Homework Set #3_Q1,2,3,4,5_Excel Solutions

HX 1 Steam HX
LMTD 40.1025 Ta, in (T1) 515

U 20 BTU / hr ft^2 F Ta, out 530
A 5361.267 ft^2 Ts, in 645
498.0780 m^2 Ts, sat 545
Cost per unit area $150 per m^2 Ts, out 525
TCI (2001) $74,711.70 U, liq and super 20
TCI (2022) $496,070.66 U, latent 100
LF 4 Q 150,000.00
CEPCI (2001) 397 Cp, steam 0.475
CEPCI (2022) 659 Cp, liq 1.26
EAOC $118,324.14 per year H,vap 650
im 0.2 Mdot(steam) 207.56
Q, super 9,858.86
Q, lat 134,910.75
Costs (Today's $) Q, liq 5,230.39
HX1 TCI $496,070.66 Ta,1 (intermediate) 515.52
CW HX TCI $184,999.31 Ta,2 (intermediate) 529.01
Steam HW TCI $205,760.97 LMTD, super 50.179
TCI (total) $886,830.94 LMTD, lat 22.048
EAOC $228,577.46 per year LMTD, liq 18.017
A, super 9.82
A, lat 61.19
A, liq 14.52
A, total 7.946
Cost per unit area $3,900
TCI (2001) $30,989.04
TCI (2022) $205,760.97
EAOC $61,282.91
Utility Cost $12,204.23
Cooling Water HX
F Tb, in (T2) 184 F
F Tb, out 100 F
F T,cw, in 80 F
F T,cw, out 120 F
F U 20 BTU / hr ft^2 F
BTU / hr ft^2 F LMTD 37.9
BTU / hr ft^2 F Mdot (cw) 25250 lb / hr
BTU / hr Cp (Eng Toolbox) 1 BTU / lb F
BTU / lb F Q 1,010,000.00 BTU / hr
BTU / lb F A 1,332.92 ft^2
BTU / lb 123.83 m^2
lb / hr Cost per unit area $225 per m^2
TCI (2001) $27,862.19
BTU / hr TCI (2022) $184,999.31
BTU / hr EAOC $48,970.41 per year
BTU / hr Utility Cost $4,843.86 per year
F Density at 100F 61.996 lb / ft^3 Total
F 140,000
Total Utility (lb/hr)

F mdot(steam) + mdot(CW) 120,000
F Ta,in (T1) (oC) Total Utility (lb/hr) EAOC (HEN) ($/yr) 100,000
F 110 132,312 $693,142 80,000
ft^2 130 127,035 $671,059 60,000
ft^2 150 121,758 $648,843 40,000
170 116,481 $626,483 20,000
ft^2
0
m^2 190 111,205 $603,971 50 100 150 2
per m^2 210 105,928 $581,295
230 100,651 $558,443
250 95,374 $535,402
per year 270 90,098 $512,157 EAOC
per year 290 84,821 $488,693
$800,000
310 79,544 $464,992 $700,000
330 74,267 $441,034 $600,000
EAOC ($/yr)
350 68,991 $416,803 $500,000

$400,000
370 63,714 $392,280
$300,000
390 58,437 $367,456 $200,000
410 53,160 $342,336 $100,000
430 47,884 $316,966 $0
50 100 150 2
450 42,607 $291,495
470 37,330 $266,359
490 32,053 $242,979
510 26,777 $227,787 If the objective function is total utility co
515 25,458 $228,577 If the objective function is EAOC ($/yr), T
Stream A
T,in 100 F
T,out 530 F
M 10,000 lb / hr
Cp 1 BTU / lb F
Heating Required 4,300,000 BTU / hr
Stream B
T,in 530 F
T,out 100 F
M 20,000 lb / hr
Cp 0.6 BTU / lb F
Cooling Required -5,160,000 BTU / hr
184
Total Utility vs. T1

140,000
Total Utility (lb/hr)
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550
T1 (oC)
EAOC (HEN) vs. T1

$800,000
$700,000
$600,000
EAOC ($/yr)
$500,000
$400,000
$300,000
$200,000
$100,000
$0
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550
T1 (oC)
If the objective function is total utility consumption, T1 (opt)=515 oC.

If the objective function is EAOC ($/yr), T1 (opt)=510 oC.
Condenser Optimization A condenser for a distillation column must be designed to conden
is 60 oC. The heat of condensation for the vapor is 465 KJ/kg. The c
heat transfer coefficient can be taken as 0.28 kJ/(m 2.s. K). The hea
condenser in $s can be obtained from the following relation. Ce =
square meters. The plant operates 8400 hours/year.
Part (a)
System Variables Process Fluid Side
U_overall [kJ/(m^2*hr*K)] 1008 Mass Flow [kg/hr] 2500
Q [kJ/hr] 1162500 delta_H_vap [kJ/kg] 465
Delta_T_LM 26.99454106 Temperature [C] 60
a 11000
b 115 What is the optimum water outlet temperature if
you use the following criteria?
n 1 Equivalent Annual Op. Cost = 0.2 x Capital Cost of
Surface_Area [m^2] 42.72248255 Equipment + Water Cost
Cost_Condenser [$] 15913.08549
EAOC [$/yr] 23550.10084 Optimized with Solver
Part (b)
a 11000
n 1 Equivalent Annual Op. Cost = 0.2 x Capital Cost of
Surface_Area [m^2] 50.63769175 Equipment + Water Cost
Part (c) with (a)

a 11000
n 1 Equivalent Annual Op. Cost = 0.2 x Lang Factor x
Lang Factor 4.5 Capital Cost of Equipment + Water Cost
Surface_Area [m^2] 37.2903492
Part (c) with (b)

a 11000
n 1 Equivalent Annual Op. Cost = 0.2 x Lang Factor x
Lang Factor 4.5 Capital Cost of Equipment + Water Cost

st be designed to condense 2500 kg vapor per hour. The effective condensation temperature for the vapor
e vapor is 465 KJ/kg. The cost of cooling water which is available at 20 oC is $.20 per cubic meter. The overall
0.28 kJ/(m 2.s. K). The heat capacity of water may be assumed to be constant at 4.2 kJ/(kg K). The cost of
e following relation. Ce = a + b S n with a = 11,000, b = 115, n = 1.0 and where S is the condenser area in
hours/year.
Cooling Water Side

