Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PM - REPORT GROUP 3
PM - REPORT GROUP 3
--------***--------
1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION 3
I. PROJECT SELECTION 4
1. Net Present Value (NPV) 4
2. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) 10
II. STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS 12
III. PROJECT CHARTER 15
1. Introduction and background 15
2. Objectives 15
3. Deliverables 16
4. Milestones 16
5. Limitations 16
6. Approach 17
7. Constraints 17
8. Signoffs 18
IV. WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE 19
V. RESPONSIBILITY MATRIX 22
VI. BUDGETING 25
VII. IN-DEPTH SCHEDULE 31
VIII. RESOURCE-LOADING CHART 34
IX. RISK ANALYSIS 36
CONCLUSION 41
REFERENCES 42
2
INTRODUCTION
Our group project is launching a new product called “Granola” for Nafoods Group.
Granola has been an American staple since the late 19th century. Consisting of whole grains
and/or oats, nuts, honey, dried fruit, and other preserved foods, this hearty breakfast has
maintained its popularity over the years as a popular breakfast food, snack, and addition to baked
goods, yogurt, and desserts. Founded in 1995, Nafoods Group is among the most innovative fruit
and vegetable growers, processors, and exporters in Vietnam, specializing in Fruit Juice/ NFC,
Puree, Concentrate, IQF (Individual Quickly Freeze), and Fresh Fruits. We think that granola is
the most suited and promising product to launch as we make the most of our advantages in terms
of the contemporary production process and the range of high-quality items that are the major
components of granola as well as the noticeable rise in consumer demand for nutritious foods
after Covid-19 pandemic. This report is our analysis of our process in launching Granola based
on the knowledge gained through the courses. With all of the analyses and detailed steps, we
hope that the report will provide a clear picture of the product.
We sincerely thank our instructor - Dr. Nguyen Thi Hoa Hong who was helping us with
this report. In the process of working on this report, due to the limited amount of time as well as
some certain limits in understanding and collecting data, in spite of every member’s efforts,
mistakes are unavoidable and we hope to receive your comments for the report. Your feedback is
an honor for us to improve our skills and complete this report perfectly.
Many thanks for your guidance!
3
I. PROJECT SELECTION
In this report, we will decide which project our company would take based on two
different methods, which are Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method and Net Present Value
(NPV) - a financial model.
1. Net Present Value (NPV)
In order to calculate the NPV of the project, we will apply this formula:
First of all, we need to calculate the R (required rate of return), which is also WACC.
WACC is determined by the following formula:
𝑉𝑒 𝑉𝑑
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝐾𝑒 𝑥 𝑉𝑒 + 𝑉𝑑
+ 𝐾𝑑 𝑥 (1 − 𝑇) 𝑥 𝑉𝑒 + 𝑉𝑑
In which:
Ke = equity cost
Kd = debt cost
Ve = equity market value
Vd = debt market value
T = the current tax rate for corporations
4
In which:
Rf = risk-free rate
β = beta of the investment
Rm = required market return
Rm - Rf = risk premium
Rf - the risk-free rate will be taken as the yield on a 10-year government bond. According to the
Announcement of the results of issuing Government bonds booked 157, 158 In 2022 (December
28th 2022), this rate is equal to 4.8%.
β = beta of the investment, according to Vietstock.vn, this ratio is equal to 1.24 (Q4/2022).
With Rm, we would use the data which has been calculated by Professor Damodaran.
Accordingly, we can take the Total equity risk premium (plus Default spread) + non-financial
risk (Rf) to calculate the Required market return (Rm).
Rm = Total equity risk premium + Rf = (3.68% + 11.13%) + 4.8% = 19.61%
Having all of the factors, we can calculate Ke:
Ke = 4.8% + 1.24 x (19.61% - 4.8%) = 23.16%
5
1.2. Debt cost: Kd
Kd = Interest Expense / Average total debt
Kd = 27,402,043,746 / 836,012,763,751 = 3.28%
Initial investment
1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000
(VND)
6
Quantity per year
54,000 25,200 27,000
(boxes)
Inflation rate 4% 4% 4%
Apply the formula to three alternatives including original granola, matcha granola and chocolate
granola, we have three alternatives’ NPV value shown in the following tables:
a. Original Granola
COGS 3,866,400,000
0 -1,000,000,000 1 -1,000,000,000
7
1 2,701,691,200 0.8554319932 2,311,113,088
7,663,550,688
(Money unit: VND)
b. Matcha Granola
Quantity 25,200
COGS 2,143,260,000
0 -1,000,000,000 1 -1,000,000,000
8
1 246,684,880 0.8554319932 211,022,139
-208,952,170
(Money unit: VND)
c. Chocolate Granola
Quantity 27,000
COGS 2,187,000,000
0 -1,000,000,000 1 -1,000,000,000
9
1 287,956,000 0.8554319932 246,326,775
-76,607,496
From the tables calculating NPV value of three alternatives, we can see that while the NPV value
of Matcha and Chocolate Granola is negative, that of Original Granola is positive.
