PRO2 presentation

Optimization of District Heating Production Planning

Group 10: Claudia Ciminieri, Mimmi Fröjdh, Hugo Holsti Heijbel, Petter
Larsson, I Wayan Sudiasa

1
System Overview

2
Area 1

3
Area 2

4
 Part 1 – Load duration curves, Base Case

Load duration curve Area 1 Load duration curve Area 2

900 900

800 800

700 700

600 600

Load (MW)
Load (MW)

500 500

400 400

300 300

200 200

100 100

0 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0

Percent of the year (%) Percent of the year (%)

Waste Wood Heat pumps Bio Oil Imports Heat Pumps Bio pellets Bio oil

5
 Part 2 – Load duration curves, Extreme weather conditions
Load duration curve Area 1 Load duration curve Area 2
900 900

800 800

700 700

600 600

Load (MW)
Load (MW)

500 500

400 400

300 300

200 200

100 100

0 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0

Percentage of the year (%) Percent of the year (%)

Waste Wood Chip Heat Pump Bio Oil import Heat Pumps Bio pellets Bio oil

6
 Heat Production on day with highest heat demand
Part 1 Part 2

Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on March Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on March
16th 2022 16th 2022
1000 1000

DH Supply (MW)
DH Supply (MW)

800 800
600 600
400 400
200 200
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

Waste Wood Chip Electricity Bio Oil Waste Wood Chip Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on March Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on March
16th 2022 16th 2022
250 250

DH Supply (MW)
DH Supply (MW)

200 200
150 150
100 100
50 50
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hours of the day

Imported Heat Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil Imported Heat Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil
7
 Electricity Production on day with highest heat demand

Part 1 Part 2

Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
on March 16th 2022 on March 16th 2022
400 400
Electricity Production (MW)

Electricity Production (MW)

300 300

200 200

100 100

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil

Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) on Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
March 16th 2022 on March 16th 2022
1 1
Electricity Production (MW)

Electricity Production (MW)

0,8 0,8
0,6 0,6
0,4 0,4
0,2 0,2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hour of the day
8
Bio Pellet Bio Oil Bio Pellet Bio Oil
 Operational costs on day with highest heat demand

Part 1 Part 2
Area 1 Operational Costs 16th March 2022 Area 1 Operational costs 16th March 2022
25000 25000
20000 20000
Euro (€)

Euro (€)
15000 15000
10000 10000
5000 5000
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 Operational Costs 16th March 2022 Area 2 Operational cost 16th March 2022
25000 25000
20000 20000
Euro (€)

Euro (€)
15000 15000

10000 10000

5000 5000

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day
9
Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil
 Revenues on day with highest heat demand

Part 1 Part 2​

Area 1 Revenue on March 16th 2022 Area 1 Revenue on March 16th 2022
(Highest DH Demand) (Highest DH Demand)
80 000,00 80 000,00
Revenue (EUR)

Revenue (EUR)
60 000,00 60 000,00
40 000,00 40 000,00

20 000,00 20 000,00

- -
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

DH Revenue Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Waste) Elec (Wood Chip) DH Revenue Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Waste) Elec (Wood Chip)

Area 2 Revenue on March 16th 2022

Area 2 Revenue on March 16th 2022
(Highest DH Demand)
(Highest DH Demand)
15000
15000

Revenue (EUR)
10000
10000
Revenue (EUR)

5000
5000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day
Hour of the day
Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil) DH Revenue 10
Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil) DH Revenue
 Heat production on day with lowest heat demand

Part 1 Part 2
Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on July
Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on July
20th 2022
20th 2022
80
DH Supply (MW)

80

DH Supply (MW)
60 60
40 40

20 20
0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day
Hour of the day
Waste Wood Chip Electricity Bio Oil
Waste Wood Chip Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on July Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on July
20th 2022 20th 2022
15
20
DH Supply (MW)

DH Supply (MW)
10 15

10
5
5
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hours of the day
11
Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil Imported Heat Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil Imported Heat
 Electricity Production on day with lowest heat demand