Mass Flow [kg/hr] 12123.50223
Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 42.83050797
density [kg/m^3] 1000
ter outlet temperature if Water Cost [$/m^3] 0.2
g criteria?
ost = 0.2 x Capital Cost of Water Cost [$] 20367.48374
+ Water Cost
Cooling Water Side

Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 48.61131876
ter outlet temperature if Water Cost [$/m^3] 2
g criteria?
ost = 0.2 x Capital Cost of Water Cost [$] 162523.0923
+ Water Cost
Cooling Water Side

Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 36.65803042
ter outlet temperature if Water Cost [$/m^3] 0.2
g criteria?
ost = 0.2 x Lang Factor x Water Cost [$] 27914.46457
pment + Water Cost
Cooling Water Side

Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 45.93583823
ter outlet temperature if Water Cost [$/m^3] 2
g criteria?
ost = 0.2 x Lang Factor x Water Cost [$] 179288.5952
pment + Water Cost
Part (d) with (a)
a 11000
b 115
n 1
EAOC [$/yr] 18925.72902
Part (d) with (b)

a 11000
b 115
n 1
EAOC [$/yr] 158425.729
Part (d) with (c,a)

a 11000
b 115
n 1
Lang Factor 4.5
EAOC [$/yr] 30915.78058
Part (d) with (c,b)

a 11000
b 115
n 1
Lang Factor 4.5
EAOC [$/yr] 170415.7806

Cooling Water Side
Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 50
Water Cost [$/m^3] 0.2
Water Cost [$] 15500
Cooling Water Side

Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 50
Water Cost [$/m^3] 2
Cooling Water Side

Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 50
Water Cost [$/m^3] 0.2
Cooling Water Side

Cp [kJ/(kg*K)] 4.2
T_in [C] 20
T_out [C] 50
Water Cost [$/m^3] 2
Problem 2 Part A ZW
Stage #s Sequence AABC
Product A Start Product A(1) Blank Product A(2) Blank Product B Blank
Stage 1 0.00 5.00 0.00 5.00 3.00 3.00 0.00
Stage 2 5.00 4.00 1.00 4.00 2.00 1.00 3.00
Stage 3 9.00 3.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 3.00 3.00
Sequence BAAC
Product B Start Product B Blank Product A(1) Blank Product A(Blank
Stage 1 0.00 3.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 5.00 0.00
Stage 2 3.00 1.00 4.00 4.00 1.00 4.00 0.00
Stage 3 4.00 3.00 5.00 3.00 2.00 3.00 0.00
Problem 2 Part B NIS

Product A Start Product A(1) A(1) Wait Blank Product A(2) A(2) Wait Blank
Stage 1 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00
Stage 2 5.00 4.00 0.00 1.00 4.00 0.00 0.00
Stage 3 9.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 0.00
Sequence BAAC
Product B Start Product B B Wait Blank Product A(1) A(1) Wait Blank
Stage 1 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00
Stage 2 3.00 1.00 4.00 0.00 4.00 1.00 0.00
Stage 3 8.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 1.00
Problem 2 Part C UIS

Product A Start Product A(1) A(1) Wait Blank Product A(2) A(2) Wait Blank
Stage 1 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00
Stage 2 5.00 4.00 0.00 1.00 4.00 0.00 0.00
Stage 3 9.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 0.00
Sequence BAAC
Product B Start Product B B Wait Blank Product A(1) A(1) Wait Blank
Stage 1 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00
Stage 2 3.00 1.00 4.00 0.00 4.00 1.00 0.00
Stage 3 4.00 3.00 0.00 6.00 3.00 0.00 1.00
Product C Cycle Time (hrs)
4.00 20.00
0.00 5.00
3.00 Makespan (hrs)
2.00 25.00
Stage 1
Product C Cycle Time (hrs)
4.00 17.00
3.00 Makespan (hrs)
2.00 22.00
Stage 2
Product B B Wait Blank Product C C Wait Cycle Time (hrs)

3.00 1.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 18.00 Stage 3
1.00 2.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 Makespan (hrs)
3.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 0.00 23.00
Product A(2)A(2) Wait Blank Product C C Wait Cycle Time (hrs)

5.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 5.00
4.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 Makespan (hrs)
3.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 22.00
Stage 1
Product B B Wait Blank Product C C Wait Cycle Time (hrs)

3.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 17.00 Stage 2
1.00 0.00 2.00 3.00 0.00 Makespan (hrs)
3.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 22.00
Stage 3
Product A(2)A(2) Wait Blank Product C C Wait Cycle Time (hrs)
5.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 17.00
4.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 Makespan (hrs)
3.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 22.00
0.00 5.00
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
Stage 3
0.00 5.00
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
0.00 5.00
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
0.00 5.00
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
Part A.1
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00
age 1
age 2
age 3
Part A.2
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
age 1
age 2
age 3
Part B.1
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
age 1
age 2
age 3
age 3
Part B.2
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
age 1
age 2
age 3
Part C.1
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
age 1
age 2
age 3
Part C.2
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
age 1
age 2
age 3
30.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
Pump Reliability 0.9
Valve Reliability 0.99
Compressor Reliability 0.7
System relibility (no spares) 0.5557167
Days operational w/o maintenance 202.8365955 202

Days operational w/ maintenance 182
Unscheduled shutdown days 163

Annual cost of Unscheduled shut down $ 4,075,000.00
feed pump fails 0.05557167

recycle pump fails 0.05557167
compressor fails 0.16671501
valve 1 fails 0.005557167
valve 2 fails 0.005557167
valve 1 + 2 fail 0.00005557167
System Reliability (spares) 0.84474495567 w/ spares
capital cost of spares $ 314,000.00

Days operational w/o maintenance 308.3319088195 308 Chart Title
Unscheduled shutdown days 57 $4,000,000.00
Annual cost of Unscheduled shut down $ 1,425,000.00
$3,500,000.00
cost w/spares $ 1,739,000.00 $3,000,000.00

cost w/o spares $ 4,075,000.00 $2,500,000.00
$2,000,000.00
$1,500,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$500,000.00
$-
cost w/spares
Chart Title
cost w/spares cost w/o spares

