Professional Documents
Culture Documents
s12346-024-01008-w
s12346-024-01008-w
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12346-024-01008-w
ORIGINAL PAPER
Abstract
The density of a population in a natural state often fluctuates greatly, but it is not an
unlimited change. Throughout the full text, we consider a stochastic predator–prey
system with fear, Holling-II response function, distributed delay and mean-reverting
Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, which can better reflect the actual situation and provide
theoretical basis for species research in the actual environment. And we drew some
significant conclusions. The first step is to obtain the stability of equilibrium point.
Then, the existence and uniqueness of positive solution for stochastic system is got
and we also reach the stationary distribution of the stochastic system. In addition, we
present an exact local expression for the density function of the random system near
the unique positive equilibrium. Then we obtain the pth moment boundedness and
the asymptotic behavior of the solution. At last, we give the extinction condition of
the population system by the asymptotic behavior of the solution. In particular, we
confirm the theoretical results by numerical simulation in the corresponding section.
1 Introduction
Population refers to all individuals of the same species that occupy a certain space
within a certain period of time. Individuals in a population are not mechanically
gathered together, but can mate with each other and pass on their genes to offspring
through reproduction. The study of populations mainly focuses on their quantitative
changes and intra species relationships, and the content of inter species relationships
has already fallen under the research scope of biological communities. For example,
B Daqing Jiang
daqingjiang2010@hotmail.com
0123456789().: V,-vol
146 Page 2 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
the models of Nicholson blowflies are the typical cases [1, 2]. Throughout history,
Lotka and Volterra have played a pioneering role in revealing the basic characteris-
tics of species interaction. With the development of society, more and more experts
and scholars have conducted in-depth research on Lotka-Volterra model, including
predator–prey models [3–7], competition models [8–10] and cooperation models [11–
13]. In the real world, any prey will react to the perceived risk of predation and display
some anti-predator behaviors, such as vigilance, new habitat selection and foraging
behavior. Many experiments have shown that the fear caused by predator preying on
prey has some important effects on the dynamics of species [14–17]. In some cases,
it is even more influential than direct predation. For example, Pangle et al. in [18]
presented that the impact of fear is seven times greater than that of direct predation
through the investigation of plankton in Lake Michigan Zoo being predated by water
fleas at six depth and position combinations. [19] proposed that the quality of prey
plays an important role in determining the behavior of predators, from a biological
perspective, the decrease in the quality of specific prey will reduce the biomass of
predators, and the growth rate of prey will increase. And considering the influence of
fear on the birth rate of prey, Wang et al. in [20] observe that higher level of fear con-
tributes to the local asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium of the system with
a high rate of prey birth, that is, the cost of fear can stabilize the predator–prey system.
Interestingly, this article also mentions that fear can affect the physiological condition
of juvenile prey and have some harmful impacts on their survival as adults. Elliott et
al. in [21] reveal that fear affects the reproduction of the population and the weight
of offspring, while larger ones can better protect individuals within the population.
It was also mentioned that the intrinsic growth rate of seasonal populations changed
from 4.2 to 3.6 after the addition of fear. The model of the impact of fear factors
on internal growth rate can refer to [22, 23]. There is still debate about considering
the fear effect on the growth rate. In order to ensure the accuracy of the model, we
ultimately added the fear effect to the birth rate. In addition, functional response is
the key factor to describe the predator’s direct prey and we usually use the Holling
response functions to simulate the predator–prey relationship between two species.
For the effects of different functional responses, please refer to [24–26].
After comprehensive consideration, the predator–prey model with fear and Holling-
II response functions in reference [23] has attracted great interest from us, the model
is as follows:
⎧
⎪
⎨ d x(t) c1 y(t)
dt = x(t) 1+ f y(t−τ ) − bx(t) − 1+βx(t) ,
r
⎪
⎩ dy(t) = y(t) − j − hy(t) + c2 x(t) ,
dt 1+βx(t)
⎧
⎪
⎨ d x(t) = c1 y(t)
1+ f y(t−τ ) − r1 − bx(t) − ,
r
dt x(t) 1+βx(t)
(1.1)
⎪
⎩ dy(t) = y(t) − j − hy(t) + c2 x(t) ,
dt 1+βx(t)
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 3 of 35 146
Parameters Description
wherein the densities of prey species and predator species are described by x(t) and
y(t), respectively. The meanings of other parameters are described in the following
table and all the coefficients are positive (Table 1).
In order to be closer to reality, we use the form of distributed time delay [27–29],
because the distributed delay depends on the average value of the population.
⎧
⎪
⎨ d x(t) = c1 y(t)
1+ f (g∗y)(t) − r1 − bx(t) − ,
r
dt x(t) 1+βx(t)
(1.2)
⎪
⎩ dy(t) = y(t) − j − hy(t) + c2 x(t) ,
dt 1+βx(t)
t
where g∗y is defined by (g∗y)(t) = −∞ g(t −s)y(s)ds and g : [0, +∞) → [0, +∞)
is a generation time function. We write the form of gamma distribution according to
Macdonald [30], the kernels is wrote as
t n σ n+1 e−σ t
f (t) = , σ > 0, n = 0, 1, 2, · · ·
n!
