. Dybvig (1988) has shown how
managed to escape benchmarking for a (too) arbitrary dynamic trading strategies can be
long time. Broadly we can distinguish factor- priced in capital market equilibrium. This
based models based on mean–variance has two immediate consequences. Kat first
portfolio theory as proposed by Lo and arrives at a performance measure that is
Hasanhodzic (2007) and models based on deeply rooted in economic theory and inde-
no arbitrage capital market equilibrium and pendent from distributional assumptions.
stochastic discount factors as suggested by As such it is preferable to mean–variance-
Kat (2007). based factor models that do not provide
Factor-based models attempt to find the this generality. Second, once we can price
best tracking portfolios out of a set of pre- a given return stream, we can also derive
specified macro risk factors (value, size, its dynamic hedging policy. This directly
credit, commodities, …), option strategies leads to the implementation of a replication
(short put, look-back, …), and naive active program.
strategies (forward rate bias, momentum, While cloning hedge funds is the correct
equal weighting, …). Typically linear regres- way to evaluate the alpha generating abili-
sions (equivalent to finding the combination ties of a hedge fund manager and therefore
of factors that minimize the tracking error it allows a much better discussion about the
between fund and replicating portfolio) or level of fees justified by a particular prod-
Kalman filter techniques (to allow for time uct offering, it is not clear investors want to
varying exposures) are used. The resulting invest in clones. After all, hedge fund repli-
combination of factors that tracks a hedge cating portfolios are complex beta bundles
fund (index) best is said to be a clone of this and the real question is whether investors
index. The intercept from this regression need that bundle in the first place. In other
(alpha) measures the amount of real skill words, investors would be better off to
that is neither subsumed in risk taking or decide first which betas they need (in a cor-
in engineering bets on infrequent events nor porate risk management or pure asset allo-
inherent in naïve strategies widely known cation context) and then where to source
to the market. In essence it is what is worth them from.
paying for and what makes a hedge fund
unique. In spirit this is identical to the
so-called mean–variance spanning tests.
Though intuitively appealing, the short-
comings of this approach are manifold. REFERENCES
Potentially missing factors, limited account Dybvig, P. (1988) Inefficient dynamic portfolio strate-
of dynamic trading, the assumption of nor- gies or how to throw away a million dollars in
mality, and most of all the very limited out the stock market. Review of Financial Studies, 1,
67–88.
of sample explanation of individual as well Kat, H. (2007) Alternative Routes to Hedge Fund Repli-
as hedge fund indices put a dent into its cation. Working Paper #0037, Cass Business
practical importance. School, City University, London, UK, http://
ssrn.com/abstract=939395
Models based on stochastic discount fac-
Lo, A. and Hasanhodzic, J. (2007) Can hedge-fund
tors attempt at generating the same dis- returns be replicated? The linear case. Journal of
tributional characteristics as the targeted Investment Management, 5, 5–45.
under any possible behavior of the market. equities by short positions and used lever-
In this regard hedging can be assessed as age since the capital he could invest was
some sort of an insurance against damag- limited. It is interesting to note that the
ing events as a consequence of which loss words “hedge funds” are derived from the
is minimized. Investors must use advanced word “hedging” and are supposed to man-
strategies to find instruments to offset the age and decrease risk but they assume a
risk of unexpected price movements. This greater amount of risk than the market with
requires investing in different alternatives strategies such as short selling, leveraging,
that are negatively correlated. Negative cor- and arbitrage. As a consequence of failure
relation implies that the movements of two in managing risk successfully, history has
investments will be in opposite directions, witnessed collapses of hedge funds in the
at the expense of sacrificing the opportu- late 1990s and early 2000s. Hedging used
nity cost of getting the higher return with by firms have become more complicated
assuming higher risk. A desire for greater and sophisticated as modern markets are
profit is always associated with greater risk. subject to risks from numerous sources as a
Therefore, hedging can be considered as consequence of globalization.
a diversification of risk among alternative
investment opportunities. The framework REFERENCES
of the risk–return tradeoff draws the border-
line for hedging attempts. Apparently, the Kamara, A. (1982) Issues in futures markets: a survey.
Journal of Futures Markets, 2, 261–294.
risk is reduced by hedging but this further Keynes, J. M. (1930) A treatise on money. In: The
adds to the potential of higher profit. Risks Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes,
to be avoided through hedging can be due Vols. 5–6. Macmillan, London, UK.
Marshall, A. P. (1919) Industry and Trade. Macmillan,
to interest rate, equity, credit, or currency. London, UK.
Initial opinions about hedging can Stein, J. (1961) The simultaneous determination of
be traced back to Marshall (1919) who spot and futures prices. American Economic
expressed that hedging is not speculation Review, 51, 1012–1025.
but insurance. Keynes (1930), the founder of
the economics school of thought known by
his name, also stated that hedging is used as
a means for avoiding risk. Stein (1961) real-
HFRI Convertible
ized that hedging was a way of maximiz- Arbitrage Index
ing expected utility out of the assets owned
in the framework of the portfolio theory.
Kamara (1982) contributed to the theory by Laurent Favre
claiming that the main purpose in hedging www.alternativesoft.com, EDHEC
is the desire to stabilize income and increase London, England, UK
expected profits.
The most remarkable hedging prac- The HFRI (Hedge Fund Research Index,
tice was by Alfred Winslow Jones, who www.hedgefundresearch.com) Convertible
introduced the first hedge fund in 1949. Arbitrage Index is an equally weighted per-
Jones established an investment fund that formance index of the convertible arbitrage
would offset long positions in undervalued hedge funds.
from sold stocks − dividends on sold performance index of the distressed hedge
stocks − financing costs. Some manag- funds. To be included in this index, the hedge
ers sell more stocks than implied by the funds must fulfill the following criteria:
option’s delta in order to be overhedged
• Report monthly returns to HFRI
in case of a sudden deterioration in the
• Report net of all fees returns
company’s credit. The aim is to make
• Report assets in USD
money just by carrying the convertible
with leverage. This is often done with There is no required asset-size minimum
U.S. high-yield convertibles, because to be included in the HFRI Distressed
they deliver high bond coupons. Index; the names of the individual hedge
• Synthetic calls: buy out-of-the-money funds are not disclosed and there is no
convertible, sell underlying bond, and requirement for a certain track record length
keep the out-of-the-money call option. to be part of the index. A fund that does not
• Synthetic puts: buy in-the-money con- report any longer will have its past returns
vertible, sell ∆1 underlying stock, receive kept in the index but will not be used in the
the coupon, and pay the dividend. A future (possible survivorship bias).
decrease in stock is much faster than a There is an advantage in terms of return
decrease in convertible, which results in holding companies that are either near
in a profit if the stock goes down. bankruptcy or have problems paying
• Discount convertible: purchase an their debt. The distressed managers focus
inexpensive convertible and attempt on healthy underlying business or fraud.
to short sell the stock. The manager Companies that are part of an industry-
expects the market to recognize the wide malaise and/or feature excess capacity
true value of the convertible, which are no candidates. This is due to uncertainty
will result in a convertible bond profit. of the company’s future. Some people call it
a “liquidity” premium.
REFERENCES
http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/wbs/research/
REFERENCES
wfri/wpaperseries/pp_02.121.pdf http://www.hedgefundresearch.com
http://www.iimahd.ernet.in/~jrvarma/software.php http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~ealtman/dynamics.pdf
http://www.hedgefundresearch.com/index.php?fuse=
indices&1172325891
HFRI Fund Weighted
HFRI Distressed Index Composite Index
The HFRI (Hedge Fund Research Index) The HFRI (Hedge Fund Research Index,
Distressed Index is an equally weighted http://www.hedgefundresearch.com) Fund
payments of $4,000 in year 1 and $0 in year few decades, this level of wealth has become
2 and year 3 to the manager. increasingly common due to inflationary
According to Goetzmann et al. (2003), high and wealth effects as well as the depreciation
watermark arrangements lead to option-like of the U.S. dollar against numerous foreign
incentive schemes for managers of hedge currencies. The net worth is the sum of all
funds. As hedge funds typically employ financial assets minus liabilities. The assets
rather high-variance portfolio strategies that exclude the real estate used for primary resi-
are based on superior knowledge, high water- dences, which accounts for the greatest por-
marks assure the long-term attractiveness of tions of wealth among U.S. households, and
such strategies for fund managers. Moreover, fixed assets such as the car and furniture. In
such bets on “superior manager skills” may 2005, there were 8.7 million HNWIs glob-
imply diminishing returns to scale in the ally. A further category used is ultrahigh
hedge fund industry so that growth oppor- net worth individuals (UHNWIs), com-
tunities for hedge funds are rather limited prised of individuals with financial assets
and—as a consequence—asset-based fees greater than USD 30 million and making
(simply amounting to a fixed percentage of up approximately 0.9% of all HNWIs. There
the total volume of assets under manage- are approximately 70,000 UHNWIs in the
ment) will not work as an effective reward global population with 54,000 or 77% resid-
scheme for successful investment managers. ing in the United States and Europe.
The third category of extreme wealth consti-
tutes the category “billionaires.” According to
REFERENCES
Forbes’ 2007 annual list of the wealthiest indi-
Brown, S. J., Goetzmann, W. N., and Ibbotson, R. G. viduals there are 946 U.S.-dollar billionaires
(1999) Offshore hedge funds: survival and perfor-
in the world. Merrill Lynch and CapGemini
mance, 1989–95. Journal of Business, 72, 91–117.
Goetzmann, W. N., Ingersoll Jr., J. E., and Ross, S. publish annually the “World Wealth Report”
A. (2003) High-water marks and hedge fund that portrays the HNWIs market in detail. To
management contracts. Journal of Finance, 58, derive the numbers of HNWIs, the authors
1685–1717.
Stracca, L. (2006) Delegated portfolio management: use macroeconomic analysis, in which they
a survey of the theoretical literature. Journal of estimate the total wealth of a single country
Economic Surveys, 20, 823–848. and determine its distribution among the
population. From this sample they derive the
number of HNWIs in each country. There are
High Net Worth businesses that focus exclusively on HNWIs
Individual or UHNWIs and their explicit needs. These
include, for example, family office services,
jewelry brokers, kidnap and ransom insur-
Christian Kempe ance, personal health manager, and yachting.
Berlin & Co. AG
Frankfurt, Germany
REFERENCES
A high net worth individual (HNWI) is gen-
Forbes. (2007) The World’s Richest People, New York, NY.
erally defined as a person with financial assets Merrill Lynch/CapGemini. (2006) World Wealth Report, t
greater than USD 1 million. Within the past New York, NY.
FIGURE 1
Illustration of positive and negative skewness.
Hurdle Rate
Wolfgang Breuer
RWTH Aachen University
Aachen, Germany
REFERENCES REFERENCES
Freedman, D., Pisani, R., and Purves, R. (2007) Donaldson, G. (1972) Strategic hurdle rates for capi-
Statistics. W. W. Norton, New York, NY, p. 578. tal investment. Harvard Business Review, 50(2),
Jonhson, R. and Bhattacharyya, G. (2005) Statistics: 50–58.
Principles and Methods. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ, Gjesdal, F. (1988) Piecewise linear incentive schemes.
p. 671. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 90, 305–328.
Juliane Proelss
European Business School (EBS)
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
231
the underlying or the expected future volatil- the implied volatility. If the pricing func-
ity, (2) the expiry date of option, (3) the strike tion, like the Black-Scholes formula, is well
price of option, (4) the price of the underlying, behaved, and there is a closed-form solution
(5) the prevailing interest rate rr, and, in cer- for vega, the Newton-Raphson method can
tain circumstances, (6) dividends paid by the be an extremely efficient method that can
underlying. The single nondirectly observable converge quadratically. However, if there
value would be the future realized volatility. are multiple local extrema, and vega must be
Since the Black-Scholes option pricing func- estimated, other numerical methods (such
tion is strictly monotonically increasing in as Brent’s method) or approximations (such
the volatility, in other words, if all other input as the Brenner–Subrahmanyam formula)
variables are equal, there is only one single may be more efficient. For more details see
value for the theoretical option price for a Antia (2002) and Hallenbach (2004).
certain volatility, it is possible to obtain the The observed implied volatility is usu-
inverse function in the volatility of the pric- ally not constant. It varies with different
ing function, so that observed option market underlyings, strike prices, and expiry dates.
price implies a volatility which is referred This illustrates the limitations of the Black-
to as implied volatility. If the call option’s Scholes formula, which states that there is
price is higher than null and lower than the only one implied volatility, independent of
price of the underlying, there is a one-to-one the strike price (see Figure 1). If all other
solution. input variables are equal, the graph of the
Option pricing models are generally rather implied volatility will have a characteristic
complex. Thus there is often no closed-form shape, which is persistent over time and is
solution for the implied volatility. However, a characteristic of the respective option and
root-finding technique, such as the Newton- market. Before the crash of 1987, the shape
Raphson method, can be used to obtain a of the implied volatility relative to the expiry
solution for it. Because of the rather high date was U-shaped, or what we call a smile
volatility of prices, it is important to use an (for more details see Fouque et al., 2000).
efficient algorithm to obtain a solution for However, since that time, the smile has
35%
Observed implied volatility
30% Theoretical implied volatility (Black-Scholes)
Implied velocity
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
Out of the money At the money In the money
0%
2.900 3.400 3.900 4.400 4.900 5.400 5.900
Strike price
FIGURE 1
Implied volatility smile for put option on EuroSTOXX with 112 days to expiry.
38%
34% Implied volatility
30%
26%
22%
18%
14%
10%
2.962
49 7 price
3.190
Strike
3.418
3.646
7 4
3.873
14 03
4.101
4.329
2 94
4.557
Out of the
4.785
2 85
5.013
3 67
5.241
money
5.468
5 49
5.696
7 31
5.924
Time to expiry
6.152
9 5 At the money
(in days) 129
In the money
FIGURE 2
Implied volatility surface for put option on EuroSTOXX.
predict the development of the surface, that payments is called a fi xed fee. The fi xed
is, the stick-strike rule, the sticky-delta rule, fee component does not depend on the
and the sticky-implied-tree model (Derman, investment fund’s (current) performance.
1999). Several options exchanges offer Typically it is computed as a fi xed percent-
(implied) volatility indexes like the Chicago age of the total volume of assets under man-
Board Options Exchange Volatility Index agement (asset-based fee). In contrast, the
(VIX) as a proxy for expected volatility. incentive fee is increasing in the realized
rate of return of the fund under consider-
ation. Incentive fees are generally utilized
REFERENCES with respect to hedge funds, while mutual
Antia, H. M. (2002) Nonlinear algebraic equations. fund managers most often only earn a fi xed
In: Numerical Methods for Scientists and fee (see Record and Tynan, 1987).
Engineers, 2nd ed. Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel.
Black, F. and Scholes, M. S. (1973) The pricing of Incentive fees are considered to induce
options and corporate liabilities. Journal of fund managers to work harder on port-
Political Economy, 81, 637–654. folio optimization, as they participate in
Chance, D. (2004) The volatility smile. Financial
Engineering News, May/June 37.
any excess return they are going to realize.
Derman, E. (1999) Regimes of Volatility: Some Moreover, incentive fees should be most
Observations on the Variation of S&P 500 attractive for very competent fund man-
Implied Volatilities. Goldman Sachs Quantitative agers. Through a self-selection process,
Strategies Research Notes, London, UK.
Fouque, J.-P., Sircar, K. R., and Papanicolaou, G. investment funds that utilize incentive
(2000) Introduction to stochastic volatility fees should attract more able fund manag-
models. In: Derivatives in Financial Markets ers than investment funds that only offer a
with Stochastic Volatility. Cambridge University
fi xed fee. Hard working and talented fund
Press, Cambridge, MA.
Hallenbach, W. G. (2004) An Improved Estimator managers should imply particularly high
For Black-Scholes-Merton Implied Volatility. rates of fund return, which is in the inves-
Working Paper, Erasmus University Rotterdam, tor’s interest. However, incentive fees may
Netherlands.
Haug, E. G. (2006) The Complete Guide to Option also cause some adverse incentive effects
Pricing Formulas. McGraw Hill, New York, NY. such as excessive risk taking. This is par-
Natenberg, S. (1994) Volatility revisited. In: Option ticularly true, when negative incentive fees
Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies
for fund managers are excluded, as is typi-
and Techniques. McGraw Hill, New York, NY.
cal for the hedge fund industry. For mutual
funds, U.S. law requires incentive fees to be
Incentive Fee able to become negative as well: According
to the 1970 amendment of the Investment
Company Act 1940, incentive fees for
Wolfgang Breuer mutual funds must be centered around an
RWTH Aachen University index and exhibit a symmetrical design of
Aachen, Germany extra payments for results above the index
and of penalty payments for a performance
An incentive fee (also called performance below the index. Because of risk aversion
fee) is one part of the overall payments on the fund manager’s side, such a kind
from investors to a fund manager for his or of incentive fee is seldom accepted so that
her services. The other part of the overall incentive fees are not frequently utilized by
Using Equation 3, we rewrite the residual company later sells newly issued shares
volatility σε that enters the IR calculation as on the public stock exchange (again), this
is then called a seasoned equity offering
2
P P B (SEO). The company offering its shares is
known as the issuer.
Therefore, we get
The shares sold at the IPO can be either
P B newly issued or existing shares. The money
IR (4)
2
paid by investors for the newly issued shares
P P B
goes directly to the company (in contrast to
The IR defined in Equation 4 can be above the sale of existing shares, where the money
or below the IR defined in Equation 1. The goes to the selling shareholders). In practice,
advantage of specification 4 is that it explic- some IPOs consist entirely of newly cre-
itly takes into account the benchmark expo- ated equity, with the original shareholders
sure of the investment manager’s portfolio. retaining all their shares; some IPOs involve
Therefore, in a situation in which the invest- selling only existing shares, with no new
ment manager has to decide on adding fur- funds being raised for the company, but with
ther assets to an already well-diversified the original owners selling some of their
portfolio, the IR defined in Equation 4 gives holdings. Most IPOs consist of a combina-
a better picture of the incremental perfor- tion of the two. The original investors will
mance contribution from the additional observe their shareholdings diluted as their
asset. If the current portfolio is not diver- percentage on the corporation decreases.
sified, then the IR defined in Equation 1 is Hence, the two important functions of
more appropriate. an IPO are providing finance to companies
and providing an exit route for the origi-
nal investors and entrepreneurs. Usually,
certain shareholders (company executives,
Initial Public Offering managers, employees, venture capitalists,
etc.) agree to waive their right to sell (a part
Tereza Tykvova of or all) their existing shares for a certain
Centre for European Economic predetermined time period following the
Research (ZEW) offering (lockup).
Mannheim, Germany IPOs usually involve one or more invest-
ment banks as underwriters who are
An initial public offering (IPO, going pub- responsible for selling the shares to the
lic) is the first sale of a company’s common public. The syndicate of investment banks
shares to stock market investors on a pub- is presided by one or more major invest-
licly traded stock exchange. An IPO per- ment banks (lead underwriter). The sale
mits a corporation to access a broad pool of (i.e., the allocation and pricing) of shares
investors, thus providing it with capital for in an IPO may take numerous forms, the
future growth. On going public, the com- most important being firm commitment
pany is quoted (listed) on a stock exchange. and best efforts method. Under a firm
Listing imposes heavy reporting require- commitment deal, the underwriters com-
ments and regulatory compliance. If the mit to selling all the shares offered. If the
offer is higher than the demand, the under- endowment fund. In many cases, the insti-
writers are left with the unsold shares. In a tution acquires a majority stake and the
best efforts offering, the underwriters make incumbent management buys a small stake
no commitment other than to sell as many of the target company. However, the entire
shares as they can; if they sell less than target company can also be taken over by
what is offered, the issuer receives a lower the financial investor who then hires a
amount of money. Upon selling the shares, group of managers to run the company.
the underwriter keeps a commission, which The institution buys the company either
is usually based on a percentage of the value on the stock exchange (going-private buy-
of the shares sold. The lead underwriters take out, public to private) or directly from the
the highest commissions—up to 8% in some vendor. In many cases the financial buyers
cases. The issuer typically permits the under- use a high percentage of debt financing in
writers an option of enlarging the size of the order to purchase a company (leveraged
offering by up to 15% under certain circum- buyout [LBO]).
stances (greenshoe or overallotment option). The main goal of the investor is to
Historically, IPOs have been underpriced, increase the profitability of the company,
both in the United States and globally. thus raising the market value. Core sources
for improvement in the operating perfor-
mance is a decrease in the capital expendi-
REFERENCES tures (Kaplan, 1989), as well as management
Gregoriou, G. N. (2006) Initial Public Offerings incentives and agency costs effects. By
(IPOs): An International Perspective. Elsevier- means of buyout specialists who structure
Butterworth-Heinemann, Burlington, MA.
the transactions, monitor and control the
Jenkinson, T. and Ljungqvist, A. (2001) Going Public:
The Theory and Evidence on How Companies management teams, agency costs can be
Raise Equity Finance. Oxford University Press, reduced and the operating income increased
Cambridge, MA. (Jensen, 1986, 1988).
The buyout firm seeks to harvest its gains
within a 3–5 year time period by selling the
company’s shares. Among the most com-
Institutional Buy Out mon exit strategies are the sale to a strategic
buyer (trade sale), an initial public offering
Mariela Borell (IPO), or a sale to another financial institu-
Centre for European Economic tion (secondary purchase).
Research (ZEW)
Mannheim, Germany
REFERENCES
An institutional buyout (IBO) refers to the
Jensen, M. (1986) Agency costs of free cash flow,
takeover of a company by a financial insti- corporate finance and takeovers. American
tution. The institutional investor is usually Economic Review, 76, 323–329.
a private equity, a venture capital company, Jensen, M. (1988) Takeovers: their causes and consequen-
ces. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2, 21–48.
or a segment of a commercial or investment
Kaplan, S. N. (1989) The effects of management
bank. It could be also a mutual fund, an buyouts on operating performance and value,
insurance company, a pension fund, or an Journal of Financial Economics, 24, 217–254.
and a short position in refined products. delivery months. As any spread strat-
Thus, the strategy profits from changes of egy, this position is less risky than stan-
the differences of futures prices. It syntheti- dard outright futures positions as the two
cally creates the profit and loss situation futures will partially hedge each other. The
of an oil refinery. Meanwhile, New York aim of interdelivery spreads is to bet on
Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) also offers the price difference of the two contracts.
options on crack spreads. Similar ideas Depending on the concrete underlying
apply to the crush spread: A trader takes a investment, one anticipates that the price
long position in soybean futures and a short difference between both months either
position in soybean meal and oil futures. widens or narrows. For example, if a trader
This position matches that of a soybean pro- is long June corn and short August corn,
cessing company. Intercommodity spreads then the trader anticipates that the price
are less seriously affected by shocks to the of June corn would increase and the price
market as a whole than outright positions of August corn would decrease; therefore,
in a single futures contract. Therefore, they the gamble is on the widening of a price
are sometimes perceived to be less risky. difference. The two most famous types of
However, one has to keep in mind that the interdelivery spreads are bull spreads and
losses due to adverse changes of the price bear spreads. In a bull spread you long the
difference may be higher than single (out- nearer contract and short the more distant
right) futures positions. Furthermore, mar- one. The strategy name is due to a univer-
gin requirements might be reduced due to sal rule for numerous storable commodi-
the offsetting nature of the contracts. ties, such as corn and pork bellies. In a bull
market, the near contract will increase
over the distant months. In a bear spread
REFERENCE you do the reverse, you sell the near future
Geman, H. (2005) Commodities and Commodity and offset it by purchasing a future with an
Derivatives—Modeling and Pricing for Agricul- extended delivery date.
turals, Metals and Energy. Wiley, Chichester, UK.
Other examples of interdelivery spreads
would be to go long on a crude oil futures
contract with delivery next month and sell-
ing short on the same contract where deliv-
Interdelivery Spread ery takes place in 6 months. Spread traders
are merely interested that the long positions
Raquel M. Gaspar they hold increases in value against their
ISEG, Technical University Lisbon short positions.
Lisbon, Portugal
Interest Rate Swap fi xed rate (3%). At any settlement date, only
the party who has the higher debt actually
pays something to the other party.
Francesco Menoncin
University of Brescia
Brescia, Italy
SETTLEMENT DATES
In any kind of swap, two parties pay a
stream of cash flows to one another during The settlement dates are usually the same
a given period of time. In an interest rate for both parties. This could create some
swap (IRS), the cash flows are computed on problems for a floating against floating swap
the same notional but with different inter- on two different segments of the yield curve
est rates. The three main kinds of IRS are (basis swap). For instance, if the 1-month
as follows: LIBOR is exchanged against the 3-month
LIBOR, then one party should pay every
1. Fixed against floating swap—at any month while the other should pay every
settlement date, a party pays a fi xed 3 months. In order to avoid this date mis-
interest rate while the other party pays matching, the settlement dates are set to the
a floating interest rate on the same longer period (3 months in the example)
notional and the other party pays the compounded
2. Floating against floating swap—both amount of what should have been paid at
parties pay a floating (but different) any shorter period (in the example the sum
interest rate of the first 1-month payment compounded
3. Fixed against fi xed swap—cannot be by 2 months, the second 1-month payment
found on the market since it would compounded by 1 month, and the third
create an advantage (and a disadvan- 1-month payment).
tage) only for one of the party and the
other party wouldn’t accordingly enter
into the deal.
PRICING
An example of a fi xed against floating swap
can be found in Table 1: on the notional When two parties enter into any swap, the
of U.S. $240,000, party A pays (1-month) expected present values (under the risk neu-
LIBOR at any month, while party B pays a tral probability) of their future payments
TABLE 1
Example of a Fixed against Floating Interest Rate Swap on the LIBOR
Time A Pays B Pays Notional
(In Months) LIBOR (In %) Fixed Rate (In %) 240,000 USD
1 3.5 3 A pays 100 USD to B
2 3 3 No payments
3 2.8 3 B pays 40 USD to A
must equate (Flavell, 2002; Pelsser, 2000). average of the expected payments pB(s)
In other words, the net expected pres- where the weights are given by the zero-
ent value for both parties must be zero. coupon expiring at the settlement dates.
Algebraically, if the two parties enter into
the swap at time t0 and the swap lasts
till T
T, the following condition must hold:
WHO SHOULD BUY AND
⎡ T p (s ) p (s ) ⎤ ISSUE INTEREST RATE SWAPS
0 EtQ0 ⎢ ∑ A B
st 0
⎥
⎢⎣ st0 (1 r (t 0 , s )) ⎥⎦ Interest rate swaps can be issued either for
speculative or for hedging purposes.
where pA(s) is the payment made by party From a speculative point of view, if we
A at time s, pB(s) is the payment made by intend to bet on the rise of interest rate, then
party B at time s, r(t0, s) is the spot interest we can enter into (or issue) a swap, whereby
rate from time t0 to time s, E is the expected we pay a fi xed interest rate while receiving
value operator, and Q is the risk neutral a floating interest rate. On the other hand,
probability. if we want to bet on interest rates falling,
Equality 1 must hold true only when the then we can issue a swap where we pay a
swap is entered into. Instead, for any time floating interest rate while we receive a
until the maturity (T), the (mark-to-market) fi xed interest rate. Furthermore, when bet-
value of the swap can be either positive or ting on the steepening of the yield curve,
negative (and its absolute value is the same we enter into (or issue) a swap where we
for both parties). In particular, at any time t, pay the short-run interest rate and receive
the value of the IRS for party B (who must the long-run interest rate and conversely,
pay pB and receive pA) is given by (see, for a if we anticipate that the yield curve will
basis framework, Bicksler and Chen, 1986) become flatter.
From a hedging point of view, assume the
⎡ T p (s) pB(s) ⎤ case of a firm, which receives fi xed inter-
IRSB(t ) EQt ⎢ ∑ A st ⎥
⎣ st (1 r (t , s)) ⎦ est rate on its assets while it pays floating
interest rate on its liabilities. In order to
with IRSB(t)t = −IRSA(t).t reduce (or eliminate) the interest rate risk,
In a fi xed against floating swap, with con- this company can enter into a swap, where
stant pA and floating pB(s), which is inde- it pays fi xed interest rate while it receives
pendent of r(t0, s), Equation 1 simplifies to floating interest rate. The counterpart of a
hedger can be either a speculator or another
∑ st EQt [ pB (s)]B(t0 , s)
T
hedger bearing the opposite risk. In aca-
0
pA 0
demic literature, it is suggested that, while
∑ st B(t0 , s)
T
0
the demand for fi xed for floating swaps is
enhanced, the demand for floating for fi xed
where B(t0, s) is the price in t0 of a zero- swaps is reduced by the presence of asym-
,
coupon expiring in s. Accordingly, the metric information in firms decisions
fi xed payment pA must equate the weighted (Titman, 1992).
TABLE 2
Notional Amounts Outstanding of IRSs (In Billions of USD)
Dec 2004 Jun 2005 Dec 2005 Jun 2006 Dec 2006
Total OTC derivatives 257,894 281,493 297,670 369,507 415,183
IRSs 150,631 163,749 169,106 207,042 229,780
% of the total 58.41 58.17 56.81 56.03 55.34
Source: Bank for International Settlements (2006).
with traded stocks or normal mutual funds return is heavily influenced by the time
cannot be used. pattern of cash flows on which its calcula-
It is often argued that the return on a pri- tion is based, while a time weighted return
vate equity investment should be measured by is defi ned as being independent of this
using a value (or cash flow, or dollar) weighted time pattern, since it is simply the geomet-
return measure, that is, the internal rate of ric mean of the single period return real-
return (IRR). The IRR gives the discount rate izations. If a fund manager is interested
that makes the present value of all cash flows in assessing the performance of an open-
equal to zero and can be expressed by end public market investment fund, he
will not have control over time patterns of
T
TABLE 1
Cash Flows and NAVs of Two Funds
T 0 1 2 3
Rt 10% 20% 5%
(A) NAVt 110.0 32.0 33.6
(A) CFt −100.0 0.0 100.0 33.6
(B) NAVt 110.0 60.0 63.0
(B) CFt −100.0 60.0 0.0 63.0
Note: Cash outflows are marked with a minus sign.
measure, both fund managers would be derived with this measure can be compared
attributed the same performance. However, to the extent that the underlying investments
due to the different time pattern of cash are of the same size in terms of net present
flows, the IRR differs. Specifically, fund A has value of cash outflows (denominator of this
an IRR of 13.8%, while it is equal to 11.1% for formula) and the length of their investment
fund B. The question is, does it make sense period is the same. For a more recent mea-
to say that the manager of fund A has per- sure, which uses alternative reinvestment
formed better than the manager of fund B? rates, see public market equivalent (PME).
Even if an investment has a higher IRR
than a second one, it cannot generally be REFERENCES
inferred that the first one is the better one.
Kaplan, S. N. and Schoar, A. (2005) Private equity
This is because the IRR method assumes that performance: returns, persistence and capital.
cash flows generated by the fund can be rein- Journal of Finance, 60, 1791–1823.
vested at an interest rate equal to the IRR. Kaserer, C. and Diller, C. (2004) European Private
Equity Funds—A Cash Flow Based Performance
This is not feasible in most cases. First, it is Analysis In: EVCA (Ed.), Performance Measure-
usually not possible for the investor to invest ment and Asset Allocation of European Private
distributions during the investment project’s Equity Funds. Zaventem, Belgium.
lifetime in an alternative project with an
identical rate of return. Second, it would lead
to different reinvestment rates for cash flows
In-the-Money Options
accruing at the same time. If the investor
would have to invest cash distributions from Jerome Teiletche
the fund into more realistic alternatives such University Paris-Dauphine
as other stocks or bonds, it could happen that Paris, France
the ranking of two investment alternatives
in terms of their present value of cash flows An in-the-money (ITM) option is either a
is different depending on the reinvestment call option where the asset price is greater
rates. than the strike price or a put option where
A solution to this rank order problem is the asset price is less than the strike price.
the modified internal rate of return (MIRR), An ITM option is one that would lead to
which is given as a positive cash flow, if it were exercised
immediately. ITM options are less popu-
with Standard & Poor’s, which granted account are those which have gone pub-
them a license to deliver products linked to lic within the last 6 months, and whose
the S&P Hedge Fund Index. BNP Paribas IPOs were accomplished by the top 5% of
offered a number of derivative products, the underwriters. By paying a subscrip-
such as principal protected notes, swaps, tion rate, the customer receives daily faxed
and options linked to the hedge fund index. reports containing, for instance, new buy
It was the first opportunity to have the same and sell signals, triggered buy and sell
type of exposure as hedge funds with daily signals and canceled buy and sell signals,
liquidity and higher level of transparency. average volume, IPO size and volume
The index provider discloses information factors, and analyst recommendations (see
about the hedge funds composing the index http://www.ipofi nancial.com/faxpak.htm,
and it has access to performance informa- retrieved July 18, 2007). The trading model
tion, operational structure, and risk expo- takes no fundamental information into
sure. Index sponsors often perform ongoing consideration. Fundamental information
due diligence and require auditors to access would include, for instance, income state-
funds’ performance. ment data such as earnings, balance sheet
data such as book value of asset and lia-
REFERENCES bilities, and cash flow statement data such
as cash flows from operating activities, if
Amenc, N. and Vaissié, M. (2006) Determinants of available in the case of an IPO. The basic
Funds of Hedge Funds’ Performance. EDHEC
Risk and Asset Management Research Center, methodology used for the IPO action track
Lille/Nice, France. is called technical analysis, in contrast to
Géhin, W. and Vaissié, M. (2004) Hedge fund indices: the fundamental analysis that applies fun-
investable, non-investable and strategy bench-
marks. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/
damental information. Technical analysis
abstract=659981 studies past financial market data and iden-
Pezier, J. and White, A. (2006) The Relative Merits tifies nonrandom price patterns to forecast
of Investable Hedge Fund Indices and of Funds price trends (Kirkpatrick and Dahlquist,
of Hedge Funds in Optimal Passive Portfolios.
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, 2006). Thus, the technically based program
Reading UK. of the IPOfn corporation only requires
price activities of the considered stocks and
attempts to identify short-term trends (see
http://www.ipofi nancial.com/institut.htm,
IPO Action Track retrieved July 18, 2007). IPOfn also offers
faxed reports for secondaries referred to as
Franziska Feilke secondary action track.
Technical University at Braunschweig
Braunschweig, Germany
REFERENCES
An IPO action track is a proprietary trad-
ing model of the IPO Financial Network Kirkpatrick, C. D. and Dahlquist, J. R. (2006) Technical
Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial
Corporation (IPOfn) that gives short-term Market Technicians. Prentice Hall/Financial
recommendations on initial public offer- Times, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
ings (IPO). The only companies taken into http://www.ipofinancial.com/retrieved July 18, 2007.
While life cycle theories argue for an optimal of market participants (banks, institutional
point of time in the company life cycle to investors, and venture capital/private equity
go public, market-timing theories stress the firms) consisting of five questions (about
importance of capital market conditions for the attractiveness of the current IPO mar-
the timing of IPOs (for a survey cf. Ritter and ket, current valuation level, and future IPO
Welch, 2002). If market timing is important, activity). In its first year, the IPO sentiment
the IPO climate is an important parameter index showed a good prediction capacity for
for the success of an IPO that should be mon- future IPO activity in Germany. The histori-
itored continuously. The IPO sentiment index cal development is regularly published on
is such an innovative instrument to predict the webpage of the Deutsche Börse Group.
the climate for IPOs in Germany. It was
introduced by the German stock exchange REFERENCES
(the Deutsche Börse Group) in January 2006 Deutsche Börse (2006) IPO-Sentiment Indikator—
and is calculated quarterly by the Center for Stimmungsbarometer für den Primärmarkt.
Entrepreneurial and Financial Studies (CEFS) http://www.deutsche-boerse.com
Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979) Prospect theory:
at Technische Universität München.
an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica,
In comparison to other IPO climate indi- 47, 263–292.
ces, which are mainly based on a survey of Kaserer, C. (2006) Der IPO-Sentiment Indikator—Eine
market participants to observe their expert Innovation für den Primärmarkt der Deutschen
Börse AG. Unpublished CEFS—Working Paper,
judgment, it additionally reflects the observed Munich, Germany.
underpricing of the past. Since empirical Lowry, M. and Schwert, G. W. (2002) IPO market
studies find a correlation between the level cycles: bubbles or sequential learning. Journal
of Finance, 47, 1171–1200.
of underpricing and subsequent IPO activity
Ritter, J. and Welch, I. (2002) A review of IPO activity,
(Lowry and Schwert, 2002), there is a good pricing, and allocations. Journal of Finance, 57,
reason to include the observed underpric- 1795–1828.
ing in the prediction of IPO activity. In its
calculation, the IPO sentiment index (ISI) is IPOX (Initial Public
calculated by multiplying the underpricing
sentiment (USI) with the IPO climate (for Offering Index)
further details in the calculation of the IPO
sentiment index cf. Kaserer, 2006):
Josef A. Schuster
USI IPO climate Ipox Schuster LLC
ISI
100 Chicago, Illinois, USA
Number of IPOs
300
250 800
200 600
150
400
100
200
50
0 −
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
FIGURE 1
Global IPO activity (1995–2007). (IPOX Schuster LLC. www.ipoxschuster.com)
long-run in nature. It is also difficult to value billion per annum in market cap has been
newly listed companies because of the high created through IPO and spin-off activity
level of information asymmetry at the IPO globally (Figure 1). IPOs and spin-offs rep-
date. This is due to institutional constraints resent one of the most dynamically perform-
(short selling restrictions, no historical beta, ing equity classes and offer a unique way for
quiet period, and limited analyst coverage). portfolio enhancement if tracked separately.
As companies progress, once being listed, The IPOX Global Composite Index serves
this information asymmetry works itself out as a semipassive benchmark for the perfor-
in share price movements. These underly- mance of IPOs and spin-offs globally. It is
ing dynamics result in a large dispersion in a fully market cap–weighted index that is
long-run IPO returns (over time many IPO dynamically rebalanced and is constructed
companies will eventually have underper- and managed to provide a broad and objec-
formed and relatively few companies will tive view of global aftermarket performance
have overperformed). Exposure into the few of IPOs and spin-offs during the first 1000
overperforming companies, however, can trading days. With an average market capi-
produce substantial asset allocation benefits. talization exceeding U.S. $3 trillion, the
IPOX provides an index methodology that IPOX Global Composite Index does not tar-
seeks to unlock these asset allocation benefits. get a specific number of securities and sec-
An underlying force affecting the IPO mar- tors and the number of constituents is time
kets has also been accounting reforms under varying. The respective subindexes, such as
Sarbanes-Oxley (“SOX”). This has resulted the IPOX-30 Global (all markets) Index, the
in higher quality of disclosure, which also IPOX-30 U.S. Index, the IPOX-30 Europe
means greater company transparency, an Index, the IPOX-30 Asia-Pacific Index, or the
important factor especially for IPO compa- IPOX China 20 Index, pool the most liquid,
nies. The global IPO and spin-off market is largest, and typically best performing com-
economically significant and represents the panies ranked quarterly in the underlying
lifeblood of equity capital markets (ECM) IPOX Global Composite Index. To ensure
activity. Since 1995, an average of U.S. $500 diversification, the maximum weighting of
François-Éric Racicot
University of Québec at Outaouais
Gatineau, Québec, Canada
REFERENCES
Jensen, M. (1968) The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945–1964. Journal of
Finance, 23, 389–416.
Racicot, F. E. (1993) Techniques Alternatives d’Estimation en Présence d’Erreurs de Mesure sur
les Variables Explicatives. MSc thesis, Economics Department, University of Montreal,
Montreal, QC.
255
Racicot, F. E. (2003) Measurement errors in eco- figures. Even though the firms under scru-
nomic and financial variables. In: Three essays
tiny would benefit from managing earn-
on Economic and Financial Data. PhD thesis,
University of Quebec, Montreal. ings and performance downward, the ITC
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2004) Le Calcul traditionally did, unlike other addressees of
Numérique en Finance Empirique et Quantitative. financial reports, neither address nor adjust
Presses de l’Université du Québec, Québec, QC.
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2008) On comparing
for such behavior. The study thus uses a
hedge fund strategies using new Hausman- unique research setting in which clear earn-
based estimators. Journal of Derivatives and ings management incentives prevail. The
Hedge Funds, 14, in press. basic idea of the model applied for analysis
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2007) The beta puzzle
revisited: a panel study of hedge fund returns. is that the accrual component of earnings,
Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds, 13, that is, total accruals, can be understood as
125–146. being composed both of nondiscretionary
and discretionary accruals where the lat-
ter proxy for the extent of earnings. Both
Jones Model accrual components are not directly observ-
able from financial statements. Following
Healy (1985) nondiscretionary accruals can
Jörg Richard Werner be understood as accounting adjustments
University of Bremen to the firm’s cash flows authorized by the
Bremen, Germany
accounting standard-setting organizations
while discretionary accruals are adjust-
In the empirical literature, various attempts ments to cash flows opportunistically cho-
have been made to assess the likelihood or sen by the manager “from an opportunity
extent of earnings management. The statis- set of generally accepted procedures defined
tical procedures that have been put forward by accounting standard-setting bodies” (p. 89).
can be classified into cash flow management The Jones Model provides a structure for
models, for example, the detection of discre- empirically estimating both components
tionary R&D or advertising outlays, accru- of total accruals. Total accruals, the depen-
als models, and combined approaches, for dent variable, are measured as changes in
example, distributional tests and rankings noncash current assets less nonfinancial
(see Goncharov, 2005, for an overview). The current liabilities minus depreciation and
Jones Model, proposed by Jennifer J. Jones amortization expense. The independent
(1991), falls in the category of accruals variables are intended to pick up the major
models and builds on and extends previ- drivers of nondiscretionary accruals result-
ous work by Healy (1985), DeAngelo (1986), ing in the error term grasping the discre-
and McNichols and Wilson (1988). All these tionary accrual component. According to
studies jointly test a model of discretion- this structure, Jones argues that changes in
ary accruals and the existence of earnings revenues should be included in the model
management. In her paper, Jones addresses as an independent variable to control for a
the question whether firms that are subject firm’s economic environment as they are,
to import relief investigations by the U.S. even though not being completely exog-
International Trade Commission (ITC) man- enous, a measure for the firm’s operations
age their accruals to show lower earnings before managers’ manipulations. Likewise,
a variable measuring gross property, plant modifications of the original Jones Model,
and equipment, is included to control for where the most prominent is the so-called
nondiscretionary depreciation expenses. All Modified Jones Model, which was proposed
variables in the model are scaled by lagged by Dechow et al. (1995). Due to the prob-
total assets for statistical reasons and the lems of accruals models in detecting earn-
model is finally estimated using an ordinary ings management in general, distributional
least square approach. Compared to previ- tests and rankings have more often been
ous models, the main advantages of the Jones used in recent research, particularly in cross-
Model are that it (1) is more sophisticated country studies (see Leuz et al., 2003).
than simple models in which discretionary
accruals are supposed to equal total accruals;
(2) considers total accruals, that is, a compre- REFERENCES
hensive measure, instead of a single accrual DeAngelo, L. E. (1986) Accounting numbers as mar-
component to detect earnings management ket valuation substitutes: a study of management
buyouts of public stockholders. Accounting
behavior; and (3) neither supposes nondis-
Review, 61, 400–420.
cretionary accruals to be equal over time Dechow, P. M., Sloan, R. G., and Sweeney, A. P. (1995)
nor to have a mean of zero in the estimation Detecting earnings management. Accounting
period (therefore, the intercept is dropped in Review, 70, 193–225.
Goncharov, I. (2005) Earnings Management and
the estimation procedure). Hence, the Jones Its Determinants: Closing Gaps in Empirical
Model allows the nondiscretionary and Accounting Research. Peter Lang Publishers,
the discretionary parts of accruals to vary Frankfurt, Germany.
Healy, P. M. (1985) The effect of bonus schemes on
with the economic circumstances a firm
accounting decisions. Journal of Accounting and
faces in each reporting period. However, Economics, 7, 85–107.
the Jones Model has also been criticized for Jones, J. J. (1991) Earnings management during import
various reasons. For example, it was argued relief investigations. Journal of Accounting
Research, 29, 193–228.
that the model does not capture earnings Leuz, C., Nanda, D., and Wysocki, P. D. (2003)
management related to the revenue recog- Earnings management and investor protec-
nition process. Moreover, it is said to over- tion: an international comparison. Journal of
Financial Economics, 69, 505–527.
estimate the level of discretionary accruals
McNichols, M. and Wilson, G. P. (1988) Evidence of
within periods of extreme financial perfor- earnings management from the provision for bad
mance. These kinds of problems have led to debts. Journal of Accounting Research, 26, 1–31.
REFERENCES
Dumas, B., Fleming, J., and Whaley, R. E. (1998) Implied volatility functions: empirical tests.
Journal of Finance, 53, 2059–2106.
Kendall, M., Stuart, A., and Ord, J. K. (1998) Kendall’s Advanced Theory of Statistics, Volume
1: Distribution Theory. Hodder Arnold, London, UK.
259
Sven Olboeter
Technical University at Braunschweig
Braunschweig, Germany
The large order execution procedure is a rule that was established at the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange and was developed especially for the trade of
large orders. This rule or procedure allows a member of a contract market to
execute simultaneously selling and buying orders of different principals (see
CFR). The execution takes place directly between the principals. For example,
an initiating party sets up a large order and a member of the contract mar-
ket realizes the order in the pit. He then has to find a counterparty to fulfill
the order. This is not a simple task because of the order size. For this reason
both parties define a maximum quantity that is traded and an execution price
that is intended. After this arrangement the quantity of the initiating party is
transferred in the pit for trading. Bids and offers that are up to the intended
execution price are accepted. After trading there might be some unexecuted
quantity. This part is traded between the counterparty that was found before
trading in the pit and the initiating party. The intended execution price serves
as the basis for this trading. Large order execution procedures are often abbre-
viated by LOX. These procedures can be found in the most trading systems.
REFERENCE
Legal text: United States (CFR). Code of Federal Regulations, 17CFR, 1.39.
Torben W. Hendricks
University of Duisburg-Essen,
Duisburg-Essen, Germany
The last possible day to give the exchange due notice of intention to deliver the
underlying asset of a futures contract is termed last notice day (Hull, 2006).