Constants FCI =$ 600000
Product Value ($/ton) 750 Q = 4000 ton/yr
Raw Material Cost ($/ton) 400 FCI =$ 900000
Energy Cost ($/ton) 100 Q = 8000 ton/yr
Depreciation Life (yr) 7
Model: FCI = a*Q^b
Plant Life (yr) 12 ln(FCI) = ln(a) + b*ln(Q)
Start-up Expenses ($) 100000
ln(600000) = ln(a) + b*ln(4000)
Tax Rate 0.25 ln(900000) = ln(a) + b(ln(8000)
i_m 0.15
a 4689.01076843776 a = 4689.010768437764
b = 0.584962500721158
b 0.584962500721158
Max Labor Cost ($/yr) 200000

Max Overhead Cost ($/yr) 275000
Max Other Annual Expenses ($/yr) 100000
Year Q Production
1 0 0 0
1 4200 4200
2 4600 4600
3 5000 5000
4 5400 5000
5 5800 5000
6 6200 5000
7 6200 5000
8 6200 5000
9 6200 5000
10 5700 5000
11 5200 5000
12 4700 4700
12
Total Investment ($) = $1,098,659.69

$5,000,000
$4,000,000
$3,000,000
Cash Flow ($)
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
$3,000,000
Cumulative Cash Flow ($)

$2,000,000
$1,000,000
$0
-1 0
WC + FCI + -$1,000,000
Start-up
-$2,000,000
00000 Variables
0 ton/yr Capacity (tons) 5000
00000 FCI ($) 683659.690299896
0 ton/yr TCI ($) $1,098,659.69
SV ($) 68365.9690299896
FCI = a*Q^b
ln(a) + b*ln(Q) Depreciation Value ($/yr) 87899.103038558
Max Maintenance Cost ($/yr) 68365.9690299896
00) = ln(a) + b*ln(4000)
00) = ln(a) + b(ln(8000) WC ($) $315,000.00
WC Payments $181,500.00
.010768437764 i_WC 0.1
4962500721158
1 1
Labor ($/yr) Overhead ($/yr) Other Annual Expenses ($/yr)

$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
$178,603.52 $245,579.84 $89,301.76
$188,093.44 $258,628.48 $94,046.72
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$190,817.92 $262,374.64 $95,408.96
Non-Discounted Cumulative Cash Flow Diagram

$5,000,000
$4,000,000
Net Value Generated (non-
discounted)
$3,000,000
Cash Flow ($)
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
$3,000,000
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
Production Period
$0
-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-$1,000,000
Payback Time
-$2,000,000
Project Life
Time (years)
Capacity Percentage Labor Cost Percentage
Labor Cost Per
100 100 100
f(x) = 0.000106666666666666 x³ −
75 85 90
50 75
25 60 80
70
60
Find A Given P A = P*(A/P, i%,n)
50
40
30
20
10
0
20 30 40 5
Maintenance ($/yr) Revenue, R Cash E Expenses, E

$0.00 $0.00 $1,098,659.69 $1,198,659.69
$61,052.01 $3,150,000.00 $2,856,037.13 $3,043,936.24
$64,295.95 $3,450,000.00 $3,086,564.59 $3,174,463.69
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,231,265.07
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,231,265.07
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,231,265.07
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,231,265.07
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,231,265.07
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,143,365.97
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,143,365.97
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,143,365.97
$68,365.97 $3,750,000.00 $3,143,365.97 $3,143,365.97
$65,227.26 $3,525,000.00 $2,963,828.78 $2,963,828.78
Flow Diagram
SV + WC
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Labor Cost Percentage vs Capacity Percentage
100
f(x) = 0.000106666666666666 x³ − 0.0199999999999999 x² + 1.63333333333333 x + 30.0000000000001
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
R-E Taxes Net Profits CF(i) CF(0)

-$1,198,659.69 0 -$1,198,659.69 -$1,198,659.69 -$1,198,659.69
$106,063.76 $26,515.94 $79,547.82 $267,446.93 $232,562.54
$275,536.31 68884.0764225 $206,652.23 $294,551.33 $222,723.12
$518,734.93 129683.732036 $389,051.20 $476,950.30 $313,602.56
$518,734.93 129683.732036 $389,051.20 $476,950.30 $272,697.88
$518,734.93 129683.732036 $389,051.20 $476,950.30 $237,128.59
$518,734.93 129683.732036 $389,051.20 $476,950.30 $206,198.78
$518,734.93 129683.732036 $389,051.20 $476,950.30 $179,303.28
$606,634.03 151658.507796 $454,975.52 $454,975.52 $148,732.31
$606,634.03 151658.507796 $454,975.52 $454,975.52 $129,332.44
$606,634.03 151658.507796 $454,975.52 $454,975.52 $112,462.99
$606,634.03 151658.507796 $454,975.52 $454,975.52 $97,793.91
$561,171.22 140292.805039 $420,878.42 $804,244.38 $150,319.03
NPW = $1,104,197.74
Optimal Capacity = 6200

Optimal NPW = $1,200,785.19
% NPW difference = 8.0%

Cummulative Cash Flows (non-discounted) Cummulative Cash Flows (discounted)
-$1,198,659.69 -$1,198,659.69 -1
-$931,212.76 -$966,097.15 0
-$636,661.43 -$743,374.02 0
-$159,711.13 -$429,771.46 1
$317,239.17 -$157,073.58 2
$794,189.47 $80,055.02 3
$1,271,139.76 $286,253.79 4
$1,748,090.06 $465,557.08 5
$2,203,065.59 $614,289.38 6
$2,658,041.11 $743,621.82 7
$3,113,016.63 $856,084.81 8
$3,567,992.16 $953,878.72 9
$3,988,870.57 $1,104,197.74 10
$4,372,236.54 11
12
12
Base-Case Design
$0 $0
-$783,660 -$783,660
-$1,098,660 -$1,098,660
-$931,213 -$966,097
-$636,661 -$743,374
-$159,711 -$429,771
$317,239 -$157,074
$794,189 $80,055
$1,271,140 $286,254
$1,748,090 $465,557
$2,203,066 $614,289
$2,658,041 $743,622
$3,113,017 $856,085
$3,567,992 $953,879
$3,988,871 $1,032,544
$4,372,237 $1,104,198
Variation From Base Value Sales Price (+/-20%) Production Rate (+/- 20%) Feed Cost (-10% to +30%)
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8 -$1,730,820 $342,395
0.9 -$313,311 $746,329 $1,885,665
1 $1,104,198 $1,104,198 $1,104,198
1.1 $2,521,707 $1,377,607 $322,730
1.2 $3,939,216 $1,575,068 -$458,737
1.3 -$1,240,204
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2
Sensitiv
5000000
4000000
3000000
2000000
NPW ($)
1000000
0
0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
-1000000
-2000000
-3000000
Variatio
Sales Price (+/-20%) Production Rate (+/- 20%)
Fixed Cost (-20% to 100%) Total Capital Investment (-20
Fuel Cost (-50% to 100%) Fixed Cost (-20% to 100%) Total Capital Investment (-20% to 50%)
$2,081,032
$1,885,665
$1,690,298
$1,494,931 $1,208,140 $1,323,930
$1,299,565 $1,155,255 $1,214,064
$1,104,198 $1,104,198 $1,104,198
$908,831 $1,054,969 $994,332
$713,464 $1,007,570 $884,466
$518,097 $961,998 $774,600
$322,730 $918,255 $664,734
$127,363 $876,341 $554,868
-$68,003 $836,255
-$263,370 $797,998
-$458,737 $761,569
-$654,104 $726,968
-$849,471 $694,196
Sensitivity Analysis
1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9
Variation From Base Value

