Gioiine Malfhw lwwwnt Sebat.

on
Diriden' an ndia KS.

the
Dagap foutou hame heappeaud in ha
eonoie

dividind.
tthe degaplie
Maltheeian Jheoy f Populatieni
a ueeascs
eomtie

Jhe benitical aspets

ha duapmt
dis louse

&inidndi- Ri in the sate

&hone
lconoie got de to aa
Pepodeton.
enomna
bich rst and th canagnt lif?in
he age ppulation

Child popuahon

Poplakin
 DeM oGRofHic
tranltin

bing vey high and nortality

er frase I delining he wil be lage
y
hatio

to a couetion n

child population bit due to wigh futle

hewth ratu in thu woing agc populahon
period
roctio

dyduy
pepnclion.

wth a
 Caetd to he shent
anny popuelten aeindig pon
feiity deeline.

dcline n
a rapid and hudde
age suetne dransihon is in dly
he
tolnt and enuectiy to be est frr

aduantag
trausheni relat n natue e
sthwetue
owth
hot abolute ntes Jhe

stage alon with hgk

2 emesit Vieus
n dsa
contris maany.
dorcleig diud wmltlee thesc Centes
ae
to ne 'heigata eononie leiglts ./Zhe
fo uduetion

olue to deveul. thotiti

 to Demogaplie Dividnd
<prt &auaue
Pathways thaneitin ca

struct
due to
d e to ineuaal
trohon ratho and pontby

dendny natio iste

he eductin n
a
rots
dupnd a Cow/deliningfusit
* Sawings also kowings to
tore Yantiipaton;
Fenale laboue
leelinig fetcty vatu maket
-wth the abu
iety to ~un iat Aucaaed ecowoi
duy
awtivity women th fedom to
mere
Leononie qoth Higl
Tesulting n bighe dputouildeae
frtity and time to mark.
monkct
Major budloto wmm etina lataur
taycovne-hao poteatiadto
hanheldang
 Health
Produeturty tio
weat meL n thantir

beh heath wohen ildren

to bett productini
th btte udig
ceanomia utoms
(n last Asian Countrio prruchivety roath
Leon miaela )

n nimbe chilhen
due to leeline
th pei tiem to ímeat

chile waltA 2
publie spdn bi lierted to the
ueten l n non)
atHes

Abe Lononue
one aduantagea "B demag
acliened at hoelold
divtlrd -primanly
wainy fo macro advatog
that get aggt
cwihonmetay the
- auolconoie eeley bnifls
foree ditmining rlerat
Cruenl
iscsnn n
bsidnimprtoi frbilit tranabsn
Srch
adentng
bansihon
 Geocota
Demoaalie Cang and Eowomi
tui elatiensipd nfren
Counts
Ciited wmee

VIEWS n
OPTIM S TIe

and wiliamsen(1418)
D Bleom n Aan Counis
daianad
28
ive
dhoused a

minaele eaat Aai

deuuogrmplie diidul.
atritutid to
Behhman et al (1199)
for srenal cauts senee
uhg Panel dat latienhip bn he
19s0' looked at the
n

eeouoni tomn

eaneiuetome.
autwen age patten and
( Adnsan seanlanaan
2so ) Contiis uely data
assouatn
also tend a poai hne
 reland:
traan
-rland was
kope. Pers rates stastng to
tue l980s t

eutnd into a phase

leenenic gath indiatg
augmetd
oundeenee
chng
(2o03) ad Bloom et all C2006)
t8lom et all
data o coutueo from 16o to Qooo
ed ponel
posit6ve relaion b/us age attuche
eotabished
toonition and ecenonie eoth
Caina phoapct fer a
net 30yeas
te
Companed to china ove
age cohent in us
papaltn
Loctuon ag

deadeo
f6NNananetha loo
on lconenie geth
ound paalhive impat
South aat Aai a
 ws an ths
oPTIMISTIC VIEwS ulatianehip
VeRy -
NOT
dewclepigcowtis
( Nawaneetham Qo0a
po'hiuerdatiaai
poahne
to dee a
fol
Asiam lowto