A commodities futures contract is not based on a fixed delivery date but on a
261
delivery period that usually spans the whole December. At that time, the bread company
contract month. Hence the day of delivery must either cancel the contract, by taking an
notice may be chosen by the holder of the short offsetting position, or agree to take posses-
position. The last opportunity to do so, that sion of the quantity of wheat in this contract.
is, the last notice day, is generally a few days Given that most futures and options contracts
after the last trading day and 1–7 days before expire on the third Friday of the expiration
the last business day of the delivery month. month, these extremely busy days are known
The dates vary according to the exchange as triple-witching days on Wall Street. After
and the underlying asset. For instance, at this date, trading of this particular contract
the Chicago Board of Trade the last notice stops; however, trading in other contracts
day “shall be the business day prior to the continues until their expiration date.
last business day of the delivery month.” It
generally takes 2 or 3 days from the issuing
REFERENCES
of notices of intent to deliver to the delivery
itself. Usually, the exchange acts according Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, R. (2003) Capital Markets,
Institutions, and Instruments. Prentice Hall,
to the rule of assigning notice of intention to
Upper Saddle River, NJ.
deliver to the party with the oldest outstand- Scott, D. (1988) Every Investor’s Guide to Wall Street
ing long position. Investors who are not will- Words. Houghton Mifflin, Boston, MA.
ing to take delivery should close out their
positions before first notice day (for further
details see entry first notice day in this ency- Lead Investor
clopedia), as delivery must be met if notice of
intention to deliver is given to the exchange.
Dengli Wang
Dublin City University
REFERENCE Dublin, Ireland
Hull, J. C. (2006) Options, Futures, and Other Deriva-
tives Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Each round of venture capital funding has
a lead investor who negotiates the terms of
Last Trading Day the deal and usually commits to at least 50%
of the round. Round of funding is the stage
of financing a company is in. The usual pro-
Robert Christopherson gression is from startup to first round to
State University of New York (Plattsburgh) mezzanine to pre-IPO.
Plattsburgh, New York, USA
Inside the venture capital syndicate, each
investor is assigned with different roles.
Typically associated with a futures contract, Typically, in order to achieve the satisfaction
it is the last day a trader can liquidate his/ of syndication objectives, firms may adopt a
her position in a contract or take possession series of techniques to realize the coopera-
of the commodity. For example, if a bread tion among investors. According to Wright
company enters into a futures contract, in and Lockett’s (2003) review, shared equity
wheat with a December expiration date, the ownership can promote the acquisition of
contract will expire on the third Friday of information and enhance the mutual trust
levels at the cost of coordination problems Typically, lead managers promote the
while an imbalanced ownership may lead to stability of the share price once post-IPO
an efficient decision making. trading starts. With the price manipulation
Although the distribution of equity stakes permission from SEC, they might take a
(shared equity ownership or imbalance in series of activities (e.g., post-IPO purchasing
ownership) is remaining as a controversial of shares) against the aftermarket bearish
issue, the lead investor still prefers to occupy selling pressure (Ritter and Welch, 2002).
a larger stake than nonlead syndicate mem- Some literature also focuses on the profit-
bers. The reason is the lead investor seeks ability of lead manager’s market making
more compensation due to its responsibility behavior. Since lead managers are at an
of promoting the coordination in the syndi- advantage in collecting information and
cation. The equity stake also can be treated placing shares, they can beat other investors
as an indication that distinguishes the con- acting as market maker (Ellis et al., 2000).
tributions involved in venture capital fund- Ellis et al. (2002) document that in Nasdaq
ing for each member (Das and Teng 1998). because of the profitability of such activi-
ties, this making behavior in which the lead
manager engages can last for a long time
REFERENCES during the post-IPO period. It is opposite
Das, K. and Teng, B. (1998) Between trust and control: toward the situation in terms of the smaller
developing confidence in partner cooperation IPOs. In that case, lead manager’s making
in alliances. Academy of Management Review,
23, 491–512.
behavior ends shortly after the IPO.
Wright, M. and Lockett, A. (2003) The structure and
management of alliances: syndication in the
venture capital industry. Journal of Management REFERENCES
Studies, 40, 2073–102.
Ellis, K., Michaely, R., and O’Hara, M. (2000) When
the underwriter is the market maker: an
examination of trading in the IPO aftermarket.
Lead Manager Journal of Finance, 55, 1039–1074.
Ellis, K., Michaely, R., and O’Hara, M. (2002) The
making of a dealer market: from entry to equi-
Dengli Wang librium in the trading of Nasdaq Stocks. Journal
of Finance, 57, 2289–2316.
Dublin City University Ritter, R. and Welch, I. (2002) A review of IPO activ-
Dublin, Ireland ity, pricing, and allocations. Journal of Finance,
57, 1795–1828.
Given LBO specialists such as KKR closely excessive perks. This happens because the
monitor a portfolio of firms after these manager accrues 100% of the benefit from
transactions, LBOs should be thought of as such wasteful expenditures but bears less
a new form of organization similar in struc- than 100% of the cost.
ture to that of a diversified conglomerate, Jensen (1986) argues that LBOs can miti-
according to Jensen (1989). Kaplan (1991), gate the agency problem of free cash flow.
however, argues that LBOs are neither per- Increasing a firm’s leverage increases mana-
manent nor short-lived organization form. gerial equity ownership. This assumes that the
This conclusion is based on his observation manager does not sell his/her equity interest
that the median firm in a sample of 183 at the LBO. This provides the manager with
large LBO transactions between 1979 and powerful incentives to improve the operating
1986 remained private for 6.8 years after the performance of the firm and reduce invest-
transaction (Kaplan, 1991). ments in negative NPV projects. In addition,
But why do LBOs exist? Theoretically, with the interest payment of debt hanging
in a Modigliani–Miller (1958) ideal world over the manager’s head as a sword and close
where taxes, transaction cost, and agency monitoring by the buyout specialist, he/she
problems do not exist, capital structure is becomes disciplined and does not have the
irrelevant and LBOs do not add any value. opportunity to waste resources.
In reality, however, the tax shield of debt is A third source of value in LBOs could be
valuable to a firm’s equity holders. Hence, from the strategic sale of a firm’s underper-
LBOs are expected to increase firm value. forming asset after the transaction. Strategic
A counterargument is presented in Miller buyers can use these assets more efficiently
(1977) where an investor holds both debt and hence may be willing to pay a premium.
and equity, and any benefit from the tax Kaplan (1991) documents that about one-
deduction for the equity gets completely third of a firm’s assets are sold to strategic
offset by the tax paid on the interest income buyers following an LBO and argues that
from the debt. Empirically, Kaplan (1989) this is much lower compared to 72% of the
provides evidence that value of the tax asset sale in case of a hostile takeover.
shield in a sample of MBOs between 1979 Critiques of LBOs may argue that such
and 1985 ranged from 21 to 143% of the pre- transactions transfer wealth from a firm’s
mium paid to pre-buyout shareholders. employees to its equity holders. Improved
A second source of value in an LBO may operating performance may come from the
come from the reduced agency problem of reduced wages and benefits of the employees
the free cash flow. Free cash flow is the cash who have little equity ownership and hence
flow in excess of what is required to finance stand to gain little from such transactions.
all the positive NPV project opportunities Based on empirical evidence, Kaplan (1989)
for a firm. Jensen and Meckling (1976) sug- concludes that the gain from the buyouts
gest that agency problem arises when a firm’s comes from better alignment of managerial
manager is not a 100% owner of the equity, incentive to those of the shareholders and
he/she has incentives to invest in negative from the reduced agency cost rather than
NPV projects, including consumption of wealth transfer from the employees.
Another critique against LBOs may be that Zingales analyzes the effect of high lever-
such transactions transfer wealth from pre- age on a firm’s ability to react to and sur-
LBO debt holders to equity holders. Increasing vive competitive pressures in the product
leverage also increases the probability of a market following deregulation. The author
bankruptcy. As the new debt used to finance found that transportation firms with high
an LBO is often senior to the preexisting debt, leverage were forced to charge lower prices
original bondholders are likely to recover less during the price war. In the end, the more
in case of a bankruptcy. Thus the original efficient firms with superior operating per-
bondholders bear most of the increased cost formance were forced to exit partly due to
of financial distress brought on by the LBO high leverage, leaving the playing field for
but almost none of its gains such as the benefit their inefficient, underleveraged, and deep-
of the tax shield or the reduced agency cost. pocket competitors.
LBOs may also create an asset substitution
problem where a firm has to forego positive
NPV projects because it is unable to finance REFERENCES
those projects due to a high level of debt. Andrade, G. and Kaplan, S. N. (1998) How costly is
The evidence is mixed on whether a firm’s financial (not economic) distress? Evidence
from highly leveraged transaction that became
cost of financial distress increases after an
distressed. Journal of Finance, 53, 1443–1493.
LBO. Andrade and Kaplan (1998) examine Jensen, M. C. (1986) Agency costs of free cash flow,
31 LBOs that became financially distressed corporate finance and takeovers. American
subsequent to the transaction. They pro- Economic Review, 76, 323–329.
Jensen, M. C. (1989) Statement before the House Ways
vide evidence that although some firms are and Means Committee. Reprinted: A theory of
forced to reduce capital expenditure and a the firm: governance, residual claims and orga-
few engage in asset fire sale, these firms still nizational forms. Journal of Applied Corporate
Finance, 2, 35–44.
had superior operating performance than
Jensen, M. C. and Meckling, W. (1976) Theory of
the median firm in the industry. In addi- the firm: managerial behavior, agency costs,
tion, they argue that the leveraged transac- and ownership structure. Journal of Financial
tion generated a positive, albeit small, value Economics, 3, 305–360.
Kaplan, S. N. (1989) The effects of management
even after subtracting the cost of financial buyouts on operating performance and value.
distress. They did not find any evidence of Journal of Financial Economics, 24, 217–254.
asset substitution in their sample. Kaplan, S. N. (1991) The staying power of LBOs.
Journal of Financial Economics, 29, 287–313.
In contrast to these results, Zingales (1998)
Kaplan, S. N. and Schoar, A. (2005) Private equity
finds that highly leveraged firms have lower performance: returns, persistence, and capital
ability to make capital investments. Using flows. Journal of Finance, 60, 1791–1823.
data from trucking industry he finds that this Miller, M. H. (1977) Debt and taxes. Journal of Finance,
32, 261–275.
was particularly pronounced in firms that Modigliani, F. and Miller, M. H. (1958) The cost of
were eventually forced to exit the industry. capital, corporation finance and the theory of
Following a buyout, a firm may also face investment. American Economic Review, 48,
261–297.
predatory threat from its deeper pocket
Zingales, L. (1998) Survival of the fittest or the fattest?
competitors that do not have a high level of Exit and financing in the trucking industry.
debt or interest payment. In the same study, Journal of Finance, 53, 905–938.
Philipp Krohmer
CEPRES GmbH
Center of Private Equity Research Limited Partnership
Munich, Germany
and LLC
Limited partners are investors in a limited
partnership. A limited partnership is a pro- Martin Eling
fessional intermediary specialized in fund University of St. Gallen
management that raises capital from inves- St. Gallen, Switzerland
tors, or the limited partners, and invests
the money in corporations in exchange A limited liability company (LLC) and a
for ownership stakes. The limited partners limited partnership (LP) are two types of
provide the capital but do not take part in corporations in the United States. LLCs offer
managing the fund or advising the portfolio limited personal liability to their owners
Liquidate REFERENCES
Kolb, R. (2000) Futures, Options, and Swaps, 3rd ed.
Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA.
Katrina Winiecki Dee Levinson, M. (2006) The Economist Guide to the
Glenwood Capital Investments, LLC Financial Markets, 4th ed. Bloomberg Press,
New York, NY.
Chicago, Illinois, USA
market is the hog/corn ratio, which is sim- number of possible reasons. First, because
ply the number of bushels of corn it takes of the predominant role of informational
to equal the value of 100 lbs of live pork asymmetries about project quality, the capi-
(Strong, 1989). The higher the ratio, the tal market learns about the company value
more attractive it is to raise hogs. only in the subsequent time after the initial
public offering (IPO). Additionally, venture
capitalists are generally perceived as active
REFERENCES
investors, adding value to the companies
McKissick, J. C., Rawls, E. L., and Lawrence, J. D. beyond their capital contribution by means
(1997) Pork producers and the futures market.
In: National Pork Industry Handbook, Purdue
of their management knowhow, reputation,
University Extension, West Lafayette, IN. etc. Hence, if the venture capitalists leave
Strong, R. A. (1989) Speculative Markets, Options, too early, it may have negative consequences
Futures, and Hard Assets. Longman, White
for the further development of the firm
Plains, New York, NY.
value. Other possible sources of uncertainty
about strategic behavior of investors in ven-
ture capital-backed companies with respect
Lock-Up to the amount and time of their disinvest-
ments in and after an IPO are, for example,
tax considerations or the opportunity costs
Andreas Bascha of nonredeployed cash, relative to alterna-
Center for Financial Studies tive investment opportunities. Investors in
Frankfurt, Germany
venture capital–backed firms, therefore, face
the fundamental trade-off between selling
A lock-up prevents certain shareholders of their shares early at an underpriced value
a firm from selling their shares during and/ and waiting until the fundamental value
or after the placement of shares in the stock of the firm is revealed. In order to improve
markets. Usually, lock-up requirements are transparency and impose credible limita-
part of the legal conditions for a public offer- tions to strategic behavior, lock-up clauses
ing. The general rationale behind lock-up are often agreed upon as explicit covenants
provisions is to protect new shareholders in financing contracts specifying differ-
for a certain period of time from potential ent lock-up periods between the venture
losses caused by old shareholders unwind- capitalist and other related insiders such
ing their investments by selling large stock as company founders, management, other
packages. Such negative stock price reac- investors, etc.
tions can economically be viewed as mar-
ket participants’ interpretations of negative
information about the value of the compa- REFERENCES
nies revealed by the potentially strategic Bradley, D. J., Jordan, B. D., Roten, I. C., and Yi, H.
behavior of the inside investors. (2000) Venture capital and IPO lock-up expira-
Empirical studies about stock price beh- tion: an empirical analysis. Journal of Financial
avior around lock-up expiration dates Research, 24, 465–493.
Field, L. C. and Hanka, G. (2001). The expiration of
have shown that in venture capital finance IPO share lock-ups. The Journal of Finance, 56,
this problem is even more important for a 471–500.
will take delivery of the foreign currency very similar to traditional investment
at the maturity (or perhaps before maturity funds. Typically, they are long in equities
depending on the type of option contract). and perform stock picking, but occasion-
To sum up, one of the parties to a contract ally they also make use of derivatives and
involving a derivative assumes a long posi- short selling. Short sellers concentrate on
tion and commits to buying the underlying stocks with expected price losses. They
asset/instrument on a certain future delivery generally assume that the market for short
date for an agreed-upon price. The other party sales is less efficient because most investors
takes a short position and commits to selling try to find undervalued stocks.
the same asset/instrument on the same deliv- Among others as a consequence of the
ery date for the same agreed-upon price. chosen long short discipline, the long short
equity portfolio can be long biased, short
REFERENCES biased, or market neutral. A long biased
portfolio has a net long position that results
Bodie, Z., Kane, A., and Marcus, A. J. (2003) Essentials in a positive correlation to the market. The
of Investments. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Hull, J. C. (2000) Options, Futures, and Other Deriva- opposite is true for a short biased portfolio.
tives, Prentice Hall. Upper Saddle River, NJ. Thus, the hedge funds can actively partici-
Shapiro, A. C. (2005) Foundations of Multinational pate in falling (negative beta) or rising (posi-
Financial Management. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
tive beta) markets (market timing strategy).
The special case of zero beta is called market
Long Short Equity neutral. For instance, this can be reached by
the use of index derivatives.
Martin Hibbeln
Technical University at Braunschweig
REFERENCES
Braunschweig, Germany Black, K. (2004) Managing a Hedge Fund: A Complete
Guide to Trading, Business Strategies, Operations,
and Regulations. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
“Make money on alpha.”” Long short equity Jaeger, L. (2002) Managing Risk in Alternative
is a strategy that belongs to the category Investment Strategies: Successful investing in
of opportunistic strategies. In long short Hedge Funds and Managed Futures. Financial
Times Prentice Hall, London.
strategies, undervalued equities that are Lhabitant, F.-S. (2002) Hedge Funds—Myths and
expected to rise are bought long and/ Limits. Wiley, Chichester, London.
or overvalued equities that are expected
to decline are sold short on spot and on
futures markets. The long short disciplines Long the Basis
are equity hedge, equity nonhedge, and
short selling. Equity hedge portfolios are,
usually, leveraged long positions that are Berna Kirkulak
hedged with derivative securities or short Dokuz Eylul University
Izmir, Turkey
selling of stocks/stock indices at all times.
For example, a manager could hedge the
market risk with a put option on the rel- A person or firm is termed “long the basis”
evant index. Equity nonhedge funds are if he or the firm buys a commodity in the
TABLE 1
Hedgers Making Profits or Losses
Price Movement To One Who is in the “Long” in the Cash Market
Cash Price Futures Price Unhedged Hedged
Falls Falls by the same amount as cash Loss Neither profit nor loss
Falls Falls by a greater amount than cash Loss Profit
Falls Falls by a smaller amount than cash Loss Loss, but smaller than an unhedged loss
Falls Rises Loss Loss, but greater than an unhedged loss
Rises Rises by the same amount as cash Profit Neither profit nor loss
Rises Rises by a greater amount than cash Profit Loss
Rises Rises by a smaller amount than cash Profit Profit, but smaller than an unhedged loss
Rises Falls Profit Profit, but greater than an unhedged loss
Source: Yamey, S. B. (1951).
“trend followers.” So-called primitive trad- Similarly, for the lookback put option, the
ing strategies (PTS) capture the essence of payoff depends on the minimum price in
such dynamic trading strategies using static the lookback period:
easy-to-understand algorithms. For exam-
ple, the payoff of a perfect market timer Payoff put Smin St
who may only take a long position should
be identical to the payoff from holding a call Since the lookback straddle is the kind of
option. If, on the other hand, it is possible construction of the lookback call and look-
to go long or short, the perfect trend fol- back put options, this strategy is benefited
lower should “buy low and sell high,” which by taking the difference of the highest and
exactly corresponds to the payoff of a look- the lowest prices of underlying assets:
back straddle. Consequently, the lookback
straddle can be thought of as the PTS used Payoff lookback straddle Smax Smin
by market timers.
REFERENCES
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2001) The risk in hedge Losing Streak
fund strategies: theory and evidence from
trend followers. Review of Financial Studies, 14,
313–341. Meredith Jones
Goldman, M., Sosin, H., and Gatto, M. (1979) Path
dependent options: buy at the low, sell at the
Pertrac Financial Solutions
high. Journal of Finance, 34, 1111–1127. New York, New York, USA
Merton, R. (1981) On market timing and investment
performance (I): an equilibrium theory of value
for market forecasts. Journal of Business, 54, A losing streak refers to a period of time
363–407. defined by consecutive monthly losses (i.e.,
negative returns) incurred by a hedge fund
or other investment. In the example below,
Lookback Straddle the losing streak starts with the March 2007
(An Example) return (−3.30%) and ends with the July
2007 return. In August, this manager posts
a positive return, thus ending the losing
Dengli Wang streak. A losing streak is different from a
Dublin City University drawdown in that a drawdown refers to the
Dublin, Ireland greatest amount of loss sustained after hit-
ting an equity high until a new equity high
Let us consider a lookback call option. is reached. To end a losing streak, a man-
During the lookback period the highest ager does not have to achieve a new equity
price of underlying asset is Smax, and the high, but instead must only post a positive
price at present is St, then the payoff of this monthly return. In the example below, the
lookback call option is manager remains in a drawdown in August
2007, even though the manager’s losing
Payoffcall Smax St streak was broken.
Another way to express a losing streak is the variability of returns below the target
as an aggregate return that reflects the full return. All positive returns are treated as
loss incurred during the consecutive losing zeros in the calculation as below:
months. The table below shows that the man-
ager above posted an aggregate loss of −7.59% ∑ i1 min[(ri rt ), 0]2
n
standard deviation as a stand-alone met- all positive observations are ignored, the
ric. A prominent example of the use of this number of data points that are available
concept is the Sortino Ratio, which replaces may not be sufficient to make a valid statis-
the standard deviation in the Sharpe tical argument.
Ratio with loss standard deviation in the
denominator.
However, as noted by Bacon (2004), loss
standard deviation numbers should be REFERENCE
viewed with caution due to the limited data Bacon, C. (2004) Practical Performance Measurement
points involved with its calculation. Since and Attribution. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Matthias Muck
University of Bamberg
Bamberg, Germany
Actively managed funds are funds that try to outperform their benchmarks
(usually the relevant indexes) through the implementation of a sophisti-
cated investment strategy. In contrast, passive (index) funds match the per-
formance of a particular stock market index such as the S&P 500 index in
the United States or the EuroSTOXX 50 in Europe. Trading strategies of
actively managed funds try to generate excess returns or lower investment
risk. Trading strategies are usually built on technical or fundamental analy-
sis of individual firms or sectors, anticipation of macroeconomic trends,
or the application of (proprietary) models of the financial market. In turn,
actively managed funds usually charge higher fees from investors compared
to their passive index counterparts. In addition to that, more trading expenses
are incurred because the portfolio composition is changed more frequently.
On the other hand, trading expenses are usually rather low for index funds
because the composition of stock market indices is stable over time.
In order to evaluate the performance of actively managed funds, returns
must be put into relation to risk. Common measures are Jensen’s alpha,
Treynor ratio, or Sharpe ratio. Academic research has shown mixed results
concerning the success of actively managed funds: On average actively
managed funds tend to underperform their benchmarks since expenses and
fees frequently reduce performance to a significant extent as found e.g. by
Carhart (1997). Active management is primary suited for inefficient mar-
kets where fund managers may create value by investing in targets for which
they have informational advantage. This point of view is substantiated e.g.
by Kacperczyk et al. (2005) who document that concentrated funds perform
better than broadly diversified portfolios.
REFERENCES
Carhart, M. (1997) On persistence in mutual fund performance. Journal of Finance, 52,
57–82.
Kacperczyk, M., Clemens, S., and Lu, Z. (2005) On the industry concentration of actively
managed equity mutual fund. Journal of Finance, 60, 1963–2011.
281
the company is either provided through the company private in order to avoid the
bank loans or through high-yield debt (junk duties and costs connected with being public.
bonds). The repayment of the loan is made Another reason for the existing management
out of the free cash flow generated from the to go for a management buy-out would be to
company, whereas the assets of the com- save their jobs. The business would otherwise
pany serve as collateral for the loans. The be shut down or sold to another company
strategy of a management buy-in can also that would exchange the management. Since
be combined with a management buy-out. the managers of a company usually don’t
If the outside management group considers have enough money to finance the purchase
any existing managers of the company of themselves, the main challenge of a manage-
great further value, the new board of direc- ment buy-out is its financing. If the purchase
tors may also include a former manager of is mainly financed by debt—either bank loans
the company, who can share his experience or bonds—the transaction can also be referred
with the new management group. In case of to as a leveraged buy-out (LBO). Another
a family business, the question of succession source of funds can be derived from private
can also be solved by a management buy-in. equity investors who get part of the shares
in return for the capital invested. However,
REFERENCES private equity investors tend to have differ-
ent aims compared to the management. The
Andrews, P. (1999) Management Buy-Out. Kogan
latter will take a long-term view, whereas pri-
Page Ltd., London.
Robbie, K. and Wright, M. (1996) Management Buy-Ins: vate equity investors want to maximize their
Entrepreneurship, Active Investors and Corporate returns by making an exit after a few years. In
Restructuring. Manchester University Press, the meantime, they will impose certain terms
Manchester, UK.
on the management about the way the com-
pany should be run.
Management Buy-Out
REFERENCES
Claudia Kreuz Clifford, G. and Beaver, G. (2007) Management buy-
RWTH Aachen University outs: strategies for success. Strategic Change, 16,
Aachen, Germany 23–31.
Smith, I. (1997) Techniques for Successful Management
Buy-Outs. Thorogood, London, UK.
A management buy-out (MBO) is the pur-
chase of a company by its existing manage-
ment. The managers buy at least a large part of Management Fee
the shares or the whole company. Frequently
the management team wants to gain inde-
pendence and a chance to influence the future Sean Richardson
strategy of the business in order to achieve Tremont Group Holdings, Inc.
Rye, New York, USA
a capital gain by increasing the value of the
company. Given that they are now invest-
ing their own equity, they tend to be highly Management fee is an annual fee that is
motivated. Often the management will take charged to investors regardless of the level
of return for a particular asset. This fee is a model that takes into account the system-
standard cost that money managers charge atic risk and its reward by the market. Since
for managing investor capital. The costs unsystematic risk can be diversified away
associated with management include admin- at no cost, bearing diversifiable risks is not
istration, investor relations, and professional rewarded. Therefore, the measurement of
management. Fees can be accrued on a daily, manager skill should not be based on the
monthly, or even quarterly basis based on total return and volatility of the portfolio
assets under management at the end, begin- itself; rather it should be geared toward the
ning, or an average for a particular period. residual return and volatility that cannot be
Hedge fund managers typically charge fees diversified away.
between 1 and 3% and these fees are substan- Commonly used equilibrium models are
tially higher than other investment vehicles, the one-factor capital asset pricing model
such as mutual funds (Anson, 2003). Also, (CAPM) or the multifactor arbitrage pric-
funds of hedge funds charge an extra layer ing theory (APT). Both the CAPM and the
of management fees in order to cover the APT postulate a linear relation between sys-
expenses associated with investing in the tematic risk(s) and expected return. These
underlying hedge funds as well as manag- models give the risk-return menu, which
ing investor capital. each investor can achieve through a passive
portfolio strategy. Therefore, the CAPM
and the APT serve as an adequate bench-
REFERENCE mark for active portfolio management.
Anson, M. (2003) Registered hedge funds: retail inves- With the ex-post version of the CAPM or
tors enter the marketplace. JJournal of Financial APT, we can measure whether the invest-
Planning,
g 16, 62–71.
ment manager has achieved an excess per-
formance. The systematic factors can be
Manager Skill represented, for example, by a broad stock
index, a bond index, an interest rate spread,
or some macroeconomic indices. We then
Markus Leippold regress the excess return on the excess
Imperial College returns of the factors using the following
London, England, UK regression equation:
N
Assessing manager skills is one of the most
rp (t ) ∑ Fi rFi(t ) (t ) (1)
delicate tasks in investment management. i1
In investment theory, manager skills relate
to the ability of an investment manager The regression coefficients βFi measure the
to actively outperform a given benchmark sensitivity of the portfolio with respect to
strategy. Often, it is useful to break down the systematic risk factors rFi(t).
t The serially
skills into two components: selectivity and uncorrelated error term ε(t) t has mean zero
market timing. and a constant volatility σε. The sum α + ε(t)
t
To measure the performance contribu- measures the change in portfolio value that
tion from actively managing an investment arises from actively managing the portfolio.
portfolio, we can resort to some equilibrium Since ε(t)
t has zero mean, α measures the
mean excess return compared to a simple Mazuy (1966) suggest including a quadratic
buy-and-hold strategy that passively invests term into the standard linear regression:
in the underlying factor portfolio. N
Another useful measure to assess the rP (t ) ∑ Fi rFi(t )
manager’s skill is the R2-value of the regres- i1
N
sion in Equation 1. It measures the fraction
∑ Fi rF2i (t ) (t ) (2)
of the return variance that can be attributed i1
to the variance of the factor returns. A low
R2 indicates that the investment manager Successful market timing would then give
departs strongly from the passive bench- rise to a positive coefficient γFi. A problem
mark strategy. A large R2 indicates that related to this approach is that the quadratic
the active investment style is close to the terms in Equation 2 produce multicolinear-
benchmark. ities and, hence, the regression may be sub-
There are many different performance ject to large estimation errors.
measures based on the linear return speci- As an alternative, Merton (1981) and
fication in Equation 1. For instance, the Henriksson and Merton (1981) suggest using
reward-to-volatility ratio divides the excess insights from option pricing theory. They
return by the beta of the portfolio, that is, approximate the convex payoff of a market-
the systematic risk component. The Sharpe timing strategy by an option contract. A
ratio divides the excess return by the total perfectly timed portfolio would correspond
volatility of the portfolio return. The infor- to a static portfolio fully protected with a
mation ratio simultaneously accounts for put option. To assess the manager’s timing
the diversification aspect and the systematic skills, they use the following regression:
risk by dividing the strategy’s alpha by the
residual volatility. N
If γFi is positive and statistically significant is a trading facility and a one-to-many plat-
different from zero, then the investment form is not.
manager has market-timing skills. If α is This is relevant because one-to-many mar-
positive and statistically significant differ- kets are exempt from CFTC regulations (such
ent from zero, the manager also has selec- as those described in Section 2(g)), or mostly
tion skills. exempt from CFTC regulations (such as
those described in Section 2(h)(1), which
are subject only to regulations prohibiting
REFERENCES fraud and manipulation). Many-to-many
Henriksson, R. and Merton, R. (1981) On market markets, on the other hand, are generally
timing and investment performance II: statisti- subject to CFTC regulations. But the Com-
cal procedures for evaluating forecasting skills. modity Exchange Act, like most legislation,
Journal of Business, 54, 513–533.
Merton, R. (1981) On market timing and investment is messy and complex and there are some
performance I: an equilibrium theory of value many-to-many markets that are exempt
for market forecasts. Journal of Business, 54, from CFTC regulation. For example, under
363–406.
Treynor, J. and Mazuy, K. (1966) Can mutual funds
Section 2(d)(2), the “electronic trading facil-
outguess the market? Harvard Business Review, ity exclusion,” entities called eligible con-
44, 131–135. tract participants can trade commodities
called excluded commodities on electronic
many-to-many markets and be exempt from
CFTC regulations.
Many-to-Many
REFERENCES
Michael Gorham CFTC Glossary, http://www.cftc.gov/educationcenter/
glossary/glossary_l.html
Illinois Institute of Technology
Commodity Exchange Act: Section 2(g) and Section
Chicago, Illinois, USA 2(h)(1) and Section 2(d)(2).
smoother by limiting default risk. This risk are required to maintain margin accounts
can arise if the holder has completed any of with brokers. Brokers (if they are not clear-
the following: inghouse members) are requested to main-
tain margins, called clearing margins, with
1. Entered into a futures contracts members of the clearinghouse. The clear-
2. Sold securities (including derivatives) inghouse acts as an intermediary that set-
short tles trades and regulates delivery.
3. Borrowed cash from the counterparty Portfolio margining is one of the most
to buy securities important financial safeguards, ensuring
integrity to the system. In fact, the clearing
The collateral a trader has to provide can service provider settles its accounts daily.
be in the form of cash or short-term bonds, As daily closing prices change the value of
or any security allowed by the specific terms outstanding positions of each underlying
of the related contract. The portfolio mar- or index in customers’ accounts, the clear-
gining systems is rather simple. The collat- ing service provider collects margins from
eral, that is, cash, is deposited on a margin those who have lost money, and credits the
account. The amount that must be deposited funds to the accounts of the investor hav-
at contract inception is called initial margin, ing made a profit. Thus, prior to the start of
or initial margin requirement. At the end of each trading day, the entire amount of losses
each day the margin account is adjusted to on the previous trading is collected and all
reflect the trader’s profit and loss: this is the profits are credited. Basically, a futures con-
mark-to-market mechanism. tract is closed out and rewritten each day,
There is a minimum amount, the main- thus avoiding major losses.
tenance margin, of collateral that must be In addition, many exchanges use real-time
maintained in a margin account, to ensure risk system in order to determine the margin
that the balance never becomes negative. requirement on the basis of the estimated
This minimum amount is also referred to as risk in a customer’s portfolio, projecting
minimum maintenance. This level is a min- the potential losses (e.g., estimating value-
imum, and a number of brokerages have at-risk and performing stress tests, often
maintenance requirements lower than the with sophisticate risk models) that could be
initial margin. Finally, the investor will created by various moves in the underlying
receive a margin call if the value of the equity or index markets. Doing so, since
securities in the portfolio drops below the portfolio margining accounts better reflect
maintenance margin: the investor has to this actual market risk, these exchanges can
deposit extra-collateral, known as varia- require less equity on deposit, providing
tion margin, to bring the account up to the greater leverage to the investors.
required level. If this does not happen, the
broker closes the position, limiting coun-
terparty risk. See Duffie (1989) and Hull REFERENCES
(2005) for an alternative description of the
Duffie, D. (1989) Futures Markets. Prentice Hall,
margining mechanism.
Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
A number of market participants are Hull, J. C. (2005) Options, Futures, and Other Deriv-
involved in the margining process. Traders atives. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Investment-
Managed
Investor manager/
Account hedge fund
FIGURE 1
Managed account flow chart. (From Own Chart According to Absolut|Research.)
TABLE 1
Comparison of Managed Accounts versus Hedge Funds
Managed Accounts Hedge Funds
Legal Status Single Account Asset
Legal Framework Trading Advisor Agreement Sales Brochure/Brochure Liability Law
Additional Variants Collective account at custodian Fund of Hedge Funds
Prime Broker Several prime brokers may be There is generally one prime broker per fund,
necessary if the prime broker who is not chosen by the investors. The prime
preferred by the investor is broker chooses positions and performs risk
not the fund manager’s prime evaluation.
broker of choice.
Custodian Chosen by the investor Chosen by the hedge fund. The prime broker is
often the custodian.
Administration Chosen by the investor Chosen by the hedge fund. The prime broker is
often the administrator.
Position Valuation Chosen by the investor Chosen by the prime broker, usually by using the
latest market prices or fund manager models.
Transparency Transparency results from insight Hedge funds are not required to provide more
into manager transactions/ information than they deem necessary. There
positions. Exposures and is thus a lack of transparency, especially with
changes are thus visible. arbitrage strategies, trading of illiquid
positions, and short positions.
Exercising Influence Investors can directly influence No direct investor influence is possible.
positions in their accounts if they To combat this, wealthy investors may put
detect manager violations. together their own funds of funds.
Regarding the necessary resources, inves- are on average 50% lower than the average
tors often underestimate the requirements value of a large hedge fund database. This
for administering position information for can be interpreted as a sign that investors
a hedge fund portfolio. A sophisticated risk in conventional fund structures realize a
management system generally costs U.S. transparency and liquidity premium com-
$100,000, not including implementation pared with those in managed accounts.
and maintenance costs. Hence, the mini-
mum investment volume for setting up a REFERENCES
managed account is between U.S. $5 mil-
lion and $50 million. Kundro, C. and Feffer, S. (2004) Valuation issues
and operational risk in hedge funds. Journal of
The managed account concept exists in Financial Transformation, 11, 41–47.
various forms and variations, and is classi- Giraud, J. R. (2005) Mitigating Hedge Funds’ Opera-
fied according to Giraud (2005) as follows: tional Risks—Benefits and Limitations of Man-
aged Account Platforms. Working Paper, Edhec
Business School, Lille, France.
• Standard Custodial Arrangements. The Haberfelner, F., Kaiser, D. G., and Kisling, K. (2006)
assets are held in a specific account Managed accounts or the price of liquid and
managed by the hedge fund manager. transparent hedge fund and CTA investing. In:
G. N. Gregoriou and D. G. Kaiser (Eds.), Hedge
• Prime Brokerage Custody. The assets Funds and Managed Futures—A Handbook for
are held in the name of the fund in a Institutional Investors. Risk Books, London, UK.
specific account managed by the hedge Jaeger, L. (2003) Risks and risk management for hedge
funds. In: L. Jaeger (Ed.), The New Generation
fund manager. The prime broker may
of Risk Management for Hedge Funds and
serve as an independent risk control Private Equity Investments. Euromoney Books,
and valuation entity. London, UK.
• Basic Managed Accounts. The assets are
held in the name of the investor on the
books of the custodian. The manager Margin Call
has the right to manage this account
based on the asset management agree-
ment. The bank serves only as an inde- Raffaele Zenti
pendent valuation entity. Leonardo SGR SpA–Quantitative
• Managed Account Platforms (MAP). Portfolio Management
Milan, Italy
The assets are held in the name of the
investor in separated accounts. The
bank or the platform operator is in A margin call conforms to a call, in the
charge of the back office, valuation, form of an electronic message, or a
and risk control duties. The platform phone call, from an investment profes-
itself can engage in prime brokerage sional/broker to a client, or either from a
contracts. clearinghouse to one of its clearing mem-
bers, asking for the deposit of cash or
Haberfelner et al. (2006) show that the marginable securities to meet regulations
advantages of managed accounts corre- governing margin accounts. The investor
spond to high opportunity costs. Hence, the or the clearing member must deposit addi-
Sharpe ratios realized by managed accounts tional cash or securities so that the margin
When an investor places an order with a bro- Traditionally, market timing consists of shift-
ker to buy or sell a security, he has several ing from stock and or bonds to more secure
or safe instrument having less risk (i.e., Shen (2002) highlights that adhering to some
Treasury bills). Managers using this strategy general rules may be possible to avoid a num-
either use fundamental or quantitative ber of market downturns by focusing on the
analyses to make their decisions. Market spreads between the earnings price ratio (or
timing often refers to buying securities at a earnings yield of an investment) of the S&P
low price and reselling them at a higher price. 500 index and interest rates.
The thematic behind this strategy is attempt-
ing to predict the future movement of stock
REFERENCES
prices using either technical or fundamental
analysis. However, Fama (1965) coined the Bauer, R. J. and Dahlquist, J. R. (2001) Market timing
efficient market hypothesis suggesting that and Roulette wheels. Financial Analysts Journal,
57, 28–40.
trying to time the market is futile and mar- Ellis, C. D. (2002) Winning the Loser’s Game. McGraw-
kets are efficient. Fama’s suggestion is to Hill, New York, NY.
simply buy the index. This notion is similar Fama, E. F. (1965) The behavior of stock market prices.
Journal of Business, 38, 34–105.
to betting on an entire horse race rather than Malkiel, B. (2006) A Random Walk Down Wall Street.
just betting on one horse. Markets are effi- Random House, New York, NY.
cient and it is impossible to predict where the Shen, P. (2002) Market-Timing Strategies That Worked.
market will be; therefore, when information Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas
City, KS.
becomes available, it is instantly incorporated
into the stock market. Consequently any type
of mathematic models trying to forecast the Maximum Drawdown
market’s direction will not work. Markets
follow a random walk and according to
Malkiel (2006), foreseeing where the market Meredith Jones
will be in the future with some sort of reason- PerTrac Financial Solutions
able efficiency and persistency over the long New York, New York, USA
term is not possible. Hedge fund managers on
the other hand believe that markets are inef- A maximum drawdown is the greatest
ficient and do not behave as a random walk. amount of loss sustained after hitting
A good market timer must predict the exit an equity high until a new equity high is
and the entry to be successful. Ellis (2002) reached. The dark blue line in Figure 1
calls this loser’s game by undertaking to out- represents the value-added monthly index
perform the market over the long term. The (VAMI) for the S&P 500 Index.
longer the horizon the more difficult it is for The red dot indicates the lowest point,
money managers to consistently outperform or valley, of the drawdown. The distance
the market. According to Bauer and Dahlquist between the green lines is the depth, from
(2001), buy and hold strategies using large cap peak to valley, of the drawdown. Two other
stocks outperformed a market-timing strat- characteristics to note are the length of the
egy almost 99.8% of the time. The authors drawdown and the time to recovery. Table 1
used backtested simulations with monthly, displays a typical drawdown table on an
quarterly, and annual market-timing strate- investment, in this case the S&P 500.
gies during the 1926–1999 period for six well- Note that this table only displays the top
known and major U.S. asset classes. However, five, or largest, drawdowns for the S&P 500.
30%
Leng th Reco very
25% Length Recovery
20%
Peak
15% Peak
10%
5%
0% Dept h
Depth
−5% Valle y
Valley
−10%
09-9 0
07-90
08-90
11-90
01-91
02-91
04-91
07-91
08-91
09-91
10-91
11-91
12-91
11-89
01-90
02-90
03-90
05-90
06-90
10-90
12-90
03-91
06-91
12-89
04-90
05-91
S & P 500
FIGURE 1
Maximum drawdown (worst loss).
TABLE 1
Drawdown of the S&P 500 July 1, 1997 to June 6, 2007
Drawdown (%) Length (Months) Recovery (Months) Peak Valley
−44.73 25 49 August 2000 September 2002
−15.37 2 3 June 1998 August 1998
−6.82 2 1 December 1999 February 2000
−6.24 3 2 June 1999 September 1999
−5.60 1 3 July 1997 August 1997
It also displays the length of the drawdown, high is reached. If a fund loses 10% in one
and the date that the equity high (peak) and month, 5% the next month, but then makes
the drawdown low (valley) occurred. Using 1% in the third, and 25% in the fourth, the
this information, investors can determine length of the drawdown is three and not
whether a fund may fit their risk tolerance two months long. The maximum drawdown
level, and also what questions to ask the is the largest (deepest) drawdown the fund
manager during the due diligence process. has experienced since it began operations.
For example, if a large drawdown occurred
in a month when an index or peer group was REFERENCES
positive, an investor may want to inquire
Acar, E. and James, S. (1997) Maximum loss and
about strategy drift, leverage portfolio con- maximum drawdown in financial markets.
centration, etc. Proceedings of Forecasting Financial Markets,
In addition, many investors make the an International Conference sponsored by BNP
and Imperial College, London, UK.
assumption that the length of the draw- Burghardt, G., Duncan, R., and Liu, L. (2003) Diciphering
down includes only those months when drawdown. Risk, September, S16–S20.
the fund actually posts a loss, that is, the Harding, D., Nakou, G., and Nejjar, A. (2003) The pros
and cons of drawdown as a statistical measure for
months leading up to the valley. However,
risk in investments. AIMA Journal, April, 16–17.
it is important to remember that the fund Magdon-Ismail, M. and Atiya, A. (2004) Maximum
remains in the drawdown until a new equity drawdown. Risk, October, 99–102.
35
30
20
Failed deals
15
10
Successful deals
5
0
5
95
85
75
65
55
45
35
25
15
12
11
10
5
Number of trading days until resolution
FIGURE 1
Median arbitrage spread of failed and successful deals versus time until deal resolution. (Reproduced from
Mitchell, M. and Pulvino, T., The Journal of Finance, 56(6), 2135–2175, 2001.)
profits is the change in the arbitrage spread the different components of the arbitrage
while the second source of profits is the divi- spread. Besides the time value of money,
dend paid by the target company minus the the risk premium for the completion risk
dividend that must be paid on the acquir- is the main reason for a positive arbitrage
er’s stock. The third source of profits is the spread, as the idiosyncratic risk of deal
interest paid by the arbitrageur’s broker on completion cannot typically be hedged.
the profits generated from the short selling Figure 1 clearly shows the asymmetric
of the acquiring firm’s stock. Most stock payoff structure of merger arbitrage trans-
transactions involve a fi xed exchange ratio. actions, as the median arbitrage spread of
However, many stock transactions have failed deals widens dramatically on the ter-
built-in collars that are designed to protect mination announcement day whereas the
the shareholders of either the acquiring or median arbitrage spread decreases continu-
the target company or both companies. In ously as the deal resolution date gets closer.
a collar offer, the acquiring company sets Therefore, predicting which announced
up ranges for the exchange ratio based on merger or acquisition will be successful
the average stock price of the acquirer over and which will fail is the most important
a specific number of days prior to the trans- task for merger arbitrageurs, as Branch and
action’s closing. Typically, the exchange Yang (2003) show.
ratio is structured to rise as the acquir-
er’s stock price declines, falls as its price REFERENCES
increases, and remains stable over a middle
Branch, B. and Yang, T. (2003) Predicting successful
range. Besides collar offers, more complex takeovers and risk arbitrage. Quarterly Journal
deal structures involving preferred stocks, of Business & Economics, 42, 3–18.
warrants, departures, and other securities Mitchell, M. and Pulvino, T. (2001) Characteristics of
or combinations of cash and stock trans- risk and return in risk arbitrage. The Journal of
Finance, 56, 2135–2175.
actions are common. Therefore, the first Moore, K. M. (1999) Risk Arbitrage—An Investor’s
step of a merger arbitrageur is to calculate Guide. Wiley, New York, NY.
Return
Stocks, bonds,
and cash
FIGURE 2
Efficient frontier with hedge fund allocation.
use expected values based on their beliefs of with bond-like risk and little correlation to
future performance. Figure 1 is an illustra- both stocks and bonds. MPT predicts that
tion that shows the efficient frontier, which a sufficiently diversified portfolio of hedge
is the set of portfolios that has the maxi- funds should be included in a traditional
mum return for each given level of risk. portfolio of stocks and bonds. However, one
One of the results of MPT shows the mar- must not forget the underlying assumption
ket is efficient over long periods of time, of a normal return distribution for modeling
which means on average a manager cannot portfolios under MPT and that hedge fund
consistently beat the market. However, MPT returns may exhibit significant skewness
also assumes a portfolio of assets. If this is and kurtosis. Lastly, Figure 2 is an exhibit
the case, we must consider whether hedge that shows how the efficient frontier shifts
funds are portfolios of assets to determine up from the addition of hedge funds to a
if MPT holds. As described by Park (2001), portfolio of stocks, bonds, and cash. This
hedge funds are not like mutual funds demonstrates that by adding hedge funds
because when they eliminate market risk by to a traditional asset mix an investor can
taking offsetting long and short positions achieve a higher return for a given risk level
the asset base is canceling out. Park con- or reduce risk for a given return target.
cludes hedge funds are more like companies
that can produce positive profits all the time
and that there is a very powerful diversifi- REFERENCES
cation effect from adding additional hedge Fabozzi, F., Gupta, F., and Markowitz, H. (2002) The
funds into a portfolio. In fact he shows that legacy of modern portfolio theory. Journal of
similar to equity portfolios where most Investing, 11, 7–22.
Park, J. (June–July, 2001) Modern Portfolio Theory and
have between 50 and 100 stocks for diver- Its Application to Hedge Funds: Part I. Managed
sification, fund of hedge fund portfolios Funds Association MFA Reporter, Washington,
should include at least 50 funds to realize DC.
Park, J. (August, 2001) Modern Portfolio Theory and
full diversification benefits. Further, Park
Its Application to Hedge Funds: Part II. Managed
(2001) concludes hedge funds as an asset Funds Association MFA Reporter, Washington,
class that appear to have stock-like returns DC.
the VaR model based on the EVT focuses where n is the number of returns and nu
only on the tails of the return distribution, is the number of returns exceeding the
as the EVT deals with the modeling of dis- threshold u.
tribution of extreme returns. Embrechts
et al. (2003) show, that in practice, extreme
REFERENCES
value theory provides two ways of identi-
fying extreme returns. The first approach Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., and Mikosch, T.