Generally, n = 1, f (t) = σ 2 te−σ t is known as the form of strong kernel and the
weak kernel is wrote as f (t) = σ e−σ t , (n = 0). Considering the strong kernel form
and linear chain trick technique, we can see
⎧
⎪
⎪
d x(t)
= x(t) r
− r − bx(t) − c1 y(t)
,
⎪
⎪ dt 1+ f v(t) 1 1+βx(t)
⎪
⎨ dy(t)
c2 x(t)
dt = y(t) − j − hy(t) + 1+βx(t) , (1.3)
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
du(t)
dt = σ (y(t) − u(t)),
⎪
⎩ dv(t)
dt = σ (u(t) − v(t)),
t t
with u(t) = −∞ σ e−σ (t−s) y(s)ds, v(t) = −∞ σ 2 (t − s)e−σ (t−s) y(s)ds.
Besides the results of the deterministic systems, the stochastic models with envi-
ronment white noises and telegraph noises are introduced to evaluate the dynamic
146 Page 4 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
d B(t)
β(t) = β + m , (1.4)
dt
where β is a positive constant and it is the long-time average level of β(t), B(t) is
mutually independent standard Brownian motion and m denotes the intensity of white
noises. Through this paper, B(t) is defined on (, {Ft }t≥0 , P) which is a complete
probability space with a filtration {Ft }t≥0 satisfying the usual conditions (i.e., it is
increasing and right continuous while F0 contains all P-null sets). Integrating (1.4)
from 0 to t, we can get
1 t B(t) m2
β(s)ds = β + m ∼ N β, .
t 0 t t
This shows that the variance of β(t) will tend to infinity as t → 0 which produces
an unreasonable result, that is the fluctuation of β(t) will be larger in a small time
interval.
For another case, β(t) is affected by the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process:
where k, l are positive constants, k means the speed of reversion and l is the symbol
for the intensity of fluctuation. Take advantage of the random integral scheme of
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 5 of 35 146
t
β(t) = β + β 0 − β e−kt + l e−k(t−s) d B(s),
0
where β 0 = β(0). Then we calculate the expected value and variance of β(t) over an
interval [0, t] are
l2
E(β(t)) = β + β 0 − β e−kt , V ar (β(t)) = 1 − e−2kt .
2k
for this set of equations, r , j, σ1 , σ2 , k1 , k2 are positive constants. r and j are the
average value of r (t), j(t). k1 , k2 mean the speed of reversion and σ1 , σ2 are the
symbol for the intensity of fluctuation.
Throughout the full text, we construct a stochastic predator–prey species sys-
tem with fear, Holling-II response functions, distributed delays under the influences
of mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. First of all, due to the addition of
distributed delay, we analyze the equilibrium point of the corresponding ordinary dif-
ferential model (1.3), and obtain the local stability of the equilibrium point in Sect. 3.
For the stochastic system (1.5), we successfully gain the existence and uniqueness of
positive solutions in Sect. 4. And then we derive the existence of stationary distribu-
tion in Sect. 5, and in Sect. 6, we obtain the density function of the stochastic model
(1.5) near the unique positive equilibrium and express the exact local expression. In
addition, we study the pth moment boundedness of the random model (1.5) in Sect.
7 and we get the asymptotic behavior of the solution in Sect. 8. In the last section
of the text, we test and verify our theoretical conclusions through some numerical
simulations.
146 Page 6 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
2 Preliminaries
In order to make the article neat and easy to understand, we have included some
necessary preliminary knowledge for easy reference.
(I) Let (, F, Ft≥0 , P) be a complete probability space with a filtration Ft≥0 sat-
isfying the usual conditions (i.e., it is increasing and right continuous while F0
contains all P-null sets) and we also let B(t) defined on the complete probability
space.
(II) R+ : A set composed of real numbers greater than or equal to zero. 1P : the
indicator function of the set P.
(III) ( [48]) Let (x(t), t) be the diffusion process described by the following n−
dimensional stochastic differential equation:
n n
∂ ∂ 1 ∂2
L= + f k (x(t), t) + [g T (x(t), t)g(x(t), t)]i j .
∂t ∂ xk 2 ∂ xi ∂ x j
k=1 i, j=1
The necessary and sufficient conditions for all roots of the above equation to
have negative real parts are
a j > 0, j = 1, 2, · · · , n,
and
a1 a3 a5 ··· a2k−1
1 a2 a4 ··· a2k−2
0 a1 a3 ··· a2k−3
Hk = 0 1 a2 ··· a2k−4 > 0, k = 1, 2, · · · , n.
.. .. .. .. ..
. . . . .
0 0 0 ··· ak
k
d X (t) = b(X (t))dt + σr (X (t))d Br (t). (2.1)
r =1
Suppose that the coefficients of Eq. (2.1) are continuous functions with respect to X
and satisfy the following conditions.