Bloomm it al (2oo3) atructwe

(2) whe agi
dmi ca erpin to augu ment
Lats faild
on seemo to haw
rah
econem otth
(2s06)
(3) Chanhasehn et al
that He

dunonaplie hange ane not rat

upan pust to the
previde an
leom

obstacles to Demoaphia iidud

Insti fut onal
0 No automti tint:
peamista
about inshtu'enal
that maleit
some concis
bottenecks
uplt to aaw'ere thesc benefis .

aensal agecment that tre s notly

altat atutthe ks
 Navanetham t all( s )
cdean ut a s iot'en
a
fet that the lak and leoneni rowh

lhese centhis to trade compon

3

3) Pslo t all (s06)

distribubon changs ereate syysude
Age tAe
potenia bt whether emironeat
pelicy emimmd
realiaed dependo pen the
epssto
n cach cnty panhiahy te
hade.

nt oea
lhlia

Labon Pare nto a

ffiult fo aehiene reslt

DongapheDivid)tupot Econe
patksaystoDi(

Cmpirial aalyns needed

 Statislies

populaton ey boad ag
d'stibubion of
(Tate 96| 22o01
Dada tor yeons
states in populatan
-tor maior steche q
cAange in age
- drut
States n Sadia. age stuctnein
pace ondemogaphi
Dtstati vaCati n g ranaiionin
tune wth
ech s t t

workingage popalatho.
intue iwwase
u s in. wenkgag
highst
Kuela sawthe hghist higk dlinein cli
Pepulsom
vy
Populah mand Temaned
age populahon
otstatio
Preperhon met
Bame n
wide vaiah'ens
the clild
pulatens
not lear y the
toanalacd to eeonoe
ttes are
advatage os not
2) Dapendemg7961 to ddool.
perio dendtpopah m
lotio.
 depndent oputahien since 199:

ratio

- Sipa f'eant vomah on in dependay ho in

2*g agc stnehe trasihen
Tat

-(tigue 2)
pudatin sines |1111eibt
Ppdahion.

popudahen

Cild pepulotnboo ruendad a

 trahon
hane

1997-201
grawts rai n has not
Casty deodey
Sught vaaho
on decade to cdeads
ghowthrate
decade wth no
Yeunaiel
brouah'or

absolt

- Gewts rats tu old age popah on ha

hweneTUmained leas thon lo) forott stats

ll sfateo
phenatm
Sawings Rate ( Fiue y blw beuaehald sawig
- Uadestanling the ati en
Qnd ftiCa tranah'em hosleld t
County dus to
Kats
neede
Houneheld sowigs in adi a hame
inea aeay ie 980
aas CoineidgA with accleLI
 o imprtrnt- facars st oty

female latory Pou Porbiathon (T able 3)

- ftmale LEP ha not recended a may
Changen many Ltts wth ti deline

-Ju Kla e And Pradesh Fenale LFP hoo

delined driny 9-2o0|

- Jmpormnto
with no itiam age Stuete ranaithon
Diension q Gevernent Jwstment!
dlnersin Q gonenmeta neatnect hom
Educati on and healthto mee produch ve scts
uintene eononnie chang by he way qage
touehm whange
Ach dl vesion uway trem Soial Sectors alikem
statn ab eat met n
ays been belon to
Gteathom hs alw
a.ence Bkaa Kula nen with ngatw
child potion fawt ho
STATISTICAL tALYSIS

wag atutu
tor epaiming the relatianlip - Cowtruet panel
and econowic

for major |S stat

data
yeas
Deperdt Vanissl: howts
Seeme.
Domestie Rroduet (SDP)
Gtat
- gu cap ta net b t a d from Central
ee 1480- Ceso) at 19944
Slatisheal organisahen
omd Gy Gpw leseah
Couatent pies frnlaten.