(2003). Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance
is called the block maxima (BM) method,
and Finance. Springer, Berlin, Germany.
which classifies the maximum return M in Lhabitant, F.-S. (2003) Hedge funds: a look beyond the
successive periods of length n as extreme sample. In: G. N. Gregoriou, V. N. Karavas, and
returns. The second approach focuses on F. Rouah (Eds.), Hedge Funds: Strategies, Risk
Assessment, and Returns, Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
the returns that exceed a given threshold u McNeil, A., Frey, R., and Embrechts, P. (2005)
and is therefore called peaks over threshold Quantitative Risk Management. Princeton
(POT) method. The distribution of normal- University Press, Princeton, NJ.
ized maxima x = (M Mn – μn)/σσn is modeled by
the generalized extreme value distribution,
which is given for 1 + ξ . x > 0 by
Mortgage-Backed
DAe1FVx 1/F falls F p 0 Securities (MBS)
H F ( x ) C x
BA e falls F 0
e
Oliver A. Schwindler
ξ is the shape parameter, which ref-
FERI Institutional Advisors GmbH
lects the weight of the tail. The distribution Bad Homburg, Germany
of the excess returns beyond the threshold
y = r − u is modeled with the generalized
Pareto distribution (GPD), which is given by Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are finan-
cial instruments by which mortgages—a
⎧ y 1 pledge of real estate to secure the loan origi-
⎪ 1 ⎛1 ⎞ falls 0
G, ( y ) ⎨ ⎝ ⎠ nated for the purchase of that real estate—can
⎪1 e y falls 0 be refinanced and distributed in the capital
⎩ and money markets. Securitization, the
y ≥ 0 if ξ ≥ 0, and y ∊ [0, –σ/
σ ξ ] if ξ < 0 process of pooling mortgages and convert-
ξ is called the shape parameter and σ is the ing them into packages of securities, trans-
scale parameter. The VaR at the confidence fers mortgages from the primary market,
level α is calculated as Lhabitant (2003) which encompasses transactions between
shows for both approaches by: mortgagors and mortgagees, to the sec-
ondary market, where MBS are frequently
n ⎡ ⎤
VaR BM () n (ln()) 1⎥ traded. The cash flows of the pools of mort-
⎢⎣ ⎦ gages can be channeled to investors in two
ways: (1) they can simply be passed through
⎛ ⎞
⎜⎛ n ⎞
VaR POT () u ⎜ ⎜ ⎟ 1⎟⎟
to investors, after administrative or servic-
⎜ ⎝ nu ⎠ ⎟⎠
ing fees are subtracted (pass-through secu-
⎝ rities), or (2) the cash flows can be allocated
700
600
Principal payments
500
400
300
200
100
A B C D
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
Months
FIGURE 1
Principal payments to CMO bonds with a four-class sequential structure.
Collateral
AA
A Mezzanine classes
BBB
unrated First loss piece
FIGURE 2
Typical subordinated structure for a nonagency CMO.
External credit enhancements are normally Stone, C. A. and Zissu, A. (2005) The Securitization
Markets Handbook. Bloomberg Press,
third-party guarantees such as a corporate
Princeton, NJ.
guarantee, a letter of credit, pool or bond
insurance, and offset losses up to a speci-
fied level. In contrast to this, internal credit Mount Lucas
enhancements come in more complicated
forms and may alter the cash flows even in Management Index
the absence of default. The various forms
are subordination, reserve funds, excess
spreads, and overcollateralization. Figure 2
Christian Kempe
Berlin & Co. AG
displays a nonagency-subordinated struc-
Frankfurt, Germany
ture, which is the most widely used inter-
nal credit enhancement. The subordinated
tranche is the first loss piece absorbing all The Mount Lucas Management Index (MLM
losses on the underlying collateral, thus pro- IndexxTM) was created in 1988 by Mount
tecting the senior tranches. Fabozzi (2005) Lucas Management Corp., headquartered in
provides an detailed overview of different Princeton, New Jersey. The MLM IndexxTM
form of MBS. comprises three liquid futures contracts bas-
kets (commodities, currencies, and global
bonds) consisting of 22 futures contracts:
Global Bonds: Canadian Government There are two main types of multi-manager
Bond, Euro Bund, Japanese Govern- funds: (1) fund-of-funds and (2) manager-
ment Bond, U.K. Long Gilt, and U.S. of-managers. Fund supermarkets can also
Ten Year Notes be considered as multi-manager products.
A fund-of-funds usually is structured
The three subportfolios are weighted by the as a limited partnership with the invest-
relative historical volatility of each basket. ment manager being responsible for per-
Within each basket, the constituent markets forming asset allocation, manager due
are equally weighted. The MLM IndexxTM diligence, and manager monitoring. A
serves as a benchmark for evaluating returns fund-of-funds can be dedicated—focused
from managed futures and is designed as a on one style, such as relative value, event-
trend-following index. It compares the price driven, or even multi-strategy that focuses
of a future versus its 12-month moving aver- on a diversified exposure to several hedge
age. If the current price is above (below) its fund categories. Hedge Fund Research
12-month moving average, the index buys (HFR), a Chicago-based index provider,
(sells) the futures contract. The index com- has recently created a new database that
position is rebalanced monthly and no lever- groups fund-of-hedge funds by risk pro-
age is employed. Mount Lucas Management fi le: conservative, diversified, market-de-
Corp. replicates this index for a wide variety fensive, and strategic.
of investors via funds and separate accounts. Investing in a fund-of-funds provide sev-
eral benefits. They offer instant diversifica-
REFERENCES tion by investing in a number of funds and
reducing idiosyncratic risk contributed by
Anson, M. J. P. (2002) Handbook of Alternative Assets. the individual funds. Studies of fund-of-
Wiley, New York, NY.
Mount Lucas Management (2007) Presentation funds demonstrate that a portfolio of five
“Mount Lucas Management and the MLM hedge funds can eliminate approximately
Index.TM”, Princeton, NJ. 80% of the idiosyncratic risk of individual
hedge fund managers.
Fund-of-funds facilitate access to hedge
Multi-Manager funds and for minimum investment of $1
Hedge Fund million, investors can get access to a diversi-
fied portfolio of hedge funds that themselves
usually have a $1 million investment mini-
Galina Kalcheva mum. Several fund-of-funds are listed on an
Allstate Investments, LLC exchange (e.g., Dublin, Frankfurt, London,
Northbrook, Illinois, USA
and Zurich) and are members of clear-
ing systems (e.g., Euroclear and Cedel; see
A multi-manager hedge fund is an offering Reynolds, 2005). The familiar trading and
consisting of multiple fund managers. The settlement processes through an exchange,
offering may comprise managers within as well as the greater perceived oversight and
the same asset class or managers special- transparency, offer some investors increased
izing in different markets and instruments. comfort with this type of product.
the best hedge fund managers for the port- and Treasury bond contracts with the same
folio. To diversify the portfolio risk, a funds maturity. The spread is usually based on the
of fund manager—a multi-strategy fund bond futures contract closest to expiration,
of funds—may allocate investment capital but with more than one month to expira-
to several managers with different strate- tion (Stanton, 2000). The development of the
gies. In other words, a multi-strategy fund MOB spread is driven by the relative devel-
of funds incorporates various single strat- opment of the two underlyings: municipal
egies (not necessarily offered by the same bonds and Treasury bonds.
organization) to diversify across strategies. Treasury bonds are noncallable debt
A multi-strategy hedge fund can also be instruments issued by the federal govern-
created by the various single-strategy hedge ment with a maturity of more than 10 years.
funds offered within the same organization. They pay interest twice a year and pay back
Through a multi-strategy fund, an investor principal at maturity. Contrary to munici-
can have higher returns and lower risk pals, Treasury bonds are considered free of
through strategy optimization (i.e., alloca- default. Thus, the differences in expected
tion of fund capital among strategies), can returns come from differences in maturity,
invest in hedge funds closed to new inves- liquidity, tax implications, and tax provi-
tors, can invest with a lower investment size, sions (Elton et al., 2006).
and can lower search/time cost of select- Municipal (muni) bonds, on the other
ing the right manager/strategy at the cost hand, are often callable, and have tax-free
of higher fees and possibly for moderate interest (however, this is not the case for
returns relative to a single-strategy fund. capital gains). Muni bonds are issued by cit-
ies, counties, airport authorities, or other
REFERENCES nonfederal political entities. Generally, they
are either obligation bonds backed by the
Bodie, Z., Kane, A., and Marcus, A. J. (2003) Essentials
of Investments. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY. credit/taxing power of the issuer, or reve-
Lhabitant, F. S. (2004) Hedge Funds: Quantitative nue bonds backed by the financed project or
Insights. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. the respective operating municipal agency
(Elton et al., 2006).
Municipals Over Bonds Because munis are tax-free, they sell at
lower yields than nonmuni bonds with the
Spread (MOB Spread) same risk and maturity. Thus, in order to
compare munis with Treasuries, we must
first estimate a taxable equivalent yield
Lutz Johanning by comparing the discounted cash flows
WHU Otto Beisheim School before-tax and after-tax. If the yield curve is
of Management
flat and munis and Treasuries sell at par, the
Vallendar/Koblenz, Germany
tax-equivalent yield can be approximated
by dividing the muni yield by 1 minus
The MOB spread, also known as the munic- the marginal tax rate (Elton et al., 2006).
ipals over bonds spread, is the yield spread Consequently, changes in tax exemption
between municipal bond futures contracts rules will affect the performance of muni
bonds relative to Treasury bonds, as well as Predicting the general direction of interest
the MOB spread. rates is more difficult. And demand for tax-
Interest rate shifts may also affect the MOB free municipal debt relative to demand for
spread. For example, if interest rates fall, the Treasury debt is more predictable because
muni bond issuer can call the bonds back of the state taxation system (Teweles, 1999).
and issue new ones at a lower interest rate. Thus, if a trader expects muni bonds to out-
Thus the price of munis tends not to rise perform Treasury bonds, he will buy muni
beyond a certain point. On the other hand, bond futures contracts and short Treasury
the price of Treasury bonds will increase as bonds.
interest rates fall, because they are noncall-
able. Consequently, the MOB spread will
generally decrease as Treasuries outperform
munis, and vice versa (Stanton, 2000). REFERENCES
The sensitivity of the MOB spread to Chartrath, A., Chaudhry, M., and Christie-David, R.
changes in interest rates depends on the (2000) Price dynamics and information flows
in strategically-linked debt instruments: the
makeup of the underlying index. This sen-
NOB and MOB constituents. Journal of Business
sitivity increases with the time to maturity Finance and Accounting, g 27(7 & 8), 1003–1025.
and the bond quality. Changes in the con- Elton, E. J., Gruber, M. J., Brown, S. J., and Goetzmann,
struction of the underlying will also result W. N. (2006) Modern Portfolio Theory and
Investment Analysis. John Wiley and Sons,
in changes in the MOB spread. Hoboken, NJ.
Betting on the spread is popular because it Stanton, E. R. (2000) What’s the MOB Spread? http://
is relatively easy to predict. For example, it is www.TheStreet.Com/, obtained from http://
www.thestreet.com/funds/bondforum, TSC,
easier to predict the relative development of
New York.
changes in interest spreads because of con- Teweles, R. J. (1999) The Futures Game: Who Wins, Who
sistent seasonal patterns of certain spreads. Loses, and Why. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
João Duque
Technical University of Lisbon
Lisbon, Portugal
REFERENCES
Hull, J. (2006) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River,
NJ.
McMillan, L. (2004) McMillan on Options. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
313
products and services. The futures commis- power sector is expected to grow in Europe as
sions members are an indispensable part of the shift from coal to gas is one of the many
the organization because they give the board possibilities to reduce CO2 emissions.
of directors suggestions and clarifications Gas is traded on exchanges, for example,
on all aspects from industry alterations to NYMEX or ICE. Contract size at the
company policy and offer association news NYMEX is 10 million British Thermal Units
to members via newsletters and electronic (btu) with a tick size of 0.001 USD per 10
communication systems. NIBA’s main office million btu leading to a tick size of 10 USD
is located in Chicago, Illinois. per contract. The daily price limit is 3 USD
per 10 million btu. Deliveries start at the first
calendar day of the delivery month and end
REFERENCE at the last calendar day of the month.
Schramm, M. H. (2005) The Complete IB Handbook.
Chicago Mercantile Exchange Education Series,
Chicago, IL.
REFERENCES
Kaminski, V. (Ed.) (2005) Managing Energy Price Risk.
Risk Books, London, UK.
Natural Gas Ronald, S. (2006) Commodity Fundamentals: How To
Trade the Precious Metals, Energy, Grain, and
Tropical Commodity Markets. Wiley, London, UK.
Stefan Ulreich
E.ON AG
Düsseldorf, Germany
Nearby Delivery Month
Natural gas is a gaseous fossil fuel. It is
mainly used for heating in households Raymond Théoret
and industrial processes, in power genera- University of Québec at Montréal
tion, and increasingly as raw material for Montréal, Québec, Canada
chemical processes (e.g., fertilizer produc-
tion). Transportation is either via pipelines In the context of options and futures, the
or via liquefied natural gas (LNG) ships. nearby delivery month is the month closest
Consequently, the delivery of natural gas is to delivery, for futures, or to expiration, for
defined via hubs, where one or more pipe- options. According to Marshall and Bansal
lines or LNG terminals are connected to, for (1992), individual futures contracts are iden-
example, Henry-hub in the United States. tified by their delivery month. Examples are
Demand for gas is mainly driven by weather, “September corn” and “August T-Bills.”
demographics, economic growth, and fuel To distinguish between two series, traders
competition. Additional price influence is often refer to the sooner-to-deliver contract
given by storage and exports while the sup- as the front month and the later-to-deliver
ply is mainly determined by pipeline capac- contract as the back month. The sooner-
ity, storage, gas drilling rates, and weather to-deliver contract is often called the nearby
events like hurricanes, technical issues, and contract. There is an interesting relation
imports. Natural gas consumption in the between the basis of a future contract and
TABLE 1 TABLE 2
Quotes of the CME Lean Hogs Quotes of the Futures
Futures Contracts Contract for Gold
Month Last Month Last
July 2007 71.225 July 2007 647.5
August 70.675 August 650.8
October 64.125 September 653.9
December 61.425 October 656.5
February 2008 65.2 December 663
April 67.05 June 2012 835.7
May 72.5
June 73.2
July 72.25
deterministic arbitrage would hold for gold
that is the following relationship between its
the nearby delivery month (Dubofsky, 2003; futures price F and its spot price S: F = Ser, r
Racicot and Théoret, 2006). As we know, the being the risk-free rate. As for pure financial
basis is defined as the spot price minus the instruments, the futures price of gold could
futures price. There is a different basis for not be used as a forecasting tool.
each delivery month of a futures contract. In The spot price of an ounce of gold was
a normal market, basis is negative because $647.5 on June 29, 2007, which is equal to the
the cost-of-carry is generally positive. Basis price of the nearby contract due to the con-
would approach 0 as the delivery date nears. vergence effect. In Table 2, we have omitted
At the expiration of the futures contract, the prices of the contracts between December
the spot price is equal to the futures price: 2007 and June 2012. As revealed by this
basis is then 0. If this is not the case, there table, the futures price of gold increases
is an arbitrage opportunity. This process of continuously until June 2012, which is from
the basis moving toward 0 is called conver- the nearby contract to the deferred one.
gence. The price of a futures nearby contract According to Table 2, the forecast return on
is thus near the spot price of the underlying. gold would be about 5% yearly, a yield not
Table 1 presents the quotes of the CME lean very far away from the short-term interest
hogs futures contracts as on June 29, 2007, rate in the United States. Therefore, there
from the nearby contract to the deferred. would be strict arbitrage between the spot
According to this table and neglecting the price and the futures price of gold.
expected basis, it is revealed that the futures
market was expecting a fall of the hog price
REFERENCES
from July to December 2007. The price was
expected to recover thereafter, hence this Dubofsky, D. A. and Miller, T. W. (2003) Derivatives,
Valuation and Risk Management. Oxford
forecast is mean reverting. It is instructive University Press, Oxford.
to look at the quotes of the gold futures Marshall, J. F. and Bansal, V. K. (1992) Financial
contract on the same day. In addition to Engineering: A Complete Guide to Financial Inn-
ovation. New York Institute of Finance, New York.
being a consumption good like hog and oil,
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2006) Finance Com-
gold is also an investment good and is thus putationnelle et Gestion des Risques. Presses de
similar to a financial security. Hence, strict l’Université du Québec, Québec, QC.
Brav, A. and Gompers, P. A. (2003) The role of lockup and the subsequent delivery to one holder of
in initial public offering. Review of Financial
a long position of the futures contract.
Studies, 16, 1–29.
Field, L. and Hanka, G. (2001) The expiration of IPO
share lockups. Journal of Finance, 56, 471–500.
Ray, R. (2005) On Second Thought. Once the Lock-Up REFERENCE
Contract is Signed. Working paper, Kelley School
of Business, Indiana University. Hull, J. C. (2006) Options, Futures, and Other Der-
www.investopedia.com ivatives. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Douglas Cumming
York University
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
The offering date is the official date at which a company sells its shares on
a stock market for the first time in an initial public offering (Ritter, 2003).
Prior to the offering date, the company (with the help of its legal and
accounting advisors, investment bank, and if applicable, venture capital and
private equity investors) prepares a prospectus that is sent to the Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a review. The rules pertaining to pro-
spectus requirements are contained in the Securities Act of 1933. The pro-
spectus requirement is set in place to protect the public against fraud. The
SEC review process takes up to 2 months, during which time the company’s
attorneys are in contact with the SEC to make any necessary changes to
the prospectus, and the company’s financial statements are independently
audited to ensure compliance with the SEC rules. During the SEC review
period the company and its investment bank distribute the preliminary
prospectus and carry out a road show to market the sale of the company’s
shares to potential investors. After the prospectus has been approved, the
company’s offering date is finalized, which is supposed to become effective
20 days after the final amendments to the prospectus are filed with the SEC.
It is possible that the SEC may grant an acceleration so that the sale of share
becomes effective immediately.
REFERENCE
Ritter, J. (2003) Investment banking and securities issuance. In: G. Constantinides,
M. Harris, and R. Stulz (Eds.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance. Elsevier,
Burlington, MA.
323
above or below the filing range to compen- investors and the information that has been
sate for additional or insufficient demand revealed during the bookbuilding period.
for a stock (Hanley, 1993). While IPOs are Jenkinson et al. (2003) state that “signifi-
frequently set outside the file range in the cant information acquisition prior to the
United States, IPOs are rarely priced outside establishing of the indicative price range of
the range in Europe and in Japan. European IPOs makes it more informative
than the indicative price range for compa-
rable U.S. IPOs.” In addition, the authors
REFERENCES
state that the final price is firmly set at the
Hanley, K. (1993) Underpricing of initial public offer- upper end of the initial range in nearly
ings and the partial adjustment phenomenon.
47% of European IPOs compared with less
Journal of Financial Economics, 34, 231–250.
Kuhn, R. L. (1990) Investment Banking, The Art and than 19% of U.S. IPOs. The reason for the
Science of High-stakes Dealmaking. Ballinger European concentration at the higher end,
Publishing Company. even if the price range revision in Europe
Loughran, T. and Ritter, J. (2002) Why don’t issuers
get upset about leaving money on the table in appears no more onerous than in the United
IPO? Review of Financial Studies, 15, 413–443. States, seems to be the avoidance of some
extra days for the revision of the issue.
Aggarwal et al. (2002) report that outside
the United States only one-tenth of IPOs
Offering Range have a final price set outside the initial offer
range. However, nearly 50% of all U.S. IPOs
are priced outside the initial range. Most
Dimitrios Gounopoulos IPOs priced outside the filing range are the
University of Surrey ones where significant information acquisi-
Guildford, England, UK
tion occurs during the bookbuilding period.
Hanley (1993) assumes that issues with an
Price discovery is one of the most impor- offer price greater than the upper bound
tant functions of any stock exchange. In of the price range (disclosed in the issuing
primary markets, this reflects the degree firms’ preliminary prospectus) draw rela-
to which prior expectations, regarding the tively strong institutional interest prior to
value of the offering, are revised in response the offering. The author reports that issues
to get feedback from investors and the mar- priced within the offer range draw moderate
ket before the offer price is set. interest, while those offered at a price below
Before the offer price is set globally, the the lower band of the offer range draw rela-
issuer is required to file an offering range tively weak interest prior to the offering.
and issue size, which is used to calculate fil- Table 1 displays that Greece with a mean of
ing fees. The offering range includes the 9.56% and Austria with 13.3% have attained
maximum and the minimum value an IPO the lowest width of price range in Europe. The
can have once it will go public. The width of reason for those low figures is the effort that
the offering range is an initial indication for underwriters in these countries are making to
the final value of the offer price. Higher offer acquire credibility in the market. On the other
price gives flexibility to the investment bank hand, Italy and East European countries pres-
to set a price that fits more to the demand by ent higher than 20% width of price range.
TABLE 1
Initial Price Ranges, Offer Prices, and Underpricing
Proportion of Initial
Firms (%) Priced Underpricing (%)c
Width Relative
Number of Price Price At Low At High to Midpoint Relative to
Country of IPOs Range (%)a Adjustmentb End End of Range Issue Price
Austria 24 13.3 0.8 0.0 16.7 7.0 6.0
Belgium 45 15.6 1.6 6.7 37.8 24.7 22.4
France 178 14.3 3.0 9.6 42.7 18.9 14.6
Germany 219 16.1 4.8 7.8 71.7 57.1 48.9
Greeced 72 9.56 2.17 19.4 52.7 18.56 16.87
Italy 59 20.6 1.7 1.7 32.2 10.3 7.9
Netherlands 60 15.0 5.7 5.0 48.3 19.3 12.0
Spain 28 14.0 3.7 7.1 46.4 15.0 10.5
Sweden 35 14.0 0.0 11.4 25.7 4.4 4.3
Switzerland 25 14.2 2.4 8.0 28.0 8.2 5.5
United Kingdom 141 19.2 –0.5 5.7 20.6 10.6 10.2
Rest of West Europe 75 16.7 3.9 6.7 41.3 20.3 15.1
Rest of East Europe 29 20.0 1.4 17.2 34.5 21.0 18.7
Total Europe 918 16.3 2.8 7.3 43.7 25.4 21.1
a
The width of the price range is measured as (high point – low point) × 100/midpoint.
b
Price adjustment refers to the position of the final offer price relative to the midpoint of the initial price range.
c
The measures of initial underpricing compare the end of first week market price to the midpoint of the initial price range,
and also the issue price.
d
From Gounopoulos (2007).
Source: Jenkinson et al. (2003).
Note: The table presents information on the initial price ranges, where the final offer price was set, and the initial underpric-
ing for IPOs conducted using bookbuilding.
Offset REFERENCE
CFTC Glossary, http://www.cftc.gov/educationcenter/
glossary/glossary_l.html
Michael Gorham
Illinois Institute of Technology
Chicago, Illinois, USA
Offshore Fund
The purchase or sale of a futures contract Paolo M. Panteghini
does one of two things: It creates a new University of Brescia
futures position or it cancels, eliminates, Brescia, Italy
liquidates, closes out, or offsets an existing
futures position. All of these terms mean the The offshore fund is a financial vehicle domi-
same thing. If a firm were long 100 March ciled in an offshore jurisdiction. Offshore
2008 Eurodollar contracts, it could get out funds are usually kept outside a financial
of or offset this position by simply going institution’s country to benefit from an
short 100 March 2008 Eurodollars. Note easier regulatory environment and a better
that the underlying asset (Eurodollars), tax treatment. In particular, offshore juris-
the contract month (March 2008), and the dictions impose less or even no restrictions
size (100 contracts) must be the same. This on a fund’s investment strategy. This means
is one of the features that distinguishes a that offshore mutual funds, placed outside
futures position from a forward position—a the United States, do not have to comply
futures position can be very easily undone with the burdensome U.S. Securities and
by simply doing the opposite of what was Exchange Commission (SEC) rules, even
done to create the position—buy if you though they are de facto managed in the
previously sold, or sell if you previously United States.
bought. Given the low- or even zero-tax rate, off-
There is a caveat. In the case of futures, shore funds usually offer significant tax
you must offset your position at the same benefits to investors domiciled in high-tax
exchange where you initiated it, even if countries. For this reason, hedge funds
another exchange offers the same prod- operating in high-tax countries, such as the
uct. This is because each futures exchange United States, usually set up offshore vehi-
has its own clearinghouse. So you cannot, cles to raise capital from investors domiciled
for example, buy 50 crude oil contracts at in high-tax countries (on this point see, e.g.,
NYMEX and sell 50 crude oil contracts Gross, 2004). Moreover, offshore funds allow
at ICE Futures and expect the two to be tax-exempt investors, such as nonprofit
offset. This is very different for those used entities and pension funds, to reinvest their
to trading U.S. equity options, where tax-exempt capital gains in a low- or even
you can create a position at one exchange zero-tax rate country. High-tax countries,
and offset it at the other exchange. including many EU countries, usually apply
This is because all options exchanges clear ad hoc rules aimed to contrast these bene-
at the same clearinghouse—the Options fits. In many cases, therefore, income distri-
Clearing House, or the Options Clearing bution from these funds is taxed at normal
Corporation (OCC). rates, whenever repatriation occurs.
Paolo M. Panteghini
University of Brescia REFERENCES
Brescia, Italy Alworth, J. S. and Masciandaro, D. (2004) Offshore
centre and tax competition: the harmful prob-
lem. In: D. Masciandaro (Ed.), Global Financial
An offshore jurisdiction is a center for the Crime: Terrorism, Money Laundering and
establishment and management of both Offshore Centres. Aldershot, Ashgate, UK.
mutual and hedge funds, as well as of other Masciandaro, D. (2006) Offshore Financial Centres:
Explaining the Regulation. Paolo Baffi Centre
vehicles. Offshore jurisdictions are usually Bocconi University, Bocconi, Italy.
characterized by mild financial regulation
and usually offer privacy benefits, such as
banking secrecy and anonymity. Proponents Offshore Tax Haven
of offshore jurisdictions point out that
these centers play a legitimate role in the
international capital market, as they enable Paolo M. Panteghini
risk management, financial planning, and University of Brescia
Brescia, Italy
can improve market efficiency. Accordingly,
Masciandaro (2006) shows that the probabil-
ity to be an offshore jurisdiction is increasing When an offshore jurisdiction offers not only
in proportion to the degree of political stabil- favorable regulation and privacy but also a
ity and is negatively affected by crime level. low- or even zero-tax rate, it is referred to as
Critics of offshore jurisdictions maintain offshore tax haven. As argued by Alworth
that soft regulation and anonymity can be and Masciandaro (2004), there may be a
exploited for illegal purposes, such as money close relationship between tax evasion and
laundering, terrorist financing, and tax eva- money laundering enhanced by offshore
sion (see, e.g., Alworth and Masciandaro, jurisdictions. In 1998, the Organisation for
2004). Examples often cited by these critics Economic Co-operation and Development
are financial scandals that occurred in early (OECD) issued a list of tax havens, known
2000s, and, in particular, the Enron and as the black list, according to the so-called
Parmalat cases. Using special purpose vehicles name and shame approach. The aim was
placed in offshore jurisdictions these compa- to fight harmful tax practices. Since 1998,
nies could manipulate financial statements. most offshore tax havens have aimed to
In recent years, international initiatives, such dispel their evasion image and to improve
as the Financial Stability Forum (FSF) and information exchange. This improvement
the Financial Action Task Force (FACF), were is indirectly supported by Dharmapala and
Hines (2007), who demonstrate that many or the Sharpe ratio. The omega ratio, also
tax havens are well-governed countries. called the Sharpe omega, is similar to the
Nowadays, tax havens are much more traditional Sharpe ratio used in portfolio
attractive for tax planning rather than management. However, it resorts to new
for tax evasion. In particular, they allow concepts of risk that are measures of down-
companies to avoid taxation in their host side risk. Omega captures all the higher
countries. In other words, a multinational moments of a distribution of returns. There
company can set up a subsidiary in a tax are numerous formulations for omega. The
haven to shift income, by means of financial simplest one is (xxˉ − L)/P(L), where xˉ is the
strategies and other tax planning activities. expected return of the investment, L the
For instance, a foreign subsidiary operating threshold return targeted by an investor,
in a tax haven can borrow from its parent and P(L) the price of a put protecting from
company placed in a high-tax country: as a drop of the return under L. Omega is an
long as deductibility is allowed, the inter- implicit measure of the risk of an invest-
est paid by the parent company to its sub- ment. In other words, the numerator of the
sidiary can reduce the overall tax burden omega is the cost of acquiring the return
faced by the multinational group. For other over L and the denominator represents the
examples, such as the use of royalties and cost of protecting the return from falling
hybrid securities, see Altshuler and Grubert under L. The formula of P(L) is given by
(2006). (See also Offshore fund and Offshore L = e L−rrf N(−d2) − e x̄−rrf N(−d1), where
P(L)
jurisdiction.) d1 = (x̄x − L + 0.5σσ2)/σσ and d2 = d1 − σ. σ
In addition, the period of investment is not
REFERENCES really important to define this indicator of
performance, so it is fixed to one period.
Altshuler, R. and Grubert, H. (2006) Governments and
multinational corporations in the race to the
Also, compared to the Black and Scholes
bottom. Tax Notes International, 41, 459–474. formula, the actualization factor is no longer
Alworth, J. S. and Masciandaro, D. (2004) Offshore cen- the risk-free rate but rather the excess returns
tre and tax competition: the harmful problem. In: over the risk-free rate of the threshold and
D. Masciandaro (Ed.), Global Financial Crime:
Terrorism, Money Laundering and Offshore the expected return of the investment; the
Centres. Aldershot, Ashgate, UK. returns thus incorporate risk. The price of
Dharmapala, D. and Hines, J. R. (2006) Which this put is calculated according to the new
Countries Become Tax Havens?? NBER Working
Paper 12802, Cambridge, MA.
theories of credit risk and is therefore not in
accord with the traditional Black and Scholes
world, which is risk-neutral. It is more akin
Omega to the initial warrant price formula devel-
oped by Samuelson or Bachelier’s approach
to option pricing (Kazemi et al., 2004).
François-Éric Racicot
University of Québec at Outaouais
Gatineau, Québec, Canada
REFERENCE
Kazemi, H., Schneeweis, T., and Gupta, R. (2004)
Omega is a measure of the performance of a Omega as a performance measure. Journal of
portfolio manager, similar to Jensen’s alpha Performance Measurement, 8, 59–84.
from all provisions of that Act except the greater the liquidity of the contract. Investors
prohibitions against fraud and manipula- and traders prefer larger volume and larger
tion. On EOL, there were no commissions open interest, as the contracts become less
and real-time prices were free. Enron made expensive to trade and larger positions can
its money off the bid/ask spread. It was so be entered or exited more quickly. Volume
much easier to use than traditional trading may not necessarily translate directly to a
because it replaced the phone and fax with a change in open interest. In a market domi-
mouse click. Initially volume grew rapidly. nated by traders who hold positions for less
However, because of the abuses that took than 1 day, there may be large trading vol-
place on EOL during the significant manip- ume without a significant increase in open
ulation and abuse of California energy mar- interest. However, nearly all volume may
kets in 2000 and 2001, the Federal Energy lead to an increase in open interest in con-
Regulatory Commission in its Final Report tracts where traders choose to hold open
on Price Manipulation of Western Markets positions for a longer period of time.
recommended that one-to-many markets All futures and options contracts start with
like EOL be prohibited. EOL shut down on zero open interest, that is, where no traders
November 28, 2001, 2 years after it began and have any positions when the contracts are
4 days before Enron filed for bankruptcy. first listed. Assume a first trade where a buyer
purchases 10 contracts and a seller sells 10
contracts. After that trade, there is a total open
REFERENCES interest of 10 contracts. This means that open
Briony Hale. (2001) Enron’s Internet monster. BBC interest measures the number of contracts
News, November 30, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/ held long, or the number of contracts held
hi/business/1684503.stm short, but not the sum of the number of long
Bernstein, W. The Rise and Fall of Enron’s One-To-
and short contracts. To combine the number
Many Trading Platform. Lieff Cabraser Heimann
& Bernstein, LLP, http://www.lieffcabraser.com/ of long and short contracts would overstate
pdf/20050400_wb_enron_art.pdf the open interest in the listed market. In sub-
CFTC Glossary, http://www.cftc.gov/educationcenter/ sequent trades, open interest increases when
glossary/glossary_l.html
new contracts are traded, but not when exist-
ing contracts are transferred from one inves-
Open Interest tor to another. For example, assume that the
buyer of the long position decides to sell her
10 contracts to a new investor. This transfer of
Keith H. Black existing contracts does not increase the open
Ennis Knupp and Associates interest. However, if she purchased those 10
Chicago, Illinois, USA
contracts from a new seller in the market, the
open interest in that contract would grow to
Open interest is defined as the number of 20 contracts. Open interest at the expiration
options or futures contracts that are held by of the options or futures contract is zero, as
market participants at the end of each trad- all contracts must be settled for cash or physi-
ing day. As a general rule, the larger the open cal settlement at the termination of the life of
interest and larger the trading volume, the the contract.
day based on your position in the market. overall market mood, the level of interest
Even though the addition or subtraction of and competition in other new issues, and the
cash is settled daily, trades will usually not market confidence in the analyst’s projec-
realize the net gain or loss until they “leave tions. In addition, some investors may be able
the market” or close out their position. to secure the new issue at a fixed price, deter-
mined in advance of the listing. The opening
premium can create for these investors an
REFERENCES instant profit per share, equal to the opening
premium once the security is issued.
McCafferty, T. A. (1998) All About Options: The Easy
Way to Get Started. McGraw-Hill, New York.
Person, J. L. (2004) A Complete Guide to Technical
Trading Tactics: How to Profit Using Pivot REFERENCES
Points, Candlesticks & Other Indicators. Wiley,
Hoboken, NJ. Corwin, S. (2003) The determinants of underpric-
ing for seasoned equity offers. The Journal of
Finance, 58, 2249–2280.
Opening Premium Jenkinson, T. and Liungqvist, A. (2001) Going Public.
Oxford University Press, Cambridge, MA.
McCarthy, E. (1999) Pricing IPOs: science or science
fiction? Journal of Accountancy, 188, 51–56.
Colin Read
State University of New York (Plattsburgh)
Plattsburgh, New York, USA
Opening Range
The opening premium is the difference at the
initiation of trading between the opening Raquel M. Gaspar
price and the valuation of an initial public ISEG, Technical University Lisbon
Lisbon, Portugal
offering by analysts and the listing invest-
ment bank. An initial public offering may
have no record of earnings or little or no The opening range is the interval of prices
fixed asset value. As a consequence, the ini- defined by the lowest and the highest price at
tial valuation of such a public offering must the opening of the market. Many exchanges
capture the value of goodwill inherent in the begin trading each day with an opening call
enterprise. The resulting initial valuation is for each contract. The opening call allows
used to develop an expectation of the trading traders some time to orderly post their ini-
range of the newly issued security once trad- tial bids and offers before continuous trad-
ing commences. If the initial public offering ing may begin. After this period of orders
initiates trade beyond the range specified, it is posting, also known as preopen trading, and
trading at a positive opening premium. This based on the traders orders, some trading
premium could also be negative if the market actually takes place and allows the establish-
does not accept the analyst’s valuation. ment of an opening range for prices as well
Certain initial public offerings can attract as the actual prices and quantities traded.
significant attention, especially if they are If only one price was recorded during the
listed in a seller’s market for IPOs. Hence, opening, the space for the opening high is
the opening premium can be affected by the typically left blank.
TABLE 1
Opening Ranges at CBOT
Underlying
Expiration Soybean Pit Corn Pit Oats Pit Wheat Pit
July 2007 [861’0, –] [327’0, –] [290’0, –] [568’0, 570’0]
August 2007 [866’0, –]
September 2007 [871’0, –] [336’0, 338’0] [267’0, 267’2] [580’0, 581’0]
November 2007 [892’0, 892’4]
December 2007 [345’4, 347’0] [267’0, 267’2]
CBOT Opening ranges for Soybean/Corn/Oat/Wheat Futures with maturities in 2007. Open quotes for 3rd of July 2007.
Source: Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
or from investment strategies such as short The optimization problem of the portfolio
selling that previously were not obtainable. manager can be expressed in two equivalent
Second, most hedge fund strategies explicitly ways: The investor, assumed to be constantly
involve the identification and exploitation of rational in making decisions, is supposed to
profitable single investment opportunities find the greatest expected return portfolio
such as arbitrage opportunities, event-driven with the given risk or the lowest risk port-
opportunities, or timing opportunities. The folio with the given expected return. These
identification of profitable investment oppor- two problems are called duals and yield
tunities is only possible when the hedge fund exactly the same solution set of variables.
portfolio manager has superior skill and/ The optimization problem has many differ-
or superior information compared to other ent forms: the objective may be minimiza-
investors. Opportunistic hedge fund strate- tion or maximization, the constraints may
gies are not necessarily restricted to particu- be linear or nonlinear, the constraint may
lar investment styles or asset classes. be “less than” or “greater than” type, etc.
The following formulation of the problem
can be manipulated to include all cases:
REFERENCES
Minimize F (x )
Anson, M. J. P. (2002) Handbook of Alternative Assets. x ∈R
n
45° 45 °
0 K K
0
ST ST
underlying asset, the exercise price, the time tends to decrease the spot price of the under-
to expiration, the volatility of the price of the lying. Therefore, an expected payment typi-
underlying, the risk-free rate, and expected cally decreases/increases the intrinsic value
payments from the underlying before expi- of a call/put option.
ration. An option becomes more valuable
when its intrinsic value, that is, for call options
REFERENCES
the excess of spot over exercise price and for
put options the excess of exercise over spot Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1973) The pricing of options
and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political
price, increases. Consequently, the value of
Economy, 81, 637–659.
call/put options increases when the spot price Cox, J. C., Ross, S. A., and Rubinstein, M. (1979)
increases/decreases, and call/put options Option pricing: a simplified approach. Journal
with a lower/higher exercise price are more of Financial Economics, 7, 229–264.
Hull, J. C. (2006) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives.
valuable than those with a higher/lower Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
exercise price, respectively. The influence of Merton, R. C. (1973) Theory of rational option pric-
the time to expiration may differ between ing. Bell Journal of Economics and Management
Science, 4, 141–183.
American options and European options.
An American option with a longer time to
expiration has an at-least-as-high value as a Option Seller
short-life American option, because it offers
additional exercise opportunities compared
to an otherwise equally endowed short-life Jerome Teiletche
option. Since European options may not University Paris-Dauphine
Paris, France
be exercised prior to expiration, a signifi-
cant payment from the underlying before
expiration that causes a spot price decline An option seller, also known as an option
of the underlying may offset the possibly writer, gives the option buyer the right
higher time value of a long-life European either to buy (call) or to sell (put) the
call option. Due to its nonlinear payment asset at the exercise price. Th is gives the
structure, the value of an option increases option seller some potential future liabili-
when the volatility of the price of the under- ties against which he/she receives some
lying increases, because higher volatility cash up front equivalent to the price of the
implies higher probability of extreme spot option. The option seller’s profit or loss is
price changes. The holder of a put or call the reverse of that of the purchaser of the
option faces limited downside risk from the option. More precisely, at expiration of
option position. However, an extreme spot the contract, the payoff of the call seller
price movement that leads to a far-in-the- is π − max(0, ST − K) and the payoff of
money option position strongly increases its the put seller is π − max(0, K − ST), where
intrinsic value. The influence of the risk-free π stands for the premium, ST is the asset
rate cannot be unambiguously determined price at expiration, and K the strike price.
because it strongly depends on the price If the stock price increases, the call writer
sensitivity of the underlying to interest rate faces potentially unlimited losses. The
changes. As indicated above, a payment from same applies to the put writer, whenever
the underlying, such as a dividend payment, the stock price falls (Figure 1).
K K
0 0
ST ST
− max(ST − K ; 0)
− max(K − ST ; 0)
− max(K − ST ; 0)
FIGURE 1
Option selling.
While it might seem at first glance that the on the market appears less risky and some
position of the option seller is very disad- authors have identified that it can also be
vantageous, market practice seems to indi- profitable, notably when combined with a
cate that most of the time it is profitable to long position in the asset (Whaley, 2002) or
write options on the market. This is particu- when realized on single stocks rather than
larly the case for out-of-the-money options on the index (Bollen and Whaley, 2004).
that are the most heavily traded, meaning Inspired by these results, the CBOE has
that option buyers pay too expensive insur- recently launched two indices, which track
ance premiums against catastrophic events. the value of systematic option writing on the
Broadly speaking, the profitability of option S&P 500 index (http://www.cboe.com/micro/
writing corresponds to the positiveness IndexSites.aspx). The BXM index is applying
(on average) of the difference between a buywrite strategy, also known as a covered
implied volatility—which is paid by the call, which implies buying the underlying
option buyer—and realized volatility— and simultaneously shorting at-the-money
which is paid by the option seller. 1-month maturity calls. The backtesting
There have been several academic studies shows that over the period 1988–2006, the
on the profitability of this trade. For instance, strategy would have posted the same perfor-
Bondarenko (2003) estimates that systemat- mance as a simple long position in the S&P
ically writing at-the-money 1-month matu- but with a volatility reduced by a third. CBOE
rity puts on the S&P would have led to an has extended the strategy to other moneyness
average excess return of 39% per year from and to other indices (Nasdaq, Dow Jones
August 1987 to December 2000, with huge Industrial Average, Russell). The PutWrite
Sharpe ratios; although one should take Index is designed to reproduce the payoff of
care that the Sharpe ratio might not be a a sequence of sales of 1-month, at-the-money,
sensible measure due to the huge tail risk S&P 500 index puts while cash is invested at
(extreme losses) involved in writing puts 1- and 3-month Treasury bill rates. Historical
(Goetzmann et al., 2002). Writing calls backtesting shows that the strategy would
have outperformed simple long positions in An option is usually set between two coun-
the S&P 500 index by 50 basis points per year terparts through a written agreement called
while the volatility of the strategy is only 60% option contract. The written contract sets
of the index’s one. Investable versions of these a certain number of conditions and estab-
indexes have been made available by invest- lishes the contractual form of the option.
ment banks or asset managers. Among the conditions established in
the contract there are a certain number
of characteristics that should always be
REFERENCES
specified:
Bollen, N. P. B. and Whaley, R. E. (2004) Does net buy-
ing pressure affect the shape of implied volatil-
• The underlying asset on which the
ity functions? Journal of Finance, 59, 711–753.
Bondarenko, O. (2003) Why are Put Options So option is built
Expensive?? Paper presented at the American • The maturity date of the option, that is,
Finance Association, San Diego, CA. Available the final date when the option holder
at http://ssrn.com/abstract=375784
Goetzmann, W. N., Ingersoll Jr., J. E., Spiegel, M. I., and may exercise his right
Welch, I. (2002) Sharpening Sharpe Ratios. NBER • The exercise (strike) price for which the
Working Paper No. 9116, Cambridge, MA. holder has the right to buy or to sell the
Hull, J. (2005) Options, Futures and Other Derivatives.
underlying asset to the option writer
Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Whaley, R. (2002) Return and risk of CBOE buy write • The style of the option (if the option is
monthly index. Journal of Derivatives, 10, 35–42. American style, the holder can exercise
Wilmott, P. (2000) Quantitative Finance, Vol. 2. Wiley, the option at any moment in time until
Hoboken, NJ.
maturity, and if the option is European
style, the holder can only exercise his
right at maturity)
Options • The unit of trade, that is, the quantity
of underlying asset that is under one
option contract.
João Duque
Technical University of Lisbon Options can be traded in options’ exchanges
Lisbon, Portugal
or over-the-counter (OTC). When options are
traded in an exchange under a set of regula-
Options are contingent claims that can be tions, they are called traded options. Traded
exercised under specific conditions. By con- options are standardized contracts where the
tingent it means two things: main contract specifications are standard-
ized and not customized. Among the main
a. Although the holder may have the options exchanges in the world we have the
right to exercise the option, its exercise, Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE),
under economic rationality, depends the American Stock and Options Exchange
upon the observation of a certain set (Amex), the Philadelphia Stock Exchange, the
of conditions. NYSE Euronext Liffe, and the Eurex (the last
b. The value of the option also depends two in Europe).
on the observation of the same set of There are two option types: calls and puts.
conditions. A call option gives the holder the right, but
not the obligation, to buy a certain asset Confusiones where options and its trading is
by a specified priced, on or until a certain carefully explained (see Cardoso, 2002, for
date. A put option gives the holder the right, details).
but not the obligation, to sell a certain asset With the seminal papers of Black and
by a specified priced, on or until a certain Scholes (1973), Merton (1973), and Cox et al.
date. For instance, in NYSE Euronext Liffe, (1979) option valuation became one of
one equity call option contract on British the major achievements in finance. Today,
Airways entitles the holder the right to buy option theory is a fundamental base in help-
100 British Airways shares until maturity ing the development of the financial indus-
by a specified price. These NYSE Euronext try, supporting the creation of new financial
Liffe equity options are American style. instruments and serving the valuation of
In CBOE, an equity put option contract companies and projects.
on General Motors conveys the holder with
the right to sell 100 General Motors shares REFERENCES
until maturity by a specified price. These
Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1973) The pricing of options
options are also American style. When the and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political
option is traded the option buyer pays a Economy, 81, 637–659.
specified amount to the option seller called Cardoso, J. L. (2002) Confusion de confusiones: ethics
and options in the seventeenth-century stock
premium. The premium is then the amount exchange markets. Financial History Review, 9,
of money that ties the option seller to the 109–123.
counterpart liability if exercised by the Cox, J., Ross, S., and Rubinstein, M. (1979) Option
option buyer. pricing: a simplified approach. Journal of
Financial Economics, 7, 229–263.