Part 1​ Part 2​
Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
on July 20th 2022 on July 20th 2022
30 30
Electricity Production (MW)

Electricity Production (MW)

20 20

10 10

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil

Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) on July Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) on July
20th 2022 20th 2022
1 1

Electricity Production (MW)

Electricity Production (MW)

0,5 0,5

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hour of the day
12
Bio Pellets Bio OIl Bio Pellet Bio Oil
 Operational costs on day with lowest heat demand

Part 1​​ Part 2

Area 1 Operational Costs 20th July
Area 1 Operational cost 20th July 2022
20
20
15
Euro (€)

15

Euro (€)
10
10
5
5
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day
Hour of the day
Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil
Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 Operational Costs 20th July Area 2 Operational cost 20th July 2022
1
1
0,8
0,8
Euro (€)

0,6

Euro (€)
0,6
0,4 0,4
0,2 0,2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hour of the day

Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil Electricity Bio Pellet Bio Oil 13
 Revenues on day with lowest heat demand

Part 1​​ Part 2

Area 1 Revenue on July 20th 2022
(Lowest DH Demand) Area 1 Revenue on July 20th 2022
(Lowest DH Demand)
4 000,00
4000
Revenue (EUR)

Revenue (EUR)
3 000,00
3000
2 000,00 2000
1000
1 000,00
0
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day
Hour of the day
DH Revenue Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Waste) Elec (Wood Chip)
DH Revenue Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Waste) Elec (Wood Chip)

Area 2 Revenue on July 20th 2022 Area 2 Revenue on July 20th 2022
(Lowest DH Demand) (Lowest DH Demand)
500 500
Electricity Revenue (EUR)

400

Revenue (EUR)
400
300 300
200 200
100 100
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day
14
Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil) DH Revenue Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil) DH Revenue
 Heat Production on day with highest electricity price
Part 1​​ Part 2
Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on November 29th Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on November 29th
2022 2022
700 700

DH Production (MW)
600 600
DH Supply (MW)

500 500
400 400
300 300
200 200
100 100
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hours of the day

Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on November 29th

Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on November 29th
2022
2022
120
120
100

DH Production (MW)
DH Supply (MW)

100
80
80
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hours of the day
15
Imported heat Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil Imported heat Electricity Bio Pellet Bio Oil
 Electricity Production on day with highest electricity price

Part 1​​ Part 2

Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
on November 29th 2022 Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
on November 29th 2022
300
Electricity Production (MW)

300

Electricity Production (MW)

200
200
100
100
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day
Hour of the day
Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil
Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil

Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) on
on November 29th 2022 November 29th 2022
80 80

Electricity Production (MW)

Electricity Production (MW)

60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

Bio Pellet Bio Oil Bio Pellet Bio Oil 16

 Operational costs on day with highest electricity price

Part 1​​ Part 2​​

Area 1 Operational Costs 29th November Area 1 Operational cost 29th November 2022
10000
10000
8000 8000

Euro (€)
Euro (€)

6000 6000

4000 4000

2000 2000

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Hour of the day Hour of the day

Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 Operational Costs 29th November Area 2 Operational cost 29th November 2022
16000 20000
14000
12000 15000

Euro (€)
10000
Euro (€)

8000 10000
6000
4000 5000
2000
0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day
17
Electricity Bio Pellet Bio Oil
Electricity Bio Pellet Bio Oil
 Revenues on day with highest electricity price

Part 1​​ Part 2

Area 1 Revenue on November 29th 2022
Area 1 Revenue on November 29th 2022 (Highest Electricity Price)
(Highest Electricity Price)
100000
100 000,00
80000

Revenue (EUR)
Revenue (EUR)

80 000,00
60000
60 000,00
40 000,00 40000

20 000,00 20000

- 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

DH Revenue Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Waste) Elec (Wood Chip) DH Revenue Elec (Waste) Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Wood Chip)

