Professional Documents
Culture Documents
33720436
33720436
33720436
Walter J. Ammann
Received (in revised form): 7th January, 2008
Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, Flüelastr. 11, CH-7260 Davos, Switzerland
Tel: ⫹41 81 417 02 31; Fax: ⫹41 81 417 01 10; E-mail: walter.ammann@idrc.info
Walter J. Ammann is President of the Global outlines the importance of an integral risk
Risk Forum GRF Davos, Switzerland and Chair- management process and public–private partner-
man of the biennial International Disaster and ship and — taking Switzerland as an ex-
Risk Conference IDRC Davos. His professional ample — describes the process of developing
interests focus on integrated risk management, and establishing a widely supported vision and
particularly the use of technical measures to strategy to cope with risks due to natural hazards.
develop prevention strategies along the risk The paper also elaborates some ideas on how
circle; intervention with early warning, crisis to expand the strategy to other risks and
management and communication tools; and stakeholders. The Swiss approach involves public
recovery with risk-financing tools. Walter lec- and private sector representatives, assembled in
tures at ETH Zurich and at the University of an extra-parliamentary commission as a national
Zurich and has written an extensive number of platform to cope with natural hazards. This
scientific papers, books, reports and guidelines multi-stakeholder strategy development process
for practitioners. He chairs the Board of the has resulted in an action plan for implementing
Swiss Research Institute on High Altitude the strategy. Major progress has been achieved,
Climate and Medicine. He is a member of with all stakeholders committing to a commonly
various national and international professional established risk concept, to allocate substantial
associations and expert panels. Walter received resources for the improvement of the risk dialogue
both his MSc in civil engineering and his PhD in and, finally, to accept a periodic audit to evaluate
structural dynamics and earthquake engineering the status and success of the strategy.
from ETH Zurich.
Keywords: natural hazards, integral risk
management, risk strategy, risk assess-
ABSTRACT ment, public–private partnership, risk
The challenge of coping with disasters, risks and dialogue
emergency situations must be seen as a per-
manent management process with clearly defined
tasks, responsibilities and resource allocations. INTRODUCTION
This process requires a continuous effort, includ- The 2005 World Conference for Disaster
ing periodic identification, analyses and assess- Risk Reduction held in Kobe, Japan,
ments of the critical stages along the risk circle, brought consensus that, to achieve risk-
thus considering prevention, intervention and resilient, sustainable societies, the manage-
Journal of Business Continuity & recovery. To cope effectively and efficiently with ment of unexpected events — such as
Emergency Planning
Vol. 2 No. 4, pp. 390–402 disasters demands a clear strategy, involving all natural hazards, climate change, pan-
䉷 Henry Stewart Publications,
1749-9216 stakeholders and risk scenarios. This paper demics and diseases, man-made hazards or
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Ammann
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Ammann
participation. Stronger ties with adequate oriented thinking. On the one hand,
public–private partnership models must be people fear risks and, on the other hand,
built among risk management com- there are practical limits to safety and
munities and sectors, and approaches security. Limiting criteria may be the
should be devised to move towards a restrictions of the efforts, resources and
more truly integrated way of thinking expenditures put into safety measures,
about risk: a holistic approach to risk but considerations also include technical
reduction with safety, security and sus- feasibility and ecological factors. It is a
tainability at the centre. This is an political act to define these limits in terms
approach that will help policy makers and of a risk level, which is accepted by the
business people, risk managers and civil society.
society to address the complex risks ‘Risk governance’6 looks at how risk-
around them more effectively. related decision–making unfolds when a
multitude of stakeholders or responsible
actors are involved, requiring coordina-
RISK, RISK CULTURE AND RISK tion and possibly reconciliation between
GOVERNANCE a profusion of roles, perspectives, goals
Risks are perceived differently and thus and activities. The actors’ problem-solv-
many different definitions of risk exist. ing capacities often do not match the
Risks due to natural hazards as an ex- major challenges and risks, such as those
ample are seen differently from ecological, from natural hazards. This calls for coor-
technical or social risks, and the dif- dinated efforts among a variety of actors,
ferent ways in which people perceive risks beyond the frontiers of countries, sectors,
strongly influence how they urge for hierarchical levels, subject areas and risk
mitigation measures. Risks describe the fields. The individual steps that make up
potential effects that hazards are likely to this process are described in the following
have on specific targets such as human by the term ‘integral risk management’.
beings, buildings, critical infrastructures, Good risk governance stands for
companies, social communities, ecosys- transparency in decision making, effective-
tems, etc. In other words, risk represents ness and efficiency of the measures,
the uncertain consequence of an event or accountability, strategic focus, sus-
an activity with respect to something that tainability, equity and fairness, and the need
humans value. These consequences are for the solution to be politically and legally
often difficult to assess, especially those of feasible as well as ethically and publicly
a sociopolitical and also economic na- acceptable. Integral risk management and
ture; such consequences go far beyond good risk governance are complicated by
purely local damage and cannot simply be the fact that many risks of today’s society are
viewed in isolation. A strategy for protec- not isolated events with a limited extent,
tion from disasters has to find a way to put but are often transboundary risks, affecting
the various risks (in all their facets) onto countries with different political systems
a standard scale to allow for comparability and coping strategies. Risks are therefore
and to serve as a platform upon which distributed over time, space and
measures can be agreed. populations affected. The timescale of the
The term ‘risk culture’ refers to the way appearance of adverse effects is particularly
a society handles questions of safety and important as delayed effects may appear,
security. Risk culture emphasises that in- thus linking risk governance and sustainable
security can only be controlled by risk- development.