Therefore, Original Granola is the best selection for launching the project.
10
Level Score
Low 0.3
Medium 0.7
High 1
Total 2
Manufacturing
Finance Nutrition
resources
Chocolate
0.460 Medium Low Medium Medium Low Low
Granola
=> From the table, Original Granola will be chosen due to the highest score.
11
II. STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
Communi
Power Involvement P X I Key Manage
Stakeholder Name & Title Org. -cation Action Plan
(0 to 10) (0 to 10) Rank Stakeholder ment
Needs
Quarterly
CEO 7 5 35 Yes Active
Reports
Weekly
Weekly
Project Manager 7 7 49 Yes Active Meetings,
Reports
Daily Email
Internal
stakeholders Planting Areas and
Other 3 2 6 Passive
Sourcing Manager
Functional Managers
ASAP -
Managers Management and Monthly
4 5 20 Yes Active Major
Investment Manager Reports
problems
12
ASAP -
Monthly
Logistics Manager 4 7 28 Yes Active Major
Reports
problems
ASAP -
Manufacturing Monthly
5 7 35 Yes Active Major
Operations Manager Reports
problems
Consumer Sales
4 2 8 Passive
Manager
Marketing and
Communication 6 3 18 Passive
Manager
ASAP -
Human Resources Monthly
4 7 28 Yes Active Major
Manager Reports
problems
ASAP -
Finance and Accounting Monthly
Managers 4 5 20 Yes Active Major
Accountant Director Reports
problems
13
Retail Businesses 3 5 15 Passive
Ecom 3 5 15 Passive
Pressure
Competitors 2 2 4 Passive
Groups
14
III. PROJECT CHARTER
1. Introduction and background
1.1. Project name: Launching new product Original Granola
1.2. Product description
Granola is usually used as a healthy meal for breakfast or snacks. It includes nutritious
nuts, dried fruits, and rolled oats which are crispy toasted and mixed with honey or other
sweeteners such as brown sugar to enhance the taste.
This is a mixture of many healthy foods with high nutrient content, especially high in
protein. Therefore, granola can bring many health benefits such as stabilizing blood pressure;
lowering cholesterol, and blood sugar, and improving gut health.
1.3. Company background
Nafoods Group is a leading corporation in Vietnam in the field of exporting agricultural
products according to green and sustainable value chains. Its product portfolio is diversified
including fresh fruit, dried fruit, IQF (Individual Quickly Freeze) fruit, puree, nuts, juice, and
fresh vegetables. With the strength of production in 25 experienced years, Nafoods is committed
to providing products that meet the highest quality standards, actively researching and offering
product improvements, and jointly developing new value-added products for our customers.
1.4. Reasons for launching Original Granola
In the context of “New Normal”, after going through Covid 19 pandemic period, we
understand that people appreciate health so much. As a result, customers’ demand for healthy
foods increases significantly. Therefore, we decided to turn this demand into a big opportunity
for our company to recover after the hard period of Covid 19.
Secondly, we take full advantage of our strengths related to the modern production
process, combined with the available high-quality products portfolio which are the main
ingredients in granola.
For these two main reasons, we believe that granola is the most suitable and potential
product for launching.
2. Objectives
Manufacturing and launching new original granola made from a mixture of nutrition nuts
by researching and developing, using the insource production line, and qualifying within 6
months from 6-12/2023 at a cost not exceeding 850 million VND.
15
3. Deliverables
- Completed project proposal including allocated tasks, labor, and budget
- Data for product development from market research
- Product’s concept, ingredients, and recipe
- Completed and qualified product
- Marketing plan for promoting the commercialization
4. Milestones
05/06/2023: Finalize the project proposal
30/06/2023: Finalize the product’s recipe and concept
02/08/2023: Pack the final products
01/10/2023: Final test for quality the verification
16/11/2023: Start to distribute the product to the market
5. Limitations
The project is carried out within 6 months which can be considered a short term,
furthermore, it is the first time our company manufactures this kind of product (granola). As a
result, there will have some limitations as the following:
5.1. Lack of professional staff quantity
The project is carried out under the pressure of time and budget. Therefore, it requires a
team of personnel with professional skills and good management ability to ensure progress.