Area 2 Revenue on November 29th 2022 Area 2 Revenue on November 29th 2022
(Highest Electricity Price) (Highest Electricity Price)
30 000,00 30 000,00
25 000,00 25 000,00

Revenue (EUR)
Revenue (EUR)

20 000,00 20 000,00
15 000,00 15 000,00
10 000,00 10 000,00
5 000,00 5 000,00
- -
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day
18
DH Revenue Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil) DH Revenue Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil)
 Heat Production on day with the lowest electricity price

Part 1​​ Part 2

Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on April 5th 2022 Area 1 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on April 5th 2022
800 800
DH Supply (MW)

DH Production (MW)
600 600
400 400
200 200
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hours of the day

Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on April 5th 2022 Area 2 DH Production by Fuel (MW) on April 5th 2022
120 120

DH Production (MW)
100 100
DH Supply (MW)

80 80
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hours of the day Hours of the day

Imported Heat Electricity Bio Pellets Bio Oil Imported heat Electricity Bio Pellet Bio Oil
19
 Electricity Production on day with lowest electricity price

Part 1​​ Part 2

Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
Area 1 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
on April 5th 2022
on April 5th 2022
200
Electricity Production (MW)

200

Electricity Production (MW)

150
150
100 100
50 50
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil Waste Wood Chip Bio Oil

Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW) Area 2 Electricity Production by Fuel (MW)
on April 5th 2022 on April 5th 2022
1 1
Electricity Production (MW)

Electricity Production (MW)

0,8 0,8
0,6 0,6
0,4 0,4
0,2 0,2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day
20
Bio Pellet Bio Oil Bio Pellet Bio Oil
 Operational costs on day with lowest electricity price
Part 1​​ Part 2
Area 1 Operational Costs 5th April Area 1 Operational cost 5th April 2022
10000 10000

8000 8000
Euro (€)

Euro (€)
6000 6000

4000 4000

2000 2000

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil Waste Wood Chips Electricity Bio Oil

Area 2 Operational Costs 5th April Area 2 Operational cost 5th April 2022
8000 8000
7000 7000
6000 6000
5000 5000

Euro (€)
Euro (€)

4000 4000
3000 3000
2000 2000
1000 1000
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day
21
Electricity Bio Pellet Bio Oil Electricity Bio Pellet Bio Oil
 Revenues on day with lowest electricity price

Part 1​​ Part 2

Area 1 Revenue on April 5th 2022
Area 1 Revenue on April 5th 2022
(Lowest Electricity Price)
(Lowest Electricity Price)
20 000,00
20 000,00
Revenue (EUR)

Revenue (EUR)
15 000,00
15 000,00
10 000,00 10 000,00
5 000,00 5 000,00

- -
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day Hour of the day

DH Revenue Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Waste) Elec (Wood Chip) DH Revenue Elec (Bio Oil) Elec (Waste) Elec (Wood Chip)

Area 2 Revenue on April 5th 2022 Area 2 Revenue on April 5th 2022
(Lowest Electricity Price) (Lowest Electricity Price)
3000 3000
2500 2500

Revenue (EUR)
Revenue (EUR)

2000 2000
1500 1500
1000 1000
500 500
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hour of the day Hour of the day
22
Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil) DH revenue Elec (Bio Pellet) Elec (Bio Oil) DH Revenue
 Break even point, Part 1 & 2
• Break even for the system does not occur as the • Break even for the system does not occur as the
revenues from sold electricity are larger than the revenues from sold electricity are larger than the
total fuel costs. total fuel costs.

• Total revenues with set prices:

• Total revenues with set prices:
195 MEUR/year
195 MEUR/year
• Electricity revenues with set prices:
• Electricity revenues with set prices:
43,0 MEUR/year
42,9 MEUR/year
• Total operational costs with set prices:
• Total operational costs with set prices:
42,8 MEUR/year
42,1 MEUR/year

23
Thank you!

24