When options are trade OTC, they are Merton, R. (1973) The theory of rational option pric-
called OTC options and contract specifica- ing. Bell Journal of Economics and Management
tions can differ and contract characteristics Science, 4, 141–183.
can be customized. We may set a different
exercise price, or a different maturity date,
for instance. We find traded options on a Order Book
wide range of products and instruments,
such as shares, bonds, stock indices, curren-
cies, futures contracts, etc. Alain Coën
Although it is common to refer that the University of Québec at Montréal
first reference to options is found in the Montréal, Québec, Canada
biblical description of the Jacob and Rachel
love story, in fact, the first piece of finan- The order book can be defined as a record of
cial literature on the subject is found in orders maintained by the underwriters (the
Joseph de la Vega, a Portuguese Jew, liv- specialist or the investment bank). A book
ing in Amsterdam in the XVII century. building is generally used to market initial
After escaping from Portugal to avoid the public offerings to investors. Following the
Portuguese Inquisition, and after being original studies led by Benveniste and Spidt
familiar with the stock and options trading (1989) and Benveniste and Wilhelm (1990),
activity, he wrote a book called Confusion de this process consists in three steps. First, the
investment bank invites selected investors is generally high because these options
to evaluate the issue. Second, after evalua- are in great demand for hedging strate-
tion of the issue, selected investors inform gies purposes. When we relate the implicit
the bank of their preliminary demand. volatility of out-of-the money options to
Third, the investment bank prices the issue their degree of moneyness, that is, the ratio
and undertakes the allocations of shares to of the strike to the price of the underlying,
investors. we notice what is denoted a smirk. Let us
notice that implicit volatility is associated
to an option pricing model. It is often com-
REFERENCES puted using the Black and Scholes model
Benveniste, L. and Spidt, P. (1989) How investment and it is obtained by using the Manaster
bankers determine the offer price and allocation and Koehler (1982) iterative procedure,
of new issues. Journal of Financial Economics,
which is based on the Newton–Raphson
24, 343–361.
Benveniste, L. and Wilhelm, W. (1990) A comparative search procedure. In this procedure, we
analysis of IPO proceeds under alternative reg- have to guess an initial volatility given by
ulatory regimes. Journal of Financial Economics, σ0* = [|ln(S/K) + rf × T| × 2/T]1/2 to incor-
28, 173—207.
Cornelli, F. and Goldreich, D. (2003) Bookbuilding: porate in the following iterative procedure:
i*1 i* [(C( i* ) C )exp(d1 2) 2 /S T ],
2
how informative is the order book? Journal of
Finance, 58, 1415–1443. with an obvious notation. In this expres-
Sherman, A. and Titman, S. (2000) Building the IPO
Order Book: Underpricing and Participation sion, C is the quoted price of the European
Limits with Costly Information. Working paper call option and C(σσi*) is the price of the
University of Notre Dame (SSRN-id235926). call obtained by substituting σi* in the
Black–Scholes formula. The smirk is related
to the skewness and the kurtosis of the dis-
Out-of-the-Money tribution of the returns of the underlying.
Negative skewness and positive kurtosis
Option tend to give way to a smirk. The smirk is
also due to the high demand of out-of-the-
money options for hedging activities pur-
Raymond Théoret poses. In addition, very out-of-the-money
University of Québec at Montréal options have very low Greeks, that is, their
Montréal, Québec, Canada
delta and gamma are quite low and their
probability to be left unexercised is very high
An out-of-the-money option is one for (Cuthbertson and Nitzsche, 2001; Racicot
which the price of the underlying is less and Théoret, 2006; Rouah and Vainberg,
than the strike price. For instance, the pay- 2007; Wilmott, 2001).
off of a call is equal to max(0, ST − K), where
ST is the price of the underlying at maturity
and K the strike price of the option. This REFERENCES
option is out-of-the-money if ST < K. It
Cuthbertson, K. and Nitzsche, D. (2001) Financial
expires unexercised in this case. The liquid- Engineering: Derivatives and Risk Management.
ity of the out-of-the-money option markets Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Manaster, S. and Koehler, G. (1982) The calculation valid. Once the trade matches, the exchange
of implied variances from the Black–Scholes
guarantees those traders whose contracts
model: a note. Journal of Finance, 37, 227–230.
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2006) Finance have increased in value and collects money
Computationnelle et Gestion des Risques. Presses from those whose contracts have decreased
de l’Université du Québec, Québec, QC. in value (Levinson, 2006).
Rouah, F. D. and Vainberg, G. (2007) Option Pricing
Models and Volatility Using Excel-VBA. Wiley,
Hoboken, NJ. REFERENCES
Wilmott, P. (2001) Paul Wilmott Introduces Quantita-
tive Finance. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. Kolb, R. (2000) Futures, Options, and Swaps, 3rd ed.
Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA.
Levinson, M. (2006) The Economist Guide to the
Financial Markets, 4th ed. Bloomberg Press,
Out Trade New York, NY.
REFERENCES 100
RSI 100
1 RS
Aggarwal, R. (2000) Stabilization activities by under-
writers after initial public offerings. The Journal where RS is the average of x days price
of Finance, 55, 1075–1104.
increases/average of x days price decreases.
Cotter, J. F. and Thomas, R. S. (1998) Firm commit-
ment underwriting risk and the over-allotment The RSI ranges from 0 to 100. An asset is
option: do we need further legal regulation? overbought if the RSI approaches 70, mean-
Securities Regulation Law Journal, 26, 245–269. ing that it may be getting overvalued and is
Ellis, K., Michaely, R., and O’Hara, M. (2000) When
the underwriter is the market maker: an exami- a good candidate for a pullback, or in other
nation of trading in the IPO aftermarket. The words, it could be a good moment to sell.
Journal of Finance, 55, 1039–1075. Likewise, if the RSI approaches 30, the asset
is oversold.
Overbought REFERENCES
Colby, R. W. and Meyers, T. A. (1992) Enciclopedia de
Begoña Torre Olmo los Indicadores Técnicos del Mercado. Gesmovasa,
Madrid.
University of Cantabria
Murphy, J. J. (1999) Study Guide for Technical Analysis
Cantabria, Spain
of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of
Finance, Prentice Hall, New York.
This refers to the situation in which the
demand for an asset has increased to such an Overpricing
extent that it has pushed the asset price to a
level that no longer supports its fundamen-
tals. In such a case, the asset is considered to Edward J. Lusk
be overvalued. Consequently, a market cor- State University of New York
rection will almost certainly occur, with the (Plattsburgh)
logical result of a decrease in its stock price Plattsburgh, New York, USA
(Colby and Meyers, 1992). The Wharton School
Overbought is a term used by technical Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
analysts. This is because technical indicators
and oscillators are mathematical, statistical Overpricing is measured as the difference
models, which express graphically, the force between the offer or opening price for the
and velocity of market movements, based IPO’s stock and its closing price after the
upon prices and/or volumes of stocks. One first day of trading scaled by the offer price.
of their applications is to detect situations When the opening price exceeds the clos-
of overbought and oversold assets. There are ing price, the IPO is said to be overpriced.
a vast number of indicators and oscillators, The closing price is assumed to be the equi-
but one of the most commonly used is the librium or “true” value of the stock. In this
Relative Strength Index (RSI) as this can case, the IPO firm will receive excess capital
per share relative to the equilibrium value of firm. So it may seem that the IB will have an
the IPO’s stock (this is the opposite of under- economic interest in overpricing. But this
pricing where the difference is negative, i.e., is actually not the case. Recall that in the
the offer price is lower than the equilibrium bookbuilding process, the IB firm shops the
price). Since underpricing is often referred IPO firm to potential investors. What keeps
to as “money left on the table,” we may these potential investors interested in buy-
characterize overpricing as “money-put-in- ing the IPOs is the fact that the IB usually
the-coffers.” Let us now examine how over- offers them a bargain in that underpricing
pricing may play out for the major players is the typical outcome. The IB firm would
in the IPO launch. We are assuming that never intentionally overprice an IPO to col-
bookbuilding is used and that the IPO firm lect a higher fee at the expense of its valued
is WeB-Genes, a pharmaceutical-boutique client base. This would be considered either
holding a patent on a hot genome-product financial high treason or evidence that the
called Kur-Y’all. Because of all the extremely IB does not know what they are doing. In
positive scientific and clinical evidence, the either case, the result of repeated overpric-
FDA has fast-tracked Kur-Y’all. For this rea- ing by the IB is the same: a book with a lot
son, WeB-Genes has been actively courted of empty pages. (For related information see
by many of the major investment bankers Underpricing, p. 487, and Bookbuilding,
(IBs). There are some possible reasons for p. 47 and Lusk et al., 2006.)
overpricing where, by definition, the book-
building subscribers contribute an excess of
funds to the IPO relative to the equilibrium REFERENCE
price. Usually it is because there is a paucity
of real information and an excess of reality- Lusk, E., Schmidt, G., and Halperin, M. (2006)
Recommendations for the development of a
blurring exuberance and the investors in European venture capital regulatory corpus:
WeB-Genes get caught up in the hype and lessons from the USA. In: G. N. Gregoriou,
pay for it by accepting a stock price that is M. Kooli, and R. Kraeussl (Eds.), Venture
Capital, in Europe. Elsevier, Burlington, MA.
too high. This is essentially what happened
in the mid-1990s relative to the dot.coms
or what has been called the got.conned era. Oversold
Apropos to overpricing, according to the
Financial Times: London (April 22, 2006,
p. 17) “… one banker says: ‘Generally speak- Begoña Torre Olmo
ing, if a stock underperforms, it was because University of Cantabria
Cantabria, Spain
it was overpriced at the issue. It is a question
of supply and demand. Sometimes you can’t
get a quality level of institutional investors This refers to the situation in which the sup-
to support the stock in the after-market’.” ply of an asset has increased to such an extent
Let us also consider the effect of overpricing that it has forced down the asset price to a
from the IB perspective. The IB earns more level that no longer supports its fundamen-
on an overpriced offer than on an under- tals. In such a case, the asset is considered
priced offer since they receive a percent- to be undervalued. Consequently, a market
age of the gross proceeds raised by the IPO correction will almost certainly occur, with
the logical result of an increase in its stock the cost to the issuing firm of underpricing
price. (See Overbought.) may be mitigated by the interest earned on
the subscription pool. Therefore, the offer
price is lowered and a large oversubscrip-
Oversubscribed tion for firms’ shares would be expected.
Alternatively, there will be instances when
investors would realize that the offer price
Dimitrios Gounopoulos is too high and the issue would fail.
University of Surrey Amihud et al. (2003) present a different
Guildford, England, UK
argument on oversubscription. They report
that excess demand is affected by factors
Oversubscription is a common phenomenon that are known before the IPO, such as issue
in initial public offerings (IPOs) and gener- characteristics and market conditions. In
ally in the finance world. It is described as this case, underpricing has, as its primary
the surplus number of shares or bonds that purpose, to attract some level of oversub-
investors would like to purchase but are not scription, and that issue must be priced
accessible due to high demand. It is mainly with high underpricing.
created in cases that a promising firm enters
the market or when a company has a much REFERENCES
lower offer price than the one expected by Amihud, Y., Samuel, H., and Amir, K. (2003)
the investors. Allocations, adverse selection and cascades in
Since an investor’s decision is influenced IPOs: evidence from the Tel Aviv stock exchange.
by that of others, there is herding into sub- Journal of Financial Economics, 68, 137–158.
Chowdhry, B. and Sherman, A. (1996) International dif-
scribing or abstaining. As a result there can ferences in oversubscription and underpricing of
be cases of overwhelming oversubscription. IPOs. Journal of Corporate Finance, 2, 359–381.
As an example there has been an IPO in a Rock, K. (1986) Why new issues are underpriced.
Journal of Financial Economics, 15, 187–212.
major European stock exchange, which in
year 2000 experienced an oversubscription
of 753.41 times. The total number of shares
the firm desired to issue was 6 million
Over-the-Counter
and the total demand from the public was (OTC) Market
4.52 billion. The underwriters’ work became
very difficult in allocating the shares; they
failed in doing their job well as they left a lot Jerome Teiletche
of money in the table due to underpricing. University Paris-Dauphine
Paris, France
Rock’s “winner curse” model (1986)
reports that both informed and unin-
formed investors apply for “good issues,” Over the counter (OTC) markets denote
while only uninformed investors apply for markets where transactions take place
“bad issues.” This is the reason why “good directly between counterparties. It is
issues” are more likely to be oversubscribed. opposed to organized exchanges where
Chowdhry and Sherman (1996) suggest that transactions are intermediated by an offi-
given the high levels of oversubscription, cial organization (the stock exchange in
equity markets, the clearinghouse in future OTC derivatives are generally docu-
markets). mented through a master agreement, which
An important difference is that while sets out the standard terms that apply to all
organized exchange trading are often order- the transactions entered into by both par-
driven markets as the direct confrontation ties. This prevents from renegotiating the
between supply and demand for assets lead terms at each new transaction.
to the determination of their price, OTC Historically, a standard way to distin-
markets are quote-driven markets (O’Hara, guish between organized and OTC markets
1995). Dealers first determine and announce was to consider that the former are cen-
through electronic systems, like Bloomberg tralized with a precise geographical loca-
or Reuters, the prices at which they are ready tion while the latter are fragmented. With
to buy (bid price) and to sell (ask price) the the advent of electronic platforms covering
security, and then the client, who can be FX or bond markets, this line of separation
another dealer, decides whether to make the has become meaningless. What remains,
deal. For the dealer to earn money, the ask though, is that transactions remain private
price is always above the bid price. Generally, in nature (for instance, identities involved
quoted prices are indicative only, and better in the transaction are not disclosed to other
conditions, that is, inside the bid-ask spread, participants).
can be obtained during the deal. As transactions are bilateral, counterparty
This used to be the way trading was taking risk used to be very significant in OTC mar-
place in spot and forwards foreign exchange kets, at the difference for instance of future
or bond markets. Stocks are usually traded markets where the clearinghouse ensures
on exchange markets. However, OTC mar- that financial obligations will be met. This
kets exist for stocks with limited liquidity or does not mean that OTC markets are totally
for the exchange of large quantities (block deregulated. For instance, in OTC deriva-
trades) for which they are reputed to be tive markets, International Swap Dealers
more efficient in terms of transaction costs. Association (ISDA) edicts typical agree-
By definition, futures trade on their original ments that are used to help standardize
markets. For other derivatives, things are far and improve the transparency of transac-
more heterogeneous as shown in Table 1. tions. In practice, this leads to mitigate the
differences between organized and OTC
markets.
TABLE 1
Trading in OTC markets implies com-
An Overview of Derivative Markets during Spring
plicated strategic effects and search costs.
2004 (Notional Amounts in Billions USD)
While informed investors are assumed to
OTC Organized
Markets Exchanges face larger spreads as dealers try to protect
themselves (Glosten and Milgrom, 1985),
FX 31,500 98
large investors can at the same time ben-
Bond and money 177,457 49,385
market efit from better prices as they offer access
Equity 5,094 3,318 to outside options based on their ability to
Credit 4,664 0 trade with other investors or market makers
Source: Bank of International Settlements. (Duffie et al., 2005).
Jens Johansen
Deutsche Securities
Tokyo, Japan
Pairs trading is a style of equity trading in which the trader takes market
neutral positions in pairs of related equities, taking a long position in the
undervalued stock and a short position in the overvalued stock. Stock selec-
tion is usually based on a market-wide screen which ranks order related
stocks by standardized valuation metrics.
The relationship between equities traded in pairs is most often that they
are in the same sector. However, they could also be related through cross-
shareholdings or they could be different share classes in the same operating
company (e.g., a stock and its ADR).
Even though an equity pair has an apparent relationship by being in the
same sector or similar business lines, it need not follow that they will trade
similarly in the market. To be tradable, equity pairs also need to be mean
reverting,
g that is, they must trade back to an equilibrium relative value fairly
reliably. There are many statistical tests for mean reversion. The most com-
monly applied test by equity pairs traders are the Augmented Dickey-Fuller
variants. Other, more sophisticated tests exist and are increasingly com-
monly used.
Market neutrality is most often implemented as a cash neutral trade. In a
cash neutral trade, the position consists of equal dollar amounts of long and
short stock. However, this could still leave the trader long or short beta, which is
sometimes also adjusted for. The position could be adjusted further to account
for other risk imbalances in the position, but these are rare in practice.
REFERENCES
Ehrman, D. S. (2006) The Handbook of Pairs Trading: Strategies Using Equities, Options, &
Futures. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Gatev, E., Goetzmann, W. N., and Rouwenhorst, K. G. (1999) Pairs Trading: Performance
of a Relative Value Arbitrage Rule. Working Paper, Yale School of Management, New
Haven, CT.
Whistler, M. (2004) Trading Pairs: Capturing Profits and Hedging Risk with Statistical Arbitrage
Strategies. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
351
in the index. Amenc and Martellini (2003) (2006) merge the CISDM, HFR, MSCI,
present an overview of different industry and Tass databases and use the 3924 hedge
standards for peer group based benchmarks. funds in operation at the end of 2002 to
Given that hedge funds employ dynamic document the disparity between differ-
trading strategies, hold leveraged port- ent data sources. For example, 27% of the
folios, and invest in derivative products funds are exclusively included in CISDM
makes it very challenging to determine a (23% in Tass, 20% in HFR) and a mere 3%
fair benchmark to assess the skills of a man- of the hedge funds are included in all four
ager. Traditional performance benchmarks databases. The low correlation between
for mutual funds, such as the S&P 500 or the HFR Composite Index and the CSFB/
the Russell style indices, are no longer ade- Tremont Composite Index over the period
quate. Therefore, investors turned to peer 1994–2002 of 0.76 as reported by Fung and
group averages. The advantage of using peer Hsieh (2004) illustrates the heterogene-
group based style factors is the comparison ity further. In fact, Fung and Hsieh (2002)
with strategies that have been implemented calculate a mean difference for annual-
in practice and, thus, account for trading ized monthly returns of 1.5% between the
and transaction costs. On the downside, HFR Performance Index and the CSFD/
peer group based style factors typically Tremont Hedge Fund Index over the period
rely on self-declared investment objectives 1994–1999 with even larger discrepancies
and self-reported returns. There exist nei- on an annual basis. The difference (HFR –
ther accepted norms for classifying hedge CSFD/Tremont) is 9.5% in 1994 and −9.1%
funds nor standards for reporting realized in 1997. They attribute a substantial frac-
returns. To remedy the issues with self- tion of these discrepancies to the weight-
declared investment objectives, peer groups ing schemes used in computing monthly
can be extracted using cluster analysis or averages, that is, equally weighted versus
(constrained) regressions on the return value-weighted. Amenc and Martellini
series of primitive trading strategies repre- (2003) report that monthly returns of major
senting specific styles. Another limitation to hedge fund indices that are expected to rep-
be considered is that, depending on the pro- resent the same investment style diverge
vider, indices are constructed from different substantially. The monthly, nonannualized
databases. It is well documented in the lit- returns for a specific month differ by more
erature that the most commonly used hedge than 20% for the relatively well-defined cat-
fund data sources use a different nomencla- egory long/short (Zurich Capital Markets
ture, are incomplete (selection bias, instant and Evaluation Associates Capital Markets
history bias) and exhibit major sampling (EACM) indices). They also report that
differences. In addition to the problem that the average pair-wise correlations among
omitting dead funds may lead to overesti- the ten index providers they study tend to
mated industry returns, survivorship bias be weak for nondirectional strategies; for
is of concern as hedge funds on the decline example 0.43 for market neutral indices,
become small and are eventually elimi- 0.46 for long/short, or 0.54 for fi xed-income
nated from the peer group. Agarwal et al. arbitrage. The lowest correlation is as low as
−0.19 for the style long/short. On the other bids and short covering in the aftermarket.
hand, well-defined strategies like merger They are intended to discourage flipping,
arbitrage exhibit the highest homogeneity. that is, immediate reselling, of the allocated
The average correlation between all indices shares when the share price declines due to
is 0.92 and the pair-wise correlation does weak demand in the secondary market. The
not drop below 0.88. Finally, peer group rationale behind penalty bids is to create an
based style factors are typically not invest- incentive for the members of the distribution
able as they cannot be specified in advance, team, that is, syndicate members, to allocate
include closed funds, and equal weighting is the shares to investors who will hold onto
not feasible due to minimal capital require- the shares or who can easily be discouraged
ments or lockup periods. The paper by Fung from flipping. Penalty bids typically result
and Hsieh (2004) contains an extensive either in forfeiture of the selling concession,
critique of peer group based style indices. that is, the distributing firm’s compensation
Nevertheless, due to the lack of a generally for the distributed shares, or in exclusion
accepted alternative, peer group based style of distributing firms or of investors from
factors are a popular tool to monitor the future allocations. The force of the threat of
performance of hedge funds. exclusion, however, is very limited for large
institutional investors who are indispens-
able for successful future placements.
REFERENCES The assessment of the penalty bid is
Agarwal, V., Daniel, N. D., and Naik, N. Y. (2006) Role not fi xed in advance. In contrast, the lead
of Managerial Incentives and Discretion in Hedge underwriter may assess the penalty bid ex
Fund Performance. Working Paper, Georgia
post. Typically, the penalty bid will not be
State and London Business School.
Amenc, N. and Martellini, L. (2003) The Brave New assessed when market liquidity is low in
World of Hedge Fund Indices. Working Paper, order to avoid further deterioration of mar-
EDHEC, Lille, France. ket liquidity or when considerable trading
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2002) Hedge fund
benchmarks: information content and biases.
revenues at practically no risk of a price
Financial Analysts Journal, 58, 22–34. decrease can be generated from high turn-
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2004) Hedge fund bench- over together with an increasing price in
marks: a risk based approach. Financial Analysts
the secondary market. The effectiveness of
Journal, 60, 65–80.
penalty bids crucially depends on a track-
ing system for the allocated shares.
Penalty Bid
REFERENCES
Stefan Wendt Aggarwal, R. (2000) Stabilization activities by under-
Bamberg University writers after initial public offerings. The Journal
Bamberg, Germany of Finance, 55, 1075–1103.
Aggarwal, R. (2003) Allocation of initial public offer-
ings and flipping activity. Journal of Financial
Penalty bid provisions may be included in Economics, 68, 111–135.
underwriting contracts for initial public Benveniste, L. M., Busaba, W. Y., and Wilhelm Jr.,
W. J. (1996) Price stabilization as a bonding
offerings (IPOs) in order to complement price mechanism in new equity issues. Journal of
stabilization mechanisms such as stabilizing Financial Economics, 42, 223–255.
(assessing the impact of past fund alphas performance. In general, style consistent
on current fund alphas), and fi nally funds’ funds also tend to manage portfolios with
ranking based on appropriate performance a low turnover (e.g., low transaction costs).
measures (e.g., appraisal ratio, modified So far, poor performers are shown to per-
Sharpe ratio, Park ratio, alternative invest- sist over time whereas good performers
ment risk-adjusted performance). In the can persist over time only due to a chance
light of the three approaches aforemen- factor. Furthermore, performance persis-
tioned, current academic and empirical tence is conditional on the length of the
research has identified and exhibited key time period under consideration.
features of performance persistence. First, a
short-term persistence up to 1 year has been
acknowledged with stronger evidence up REFERENCES
to a 3-month horizon. Indeed, some funds Brown, K. C. and Harlow, W. V. (2002) Staying
exhibit a short-term positive correlation the Course: The Impact of Investment Style
Consistency on Mutual Fund Performance.
in their respective abnormal returns (i.e., Working Paper, Department of Finance,
risk-adjusted returns or positive alphas) University of Texas, Austin, TX.
over subsequent time periods. Second, the Carhart, M. M. (1997) On persistence in mutual fund
performance. Journal of Finance, 52, 57–82.
persistence of fund performance can be
Gregoriou, G. N. (2006) Funds of Hedge Funds.
explained by a set of key security-based Elsevier, Burlington, MA.
factors such as size (i.e., market capital- Lhabitant, F. S. (2004) Handbook of Hedge Funds.
ization), value, momentum (e.g., short- Wiley, Chichester, UK.
term past performance), fees and expenses
(e.g., management and incentive fees, per-
formance fees, load charges, operating
Piggyback Registration
fees, transactions costs), and investment
style (e.g., aggressive and/or conserva- Abdulkadir Civan
tive investments focusing on aggressive Fatih University
growth, growth, growth and income, bal- Istanbul, Turkey
anced or income securities among others)
as well as related style consistency. Indeed, Piggyback registration is allowing investors
it is highly important to balance gross (venture capitalists) who bought company
investment returns or gross excess returns stock earlier to include their shares in a pub-
with corresponding underlying investment lic offering the company is already conduct-
expenses. For example, capitalization is ing. The venture capital investors generally
negatively linked with hedge fund returns. get piggyback registration rights that enable
Moreover, size and management fees are them to sell their shares on IPOs or other
negatively linked with performance per- public offerings the company conducts.
sistence. Specifically, a persistent posi- Venture capitalists invest in companies in
tive performance characterizes essentially early stage because they believe the securi-
funds with low management fees. Finally, ties acquired in the invested company could
funds with consistent investment style be turned into more “liquid” assets in a
over time yield better absolute and relative reasonable time frame. However, securities
acquired in private equity financing stage offering. If the underwriters of the offering
are restricted. Therefore, investors will determine that there is not enough demand
negotiate with companies on exit strate- in the market for the company shares and
gies called registration rights. These rights including piggyback shares on the offering
provide opportunities to the investors to will lower the share price, the company can
sell their securities to the public. There are exclude them from the registration. In such
two types of registration rights: demand cases, shares to be sold under piggyback reg-
registration rights and piggyback registra- istration rights are usually excluded from an
tion rights. Demand registration rights offering in favor of shares sold by the com-
enable the investor to require the invested pany and shares of demand registration rights
company to register the company’s shares holders (Ostrognai, 2001).
owned by the investor for sale to the pub-
lic even if the company was not considering
issuing any securities to the public at that REFERENCES
time. Piggyback registration rights give to Gutterman, A. S. (1994) Legal Considerations in
the investors the right to include their shares Business Financing: A Guide for Corporate
Management. Quorum Books, Westport, CT.
in a registration conducted by the invested
Ostrognai, A. (2001) Registration Rights. International
company or by another shareholder. Financial Law Review Yearbook 2001, Supplement
The management of the invested com- retrieved 09-13-2007 from (http://www.iflr.com/?
pany and investors might not always agree Page=17&PUBID=213&ISS=16398&SID=514
514&SM=&SearchStr=piggyback).
on the timing and nature of offering shares
to the public. Sometimes they might have
different perspectives and sometimes differ- Pipeline
ent interests. Moreover registration can be
very expensive and time-consuming for the
managers. Thus, demand registration rights John F. Freihammer
are more burdensome for companies and Marco Consulting Group
Chicago, Illinois, USA
indeed are rarely exercised. However, the
holders of these rights can greatly influence
the company management with respect to Pipeline is a term for securities that have
the nature and timing of the registration. entered into, but not yet completed, the
On the other hand, since marginal cost of underwriting process before public distri-
including shares of investor who holds pig- bution. As such, it is a measure of the flow
gyback registration rights is relatively small in upcoming underwriting deals for invest-
on an ongoing registration process, piggy- ment banks, and market observers often
back registration rights are exercised much look to the current pipeline as an indicator
more frequently than demand registration of financing activity. The securities being
rights (Gutterman, 1994). underwritten are commonly referred to
However, most piggyback registration as being “in the pipeline” (Scott, 2003).
rights agreements include situations in which Underwriters will attempt to keep several
the company can exclude the piggyback regis- securities in the pipeline in order to sell
tration right holder’s shares from an ongoing them to investors when market conditions
are favorable (Downes and Goodman, 2003). date are grouped on a specific area. For the
Since the underwriting process for all nearby contract, that is often the topmost
publicly sold securities includes a manda- steps of the pit. This is convenient, not only
tory review by and registration with the because this tends to be most actively traded
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), contract (and top steps are larger) but also
the flow of upcoming deals is alternatively because top steps are closer to phone desks
referred to as the “SEC pipeline” by some in of the futures commission merchants. Less
the investment industry. frequently, pits are divided into slices, like
To avoid possible confusion, it should a pie, in which case the trading of different
also be noted that the term “pipeline” has delivery dates is located in different slices of
other distinct and quite different meanings the pit. For purpose of ticker or wallboard
that are well-established in the investment display, bidding information is collected
industry, most notably in conjunction with by exchange employees in a pulpit, usually
the mortgage industry and the concept of located on the fringe of the pit.
“pipeline risk.” At one pit, one can find people with vari-
ous roles: general employees of the exchange,
out trade clerks, market reporters, runners,
REFERENCES arbitrage clerks, phone clerks, deck holders
and exchange member traders. Out trade
Downes, J. and Goodman, J. (2003) Dictionary of Finance
and Investment Terms. Barron’s Educational
clerks are employees of the brokerage firms
Series, Inc., New York, NY. and exchange members in charge of solving
Scott, D. (2003) Wall Street Words: An A to Z Guide to inconsistencies in trades from the previ-
Investment Terms for Today’s Investor. Houghton ous day each morning before the beginning
Mifflin Books, Boston, MA.
of the standard trading hours. Market re-
portrs are employed by the exchange and
Pit their job at the pit is to report and process
price information. Runners, arbitrage clerks,
phone clerks, and deck holders are employ-
Raquel M. Gaspar ees of various member firms or individual
ISEG, Technical University Lisbon brokers. Runners carry orders and other
Lisbon, Portugal
information to the brokers. Arbitrage clerks
use hand signs to communicate trading
A pitt is a designated area, at an open-out- information from the pits to the phones.
cry exchange-trading floor, where transac- Phone clerks are on the phone at worksta-
tions concerning a specific contract type are tions around the pit and deck holders hold
done. The majority of pits are either polygo- orders for the traders.
nal or circular platforms with one or more Depending on the exchange and their
concentric rings of steps dropping towards role in the pit, different traders and staff use
the center, hence “pit.” For futures contracts, jackets of different colors, to help identify-
each underlying (for example, a particu- ing themselves. For instance, at the Chicago
lar commodity) is traded in a different pit Mercantile Exchange (CME), there can be
and, in each pit, traders of a given delivery jackets of at least five different colors in each
pit. Dark blue jackets are used by general is distributed and is a “one-time” charge for
employees at the exchange, out trade clerks specific transactions such as purchasing,
wear green jackets with panels on the back, while the annual operating expenses that
individuals with light blue jackets are market include the management fee, distribution
reporters and the yellow jackets are runners, fee and other expenses are debited annually
arbitrage clerks, phone clerks, or deck holders. from the investors’ fund balance. In return
Members supplied by the exchange use the for depositing funds, the investors receive
traditional trading red jacket; however, some units or shares of the fund, which represent
traders also have jackets specially designed a pro-rate share of the fund’s investments.
and with unusual patterns, to increase their The fund investor achieves a higher degree
visibility within the trading pit. of diversification than an individual could
achieve, but at a lower cost. An individually
managed portfolio can also achieve diver-
REFERENCES sification, but the extent of diversification
Duffie, D. (1989) Futures Markets. Prentice Hall,
will be limited by available funds. For rela-
Upper Saddle River, NJ. tively small amounts of available investment
Mannaster, S. and Mann, S. C. (1996) Life in pits: funds, adequate portfolio diversification
competitive market making and inventory con- comes with significant transaction costs.
trol. Review of Financial Studies, 9, 953–975.
Pooled funds can either be open-ended or
closed-ended. Stable-valued pooled funds
Pooled Fund behave similarly to mutual funds, but they
differ in their legal form under securities law.
Stable-valued pooled funds are exempt from
Julia Stolpe registration as securities with the Securities
Technical University at Braunschweig and Exchange Commission (Fabozzi, 2002).
Braunschweig, Germany
REFERENCE
A pooled fund is an aggregation of funds
that investors contribute for the purposes Fabozzi, F. (2002) Handbook of Financial Instruments.
of investment by a professional money Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
commodities, large traders are subject to over- or even for months (Kolb, 1994; Chance,
sight by the Commodities Futures Trading 1997). Trading expenses and analysis tech-
Commission. The position limit for com- niques differ according to trade duration.
modities depends on the type of commod- Position traders are more concerned about
ity. For options, it is the maximum amount long-term trends and believe that they can
of contracts that an individual or group of make a profit by waiting for major market
investors can have on an underlying security. movements. Fixed costs are slightly low for
“The current limit is 2,000 contracts on the position traders and they are likely to use
same side of the market (for example, long long-term technical analysis for evaluating
calls and short puts are on the same side of trade opportunities. Position trading is safer
the market), the limit applies to all expiration than other types of trading, mainly because
dates” (Downs and Goodman, 2003).Position position traders are not pressed for time
limits are designed to limit the amount of and can stay in the trade to earn more or to
risk exposure for a particular investor or minimize losses. Futures trading involves
group of investors. Additionally, any person risk and may not be suitable for all types
who is the owner or beneficial owner of 10% of investors. Several factors such as market
or more of an equity class must file a report conditions and seasonality effects affect the
with the SEC. This report is called a Section timing of trading. Seasonality is an impor-
12 registration, and it requires the person to tant factor for position traders to take into
report all their holdings of the issuing secu- consideration. Since position traders stay in
rity. Subsequently, the person is also required the trade longer, they can better cope with
under Section 16(a) to report changes in their any seasonal variations. Generally, day trad-
ownership in the reported security. ing and position trading have a great deal in
common. Technical analysis and fundamen-
tals help improve both kinds of trading.
REFERENCES
Downs, J. and Goodman, J. E. (2003) Dictionary REFERENCES
of Finance and Investment Term. Barron’s
Educational Series, Inc., New York, NY. Chance, M. D. (1997) An Introduction to Derivatives and
Natenberg, S. (1994) Option Volatility and Pricing: Risk Management. Dryden Press, Orlando, FL.
Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques. Kolb, W. R. (1994) Understanding Futures Market.
McGraw-Hill, New York, NY. Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA.
Scrip (2004) IDM’s IPO Postponement a Blow for of the United States Securities and Exchange
Biotech, in Scrip – London, No. 2963, p. 9 Commission (SEC). Individuals who are
(http://www.pjbpubs.com/scrip/index.htm).
not in possession of nonpublic information
can sell and buy stocks or commodities of a
company under prearranged trading plans.
Prearranged
Trading
REFERENCES
Grossmann, S. J. (1988) An analysis of the implica-
Sven Olboeter tions for stock and futures price volatility of
Technical University at Braunschweig program trading and dynamic hedging strate-
Braunschweig, Germany gies. The Journal of Business, 61(3), 275–298.
information for potential investors. Since call option or between the strike price and
new issues typically attract experienced the security price for a put option) and the
and diversified investors, the preliminary time value (which is the value attributed
prospectus is considered but one piece of to the time remaining until the expiration
information as part of a more complete of the option). The option premium is the
analysis of the potential market valuation maximum profit that the writer can expect
of the new issue. from its transaction with the buyer. This
This preliminary prospectus informs poten- maximum profit occurs when the option
tial investors awaiting the publication of the he has written expires unexercised. For a
final prospectus, which is produced in advance speculator, the premium can be seen as an
of the issuance of the publicly traded security. investment from which he expects to make
a profit through the exercise of the option.
He incurs a loss equivalent to the amount
REFERENCES of this premium if the option ends unexer-
cised. However, for someone seeking a pro-
Downes, D. and Heinkel, R. (1982) Signaling and the
tection against a given risk, it is analogous
valuation of unseasoned new issues. The Journal
of Finance, 37(1), 1–10. to an insurance premium paid to an insur-
Jenkinson, T. and Liungqvist, A. (2001) Going Public, ance company.
2nd ed. Oxford University Press, New York, NY.
REFERENCES
Premium Chance, D. M. (1998) An Introduction to Derivatives.
Dryden Press, Orlando, FL.
Khoury, N. and Laroche, P. (1996) Options et Contrats
Jean-Pierre Gueyie à Terme. Les Presses de l’Université Laval,
University of Québec at Montréal Laval, QC.
Montréal, Québec, Canada Montreal Exchange (2007) Reference Manual: Equity
Options. Montreal, QC.
discovery role for the broader cash markets, There has been intense debate in the lit-
as reflected by the widespread practice of erature over whether the spot or the futures
price basing in many of these markets. To market is the source of the price discovery
that end, price basing motivates timely dis- in commodity markets. Stein (1981) showed
semination of the price information by the that spot and futures prices for a certain
futures market. commodity are determined simultaneously.
But Garbade and Silber (1983) argue that
price discovery takes place in the most liq-
REFERENCE uid market. Furthermore, other studies have
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (2003) emphasized the role of storage in price dis-
Exempt commercial markets. Federal Register, covery, because arbitrage may work through
68(227), 66032–66040. Retrieved on July 16,
storage. In the absence of storage, there is no
2007, from http://a257.g.akamaitech.net/7/257/
2422/14mar20010800/edocket.access.gpo. effective arbitrage, and thus it appears there
gov/2003/pdf/03-29437.pdf is no other economic force linking spot and
futures prices together.
Following this argument, it seems unlikely
Price Discovery that futures prices are unbiased predictors of
future cash prices (Yang et al., 2001). Using
cointegration analysis (see, e.g., Quan, 1992;
Roland Füss Schwartz and Szakmary, 1994), we can test
European Business School empirically whether futures prices are unbi-
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
ased estimates of spot prices (the unbiasedness
hypothesis). For a perfectly storable commod-
Price discovery is the mechanism by which ity, with the absence of arbitrage through stor-
asset market prices are formed. It is a pro- age, the following interrelationship holds in
cess of information aggregation, where mar- the long term (Yang et al., 2001):
ket participants’ opinions about an asset’s
value are summarized in that asset’s market FT | t (St U )er (Tt )
price. Assets may have interrelated values
but be traded in different markets. In these where FT|tt is the price of the futures contract
cases, price discovery of the common value at time t, with settlement date at time T. T
component may occur in one market, with St is the spot price at time t, r the interest
the value information subsequently trans- rate, and U the present value of all storage
mitted to the other market(s). costs during the maturity of the futures
In commodity markets, price discovery contract. For a perfectly storable commod-
is generally used to determine spot prices, ity, the storage costs U can be negligible.
which are dependent upon market conditions Thus, we can write the following equation:
affecting supply and demand. Price discovery
in commodity futures markets is commonly ln FT t ln St r (T t )
referred to as the use of futures prices to
determine expectations about the pricing of If the interest rate is characterized as a non-
future cash market transactions (Schroeder stationary part of the cost of carry, cash and
and Goodwin, 1991; Working, 1948). futures prices may drift apart in the long
term because of the stochastic trend of the Garbade, K. D. and Silber, W. L. (1983) Price move-
ments and price discovery in futures and cash
interest rate. Thus, the time series property
markets. Review of Economics and Statistics, 65,
of the interest rate influences the cointe- 289–297.
gration test. However, if the three vari- Quan, J. (1992) Two-step testing procedure for price
ables futures price, spot price, and interest discovery role of futures prices. Journal of
Futures Markets, 12, 139–149.
cost r (T − tt) are cointegrated, then the Schroeder, T. C. and Goodwin, B. K. (1991) Price dis-
cash-equivalent futures price, according to covery and cointegration for live hogs. Journal
Zapata and Fortenbery (1996), is of Futures Markets, 11, 685–696.
Schwartz, T. V. and Szakmary, A. C. (1994) Price dis-
covery in petroleum markets. arbitrage, cointe-
ln(cash − equivalent ln(future price)
= gration, and the time interval of analysis. Journal
futures prices) − r(T − t)/360
t of Portfolio Management, 14, 147–167.
Stein, J. L. (1981) Speculative price: economic welfare
and the idiot of chance. Review of Economics
For nonstorable commodities, forward and Statistics, 63, 223–232.
pricing assumes the only economic role of Working, H. (1948) Theory of the inverse carry-
futures markets (Black, 1976). According ing charge in futures markets. Journal of Farm
to forward pricing, anticipated supply and Economics, 30, 1–28.
Yang, J., Bessler, D. A., and Leatham, D. J. (2001) Asset
demand is reflected in the futures prices, and storability and price discovery in commodity
the following relationship exists between futures markets: a new look. Journal of Futures
spot and futures prices: Markets, 21, 279–300.
Yang, J. and Leatham, D. J. (1999) Price discovery in
wheat futures markets. Journal of Agricultural
FT t E t[ST ] or FT t ST eT and Applied Economics, 31, 359–370.
Zapata, H. O. and Fortenbery, T. R. (1996) Stochastic
where Et is the expectation operator applied interest rates and price discovery in selected
commodity markets. Review of Agricultural
at time t, and eT is a white noise term. If ST Economics, 18, 643–654.
is I(1), that is, stationary in first differences
with a constant mean, the following empiri-
cal specification can be obtained, according Price Limit
to Brenner and Kroner (1995):
FT t u ST eT Michael Gorham
Illinois Institute of Technology
Chicago, Illinois, USA
where u denotes the constant that should
capture other components of cash and
futures price differentials. Price limits generally refer to the maximum
amount by which the price of a futures
contract can increase or decrease during a
trading day from the contract’s closing or
REFERENCES settlement price on the prior day. Price lim-
Black, F. (1976) The pricing of commodity contracts. its are sometimes referred to as daily price
Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 167–179. limits or daily limits, since they tradition-
Brenner, R. J. and Kroner, K. F. (1995) Arbitrage,
ally dictate the amount by which a price can
cointegration, and testing the unbiasedness
hypothesis in financial markets. Journal of move in a day. For example, the price limit
Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 30, 23–42. in CBOT soybeans is 50 cents per bushel
(except that there is no limit during the limit grows wide enough to accommodate
delivery month). If today’s closing price for where the market wants to go.
a nondelivery month soybean contract is The most comprehensive and compli-
$10.00, then no trading tomorrow can take cated limits are those in stock index futures,
place at a price higher than $10.50 or lower which came about in the year following the
than $9.50. If market participants believe the big stock market crash of October 19, 1987.
value of soybeans is actually $12, then there These limits, which are also known as cir-
will be only bids at 10.50 and no offers and cuit breakers (because it’s like cutting the
thus no transactions. The market has essen- power when a market is in freefall) or trad-
tially stopped trading. People would call this ing halts (because when the price triggers
market “limit bid” or “locked limit.” This are hit it calls for a temporary trading halt),
also means futures traders who wish to offset have changed many times. There are four
existing positions would have trouble doing percentage limits: 5, 10, 15, and 20%. Once a
so. Someone wanting to buy to offset a short quarter, specific price limits are set by apply-
position would simply become one of the ing these percentages to the average closing
many limit bidders unable to find a seller at price of the lead month futures contract. So
that price. Someone wanting to sell to offset if the market is limit bid or offered at 5% for
a long position would be able to sell at $10.50, 10 min, then trading is halted for 2 min and
but would be reluctant to do so knowing that then resumes with the 10% limit in place.
$10.50 is significantly below current value. Halts and resumptions of trading are coor-
There is an incredible variety in the dinated with the New York Stock Exchange
structure of price limits from exchange to for the 10% limit. Floor traded stock index
exchange and contract to contract. And contracts have halts for price declines only,
over time, exchanges will change their rules while electronic markets have symmetrical
regarding price limits on specific contracts. limits both up and down.
Some contracts such as CME currencies
have no price limits. Some price limits are
very simple as in CBOT corn, which has a REFERENCE
20 cent per bushel limit every day except Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Equity Price Limits
during the delivery month when there is FAQ, http://www.cme.com/trading/prd/equity/
pricelmtfaq.html
no limit. Soybeans, as mentioned above,
are structured the same, though the limit is
50 cents per bushel per day.
NYMEX energy contracts have more Price Range
complex limits. Crude oil, for example, has a
daily limit of $10 per barrel. However, if the
contract is locked at the limit for 5 min, a Kojo Menyah
5 min trading halt is called and trading then London Metropolitan University
London, England, UK
opens with a new wider limit of $20. Should
trading still be locked limit at the $20 limit
for 5 min, then another 5 min trading halt The minimum and maximum price at which
is called, after which the new limit becomes the shares in an initial public offering (IPO)
another $10 wider. This continues until the are likely to be sold to investors is the price
HF sell HF receives
stocks cash equivalent
Stock exchange
FIGURE 1
Prime broker flow chart. (From Hilpold and Kaiser, 2005.)
is willing to accept the contract and Schedule 13D is required upon becoming
the agent’s incentive compatibility a 10% or more owner unless the principal
constraintt to ensure the agent under- shareholder is a passive investor, is eligi-
takes the action that maximizes his ble, and elects the simpler Schedule 13G.
expected utility given the contract. Amendments to Schedule 13D or Schedule
13G are required to be fi led upon a material
increase or decrease in the number of vot-
Principal Shareholder ing securities owned.
Joan Rockey
REFERENCES
Option Opportunities Company
Chicago, Illinois, USA Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 17 CFR
240.13d-1. Retrieved 27 June, 2007, http://ecfr.
gpoaccess.gov/cgi/t/text/text-idx?
Principal shareholder is any shareholder who Womble Carlyle Sandridge & Rice PLLC (2005)
directly or indirectly owns or controls 10% Insider Trading and Reporting Restrictions.
Retrieved June 28, 2007, from http://www.wcsr.
or more interest of a public company’s out- com/downloads/pdfs/ipobasics_insider.pdf
standing voting securities. Principal share-
holders, along with officers and directors,
are considered company insiders. Insiders
are required by the U.S. Securities and
Private Equity
Exchange Commission (SEC) to report all
beneficial ownership of and transactions Winston T. H. Koh
in their company’s securities pursuant to Singapore Management University
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (1934 Act) Singapore
insider trading rules. Insider trading rules
require insiders such as principal sharehold- Private equity refers to an investment in
ers to file with the SEC, the company and an ownership of an asset which is usually
any applicable self-regulatory organization not traded on the public exchange. It is a
a disclosure statement pursuant to Section broad asset class that includes buyouts and
16 of the 1934 Act on Form 3, Form 4, or venture capital, from seed funding to mez-
Form 5. Principal shareholders file Form 3 zanine capital for companies that are pre-
after first becoming a 10% or more holder, paring for listing on the stock exchanges.
and file the monthly Form 4 or annual Form Well-known private equity firms such as
5 after a change in beneficial ownership has Blackstone, Carlyle, and Kohlberg Kravis
occurred. Insider trading rules also require and Roberts (more commonly referred to
insiders such as principal shareholders to as KKR) also frequently acquire ownership
file with the SEC, the company, and any and control of companies listed on public
applicable self-regulatory organization a exchanges and take them private.
disclosure statement detailing the security Other nonconventional forms of private
transactions pursuant to Section 13(d) of the equity include investment in collateralized
1934 Act on Schedule 13D or Schedule 13G. debt obligations, structured transactions in
listed companies (and delisting them from public equity net returns over the past
the exchanges), purchase of distressed debts 20 years, in line with the higher risk of
through a special investment vehicle, as well private equity investing. A small number
as convertible debt (with option to convert of the top private equity firms consistently
into equity stakes at pre-negotiated valua- achieved superior returns. There is no gen-
tions), and share swaps between unlisted eral agreement if superior performance is
companies to bring about a merger of two due to a particular investing style, or the
companies. size of the private equity fund and/or the
There are generally three reasons for size of the private equity deal.
investing in private equity; they are diversi- The global private equity market has
fication, control, and return enhancement. grown tremendously since 1990. At least
While the performance of private equity is U.S. $155 billion of private equity and ven-
correlated with that of public equity mar- ture capital was invested globally in 2003.
kets, the imperfect correlation offers scope This is an increase of 43% on the 2002 level
for investment diversification. In both ven- of U.S. $109 billion, equivalent to 0.48% of
ture capital and buyouts, private equity firms the world GDP. In 2004, $110 billion of pri-
typically control management, and in some vate equity and venture capital was invested,
cases they bring in new management to down 5% from 2003 levels which is equiva-
chart and implement new strategies for the lent to 0.30% of the world’s GDP.
companies. The restructuring may involve
divestments of certain business divisions,
REFERENCES
new acquisitions, or mergers with other
companies. Since private equity can gener- Lake, R. and Lake, R. A. (2000) Private Equity and
ate substantial returns, a small investment Venture Capital: A Practical Guide for Investors
and Practitioners. Euromoney Books, London,
allocation to private equity in the institu- UK.
tional investment portfolio can enhance the Lerner, J. and Hardymon, F. (2002) Venture Capital
overall performance of a portfolio. and Private Equity: A Casebook, Vol. 2. Wiley,
Hoboken, NJ.