However, besides this project, our company has other available products in the portfolio which
need human resources to manage, produce, and distribute. So, there will be a limit on the
quantity of active and professional staff joining the project.
5.2. Disruption of the organization
The limitation of resources and the number of active staff will create competition among
projects. This may lead to an interruption in terms of the whole company in general.
5.3. The number of quantities
Generally, granola is not very familiar to Vietnamese people. We have time to raise
awareness to make it more necessary and beneficial in Vietnamese life. Moreover, it is the first
time we launch the products while there have been many other competencies already in the
market. Therefore, in the first years of launching, we will limit the quantities to make sure not to
be a deficiency in the budget.
16
6. Approach
6.1. Managerial approach
We apply the critical path method which is a sequential methodology that enables project
managers to prioritize resources in terms of both human resources and manufacturing resources,
giving more attention and funding to the most crucial work and rescheduling lower-priority tasks
that might be holding up the team.
6.2. Technical approach
- Apply cutting-edge technology in
+ Manufacturing processes which are modern machines and equipment that can be
useful and time-saving in the long term.
+ Optimizing resources by management software that can help keep track of work
progress to allocate and adjust resources effectively and on time.
- Invest in staff training: organize the courses or training sessions related to professional
skills and attitudes to enhance staff competencies and work motivation.
7. Constraints
- Estimated Budget: The maximum amount of money spent on producing and launching
the Original Granola project is not over 850,000,000 million VND.
- Time frame: The project timeline is planned to be carried out within 6 months. Duration
and the number of hours needed per day for each activity are limited and calculated
specifically in the resource loading part.
- Organizational Structure: Original Granola Project uses project organizations to control
resources during the working process. This is the most suitable form for us among the 3
forms of organizational structure because it has strengths in rapid response and
communication which are the advantages of the project launching in a short time (6
months).
17
8. Signoffs
18
IV. WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
1. Project proposal
1.1. Allocate tasks: based on the specific period of the whole project
1.2. Allocate labor: based on each task
1.3. Estimate budget
1.3.1. Develop financial proposal: based on the expected amount of money used in each task
1.3.2. Receive budget: from stakeholders and sponsors
2. Marketing plan and execution
2.1. Marketing strategy: make an analysis of 4P and SWOT to find the best way to approach the
market for product introduction
2.2. Marketing implementation: run the marketing campaign
(brochure/advertisement/commercial)
3. Market research
3.1. Directly go to sources of raw materials: test the quality
3.2. Make a final decision based on chosen materials
4. Product development
4.1. Choose sources of ingredients
4.2. Develop the product’s recipe: choose the taste and shape of different kinds of nuts
4.3. Choose concept models
4.4. Design the package: label, text, image
5. Manufacture
5.1. Assemble raw material
5.2. Manufacture the product on conveyor belt
5.3. Pack the final product
6. Testing
6.1. Prepare for prototype testing: assign different consumer product tester for quality and taste
evaluation
6.2. Test for quality verification and proximate analysis: register for a certificate of food hygiene
and safety
7. Commercialization
7.1. Select distribution channels: small and medium-sized distributors
19
7.2. Distribute
Activity Duration
Code Activity Precedence Pessimistic Likely Optimistic