Production Rate (+/- 20%) Feed Cost (-10% to +30%) Fuel Cost (-50% to 100%)
Total Capital Investment (-20% to 50%) Interest Rate (up to +2%)
Interest Rate (up to +2%)
$1,104,198
$1,071,312
1.7 1.8 1.9 2

Constants FCI =$ 600000
Product Value ($/ton) 899.694853604841 Q = 4000 ton/yr
Raw Material Cost ($/ton) 447.198218223079 FCI =$ 900000
Energy Cost ($/ton) 118.106948717623 Q = 8000 ton/yr
Depreciation Life (yr) 7
Model: FCI = a*Q^b
Plant Life (yr) 12 ln(FCI) = ln(a) + b*ln(Q)
Start-up Expenses ($) 100000
ln(600000) = ln(a) + b*ln(4000)
Tax Rate 0.25 ln(900000) = ln(a) + b(ln(8000)
i_m 0.152847579906525
a 4689.01076843776 a = 4689.010768437764
b = 0.584962500721158
b 0.584962500721158
Max Labor Cost ($/yr) 200000

Max Overhead Cost ($/yr) 275000
Max Other Annual Expenses ($/yr) 100000
Year Q Production
1 0 0 0
1 4200 4200
2 4600 4600
3 5000 4748.07392436031
4 5400 4748.07392436031
5 5800 4748.07392436031
6 6200 4748.07392436031
7 6200 4748.07392436031
8 6200 4748.07392436031
9 6200 4748.07392436031
10 5700 4748.07392436031
11 5200 4748.07392436031
12 4700 4700
12
Total Investment ($) = $1,000,798.96

$8,000,000
$7,000,000
$6,000,000
$5,000,000
Cash Flow ($)
$4,000,000
$3,000,000
$2,000,000
$6,000,000
$5,000,000

$4,000,000
$3,000,000
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
$0
-1 0
WC + FCI +
Start-up -$1,000,000
-$2,000,000
00000 Variables
0 ton/yr Capacity (tons) 4748.07392436031
00000 FCI ($) 663294.023964152
0 ton/yr TCI ($) $1,000,798.96
SV ($) 66329.4023964152
FCI = a*Q^b
ln(a) + b*ln(Q) Depreciation Value ($/yr) 74409.456044701
Max Maintenance Cost ($/yr) 66329.4023964152
00) = ln(a) + b*ln(4000)
00) = ln(a) + b(ln(8000) WC ($) $377,871.84
WC Payments $217,726.15
.010768437764 i_WC 0.1
4962500721158
1 1
Labor ($/yr) Overhead ($/yr) Other Annual Expenses ($/yr)

$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
$183,631.25 $252,492.96 $91,815.62
$195,029.26 $268,165.24 $97,514.63
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$200,000.00 $275,000.00 $100,000.00
$198,336.89 $272,713.23 $99,168.45
Non-Discounted Cumulative Cash Flow Diagram

$8,000,000
$7,000,000
Net Value Generated (non-

$6,000,000
discounted)
$5,000,000
Cash Flow ($)
$4,000,000
$3,000,000
$2,000,000
$6,000,000
$5,000,000
$4,000,000
$3,000,000
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
Production Period
$0
-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-$1,000,000
Payback Time
-$2,000,000
Project Life
Time (years)
Capacity Percentage Labor Cost Percentage
L
100 100 100
f(x) = 0.000106666666666666 x
75 85 90
50 75
25 60 80
70
60
Find A Given P A = P*(A/P, i%,n)
50
40
30
20
10
0
20 30 40
Maintenance ($/yr) Revenue, R Cash E Expenses, E

$0.00 $0.00 $1,000,798.96 $1,100,798.96
$60,900.75 $3,778,718.39 $3,180,848.44 $3,355,257.90
$64,680.87 $4,138,596.33 $3,443,519.93 $3,517,929.38
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,399,849.58
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,399,849.58
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,399,849.58
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,399,849.58
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,399,849.58
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,325,440.12
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,325,440.12
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,325,440.12
$66,329.40 $4,271,817.67 $3,325,440.12 $3,325,440.12
$65,777.84 $4,228,565.81 $3,292,930.69 $3,292,930.69
Flow Diagram
SV + WC
Upper Bound
Expected
Lower Bound
First Simulation
Mean
Minimum
Maximum
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Risk of Loss
Labor Cost Percentage vs Capacity Percentage
100
f(x) = 0.000106666666666666 x³ − 0.0199999999999999 x² + 1.63333333333333 x + 30.0000000000001
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
R-E Taxes Net Profits CF(i)

-$1,100,798.96 0 -$1,100,798.96 -$1,100,798.96
$423,460.49 $105,865.12 $317,595.37 $492,004.82
$620,666.94 155166.736144886 $465,500.21 $539,909.66
$871,968.09 217992.02339942 $653,976.07 $728,385.53
$871,968.09 217992.02339942 $653,976.07 $728,385.53
$871,968.09 217992.02339942 $653,976.07 $728,385.53
$871,968.09 217992.02339942 $653,976.07 $728,385.53
$871,968.09 217992.02339942 $653,976.07 $728,385.53
$946,377.55 236594.387410595 $709,783.16 $709,783.16
$946,377.55 236594.387410595 $709,783.16 $709,783.16
$946,377.55 236594.387410595 $709,783.16 $709,783.16
$946,377.55 236594.387410595 $709,783.16 $709,783.16
$935,635.12 233908.780263518 $701,726.34 $1,145,927.58
NPW =
Optimal Capacity =
Optimal NPW =
% NPW difference =
Sales Price (+/-20%) Production Rate (+/- 20%) Feed Cost (-10% to +30%) Fuel Cost (-50% to 100%)
900 6000 520 200
750 5000 400 100
600 4000 360 50
899.694853604841 4748.07392436031 447.198218223079 118.106948717623
-$329,980.21
-$6,123,108.51
$5,929,010.52
56.2%
90 100
CF(0) Cummulative Cash Flows (non-discounted)