The investment in private equity funds is PricewaterhouseCoopers (2004) Global Private Equ-
usually opportunity-driven, due to the lim- ity. London, UK.
ited opportunities in investing in top funds.
As such, the annual asset allocation for a
fund manager in the private equity asset Private Placement
class may be dependent on the opportuni-
ties then available, which are dependent on
the fund raising cycle of the private equity John F. Freihammer
firms. Private equity investing has grown Marco Consulting Group
Chicago, Illinois, USA
explosively, with 75% of the growth of the
last 20 years, that is from 1985 to 2005, con-
nected in the last 5 years. However, private A private placement is a private sale of
equity is still small in comparison with the securities that are not registered by a firm
public equity and fi xed income asset classes. to experienced institutions or to a group
Globally, private equity average pooled net of individuals. The securities can be either
internal rate of return has outperformed debt or equity instruments, or the issuing
Furthermore, investments of unequal size or Long, A. and Nickles, C. (1995) A Method for
Comparing Private Market Internal Rates
investment period can be compared.
of Return to Public Market Index Returns.
An alternative definition is given by Long Manuscript, University of Texas System.
and Nickles (1995), who calculate the PME Rouvinez, C. (2003) Beating the Public Market.
as a dollar-weighted return that would have Mimeograph, Private Equity International,
London, UK.
been achieved by replicating the funds’ cash
flow with a market index. Whenever the
fund makes a capital call, the same amount Public Offering
is invested in an index. If the fund disburses
cash, an identical amount of index shares is
sold from the index portfolio to arrive at M. Nihat Solakoglu
the same cash flow pattern. However, this Bilkent University
procedure often leads to situations where Ankara, Turkey
the benchmark return does not make sense,
or simply does not exist, as mentioned by Public offering is one way for firms to raise
Rouvinez (2003). When using this measure funds by selling securities to the public. In
for all cases where the private equity portfo- general, securities can be sold as a public issue
lio outperforms the benchmark, the bench- or as a private issue. Private issue refers to the
mark portfolio will eventually end up with sale of securities to a few investors which does
negative values, that is, it must be shorted. not require a registration statement with the
Obviously, a comparison between a long SEC (or with similar institutions in other
private equity position and a short position countries other than the U.S.). New issues of
in a public index does not make sense. securities are sold to the public, with the help
Rouvinez proposes an adaptation of PME, of investment banks, in primary markets,
called PME+, which avoids the problem of while existing-securities are traded in sec-
short positions by selling a fi xed propor- ondary markets. Public issues can either be
tion of positive cash flows, as opposed to “general cash offer” or the “rights offer.” The
the exact same amount as with standard first one indicates that issues are marketed to
PME. By adjusting the cash distribution all investors, while the latter one indicates that
by this scaling factor and matching private shares are marketed to existing shareholders.
equity NAV and index-tracking fund NAV Initial public offering (IPO), or unseasoned
at the end of the benchmarking period, one new issue, refers to the public issue of a pri-
can avoid an index short position while still vately held company to the public for the first
retaining all positive aspects of PME. time. All IPOs are cash offers. When new
issues of stocks are marketed to the public for
REFERENCES a company with previous public offering, it is
Kaplan, S. N. and Schoar, A. (2005) Private equity called a seasoned new issue.
performance: returns, persistence and capital.
Journal of Finance, 60, 1791–1823. REFERENCES
Kaserer, C. and Diller, C. (2004) European pri-
vate equity funds—a cash flow based perfor- Bodie, Z., Kane, A., and Marcus, A. J. (2003) Essentials
mance analysis. In: EVCA (Ed.), Performance of Investments. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Measurement and Asset Allocation of European Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., and Jaffe, J. (2005)
Private Equity Funds. Zaventem, Belgium. Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
the private rate of return by a consider- only be exercised at maturity, which makes
able amount (Griliches, 1992; Lerner, 2002; it less valuable for an investor compared to
Secrieru and Vigneault, 2004). The third an American option with the exact same
rationale for government venture capital parameters. The buyer of a put option esti-
programs is based on the empirical evidence mates that the price of the underlying asset
that new entrepreneurs are liquidity-con- will decline over time below the exercise
strained. Liquidity constraints are caused price (Long Put). The investor will then
by informational asymmetries between profit by either selling or exercising the
shareholders and managers, either of the option. The maximum profit is thereby lim-
adverse selection or moral hazard type. ited to the exercise price less the premium
These informational asymmetries nega- when the value of the asset is declined to
tively affect the willingness of traditional zero at the time of exercise. If investors
investors (venture capitalists and banks) write a put contract, they estimate that the
to invest in start-ups. Government venture price of an asset will stay above the exercise
capital investments can help to alleviate price (Short Put). They have the obligation
these liquidity constraints. to buy the asset whenever the buyer of the
put exercises his right to sell. The profit is
limited to the premium they receive from
REFERENCES
the buyer for the put contract. The maxi-
Griliches, Z. (1992) The search for R&D spill- mum loss for the seller is equal to the exer-
overs. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 94,
S29–S47.
cise price less the premium received from
Lerner, J. (2002) When bureaucrats meet entrepre- the buyer. In both cases is the investor at
neurs: the design of effective ‘Public Venture a breakeven when the value of the asset is
Capital’ programmes. Economic Journal, 112, equal to the exercise price minus the pre-
F73–F84.
Secrieru, O. and Vigneault, M. (2004) Public venture mium (Kolb, 2000).
capital, occupational choice, and entrepreneur- Strategies with options can be used, for
ship. Topics in Economic Analysis & Policyy 4, example, to reduce an investor’s exposure
Article 25, Ottawa, ON.
without selling the underlying stock posi-
tion. The ‘Protective Put’ strategy requires
the investor to buy a put for his long position
Put Option which will provide downside protection in
case the stock declines in value but will retain
the upside potential of the stock position. This
Robert Pietsch strategy, however, requires a payment of cash
Dresdner Kleinwort upfront for the premium (Hull, 2003).
Frankfurt, Germany
Martin Eling
University of St. Gallen
St. Gallen, Switzerland
Quiet Filing
Colin Read
State University of New York (Plattsburgh)
Plattsburgh, New York, USA
in amendments to the filing. Such quiet passed the Securities Act of 1933 and the
filings allow for preliminary information Securities Exchange Act of 1934 to restore
to become available in advance of further confidence in U.S. financial markets. The
detailed information, thereby reducing the 1934 Act contained a quiet period provi-
amount of subsequent paperwork. Once sion that restricted the information released
the required paperwork is assembled, the about an initial public offering (IPO) to the
company can then complete the announce- prospectus that is filed with and approved by
ment of the IPO. This quiet filing ideally the Securities and Exchange Commission
results in the publication of a preliminary (SEC). The process of developing the final pro-
prospectus, which initiates the process of spectus starts with the preliminary prospec-
marketing the IPO. tus or “red herring.” The term “red herring”
Quiet filings allow a company time to came into use because of the attention-
resolve such issues as the number or timing drawing statement on the first page of the
of shares to be offered to the marketplace or preliminary prospectus in red stating that
the naming of an underwriter for the new the company is not attempting to sell the
issue. It also offers the company some time stock therein discussed before the final pro-
to work with the SEC to resolve issues that spectus is approved by the SEC. The quiet
would otherwise induce a protracted SEC period was initially 5 days prior to the IPO
review. In effect, the quiet filing is often offer date and 25 days postoffering. In 2002,
little more than a successful registration the postoffering period was lengthened to
statement that gives notice to the SEC about 30 days. During this time, those parties with
a future IPO and permits the SEC and the an economic interest in the IPO who have
company to interact to move toward a suc- creditable information sources were prohib-
cessful IPO preliminary prospectus. ited from making IPO-related information
available that was not part of the public infor-
REFERENCES mation in the SEC-approved prospectus. The
intent of the quiet period was clear: to elimi-
Gregoriou, G. N. (2006) Initial Public Offerings: An Inter-
national Perspective. Elsevier, Burlington, MA. nate prelaunch hype. Such prelaunch restric-
Jenkinson, T. and Liungqvist, A. (2001) Going Public. tions got to be called “gun-jumping rules” as
Oxford University Press, New York. it was believed that discussing the IPO dur-
ing this period was inappropriate. In 2005,
the SEC brought the quiet period to an end
Quiet Period by eliminating restrictions on disclosure of
any information that was outside the official
Edward J. Lusk prospectus. This was surprising because the
State University of New York SEC had been very vigilant and often erred
(Plattsburgh) on the side of strict interpretation in order
Plattsburgh, New York, USA to guard the sanctity of the quiet period.
The Wharton School Just consider the brouhaha over Google’s
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA Playboyy interview where Sergey Brin and
Larry Page said a “few” nice things regarding
Reeling from the Stock Market Crash on the then about to be launched Google IPO.
Tuesday, October 29, 1929, the U.S. Congress The SEC started muttering about imposing
a “cooling off ” period that would delay of the quiet period seems to still exist from
Google’s debut or perhaps require Google to management’s perspective. But the story
buy back shares. continues: Bradley et al. (2003) found that
In 2007, some 2 years after the SEC elimi- at the close of the quiet period, 76% of the
nated the quiet period, has the IPO crowd analysts immediately initiated coverage with
pumped up the volume? Surprisingly, no! “buy” recommendations in their general as
According to Lynn Cowan, “Among the well as tombstone placements. Further, this
changes adopted by the SEC in June 2005 hype seemed to work as the 5-day abnormal
is a provision that allows companies more returns for these securities was 4.1% com-
flexibility in speaking publicly to the media pared to a benchmark of firms with no such
before an initial public offering. In practice, coverage for which the abnormal return was
however, very few companies opt to grant only 0.1%. Given these abnormal returns,
interviews with their executives ahead of a it is indeed surprising that management
deal because they still risk liability for any remains reticent. Perhaps, they feel that the
false statements. ‘The feeling is, why take the analyst’s hype is sufficient and so they do not
chance that someone will misunderstand need to take the risk of saying anything.
you? You will still find that CEOs are very
cautious about talking to the media’ ahead
of an IPO,’ says Brian Lane, a lawyer at
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP and a former REFERENCE
SEC corporation-finance division director.”
Bradley, D., Jordan, B., and Ritter, J. (2003) The quiet
(Wall Street Journal, January 29, 2007, period goes out with a bang. The Journal of
online.wsj.com). So a self-imposed version Finance, 58, 1–36.
François-Éric Racicot
University of Québec at Outaouais
Gatineau, Québec, Canada
The ranking of a hedge fund refers to its position relative to other hedge
funds on a performance basis. There are many ways to rank hedge funds.
When reporting their performance, hedge fund managers usually only give
their short-term returns and their yearly returns over the last 5 years. But
this reporting is incomplete because it does not account for risk. Another
indicator of performance that is very popular for hedge funds is their alpha
(i.e., alpha is a measure of absolute performance). Studies show that hedge
funds usually have alphas that are too high when compared to the market
efficiency hypothesis. However, the estimation of alpha is quite question-
able. First, it is a measure associated with a factor model, and the results
may differ greatly from one model specification to another. Second, studies
on hedge funds often neglect the specification errors related to the estima-
tion of a model (Racicot and Théoret, 2006; Théoret and Racicot, 2007).
Neglecting these errors may greatly bias the estimation of alpha. Besides,
the financial literature that ranks hedge funds on a risk-return basis resorts
more to the indicators of downside risk, such as semivariance, semidevia-
tion, and shortfall risk measures. The literature recently seems to be more
concerned with fat-tail risk (Lhabitant, 2006). Finally, many reports rank
hedge fund by percentiles, which allows visualizing on a chart, the relative
position of a hedge fund in its category.
Ranking has another meaning in finance. It refers to the status of a secu-
rity issue of a company relative to another, such as debt. Debt may be subor-
dinated or junior to another, which implies that in case of bankruptcy, the
holders of senior debt will be repaid before the holders of junior or subor-
dinated debt. As suggested by Teweles and Bradley (1982), common stock
may also be classified in the form of class A and class B shares. According
to these authors, the difference in class A and class B stocks is generally
voting rights: class A has voting rights and class B has no voting rights.
However, there is no uniform format regarding this classification. The term
“ranking” often appears in the prospectus of a security issue. For instance,
in the information statement of an issue of managed futures notes, pre-
pared by the Business Development Bank of Canada, on December 2002,
387
the following was noted in the ranking sec- average ratchets. If a company sells equity
tion: “The notes will rank pari passu, with at a price below that of a previous issue, a
any preference among themselves, with all full ratchet clause will oblige the company
other outstanding, direct, unsecured and to adjust the price of the outstanding pre-
unsubordinated obligations, present and ferred stock to the dilutive price of the new
future.” In its prospectus, a company must issue, regardless of the amount of stock sold
thus specify the legal priority of an issue at that price.
over the former ones (BDC, 2002). With the new conversion ratio, all inves-
tors’ shares are treated as if they were bought
REFERENCES at the lower price of the later issue:
BDC (December 15, 2002) Managed Futures Notes, New original (or adjusted) price
Series N-7A, Information Statement, Montreal,
conversion =
QC.
ratio price at which the diluting
Lhabitant, F. S. (2006) Handbook of Hedge Funds.
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. shares were allotted
Racicot, F. É. and Théoret, R. (2006) On comparing
hedge fund strategies using higher moment Oren and Geiger (2002, pp. 146–147).
estimators for correcting specification errors A ratchet clause is an important option
in financial models. In: G. N. Gregoriou and
D. G. Kaiser (Eds.), Hedge Funds and Managed for early investors to reprice their shares to
Futures: A Handbook for Institutional Investors. market prices at a later date when the value
Risk Books, London, UK. of the company may be assessed on better
Teweles, R. J. and Bradley, E. S. (1982) The Stock
information.
Market. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Théoret, R. and Racicot, F. É. (2007) Specification When a company, however, is in need of
errors in financial models of returns: an appli- capital during a downturn in the financial
cation to hedge funds. Journal of Wealth markets, a full ratchet will hit the company
Management, 10, 73–86.
even harder. With the smaller number in
the denominator, the new conversion ratio
could mean a substantial adjustment in the
Ratchets ownership of the company as it leverages
the number of shares held by investors who
acquired the stock at the lower price.
Stephan Bucher
Dresdner Bank AG
Frankfurt, Germany
EXAMPLE
2,000,000 regular shares, which would the weighted average formula. In doing so, a
constitute more than 30% of the compa- narrow-based ratchet might exclude uncon-
ny’s equity (2,000,000 out of 6,500,000).”
verted preferred stock or unexercised options
Oren and Geiger (2002, pp. 146–147). In
order to mitigate the impact on the com-
and only consider the number of preferred
pany, full ratchets are often limited to a shares outstanding prior to the financing.
set period of time or a limited number of
financing rounds. Negative effects of trig-
REFERENCES
gered ratchets can also be limited by set-
ting a floor on the conversion ratio. Camp, J. (2002) Venture Capital Due Diligence: A
Guide to Making Smart Investment Choices
The most commonly used mechanism and Increasing Your Portfolio Returns. Wiley,
that is considered more equitable for both Hoboken, NJ.
Futter, D. and Vaughn, I. (2004) Venture Capital
parties is a weighted average ratchet. In 2004—Venture Creation, Management &
adjusting the conversion ratio in accordance Financing in the New “Post-Bubble” Market.
to a weighted average price, the weighted Practising Law Institute, New York, NY.
Oren, F. and Geiger, U. (2002) From Concept to Wall
average ratchet takes into account the lower
Street—A Complete Guide to Entrepreneurship
price as well as the number of shares that are and Venture Capital. Financial Times Prentice
being issued at the lower price. Th is value is Hall, London, UK.
then averaged by the total number of shares
outstanding after the dilution.
Real Option Approach
(current price × new shares)
+ (previous price
New weight
g × previous share) Eva Nathusius
price = Munich University of Technology
new shares + previous share Munich, Germany
New
original (or adjusted) price
ori
conversion = The real option approach considers mana-
ratio new weighted price
gerial flexibility through identifying and
Using the data from the previous exam- valuing future options of the management.
ple the New Weighted Price is 0.954, and Four categories of real options can be differ-
the New Conversion Ratio is 1.05. The entiated. With the option to adjust produc-
investor will therefore be compensated tion, the management can choose the scale,
for the diluting issuance by receiving an scope, lifetime, or the inputs for its produc-
amount of 50,000 additional shares in tion. The option to defer investment allows
comparison to 1,000,000 shares in the full the management to put projects on hold until
ratchet example (Oren and Geiger, 2002,
market conditions have changed preferably.
pp. 147–148).
With the option to abandon, the manage-
Spreading the dilution effect over the ment can bail out of unsuccessful projects to
total number of shares outstanding is called recover the liquidation value. Stage invest-
broad-based weighted average antidilution ments lead to follow-on options that have
protection. Sometimes, venture capitalists the structure of compound options. Each
and companies agree to narrow the num- successful investment stage thus leads to the
ber of shares being considered as the base in option to continue with the next stage.
The valuation of real options is based on the vendor to buyback the entire com-
pricing models for financial options, for pany at predefi ned conditions. A recap
example, the binomial model or the Black/ buyout is similar to a combination of a
Scholes model. They are based on the con- buyout and a buyback as exit. In a recap
cept of constructing a replicating portfo- buyout, the conditions of the buyback are
lio of priced securities that have the same stipulated at the buyout while a regular
payouts as the option. The management buyback does not clearly envisage these
designs the structure and characteristics conditions. These conditions compensate
of its real options. As the underlying asset for the preselection of the exit channel,
of a real option is not publicly traded, the which limits the private equity company’s
parameters required to use the option pric- return potential. Therefore, in the buyout
ing models are difficult to estimate. In addi- negotiations, the underlying company will
tion, interaction effects between different be priced conservatively and an exit valua-
real options and competition effects have tion will be determined at an early stage of
to be considered when valuing real options. the investment.
Therefore, real option valuation is highly Ownership buyouts are especially
complex. Even though quantification is dif- designed for buyouts in former family
ficult, the real option approach is a useful businesses (or owner-managed businesses).
strategic management tool to identify future Th is buyout type offers the family the pos-
managerial options. sibility to regain control while withdraw-
ing a share of the family wealth from the
REFERENCES family business. In addition, the trans-
action setup enables a reorganization of
Amram, M. and Kulatilaka, N. (2001) Real Options:
the ownership structure (e.g., if owner-
Managing Strategic Investments in an Uncertain
World. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. ship is widely dispersed before the buyout
Cox, M., Ross, S., and Rubinstein, M. (1979) Option or if one family clan or co-owner is to be
pricing—a simplified approach. Journal of paid out but the remaining owners can-
Financial Economics, 7, 229–263.
Koller, T., Goedhart, M., and Wessels, D. (2005) not afford this payment at the moment of
Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value leaving).
of Companies. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Trigeorgis, L. (1996) Real Options: Managerial
Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation.
MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Recapitalization
Recap Buyout
Christoph Kaserer
Ann-Kristin Achleitner Munich University of Technology
Munich University of Technology Munich, Germany
Munich, Germany
Recapitalization can be referred to as a
A recap buyout is a buyout transaction process of change in a company’s capi-
that stipulates a mechanism that enables tal structure. Companies may want to
a price range. Red herring is then sent to fund, by determining a minimum invest-
potential investors around the country. At ment period, the so-called lockup, and by
this period no written sales literature other specifying the terms of redemption. The
than “tombstones ads” and red herring are redemption period determines the fre-
permitted by SEC. Unlike Europe, in the quency with which investors can withdraw
United States the analyst reports are strictly money from the hedge fund. Currently, the
forbidden before SEC approves the registra- most common redemption periods are at
tion. During the marketing period, inves- the end of a month or at the end of a quarter,
tors evaluate the issue. The demand for the although we occasionally see much longer
offer is estimated and the final issue price periods (e.g., 1 year), particularly for funds
is set based on the bids and feedbacks (Ellis investing in rather illiquid markets or secu-
et al., 1999). If this price is not within the rities. Redemption periods are often com-
preliminary price range in red herring, bined with redemption notice periods that
a revision is made indicating a new price specify how many days in advance inves-
range. Indeed, since the price range in red tors have to notify that they wish to redeem.
herring is prepared prior to getting feedback Typically, the notice period is between 30
from potential investors, the final price in and 90 days. In addition, hedge funds may
the United States is often outside of the ini- impose further restrictions upon redemp-
tial price range in the red herring document tion, for example, by limiting the number
(Jenkinson et al., 2006). Once SEC approves of shares that can be redeemed at any given
the registration statement, it becomes effec- date or by imposing penalty fees for early
tive and trading is allowed. redemption. (See Lhabitant, 2002, Chapter 1,
for more discussion.) Combined, restric-
REFERENCES tions on redemption limit the possibilities
of investors to quickly respond to poor past
Ellis, K., Michaely, R., and O’Hara, M. (1999) A guide
performance of a hedge fund by withdraw-
to the initial public offering process. Corporate
Finance Review, 3, 14–18. ing their money. Occasionally, it can take up
Jenkinson, T., Morrison, A. D., and Wilhelm, W. J. to six quarters before a desired redemption
(2006) Why European IPOs are so rarely priced can be effective. Aragon (2007) investigates
outside the indicative price range? Journal of
Financial Economics, 80, 185–209. the relation between hedge fund returns
and restrictions that limit the liquidity of
fund investors. His results suggest that
share restrictions allow funds to efficiently
Redemption Period manage illiquid assets, and these benefits
are captured by investors as an illiquidity
Marno Verbeek premium.
Rotterdam School of Management
Erasmus University
Rotterdam, The Netherlands
REFERENCES
Aragon, G. O. (2007) Share restrictions and asset
pricing: evidence from the hedge fund industry.
Hedge funds typically limit subscription
Journal of Financial Economics, 83, 33–58.
and redemption possibilities by specifying Lhabitant, F.-S. (2002) Hedge Funds: Myths and Limits.
the dates at which investors can enter the Wiley, Chichester, UK.
or an income of about $200,000 in the two Rule 504 exempts offers and sales of secu-
most recent years. (ii) Companies can be rities that do not exceed $1 million in any
issuers, or in case of reorganization, also 12 month period. Before the small business
the trustee or debtor. (iii) The calculation initiatives (August 1992), the general rules
of the number of nonaccredited investors is 501, 502, and 503 have to be met. Thereafter,
also ruled. under certain conditions there can be a
Rule 502 determines general conditions public offering of securities up to $1 million
for Regulation D offerings. (i) The issuer has to an unlimited number of investors of any
to inquire whether the purchaser acquires kind, without delivery of disclosure docu-
the securities for his own or a third party’s ments. It is required that the issuer is not
account and the purchaser should not be a blank check company and does not have
an underwriter. (ii) The issuer must notify to file reports accordingly to the Securities
purchasers that securities are not regis- Exchange Act of 1934. In some cases, state
tered under the Security Act and therefore security laws may be stricter. Antifraud
cannot be resold. (iii) General solicitation provisions have to be abided. This means no
and advertisement are not allowed. (ix) including or excluding of information that
Just as in registered offerings, documents would be false or misleading.
for nonaccredited investors have to be dis- Rule 505 provides the exemption for
closed. Any information for accredited offers and sales of securities not exceed-
investors can be made as long as these meet ing $5 million in any 12 month period. An
antifraud provisions. All information for unlimited number of accredited investors
accredited investors must be disclosed to and 35 nonaccredited investors are able to
nonaccredited investors as well. (x) The buy the offered securities. The definitions
issuer must be available to answer questions (rule 501), the general conditions (rule 502),
by prospective purchasers. (xi) For nonac- and the filing of notice of sale (rule 503)
credited investors a certified financial state- have to be met.
ment must be provided by an independent Rule 506 provides the exemption for
public accountant (in some cases the com- unlimited offers and sales of securities. It
pany’s balance sheet or the audited finan- is considered as a safe harbor for private
cial statements prepared under the federal offering that arises under Section 4(2) of the
income tax laws are sufficient). Security Act (504 and 505 are small offer-
Rule 503 specifies the filing of notice of sale ings). An unlimited number of accredited
(505/506). Within 15 days after the first sale investors and 35 nonaccredited investors are
of securities, the issuer has to file Form D to able to buy the offered securities while non-
the SEC, which includes names and addresses accredited investors have to understand the
of the company’s owners and stock promot- merits and risks of the investment. Again
ers. Registration of securities and sending of all definitions (rule 501), general conditions
reports to the SEC are not required. (rule 502), and the filing of notice of sale
Three exemptions for limited offerings (rule 503) have to be met.
and sales without registration are named in Compared to full SEC registration, a
rules 504, 505, and 506. Regulation D offering has the advantage to
be easier, faster, and cheaper (Anson, 2001). Greene, E. F., Rosen, E. J., Silverman, L. N., Braverman,
D. A., and Sperber, S. R. (2004) U.S. Regulation
Furthermore the issuer is in safe harbor
of the International Securities and Derivatives
(legal protection) if all requirements are Markets. Aspen Publishers, New York, NY.
fulfilled. For small companies, which are
fast growing, have large expenses (R&D), or
run out of liquidity, Regulation D provides Relative Value Arbitrage
fast new capital. Under unfavorable mar-
ket conditions or restructuring, (second-
ary) public offerings are often not possible Christian Hoppe
for small and unknown companies. In the Dresdner Kleinwort Bank
Frankfurt, Germany
past, high-tech, Internet, and biotechnol-
ogy companies used Regulation D intensely.
The danger of losing control of the company Relative value arbitrage not only defines a
exists when toxic PIPEs occur. Toxic PIPE single strategy but also the combination of
refers to a situation when convertible bonds all arbitrage strategies such as merger arbi-
are issued and the conversion ratio depends trage, fixed-income arbitrage (credit spread
on the future equity price. Through short arbitrage, capital structure arbitrage, yield
selling of the equity, the purchaser of the curve arbitrage, mortgage-backed securities
convertible bond reduces the equity price arbitrage), volatility arbitrage, index arbi-
and receives more (in some cases the major- trage, split strike conversions, statistical arbi-
ity) shares. trage, stub trading, and convertible arbitrage
Investors of Regulation D offerings often (Ineichen, 2003). Hedge fund managers per-
receive a discount on the security price taining to this strategy group execute spread
due to the restriction on reselling them. trades to generate positive returns from rela-
Moreover it is possible to invest in grow- tive price discrepancies among securities or
ing businesses in early stages. The risks of financial instruments such as equities, fixed
such an investment are illiquidity, uncer- income, convertible bonds, options, sub-
tain business model of a small company, scription rights, and futures while simulta-
and the voluntary nature of information neously avoiding market risks. Here a spread
received (Feldman, 2006). denotes the deviation of a security from its
theoretical/fair value and its historical aver-
age or from the economic relation of two
correlated securities. Once these temporary
REFERENCES price anomalies are identified through sta-
Anson, M. (2001) Playing the PIPEs: the benefits and tistical or fundamental analysis, the over-
risks of private investments in public entities. valued security is sold and simultaneously
The Journal of Private Equity, 5, 66–73.
the undervalued security is purchased, tak-
Feldman, D. (2006) Reverse Mergers: Taking a
Company Public Without an IPO. Bloomberg ing into account the respective hedge ratio
Press, New York, NY. (Anson, 2002). Upon a closer examination,
Government of Utah (2002) Rules governing the lim- the investments on the relative price relation
ited offer and sale of securities without registra-
tion under the Securities Act of 1933, 17 CFR between two securities independent from
§§ 230.501–.508. the current capital market condition lead to
contracts underlying the reportable limit followed. Semiannual reports are required;
is considerably lower than those underly- quarterly reports are recommended.
ing the position limit. Hedgers are not con- For the United States, the Private Equity
cerned of a reportable limit because of their Industry Guidelines Group (PEIGG) issued
economic needs (Anderson, 2006). Any reporting and performance measurement
commodity future or option account that guidelines in March 2005, which were devel-
has a reportable position is called a special oped under the participation of the British
account (17CFR15.00(n), 2007). Venture Capital Association (BVCA) and
EVCA. PEIGG guidelines require quarterly
REFERENCES reporting. Both EVCA and PEIGG industry-
reporting guidelines do not address finan-
Andersen, T. (2006) Global Derivatives: A Strategic
cial statements of private equity funds but
Risk Management Perspective. Financial Times/
Prentice Hall, London, UK. intend to promote additional information
U.S. Government Printing Office via GPO Access on fund level, including capital accounts.
(revised 2007): Code of Federal Regulations, Although on fund level, the information
Title 17—Commodity and Securities Exchanges,
Volume 1, (17CFR15.00(k)(1)), (17CFR15.00(n)), requirements of EVCA and PEIGG are quite
(17CFR18.00), http://www.cftc.gov similar, EVCA guidelines require much
more reporting on portfolio company level,
for example, location of head office, busi-
Reporting Guidelines ness description, co-investors. Interestingly,
concerning portfolio companies’ balance
sheet items, securities ownership and val-
Markus Ampenberger uation, and other performance metrics,
Munich University of Technology PEIGG guidelines are more precise than
Munich, Germany
EVCA guidelines (cf. EVCA, 2006; Private
Equity Industry Guidelines Group, 2005;
Reporting guidelines give private equity Müller, 2008). For reasons of completeness,
funds detailed recommendations about the private equity provisions of the Global
the disclosure of additional information Investment Performance Standards (GIPS)
to investors. They aim to homogenize the issued by the CFA institute in February 2005
information for investors, increase trans- should be mentioned, although they focus
parency, and thus improve trust and con- primarily on fundraising rather than perma-
fidence between general partners and nent reporting during the fund’s lifetime.
investors. Two main reporting guidelines
have been developed in the past.
REFERENCES
For Europe, the European Venture Capital
Association (EVCA) first introduced indus- EVCA (June, 2006) EVCA Reporting Guidelines.
http://www.evca.com/pdf/evca_reporting_
try-reporting guidelines in March 2000, guidelines_2006.pdf
which were updated in June 2006. EVCA Müller, K. (2008) Investing in private equity partnerships
distinguishes between requirements that – the role of monitoring and reporting. Wiesbaden.
fund managers have to report if they claim Private Equity Industry Guidelines Group (2005)
Reporting and performance measurement guide-
compliance with the guidelines and recom- lines. http://www.peigg.org/images/PEIGG_
mendations that must not necessarily be Guidelines_3-1-05_FINAL1.pdf
TABLE 1
The Explanatory Power of Principal Components
Cross-Sectional
Variation
Explained by
Principal
Components (%)
Sample No.
Study Style Database Period of Obs. 1st 2nd 3rd
Fung and Hsieh Hedge funds, CTA pools Tass, Paradigm 1993–1995 409 12 10 9
(1997a) LDC
Fung and Hsieh (1997b) CTA pools Tass 1987–1995 75 36 8 6
Fung and Hsieh (2002) Convertible bond Hedge Fund 1998–2000 12 59 13 —
Research (HFR)
High-yield bond 20 63 16 —
Mortgage-backed 17 55 17 —
Fixed-income arbitrage 19 33 24 16
Fixed-income diversified 39 36 21 11
Note: The table describes the sample of hedge funds used in three hedge fund studies that implement return-based style
factors: Type of funds included in the study, data source, sample period, and the number of observations. The last three
columns summarize the percentages of the cross-sectional variation in hedge fund returns that are explained by the
first three principal components.
that one dominant principal component construct portfolios of the hedge funds and
describes 36% of the cross-sectional vari- CTAs that are highly correlated with the first
ance in returns over the period 1987–1995. five principal components. They also show
Another example is Fung and Hsieh (2002) that the primary return-based style factor
who extract return-based style factors from for hedge funds which use technical trading
monthly fi xed-income hedge fund returns. rules to profit from market events (opportu-
They find that convertible bond, high-yield nistic) and the style factor for trend followers
bond, and mortgage-backed securities hedge are weakly correlated with major stock and
fund strategies are driven by one common bond asset classes. The R2 with the standard
factor that explains more than 50% of the asset classes in Sharpe (1992), augmented
cross-sectional variation. For arbitrage and by high-yield bonds, are only 0.28 for the
diversified fi xed-income strategies, how- opportunistic style factor and 0.17 for trend
ever, two to three principal components followers. These last two examples show why
are needed to explain more than half of the return-based style factors have attracted a
cross-sectional variation. lot of interest as an alternative to asset-based
A critique of return-based style factors style factors or as a complement.
is that they lack an economic interpreta-
tion and are not investable. In contrast to REFERENCES
return-based style factors, asset-based style Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (1997a) Empirical characteris-
factors are explicit and observable, such as tics of dynamic trading strategies: the case of hedge
stock and bond market indices, and often funds. Review of Financial Studies, 10, 275–302.
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (1997b) Survivorship bias
traded asset returns, such as options. The and investment style in the returns of CTAs.
counterparts for implicit factor models such Journal of Portfolio Management, 24, 30–41.
as principal component analysis are explicit Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2002) Risk in fixed-income
hedge fund styles. Journal of Fixed Income, 12,
factor models such as the capital asset pric- 6–27.
ing model (CAPM), the Fama-French three- Sharpe, W. F. (1992) Asset allocation: management
factor model, or its extension that includes style and performance measurement. Journal of
a momentum factor. To determine what the Portfolio Management, 18, 7–19.
The crush spread in the financial sphere Soybean oil $0.3756 × 11 = $4.13 per bushel
is the difference between the value of the
processed products and the cost of the raw Finally, we calculate the crush spread as
soybeans. This value is traded in the cash or follows:
futures markets on the basis of expectations
Soybean meal + soybean oil: $9.54
of future soybean price movements versus
− Soybeans $8.91
the price movements of the processed prod-
ucts. The relationship between prices in the -------------------------------------------------
cash market is commonly referred to as the = $0.63
gross processing margin (GPM), which is
the difference between the cost of a com- The crush spread has been studied in
modity and the combined sales income of several papers aiming to identify arbitrage
its end products. opportunities for traders (see Mitchell,
The crush spread traded in the futures 2007, for an extensive overview). In 2006,
market is an intercommodity spread trans- the Chicago Board of Trade launched a
action. Intercommodity spreads are combi- new CBOT soybean crush spread option
nations of futures with different but related contract that allows market participants to
underlying instruments that exhibit highly enter a crush spread using a single contract,
correlated price patterns (e.g., maize and without margin requirements.
feeder cattle). Another intercommodity The crush spread is often used by proces-
spread related to the crush spread is the sors to hedge the purchase price of soybeans
so-called “crack spread,” which is the ratio against the sale price of soybean meal and
between crude oil and its principal refined oil. It also provides potentially lucrative
products, such as gasoline and heating oil. opportunities to speculators, because the
The (reverse) crush spread consequently spread relationship between the raw mate-
refers to a position where soybean futures rial and its products varies over time. For
are bought (sold), and soybean meal and oil example, the November/December crush
futures are sold (bought). (buying/selling November soybeans and
We can calculate the crush spread as fol- selling/buying December soybean meal and
lows (see the CBOT T® Soybean Crush bro- oil futures) is used to hedge new crop gross
chure, 2006 for more details): processing margins, because the November/
July 2007 soybean futures: December prices often reflect the market’s
$8.91 per bushel (5000 bushels) perception of conditions in the new soy-
bean crop year.
July 2007 soybean meal futures: Many seasonal, cyclical, and fundamental
$245.70 per short ton (100 short tons) factors also affect the soybean crush spread.
July 2007 soybean oil futures: For example, soybean prices are typically
$0.3756 per pound (60,000 pounds) lowest at harvest, but increase during the
year as storage, interest, and insurance costs
The next step is conversion into dollars accumulate over time. Other factors include
per bushel: changes in demand for high protein feed over
Soybean meal $245.70 × 0.022 the course of the year, the decrease of South
= $5.41 per bushel American soybean stocks during the late fall
and winter months, variations in crop size, documented poor stock prize performance
yields and world demand, carryover stocks, of IPOs and seasoned equity offerings (e.g.,
Malaysian palm oil production, govern- Ritter and Welch, 2002, for a survey), all
ment programs, and weather. Fundamental authors find no underperformance subse-
and technical analyses can be used to help quent to the IPO for reverse leveraged buy-
forecast the potential for repetitive market outs. The results are robust for both market
behavior, but many of the elements that and accounting performance. The results
affect the crush spread are unpredictable. indicate that private equity funds are con-
cerned about the post-IPO performance of
their investments since they are repeated
REFERENCES
players in the IPO market and hold a sig-
CBOT® Soybean Crush—Reference Guide (2006). nificant ownership stake in the public firms
Mitchell, J. B. (2007) Soybean crush spread arbi-
subsequent to the IPO.
trage: trading strategies and market efficiency,
Unpublished Working Paper, Central Michigan
University. REFERENCES
Cao, J. and Lerner, J. (2006) The performance of
Reverse Leveraged reversed leveraged buyouts. SSRN-Working
Paper.
Chou, D.-W., Gombola, M., and Liu, F.-Y. (2006)
Buyout Earnings management and stock performance of
reverse leveraged buyouts. Journal of Financial
and Quantitative Analysis, 41(2), 407–438.
Markus Ampenberger Degeorge, F. and Zeckhauser, R. (1993) The reverse
LBO decision and firm performance: theory and
Munich University of Technology
evidence. Journal of Finance, 48, 1323–1348.
Munich, Germany
Holthausen, R. and Larcker, D. (1996) The financial
performance of reverse leveraged buyouts.
Journal of Financial Economics, 42, 293–332.
A leveraged buyout transaction of a publicly Mian, S. and Rosenfeld, J. (1993) Takeover activity and
listed firm that is taken private by a later the long-run performance of reverse leveraged
stage private equity fund (buyout fund) is buyouts. Financial Management, 22, 46–57.
called going private. The phenomenon of an Ritter, J. and Welch, I. (2002) A review of IPO activity,
pricing, and allocations. Journal of Finance, 57,
initial public offering (IPO) of a former pub- 1795–1828.
lic firm after some value enhancing years in
the portfolio of a later stage private equity
fund is called a reverse leveraged buyout Right of First Refusal
(RLBO).
Owing to comparable good data availabil-
ity, there are some empirical investigations Daniel Schmidt
about the long-run performance of U.S. CEPRES GmbH
reverse leveraged buyouts in the 1980s (e.g., Center of Private Equity Research
Munich, Germany
Degeorge and Zeckhauser, 1993; Holthausen
and Larcker, 1996; Mian and Rosenfeld,
1993) and for larger samples over the This is a contractual right to enter a busi-
period 1980–2000 (Cao and Lerner, 2006; ness transaction granted by an owner to a
Chou et al., 2006). In contrast to the widely potential buyer or investor. The holder of
this right is the first party, before anyone Thus, this strategy is also often called merger
else, to be offered the deal, that is, the option arbitrage. After a merger or an acquisition
of accepting or rejecting a contract with the is announced, the target company’s stock
owner. Only when the holder turns down mostly trades at a discount to the price
the deal is the owner allowed to make the offered by the acquirer. The reason for this
purchase or offer investment opportunity is that there is no guarantee that the merger
to other potential buyers or investors. For will be completed. The difference between the
example, a startup company is obliged to offer price and the target’s stock price is the
offer its investment opportunities first to the arbitrage spread that risk arbitrageurs try to
venture capitalist that holds the right of first capture. If the merger is successful, the arbi-
refusal. If rejected, the company can then trageur receives the arbitrage spread. If the
shop around for other potential investors. merger fails, the arbitrageur incurs a loss.
Thus, the holder of the right of first refusal There are two types of mergers: cash and
is always the first party to make an offer or a stock. In a cash merger, the acquiring com-
refusal to invest. In addition to being used in pany offers to purchase the shares of the tar-
private equity, the right of first refusal also get company for a certain amount of cash.
applies to many other types of assets such as Afterward, the target’s stocks trade at a dis-
real estate. Note that the right of first refusal count to the offer price. In this situation, the
is distinct from the right of first offer. The risk arbitrageur buys stocks of the target.
latter only requires the owner to engage in He gains if the merger is successful and the
exclusive, good faith negotiations with the acquirer buys the stocks. In a stock merger,
right holder before turning to other parties the acquirer announces a plan to exchange
while the former is an offer to enter a con- stocks of the target company in own stocks
tract on exact or approximate terms. in a certain exchange ratio. In this situation,
the risk arbitrageur buys stocks of the target
REFERENCE company and might go short in stocks of
the acquiring company. If the merger is suc-
Bikhchandani, S., Lippman, S., and Ryan, R. (2005) On
cessfully completed, the target’s stock are
the right-of-first-refusal. Advances in Theoretical
Economics, 5(1) Article 4, retrieved 2 July 2007 converted into the acquirer’s stocks based
from http://www.bepress.com/bejte/advances/ on the given exchange ratio and the hedge
vol5/iss1/art4 fund manager again captures the arbitrage
spread.
As it is necessary to build up a long posi-
Risk Arbitrage tion in the target company and (in case of a
stock merger) maybe also a short position in
the acquiring company, the liquidity of the
Martin Eling stocks involved in merger and acquisition
University of St. Gallen is of great importance for a successful risk
St. Gallen, Switzerland arbitrage. In addition, analysis of the legal
situation is necessary, because the approval
Risk arbitrage is a hedge fund investment of the responsible regulator is one of the
strategy that attempts to profit from the main impediments to many merger and
arbitrage spread in mergers and acquisition. acquisition transactions.
Risk arbitrage is a typical example of an and last but not the least the actual inter-
event-driven strategy. It contains elements est shown in initial meetings, it is not pos-
of many other hedge fund investment strat- sible to determine either the length of this
egies, such as relative value, convertible phase (generally it runs from a few days
arbitrage, volatility arbitrage, and statistical to a few weeks) or the cost. The roadshow
arbitrage. Some authors also consider other is important for setting the share price
trading opportunities in the company’s life for the IPO, because the intermediaries
cycle as forms of risk arbitrage. To these sit- that follow the company can weigh their
uations belong stock index reconstructions opinions against those of the people who
or stock repurchases, which might offer will deem the initiative a success or a fail-
interesting arbitrage opportunities. ure. In other words, intermediaries can
come up with an offer price that is more
in line with the expectations of the public,
Roadshow as observed during the various meetings
(Jenkinson et al., 2006).
a small number, if any, of national players. relevant futures exchange in order to not
Thus critical mass is attainable with a man- have to accept or receive delivery of 1000
ageable number of acquisitions and numer- barrels of crude oil. This purchase and
ous willing sellers with profitable operations. corresponding sale of a futures contract is
These features generate the opportunity for termed “round turn.”
a well-financed, professionally managed
group to rapidly achieve a national presence
and a leading role in an industry through
acquisitions.
Rules (NFA)
3. Membership Screening. A key initial any of its members who are registered
measure in the regulation of mem- with the CFTC.
bers and associates is the selection of 5. Arbitration Proceedings. NFA offers
potential candidates for membership a fair, impartial, and a swift process
and registration as associates. The pre- for the resolution of client claims and
liminary selection procedure is taken complaints. The NFA’s code of arbi-
care by the NFA staff. Ultimate deci- tration and member arbitration rules
sions on admission are decided by a present a structure for these events
group of NFA directors after a hearing and procedures.
is conducted.
4. Disciplinary Proceedings. NFA main-
tains a Compliance Department that REFERENCES
is responsible for financial auditing
Hull, J. C. (2003) Options, Futures, and Other Deriva-
and ethical observation. NFA also has tives. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
the power to punish any associate or http://www.nfa.futures.org
Christine Rehan
Technical University at Braunschweig
Braunschweig, Germany
REFERENCES
CFTC (2007a) Legal Text United States: United States Grain Standards Act. Washington,
DC.
CFTC (2007b) Regulations under the United States Grain Standards Act: Part 810—Official
United States standards for grain. Washington, DC.
409
Andreas Bascha
Center for Financial Studies
Frankfurt, Germany REFERENCES
Churchill, N. and Lewis, V. (1983) The five stages
Second stage-funding is a special type of of small business growth. Harvard Business
financing round in venture capital finance Review, 61, 30–50.
Hellmann, T. and Puri, M. (2002) Venture capital and
and fits into the general concept of capital the professionalization of startup firms. Journal
staging, that is, the portioning of capital of Finance, 57, 169–197.
Secondaries REFERENCE
Mauer, D. and Senbet, L. (1992) The effect of the sec-
ondary market on the pricing of initial public
Daniel Schmidt offerings: theory and evidence. The Journal of
CEPRES GmbH Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 27, 55–79.
Center of Private Equity Research
Munich, Germany Secondary Action Track
In venture capital and private equity, sec-
ondaries, also known as secondary mar- Franziska Feilke
ket or private equity secondaries, is a term Technical University at Braunschweig
for the market in which preexisting (i.e., Braunschweig, Germany
primary) commitments to private equity
funds are traded. Original investors of a A secondary action track is a proprietary
fund may sometimes seek liquidity of their trading model of the IPO Financial Network
investment before the scheduled date of dis- Corporation (IPOfn) that gives short-term
tribution by the limited partnership. They recommendations on secondaries. Only
can put their investments in the fund as well filtered companies are taken into account,
as any remaining unfunded commitments which are those that have filed to issue addi-
on sale on the secondary market. A second- tional stocks but have not yet been priced.
ary investment involves the purchase of By paying a subscription rate, the customer
either the portfolio of the direct investment receives reports containing, for instance,
or the limited partner’s position in the fund buy and sell signals, triggered buy and sell
and provides some liquidity for the original signals, canceled buy and sell signals, and
investors. expected earnings announcement dates (see
In the primary market, in contrast, a lim- http://www.ipofi nancial.com/faxpak.htm,
ited partner invests directly in the fund. retrieved July 18, 2007).