(i) For constant B, assume that it satisfies
k
| b(X 1 ) − b(X 2 ) | + | σr (X 1 ) − σr (X 2 ) |≤ B | X 1 − X 2 |,
r =1
k
| b(X ) | + | σr (X ) |≤ B(1+ | X |).
r =1
with
and
ϑ2 (ϑ3 ϑ4 − ϑ2 ϑ5 ) − ϑ4 (ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5 )
ϑ11 = ,
2[(ϑ1 ϑ2 − ϑ3 )(ϑ3 ϑ4 − ϑ2 ϑ5 ) − (ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5 )2 ]
ϑ3 ϑ4 − ϑ2 ϑ5
ϑ22 = ,
2[(ϑ1 ϑ2 − ϑ3 )(ϑ3 ϑ4 − ϑ2 ϑ5 ) − (ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5 )2 ]
ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5
ϑ33 = ,
2[(ϑ1 ϑ2 − ϑ3 )(ϑ3 ϑ4 − ϑ2 ϑ5 ) − (ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5 )2 ]
ϑ1 ϑ2 − ϑ3
ϑ44 = ,
2[(ϑ1 ϑ2 − ϑ3 )(ϑ3 ϑ4 − ϑ2 ϑ5 ) − (ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5 )2 ]
ϑ3 (ϑ1 ϑ2 − ϑ3 ) − ϑ1 (ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5 )
ϑ55 = .
2[(ϑ1 ϑ2 − ϑ3 )(ϑ3 ϑ4 − ϑ2 ϑ5 ) − (ϑ1 ϑ4 − ϑ5 )2 ]
Lemma 2.3 [51] Suppose that z(t) ∈ C( × [0, ∞); R+ ). (i)If there are three positive
constants T , λ and λ0 such that:
t
ln z(t) ≤ λt − λ0 z(s)ds f or all t ≥ T ,
0
then
z ∗ ≤ λλ0 a.s., i f λ ≥ 0;
limt→∞ z(t) = 0 a.s., i f λ < 0.
t
ln z(t) ≥ λt − λ0 z(s)ds f or all t ≥ T ,
0
λ
then z ∗ ≥ λ0 a.s..
In the section, if we want to study the stability of the equilibrium point of the ordinary
differential system, we first need to consider the conditions for the existence of the
equilibrium point. We know that the system (1.3) has three non-negative equilibrium
points:
c2 (r −r1 )
• E ∗ (x ∗ , y ∗ , y ∗ , y ∗ ) is the positive equilibrium point when j < b+β(r −r1 ) .
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 9 of 35 146
For the positive equilibrium point E ∗ (x ∗ , y ∗ , y ∗ , y ∗ ), we assume it exists and one can
see
c2 x ∗ j j
y∗ = − > 0 and then x ∗ > > 0,
h(1 + βx ∗ ) h c2 − jβ
j r −r1 bj
then we obtain a solution in c2 − jβ , b when r − r1 > c2 − jβ , which can be wrote
c2 (r −r1 ) c1 y ∗
as j < b+β(r −r1 ) . Therefore − r1 − bx ∗ −
we get 1+rf v ∗ 1+βx ∗ = 0.
On the basis of the existence of the equilibrium point, we study the stability of the
equilibrium point.
Theorem 3.1 For system (1.3), the trivial equilibrium point E 0 (0, 0, 0, 0) is always
c2 (r −r1 ) r −r1
unstable. If j > b+β(r −r1 ) , the predator free equilibrium point E 1 ( b , 0, 0, 0) is
locally asymptotically stable. And the positive equilibrium point E (x ∗ , y ∗ , y ∗ , y ∗ )
∗
βc1 y ∗ c2 f r x ∗ y ∗
is locally asymptotically stable when b > (1+βx ∗ )2 and (1+ f y ∗ )2 (1+βx ∗ )2 <
∗ ∗
c1 c2 x y 2 ∗2 .
min (1+βx ∗ )3 , h y
c2 (r −r1 )
hence E 0 (0, 0, 0, 0) is always unstable, and if j > b+β(r −r1 ) , the predator free equi-
r −r1
librium point E 1 ( b , 0, 0, 0) is locally asymptotically stable. Then we write the
Jacobian matrix at E ∗ :
⎛ c1 βx ∗ y ∗ c1 x ∗ ∗ ⎞
−bx ∗ + (1+βx ∗ )2 − 1+βx ∗ 0 − (1+f rf xv ∗ )2
⎜ c2 y ∗ ⎟
⎜ −hy ∗ 0 0 ⎟
JE ∗ = ⎜ 1+βx ∗ ⎟,
⎝ 0 σ −σ 0 ⎠
0 0 σ −σ
λ4 + p1 λ3 + p2 λ2 + p3 λ + p4 = 0,
where
βc1 x ∗ y ∗
p1 = bx ∗ − + 2σ + hy ∗ ,
(1 + βx ∗ )2
βc1 x ∗ y ∗ c1 c2 x ∗ y ∗
p2 = bx ∗ − ∗
(2σ + hy ∗ ) + 2σ hy ∗ + σ 2 + ,
(1 + βx ) 2 (1 + βx ∗ )3
βc1 x ∗ y ∗ βc1 x ∗ y ∗ 2σ c1 c2 x ∗ y ∗
p3 = 2σ hy ∗ bx ∗ − + σ 2
bx ∗
− + σ 2 ∗
hy + ,
(1 + βx ∗ )2 (1 + βx ∗ )2 (1 + βx ∗ )3
146 Page 10 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
βc1 x ∗ y ∗ σ 2 c1 c2 x ∗ y ∗ σ 2 c2 f r x ∗ y ∗
p4 = σ 2 hy ∗ bx ∗ − + + .