-$1,100,798.96 -$1,100,798.96
$426,773.52 -$608,794.14
$406,234.98 -$68,884.47
$475,385.17 $659,501.05
$412,357.35 $1,387,886.58
$357,685.92 $2,116,272.10
$310,262.98 $2,844,657.63
$269,127.49 $3,573,043.16
$227,483.84 $4,282,826.32
$197,323.43 $4,992,609.48
$171,161.77 $5,702,392.64
$148,468.69 $6,412,175.81
$207,919.14 $7,113,902.15
$2,509,385.32 $7,558,103.39
6200
$1,200,785.19
-109.0%
Fixed Cost (-20% to 100%) Total Capital Investment (-20% to 50%)

175798.206077116 $1,647,989.54
87899.103038558 $1,098,659.69
70319.2824308464 $878,927.75
74409.456044701 1000798.96069144
Cummulative Cash Flows (discounted) Base-Case Design
-$1,100,798.96 -1 $0 $0
-$674,025.44 0 -$622,927 -$622,927
-$267,790.46 0 -$1,000,799 -$1,000,799
$207,594.71 1 -$608,794 -$674,025
$619,952.06 2 -$68,884 -$267,790
$977,637.98 3 $659,501 $207,595
$1,287,900.96 4 $1,387,887 $619,952
$1,557,028.45 5 $2,116,272 $977,638
$1,784,512.29 6 $2,844,658 $1,287,901
$1,981,835.72 7 $3,573,043 $1,557,028
$2,152,997.49 8 $4,282,826 $1,784,512
$2,301,466.19 9 $4,992,609 $1,981,836
$2,509,385.32 10 $5,702,393 $2,152,997
11 $6,412,176 $2,301,466
12 $7,113,902 $2,428,789
12 $7,558,103 $2,509,385
Trial #
1
2
Interest Rate (up to +2%) 3
0.153 4
0.15 5
0.15 6
NPW 7
0.152847579906525 $2,509,385.32 8
9
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9745
9746
9747
9748
9749
9750
9751
9752
9753
9754
9755
9756
9757
9758
9759
9760
9761
9762
9763
9764
9765
9766
9767
9768
9769
9770
9771
9772
9773
9774
9775
9776
9777
9778
9779
9780
9781
9782
9783
9784
9785
9786
9787
9788
9789
9790
9791
9792
9793
9794
9795
9796
9797
9798
9799
9800
9801
9802
9803
9804
9805
9806
9807
9808
9809
9810
9811
9812
9813
9814
9815
9816
9817
9818
9819
9820
9821
9822
9823
9824
9825
9826
9827
9828
9829
9830
9831
9832
9833
9834
9835
9836
9837
9838
9839
9840
9841
9842
9843
9844
9845
9846
9847
9848
9849
9850
9851
9852
9853
9854
9855
9856
9857
9858
9859
9860
9861
9862
9863
9864
9865
9866
9867
9868
9869
9870
9871
9872
9873
9874
9875
9876
9877
9878
9879
9880
9881
9882
9883
9884
9885
9886
9887
9888
9889
9890
9891
9892
9893
9894
9895
9896
9897
9898
9899
9900
9901
9902
9903
9904
9905
9906
9907
9908
9909
9910
9911
9912
9913
9914
9915
9916
9917
9918
9919
9920
9921
9922
9923
9924
9925
9926
9927
9928
9929
9930
9931
9932
9933
9934
9935
9936
9937
9938
9939
9940
9941
9942
9943
9944
9945
9946
9947
9948
9949
9950
9951
9952
9953
9954
9955
9956
9957
9958
9959
9960
9961
9962
9963
9964
9965
9966
9967
9968
9969
9970
9971
9972
9973
9974
9975
9976
9977
9978
9979
9980
9981
9982
9983
9984
9985
9986
9987
9988
9989
9990
9991
9992
9993
9994
9995
9996
9997
9998
9999
10000
Monte Carlo Simulation - Distribution of NPW
($)
2000
1800
Frequency
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 0 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 ore
0 00 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 M
5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0
-6 -6 -5 -5 -4 -4 -3 -3 -2 -2 -1 -1 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 600
NPW ($)
Bin Frequency Cumulative %