Original investors might turn to the sec- The trading model takes no fundamental
ondaries for various reasons: investment information into consideration. Fundamental
strategy changes, rebalancing the portfolio, information would include, for instance,
inability to meet the subsequent takedown income statement data such as earnings, bal-
schedule, and so on. Thus, the main advan- ance sheet data such as book value of assets
tage that the secondary market offers is a and liabilities, and cash flow statement data
shorter period of investment in the fund such as cash flows from operating activities.
than that possible with the primaries. The basic methodology used for the secondary
While there is no public market for action track is called technical analysis, in con-
most private equity investments, a robust trast to the fundamental analysis that applies
and maturing secondary market exists fundamental information. Technical analysis
for sellers of private equity assets. Funds studies past financial market data and identi-
specialized in trading in the secondaries, fies nonrandom price patterns to forecast price
called secondary funds, purchase existing trends (Kirkpatrick and Dahlquist, 2006).
investments. Thus, the technically based program of the
IPOfn corporation only requires price acti- expansion stage) or because the fund is near-
vities of the considered stocks and attempts ing the end of its contractual life. Second, in
to identify short-term trends (see http://www. comparison to an IPO, when private equity
ipofinancial.com/institut.htm, retrieved July investors retain a large fraction of their shares
18, 2007). IPO Financial Network also offers beyond the IPO as is usual, secondary buy-
daily faxed reports for initial public offerings out offers the advantage of the completeness
referred to as IPO action track. of exit. Third, secondary buyouts can be exe-
cuted faster than IPOs and trade sales. Lastly,
REFERENCES in cold IPO markets and in times when cor-
http://www.ipofinancial.com/ retrieved July 18, 2007.
porations’ acquisition appetite is low, a buy-
Kirkpatrick, C. D. and Dahlquist, J. R. (2006) Technical out gains importance as an exit strategy.
Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial
Market Technicians. Prentice Hall/Financial
Times, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
REFERENCES
Clark, G. G. and Kojima, J. C. (2003) Opportunities
and challenges in secondaries: investing in the
Secondary Buyout secondary market for private equity. Journal of
Alternative Investments, 6, 74–86.
Wright, M., Renneboog, L., Simons, T., and Scholes, L.
(2006) Leveraged Buyouts in the U.K. and
Tereza Tykvova Continental Europe: Retrospect and Prospect.
Center for European Economic Working Paper (No. 126.), European Corporate
Research (ZEW) Governance Institute (ECGI) - Finance.
Mannheim, Germany
Secondary Market
A secondary buyout is the sale of a port-
folio company by a private equity inves-
tor (or syndicate of investors) to another M. Banu Durukan
private equity investor (or syndicate of Dokuz Eylul University
investors). Secondary buyout is an exit Izmir, Turkey
alternative to trade sale or initial public
offering. Secondary buyouts have become The term “secondary market” is used to
an increasingly important exit route since include organized exchanges, the over-
the late 1990s, and there are a rising num- the-counter market (OTC), the third, and
ber of tertiary or quaternary buyouts. the fourth markets. The existence of the
There may be several reasons for choos- secondary market is explained by the need
ing this exit strategy (e.g., Clark and Kojima, for providing an efficient mechanism for
2003; Wright et al., 2006). First, the com- the resale of securities that were previously
pany is not yet mature for an IPO (or a trade purchased in the primary market. The trad-
sale), and cannot be financed by the present ing of the securities is between the inves-
investor in the future because this investor is tors; consequently no funds are transferred
specialized only in certain financing stages to the issuing corporation. Volume of trad-
(an early-stage fund, for example, seeks to ing in the secondary markets is larger than
sell a company that is just moving to the that in the primary markets.
The organized exchanges are central- investors who are primarily interested in
ized institutions in which buyers and sell- trading large blocks of unlisted stocks.
ers competitively determine prices of the The benefits of the secondary markets,
traded securities. They are characterized by mainly the organized exchanges, can be
the following: explained from (i) the investors’ and (ii)
the firms’ point of view. From the investors’
a. Have known locations
point of view, the benefits can be listed as
b. Have permanent staff
follows (Civelek and Durukan, 2003):
c. Disseminate continuously and instan-
taneously all the required information a. They encourage investments in the
on the listed companies, listed securi- primary markets. Investors are more
ties, and trading willing to buy securities in the primary
d. Have regulatory bodies that legally market when they have the opportunity
impose several restrictions on all the to sell them in the secondary market.
aspects of trading securities in order b. They provide price stability for the
to provide a fair trading ground for securities.
the participants c. They provide liquidity. They enable the
e. Provide a continuous mechanism to investors to convert their securities into
bring together traders of securities ready cash by making it easier to sell
f. Have minimum transactions costs them at a ready market where the instru-
ments are continuously traded. The price
The OTC market handles all securi-
is set by an impersonal market on the
ties transactions that are not conducted in
basis of the rules of demand and supply,
the organized exchanges. In other words,
and finding a buyer is also not difficult.
the securities of unlisted corporations are
d. They provide a continuous trading
mostly traded in this market. It does not
mechanism. The buyers and the sellers
have any central location and consists of a
continuously trade in the secondary
network of dealers linked together by tele-
market.
communication devices. Once the security
prices are determined by negotiations, the From the firms’ point of view, the benefits
dealers in this market can directly deal with can be listed as follows:
each other and with customers.
The third market serves the needs of large a. The price of the security that the issu-
institutions that wish to avoid full broker- ing firm sells in the primary market is
age costs by the exchanges on large transac- influenced by the prices in the second-
tions. The securities listed on the organized ary market. That is, the investors who
exchanges are traded between large insti- buy securities in the primary market
tutional investors through brokers who will pay the issuing firm no more than
reduce their fees because of the large volume the price that they think the second-
of trading. The fourth market, however, is ary market will set for the security.
where the trading of securities takes place The higher the security’s price in the
directly between the buyers and the sellers. secondary market, the higher will be
This market is essentially a telecommuni- the price that the issuing firm will
cations network among large institutional receive for a new security and hence
sector indices. Because they can be traded The investor would need to have $1000
as a stock, admitting short sales, sector ETFs ($50 × 100 shares × 20%) in his account. If
are often included in long/short portfolios the stock goes up by $10, the contract is worth
that aim to replicate hedge fund returns $6000, and the return on the original $1000
distribution. investment is 100% ($6000−$5000/$1000).
By contrast, if you purchased 100 shares of
the $50 stock ($5000) and it goes up by $10,
REFERENCES your return is 20% ($1000/$5000). Leverage
Duncombe, P. (1998) Asset Allocation in a Changing works both ways. Losses are also magnified
World: Proceedings of the AIMR Seminar. Profes- when underlying stocks go down in value.
sional Book Distributors, Charlottesville, VA.
Goodworth, T. and Jones, C. (2004) Building a Risk
Another advantage of single stock futures
Measurement Framework for Hedge Funds and is no “uptick” rule when selling these con-
Funds of Funds. Working Paper (No. 08/2004), tracts short.
Judge Institute of Management, University of
Selling is as easy as buying, without the
Cambridge, Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/
abstract=670089 burden of borrowing shares. Investors use
single stock futures to hedge individual stock
positions, to spread trade between same stock
Security Future sectors, to spread trade with equal-sized con-
tracts, and to neutralize specific stocks or
sectors from a specific fund position.
Don Powell
Northern Trust
Chicago, Illinois, USA REFERENCE
Lafferty, P. (2002) Single Stock Futures. McGraw-Hill,
“Security future” is a term used to collec- New York, NY.
tively describe futures on individual stocks,
known as single stock futures, and futures
on narrow-based indices. Authorized in Seed Capital
December 2000 by the Commodity Futures
Modernization Act, a single stock futures
contract represents 100 shares of the under- Philipp Krohmer
lying stock that will be delivered on a spe- CEPRES GmbH
cific date. These may be traded in a securities Center of Private Equity Research
Munich, Germany
or futures account and on margin.
Typically, 20% of the contract value is
required for minimum and maintenance Seed capital, also known as seed money, refers
margin. However, this varies if the investor to the capital invested in a start-up company
has other collateral such as cash, stock, or during its first round of financing (i.e., seed
futures contracts. Money managers and other stage financing). It can come from the sav-
investors can take advantage of leverage with ings of the company founders themselves,
single stock futures contracts. For example, borrowings from “angel investors” who are
if a share of stock is worth $50, then one often family, friends, and personal connec-
single stock futures contract is worth $5000. tions of the founders, or investments from
start-up. The seed stage follows the preseed the legal documents. The main advantages of
stage and is followed by the first (or early), investing in a fund are professional manage-
second, third (or mezzanine), and bridge ment, diversification (since the asset based
(or later or expansion) stages in the life of is larger), and economies of scale. The main
a company. Seed stage financing typically disadvantages are (1) the level of informa-
goes toward the development of a product, tion given by the managers tends to be lim-
initial market research, business plan prep- ited and (2) the liquidity terms of the funds
aration, and management team building. are not always in line with the one required
At this stage, the product has not yet been by the investors. This can come from several
sold commercially. An initial investment sources: either large investors may have the
in a seed company ranges between $50,000 power to ask for more attractive liquidity
and $500,000. Angel investors have been terms, or investors do not require the assets
the largest source of capital at this stage, fol- invested for longer periods of time but they
lowed by the venture capitalists; the number want to negotiate lower fee structures.
of angel investments at this stage is 50 times Another element that may intervene is
as big as those made by professional venture that the strategy may not perfectly fit with
capitalists. At the seed stage the risk of los- the one the investor is looking at and in
ing the investment is quite high, only 20% some cases the manager can easily adapt
make it to the second round of financing. the strategy by reducing the size of the posi-
Consequently, the angels demand a large tions, hedging some part of the market risk,
share in the seed company. Recently, there or increasing leverage. Finally, some inves-
has been an increase in the number of angel tors require receiving a copy of the portfo-
groups, that is, a few angel investors (gener- lio even if the strategy is relatively illiquid
ally, two to five angels) pulling together to and the manager prefers not to diff use it.
invest in seed companies. The advantage of All these adaptations can easily be done
angel groups is that they pull together capi- through a segregated account (also known
tal, expertise, and business contacts. The as a separated account).
downside, however, is that angel groups can In a managed account, the managers cre-
impose more restrictive terms on the newly ate a separate account with the assets of
founded company. the corresponding client. The underlying
strategy remains usually close to the one
of the corresponding fund (in some cases
Segregated Account it can be a clone), but the liquidity terms,
fee structure, and transparency are gener-
ally different. Large institutions tend to use
Daniel Capocci segregated account when they invest a sig-
KBL European Private Bankers nificant amount with managers. Minimum
Luxembourg, Luxembourg sizes for segregated accounts are from
$5 million up to $50 million, with an aver-
By definition it is an investment fund that age being approximately $20–$25 million.
can have several legal structures with the Segregated accounts can be prepared for
goal of grouping assets and investors’ money almost any strategy but they are often cre-
together following the strategy defined in ated in the case of quantitative strategies
that are easily adapted to particular investor of possible selection criteria from database
needs. Segregated accounts are also used by providers. The distortion can occur because
hedge fund platforms. These platforms were not all hedge funds are considered while
developed less than 10 years ago by hedge calculating index values. Index sponsors
fund selectors covering all the hedge fund make their database choices in the follow-
strategies (see Lyxor). These companies ana- ing ways: (1) Hedge funds that fulfill the
lyze the hedge fund universe and negotiate selection criteria are chosen because of their
capacity with the funds they prefer while rec- outstanding performance and hence their
ommending to their clients to invest in the search for new investors and (2) there is a
managed accounts the firm has negotiated. relatively large number of hedge funds that
As stated by Lake (2003) the advantages have ceased to accept investment funds, and
of such platforms are that (1) investors may therefore refrain from reporting perfor-
have access to managers that do not accept mance to any database. Hence, it is possible
“new” investors, (2) the platform may that the performance of hedge fund indices
offer more attractive liquidity terms than is too low because of selection bias.
the fund managed by the same team, and However, the empirical verification of net
(3) the selector may have higher transpar- selection bias can be problematic. Fung and
ency, enabling him to provide full risk man- Hsieh (2002) note that selection bias may be
agement reports to the underlying investors. indicated by the number and identity of hedge
These platforms are also usually tax efficient funds in various databases. Liang (2000)
and enable asset allocation changes. Their quantifies the overlapping of TASS and HFR
main drawback is the added level of fees databases, concerning existing funds with
and investors do not have access to the final 41% and liquidated funds with 32%. Lhabitant
underlying portfolio. (2006) investigates four of the largest hedge
fund databases (HFR, CS/TASS, CISDM, and
MSCI) and finds that only 3% of individual
REFERENCES hedge funds report to all four databases and
Lake, F. C. (2003) The democratization of hedge funds: only 10% report to three. This may mean
hedge fund strategies in open-end mutual that a large number of single hedge funds
funds. Available at http://sec.gov/spotlight/ can only be found in one or two databases.
hedgefunds/hedge-lake.pdf
See http://www.lyxor.com for a real example of a Owing to differing construction methods,
hedge fund platform. selection criteria, and data basis, the world of
hedge fund indices is actually extremely het-
erogeneous. Heidorn et al. (2006) investigate
Selection Bias the time series of six different index providers
for the period January 1998–April 2005. They
observe differences among the individual
Dieter G. Kaiser index families of up to 18.06% in yearly per-
Feri Institutional Advisors GmbH formance, 12.04% in volatility, and 8.5% in
Bad Homburg, Germany
correlation between indices.
Regarding the selection criteria of hedge
Selection bias refers to the distortion of fund indices, Heidorn et al. (2006) note that
hedge fund index time series data because 47.6% of all providers demand an average
to the data providers. Small funds with a include a reduced time on market before
good track record have an especially strong the asset or commodity is sold, increased
incentive to report performance numbers demand for speculative purposes in antici-
in order to attract new investors. However, pation of higher prices later, and an increase
if the fund is sufficiently large or the track in the listing price of the assets in anticipa-
record is bad, the hedge fund manager may tion of higher future prices. This phenom-
decide not to report information to the data enon of contracted supply and increased
providers. speculative demand further exacerbates the
As only the most successful funds have seller’s market to the point where an artifi-
an incentive to report past performance, the cial speculative bubble can occur.
sample of hedge funds reporting informa-
tion to a data provider does not necessarily
REFERENCE
represent the general hedge fund popula-
tion. Hence, the mean return of the hedge Lynk, W. (1981) Information, advertising, and the
structure of the market. The Journal of Business,
fund in the database might be higher than
54, 271–304.
the mean return of all hedge funds.
Selling Group
Seller’s Market
Joan Rockey
Colin Read Option Opportunities Company
State University of New York Chicago, Illinois, USA
Plattsburgh, New York, USA
Selling group is a group of investment bank-
A seller’s market is a market favorable to ing firms or broker-dealers assembled by an
sellers, arising when the growth of demand underwriting syndicate to help facilitate an
outstrips the growth of supply. This relative initial, secondary, or international securi-
scarcity of the commodity for sale results in ties offering.
rising prices or improved conditions for the A company raises capital in the public
seller. market by commencing a securities offer-
When a market is in equilibrium, the ing. Securities offerings are administered
number of sellers at a given price, by defini- by an underwriting syndicate composed of
tion, equals the number of buyers. However, a managing group, an underwriting group,
if the number of willing buyers is growing at and a selling group. The managing group
the current prevailing price, while the num- assists in preparing and fi ling the prospec-
ber of sellers is falling, constant, or growing tus, performs due diligence, and struc-
at a slower rate, the equilibrium price rises tures the underwriting syndicate for the
and the market is labeled a “seller’s mar- offering. The underwriting group builds
ket.” Characteristics of a seller’s market, in an order book and commits fi nancially to
addition to the tendency for higher prices, acquire unpurchased shares through the
offering. The selling group, created by the syndicate composed of a managing group,
managing group, functions as a broker by an underwriting group, and a selling
marketing the securities to its customers, group. The managing group assists in
and communicating the clients’ requests preparing and fi ling the prospectus, per-
for shares to the underwriting group. forms due diligence, and structures the
Each member of the selling group is underwriting syndicate for the offering.
required to sign a selling group agreement The underwriting group builds an order
that outlines the selling group’s compensa- book and commits fi nancially to acquire
tion and responsibilities during the securi- unpurchased shares through the offering.
ties offering. Compensation for the selling The selling group, created by the managing
group’s efforts is called the selling conces- group, functions as a broker by marketing
sion, and is shown as a discount to the pub- the securities to its customers, and com-
lic offering price. municating the clients’ requests for shares
Frequently, the selling group members will to the underwriting group.
be the identical firms in the managing and Compensation for the underwriting syn-
underwriting group. Alternatively, in larger dicate is the spread between the public offer-
deals, the managing group may invite other ing price and the price paid to the issuer by
firms to participate in the selling group, the underwriting syndicate. The spread is
which are not part of the managing or typically divided among the underwriting
underwriting group. syndicates using the following percentages:
20% to the managing group, 20% to the
REFERENCES underwriting group, and 60% to the sell-
ing group. The selling group’s percentage
NASD (2007) NASD Rule 0120, retrieved 26 June.
SEC. (2007) Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 17
of the spread is greater than 50% due to the
CFR 242.100, retrieved 27 June. time consuming sales efforts required by
Torstila, S. (2001) The distribution of fees within the selling group to place the securities. The
the IPO Syndicate—statistical data included. selling group’s percentage of the spread is
Financial Management, 30, 25–42.
called the selling concession, and is shown
as a discount to the public offering price.
Selling Concession The discount is usually 2–3% of the pub-
lic offering price. Selling concessions can
be reclaimed from the selling group by the
Joan Rockey managing group if the securities originally
Option Opportunities Company placed by the selling group are purchased
Chicago, Illinois, USA
during a syndicate covering transaction.
This arrangement is called a penalty bid.
Selling concession is a discount to the pub-
lic offering price given to a selling group to
facilitate an initial, secondary, or interna- REFERENCES
tional securities offering. Securities offer- NASD (2007) Proposed NASD Rule 2712 SR–NASD–
ings are administered by an underwriting 2003–140, retrieved 26 June.
SEC. (2007) Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 17 a broker-dealer who is registered in the state
CFR 242.100, retrieved 27 June.
that the selling shareholder is trying to sell
Torstila, S. (2001) The distribution of fees within
the IPO Syndicate—statistical data included. their shares in.
Financial Management, 30, 25–42. All net proceeds from the sale of the sell-
ing shareholders’ securities go directly to
the selling shareholders. The issuing com-
Selling Shareholder pany does not receive any proceeds from
the selling shareholders stake.
Joan Rockey
Option Opportunities Company REFERENCES
Chicago, Illinois, USA
SEC. (2007) Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 17
CFR 230.400, retrieved 27 June 2007.
A selling shareholder is an existing security The Free Dictionary. Retrieved 28 June 2007 from
http://www.thefreedictionary.com/shareholder
owner of a company that sells all or a por-
tion of the shares they own as part of a com-
pany’s initial, secondary or international Semideviation
securities offering.
Securities offerings can only be made by
means of a prospectus that details perti- Giampaolo Gabbi
nent disclosures, company financial infor- University of Siena
Siena, Italy
mation, and relevant offering information.
Once the prospectus has been filed with
and declared effective by the Securities and Semideviation (or downside risk) measures
Exchange Commission (SEC), underwrit- risk below a certain level of the time series,
ers may begin distributing the prospectuses capturing the downside risk exclusively. The
to generate interest in the issue. Securities value used to admit observations is identi-
for sale in the offering may include shares fied as the minimum acceptable return
owned by company and selling sharehold- (MAR). This measure of risk helps in deter-
ers. If an offering includes shares owned by mining different notions of volatility with
selling shareholders, then the prospectus respect to return targets (frequently zero for
will detail the identity of the selling share- retail investors or a benchmark for institu-
holders, the number of shares being sold by tional intermediaries).
selling shareholders, and whether selling According to Roy (1952), investors are
shareholders will be offering their shares more concerned about downside losses
pursuant to the securities offering or the than upside gains. In his book on portfolio
underwriters’ overallotment. selection (1959), Markowitz advocates using
The costs associated with the registra- semivariance as a measure of risk because
tion and sale of the securities may be paid it measures downside losses rather than
for by the issuing company. However, the upside gains. More recently, the behav-
selling shareholders are responsible for any ioral framework of Kahneman and Tversky
brokerage commissions. In addition, sell- (1979) places more weight on losses relative
ing shareholders may be required to retain to gains in their utility functions.
Friday of every month and have the settle- of reflecting the closing price established
ment date for delivery of T plus three. by the day’s prices. This settlement price is
In the case of swaps, the term settlement necessary to determine whether profits or
date is used to specify the date on which a losses have been produced in the contracts
payment occurs while the period between during a certain period of time as well as
settlement dates is called the settlement to determine the needs with respect to the
period. Take a plain vanilla interest rate margin. In this sense, the margin is the
swap with swap payments for one on the deposit that the operator of the futures and
15th day of every quarter beginning in options market must make to cover the risk
March. The settlement dates for this con- of nonfulfillment of a contract (Kline, 2000).
tract is March 15, June 15, September 15, The amount of this deposit varies from day
and December 15. to day, with the variation of the operator’s
position. The determination of the latter is
when the settlement price intervenes, given
REFERENCES that the variations in the value of each posi-
Chance, D. (2004) An Introduction to Derivatives and
tion are added to or subtracted from the
Risk Management. South-Western, Mason, OH. margin at the end of each day, when all
The Options Clearing Corporation (2002) Security the current positions of each operator are
Futures Updates—Expiration (#18613), Chicago, marked to market.
IL. See http://www.optionsclearing.com.
REFERENCES
Settlement Price
Hull, J. (1997) Introduction to Futures and Options
Markets. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Carlos López Gutiérrez Kline, D. (2000) Fundamentals of the Futures Market.
McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
University of Cantabria
Cantabria, Spain
Managers
Broker
Organized markets
(or OTC)
Stock of securities
(institutional or other)
FIGURE 1
The process of short selling.
(respectively added) from the long expo- in a margin account and return the bor-
sure to estimate the net (respectively gross) rowed stock at a future date by buying the
exposure (see Taulli, 2004). stock back in the open market.
The short-seller pays the broker a fee for bor-
REFERENCES rowing the stock but may earn a rebate on the
Anson, M. (2006) The Handbook of Alternative
proceeds from the short sale. The broker usu-
Investments. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. ally borrows the shares from another investor,
Assness, C. and Fabozzi, F. J. (2004) Short Selling: Strate- who is holding his shares long. For example,
gies, Risks, and Rewards. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. active long investors lend out their securities
Taulli, T. (2004) What Is Short Selling?? McGraw-Hill,
New York, NY. in order to earn part of a short rebate, the
interest on the proceeds from a short sale.
The short-seller is also expected to pay to the
Short Position lender any dividends that the stock pays. The
short-seller hopes that the short position will
fall in value, enough to more than offset any
Galina Kalcheva cost associated with borrowing the stock.
Allstate Investments, LLC A short position may be taken in order to
Northbrook, Illinois, USA
hedge, express a relative-value view between
two securities or markets, or express an
A short position is created by selling a bor- outright negative view on a security. An
rowed security, currency, or commodity investor uses a hedging short position to
with the expectation that the price will fall eliminate an undesired risk. For example, a
and the position can be purchased back U.S. investor who likes a foreign stock but
at a lower price. To sell a security short, does not like the foreign currency may buy
an investor, known in this case as a short- the stock and sell short the currency, agree-
seller, borrows the security from a broker ing to deliver the currency at a future date
and sells it in the open market. In exchange, in exchange for dollars, and thus neutral-
the short-seller has to post collateral assets izing his currency exposure. Further, when
added to a portfolio, short positions reduce buy back the stock in times of rising prices,
systematic risk, as measured by beta, and short-sellers may suffer significant losses.
reduce dependency on cyclical economic Execution risk arises from the “tick” rule,
factors. For example, equity hedge manag- also known as the “uptick” rule, adopted by
ers may combine their long holdings with the Securities and Exchange Commission
short sales of stock or stock index options to (SEC) in 1938, which allows a stock to be sold
hedge against equity market decline. short only after the price has moved up. This
An investor uses a relative-value position is done to prevent excessive shorting. While
to capture relative mispricings between two there is a campaign to abolish this rule, it cur-
securities by going long a security, which he rently presents a risk to shortsellers. Further,
believes is relatively underpriced and short- short-sellers may experience unlimited losses
ing a security with some relationship to as prices go higher while their upside is lim-
the first security, which he believes is over- ited. In addition, short sales are taxed at the
priced. Relative-value investing is the basis higher short-term rates and short-sellers are
of market-neutral hedge fund investing. exposed to lawsuits by the companies whose
Finally, an outright short position is a stock they are shorting.
method for expressing negative view on a Short-selling improves market efficiency
substantially overpriced security. A short by allowing investors to express negative
position can be expressed not only through opinions on securities that are overvalued
cash securities but also with futures and and to balance a rising market. Short-sellers
options. A short position in a futures con- are usually shorter when the marker goes
tract requires the investor to deliver, or sell, a up, and less short when it falls, acting as a
security, at some future date. A short position preventive force to market bubbles.
in a security can also be expressed through
options — by selling short a call option or REFERENCES
buying a put option. In the case of a short call Asness, C. and Fabozzi, F. J. (2004) Short Selling: Strategies,
option, the seller may be required to sell a Risks, and Rewards. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
security at a prespecified price in the future, Jaeger, R. A. (2003) All About Hedge Funds. McGraw-
and in the case of a put option, the buyer has Hill, New York, NY.
Nicholas, J. G. (2000) Market-Neutral Investing: Long/
the option to sell a security in the future. Short Hedge Fund Strategies. Bloomberg Press,
In addition to risks experienced by New York, NY.
long investors, short-sellers are exposed Reynolds, V. P. (2005) Managing Hedge Fund Risks.
Risk Books, London, UK.
to unique risks such as share availability,
“short squeezes,” “execution risks,” risk of
unlimited loss, “taxation,” and “legal risks”
(Reynolds, 2005). The number of shares
Short Selling Strategy
available to borrow for short selling may be
very limited, as is often the case with small Raymond Théoret
cap stocks. When there is a sudden large University of Québec at Montréal
increase in demand for a stock, short-sellers Montréal, Québec, Canada
may be subject to a short squeeze, where
they are forced to buy back, or cover, stocks Short selling is an operation consisting of
called in by the lenders. When they have to selling a borrowed financial instrument
with the intention to buy it back later. yet be high when accounting for the risk fac-
In doing so, an investor expects a fall of the tors proposed by Fama and French (1992)
price of a financial instrument. The short and correcting for the eventual specification
selling strategy is very popular in the hedge errors, which may contaminate the Fama and
fund industry. Short sellers have a negative French model. Besides, short selling is gen-
exposition to the market in the sense that erally viewed as a very risky strategy because
their beta is negative and could be greater the investors are used to buy and not to short
than 1 in absolute value. Because of this sell. Short selling may also be accompanied
exposure, the return of those hedge funds by leverage operations, which might greatly
tends to be lower than the ones of other increase the risk of the investments lying on
hedge fund strategies. expectations of falling prices.
During the period 1994–2005 (Lhabitant,
2006), an amount of $100 invested in an aver-
age short seller hedge fund at the beginning REFERENCES
of 1994 would have been slightly under $100 Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. (1992) Cross-section of
at the end of 2005 while the same amount expected stock returns. Journal of Finance, 47,
427–486.
invested in the S&P 500 index would have
Lhabitant, F.-S. (2006) Handbook of Hedge Funds.
returned about $250 in 2005. This proves Wiley, Chichester, UK.
that short sellers underperform over the Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2007) The beta puzzle
long-term and seems to be a chronic prob- revisited: a panel study of hedge fund returns.
Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds, 13,
lem for this strategy. Their returns are also
125–146.
much more volatile and a source of addi-
tional risk than those of the average hedge
fund strategy given by a weighted compos-
ite index. Short Squeeze
The performance of short sellers was
effectively disappointing over the period
1994–2005 (Lhabitant, 2006). Hence, what Jerome Teiletche
are the benefits of short selling? According University Paris-Dauphine
to Lhabitant (2006, p. 139), there are four Paris, France
benefits of short selling: (i) short selling
contributes to market efficiency by convey- A short squeeze denotes a situation where
ing negative information to the market; the demand exceeds the supply of a secu-
(ii) it is the first line of defense against finan- rity by far as the result of short sellers trying
cial fraud or unjustified bubbles; (iii) short to cover their short positions. A short sale
selling facilitates dealer liquidity provision; is the sale of a security that the seller does
and (iv) short selling facilitates the imple- not own. In order to deliver the security to
mentation of several arbitrage strategies. the purchaser, the short seller borrows the
We must not also forget that short selling is security and then closes out its positions
an essential part of hedging activities. by returning it to the lender. Short selling
According to our studies (Racicot and can also be realized synthetically by writ-
Théoret, 2007), even if the mean return of ing a call and simultaneously buying a put,
short sellers is low, their Jensen’s alpha may which allows bypassing the difficulties of
TABLE 1
Hedgers Making Profits or Losses
Price Movement To One Who is in the “Short” in the Cash Market
Cash Price Futures Price Unhedged Hedged
Falls Falls by the same amount as cash Loss Neither profit nor loss
Falls Falls by a greater amount than cash Loss Loss
Falls Falls by a smaller amount than cash Loss Profit, but smaller than an unhedged loss
Falls Rises Loss Profit, but greater than an unhedged loss
Rises Rises by the same amount as cash Profit Neither profit nor loss
Rises Rises by a greater amount than cash Profit Profit
Rises Rises by a smaller amount than cash Profit Loss, but smaller than an unhedged loss
Rises Falls Profit Loss, but greater than an unhedged loss
Source: Yamey, S. B. (1951).
REFERENCES
Single-Strategy Fund Davies, R. J., Kat, H. M., and Luc, S. (2003) Higher
moment portfolio analysis with hedge funds.
Working Paper, ISMA Center, University of
Zsolt Berenyi Reading, Reading, UK.
RISC Consulting Davies, R. J., Kat, H. M., and Lu, S. (2006) Single strat-
Budapest, Hungary egy funds of hedge funds: how many funds? In:
G. N. Gregoriou (ed.), Funds of Hedge Funds:
Performance, Assessment, Diversification, and
Statistical Properties. Elsevier, Burlington, MA.
Hedge funds investment policies can be
defined to be either single-strategy or
multiple-strategy. Single-strategy funds are
funds that pursue a specific strategy, whereas
multistrategy funds are allowed to follow
Single-Strategy Funds
a variety of strategies and allocate capital of Funds
between strategies without restraints.
Investment philosophies for single-
strategy funds can be built on a particu- Andreza Barbosa
lar trading strategy (either trend follower J.P. Morgan
London, England, UK
or discretionary) or, in a more traditional
sense, focusing on the underlyings (sector-
or region-based) (Davies et al., 2003, 2006). Fund of hedge funds (FoFs) are the instru-
Based on the investment objectives, each ments to allow individual investors to
single strategy fund is asked to classify access the hedge funds industry. Fund of
itself by the database vendor using a broad hedge funds can be constructed focusing
investment strategy such as long/short on a specific type of hedge funds strategy.
equity, relative value, fi xed income, macro, Single-strategy funds contrast with multi-
event-driven, and so on. These classifica- strategy FoFs, which usually rebalance the
tion sets are rather heterogeneous as every assets allocated to a certain strategy accord-
fund manager follows proprietary strate- ing to changes in market conditions and
gies within the broadly defined investment investment views.
objectives. For a more detailed description Single-strategy fund of funds have less
of investment strategy classification and flexibility as they are concentrated on
possible investment strategies, reference is one strategy only. When a certain strat-
made to the encyclopedia entry “Alternative egy is not performing well, single-strategy
term for an active, hands-on form of phi- scalability is realistic in the social context,
lanthropy that adopts methods used by given that any large organizational effort
traditional venture capitalists. There is no usually involves local governments and
single approach to social venture capital- therefore cannot grow significantly without
ism as venture philanthropists adopt tech- bureaucratic involvement. Finally, since the
niques on a selective basis from traditional ultimate goal of a venture capital investment
venture capital methods; three of these is a successful exit, it is not clear whether any
are usually included in any discussion of parallel exists in the social sector (Sievers,
social venture capital. First, social venture 2001). Social venture capital can also be
capitalists, like their traditional counter- used as a term for a venture capital firm that
parts, do extensive due diligence. They includes specific social objectives as goals in
think of their actions as investments rather addition to seeking a return on capital for its
than grants and they are highly selective. investors (Silby, 1997).
They closely evaluate various elements
before they invest in a social or charita- REFERENCES
ble organization, including the strength Letts, C. W., Ryan, W., and Grossman, A. (1997)
of their management team, the risks they Virtuous capital: what foundations can learn
face, and their opportunity to make an from venture capitalists. Harvard Business
Review, 75, 36–44.
impact. Second, social venture capital- Reis, T. K. and Clohesy, S. J. (2001) Unleashing new
ists closely monitor their investment and resources and entrepreneurship for the com-
provide ongoing mentoring and support mon good: a philanthropic renaissance. New
Directions for Philanthropic Fundraising,
g 32, 109–
to the group. Finally, social venture capi-
144. In: E. R. Tempel (ed.), Understanding Donor
talists carefully evaluate an organization’s Dynamics: The Organizational Side of Charitable
scalability, or their capacity to grow rapidly Giving.
g Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, CA.
to address a particularly widespread social Sievers, B. (2001) If pigs had wings: the appeals
and limits of venture philanthropy. Retrieved
problem. For example, a venture philan- June 15, 2007 from www.philanthropyuk.org/
thropist looking at a particular issue— documents/BruceSievers.pdf
famine in Africa—may provide seed fund- Silby, D. W. (1997) Social venture capital: sowing the
ing to three or four agencies and then judge seeds of a sustainable future. Journal of Investing,
g
6, 108–111.
the success each of these has in dealing with
the problem and evaluate which approach
shows the greatest potential and progress. Soft Commodities
Once this evaluation phase is completed,
the philanthropist looks to provide much
larger amounts of money to the selected Roland Füss
agency (Reis and Clohesy, 2001). European Business School
The social venture capital movement is Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
not without criticism. Detractors argue that
unlike traditional venture capital where Commodities are generally classified into
a single measure—money—predominates, two sectors: hard
d and soft. Hard commodi-
the not-for-profit world often has multiple ties include energy, industrial metals, and
objectives, many of which are difficult precious metals. Soft commodities are
to measure. They also question whether weather-dependent, perishable commodities
for consumption, such as agricultural and the year, but agricultural commodities may
livestock products. “Softs” in the narrower depend on a harvesting cycle. Soft commodi-
sense are luxury foods, such as coffee, cocoa, ties, furthermore, have storability limita-
sugar, and orange juice, which originate pre- tions. Livestock, for example, is storable to
dominantly in tropical and/or subtropical only a limited degree. It must be continuously
regions. We can also categorize the follow- fed and housed at current costs, but it is only
ing as soft commodities (Figure 1): food and profitable in a specific phase of its life cycle.
consumer products (e.g., wheat, corn, soy- Soft commodity price fluctuations are
beans, coffee, cocoa, and sugar), industrial driven mainly by supply and demand
agro-raw materials (e.g., cotton and timber), imbalances originating from the business
and animal agro-raw materials (e.g., feeder cycle or from unexpected weather patterns.
cattle, live cattle, and lean hogs). Natural disasters caused by climate change
Renewable commodities like grains can or extreme cold, wetness, or drought can
be produced virtually without limitation, put agricultural commodity crops at risk,
except for the issue of farmland availability. which inevitably leads to a price increase.
The supply of some commodities exhibits a In addition, the gradual switch from the
strong seasonal component. For example, use of fossil fuels to a larger dependence
metals can be mined almost throughout on biofuels has intensified demand for soft
Soft commodities
Livestock Agriculture
Feeder cattle
Softs Grains and seeds
Live cattle
Live hogs
Coffee Azuki beans
Pork bellies
Cocoa Barley
Cotton Canola
Orange Corn
Juice Millet
Rubber Oats
Sugar Oilseeds
Silk Red wheat
Timber Rice
Wool Rye
Sorghum
Soybeans
Soybean meal
Wheat
DDMAR ⎜ I1 ⎟
⎜⎝ N ⎟⎠
Meredith Jones
Pertrac Financial Solutions
New York, New York, USA where LI = RI − RMAR (if RI − RMAR < 0) or
0 (if RI − RMAR ≥ 0) with RI being the return
for period I and N the number of periods.
The Sortino ratio, first introduced in
Annualized Sortino ratio:
1980 by Frank Sortino, is similar to the
Sharpe ratio, and is an example of a risk-
adjusted comparative performance statis- Annualized
Sortino Monthly Sortino (12)
1/ 2
TABLE 1
Differences between the Sharpe and Sortino Ratios
Manager A Manager B Winner
The Soybean Market is major grain com- When dealing with futures, three broad
modity, in the United States, typically types of traders can be identified: hedgers,
planted in the month of May and har- arbitrageurs, and speculators. A specula-
vested in September or October of the same tor has a view on the future movements of
year. Soybeans grow mainly in the upper a market and can use futures contracts to
Midwest part of the United States, but are bet on his outlook. Consider, for example,
also found in the south and southeast. a speculator who believes that a certain
Upon harvest, most soybeans are crushed asset price is likely to increase. One pos-
to produce either soybean oil or soybean sibility of betting on this price movement
meal, however, some whole soybeans are is to take a long position in a futures con-
roasted and eaten as snacks or used in tract on this asset. The difference from
foods such as tofu. Soybean meal is the a purchase in the spot market is that the
largest source of protein for livestock and futures market allows the speculator to
soybean oil is used in oils, salads, and mar- obtain leverage. Speculators can be divided
garine. Soybean oil is the largest source of into three groups according to the term of
vegetable oil in the United States. Futures holding a position: scalpers, day traders,
contract in soybeans are traded on the and position traders (Hull, 2006). Scalpers
Chicago Board of Trade, in quantities of are watching for very short-term trends,
5000 bushels and are used by both end users usually a few minutes, and attempt to real-
for price protection and speculators who ize profits from small changes in the con-
wish to profit. Cash prices for Soybeans tract price. Day traders hold a contract for
currently average about $9.00 per bushel, less than one trading day and do not take
with 3.2 billion bushels supplied and total the risk of potential bad news overnight.
usage (demand) of about 3 billion, for a Position traders hold their contracts for a
market surplus of 200 million bushels. The much longer period and look forward to
United States is the world’s largest pro- significant profits from major movements
ducer and exporter of soybeans. in the market.
REFERENCES
Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, R. (2003) Capital Markets, REFERENCE
Institutions, and Instruments. Prentice Hall,
Upper Saddle River, NJ. Hull, J. C. (2006) Options, Futures, and Other
Scott, D. L. (1988) Every Investor’s Guide to Wall Street Derivatives. Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River,
Words. Houghton Mifflin, Boston, MA. NJ.
Claudia Kreuz
RWTH Aachen University REFERENCES
Aachen, Germany
Müller, B. (2006) Human Capital and Successful
Academic Spin-Off ff. Center for European
Economic Research, Mannheim, Germany.
A spin off is a divestiture, where a division
Tübke, A. (2004) Success Factors of Corporate Spin-
of a company is turned into an independent Offs. Springer, New York.
business. The subsidiary is now a separate
legal entity with an independent manage-
ment. Shareholders of the parent company Spot
usually receive shares of equal value to their
former holding in the new company. In con-
Zeno Adams
trast to a sell off, usually no cash is generated.
University of Freiburg
Companies often sell unproductive or non- Freiburg, Germany
core subsidiary businesses as a spin off. The
main reason for this is that the value of the
parts of the separated companies is supposed The spot price, also called spot rate, is the
to be greater than before, thus increasing price that is quoted for immediate payment
shareholder value. The management of the and delivery. In the case of foreign exchange
spin off is set free from the parent company. the settlement usually takes place one or
This provides new incentives as it can now two business days after the trade day. In the
focus exclusively on the opportunities of the spot market for commodities, the time span
special business segment. Furthermore, spin from the trade day to the settlement day can
offs have to issue separate financial state- take up to one month. This is in contrast
ments, so that shareholders receive more with a forward or futures contract, where
detailed information concerning the per- the price is set today but the delivery will
formance of the company. This helps attract occur at a fi xed date in the future, often 3–6
more investors. On the contrary, expenses months. Interestingly, even the so-called
in marketing, administration, and research spot indices do not measure the actual
tend to rise with the business now operat- spot prices but rather the prices of nearby
ing on its own. Raising capital from banks futures contracts (see, e.g., Goldman Sachs
or institutional investors might also be more commodity spot indices). This is because
difficult for smaller companies. Partial spin the spot market is highly illiquid for some
offs are also known as equity carve outs. In commodities, such as crude oil, and thus
this case, the parent company only sells a has to be approximated. The spot-future
minority of shares in a subsidiary keeping a parity states that the connection between
controlling stake. The rest of the shares are the spot price St and the futures price Ft,T
usually spun off later when the stock price with maturity at time T is as follows: Ft,T =
– )T
has risen. Spin offs also refer to university Ste(r+c–y T
, where r is the risk-free interest rate.
In the case of commodities, the storage costs value of a future contract P F considering the
c and the convenience yield y from holding risk-free rate rr, the cost of storage c, the con-
the commodity in storage have to be con- venience yield yy, and time to maturity of the
sidered as well. If the equation is not met, future contract t (Pilipović, 1998):
a risk-free profit can be realized. Although P
the futures price Ft,TT theoretically should PSpot (rcF y ) t
e
be an unbiased expectation of future spot
prices E[ST], forecasts based on spot prices At maturity the price of a commodity
have been found to be as good as forecasts future is the same as the spot commodity
based on futures prices (French, 1986). This (Gorton and Rouwenhorst, 2005). During its
can be traced back to market imperfections expiring month, a future, therefore, can also
such as transaction costs, tax distortions, be called spot commodity. Index provider
and unequal distribution of information. like Commodity Research Bureau, Goldman
Sachs, Dow Jones, Standard and Poor’s,
Morgan Stanley, Lehman Brothers, Merrill
REFERENCE Lynch, and Deutsche Boerse calculate spot
French, K. R. (1986) Detecting spot price forecasts indices for single commodities or groups of
in futures prices. The Journal of Business, 59, commodities.
S39–S54.
which references the spot month; this is the the futures contracts. Traders start spread
date on which the parties are required to trades when they believe that the price dif-
complete the terms of the contract. Delivery ferences between two contracts will alter
on a contract is typically determined on a to their benefit before the trade is offset. A
specific day or days of the month; trading spread position is usually less risky than
in the futures contract comes to an end on assuming a complete position in the market
or prior to the delivery date. For example, as the two positions are presumed to partly
“the Brent Crude oil futures which are hedge each other. Spread positions can be
traded on the International Petroleum classified into at least three broad catego-
Exchange in London have monthly delivery ries: interdelivery spread, intercommodity
dates over the next 12 months, quarterly spread, and intermarket spread.
delivery dates for the following 12 months When a spread trade entails futures with
and half-yearly dates for the following year two different contract months but written
afterwards. Trading in the Brent Crude oil on the same underlying commodity, it is
futures for a specific delivery month stops defined as an interdelivery spread. This is a
trading on the trading day immediately broadly used kind of spread trade and two
before the 15th day before the first busi- well-known strategies are the bull spread
ness day of the delivery month (Levinson, and the bear spread. (For more details see
2006).” This delivery month is also referred Interdelivery spread.)
to as the spot month as this is when the An intercommodity spread involves
commodity may be delivered to settle the simultaneously purchasing one futures
contract. contract and the selling of a different
but related futures contract that expires
during the same month. Intercommodity
REFERENCE spread traders must be careful about the
choice of the two underlings they com-
Levinson, M. (2006) The Economist Guide to the
Financial Markets, 4th ed. Bloomberg Press, bine. Any two contracts will not do, con-
New York, NY. tracts should be related so their prices
normally increase or decrease jointly, or
at least their price difference should tend
Spreading to follow pattern. Typical choices are: con-
tracts whose underlings compete with each
other—for example, cattle (beef) and hogs
Raquel M. Gaspar (pork) contracts at the Chicago Mercantile
ISEG, Technical University Lisbon, Exchange (CME); contracts whose under-
Lisbon, Portugal
lings can be affected by the same general
event—a drought would affect both corn
A trading strategy consisting of simultane- and wheat, contracts at the CBOT; or con-
ously purchasing and selling of two differ- tracts where one commodity is physically
ent but related futures contracts is called derived from another—for example, oil
spreadingg or a spread trade. The spread is and gasoline contracts traded at Euronext
simply the price difference between both Liffe.
asymmetries between the project founder with the last available market price, which
and the venture capitalist caused by “win- may have been observed long before 4 pm
dow dressing,” that is, the manipulation of when dealing with illiquid positions or
signals about project quality by the project non-US exchanges (Zitzewitz, 2002).
founder. In such cases the combination of There are a number of hedge funds that
capital staging and convertible securities specialize in exploiting this time lag advan-
could provide an efficient solution. tage also called “market timing.” In order
to restrict or at least limit the use of stale
REFERENCES prices, which is harmful for long-term
investors, the Securities and Exchange
Admati, A. R. and Pfleiderer, P. (1994) Robust finan-
cial contracting and the role of venture capital- Commission (SEC) executes pressure on
ists. Journal of Finance, 44, 371–402. the mutual fund industry to calculate their
Cornelli, F. and Oved, Y. (1997) Stage financing and NAV via “fair prices,” or to relate their fees
the role of convertible debt. CEPR Discussion
Paper Series No. 1735. The Journal of Finance, to the holding period of fund investors—
58, 1139–1166. short-term investment, higher fees. Hedge
Sahlman, W. A. (1990) The structure and governance funds as well as private equity funds invest
of venture capital organizations. Journal of
in illiquid and irregularly priced securities,
Financial Economics, 27, 473–521.
which contribute only via estimated values
and not as marked-to-market positions to
Stale Pricing fund performance. An investigation of the
returns has shown that the corresponding
volatility, the correlation with traditional
Christian Hoppe asset classes, the autocorrelation, and there-
Dresdner Kleinwort Bank fore the risk of the investment are positively
Frankfurt, Germany
distorted. This also influences the shape of
the efficient border of a risk/return opti-
A stale price determines the current value of mized portfolio (Asness et al., 2001).
a security based on the price of a past trade Neutralizing the stale pricing effect
and reflects no new information, which results in a substantial increase in risk con-
may have surfaced in the meantime. Hence, nected with alternative assets; however, this
stale pricing can serve as a trading strategy does not harm the importance of hedge
and also smooth fund returns. The time funds and private equity concerning their
lag mentioned, in combination with newly diversification effect on traditional asset
available information, enables a relatively classes. Only the respective weighting of the
precise prediction of the security price for portfolio constituents is shifted toward risk
the next trade. minimization (Connor, 2003).