(1 + βx ∗ )2 (1 + βx ∗ )3 (1 + f y∗)2 (1 + βx ∗ )2
βc1 y ∗ c2 f r x ∗ y ∗
Through calculation, when b > (1+βx ∗ )2
and (1+ f y ∗ )2 (1+βx ∗ )2
< min
c1 c2 x ∗ y ∗ 2 y ∗2 are true, then
(1+βx ) ∗ 3 , h
Theorem 4.1 For any given initial value (x(0), y(0), u(0), v(0), r (0), j(0)) ∈ R4+ ×
R2 , system (1.5) has a unique global solution (x(t), y(t), u(t), v(t), r (t), j(t)) almost
surely (a.s.), and (x(t), y(t), u(t), v(t)) ∈ R4+ for all t ≥ 0.
Proof We have formed a relatively mature proof for the existence and uniqueness
of positive solutions and there is a detailed proof process for this part in document
[46]. The idea is same, we first consider the coefficients of it satisfy the local Lipschitz
condition, then there is a unique local solution (x(t), y(t), u(t), v(t), r (t), j(t)) on t ∈
[0, τe ) with initial value (x(0), y(0), u(0), v(0), r (0), j(0)), where τe is the explosion
time. To testify this solution is global, we only need to prove that τe = ∞ a.s.. Assume
m 0 > 0 enough large such that x(0), y(0), u(0), v(0), r (0), j(0) ∈ [ m10 , m 0 ]. For
every integer m ≥ m 0 , define the stopping time
1
τm = inf{t ∈ [0, τe ) : min{x(t), y(t), u(t), v(t), r (t), j(t)} ≤ or
m
max{x(t), y(t), u(t), v(t), r (t), j(t)} ≥ m}.
And we set inf ∅ = ∞(∅ denotes the empty set). Apparently, τm is increasing on m
and τm < τe . Thus, τ∞ = limm→∞ < τe a.s.. If once we prove that τ∞ = ∞ a.s.,
then τm = ∞ a.s..
If the statement is false, then there are a pair of constants T > 0, ε ∈ (0, 1) and
m 1 ≥ m 0 such that
P(τm ≤ T ) ≥ ε f or any m ≥ m 1 .
hu 2 hv 2
U = x − 1 − ln x + y − 1 − ln y + + + r 4 + j 4.
2σ 2σ
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 11 of 35 146
r c1 y r c1 y
L(x − 1 − ln x) = x − r1 − bx − − + r1 + bx +
1+ fv 1 + βx 1+ fv 1 + βx
≤ xr − r1 x − bx 2 + |r | + r1 + bx + c1 y
2 3 r3
≤x2 + − r1 x − bx 2 + |r | + r1 + bx + c1 y,
3 3
c2 x c2 x
L(y − 1 − ln y) = y − j − hy + + j + hy −
1 + βx 1 + βx
c2 y 2 3 | j|3 c2 y
≤ y| j| − hy 2 + + j + hy ≤ y 2 + − hy 2 + + j + hy,
β 3 3 β
and
Lu 2 = 2σ yu − 2σ u 2 ≤ σ (y 2 − u 2 ), Lv 2 = 2σ uv − 2σ v 2 ≤ σ (u 2 − v 2 ).