No. (days)
1 Project proposal
Develop financial
C 1.3.1 B 7 5 3 5
proposal
Marketing plan
2
and execution
Marketing
2.2
implementation
3 Market research
Directly go to
3.1 sources of raw
F materials B 30 20 10 20
Make a final
3.2 decision based on
chosen materials
20
Product
4
development
Choose sources of
G 4.1 F 10 8 6 8
ingredients
Develop the
H 4.2 G 40 30 20 30
product’s recipe
Choose concept
I 4.3 F 7 5 3 5
models
5 Manufacture
Assemble raw
5.1
material
K Manufacture the H, J 70 60 50 60
5.2 product on conveyor
belt
6 Testing
Prepare for
6.1
prototype testing
L K 50 42 35 42
Test for quality
6.2 verification and
proximate analysis
21
7 Commercialization
Select distribution
M 7.1 E, L 5 4 3 4
channels
N 7.2 Distribute M 14 12 10 12
CHART:
V. RESPONSIBILITY MATRIX
Personnel table:
Name Responsibility
Trang R&D
Linh Finance
Hanh HR
22
Duy Logistics
23
choose the taste and shape of
different kinds of nuts
24
VI. BUDGETING
Bottom-up budget
Cost-rate per
Work breakdown structure Duration (days) Costs man-day
Directly go to sources of
raw materials 15 10.500.000 ₫ 700.000 ₫
25
Choose source of
ingredients 8 16.000.000 ₫ 2.000.000 ₫
Manufacture 60 330.000.000 ₫
Testing 42 24.000.000 ₫
Commercialization 16 62.800.000 ₫
26
Total estimate for the whole project 326 814.100.000 ₫
27
GRANOLA LAUNCHING PROJECT
Time-phased budget
Total by
Activity Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Activity
Marketing plan and execution 27.000.000 ₫ 18.000.000 ₫ 60.000.000 ₫ 60.000.000 ₫ 60.000.000 ₫ 225.000.000 ₫
Marketing
implementation 60.000.000 ₫ 60.000.000 ₫ 60.000.000 ₫
Directly go to sources
of raw materials 10.500.000 ₫
28
Choose source of
ingredients 12.000.000 ₫ 4.000.000 ₫
Choose concept
models 5.000.000 ₫
Design on package:
label, text, image 3.000.000 ₫ 39.000.000 ₫
Assemble raw
material 75.000.000 ₫
Manufacture the
product on conveyor
belt 84.000.000 ₫ 96.000.000 ₫
29
Commercialization 62.800.000 ₫ 62.800.000 ₫
Select distribution
channels 2.800.000 ₫
Distribute 60.000.000 ₫
30
VII. IN-DEPTH SCHEDULE
➢ AON Diagram
➢ Gantt Chart
Duration Starting
Code Activity Precedence
(days) date
Project proposal
31
A Allocate tasks — 2 1-Jun
Estimate budget
Develop
C B 5 5-Jun
financial proposal
Marketing plan
and execution
E D 120 12-Jun
Marketing strategy
Marketing implementation
Market research
F B 20 5-Jun
Conduct surveys on online and offline
channels
Product
development
Choose sources
G F 8 25-Jun
of ingredients
32
Develop the
H G 30 3-Jul
product’s recipe
Choose concept
I F 5 25-Jun
models
Design on
J I 14 30-Jun
package: label, text, image
Manufacture
K H, J 60 2-August
Manufacture the product on conveyor
belt
Testing
Commercialization
Select
M E, L 4 12-Nov
distribution channels
12
N Distribute M 16-Nov
33
Ending date 27-Nov
2. Table showing the duration, early start, late start, early finish, late finish, slack,
and resource(s) required for each activity
34
A 0 0 2 2 0 2 3 6
B 2 2 4 4 0 2 3 6
C 4 17 9 22 13 5 6 30
D 9 22 11 44 13 2 2 4
F 4 4 24 24 0 20 6 120
G 24 24 32 32 0 8 5 40
H 32 32 62 62 0 30 5 150
I 24 43 29 48 19 5 4 21
J 29 48 43 62 19 14 4 64
Total 1955
3. Resource-loading chart
35
IX. RISK ANALYSIS
Including:
1. Meeting consumer demands and sensory attributes
2. Competition, substitute products from other brands
3. A key member pulled out, change in human resources
4. Materials, ingredients quality, food safety
5. Establishing an initial price, delivering to retailer
6. Overbudget will occur due to unrealistic and undetailed plan
7. Manufacturing risk including a selection of equipment, factory, employees, and
their working conditions
8. Supply chain risks – Sourcing materials or components from vendors can reduce
costs and internal workloads, but it also makes your product vulnerable to supply
chain disruptions.
9. Set up inventory and food preservation
10. Project time risk - the execution may take longer than estimated.
36
Types of risk Risk Explanation
37
difficult to gain market share.