The reason for the predictability of mutual
fund returns is based on the industry stand- REFERENCES
ard to fi x the net asset value (NAV) of a fund
Asness, C., Krail, R., and Liew, J. (2001) Do hedge funds
only once every day at 4 pm eastern time. hedge? The Journal of Portfolio Management,
The fund evaluates its portfolio positions 26, 6–19.
Connor, A. (2003) The asset allocation effects of Note that the above formula computes
adjusting of alternative assets for stale pric-
the estimated standard error because the
ing. The Journal of Alternative Investments, 6,
42–52. calculations are based on a single sample of
Zitzewitz, E. (2002) Who Cares About Shareholders? size N and the sample standard deviation is
Arbitrage-Proofing Mutual Funds. Working obtained as follows:
Paper, Stanford Graduate School of Business,
Stanford, California.
N
SD
i1( Xi X )2
Standard Error N 1
risk-management decisions and also indi- Danielsson and Saltoglu (2003), Diebold and
cates that standard methodologies would Santomero (1999), Dufour and Engle (2000),
underestimate risk during market stress. Furfine and Remolona (2003), Gennotte and
The second point is even more involved Leland (1990), Jacklin et al. (1992), Jansen
since we commonly assume that market and de Vries (1991), Jorion (2000), Longin
volatility under normal market conditions and Solnik (2001), Marsh and Wagner (2000)
is driven by information arrival and trading and Straetmans et al. (2003).
activity. However, under market stress, the
patterns may not hold. Liquidity, which is a
constant side variable under normal market REFERENCES
conditions, starts to play a dominant role
Chen, J., Hong, H., and Stein, J. C. (2001) Forecasting
under market stress. As such, nonlinear crashes: trading volume, past returns, and con-
asymmetric relationships appear. The Bank ditional skewness in stock prices. Journal of
for International Settlement’s Quarterly Financial Economics, 61, 345–381.
Report for the year 2000 commented that: Danielsson, J. and Saltoglu, B. (2003) Anatomy of a
Market Crash: A Market Microstructure Analysis
“The illusion of permanent market liquid- of the Turkish Overnight Liquidity Crisis.
ity is probably the most insidious threat to Working Paper, London School of Economics,
liquidity itself.” London.
Diebold, F. X. and Santomero, A. (1999) Financial
While markets, typically, become more
riskmanagement in a volatile global environ-
liquid as prices rise and more participants ment. Asia Risk, December, 35–36.
enter, they become sticky when many par- Dufour, A. and Engle, R. F. (2000) Time and the
ticipants want to exit at the same time. price impact of a trade. Journal of Finance, 55,
2467–2498.
Risk management is affected by potential Furfine, C. and Remolona, E. (1998) Price Discovery in
market stress, which implies that com- a Market under Stress: The U.S. Treasury Market
mon assumptions on market mechanics in Fall 1998. Working Paper, BIS (2003), Basle,
Switzerland.
are violated. Such assumptions include
Gennotte, G. and Leland, H. E. (1990) Market liquid-
that the liquidation of a position would ity, hedging, and crashes. American Economic
have no effect on the market, that posi- Review, 80, 999–1021.
tions can be liquidated in a relatively short Jacklin, C. J., Kleidon, A. W., and Pfleiderer, P. (1992)
Underestimation of portfolio insurance and
time period, and that the bid-offer spread the crash of October 1987. Review of Financial
remains stable. As such, empirical evidence Studies, 5, 35–63.
indicates that during times of stress, bid- Jansen, D. W. and de Vries, C. G. (1991) On the fre-
quency of large stock returns: putting booms
offer spreads widen and market depth may
and busts into perspective. Review of Economics
become asymmetric between the buy and and Statistics, 73, 8–24.
the sell side. Also, the effect of order flows Jorion, P. (2000) Risk-management lessons from long-
on price movements becomes stronger. At term capital management. European Financial
Management, 6, 277–300.
the same time, no single measure so far Longin, F. and Solnik, B. (2001) Extreme correla-
seems fully appropriate to capture market tion of international equity markets. Journal of
liquidity or liquidity risk. Finance, 56, 649–676.
Marsh, T. A. and Wagner, N. (2000) Return-Volume
An incomplete list of studies, which
Dependence and Extremes in International
address the topic of stressed markets and also Equity Markets. Working Paper (No. RPF-293),
include further references, Chen et al. (2001), University of California, Berkeley, California.
Strike price is the prespecified price that a The term “strong hands” refers to the ability/
buyer or a seller of a derivative contract agrees willingness of futures market participants
to use to purchase or sell an asset. It is also to hold on to market positions in the face
known as the exercise price. For example, in of adverse price moves. Since the margin
a call option for an XYZ company stock, the requirements for the purchase or sale of a
buyer of the contract has the right to purc- futures contract represent only a tiny fraction
hase the XYZ company stock on or before of the value of the futures contract, on aver-
delivery date for the strike price of X, but age approximately 5% of the value, it is pos-
not the obligation. If at the expiration, strike sible for market participants to obtain very
price is above the existing spot/market price, significant leverage in the futures markets.
this option contract becomes out-of-the-mo- And although the leverage would act as a
neyy and the holder of the contract prefers to multiplier to increase returns if the par-
let the contract expire. On the other hand, if ticipant correctly anticipates the direction
the strike price is below the existing market of the price movement, either up or down,
price at the expiration, the contract becomes of the commodity or financial instrument
in-the-moneyy and exercising the contract that is represented by the futures contract,
creates a positive gain for the holder. For a an adverse price move can result in signifi-
put option, the holder of the contract has the cant losses due to this same multiplier effect.
right, but not the obligation, to sell the stock Many small investors are quickly forced to
at the strike price on or before the expiration liquidate their positions during an adverse
date. If the existing market price of the stock price move. However, there is a class of mar-
is below the strike price, put option contract ket participant that is well capitalized, has a
becomes in-the-moneyy and the holder of the long-term view with respect to the direction
contract prefers to exercise it. However, if of price and the conviction/ability to sus-
the strike price is below the market price, tain temporary losses in pursuit of greater
the holder of the contract lets the contract rewards. This group of investors is usually
expire without exercising it. described as having “strong hands.”
as well as risk control in mind. However, almost endless. However, some common
historically they have set up unexpected examples include:
feedback loops in the underlying market.
An early structured product, the portfolio • Delta-one notes—a note that pro-
insurance note, is now widely believed to vides the same returns as an under-
have contributed to the 1987 stock market lying product. These are pure access
crash. products.
In mid-October 1987, 2%–3% of the mar- • Principal protected note (PPN)—
ket capitalization of the Standard & Poors protects the initial investment while
500 (S&P) was covered by portfolio insur- giving some level of participation in the
ance. Portfolio insurance is an algorithm, upside returns of a risky asset. A PPN
which calls for selling of the underlying may comprise a zero coupon bond and
asset if it falls to a predefined level and a call option on the risky asset, giving
repurchase it if it subsequently rises. As constant participation in the upside of
the market started falling on Thursday, the risky asset regardless of its subse-
October 15, 1987, a few sell orders were quent path. A PPN may also take the
generated as a result of portfolio insurance. form of a portfolio insurance strategy
On Friday, the S&P fell further, triggering that starts with full (or higher) partici-
many more sell orders and the futures mar- pation in the underlying, and reduces
ket closed with a large backlog of sell orders. participation should the underlying
The 20.4% drop in the S&P on Monday was fall. In other words, participation and
inevitable. Market participants had failed eventual payoff is path dependent.
to fully analyze the mechanism, size, and The expected outcome of these two
uniformity of portfolio insurance. PPN variants is the same if initial
The crash of 1987 was an especially conditions are the same and leverage
severe case, and serves as a lesson in proper is not allowed. If leverage is allowed,
construction of structured products, not a the expected outcome of portfolio
blanket warning against the use of struc- insurance-based PPNs is generally
tured products. The basic lesson, not to better than that of option-based PPNs
allow the market to become too concen- because in portfolio insurance strate-
trated in one risk or another, is now well gies leverage is only employed if the
understood in the context of structured path of the underlying is upward. The
products. Nowadays, structurers usually cost of leverage is not incurred when
consider market impact as part of internal the underlying performs badly.
risk assessment while creating structured • Autocallable note—allows investors
products. to profit from a range-bound under-
lying, paying a coupon provided the
underlying remains below a speci-
fied threshold level. However, should
the underlying trade down to a pre-
COMMON EXAMPLES
determined, the holder only receives
Because they are customized solutions, the the actual performance of the
possible variety of structured products is underlying.
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Dec-96
Dec-97
Dec-98
Dec-99
Dec-00
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Citigroup 3-month T-bill S&P 500 Wilshire 1750 minus Wilshire 750
FIGURE 1
Rolling Window of Style Allocations. The computations are performed using StyleAdvisor from Zephyr
Associates, Inc.
minus large stocks. Regressing the returns Hsieh (2004) and the R 2 over the full time
of the HFR Equity Hedge Index on the S&P period until July 2006 is 0.76. Th is example
500 and the spread between small minus illustrates that even indices may be subject
large stocks over the period 1994–2002, they to style drift to some extent. It should be
report coefficients of 0.46 for the S&P 500 noted that some funds are more difficult to
and 0.44 for the spread, which is measured characterize and shifts in the coefficients
by the difference of the Wilshire Small Cap do not necessarily reflect a significant
1750 minus the Wilshire Large Cap 750. The change in strategy. For these funds the R 2
R2 of the regression is 0.77. Figure 1 repeats in a return-based style analysis are likely
their analysis using return-based style anal- to be low. Gibson and Gyger (2007) study
ysis for a 36-month rolling window and style consistency using cluster analysis and
extends the time period beyond 2002. fuzzy clustering, which attributes manag-
The style history shows that after the ers probabilistically to clusters, instead of
downturn of fi nancial markets in 2000 return-based style analysis. Unfortunately,
long/short equity hedge funds substan- any methodology relying on past returns
tially reduced their exposure to the stock would indicate a style drift ex-post. Unless
market, that is, drifted away from their an investor has access to the hedge fund
original weights. Given that from month manager’s accounts, it is difficult to detect
to month 35 observations overlap the style drifts in the short run.
change is even more drastic and the grad- Alternative measures that have been pro-
ual shift the mere result of the overlap- posed to detect style drift are tracking error,
ping windows. The coefficients up to 2002 style benchmark turnover, and the style drift
resemble the ones reported by Fung and score. The classical measure to determine
Brown, S. J., Goetzmann, W. N., and Ibbotson, R. G. (1999) (iii) float to float of the same currency but
Offshore hedge funds: survival and performance.
between different indexes; (iv) float to
1989–1995. Journal of Business, 72, 91–117.
Capocci, D. and Hübner, G. (2004) Analysis of hedge float between different currencies; and (v)
fund performance. Journal of Empirical Finance, fi xed to fi xed between different currencies.
11, 55–89. The valuation of a plain vanilla swap such
Edwards, F. R. and Caglayan, M. O. (2001) Hedge
fund performance and manager skill. Journal of
as a fi xed rate for floating rate can be com-
Futures Markets, 21, 1003–1028. puted from the floating leg, determined at
Fung, W. and Hsieh, D. A. (2000) Performance char- the agreed dates of payments. Since only
acteristics of hedge funds and commodity funds: the actual payment rates of the fi xed leg
natural versus spurious biases.Journal of Financial
and Quantitative Analysis, 35, 291–307. are known in the future, to estimate the
Liang, B. (2000) Hedge funds: the living and the dead. floating ones must be used as the forward
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, rates (derived from the term structure). By
35, 309–326.
definition, the present value of the leg is the
price of a zero coupon bond with $1 face
Swap value. Thus, analytically, at time t0 the pres-
ent value of the floating payments is
n
Giampaolo Gabbi VFL (t 0 ) ∑ r (t 0 , i 1) ⋅ B(t 0 , i)
University of Siena i1
Siena, Italy
The first payment is valued r(t0, 1)B(t0, 1),
the second r(t0, 1, 2)B(t0, 2), and so on. The
A swap is a derivative through which two
present value of the fi xed payments is:
counterparts exchange one stream of cash
n n
flows versus another stream. Each stream is
VFX (t 0 ) ∑ f B(t 0 , i) f ∑ B(t 0 , i)
called leg of the swap. In order to compute i1 i1
the absolute value of the payment it is nec-
essary to explicitate a notional amount. The where f is the only indefinite factor; the
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) solution is found by setting VFL(t0) =
publishes statistics on the notional amounts VFX(t0) and solving for ff. Fixed and floating
outstanding in the OTC (over-the-counter) legs equal, respectively, a fi xed income and
Derivatives market every 6 months (see a floating rate bond. Like the bond, there
Table 1). At the end of 2006, in case of swaps will be a principal reimbursement at time n.
this was USD 274 trillion (that is around Thus, it is possible to price the two bonds
5.5 times the 2006 gross world product). The as follows:
majority of this (83, 9%) was due to interest n
TABLE 1
Amounts Outstanding of Over-the-Counter (OTC) Swaps by Risk Category (In Billions of US Dollars)
Notional Amounts Outstanding Gross Market Values
Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec
2004 2005 2005 2006 2006 2004 2005 2005 2006 2006
Currency 8,223 8,236 8,504 9,669 10,772 745 549 453 533 599
swaps
Interest rate 150,631 163,749 169,106 207,042 229,780 4,903 6,077 4,778 4,831 4,166
swaps
Equity 756 1,086 1,177 1,430 1,764 76 88 112 147 165
linked*
Commodity* 558 1,748 1,909 2,188 2,813 — — — — —
Credit 6,396 10,211 13,908 20,352 28,838 133 188 243 294 470
default
swaps
Total swaps 166,564 185,030 194,604 240,681 273,967 5,857 6,902 5,586 5,805 5,400
* Statistics merge forward and swap contracts.
Source: Bank of International Settlements, Semiannual OTC derivatives statistics at end-December 2006, May 2007.
In an efficient market, the net present the final date. This contract is comparable to
value of the fixed leg must be on par to borrow in one currency and lend in another.
the net present value of the floating leg. To find out how to price the forex exchange
This constraint ensures liquidity to the swap, let us imagine borrowing US dollars
swap market. Since at t 0, the price of the and lending euros. Both the flows would be
floating rate bond must be 1, the solution fi xed. The price of the US dollar leg is
for the swap fixed rate can be found solv- n
ing for f.f VUSD (t 0 ) f USD ∑ BUSD (t 0 , i)
i1
n
1 f ∑ B (t 0 , i) B (t 0 , n) while the present value of the euro leg is
i1
n
Thus, VEURO (t 0 ) f EURO ∑ BEURO (t 0 , i)
i1
1 B (t 0 , n)
f
∑ i1 B (t0 , i)
n
multiply VEURO by the exchange rate $€(t0)
times the Euro notional principal, N€. In
which is equivalent to finding the fi xed rate other words, we have N€$€(t0)V VEURO(t0) =
on a par value fi xed rate bond. V$(t0), and the solution is found by solving
The forex exchange (or currency) swap is for the one unknown N€.
an agreement to trade two currencies at the A credit default swap (CDS) is a bilateral
initial date and to rearrange the cash flow at contract under which two counterparties
or irrelevant contributions by the entrepre- high bid, but also faces the risk of not being
neur can be considered sunk costs for the able to place the issue in the market in case
entrepreneur. of an overpricing. During the so-called
“price meetings,” which take place before
announcing their syndicate bid the mem-
bers of an underwriting syndicate try to
REFERENCES
reach consensus about bid and offer prices.
Leach, J. C. and Melicher, R. W. (2006) Entrepreneur- After winning the deal, the correspond-
ial Finance. Thomson South-Western, Mason,
ing syndicate starts selling the issue at the
Ohio.
Smith, R. L. and Smith, J. K. (2004) Entrepreneurial agreed offer price. As soon as the syndicate is
Finance. Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey. dissolved each underwriter is allowed to sell
at an arbitrary price (Logue, 1988). In this
context, the syndicate may also be formed
Syndicate by two or more venture capitalists or buy-
out companies, which jointly try to acquire
a target company. Therefore, the syndicate
Tereza Tykvova bid is the price the syndicate is willing to
Center for European Economic
pay for their target (Lerner, 2000).
Research (ZEW)
Mannheim, Germany The second price described by the term
“syndicate bid” refers to the single price
of a security agreed upon by the syndicate
Syndicate is a group of venture capitalists, members. In this context, the Securities and
private equity investors, underwriters, and Exchange Commission (SEC) allows the
so on, who temporarily work together on syndicate manager and all other syndicate
one project. A syndicate is led by the lead members to stabilize the market by increas-
investor (lead underwriter, lead venture ing the demand of the issued security (mostly
capitalist, etc.). shares in an IPO) during the offering period.
This activity aims at keeping the price sta-
ble, which is of importance, especially dur-
Syndicate Bid ing periods of rather weak demand. Under
Regulation M of the Securities Act of 1934,
stabilization is allowed as an appropriate
Rico Baumann mechanism in order to distribute securi-
European Business School ties. Further legal sources governing stabi-
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
lization in the United States can be found
in Regulation K, Rule 104, which replaced
The “syndicate bid” describes two prices. Rule 10b-7 (Corwin et al., 2004).
The first definition of the term refers to a
climate of competition between various REFERENCES
syndicates. It describes the price a syndicate
consisting of different (investment) banks Corwin, S., Harris, J., and Lipson, M. (2004) The
development of secondary market liquidity for
offers to the issuer of a security. In order to NYSE-listed IPOs. The Journal of Finance, 59,
win the deal each syndicate might choose a 2339–2373.
Lerner, J. (2000) Venture Capital and Private Equity. and invite them to form a syndicate. The syn-
Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey.
dicate manager negotiates terms and con-
Logue, D. E. (1988) Initial public offerings. In:
P. J. Williamson (ed.), The Investment Banking ditions as well as pricing questions within
Handbook. Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey. the syndicate and, as spokesman of the
syndicate, with the issuer. Furthermore, he
has to assess. In accordance with the other
Syndicate Manager syndicate members, the syndicate manager
executes stabilizing transactions during
the offering period. Some syndicates may
Ulrich Hommel have several syndicate managers. Together
European Business School they form a so-called management group in
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany which the above-mentioned management
functions are split up and coordinated.
Syndicates of at least two different entities The decision for or against implementing a
have the function to diversify risks among management group depends on the security
their members. Quite often they consist of type of the issuance, possible relationships
investment banks or venture capitalist and between issuer and investment banks, and
buyout companies, respectively. In public the perceived abilities of the corresponding
offerings of securities the investment banks banks. Usually, one bank of the manage-
face, for example, underwriting risks. ment team is lead manager or book-runner.
Historically, relative to total risk, their The remaining nonmanaging banks of the
capital accounts were very small, which syndicate are also hierarchically placed
led to one of the earliest syndicated under- structures, starting with the bulge bracket,
writings—Pennsylvania Railroad in 1870 followed by the major bracket, and finally
(Lerner, 1994). Another reason for form- by the submajor bracket. Between major
ing syndicates is the combined distribution and submajor bracket a mezzanine bracket
capability of all members. Banks of differ- may be found (Freeman and Jachym, 1988).
ent sizes and different expertise organized The syndication of venture capital or
in syndicates can draw upon their com- buyout investments in privately held com-
bined knowhow. Due to different strengths panies differs from public offerings of
and weaknesses of each participant most stocks (Blumenthal, 1993). The Securities
often they have different functions within and Exchange Commission (SEC) does
the syndicate, which might bring to mind but slightly regulate the manner in which
a “pyramid structure”: The syndicate man- shares are sold from private companies to
ager is placed on top—he is also referred to venture capitalists and buyout funds. This
as lead underwriter, managing underwriter, fact facilitates cooperation between invest-
or lead manager. In the area of venture capi- ment companies. Furthermore, the ven-
tal and private equity, the term “lead inves- ture capitalists and buyout funds invest
tor” is encountered most often. forthright into their target companies and
The syndicate manager organizes the syn- are willing to hold their investments for
dicate itself as well as the issuance of bonds several years, and they are even obliged
and securities. For this purpose, he has to to do so for a period of more than 2 years.
find further underwriters and organizations Since usually the asymmetric information
between investors and target companies is lead investor. Sometimes, this kind of trans-
by far higher in venture capital and buyout action is also referred to as coinvestment.
funds than in public offerings, the invest- This approach is characterized by the joint
ment decision is more complex. Syndication action of the participants who face tremen-
is one mechanism to reduce lacking infor- dous information uncertainties, that is,
mation about potential target companies the investment decision is reached unani-
(Lerner, 1994). The conduct of negotiations, mously and the venture capitalists or buyout
especially prior to first-round financings as firms are united by the common purpose
well as in the following rounds, is one of the to increase their portfolio company’s value
lead investor’s exclusive tasks. Furthermore, (Bruining et al., 2006).
the organization of funding is part of the In the context of investment banking,
lead investor’s business. He is also respon- a syndicated sale describes a transaction
sible for continuous monitoring combined in which a bank underwrites the issuance
with hands-on assistance with respect to all of a specified security and passes parts of
business matters of the portfolio company these securities to the other syndicate par-
(Sapienza et al., 1996). ticipants in order to sell them at a previ-
ously negotiated single price. Sometimes,
there are also banks involved, which are
REFERENCES not part of the syndicate; they form the sell-
Blumenthal, H. S. (1993) Going Public and the Public ing group. The syndicated sale allows the
Corporation. Clark Boardman Callaghan, involved investment banks to share their
New York. risks. All syndicate participants and mem-
Freeman, J. L. and Jachym, P. C. (1988) Syndication.
In: P. J. Williamson, (ed.), The Investment Banking bers of the selling group are compensated
Handbook. Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey. for selling securities to the final investors,
Lerner, J. (1994) The syndication of venture capi- the so-called spread between the price paid
tal investments. The Journal of the Financial
Management, 23, 16–27.
by the investors, and the price paid to the
Sapienza, H. J., Manigart, S., and Vermeir, W. (1996) issuer of the security. The syndicate man-
Venture capitalist governance and value added ager, potential further managers, syndicate
in four countries. Journal of Business Venturing, g participants, and the members of the sell-
11, 439–469.
ing group share this spread because of their
readiness put up with risks and distribute
Syndicated Sale the securities to the investors. Generally, the
syndicate manager and the other manag-
ers receive an additional compensation for
Rico Baumann executing their management function and
European Business School coordinating the syndicate and, in the case
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany of the book-running manager, for the tech-
nical efforts (Freeman and Jachym, 1988).
A syndicated sale refers to two types of Three forms of contracts are used in an
transactions. In the field of venture capital underwriting. In a “firm-commitment” con-
and buyout, it describes the joint acquisition tract, the underwriter guarantees the issuer
of a portfolio company by a syndicate of at the sale of the securities at a price negoti-
least two investors under guidance of one ated beforehand, and the risk is borne by the
underwriter. The “best-efforts” contract is the more efficiently and be able to select the best
agreement in which the underwriter com- quality projects better than a single investor.
mits himself to sell at the negotiated price as In practice, the decision to put money into a
many of the securities as possible, whereas in project is often made conditional upon the
the “all-or-none” contract the underwriter finding of another partner who is willing to
sells either the whole issuance or exercises his cofinance the firm. Third, multiple investors
right to cancel the transaction (Logue, 1988). may generate a higher value added for their
portfolio firms compared to deals financed
REFERENCES by a single investor (stand alone deals).
Multiple investors may offer an improved
Bruining, H., Desbrières, P., Hommel, U., Landström,
H., Lockett, A., Meuleman, M., Manigart, S., managerial support for their portfolio firms
and Wright, M. (2006) Venture capitalists’ deci- through their complementary skills and
sion to syndicate? Entrepreneurship Theory and through a larger variety of contacts than a
Practice, 30, 131–153.
Freeman, J. L. and Jachym, P. C. (1988) Syndication.
single investor. Fourth, syndication may be
In: P. J. Williamson (ed.), The Investment Banking a means of mitigating competition. Instead
Handbook. Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey. of competing for deals, the investors cooper-
Logue, D. E. (1988) Initial public offerings. In: ate. Fifth, when reciprocity works properly,
P. J. Williamson (ed.), The Investment Banking
Handbook. Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey. syndication can be a means of assuring deal
flow. Sixth, investors may learn from each
other during the investment process.
Syndication However, syndication also incurs costs.
The single investor has to take into account
that—when he decides to syndicate a deal—
Tereza Tykvova he would have to share the profits with
Center for European Economic his partners. For this reason, experienced
Research (ZEW)
investors who would not profit a great deal
Mannheim, Germany
from information sharing, value adding,
and learning from their potential partners
Syndication is a joint investment of several may not be willing to syndicate their best
investors in one company. Syndicated deals deals. Moreover, some agency problems
are common in venture capital or private may be aggravated in syndicated deals com-
equity industries (Lerner, 1994). There are pared to stand-alone deals because more
several reasons for which investors syndi- participants with different preferences and
cate their deals. First, syndication improves information sets are involved. However,
the portfolio diversification and risk shar- reputational mechanisms, repeated rela-
ing of the investors as each of the investors tionships, and reciprocity are expected to
can, with a limited amount of resources, diminish potential agency conflicts among
participate in more projects. Second, infor- the syndicate partners.
mation sharing may be another reason for
cooperation among investors. Syndication
may already be important during the selec- REFERENCE
tion process because a syndicate of investors Lerner, J. (1994) The syndication of venture capital
may reduce the asymmetries of information investments. Financial Management, 23, 16–27.
discount factor coincides with the value of a allows us to find the suitable price FT for a for-
zerocoupon B(t, T). ward contract knowing that when it is issued
This allows us to conclude that a for- (let us say in t0) its value F(t0, T) must be
ward contract is replicated by going long zero. Accordingly, we have:
on one underling asset and going short on
S(t 0 )
FT zerocoupon (i.e., borrowing an amount FT
B(t 0 , T )
of money FT). The replicating portfolio
(also called synthetic forward) can also be The price of a forward can also be repli-
obtained as described in Table 1. cated by using vanilla options. A European
Since the strategies A (buy a forward) and call option with strike price FT has value:
B (buy an underlying and borrowing FT)
have the very same payoff in T T, their value ⎡ G(t ) ⎤
C(FT , T ) EQt ⎢(S(T ) FT ) S(T )FT ⎥
must equate also in t (if this were not true, ⎣ G(T ) ⎦
then on the financial market there would be
an arbitrage opportunity). Accordingly, we where IS(T) > FT is the indicator function of
find another time Equation (1), which also the event S(T) > FT whose value is either 0
TABLE 1
The Replication Portfolio
Strategy Cash Flow in t Cash Flow in T
A. Buy a forward −F(t, T) S(T) − FT
B. Portfolio:
Buy one underlying −S(t) S(T)
Borrowing the present value of FT FT B(t, T) −FT
Portfolio value −S(t) + FT B(t, T ) S(T) − FT
Payoff in T
S(T ) − FT
O −FT S(T )
−FT
FIGURE 1
Replicating a forward by two European options.
if the event does not happen or 1 if the event The comparison between Equations (1) and
happens. The value of a European put option (2) gives the so-called put-call parity. This
with strike price FT is: synthetic forward can be graphically repre-
sented as in the Figure 1, where the pay-
⎡ G(t ) ⎤ offs in T of the forward and the options are
P (FT , T ) EtQ ⎢(FT S(T )) S(T )FT ⎥
⎣ G(T ) ⎦ represented.
Ulrich Hommel
European Business School
Oestrich-Winkel, Germany
473
payment (set amount) of up to 33% of the the technical analysis, any data generated
committed capital is arranged. For the sub- by the market can freely be utilized in the
sequent payments either fixed dates for the analysis provided they serve (or are believed
takedowns are set in the agreement or are to serve) to fulfill the aim of forecasting
left to the discretion of the general partner. stock prices accurately. These data are in
In the latter case, a minimum and a maxi- quantitative and qualitative nature, which
mum time period is fi xed. One year, or at range from concrete ones as movements
the latest 3 years, after a fund’s inception all of stock prices, volume of trading to such
funds are drawn from the limited partners obscure measures as the greet-fear cycles,
(Lerner, 2000). and the herd instinct.
Basic assumptions of technical analysis
REFERENCES can be listed as follows (Murphy, 1999):
Achleitner, A.-K. (2002) Handbuch Investment
Bankingg. Gabler, Wiesbaden, Germany. • The interactions of demand and sup-
Lerner, J. (2000) Venture Capital and Private Equity. ply determine market value.
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
• Numerous rational and irrational fac-
Logue, D. (1988) Initial public offerings. In:
P. Williamson (ed.), The Investment Banking tors influence demand and supply.
Handbook. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. These factors are appraised immedi-
ately and continually in the market.
• Stock prices fluctuate in trends that
Technical Analysis last for a considerable time. However,
if there are minor fluctuations in the
market during this time, they should
M. Banu Durukan be disregarded.
Dokuz Eylul University • The shifts in the supply and demand
Izmir, Turkey
cause changes in trends. The analysts
eventually detect these shifts.
Technical analysis uses market-generated • Shifts in supply and demand can be
data to create and design technical indica- detected in the charts.
tors through which market trends are fore- • Some chart patterns that repeat them-
seen and recurring stock price patterns are selves are meaningful indicators. They
detected. The primary aim of the technical can be used to identify favorable
analysis is to make timely trading (buy/sell) market timing for making buy/sell
decisions relying on technical indicators. decisions.
Technical analysis can be applied with ease
without having recourse to cumbersome The major steps required to perform
estimating procedures and calculations, as technical analysis can be summarized as
in fundamental analysis. In valuing stocks, follows:
the technical analysts argue that the inputs
required by fundamental analysis are not 1. Gathering and recording data gener-
practical. That is, all these inputs are already ated by the market.
embedded in the market price of the secu- 2. Creating indicators. The market
rity. Within the conceptual framework of data can be analyzed in almost an
infinite variety of ways by creating the market is and where it is heading (not
technical indicators to detect pat- how far or high). Within the conceptual
terns (Lo et al., 2000). New indica- framework, it is suggested that (a) there is an
tors are created while some existing upward market if the cyclical movements of
ones are retired. An indicator can be the market averages increase over time and
used as long as it is believed that it the successive market lows become higher;
tracks the market conditions well. (b) there is a downward market if the suc-
3. Interpreting the patterns to forecast cessive highs and lows in the market are
future movements of stock prices and/ lower than previous highs and lows.
or to predict a change in the direction
of the market. These interpretations
are subjective in nature.
BASICS OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Support and Resistance Levels
Stock’s price
Charts REFERENCES
Technical analysts use charts as a major tool Chan, L. K. C., Jegadeesh, N., and Lakonishok, J.
for analysis; hence, they are also named as (1996) Momentum strategies. Journal of
Finance, 51, 1681–1713.
chartists. There are mainly four charting De Bondt, W. F. M. and Thaler, R. (1985) Does the stock
techniques available as follows (Murphy, market overreact? Journal of Finance, 40, 793–805.
1999): (i) relative strength charts, (ii) moving Dreman, D. (1998) Contrarian Investment Strategies: The
Next Generation. Simon and Schuster, New York.
average (simple moving average, weighted
Fama, E. F. (1998) Market efficiency, long-term
moving average, and exponential moving returns, and behavioral finance. Journal of
average) charts, (iii) hi-lo-close and candle- Financial Economics, 49, 283–306.
stick charts, and (iv) point and figure charts. Lo, A. W., Mamysky, H., and Wang, J. (2000)
Foundations of technical analysis: computa-
Once a chart is drawn, the technical analyst tional algorithms, statistical inference, and
investigates it to find a repeating pattern empirical implementation. Journal of Finance,
in order that the market direction can be 55, 1705–1765.
Murphy, J. J. (1999) Technical Analysis of the Finan-
forecasted.
cial Markets. New York Institute of Finance,
New York.
Momentum and Contrarian Strategies Pan, M.-S. and Hsueh, L. P. (2007) International
momentum effects: a reappraisal of empirical
Momentum and contrarian strategies aim evidence. Applied Financial Economics, 1, 1–12.
to profit by buying stocks that have recently
been winners and losers, respectively.
Momentum strategies are based on the Tender Offer
argument that the winners will continue to
be winners, whereas the contrarian strate-
gies are based on the argument that losers Kojo Menyah
will be winners in the future. Proponents London Metropolitan University
London, England, UK
of efficient markets hypothesis argue that if
markets are efficient, these strategies should
not work. However, there exists empirical A potential purchaser of a large number of
evidence supporting the profitable oppor- shares in a company can put a request to all
tunities provided by these strategies as De shareholders to determine those willing to
Bondt and Thaler (1985), Chan et al. (1996), offer their shares for purchase. Such a request
Dreman (1998), and Pan and Hsueh (2007) to purchase shares from a large number of
suggest. In contrast, Fama (1998) states that investors is a tender offer. A tender offer may
these strategies are based on apparent anom- be used by a company to repurchase some of
alies, which are methodological illusions. its shares as a way of returning cash to share-
Behavioral finance studies the consis- holders (Comment and Jarrell, 1991). A tender
tent departures from rational behavior offer by a company to repurchase some of its
that cause these anomalies in the markets. shares would specify the number of shares to
These form the patterns that are sought and be bought and when the offer would expire.
utilized by technical analysts. Numerous The same price will be paid for all shares
studies in the literature provide empirical acquired in a tender offer. This compares
evidence and arguments on the usefulness with the company buying back shares in an
of technical analysis. open market repurchase where sellers would
Third-Stage Financing
In venture capital investing, a term sheet
refers to a letter written by an investor, typi-
cally a venture capital firm, to a start-up Timothy W. Dempsey
company outlining the basic terms of the DHK Financial Advisors Inc.
investment agreement. These financial Portsmouth, New Hampshire, USA
terms would include the investment amount,
the stake to be taken up by the investor, At this stage, the firm is experiencing suc-
and the implied pre-money valuation and cess in terms of sales, with clientele purchas-
post-money valuation for the investor. ing the product. At the third stage, capital
for financing operations is used to expand the specific case of the adoption of the deci-
or increase the existing plant capacity, fine mal system in the United States, Dyl et al.
tune marketing, as well as increase the qual- (2002) found that it led to lower prices (due
ity of the product via product improvements. to the splits) for the securities, without this
Capital is now provided for firm expansion leading to a substantial change in the vol-
to meet the growing demand for the prod- ume negotiated in monetary terms.
uct because the firm, at this stage, is closing
in on its break-even point and beginning to
show signs of some profitability. REFERENCES
Angel, J. L. (1997) Tick size, share prices and stock
splits. Journal of Finance, 52, 655–681.
Dyl, E., Witte, H. D., and Gorman, L. (2002) Tick
Tick sizes, stock prices, and share turnover: inter-
national evidence. Studies in Economics and
Finance, 20, 1–18.
Carlos López Gutiérrez
University of Cantabria
Cantabria, Spain
Time Value
Tick is the smallest possible movement, up
or down, in the price of a financial asset. João Duque
Until the end of the 1990s, the system used Technical University of Lisbon
Lisbon, Portugal
in the United States to determine the tick
was through the use of fractions of 1/8,
which was most likely introduced from Time value of an option is part of an option
the traditional predecimal division of the premium paid by the option buyer to the
British pound into quarters and eighths. option seller. The premium paid by the buyer
Currently, the shares negotiated on the New to the seller of an option can be divided into
York Stock Exchange are negotiated with two components: the intrinsic value and the
movements of $0.01 instead of the system time value.
using fractions. In some countries, the size The time value (TV) of a call option (C) at
of the tick is determined on the basis of the time t is given by:
price level of the share, although the com- TVC ,t Ct IVC ,t Ct max[0; St K ]
mon way is a single value for all the secu-
rities negotiated. Although the size of the
tick in a market may be nominally fi xed, a where IV VC,t stands for the call option intrin-
company can influence the percentage of sic value at time t, St represents the underly-
the price of its securities that it represents, ing asset price at time t, and K stands for the
modifying the number of securities negoti- exercise price of the option.
ated by means of splits or share repurchases Similarly, the time value of a put option
(Angel, 1997). In this method, the obliga- (P) at time t is given by:
tory size of the ticks can describe a major
TVP,t Pt IVP,t Pt max[0; K St ]
percentage of variation in the prices of the
securities between the different markets. In
fi xed price, the so-called futures price, and announce a private placement of secu-
to deliver the grain to a specified futures rities for a particular client or to high-
date. For example, a wheat farmer expects light their role in a strategic transaction
to have 100,000 bushels of wheat to sell such as a corporate merger or acquisition
in 4 months. The price of wheat is volatile (Downes, 2003). Private equity firms will
so there is a price risk. To hedge this risk place a tombstone to announce the launch
the farmer can agree to deliver the bushels of a new fund or to notify of a significant
of wheat in 4 months at a price that is set closing. Financial firms will sometimes
today. The definition “to-arrive” is referred use a tombstone to announce a significant
to the delivery of the traded commodity. personnel change.
In the nineteenth century and earlier, a lot Tombstones are most commonly used to
of goods were brought by ship. The price, announce newly registered securities by an
quantity, and quality of the commodity investment banking firm. In this instance,
were fi xed before delivery. The main part of the tombstone will contain details about
trading, that is, delivery and payment, took the issue including the name of the issu-
place when the ship arrived in the harbor. ing company, the security type, the offering
This type of contract is still used today, but price, the total value of the offering, and the
not as much as it was in the past. names of the investment bankers associated
with the deal. In addition, there is an estab-
lished protocol to the format of this type of
REFERENCE
tombstone. Specifically, there is a particular
Hull, J. (2007) Options, Futures and Other Derivatives. order in which the investment bankers are
Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
listed in the tombstone. Listed at the top are
the lead and colead investment banks for
the issue. They are followed by the “major
Tombstone bracket” investment banks, an industry-
determined categorization that is based
upon reputation and national focus. Next
John F. Freihammer in line are the “mezzanine bracket” invest-
Marco Consulting Group ment banks, which are typically smaller
Chicago, Illinois, USA firms that operate nationally. Finally, at the
bottom of the list are the regional invest-
A tombstone is an advertisement in news- ment banks (Damadoran, 2004).
papers and other publications that is used
by financial firms to announce significant
underwriting, fundraising, or personnel REFERENCES
developments. For example, investment Damadoran, A. (2004) Investment Fables: Exposing
banks will use tombstones to announce the Myths of “Can’t Miss” Investment Strategies.
a public offering of securities that have Financial Times Prentice Hall Books, New
York.
successfully completed the underwrit- Downes, J. and Goodman, J. (2003) Dictionary
ing process. Investment banks will also of Finance and Investment Terms. Barron’s
take out tombstone advertisements to Educational Series, Inc., New York.
Access to position level, or aggregated risk investors and funds of funds do not have
statistics, for the fund allows investors to any interest in replicating the strategy of the
clearly see the correlation between the fund fund or increasing the trading costs of the
managers in their portfolio. Once an invest- fund. Fund managers may be more wary
ment is made in a hedge fund, transparency of sharing their positions with their prime
allows the investor to continue to monitor broker, especially if there is not a clear sepa-
the progress of the fund. Should the fund ration from the proprietary trading desk.
manager choose to increase risk or leverage Hedge funds may also decline to offer full
or modify the types of securities traded, an transparency, as the amount of information
investor with a reasonable level of transpar- may be overwhelming to investors. If a fund
ency would notice this divergence quickly, executes thousands of trades each month
which allows them to have a timely conver- and holds hundreds of positions at a time,
sation with the fund manager if they are this information may be difficult for an
concerned by these changes. At that time, investor to interpret. Partial transparency,
the investor may ask the fund manager to including a monthly summary of portfolio
reduce risk or return to the original trading risks, may allow investors the information
style. If the investor is not satisfied with the they need, while reducing the privacy con-
response of the fund manager, the investor cerns of the hedge fund manager.
may choose to reduce the investment in that
hedge fund to reduce the risk. A fund of REFERENCES
funds manager may wish to have complete
Black, K. (2004) Managing a Hedge Fund: A Complete
transparency of the underlying positions to Guide to Trading, Business Strategies, Risk Man-
aggregate all of the positions of the fund to agement and Regulations. McGraw-Hill, New
see the exact portfolio. This helps the fund of York.
Black, K. (2007) Preventing and detecting hedge
funds reallocate capital between their hedge fund failure risk through partial transparency.
fund managers. Some funds of funds may Derivatives Use Trading and Regulation, 12,
implement hedges at the portfolio level when 330–341.
Jaeger, L. (2002) Managing Risk in Alternative
the aggregated risk of their fund investments
Investment Strategies: Successful Investing in
exceeds a predetermined level. Hedge Funds and Managed Futures. Financial
Hedge fund managers may wish to limit Times Prentice Hall, London, UK.
the degree of transparency to investors for
many reasons. The most common reason
cited by managers is that their positions Trend Following
and their trading processes are proprietary,
and that disclosure would reduce the value
of the hedge fund management company. Bernd Scherer
Should this information be disclosed to Morgan Stanley
London, England, UK
active traders or those who wish to profit
at the hedge fund’s expense, position level
data in an illiquid market can, indeed, Trend following commodity strategies
reduce the returns of the fund by increasing attempt to derive future expected perfor-
trading costs. However, the vast majority of mance from past historical performance.
This involves two steps. We first need to behavioral fi nance models. Suppose we
identify whether a trend has been estab- have a market with two types of investors,
lished and secondly for how long it will both exhibiting bounded rationality as in
continue. In essence, a trade follower Hong and Stein (1999). One type of inves-
will always be late to hop on a trend and tors only reacts to fundamental informa-
will almost invariably be surprised when tion, disregarding the information in price
the trend ends (often as the result of an changes, while the second type of investors
exogenous, i.e., unforecastable shock). Only disregards fundamental information and
if the trend continues for long enough to only reacts to price changes. If fundamen-
cover the costs from a trend reversal, will tal information spreads slowly, we will see
the strategy be profitable. commodity prices to initially underreact
Return momentum strategies are the to the arrival of new information. Th is
most common strategies in the commod- will kick-start momentum traders that
ity universe. They come in the form of have observed past prices to rise. Sitting
either simple momentum (buy winners on a self-accelerating strategy, momentum
and sell losers) or crossover momentum traders continue buying in an attempt to
(buy a commodity if the short run perfor- arbitrage the slower fundamental inves-
mance exceeds the long run performance). tors. Effectively this will lead to a market
Generically we can express a trend follow- that shows both initial underreaction and
ing strategy as mom (h, s, l), where h denotes fi nal overreaction. A second explanation
the holding period horizon, s the short-run for the success of trend following com-
moving average, and l the long-run mov- modity strategies is their link to business
ing average. For example, mom (3, 6, 12) cycles. Given that commodities are closer
denotes a momentum strategy that will to consumption goods than to assets, they
invest into a commodity, if the 6 months are unlikely to be priced by a forward-
moving average exceeds the 12 months looking discounting mechanism. As such
moving average and vice versa. As the strat- they should be much more sensitive to
egy is good for the next 3 months, the ques- changes in business cycle conditions as
tion arises, “what do we do after 1 month?” they lack the ability to look through to the
After all, a new signal arrived. Do we want future. Finally, it is intuitive that momen-
to create an entirely new portfolio, throw- tum strategies work best where it is hard
ing out our old 3 month view? Given that for fundamental models to fi nd fair values
our holding period assumption is 3, we and as such learning from past prices is
will for each period build a portfolio that more widespread.
is a mixture of the past three momentum
portfolios. Equal weighting stacked portfo-
lios implicitly assumes that there is linear
decay in information ratio. While this is REFERENCE
not necessarily true, it seems to be a robust
assumption. Hong, H. and Stein, J. (1999) A unified theory of
underreaction, momentum trading, and over-
What are the economic foundations of reaction in asset markets. Journal of Finance,
trend following strategies? We start with 54, 2143–2184.
Christian Hoppe
Dresdner Kleinwort Bank
Frankfurt, Germany
REFERENCES
Hull, J. C. (2005) Options, Futures and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education Inc., Upper
Saddle River, NJ.
Kolb, R. W. and Overdahl, J. A. (2007) Futures, Options, and Swaps. Blackwell Publishers,
Malden, MA.
489
the normal cumulative function. d1 and d2 price. The closing price is assumed to be the
are calculated as follows: equilibrium or “true” value of the stock. In
the case of underpricing, where the equilib-
ln(F X ) 0.5 2T
d1 rium price is higher than the initial open-
T ing price, the IPO firm receives less capital
per share, relative to the equilibrium value
d2 d1 T of the IPO’s stock (this is the opposite of
overpricing where the difference is posi-
In these equations, X stands for the strike tive, i.e., the equilibrium price is lower than
price of the call and σ for the volatility of the offer or opening price). Underpricing
the underlying return. The above formula is often referred to as “money-left-on-the-
is highly praised in financial practice and table” since the issuing firm could presumably
is also used to price caps, floors, and swaps. have raised capital at the subsequent trading
These options are often priced by quoting the price but instead chose to leave money on the
implicit volatility, computed by setting the table by underpricing the shares. Let us now
market price of an option equal to the Black’s examine how underpricing is the usual case
formula (National Futures Association, in the IPO world. For illustrative purposes, let
1998; Racicot and Théoret, 2004). us assume that bookbuilding is used and the
IPO firm is called WeB-Genes—a pharmaceu-
tical boutique with enough potential to have
REFERENCES
caught the attention of an investment banker
Black, F. (1976) The pricing of commodity contracts. (IB). The IPO offer price less the underwrit-
Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 157–179.
er’s fees is what WeB-Genes gets for its shares.