2 3 r3
LU ≤ −bx 2 + x 2 + bx + + |r | + c1 y − hy 2
3 3
2 3 c2 y | j|3 hy 2 hv 2
+ y2 + + hy + +j+ −
3 β 3 2 2
+4k1 r 3 (r̄ − r ) + 6σ12 r 2 + 4k2 j 3 ( j̄ − j) + 6σ12 j 2 − r1 x + r1
2 3 hy 2 2 3 c2
≤ −bx 2 + x 2 + bx − + y 2 + c1 + +h y
3 2 3 β
r3
−4k1 r 4 + + 4k1 r̄r 3 + 6σ12 r 2
3
| j|3
+|r | − 4k2 j 4 + + 4k2 j̄ j 3 + 6σ22 j 2 + j − r1 x + r1
3
2 3 hy 2 2 3 c2
≤ sup −bx 2 + x 2 + bx − r1 x − + y 2 + c1 + + h y + r1
(x,y)∈R2+ 3 2 3 β
3
r
+ sup −4k1 r 4 + + 4k1 r̄r 3 + 6σ12 r 2 + |r |
(r , j)∈R 2 3
| j|3
−4k2 j 4 + + 4k2 j̄ j 3 + 6σ22 j 2 + j
3
:= M,
5 Stationary Distribution
Proof We prove the theorem according to two conditions in Lemma (2.2). The condi-
tion (i) can be illustrated by the existence and uniqueness of the solution of (1.3) which
we already proved it in Sect. 3. And there followed a long period of the construction
of a nonnegative C 2 -function V . We define some functions V1 and V2 at first,
x
V1 = x − x̄ − x̄ ln + a1 (u + v) + a2 (r − r̄ )2 , V2 = − ln y + a3 j,
x̄
r̄ −r1
where x̄ = b and a1 = f x̄ r̄
σ , a2 = 1
4k1 b , a3 = 1
k2 . Applying I t ô s formula,
x r c1 y
L(x − x̄ − x̄ ln ) = (x − x̄) − r1 − bx −
x̄ 1+ fv 1 + βx
r c1 y
= (x − x̄) − r1 − bx − − r̄ + r1 + b x̄
1+ fv 1 + βx
(r − r̄ ) − f r̄ v
≤ (x − x̄) − b(x − x̄) + c1 x̄ y
1+ fv
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 13 of 35 146
b(x − x̄)2 (r − r̄ )2
LV1 ≤ − + + f x̄ r̄ v + c1 x̄ y + a1 σ (y − v) − 2k1 a2 (r − r̄ )2 + a2 σ12
2 2b
b(x − x̄)2
=− + (c1 x̄ + a1 σ )y + a2 σ12 ,
2
and
c2 x̄ c2 (x − x̄)
LV2 = j̄ + ( j − j̄) + hy − − + a3 k2 ( j̄ − j)
1 + β x̄ (1 + βx)(1 + β x̄)
c2 x̄
≤ j̄ + ( j − j̄) + hy + c2 |x − x̄| − + a3 k2 ( j̄ − j)
1 + β x̄
c2 x̄
= j̄ − + hy + c2 |x − x̄|.
1 + β x̄
V3 = V2 + a4 V1 + a5 y + a6 ( j − j̄)2 , V4 = − ln u − ln v,
V5 = c2 x + c1 y + a10 u 2 + a7 v 2 + a8 r 2 + a9 j 2 ,
c2 x y hy 2 ( j − j̄)2 c2 x y
Ly = − j̄ y + ( j̄ − j)y − hy 2 + ≤− + − j̄ y + .
1 + βx 2 2h 1 + βx
c2 x̄ ba4
LV3 ≤ j̄ − + hy + c2 |x − x̄| − (x − x̄)2
1 + β x̄ 2
a5 hy 2
+a4 (c1 x̄ + a1 σ )y + a2 a4 σ12 −
2
a5 ( j − j̄)2 a5 c2 x y
+ − a5 j̄ y + − 2a6 k2 ( j − j̄)2 + a6 σ22
2h 1 + βx
1 c2 x̄ a5 hy 2 a5 c2 x y
≤ j̄ − + a2 a4 σ12 + a6 σ22 − +
2 1 + β x̄ 2 1 + βx
146 Page 14 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
a5 hy 2 a5 c2 x y
:= −λ̄ − + ,
2 1 + βx
c2 x̄
and λ̄ = − 21 j̄ − 1+β x̄ − a2 a4 σ12 − a6 σ22 .
σy σu
LV4 = − − + 2σ,
u v
c2 xr
LV5 = − c2 r1 x − c2 bx 2 − c1 y j − c1 hy 2
1+ fv
+ 2a10 σ (yu − u 2 ) + 2a7 σ (uv − v 2 ) + 2a8 k1r (r̄ − r )
+ a8 σ12 + 2a9 k2 j( j̄ − j) + a9 σ22
≤ c2 x|r | − c2 bx 2 + c1 y| j| − c1 hy 2 + 2a10 σ (yu − u 2 )
+ 2a7 σ (uv − v 2 ) + 2a8 k1r (r̄ − r )
+ a8 σ12 + 2a9 k2 j( j̄ − j) + a9 σ22
c2 b 2 c2 2 c1 h 2 c1 2
≤− x + r − y + j + a10 σ (y 2 − u 2 )
2 2b 2 2h
+ a7 σ (u 2 − v 2 ) − 2a8 k1r 2 + 2a8 k1r̄r
+ a8 σ12 − 2a9 k2 j 2 + 2a9 k2 j̄ j + a9 σ22
c2 b 2 c1 h 2 a10 σ 2
=− x − y − a8 k 1 r 2 − a9 k 2 j 2 − u
2 4 2
a10 σ 2
− v + 2a8 k1r̄r + a8 σ12
2
+ 2a9 k2 j̄ j + a9 σ22 .