saing ethod uecd to

priot to 1980-8| ieone bas n (943-44
anie at pu cap' ta
bace yea
decade
tor fist Syeas usd a eueuy
(144-,1181-&S ete ).
Vaiatles !
Rati

rate

9.6rosth wnkng age Poputton

 Decadal Cenes dati we get
ddult lituwy
daiheL seetor woku
Non wain works Condd
to make t compaabe wth
149t cewaus docta)

- dat on Lige Eopethnet trom Same

- aailabl for 5 yen
penido for 1-}5, 8/- 85 aud 197/-9s.
ab |49-2603 data uoed l for last S-yeas)
howaehald lsras rate not awailabe
* Data on and henie
etimalis a
at tat level
iMde wthot Lonoae
an iportant
demagphyecbnomie va
thi,that
geoth
ndatass
elatiouahip
sfctio to
ide diesnd n the
accsnt for

demagpli indicator stati,

’louw Rajaihan
9northe state -ihayMf,UP,
Rnd As am
igh deelie indicatrr stetes
’
a Solhen talts

i dde
al sthw thon enbind cbus abone
lwpat. tstructure
estimatin
me Letm
s)to nlinng thot fod
duided
ha
dlemagaphe toudtowo
uctedeent
yean tudis Hay 7
utates
consleno
frorm enows
the dielapme leonmie anl
tpultn casality reere
populah
adds
the to ’
do
oten endogeniy
2SLS
vaiale rtt
Lhuchu
Anays Ewwomatr the D¢AtM
metode
S) odel Squene
lonomibw
Meladuleg
 to yuility

tind the a pimets

oach for iotimati n
data

seehen anays
beries -woss
method for time sies
full wgdet adeptel for calinmahiemu
Jhe
Ni= dit 2i+>ateI

Tate

’Vetot indeendlent vo'ables

adut papulaton
tud

eand model
denied trom the
hlahon
/ inelyundea vanates such as
Resoss

- at fihst OLs etimall caid cut withaut an

jathumntal ate
ovlaton
Tat
agiculhal wotkens and ite yetg
hon
adt
aglhmal wky
liliay Yatu

atimatis shou mot vau ables etud nto

the modl aue net igniat
u ase athuetu vaiabl cloes mot aheu
a sipnihint Ailationehig wita pe capita
jnceme t - maybe due to the
eonoi development
DLS wot wed

whe ,2, haue

betee
dpudo on 2
an

8LS violatd

as
)
stnat s not BLUS binem
(
wtiasd
ioimatn)
2SLS
ctinated acng 2sLS sleut
Mat vai asles
a
unceme
atsmental auable
Y2 to coimati
to vy
hot rcovulatd

caw be avn dod.

o
Cov (ya,v)
Aylialan
ocd witt Yo
satimaled and
sietor
aefon wekes
-aicultuna
i t i y non eeeneme grow7h
Aolult enne
Lf
and femal
ngntre elatton
shones a
icone capa.
wth rewth rate
Iweomeis fod to
Jaihal lenel

rgres
shuene vauiabl has sloen
2he ag
indetuy hat age stutane
growth cttil to
chge hine
 - and sutttaotio te hnpor
stouctue. tranihan in
leonoi ghwtsn the Coutny
CoNeLUS oNS setinbi
len denasnaie
- dnadyis shos countyfor eonemie gaut rasth
iaity n the not ncded n
ngo sat
- Houhotd sa bodimatio need to be ptd
analy
vansustges
- olifunt tutio
age stuetoue toiie
-a con

lueto
-ahicnd at househild linel ma'a

opotnt olue. to
oreous olue to a hgh
he neal wokig age oultin ceulel
goth

ranshon
moe decades due to
rals
Prengal hove ató
wet
relatiylo dendeny
acheinel a ae yt toce that
Metther tats

ogithie ' m t leaton 2 ealt

ane belod odisat