Likelihood
Low 8, 9 5 2
Consequences Medium 3, 6 7 10
High 4 1
38
➢ Quantitative Risk Assessment
1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.43 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.603 High Risk
2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.37 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.25 0.525 Medium Risk
3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.23 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.463 Medium Risk
4 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.23 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.463 Medium Risk
5 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.30 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.440 Medium Risk
6 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.23 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.463 Medium Risk
7 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.30 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.510 Medium Risk
8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.23 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.387 Low Risk
9 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.23 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.387 Low Risk
10 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.23 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.463 Medium Risk
Rule of thumb:
Low risk RF < 0.4
Medium risk RF = 0.4 to 0.6
High risk RF > 0.6
➢ Mitigation Strategies
1. Research market demand, launch marketing campaign, gain market share in terms of
healthy products
39
2. Conduct market research, create unique selling points, and use a variety of social media
3. Develop a strategy for cross-training personnel on elements of one another’s job, back-up
workers, and set roles for each member
4. Strictly follow safety standards, and ensure the materials be verified.
5. Consider carefully based on the cost of production, competitor’s price, and consumer’s
ability to pay.
6. Maintain close contact with top management regarding project status, including earned
value, and prepare an unexpected budget with the number of 10% of the total budget
estimation.
7. Using the software, skilled workers, regularly check the workplace.
8. Qualify multiple suppliers at the initial stage, maintain relationships with farms and
suppliers
9. Find a location with enough facilities, and apply technology in management.
10. Have software or framework to track project timeline, and build time contingency.
40
CONCLUSION
We prepare a fictional project to manufacture and launch new original granola made from
a mixture of nutrition nuts by researching and developing, using the insource production line,
and qualifying within 6 months from 6-12/2023. The project is carried out within 6 months
which can be considered as a short term, furthermore, it is the first time our company
manufactures this kind of product (granola). As a result, there will have some limitations,
however, risk analysis and mitigation strategies have been prepared to avoid and the minimum
percentage of risk happens
The report was contributed by the whole group’s merits as well as the knowledge that we
have achieved in class. Through this report, we have cultivated for ourselves a new skillset: how
to apply knowledge in class to a real case study, how to calculate NPV, draw charts, how to
operate and analyze an AON model and learn the relationships between the code in the model,
which is an important part in project management.
We would like to give our sincerest gratitude to our instructor, Dr. Nguyen Thi Hoa Hong
for her diligence in delivering guidance and advice for us to accomplish this project in the right
direction.
41
REFERENCES
1. How to calculate WACC (weighted average cost of capital) (no date). Available at:
https://www.indeed.com/career-advice/career-development/how-to-calculate-wacc
(Accessed: March 19, 2023).
2. Trần, T. (2022) WACC LÀ GÌ? Cách tính WACC đầy đủ nhất (+ file excel mẫu), GoValue.
Available at: https://govalue.vn/wacc/ (Accessed: March 19, 2023).
3. Dũng, M. (2021) Mô Hình CAPM LÀ GÌ? Cách tính và cách ứng dụng (Chi Tiết File
Excel) -, GoValue. Available at: https://govalue.vn/mo-hinh-capm/ (Accessed: March 19,
2023).
4. Girardin, M.K., Pelta, R. and Kaplan, Z. (2023) What is CAPM (the Capital Asset Pricing
Model)?, Forage. Available at:
https://www.theforage.com/blog/skills/capm#h-capm-formula (Accessed: March 19,
2023).
5. Kho Bạc Nhà Nước (no date) Cổng TTĐT Kho Bạc Nhà Nước VN. Available at:
https://vst.mof.gov.vn/webcenter/portal/kbnn/r/o/tpcp/kqph/kqph_chitiet?dDocName=KB
NN211379&_afrLoop=4533734518536746 (Accessed: March 19, 2023).
6. Aswath, D. (no date) Country default spreads and risk premiums, Welcome to Pages at
the Stern School of Business, New York University. Available at:
https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/ctryprem.html
(Accessed: March 19, 2023).
7. VietstockFinance (2002) NAF: CTCP Nafoods Group - Nafoods Group,
VietstockFinance. finance.vietstock.vn. Available at:
https://finance.vietstock.vn/naf/tai-tai-lieu.htm?doctype=1 (Accessed: March 19, 2023).
8. Báo Cáo Tài Chính (2019) Nafoods Group. Available at:
https://nafoods.com/vi/quan-he-co-dong/bao-cao-tai-chinh-2 (Accessed: March 19,
2023).
42
PARTICIPATION & CONTRIBUTION
Responsibility
1 Nguyễn Hồng Anh 2014250211 matrix & Report 12.5%
format
Resource-loading
4 Ngô Nguyên Hạnh 2012250031 12.5%
chart
Stakeholder analysis
5 Nguyễn Tùng Lâm 2014250700 12.5%
& Slide
Work breakdown
6 Lưu Phương Linh 2013250014 12.5%
structure
43