Ṽ = M V3 + V4 + V5 , V = Ṽ − ṼE ∗∗ ,
a5 c2 M x y σy σu c2 b 2
LV ≤ −M λ̄ + − − − x
1 + βx u v 2
a5 Mh c1 h a8 a9
− + y 2 − k1 r 2 − k2 j 2
2 4 2 2
a10 σ 2 a10 σ 2 a8 a9
− u − v + 2σ − k1r − k2 j 2
2
2 2 2 2
+2a8 k1r̄r + a8 σ12 + 2a9 k2 j̄ j + a9 σ22
a5 c2 M x y σy σu c2 b 2
≤ −M λ̄ + − − − x
1 + βx u v 2
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 15 of 35 146
a5 Mh c1 h a8 a9
− + y 2 − k1 r 2 − k2 j 2
2 4 2 2
a10 σ 2 a10 σ 2
− u − v + E,
2 2
with E = max(r , j)∈R2 {2σ − a28 k1r 2 − a29 k2 j 2 + 2a8 k1r̄r + a8 σ12 + 2a9 k2 j̄ j + a9 σ22 }.
Giving some conditions, we suppose 0 < < 1 is sufficiently small and
a5 c2 M a5 c2 M y
−M λ̄ + E ≤ −2, < 1 and < 1. (5.1)
β 1+β
Then
⎧
⎪ −2 + a 5 c2 M x y +
⎪
⎪ 1+βx < −1 with (5.1), as x → 0 ,
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ −2 + a 5 c2 M x y +
⎪
⎪
⎪ 1+βx < −1 with (5.1), as y → 0 ,
⎪
⎪ −2 − σy + +
⎪
⎪
⎪ u → ∞, as u → 0 and y 0 ,
⎪
⎪−2 − σu + +
⎪
⎪ v → ∞, as v → 0 and u 0 ,
⎪
⎨−2 − c2 b 2
2 x → −∞, as x → +∞,
LV ≤
⎪
⎪ a5 Mh c1 h
⎪
⎪ −2 − 2 + 4 y 2 → −∞, as y → +∞,
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ −2 − a10 σ 2
⎪
⎪ 2 u → −∞, as u → +∞,
⎪
⎪ a10 σ 2
⎪
⎪ −2 − 2 v → −∞, as v → +∞,
⎪
⎪
⎪ −2 − a8
⎪ 2 k1 r → −∞, as r → ∞,
2
⎪
⎪
⎩ a8
−2 − 2 k2 j → −∞, as r → ∞.
2
In the final analysis, we get that LV ≤ −1 for a sufficient small . Hence the stochastic
system (1.5) has a stationary distribution with the Lemma 2.1.
In this section, we will give the expression of the density function near the equilibrium
point (x ∗ , y ∗ , u ∗ , r ∗ , r̄ , j̄) of its stationary distribution.
Theorem 6.1 A local density function (x, y, u, v, r , j) near the quasi equilibrium
(x ∗ , y ∗ , u ∗ , r ∗ , r̄ , j̄) of the stochastic system (1.5) is derived and there exsits a positive
definite matrix such that
3 1 1 T −1 G
(x, y, u, v, r , j) = (2π )− 2 ||− 2 e− 2 G ,
with G = (x − x ∗ , y − y ∗ , u − u ∗ , v − v ∗ , r − r̄ , j − j̄)T .
Proof Around the quasi equilibrium (x ∗ , y ∗ , u ∗ , r ∗ , r̄ , j̄) of the system (1.5), we first
write its linearization equation. Let X 1 = x − x ∗ , X 2 = y − y ∗ , X 3 = u − u ∗ ,
X 4 = v − v ∗ , X 5 = r − r̄ , X 6 = j − j̄, and then
146 Page 16 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
⎧
⎪
⎪ d X 1 = (−a11 X 1 + a12 X 2 + a14 X 4 + a15 X 5 )dt,
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ d X 2 = (a21 X 1 − a22 X 2 − a26 X 6 )dt,
⎪
⎪
⎨d X = (a X − a X )dt,
3 32 2 33 3
(6.1)
⎪
⎪ d X = (a X − a X 4 )dt,
⎪
⎪
4 43 3 44
⎪
⎪ = −a + σ1 d B1 (t),
⎪
⎪
d X 5 X
55 5 dt
⎩
d X 6 = −a66 X 6 dt + σ2 d B2 (t),
where
c1 βx ∗ y ∗ c1 x ∗
a11 = bx ∗ − , a 12 = , a14
(1 + βx ∗ )2 1 + βx ∗
f r̄ x ∗ x∗
= , a 15 = , a22 = hy ∗ ,
(1 + f v ∗ )2 1 + f v∗
c2 y ∗
a21 = , a26 = y ∗ , a32 = a33 = a43 = a44 = σ, a55 = k1 , a66 = k2 ,
(1 + βx ∗ )2
are all positive. Using matrix form to rewrite the above equation,
d X = AX dt + H d B(t),
According to the stability of the positive equilibrium point in Sect. 2, we can say
that all roots of the characteristic multiform of matrix A have
negative real parts if
βc1 y ∗ c2 f r̄ x ∗ y ∗ c1 c2 x ∗ y ∗ 2 y ∗2 .