NPWs Bin -6500000 0 0.00%
-$1,736,909.17 -6.50E+06 -6000000 1 0.01%
3230712.168078 -6.00E+06 -5500000 12 0.13%
672502.417795 -5.50E+06 -5000000 43 0.56%
-1075624.67181 -5.00E+06 -4500000 90 1.46%
-1111306.18308 -4.50E+06 -4000000 181 3.27%
2131067.251284 -4.00E+06 -3500000 291 6.18%
314088.6778869 -3.50E+06 -3000000 434 10.52%
1215900.334445 -3.00E+06 -2500000 528 15.80%
881041.6353201 -2.50E+06 -2000000 665 22.45%
-2996699.98325 -2.00E+06 -1500000 754 29.99%
-158294.45622 -1.50E+06 -1000000 810 38.09%
2901891.378998 -1.00E+06 0 1811 56.20%
-1210664.07963 0 1000000 1671 72.91%
-3580269.15911 1.00E+06 1500000 726 80.17%
-2190515.25223 1.50E+06 2000000 562 85.79%
-2403917.14326 2.00E+06 2500000 501 90.80%
-168708.018485 2.50E+06 3000000 388 94.68%
-3299799.47988 3.00E+06 3500000 228 96.96%
-431092.555371 3.50E+06 4000000 162 98.58%
-124380.030966 4.00E+06 4500000 83 99.41%
1718959.606004 4.50E+06 5000000 31 99.72%
3835050.690715 5.00E+06 5500000 27 99.99%
-266793.341234 5.50E+06 60000000 1 100.00%
-359429.522422 6.00E+07 More 0 100.00%
-1454038.88444
-4133103.14497
-2445050.69562
-1939835.49191
-605221.955776
-266357.710077
42241.24675507
-717495.572232
-1598744.52295
882891.3657144
2564435.270935
1926885.65615
-31238.5790614
-3977239.39673
-822624.090645
2621320.472994
-2614273.49679
-2260827.43254
-570201.005661
-890200.658359
-2399105.4622
-868326.360237
4340711.561373
-3136942.05748
-142562.354493
-3524834.71289
-2607633.62134
248209.094355
503684.2286962
-272725.917308
-3656875.50455
1163585.433461
-34370.4692419
-805502.618014
-3936353.1568
366069.1239118
-2992886.48916
-1337796.03885
138969.1456336
4741940.456141
-1075850.81264
1368177.598427
-321413.765877
-4664685.99915
2115206.742504
1131671.304687
2529423.440468
-2856463.38422
1705585.380166
-1770422.63941
-2034488.90544
1501423.02105
346887.436679
1909448.16531
-3470547.02374
-4681247.7669
358116.7604179
-2546408.54244
-858298.27154
-3157532.91884
-2640706.58301
-3894126.93675
322057.8499306
-3225181.07996
3074599.902037
-192134.710065
187669.0082124
-783158.973976
527503.6664014
3298494.275441
-931243.110194
-654587.461126
1788820.924606
-2285866.08126
748630.5949516
277918.6616486
1234781.668621
474387.2624133
710461.5890066
550790.9951096
2804874.351098
1158839.162891
-4011586.09443
-2774171.3683
105459.7772371
2576303.811555
384423.1891598
-934300.173711
-2808133.30484
-1081454.61421
1217985.362053
-1628476.24205
905258.7822686
-1017070.93706
1671704.684678
129470.7045461
872218.4300608
1665321.330332
74854.24323102
123277.4094296
-2334314.50155
-2449541.91686
2615468.219863
-1053988.87948
-243532.823218
464214.7322447
-3049733.76636
-1544520.10628
1757066.461936
2513516.401475
1534384.888943
-956385.611606
-257115.4884
1861144.251579
-34530.8556124
2213222.767103
1202900.06798
972799.3793566
-1641204.70404
-738829.202479
-1982057.63313
-3527070.9414
-3332534.2192
872117.5486747
1132294.235789
-2485339.87614
-2420711.89541
-2738922.42337
-606064.298462
-1668625.24318
-682344.998437
569627.4267868
647468.4665371
-2350013.36945
1465065.207605
-3075810.93861
864154.2968012
-230159.221884
-3952947.08317
272620.176569
1173113.959334
-2115047.99012
2995549.682315
-2048910.09202
-2283998.84847
-3378829.43517
1042849.847473
1987770.066501
1630094.138868
-1759094.131
1900852.940165
1819362.601623
-64607.9111253
-905554.860218
1527584.114392
1812038.831005
3481667.571127
-3346751.56861
1253554.531831
472174.7782894
1026222.285245
-1197944.48899
201568.5268592
-17668.2544586
-1634690.36849
260576.8710918
-1768035.31544
3884524.119243
1726953.926343
758182.5935378
-3622122.26904
-2699215.12061
-3730028.50272
-1924737.15721
983514.6357219
1634503.28195
243999.1314631
418454.8066542
-1035084.79511
805784.9768811
-2887032.39008
-3477763.23666
3180598.138061
2078600.163088
-10956.2240192
387723.4771637
-2169972.35215
4690743.872282
5090200.027209
286730.0541643
456213.1745922
371110.6780898
-2310549.00593
769645.3378524
2245911.837354
-1251848.20282
-1227246.34717
-601703.802243
-2383793.00951
-3202672.43
-710433.155352
1440629.080212
270639.1933295
-1283916.63281
-884056.909626
2593060.728074
-3848136.98044
-12971.9961574
835934.6434752
-2755646.91756
2949424.582826
-1354189.62626
-4509953.56897
2450374.244723
-2369242.18889
-1425732.75559
-1619654.50319
-1502681.56532
-2855488.05657
-739922.335794
-423750.714076
-2205389.43606
1437237.566958
459476.617365
2164542.275934
3565611.839349
223655.4049195
2989506.688219
-1890259.48053
1208667.56692
1284567.997362
3664150.762896
-229085.951507
-646077.089956
738081.2804872
2318391.536993
-4032564.88558
-925791.257769
-870627.191346
2530808.164742
953743.8660892
294245.2959943
-815494.776217
2555537.505842
-2181017.66328
1375678.050562
143974.2568935
-2997804.28899
-132030.93783
-3997729.00783
-1575453.50664
3407772.841607
-2447767.14055
480232.4940212
-329975.50935
-770537.853725
667882.060378
-2433245.79088
1896218.492277
-1273296.91571
-522804.564331
-425168.742785
-32582.376579
-427044.471114
1350554.721543
-375509.281725
-2355680.19638
-4439843.51774
331030.5719929
-1024530.58901
3879756.344041
479540.880905
-1837383.60081
2589187.482819
-2649382.60028
-783990.311403
330371.7786951
1421926.249499
824745.1488747
-2300066.70726
-3151723.18595
284065.3693
-177937.44463
-246162.766434
-445087.731085
1595611.754188
748671.4398174
838578.8299427
-2507194.00669
180152.1288639
-739883.760506
-337798.320338
-2006402.33374
-570519.586104
-3433319.15791
-918425.068964
829724.9547205
974452.1039826
2252513.283124
-4643225.75112
2093067.723995
2003858.84372
58966.35736727
-3609694.21912
-2006395.29426
-1304693.67475
-194925.373965
74588.70409706
4674343.847584
-4048397.37453
1833422.81652
-333064.341944
-838148.009538
-3037950.34509
-1669391.01529
2496018.488633
-2659626.7181
-3402316.90836
-1133575.02982
-3441583.65131
-5486465.48383
-2264311.65305
892372.1923574
-375153.745556
897259.1826668
1217723.019141
1211549.726078
-910516.139364
630320.2702637
-103193.531668
-620454.821917
626682.7292966
-546748.667954
-2384521.92821
-1609336.17615
-1293755.23239
-482084.002494
-3467417.10175
-271849.598007
-282483.075289
999075.1436486
-2139063.1443
-2001091.07517
273175.892777
2215553.390695
-3115827.5183
-835870.877689
-1010557.15964
-4259204.88051
-4804888.55508
1559713.42682
-434577.448732
-1361359.65361
2241184.386487
1597278.604069
53009.96442538
1130161.210845
-1312451.99988
-584942.361095
-3401115.32317
2853994.896192
783216.4340509
-1603980.81474
-2604103.5465
2487924.526257
2726925.809077
-2697879.8151
26791.01601375
605100.6449197
-3792407.90154
4658046.174819
168350.7176612
-2448416.2345
-2800640.3066
-2896912.11473
3939702.707508
-3057894.63152
-3351252.40132
1064384.027521
1341422.277103
-1023721.9795
-1553794.46748
-1729718.88425
1308706.747994
896428.3009818
1039907.117276
212968.1808737
-2918765.30947
1578129.685594
-267519.286377
884998.7711313