National Futures Association (1998) Glossary of
Futures Terms: An Introduction to the Language To arrive at the final offer price, WeB-Genes
of the Futures Industry. Chicago, IL. and the IB negotiate a price interval that will
Racicot, F. E. and Théoret, R. (2004). Traité de Gestion be used by the IB as a starting point to test the
de Portefeuille. Presses de l’Université du
Québec, Québec, QC. interest for the shares of WeB-Genes for the
clients in their book. The final price is typi-
cally within this interval except in hot IPO
Underpricing markets such as the Internet bubble period
when shares were often priced above the ini-
tial price range estimates. Here, the important
Edward J. Lusk question is whether the price arrived at is the
State University of New York equilibrium market price. If the market price
(Plattsburgh) of the stock hovers essentially around the
Plattsburgh, New York, USA offer price so that the closing price is close to
The Wharton School the offer price, then the offer price was close
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
to the equilibrium price. In this case, the IPO
firm gets “full” value and the IB rakes off its
Underpricing is measured as the differ- 7% (see Chen and Ritter, 2000) and two of
ence between the offer or opening price for the three major players are happy; but, how
the IPO’s stock and its closing price, after about the subscribers? After all, they buy
the first day of trading, scaled by the offer the stock—did they also buy the firm? This
is the nub of the issue. What is the incentive see Overpricing, p. 341, and Bookbuilding,
for the investors to buy the shares?—expected p. 47.)
market value appreciation. So here is the dark
side of the IPO world. Because the IB gets a 7%
REFERENCES
commission based upon the offer price, they
want to keep the price sort of high and they Chen, H.-C. and Ritter, J. (2000) The seven per-
have really done their quantity/price trade cent solution. The Journal of Finance, 55,
1105–1131.
off homework. Seven percent of a reduced Loughran, T. and Ritter, J. (2002) Why don’t issuers get
price where lots of shares are placed is a lot upset about leaving money on the table in IPOs?
more than 7% of a few high-priced shares. So The Review of Financial Studies, 15, 413–443.
Lusk, E., Schmidt, G., and Halperin, M. (2006)
they figure “let’s shift the benefits from WeB- Recommendations for the development of a
Genes to the subscribers.” They reason: “We European venture capital regulatory corpus:
will pitch the price on the low side and that lessons from the USA. In: G. N. Gregoriou,
will stimulate the demand for placements of M. Kooli, and R. Kraeussl (eds.), Venture
Capital, in Europe. Elsevier, Burlington, MA.
WeB-Genes; we make out fine and the sub- Ritter, J. (2005) Some Factoids about the 2005 IPO
scribers are happy. Happyy is an important Market. See http://bear.cba.ufl.edu/ritter
variable in the IB’s loyalty equation. So this
keeps lots of potential clients, who are bargain
hunters at heart, in their book. Who suffers? Underwriter
WeB-Genes because they get less capital than
they could have if the offer had been priced
at or near the equilibrium price per share. Is Dimitrios Gounopoulos
underpricing the norm? According to Ritter University of Surrey
(2006), from 1975 to 2005, IPO stocks have Guildford, England, UK
been underpriced on average in every year
except 1975. So why does underpricing seem Underwriters are the large financial service
to be the “economic” pricing rule? Let us institutions (bank, syndicate, investment
look more closely at WeB-Genes. They were house), mainly acting as intermediates bet-
started by a microbiologist, a geneticist, and ween customers and public. They provide a
a rocket scientist: combined business savvy— wide range of products, which cover from
the null set. They are delighted to secure the corporate bonds to commercial papers. Once
financing. An additional reason is offered by a borrower wishes to get a loan, it is the under-
Loughran and Ritter (2002, p. 414). WeB- writer’s role to make detailed credit analysis
Genes may go along with underpricing before its granting based on credit informa-
because they will sum the wealth loss due to tion such as salary and employment history
underpricing of the sold shares with the larger (Ellis et al., 2000).
wealth gain on the retained shares due to the Habib and Ljungqvist (2001) argue that
subsequent price increase. From an economic issuers do not choose underwriters ran-
perspective, this assumes that WeB-Genes domly, nor do banks randomly agree which
has shares to issue/re-issue, and that the price companies to take public (see Fernando et al.,
jump combines with the shares that could be 2003). Optimizing agents presumably make
issued so that they make up, in NPV terms, the choices we actually observe. Moreover, in
the sum forgone. (For related information IPO cases, issuers likely base their choices, at
base via an initial public offering (IPO) or whatever price is determined in the primary
to the general public, if the existing inves- market for an initial public equity offer does
tors are not interested. In today’s global not include the wider secondary market
financial markets, these customers could information that could be brought to bear
be investors located anywhere in the world on the pricing when trading begins. That
and firms must therefore use their market- is why there is evidence across stock mar-
ing skills to resell securities. The size of the kets all over the world that when an initial
gross spread, and thus the profit for the public offer starts trading on the secondary
investment bank, depends on several fac- market, the first day price, on average, is
tors, including the number of shares to be higher than the price at which the equity
issued, the credit worthiness of the original security was sold in the primary market.
issuer, the perceived risk of the issue, etc. This phenomenon is referred to as under-
pricing. Therefore, until an initial public
offer has been exposed to the rigors of pric-
REFERENCES ing on the secondary market, such stocks
Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, R. (2003) Capital Markets, are deemed to be unseasoned. The process
Institutions and Instruments. Prentice Hall, of sub-jecting the price of the initial public
Upper Saddle River, NJ.
offer to secondary market-wide influences—
Scott, D. L. (1988) Every Investor’s Guide to Wall Street
Words. Houghton Mifflin, Boston, MA. seasoning—begins on the first day of trading.
The length of the seasoning period could vary
from company to company depending on the
flow of information about the company and
Unseasoned analysts following. However, any company
Equity Offering that makes further issue of equity securities
on the market after an IPO would have con-
sidered its equity to be seasoned.
Kojo Menyah
London Metropolitan University
London, England, UK REFERENCE
Draho, J. (2004) The IPO Decision: Why and
The sale of common equity that has never How Companies Go Public. Edward Elgar,
been traded on an organized stock exchange Cheltenham, UK.
is an unseasoned equity offering. The pric-
ing of such offerings by the issuing com-
pany and the investment banker advising Up Capture Ratio
on the issue would take into account rel-
evant information available in the primary
equity market. This would normally include Jodie Gunzberg
not only valuation information generated Marco Consulting Group
by the investment banker, but also inves- Chicago, Illinois, USA
tor demand information obtained from
information gathering activities such as The up capture ratio is a measure of a
bookbuilding (Draho, 2004). Nevertheless, manager’s sensitivity to an index when the
Security risk
Market risk
Industry risk
= Security risk
= Industry risk
Industry risk
Market risk
Market risk Securitiy risk
majority of long/short managers base their focus strictly on various U.S. markets and
stock selection on fundamental analysis the strategy is illustrated in Figure 1. Both
and typically use various valuation meth- the long and the short books combine mar-
odologies (discounted cash flow, free cash ket risks, industry risks, and security risks
flow, etc.). They also frequently take histori- but the unwanted market and industry risks
cal prices into account for entering and get- can be hedged, leaving the global portfolio
ting out of positions (technical analysis may with some market and industry risks that
be used to determine the timing). Every depend on the views of the portfolio man-
single long/short manager tries to identify agers and a larger portion of security risk.
undervalued longs, overvalued shorts, and
predict market direction to determine the
funds’ growth and net global exposure. As REFERENCES
the number of long/short funds increases,
McFall Lamm, R. (2004) The Role of Long/Short
many funds become specialized in certain Equity Hedge Funds in Investment Portfolios.
specific markets. Some funds invest only Deutsche Bank Research Paper, London, UK,
in specific sectors and certain regions, or p. 24.
even use market capitalization when select- Nicholas, J. G. (2000) Market-Neutral Investing: Long/
Short Hedge Fund Strategies. Bloomberg Press,
ing stocks. Some managers are value driven New York.
while others focus on growth or combine Stefanin, F. (2006) Investment Strategies of Hedge
the two. Many U.S. equity hedge managers Funds. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Markus Ampenberger
Munich University of Technology
Munich, Germany
497
GIPS PEIGG
U.S. NVCA private
PEIGG
focus update
equity
provision
BVCA
BVCA update Inter-
EU national
focus PE&VC
valuation
EVCA EVCA guide-
update lines
year
1989 1991 1993 2001 2003 2004 2005 2007
FIGURE 1
Development of Major Industry Valuation Guidelines and Harmonization. (Source: Based on Müller, 2008.)
Value-Added Value-at-Risk
Monthly Index
Markus Leippold
Imperial College
Marcus Müller London, England, UK
Chemnitz University of Technology
Chemnitz, Germany
Value-at-risk (VaR) is a single number
used for risk management summarizing
The Value-Added Monthly Index (VAMI) the potential portfolio losses. In statistical
reflects the performance of a hypothetical terms, VaR is the quantile of the loss dis-
investment of $1000 over time. At inception tribution. VaR is universal in the sense that
t = 0 the VAMI is equal to $1000 and the we can use it for portfolios of any type, that
monthly rate of return of the underlying asset is, portfolios involving market, credit, and
operational risks. Already used by major
Vt
1 RORt financial firms in the late 1980s, VaR is serv-
Vt1
ing as the market standard today. Smaller
is added: banks, financial entities such as hedge
funds, institutional investors, and nonfi-
VAMI0 = $1000
nancial institutions measure, manage, and
and often disclose risk in terms of VaR. In its
⎛ V ⎞ amendment of 1996, the Basle Committee
VAMIt VAMIt1 ⎜ t ⎟
⎝ Vt1 ⎠ on Banking Supervision recommended the
use of VaR for regulatory reporting and
Dividends and interest rates are reinvested proposed to allow banks to calculate their
via compounding into the VAMI. The VAMI capital requirements for market risk based
provides an easy comparison between dif- on their internal VaR models. In the new
ferent assets with the same starting date Basel II accord, this recommendation was
and quantifies the potential monetary risk extended to credit and operational risks.
and chances of a $1000 investment (Lackey, With VaR reporting requirements incor-
2004). Therefore, the VAMI is a simple kind porated into international banking and
of back testing the risk return character- accounting regulations, VaR is now the
istics of an asset. If the RORt are net of all preeminent measure for financial risk.
fees then the index represents the value of An informal definition for VaR, as it is
the hypothetical $1000 investment before commonly used in practice, is as follows.
tax. For underlying assets with a non-U.S. The VaR of a portfolio with current value
Dollar denomination, the foreign exchange W is the minimum loss L that a portfolio
rate has to be considered. can suffer after a pre-specified time period
in the v% worst cases, when the absolute
portfolio weights are kept constant. When
REFERENCE calculating the VaR of a market risk posi-
Lackey, R. (2004) Cashing in on Wall Street’s 10 Greatest tion, a typical choice for the length of
Myths. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY. the time period is 10 days. In Panel 1 of
Panel 1
350
300
250
Value-at-risk
Frequency
200
150
A
100 B
50
0
−2500 −2000 −1500 −1000 −500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Profit and loss
Panel 2
200
150 Value-at-risk
Frequency
100 B
C A
50
0
−2500 −2000 −1500 −1000 −500 0
Profit and loss
FIGURE 1
Value at risk for a hypothetical portfolio.
is often based on the assumption that the tail characteristics. However, for both dis-
underlying market factors have a multivari- tributions, the VaR is unchanged. Clearly
ate normal distribution. Such an approach the portfolio with tail distribution “C”
allows for analytical tractability and com- may incur larger losses with much higher
putational speed. However, it may fail to frequency than the portfolio with tail dis-
capture important characteristics of the tribution “B.” Obviously, the VaR concept
portfolio’s tail distribution, when there fails to capture this difference in the tails
are either nonlinear instruments, such as and, hence, might not be a sound risk mea-
options, or when returns depart from the sure (see also the discussion in Leippold,
normality assumption, or both. Historical 2004).
simulation is a simple technique that
requires relatively few assumptions on the
statistical distributions of the underlying REFERENCES
market factors. For the VaR calculation, we Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.-M., and Heath, D.
simply draw from historical data. Therefore, (1999) Coherent measures of risk. Mathematical
the number is calculated as if history were Finance, 9, 203–228.
to repeat itself. Rather than using the his- Leippold, M. (November, 2004) Don’t rely on VaR.
Euromoney, pp. 1–7. London, UK.
torically observed changes in the market
factors, Monte Carlo simulation draws from
a statistical distribution that is calibrated to Variance Swap
the historical data.
Although VaR is widely used in today’s
risk management practice and serves as a Jens Johansen
standard in risk reporting, we have to be Deutsche Securities
aware that no theory exists to prove that Tokyo, Japan
VaR is an appropriate risk measure upon
which to build optimal decision rules. A variance swap is an over-the-counter
Indeed, VaR may serve as a risk measure (OTC) derivative contract, which pays
only under the very restrictive assumption out the excess realized volatility above a
of normal returns. It fails to comply with strike volatility agreed in the contract. In
some coherency properties that any risk other words, variance swaps allow expo-
measure should intuitively share (Artzner sure to pure volatility without reference to
et al., 1999). the price of the underlying asset. Variance
Most important from a practical view- swaps are now commonly traded and stan-
point, VaR misses the risks in the tail of dardized according to the International
the loss distribution. To see this, consider Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA)
Panel 2 of Figure 1. Here, we add a differ- conventions.
ent distribution of losses beyond the VaR Variance swaps are usually traded and
level (labeled “C”), which can be generated, marked in terms of the number of vega (vol-
for example, through the use of options, atility points), and the payoff is given by
and we leave the distribution of the port-
folio above the VaR level unchanged. We Payoff
vega
2 K
( 2
R 2
K )
now have two distributions with different
where σ R is the realized volatility; σ K the In general, the payoff to variance swap is
strike volatility; and vega the value per vola- nonlinear. Moreover, the lower the strike
tility point. of the variance swap, the more convex the
As this shows, the payoff to a variance variance swap payoff per volatility point.
swap is not quite the same as the linear Figure 1 shows generalized payoffs to vari-
difference between implied and realized ance swaps and volatility swaps.
volatility, though it is fairly close for small
differences between realized and strike
volatilities. For example, assume a stock
is currently trading at an implied volatil-
PRICING VARIANCE SWAPS
ity of 20%. A trader believes this is cheap,
and buys 500,000 vega of a 1 year variance Variance swaps have become the prevalent
swap struck at 20. The stock subsequently vehicle for trading volatility despite the con-
reports worse than expected earnings and vex payoff because of the ease of hedging and
falls sharply. As a result, its realized vola- transparency of pricing. A variance swap
tility ends up being 23%. The payoff to the can be replicated with a static portfolio of
simple difference between implied and real- options. Pricing is based on the value of this
ized volatility is portfolio. Volatility swap pricing is only pos-
sible using stochastic modeling and hedging
$500,000(23% − 20%) = $15,000
requires dynamic rebalancing of the option
However, the trader bought a variance swap. portfolio.
The actual payoff is Constant exposure to volatility without
reference to the directional change in the
$500,000/(2 × 20%) × (23%2 − 20%2) underlying implies constant exposure to the
= $16,125 local moves in price (gamma), regardless of
20
15
Payoff (points per vega)
10
−5
−10
−15
−15 −10 −5 0 5 10 15
FIGURE 1
Payoffs to variance swaps and volatility swaps. (From Deutsche Securities (illustrative only).)
where the underlying price ultimately ends and variance swaps. First, bid-offer spreads
up. Perfectly constant gamma occurs in a are wider in variance swaps than at-the-
portfolio of straddles that is weighted in money straddles. The main reason is that
inverse square proportion to strike (1/K K2) the further-from-the-money options are
with strikes running from 0% of spot to ∞ less liquid and trade at wider bid-offers.
in infinitesimally small steps. In practice, Figure 2 illustrates this effect (assuming no
this is approximated by a finite strip of volatility skew).
calls in strikes above the money and puts The second difference is due to implied vol-
below the money, depending on liquid- atility skew. Skew is caused by the unequal
ity and availability of strikes. The higher demand for out-of-the-money puts and
weighting in lower strike puts results in a out-of-the-money calls. In “normal” equity
small short delta exposure that must also market conditions, out-of-the-money puts
be hedged. trade at a premium to out-of-the-money
Constant gamma implies continuous calls because the demand for protection
dynamic delta hedging. Since this is costly against losses is greater than the demand
in practice, delta hedging of variance swaps for speculative upside. The combined effect
is normally done at regular intervals. of skew and bid-offers away from the money
Often this interval is daily, but the interval is that the bid-offer of variance is generally
depends on liquidity of the underlying and wider than at-the-money volatility, and the
transaction costs. mid-price of variance is usually higher than
There are two key differences between the mid-price of at-the-money volatility, as
the price of at-the-money implied volatility illustrated in Figure 3.
2
Implied volatility offer
Spread (from mid volatility)
1 Variance swap
offer
ATM straddle offer
0
−3
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Strike (% of ATM)
FIGURE 2
Bid-offers of implied volatility and variance swaps with no skew (Illustrative). (From Deutsche Securities
(illustrative only).)
2
Implied volatility offer
Variance swap offer
1
Spread (from mid volatility) ATM straddle offer
0
ATM straddle bid
−2
−4
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Strike (% of ATM)
FIGURE 3
Bid-offers of implied volatility and variance swaps with skew (Illustrative). (From Deutsche Securities (illus-
trative only).)
TABLE 1
Correlation Trades and Dispersion Trades Summarized
Positive Payout
Trade Buy/Sell Strategy Quotation Condition
Correlation Buy Sell the weighted 55–62 (indicates the Realized single stock
variance of stocks, buy average off-diagonal variance rises less (or falls
the variance of the correlation of 0.55 more) than realized index
index and 0.62) variance (i.e., correlation
rises)
Sell Buy the weighted Realized single stock
variance of stocks, sell variance rises more (or
the variance of the falls less) than realized
index index variance (i.e.,
correlation falls)
Dispersion Buy Buy the weighted 3.5–2.5 (indicates the Realized single stock
variance of stocks, sell spread between average variance rises more (or
the variance of the implied stock volatility falls less) than realized
index and implied index index variance (i.e.,
volatility) stocks disperse)
Sell Sell the weighted Realized single stock
variance of stocks, buy variance rises less (or falls
the variance of the more) than realized index
index variance (i.e., stocks
converge)
Source: Deutsche Securities.
Johansen, J. (August, 2006) Vive la Variance: The to earn extraordinary returns and thereby
Super-Cycle. ABN-AMRO, London, UK.
create an excellent return for the over-
Joshi, M. S. (2003) The Concepts and Practice of
Mathematical Finance. Cambridge University all portfolio. As each investment selected
Press, Cambridge, UK. should show the potential to become a
Nelken, I. (2007) Volatility as an Asset Class. Risk home run, venture capitalists seek invest-
Books, London, UK.
ments that offer a potential annual return of
greater than 50%. This drives funding into
Venture Capital high growth opportunities in high technol-
ogy firms—communications, computers,
biotechnology, and medical markets—or to
Brian L. King companies with the potential to transform
McGill University a large conventional industry, as FedEx
Montréal, Québec, Canada
did for shipping services and Staples did in
retailing.
Venture capitall is a segment of the private The venture capital industry began in
equity market that invests in young or 1946 in the United States when American
high growth companies. Sometimes ven- Research and Development (ARD) was
ture capital is used as a more general term founded by New England area business
that encompasses buyouts of existing firms, leaders looking to encourage new economic
synonymous with private equity; this is development to replace the shrinking tex-
especially common in Europe. However, tile industry. ARD was the first firm to raise
Gompers and Lerner (2001) have provided a pool of capital that was not based on fam-
the traditional definition of the term: “inde- ily fortunes, and as such was the progeni-
pendent, professionally managed, dedicated tor of the modern venture capital industry.
pools of capital that focus on equity or ARD is famous for the $70,000 investment
equity-linked investments in privately held, they made in 1957 for a 77% stake in Digital
high growth companies” (p. 146). The first Equipment Corporation that grew to a
part of this entry will describe the venture value of $355 million by 1971. This proved
capital industry in the United States, where to be the industry’s first home run, and it
it originated and is most developed. The provided half of ARD’s profits over its 25
final section will discuss venture capital in year history (Gompers and Lerner, 2001).
other countries. Many other home runs followed, includ-
Venture capital firms invest in high risk, ing those of Apple Computer, Amazon, and
high reward ventures. Because these invest- Google, all of which have played an impor-
ments are illiquid—firms target invest- tant part in this industry. Although the ven-
ments that can take five or more years to ture capital market in the United States is
mature—returns must compensate by being the most developed in the world, it is still
significantly higher than for publicly traded a relatively small market as venture capital
stocks. Not all of these risky ventures are firms invest annually in fewer than 2500
expected to succeed; venture capital firms companies. Nonetheless, the venture capi-
do not seek a good return from each invest- tal industry in the United States has had a
ment. Rather, they look for a small percent- significant impact both on innovation and
age of their portfolio, deemed home runs, on economic growth (Gompers, 2001).
Kenney, M., Han, K., and Tanaka, S. (2004) The glo- and Schoar (2005). U.S. venture capitalists
balization of venture capital: the cases of Taiwan
that finance entrepreneurial firms based
and Japan. In: A. Bartzokas and S. Mani (Eds.),
Financial Systems, Corporate Investment in in Canada use a variety of securities, and
Innovation and Venture Capital. Edward Elgar, common equity is used most frequently
Northampton, MA. (Cumming, 2007). The use of different
Pearce, R. and Barnes, S. (2006) Raising Venture
Capital. Wiley, Chichester, UK.
securities in venture capital financing
Wright, M., Pruthi, S., and Lockett, A. (2005) arrangements depends on expected agency
International venture capital research: from problems (Cumming, 2005a), and differ-
cross-country comparisons to crossing borders. ences in institutional features across coun-
International Journal of Management Reviews,
7, 135–165. tries (Cumming, 2002, 2005b; Lerner and
Schoar, 2005; Kaplan et al., 2007).
Control rights in venture capital financing
arrangements specify both control and veto
Venture Capital rights. Frequently observed control rights
Financing include venture capitalists’ right to replace
CEO, right for first refusal at sale, co-sale
agreement, drag-along rights, antidilution
Douglas Cumming protection, protection rights against new
York University issues, redemption rights, information rights,
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
and IPO registration rights. Frequently
observed veto rights include venture capitalist
Venture capital funds finance privately veto powers over asset sales, asset purchases,
held entrepreneurial firms in their earliest changes in control, and issuance of equity.
stages of development. Financial contracts Control and veto rights tend to be used more
between venture capitalists and entrepre- frequently when expected agency problems
neurs specify both cash flow and control are more pronounced, and when venture
rights, and these rights are independently capitalists seek to influence the exit outcome
allocated. In the United States, financing in terms of an initial public offering or acqui-
terms are typically set out with convertible sition exit (Cumming, 2002; Gompers, 1998;
preferred equity (Gompers, 1998; Kaplan Kaplan and Strömberg, 2003).
and Strömberg, 2003), and there is a unique
tax bias in favor of the use of convertible
preferred equity (Gilson and Schizer, 2003).
In contrast, in all non-U.S. countries where REFERENCES
data have been collected, a variety of securi- Bascha, A. and Walz, U. (2007) Financing practices
ties are used by venture capitalists and com- in the German Venture Capital Industry: an
mon equity tends to be the most frequently empirical assessment. In: G. N. Gregoriou,
M. Kooli, and R. Kraeussl (Eds.), Venture Capital
observed security; for Canadian evidence, in Europe. Elsevier, Burlington, MA.
see Cumming (2005a, 2005b; 2006), for Cumming, D. J. (2002) Contracts and Exits in Venture
European evidence, see Bascha and Walz Capital Finance. Mimeo, Schulich School of
Business, York University, Kingston, Ontario.
(2007), Cumming (2002), Schwienbacher
Cumming, D. (2005a) Capital structure in venture
(2002), and Kaplan et al. (2007); for evi- finance. Journal of Corporate Finance, 11,
dence from developing countries, see Lerner 550–585.
Cumming, D. (2005b) Agency costs, institutions, learn- profits. The valuation method assumes that
ing and taxation in venture capital contracting.
the investors will liquidate their investments
Journal of Business Venturing,
g 20, 573–622.
Cumming, D. (2006) Adverse selection and capital at the end of the fifth year and the company
structure: evidence from venture capital. Entre- will be evaluated using price/earnings and
preneurship Theory & Practice, 30, 155–184. other ratios of similar firms in the industry
Cumming, D. (2007) United States Venture Capital
Financial Contracting: foreign securities. In:
(Sahlman, 2003). This projected evaluation is
M. Hirschey, K. John, and A. Makhija (Eds.), then discounted by a high discount rate, typ-
Advances in Financial Economics, Vol. 12, ically 30–50%, given the illiquidity and high
pp. 405–444. risk of the investment. This calculation yields
Gilson, R. J. and Schizer, D. M. (2003) Understanding
venture capital structure: a tax explanation the current valuation of the start-up business.
for convertible preferred stock. Harvard Law If interim financing rounds are foreseen,
Review, 116, 874–916. then the investment is diluted. The venture
Gompers, P. A. (1998) Ownership and Control in
Entrepreneurial Firms: An Examination of
capital method involves many assumptions
Convertible Securities in Venture Capital and the results can vary widely depending
Investments. Mimeo, Harvard Business School. on the specific computations of the person
Kaplan, S. N. and Strömberg, P. (2003) Financial con- doing the analysis. Although this method
tracting theory meets the real world: an empiri-
cal analysis of venture capital contracts. Review is commonly used in the venture capital
of Economic Studies, 70, 281–315. industry, it has been criticized for being too
Kaplan, S. N., Martel, F., and Strömberg, P. (2007) simplistic—there are related methodologies
How do legal differences and experience
affect financial contracts? Journal of Financial
such as the weighted average cost of capital
Intermediation, 16, 273–311. (WACC) that are considered far more accu-
Lerner, J. and Schoar, A. (2005) Does legal enforce- rate (Gompers, 1999). However, the venture
ment affect financial transactions? The contrac- capital method has the advantage of being
tual channel in private equity. Quarterly Journal
of Economics, 120, 223–246. readily understood both by venture capital-
Schwienbacher, A. (2002) Venture Capital Exits in ists and the entrepreneurs that they fund.
Europe and the United States. Mimeo, University
of Amsterdam.
REFERENCES
Venture Capitalist
Venture capital method is a method for eval-
uating start-up firms based on their finan-
cial projections. Although there are different Winston T. H. Koh
variations of this method, most examine a Singapore Management University
short-term forecast—typically 5 years—and Singapore
seek to evaluate the business at this future
point in time. The forecast typically includes A venture capitalist refers to an investor
projected revenues, cash flows, and net who invests either their own funds or on
of such an approach used for new ven- volatility from options on the S&P 500
ture valuation. The value derived from index (Carr and Wu, 2006).
context-specific approaches is likely to Among measures of asset price volatility,
be biased as these approaches are mainly two types can be distinguished. Historical
based on prior investment experience volatility is estimated using historical asset
and on simple rules of thumb. However, prices. Implied volatility is estimated from
for practitioners these approaches can be option prices, by equating market prices of
useful to quickly estimate an approxi- options to those obtained with an option-
mate value of the new venture (Smith and pricing model. Historical volatilities are
Smith, 2004). retrospective estimates, but implied volatili-
ties are prospective estimates because they are
estimated from option prices. Hence, many
REFERENCES analysts prefer implied volatilities because
Damodaran, A. (2005) The Dark Side of Valuation— they reflect future expectations about vola-
Valuing Old Tech, New Tech, and New Economy tility, rather than past realizations.
Companies. Financial Times Prentice Hall, New
Often the Black-Scholes model is used to
York, NY.
Koller, T., Goedhart, M., and Wessels, D. (2005) obtain implied volatility, which creates two
Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value problems. The first is that this approach
of Companies. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. assumes the Black-Scholes model to be the
Pratt, S. P. (2001) The Market Approach to Valuing
Businesses. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. correct one for pricing options. It is well-
Smith, R. L. and Smith, J. K. (2004) Entrepreneurial known, however, that the assumptions
Finance. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ. underlying the Black-Scholes model are
rarely met in practice. The second problem
is that Black-Scholes implied volatilities are
VIX usually constructed by using options that
are near-the-money, and by excluding all
deep in-the-money and out-of-the-money
Fabrice Douglas Rouah options. Hence, all the information embed-
McGill University ded in the excluded options is lost. Model-
Montréal, Québec, Canada free implied volatility is a recent innovation
that uses the entire cross-section of option
The volatility index (VIX) is an index of prices to calculate implied volatility and
30-day implied volatility derived from that is not dependent on a particular para-
option prices on the S&P 500 index and metric model for option prices.
created by the Chicago Board of Options
Exchange (CBOE, 2003). The index reflects
future expectations of volatility of the
REFERENCES
U.S. stock market. From 1993 to 2003, the
VIX was constructed using Black-Scholes Carr, P. and Wu, L. (2006) A tale of two indices. Journal
of Derivatives, 13, 13–29.
implied volatilities from options on the S&P
CBOE—Chicago Board Options Exchange (2003).
100 index. Since 2003, however, the VIX has VIX: CBOE Volatility Index. CBOE White Paper,
been constructed using model-free implied http://www.cboe.com
rT ⎡ 0 ,T
F
Volatility has many definitions in finance. ^ 2 2e ⎢ ∫ 1 P (K ) dK
The most usual one is the historical volatil- T ⎢ 0 K2
⎣
ity, which is the square deviation of returns ∞
1 ⎤
from their mean, that is ∫ 2 C (K ) dK ⎥
K ⎥
F0 ,T ⎦
⎡ n
⎤
^2h 1 ⎢ 1 ∑ i2 ⎥
h ⎣ n 1 i1 ⎦ where K is the strike price and P(.) and C(.)
stand, respectively, for observed prices of
where h is equal to T/ T n, and n is the number out-of-the money puts and calls. F0,TT is the
of the continuously compounded returns forward price of the index used to com-
observed over the period T. T εt+h is equal to pute the VIX, which is in fact a simple
ln(St+h/St). It is assumed that the mean return discretization of this formula. This for-
is equal to 0 because of the shortness of the mula is also used by the CBOE for com-
computation period. This way of computing puting the volatility futures contract
historical volatility may be compared to two based on the VIX index. The payoff on the
other notions of volatility: realized volatility VIX might be given by 1000 × [VIXT −
(realized variance or quadratic variation) F0,T(V)], where V is a volatility measure.
and historical volatility. The only difference Racicot et al. (2008) have used the concept
between historical volatility and realized of realized volatility and GARCH processes
volatility is the period of computation: daily to forecast volatility that might be used in
data for the former and intradaily data for VaR calculations or in derivatives pricing.
the latter. The concept of realized volatility
has a strong link with the pricing of deriva-
tives. It can be shown that
REFERENCES
n
∑[ Z (i 1) Z (i)]2 ≈ 2
(T t ) McDonald, R. (2006) Derivatives Markets. Pearson,
Upper Saddle River, NJ.
i1
Racicot, F. E., Théoret, R., and Coën, A. (2008)
where n = (T − t)/t h and Z(i) = Z(t + ih) Forecasting irregularly spaced UHF finan-
is a Brownian motion increment from t cial data: realized volatility vs. UHF-GARCH
models. International Advances in Economic
to T
T. The realized quadratic variation pro-
Research, 14, 112–124.
vides an estimate of total variance over Rouah, F. D. and Vainberg, G. (2007) Option Pricing
time (McDonald, 2006). This concept might Models and Volatility. Wiley, Hoboken, NJ.
Julia Stolpe
Technical University at Braunschweig
Braunschweig, Germany
REFERENCES
Brealey, R. and Myers, S. (1996) Principles of Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill, New York,
NY.
Van Horne, J. and Wachowicz, J. (2005) Fundamentals of Financial Management. Financial
Times/Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
517
thereby the management and potentially and its investment bank determine that
incentive fees. For all participants the coun- the market conditions are such that the
terparts risk increases. company will not sell at a price that is
acceptable to the company then the offer
REFERENCE will be withdrawn until the market con-
ditions improve. Under a best efforts
Samii, M. (2004) International Business and Informa-
contract, the company going public and
tion Technology: Interaction and Transformation
in the Global Economy. Routledge, London, UK. its investment bank agree to the mini-
mum and maximum number of shares to
be sold at a specified price and during a
specified selling period, usually 90 days.
Withdrawn Offering The investment bank makes best efforts to
sell the shares during the specified selling
Douglas Cumming period. If the minimum number of shares
York University is not sold during the specified selling
Toronto, Ontario, Canada period then the offer is withdrawn and all
the money of the investors is reimbursed
A withdrawn offering is an initial pub- from an escrow account, with the issuing
lic offering (IPO) that was scheduled for firm receiving no money. IPOs raising an
particular offering date and then subse- amount greater than $10 million almost
quently withdrawn from the market such always use firm commitment contracts,
that it is not sold on that date (Ritter, whereas best efforts contracts are used by
1998). Companies may go public in the more speculative smaller IPOs.
United States under either a firm com-
mitment or best efforts contract with an
investment bank. Under a firm commit- REFERENCE
ment contract, a preliminary prospectus
Ritter, J. (1998) Initial public offerings. In: D. Logue
is issued with a price range for the offer-
and J. Seward (Eds.), Warren, Gorham, and
ing for the road show to solicit investors’ Lamont Handbook of Modern Finance. WGL/
interest in the offering. If the company RIA, Boston and New York.
521
Broker commodities, 88
arbitration, 25–26 overview of, 341–342
as associated person, 32 selling short, 431
clearing, 76 synthetic, 226
eligible contract participant (ECP), 164–165 writing, 340
floor, 188 Call writer, 31, 59–60
functions of, 142, 294, 332 Calmar ratio, 61
guaranteed introducing (GIB), 216–217, Cancellation orders, 61
236–237, 248 Capital asset pricing model (CAPM), 28, 167–168,
independent, 38 175, 223, 237, 284, 400
independent introducing (IIB), 236–237 Capital
introducing, 248 call, 62–63
premium paid to, 44 commitment, 63, 80–81
prime, 289–290, 370–371 distribution, 63–64
registration, 140 gains, 63, 168, 187, 270
Brownian motion, 516 inflows, 63–64
BTOP 50 Index, 53–54 markets, 47, 50, 221, 328
Bucketing, 54–55 risk, 152, 158, 181
Bucket shops, 54 staged, 151
Build-up strategy, 405 venture, see Venture capital
Bullish market, 475 Capital structure arbitrage, 19, 64–65, 185
Bund futures, 106 Carried interest, 65, 230
Business development company, 3 Carrying charge, 66
Business expansion, third-stage financing, 477–478 Carry market, 101
Business plans 5, 404. See also Entrepreneurs; Carry trades, 225–226
Start-up companies Carve-outs, 66–67, 211
Buy and build strategy, 405 Cash
Buy-and-hold strategy, 167, 285, 458 CDO, 70
Buy-backs, company, 96 commodity, 67–68, 490
Buyer’s market, 55 flows, 5, 50
Buyers, option, 336, 340 market, 68, 368, 444. See also Spot market
Buy-ins. See Management buy-in settlement, 69
Buy low and sell high strategy, 276–277 Cash-flow CDO, 70
Buy orders, 38 CDO (collateralized debt obligation), 70
Buy signals, correlation and dispersion trades, 505 Center for International Securities and Derivatives
Buyout funds, 73 Market. See CISDM
Buyouts, applications, 65. See also Institutional CEPRES PerFore model, 376
buyout (IB); Leveraged buyouts (LBOs); Certificate of deposit (CD), 41
Management buy-out (MBO); Ownership Certification, 71
buyout; Recap buyout; Reverse leveraged Chaining method, commodity futures, 82–83,
buyout (RLBO); Secondary buyout 209–210
Chapter 7 liquidation, 146–147
Chapter 11 reorganization, 146–148
Charge, carrying, 66
C Charitable organizations, 3
Charts, in technical analysis, 474, 476
Calendar Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE)
economic, 57–58 Futures Exchange, 140
report, 57–58 implied volatility, 192
Call options indices, 340–341
at-the-money, 11, 32–33 Volatility Index (VIX), 192–193, 234, 515–516
beta, 43 Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), 13, 23, 40, 67–68,
characteristics of, 12, 58–61, 88, 145, 158, 88, 101–103, 106, 136, 200, 262, 334, 368–369,
171–172, 174, 225, 274, 336, 338–339, 365, 453, 401, 440, 442, 445, 479, 490
479, 489, 503, 516 Chicago Climate Exchange, 140
functions of, 18, 31, 61, 73, 89, 93, 132, 399–400 Corporate debt, 47
registered, 139 Corporate venturing, 510
systematic, 143, 468–469 Correlation analysis, 126
Common stock, 20, 121, 387 Correlation coefficient
Community development venture capital (CDVC), implications of, 43, 114–115, 219
94–95 Pearson, 114–115, 353–354
Companion fund, 95–96 Spearman, 354
Comparative advantage, 40 Correlation trade. See Variance swaps
Compatibility constraint, 9 Cost, insurance, and freight (CIF)
Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), 96–100 Cost of funds index (COFI), 41
Condor, 61 Cost of tender, 116
Confidence interval, 448 Cotton market, 116–117
Confirmation statement, 100–101 Counterparties, 75
Conglomerates, carve-outs, 67 Covariance, 28, 43, 150
Constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI), Covenants
158–159 characteristics of, 117–118
Construction leverage, 264–265 loans, 120–121
Consumer price index (CPI), 46 private equity context, 118–119
Contango, 83, 101, 105 securities issues, 120–121
Contingency tables, 357 venture capital context, 118–119
Contract see also Agreements
exchange-traded, 173 Covered calls, 59, 122
foreign trade, 115 CRB Reuters, 123–124
grades, 101–102 Credit default swap (CDS)
life of, 268–269 capital structure arbitrage, 64
market, see Contract market characteristics of, 124–125,
month, 103 225, 461–463
participants in, see Eligible contract participant pricing, 125–126
(ECP) Credit enhancement, 307
private equity, 119 Creditors, 121, 148
production flexibility (PFC), 81 Credit Suisse-Tremont Hedge Fund Index. See CSFB
provision, see Contractual provisions Tremont Hedge Fund Index
size, 103–104 Creditworthiness, 73
Contract market Cross-hedge, 126–128
characteristics of, 102 Cross-trading, 128–129
core principles, 108–110 Crude oil market, 129–130, 135
Contractual provisions CS/TASS database, 421
“all-or-none” contract, 467 CSFB Tremont
best efforts, 519 CTA Global Index, 164
firm-commitment, 182, 466–467, 519 Hedge Fund Index, 30, 131, 355
ratchet clauses, 388 indices, 354
right of first refusal, 403 Tremont Composite Index, 355
to-arrive contract, 479–480 Cumulative density function, 9
Contrarians, 167, 476 Curb trading, 131
Convergence, 104–105 Currency
Conversion factor (CF) system, 105–107 classification, 132
Conversion, split strike, 396 foreign, 149, 274–275, 430
Copyrights, 240
Core-satellite management, in asset allocation,
28–29, 158
Corn futures, 68 D
Cornish-Fisher value-at-risk
characteristics of, 110–111 Daily price limit, 297
portfolio optimization, 111–112 Day traders, 362, 442
Corn market, 110 Dealers, 38
Investment style L
analysis, 456–457
asset-based style factors, 400, 458 Lagrangian function, 482
bottom-up investing, 49–50 Laspeyres formula, 209
contrarian, 167, 476 Last notice day, 261–262
drift, 458–460 Last trading day, 262
impact of, 358 Late stage financing, 181
momentum, 476 Law of one price, 24
opportunism, 334–335 Lead manager, 263
peer group based style factors, 354–356, 458 Leasing, venture, 511–512
return-based style factors, 399–400, 458–459 Legislation
top-down, 481 Commodity Credit Corporation
Investors, types of Charter Act, 81
accredited, 3–4, 375, 394 Commodity Exchange Act (CEA), 82, 85–86, 89,
active, 5 100, 102, 108, 128, 131, 138–139, 164–165, 170,
angel, 21, 26, 418, 420, 507 286, 330
endowment, 3 Commodity Futures Modernization Act
GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price), 177 (CFMA) of 2000, 82, 85, 108, 170, 418
institutional, 147, 170, 197, 213, 245, 370, 394, Federal Agricultural Improvement and Reform
404, 443 (FAIR) Act, 81–82
lead, 262–263, 465–466 Food for Peace Act, 81
passive, 14 Grain Futures Act of 1922, 213
qualified, 383 Investment Company Act of 1940, 234
retail, 245 Sarbanes Oxley Act, 207, 252, 423
rise-averse, 149, 415 Securities Exchange Act of 1933, 323, 375, 391,
risk-taking, 34 394
venture capitalists, see Venture capitalists Securities Exchange Act of 1934, 373, 384, 394,
vulture, 145 440, 464
IPO Financial Network Corporation (IPOfn), 249, United States Grain Standards Act, 409
412–413 Lehman Aggregate Bond Index, 299
IPOX® (Initial Public Offering Index), 251–253 Leverage
asset allocation, 158
commodity market, 93
implications of, 1–2, 17, 118, 264–265, 495–496
J transaction merchant, 31
Leveraged buyouts (LBOs), 53, 96, 239, 265–267,
Jensen’s alpha, 42–43, 168, 255, 281, 329, 432
282–283, 380
Jones, Alfred Winslow, 224, 495
LIBOR, 41, 45, 69, 242, 321
Jones, Dean, 449
Likelihood ratio, 9–10
Jones Model
Limit
characteristics, 256–257
move, 269, 297
Modified, 257, 302
overview of, 269–270
Junk bonds, 47. See also Fallen angels
orders, 62, 270
Jurisdiction. See Offshore jurisdiction
Limited liability company (LLC), 208, 270–271
Limited partners (LPs), 65, 73, 80–81, 95,
119, 183, 270–271, 376, 474, 507. See also
K Partnerships
Linear regression, 13–14, 285. See also Regression
Kalman fi lter techniques, 221 analysis
Kansas City Board of Trade, 140 Liquidation, 146–147, 270, 272
Karlweis, Georges Coulon, 197 Liquidity, implications of, 4, 45, 50, 54, 64, 74, 103,
Kerb trading. See Curb trading 148, 151, 220, 226, 271
Keynes, John Maynard, 39 Livestock
Keynesian economics, 224 feed ratio, 178–179
Kurtosis, 111–112, 230, 259, 301, 304, 343, 435, 482 live hogs market, 272–273
R Residual returns, 14
Restrictive covenants, 119
R 2, 78, 285, 400, 457, 459 Restructuring, 53, 125, 211
Ranking, 387–388 Return analysis
Ratchets, 388–389 absolute, 152
Rate of return, 195–196 traditional, 152
Ratio, types of Return momentum strategies, 485
appraisal, 358 Return on equity (ROE), 49
Calmar, 61 Reuters CRB Index (CCI), 91, 123–124
down capture, 151 Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index, 90–92
exchange, 298 Reverse convertible note, 456
feed, 178–179 Reverse leveraged buyout (RLBO), 402
gain-to-loss, 205–206 Right of first refusal, 402–403
generalized Treynor, 208–209 Rising markets, 2
hedge, 219, 222–223 Risk
information, 209, 237–238 absolute, 9
modified Sharpe, 303–304, 358 aversion, 9–10, 185
Park, 358 basis, 490
payout, 196 counterparty, 117
price/earnings, 195, 370 credit, 17, 74, 107, 202, 220, 398
Sharpe, 61, 65, 198, 281, 303, 329, 340, 441 default, 75, 118, 202, 287
Sortino, 303, 441, 449 gamma, 107
Sterling, 449–450 idiosyncratic, 264, 298
Treynor, 281, 486 interest rate, 107, 176, 220, 243
up-capture, 494–495 management, see Risk
Real estate investments, 18 management
Realized volatility, 516 market, 43, 294, 301, 398
Real option approach, 389–390 measure, 336
Recap buyout, 390 pipeline, 360
Recapitalization, 53, 390–391 premium, 104, 150, 518
Recession, 427 profi le, 2, 151, 450
Recovery rate, 146–147 systemic, 2, 42–43, 237, 285,
Red herring, 384, 391–393 454–455, 486, 518
Redemption tail, 340
applications, 4, 38 volatility, 107, 220
early, 161 Risk-adjusted returns, 358
period, 392 Risk-free rate, 1, 14, 43, 84, 86, 134,
Registration 205, 225, 278, 303, 317, 338–339, 443, 490
requirements, 140 Risk management
statement, 326, 393 hedging, 223–224
see also Demand Rights; Securities and Exchange strategies, 421, 483
Commission (SEC), registration with stressed markets, 452
Regression analysis, 13–14, 126, 357, 456–457 Risk-neutral strategies, 329
Regulation D Risk-return profi le, 34
fund, 393–394 Roadshow, 48, 375, 404
offering, 394–396 Rogers, Jim, 404–405
rules, 3–4, 375, 394–395 Rogers International Commodities
Reinsurance, 31 Index (RICI), 90, 404–405
Relative returns, 2 Rolling window analysis,
Relative Strength Index (RSI), 345 99, 458, 460
Relative value, 19, 211, 294, 319 Roll-up, 405–406
Reporting guidelines, 398 Round turn, 406
Repudiation, 125 Royalties, 240
Reserve funds, 307 Rule 144, 319
Reserves, 5 Russell 3000 Index, 176
T
U
Tail distribution, 501. See also Fat tail
Takedown, 63, 473–474 UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity and
TASS database, 33–34, 37, 355 Commodity Index (CMCI™), 90
Taxation Ultrahigh net worth individuals (UHNWIs), 228
offshore jurisdiction, see Offshore tax haven Uncovered calls, 59
types of, 309–310 Underpricing, 8, 325–326, 491–492
Tax-exempt debt, 46 Undervalued stock, 195
Taylor-series expansion, 111 Underwriter
Technical analysis functions of, 8, 492–493
applications, 144, 249, 362, 496 initial public offering (IPO), 42, 238–239,
charts, 476 324–325
contrarian strategy, 476 in selling group, 424–425
Dow Theory, 475 lead, 263–264
momentum strategy, 476 participating, 353
overview of, 474–475 seasoned equity offering (SEO), 411
support and resistance, 475 syndicated sale, 466–467
Tender offers, 476–477 Underwriting group, 424–425, 473
Term sheet, 476–477 Underwriting process, 359–360
Terrorist attack (9/11/01), economic impact of, 451 U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), 81
Three-factor model, 400, 432 U.S. equity hedge, 495–496
Tick, 478 U.S. Futures Exchange, 140
W Write-off, 173
Writing options, 340
Wallace, Henry A., 177
War, economic impact of, 451
Warehouse Y
licensed, 268
receipts, 136, 517 Yield curve
see also Approved delivery facility arbitrage, 185
Watermark, high, 227–228, 235, 357 implications of, 457
Weather premium, 518 par, 352
WeB-Genes, 346, 491–492 Yunus, Mohammad, 436
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC), 509
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), 129
Wheat futures, 490 Z
White label, 518–519
Winner’s curse, 347 Zero-coupon bonds (ZCBs), 45, 158–159, 455
Withdrawn offering, 519 Zero-investment strategy, 4
Write-down, 497 Zurich Capital Markets indices, 355