b > (1+βx ∗ )2 and (1+ f y ∗ )2 (1+βx ∗ )2
< min (1+βx ∗ )3
, h
Next, according to Gardiner’s theory [52], we define is a real symmetric matrix
which satisfies the following algebraic equation
H 2 + A + A T = 0. (6.2)
Owing to the independence of the Brownian motions, we can rewrite Eq. (6.2) as
follows:
Hi2 + Ai + i A T = 0, i = 1, 2,
Define
⎛ ⎞
0 0 0 0 1 0
⎜1 0 0 0 0 0⎟
⎜ ⎟
⎜0 1 0 0 0 0⎟
J1 = ⎜
⎜0
⎟,
⎜ 0 1 0 0 0⎟⎟
⎝0 0 0 1 0 0⎠
0 0 0 0 0 1
and then
⎛ ⎞
−a55 0 0 0 0 0
⎜ a15 −a11 −a12 0 −a14 0 ⎟
⎜ ⎟
⎜
−1 ⎜ 0 a 21 −a 22 0 0 −a ⎟
26 ⎟
A1 = J1 A J1 ⎜ ⎟.
⎜ 0 0 a 32 −a 33 0 0 ⎟
⎝ 0 0 0 a43 −a44 0 ⎠
0 0 0 0 0 −a66
(5)
1 05×1
J1 1 J1T = .
01×5 0
whereupon we see
Then we let
(5) (5)
A2 = M1 A1 M1T
⎛ ⎞
−d1 −d2 −d3 −d4 −a5
⎜ 1 0 0 0 0 ⎟
⎜ ⎟
=⎜⎜ 0 1 0 0 0 ⎟⎟,
⎝ 0 0 1 0 0 ⎠
0 0 0 1 0
where
and
⎛ ⎞
a15 a21 a32 a43 −a21 a32 a43 (a11 + a22 + a33 + a44 ) q1 q2 q3
⎜ 0 a21 a32 a43 q4 q5 −a44 ⎟
3
⎜ ⎟
M1 = ⎜
⎜ 0 0 2 ⎟,
a32 a43 −a43 (a33 + a44 ) a44 ⎟
⎝ 0 0 0 a43 −a44 ⎠
0 0 0 0 1
and q1 = a32 a43 (a22 (a22 +a33 +a44 )+a33 (a33 +a44 )+a44 2 −a a ), q = −a (a 3 +
12 21 2 43 33
a33 a44 + a33 a44 + a44 ), q3 = a44 − a14 a21 a32 a43 , q4 = −a32 a43 (a22 + a33 + a44 ),
2 2 3 4
q5 = a43 (a33
2 + a a + a 2 ). Then the Eq. (6.6) can be wrote as:
33 44 44
(5)
1 05×1
1 = J1−1 (J1−1 )T n 1 diag(1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0).
01×5 0
Define
⎛ ⎞ ⎛ ⎞ ⎛ ⎞
0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
⎜0 1 0 0 0 0⎟ ⎜0 1 0 0 0 0⎟ ⎜0 1 0 0 0 0⎟
⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟
⎜1 0⎟ ⎜ 0⎟ ⎜ 0⎟
J2 = ⎜
0 0 0 0 ⎟ , J3 = ⎜ 0 0 a132 0 0 ⎟ , J4 = ⎜ 0 0 1 0 0 ⎟,
⎜0 0 1 0 0 0⎟ ⎜0 0 1 0 0⎟ ⎜0 0 0 0 1 0⎟
⎜ ⎟ ⎜ a12 ⎟ ⎜ ⎟
⎝0 0 0 1 0 0 ⎠ ⎝0 0 0 0 1 0 ⎠ ⎝0 0 0 1 0 0⎠
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
and then
⎛ ⎞
−a66 0 0 0 0 0
⎜ −a26 −a22 a21 0 0 0 ⎟
⎜ ⎟
⎜ 0 −a −a −a 0 a ⎟
A5 = J4 J3 J2 A J2−1 J3−1 J4−1 =⎜ ⎟,
12 11 14 15
⎜ 0 0 −b1 −a44 a43 0 ⎟
⎜ ⎟
⎝ 0 0 b2 − a14a12a32 −a33 a15a12a32 ⎠
0 0 0 0 0 −a55
at the time,
⎛ ⎞
−a66 0 0 0 0 0
⎜ −a26 −a22 a21 0 0 0 ⎟
⎜ ⎟
⎜ 0 −a −a −a 0 a ⎟
A6 = J5 A5 J5−1 =⎜ ⎟,
12 11 14 15
⎜ 0 0 −b a − a − a a 0 ⎟
⎜ 1 11 33 44 43 ⎟
⎝ 0 0 0 −b3 −b4 a15a12a32 ⎠
0 0 0 0 0 −a55
(5)
Define 2 is a five dimensional symmetric array and
(5)
2 05×1
J5 J4 J3 J2 2 (J5 J4 J3 J2 )T = .