376474.1809486
-92869.9781298
3705519.135388
4016566.210242
1694837.400035
-1378223.45555
2052702.287827
-3583558.81055
665166.9599489
-1099466.90686
-791781.251216
-326888.143774
3892036.408459
-1539284.69574
1173434.019968
-1740038.20842
1538949.035407
-1571311.01964
-2614925.87638
1392065.551661
1607074.952932
279753.1996303
-2016189.83416
159527.2162772
2888102.988077
-1122972.62161
1033560.645273
-2371727.77242
1207573.549309
2103126.767718
-3024946.39402
-1755352.99213
3016770.350127
-564047.468515
-962632.413772
-595524.497082
1378699.99017
1030381.93423
-2162843.2173
2949841.265131
-960960.198486
4911315.05564
1337496.740352
-1617353.7471
-1063857.2236
-2107921.63933
3138021.867757
909775.7743732
-3453031.1471
143247.7546103
1774656.709817
141854.2799023
1025364.809497
-1015727.80578
-558759.571728
1248437.201177
-1397789.64027
358078.7317779
197716.3705647
854425.1256786
-2459729.14987
-526141.060233
-242152.020755
116137.8643188
1997580.789945
1057673.11882
-909645.525272
2924479.469169
777350.2315408
-1920570.56852
-2037715.60629
-3016812.58708
-112915.911341
-2122585.77719
2040641.785203
2130175.593599
315492.0124726
247609.9987688
-4077362.92301
649188.2805418
-5794815.96125
1522640.217869
-158682.439643
1574990.69452
3094036.02361
-415995.17813
-2303080.60177
-3068400.5506
2938716.226431
-803854.479784
2457412.358514
1884891.324826
1024046.127746
262323.7052635
484945.2851777
-4863499.15293
-2205407.49553
-330127.019607
-575956.973471
-2138214.11792
-3868917.34146
-1433447.5675
384414.6971903
2960543.467364
-2793495.65975
-4453974.43962
-1305885.82173
-1199720.07571
-1558679.21508
-2982788.452
394274.1352078
-2911814.94455
-1470911.3676
-3440104.76078
2960075.319886
-3809106.68325
2924895.902389
2034289.901198
-603224.182432
-905170.662767
1098364.673906
-831235.421614
2759422.933109
-660947.340392
-2692281.49842
-1765243.82722
-1694063.09723
-253685.575063
858798.9431316
2047352.557468
-199307.046666
-3108538.27284
-3041483.5716
223851.3929319
-3746928.55213
-1183665.83709
173159.6306708
1374728.801941
-3111225.43458
-298538.169063
1108255.782165
1982297.499125
-496248.574172
1392329.084226
-1780347.55103
-321408.959014
-696500.15393
-392540.216244
1777382.460592
-2992015.4119
2121678.277185
-3563709.58032
2567956.192539
1361987.912011
3145258.004177
1230262.772306
-2377002.17133
1386727.639808
-2455171.99495
-1400858.92395
-2268376.39053
850116.8527986
2041081.994055
-924110.180143
-291606.818292
329733.1809058
1769914.87648
-1186819.35821
-3645502.02865
3445572.923342
-3513549.92026
797880.4298293
-2710925.81102
2871943.163364
1525518.513862
2363213.600701
-1425219.73539
1172938.649985
1388992.10226
2102375.630558
-3942466.84339
-1388046.80398
-1013733.40734
-5047927.07421
4343052.405768
-1788.33672327
4149240.185832
-203860.147241
-3723088.26766
1489834.070354
-452511.437963
3125147.618543
-766412.864402
-3822081.47528
-4569524.08401
2063897.263832
-2167391.15166
-1371211.75307
-58844.7529226
154556.3334469
-495844.800676
-173039.179189
260925.4003194
-3223906.42496
-607379.178591
1063829.761852
3129944.178949
-3044485.79801
-3992974.79741
-2785108.68907
158494.1399311
-3173282.50954
-918640.622645
-1693745.20758
951905.3725481
-3048686.39717
-4428284.75782
125010.9987998
70505.57151893
-1980695.53447
-1359458.26218
-2080164.93446
245035.5897077
-1401660.61258
153035.7648299
-346285.560761
-3079601.34762
-3499990.88891
580999.5233116
-258722.642716
-1069873.81187
-85371.9696575
-1597010.66909
2446371.838343
3137937.420237
-924423.043854
-3894605.12428
-1399878.62228
2294306.003724
1363802.04119
-546302.45134
1494917.285412
-3943585.13153
-1866664.832
-322551.279948
-2189293.19332
-3669560.25692
2489849.871348
2202375.209859
4067179.25032
-2450389.89468
-2723679.65789
-917125.266106
-844005.885056
-1695518.24864
-915063.880412
-3736932.98966
-3362883.80743
-1876254.09738
160810.1409959
496250.4349925
-2092135.33625
-4114865.18331
3602942.16165
-1489931.50053
560329.8854495
1134139.78778
1351035.091897
2452111.241139
1442092.986158
-1735181.46743
841221.0926598
2321810.459966
801110.366695
-281572.217067
3945826.99751
-2615256.40922
647039.9034835
929978.4168877
2237486.68914
-765867.30699
1933089.887119
403318.0645108
5162514.440972
-2300536.80894
-3027058.70162
5347305.141395
594931.6610253
505430.1169691
-2428244.54911
-1842845.6023
-1172562.9661
-2713249.95313
-1362611.16843
284207.374082
-2283344.49841
-1030790.82459
2407365.28501
-652062.758104
1332627.706334
-1231272.26107
1662293.698009
-3107498.73986
-2122399.93225
3859713.678615
534380.255704
-2517460.96431
1346836.999789
-620171.355383
-2207511.19792
-2952568.9208
1230403.151882
-3275580.08542
3287366.180027
-1304343.03629
-2144102.57405
1751488.009594
2244666.690928
-1183438.05809
-1149965.52766
-4167630.95664
-408628.134669
2112524.228838
-688984.052009
1187970.154554
-880841.62033
1803891.762289
1413496.994847
454382.6443692
-3994264.28762
1614532.057277
-897749.265263
4619128.842015
-2258011.85492
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507062.781972
2249150.120073
-2502954.11415
3606142.000743
735968.7101282
2146836.221373
2011951.999621
-1598420.29104
1297513.54544
-1376760.08838
-1774683.90347
2227138.848622
-1107678.74781
NPW
0 0 0 0 re
00 000 000 000 Mo
0 0 0
50 55 600
Base-Case Design
Year Cumulative Non-discounted Cumulative Discounted Year
-1 $0 $0 -1
0 -$783,660 -$783,660 0
0 -$1,098,660 -$1,098,660 0
1 -$931,213 -$966,097 1
2 -$636,661 -$743,374 2
3 -$159,711 -$429,771 3
4 $317,239 -$157,074 4
5 $794,189 $80,055 5
6 $1,271,140 $286,254 6
7 $1,748,090 $465,557 7
8 $2,203,066 $614,289 8
9 $2,658,041 $743,622 9
10 $3,113,017 $856,085 10
11 $3,567,992 $953,879 11
12 $3,988,871 $1,032,544 12
12 $4,372,237 $1,104,198 12
Worst-Case Design Best-Case Design
Cumulative Non-discounted Cumulative Discounted Year Cumulative Non-discounted
$0 $0 -1 $0
-$783,660 -$783,660 0 -$783,660
-$1,035,660 -$1,035,660 0 -$1,161,660
-$1,313,488 -$1,290,293 1 -$548,938
-$1,509,211 -$1,438,288 2 $235,889
-$1,594,761 -$1,494,538 3 $1,275,339
-$1,680,311 -$1,543,452 4 $2,314,789
-$1,765,861 -$1,585,985 5 $3,354,239
-$1,851,410 -$1,622,970 6 $4,393,690
-$1,936,960 -$1,655,132 7 $5,433,140
-$2,044,484 -$1,690,282 8 $6,450,616
-$2,152,009 -$1,720,847 9 $7,468,091
-$2,259,533 -$1,747,425 10 $8,485,567
-$2,367,058 -$1,770,537 11 $9,503,042
-$2,474,929 -$1,790,699 12 $10,452,671
-$2,154,563 -$1,730,820 12 $10,899,037
Best-Case Design
Cumulative Discounted
$0
-$783,660 Profitability Scenarios
-$1,161,660 $4,000,000
-$641,901
-$48,460 $3,000,000
$634,995
$1,229,304
USD ($)
$2,000,000
$1,746,095
$2,195,478
$1,000,000
$2,586,246
$2,918,860
$3,208,091 $0
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$3,459,595
$3,678,294 -$1,000,000
$3,855,787
$3,939,216 -$2,000,000
Year
Base-Case Design Worst-Case Design Best-Case Design
s
8 9 10 11 12 13
Best-Case Design