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Intervention
Organisational measures
Emergency/crisis management
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Ammann
Cost-benefit analysis
environmentally equilibrated)
(socially, economically and
(economical and political)
Communication
Transparency
Sustainability
Definitions
Reliable data
The planning of measures serves to iden- ‘5S concept’, meaning that stakeholders,
tify and assess measures that are necessary strategy, standards, sustainability and sur-
and appropriate to reach the protection vey are important issues to be followed
goals. The main function of the planning consequently. Possible ways to deal with
of integrated measures is to achieve the risks are described in more detail in Am-
intended level of safety within the agreed mann (2006).7
limits in the most cost-effective way. The Safety measures usually have side ef-
protection with organisational, technical fects, which also have to be taken into
and biological measures has to be planned, account in cost-effectiveness analysis. The
checked for effectiveness, and undertaken most obvious among these are the finan-
in concert, while keeping in mind that cial or economic aspects. But aspects of
prevention, intervention and reconstruc- ecology, of landscape protection or of land
tion are all equally valid risk-management use planning can be of equal impor-
measures. tance. For an optimal coordination of all
Further criteria, such as acceptability, measures, all relevant aspects have to
feasibility and reliability of solutions have be considered. As long as the side ef-
to be kept in mind as well. All solu- fects are an inherent part of the safety
tions have to fulfil the criterion of sus- measures, all costs have to be allocated
tainability, ie in a sustainable way disaster to the safety. But if safety measures, as
risk management has to be a socially, an example, also further the economic
economically and environmentally equi- growth, the resulting costs should be split
librated approach. A periodic survey as a between economics and safety, and full
risk audit is necessary to reveal gaps transparency provided.
and to support priority setting. To easily Through the base of the risk concept,
memorise the different steps of integral integral risk management shows how the
risk management, it is also called the overlying aims can be reached, with
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A multi-organisational strategy for managing emergencies
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A multi-organisational strategy for managing emergencies
insight into the overall risk pattern of difficulties with measuring and problems
Switzerland and the repartition of expendi- with predictions.
tures to cope with natural hazards. A
consistent risk concept has been developed
in line with technical risk handling proce- SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK
dures. The concept has set clear guidance The successful management of disasters
on how to analyse and assess risks, thus and emergencies requires a multi-
enabling risks to be handled as a complex, stakeholder approach, based on a
mental construction. In order to achieve a consistent strategy, which follows a
comparable level of safety from the risks stringent risk concept with clearly defined
due to natural hazards all over Switzerland, risk analysis and risk assessment proce-
uniform limits had to be set, covering dures, integrating measures for disaster
life and limb, property and important in- prevention, intervention and recovery
frastructure. alike. To identify, analyse and assess a
PLANAT is currently preparing a sum- specific risk situation, to agree on
mary report for the federal government measures, to execute them, to control
on the achievements of the last three years their effects and to improve them if
and with a proposal for the next three necessary is the permanent loop of key
years’ activities. activities, when dealing with risks and
disasters.
Optimal disaster risk management in-
MULTINATIONAL AND GLOBAL cludes all stakeholders; the key factors
RISKS requiring special attention are summarised
National strategies tend to have an in Figure 3 and include among others:
inward-looking perspective and neglect
the existence of global risks. Global risks20 • The acquisition of reliable data: Reliable
are events or circumstances that are data form the indispensable base for any
far beyond any particular stakeholder’s planning process and for decisions in
capacity to control and may adversely disaster risk management. Increasingly
affect multiple parties across geographic (and particularly due to climate change)
borders, sectors and industries. it is insufficient to extrapolate data from
To cope with global risks, the past into the future. Rather, methods
new frameworks, principles, strategies, and techniques are needed to develop
mechanisms and methods have to be scenarios for future events as the extent
found, and the outcomes have to be and importance of natural hazards can no
validated. The more complex the risk longer only be judged by contemporary
landscape gets, the more necessary a and historical events.
collaborative global risk-reward manage- • Transparency in every aspect: Only an
ment process becomes. Public–private open partnership between science,
partnership may play a substantial role in governmental agencies, the private sector
risk management, but it also requires and the public leads to an improvement
leadership in sustainable development — in disaster risk management.
the other side of the coin. Confronted • Professional and clear communication:
with global risks, both people and Communication as an in-depth risk
institutions involved struggle with the dialogue between different disciplines,
high degree of uncertainty that grows governmental agencies, the private sector
with the number of unknown quantities, and the public leads to optimised disaster
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Ammann
Figure 3 Base,
Risk avoidance support and
(eg land-use planning) overarching roof of
good governance in
disaster risk
management
Total original risk
Risk reduction
( measures)
Risk transfer
( insurance)
Self-responsibility
(residual risk)
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