Homework Set #3_Q1,2,3,4,5_Excel Solutions

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Homework Set #3_Q1,2,3,4,5_Excel Solutions

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HX 1 Steam HX

LMTD 40.1025 Ta, in (T1) 515

Total Utility (lb/hr)

350 68,991 $416,803 $500,000

Total Utility vs. T1

EAOC (HEN) vs. T1

If the objective function is total utility consumption, T1 (opt)=515 oC.

EAOC [$/yr] 23550.10084 Optimized with Solver

EAOC [$/yr] 165887.7592 Optimized with Solver

Part (c) with (a)

EAOC [$/yr] 41674.01571 Optimized with Solver

Part (c) with (b)

EAOC [$/yr] 198388.4947 Optimized with Solver

Cooling Water Side

Cooling Water Side

Cooling Water Side

Cooling Water Side

EAOC [$/yr] 18925.72902

Part (d) with (b)

EAOC [$/yr] 158425.729

Part (d) with (c,a)

EAOC [$/yr] 30915.78058

Part (d) with (c,b)

EAOC [$/yr] 170415.7806

Cooling Water Side

Cooling Water Side

Cooling Water Side

Problem 2 Part B NIS

Problem 2 Part C UIS

Product B B Wait Blank Product C C Wait Cycle Time (hrs)

Product A(2)A(2) Wait Blank Product C C Wait Cycle Time (hrs)

Product B B Wait Blank Product C C Wait Cycle Time (hrs)

System relibility (no spares) 0.5557167

Days operational w/o maintenance 202.8365955 202

Unscheduled shutdown days 163

feed pump fails 0.05557167

System Reliability (spares) 0.84474495567 w/ spares

capital cost of spares $ 314,000.00

cost w/spares $ 1,739,000.00 $3,000,000.00

cost w/spares cost w/o spares

Max Labor Cost ($/yr) 200000

Total Investment ($) = $1,098,659.69

Cumulative Cash Flow ($)

Labor ($/yr) Overhead ($/yr) Other Annual Expenses ($/yr)

Non-Discounted Cumulative Cash Flow Diagram

Maintenance ($/yr) Revenue, R Cash E Expenses, E

R-E Taxes Net Profits CF(i) CF(0)

Optimal Capacity = 6200

% NPW difference = 8.0%

1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9

Variation From Base Value

1.7 1.8 1.9 2

Max Labor Cost ($/yr) 200000

Total Investment ($) = $1,000,798.96

Cumulative Cash Flow ($)

Labor ($/yr) Overhead ($/yr) Other Annual Expenses ($/yr)

Non-Discounted Cumulative Cash Flow Diagram

Net Value Generated (non-

Maintenance ($/yr) Revenue, R Cash E Expenses, E

R-E Taxes Net Profits CF(i)

899.694853604841 4748.07392436031 447.198218223079 118.106948717623

CF(0) Cummulative Cash Flows (non-discounted)

Fixed Cost (-20% to 100%) Total Capital Investment (-20% to 50%)

Bin Frequency Cumulative %