01×5 0
whereupon we see
Let
(5) (5)
A7 = M2 A6 M2T
⎛ ⎞
−c1 −c2 −c3 −c4 −c5
⎜ 1 0 0 0 0 ⎟
⎜ ⎟
=⎜⎜ 0 1 0 0 0 ⎟⎟,
⎝ 0 0 1 0 0 ⎠
0 0 0 1 0
where
and
⎛ ⎞
b1 b3 a12 a26 b1 b3 a12 (a11 + a22 + b4 − b5 ) m1 m2 m3
⎜ 0 −b1 b3 a12 b1 b3 (b5 − b4 − a11 ) m4 m5 ⎟
⎜ ⎟
M2 = ⎜
⎜ 0 0 b1 b3 −b3 (b5 − b4 ) b42 − b3 a43 ⎟
⎟,
⎝ 0 0 0 −b3 −b4 ⎠
0 0 0 0 1
and m 1 = −b1 b3 (a12 a21 + a11 (b5 − b4 − a11 ) − b1 a14 + b4 b5 − b52 − b42 + b3 a43 ),
m 2 = −b3 (b1 a14 (b5 − b4 − a11 ) + b5 (b1 a14 + b52 + b42 − b4 b5 − b3 a43 ) − b3 a43 (b5 −
2b4 ) − b43 ), m 3 = b44 − b1 b3 a14 a43 − b3 a43 (b52 − 2b4 b5 + 3b42 − b3 a43 ), m 4 =
−b1 b3 a14 − b3 b5 (−b4 + b5 ) − b3 (b42 − b3 a43 ), m 5 = −b3 a43 (b5 − 2b4 ) − b43 . Then
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 21 of 35 146
(5)
2 05×1
2 = J2−1 J3−1 J4−1 J5−1 (J2−1 J3−1 J4−1 J5−1 )T n 2 diag(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1).
01×5 0
In view of the transformation of X and the equivalence of (1.3) and (6.1), we can see
3 1 1 T −1 G
(x, y, u, v, r , j) = (2π )− 2 ||− 2 e− 2 G ,
H ( p)
lim sup EW (t) ≤ ,
t→∞ μ
146 Page 22 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
where
Proof First of all, using I t ô s formula to calculate some functions. Define p > 1,
p p
l1 = b p+1 and l2 = h p+1 .
xp r c1 y 1
L = xp − r1 − bx − ≤ x p r − bx p+1 = (l1−1 r )(l1p x) p − bx p+1
p 1+ fv 1 + βx
p+1
− p−1 − p−1
l pl p l b
≤ 1 |r | p+1 + 1 x p+1 − bx p+1 ≤ 1 |r | p+1 − x p+1 ,
p+1 p+1 p+1 p+1
yp c2 x 1
c2
L = y p − j − hy + ≤ (l2−1 | j|)(l2p y) p − hy p+1 + y p
p 1 + βx β
p+1
− p−1
l pl p c2
≤ 2 | j| p+1 + 2 y p+1 − hy p+1 + y p
p+1 p+1 β
− p−1
l2 h c2
≤ | j| p+1 − y p+1 + y p ,
p+1 p+1 β
Lu p+1 = σ ( p + 1)u p y − σ ( p + 1)u p+1
y p+1 pu p+1
≤ σ ( p + 1) + − σ ( p + 1)u p+1
p+1 p+1
= σ (y p+1 − u p+1 ),
Lu p+1 ≤ σ (u p+1 − v p+1 ).
c2 p y p+1 b− p−1
the parameter behind it is K = sup(y,r ,d)∈R+ ×R2 { hβ y − 4( p+1) + p+1 |r |
p+1 +
p+1 μ p y p+1 μ p
where H ( p) = sup(x,y,u,v,r , j)∈R4 ×R2 {− xp+1 + px − 4( p+1) + py + K }. Taking
+
expectation on eμt W (t),
t
E(eμt W (t)) = E(W (0)) + E{L(eμs W (s))}ds,
0
and then,
H ( p) μt H ( p)
E(eμt W (t)) ≤ W (0) + e − a.s..
μ μ
146 Page 24 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
H ( p)
E(W (t)) ≤ W (0)e−μt + (1 − e−μt ), t > 0, a.s..
μ
Let t → ∞, thus
H ( p)
lim sup E(W (t)) ≤ .
t→∞ μ
In this section, we will show the asymptotic path estimation of solution and the asymp-
totic behavior of the solution.
Theorem 8.1 For system (1.5), the solution of it has the property
Proof From the conclusion of the previous section, there exists a positive constant
M( p) and
Define δ is an arbitrarily small constant, and integrating above equation on (nδ, t),
n = 1, 2, · · · ,
t
E( sup W (t)) ≤ E(W (nδ)) + E( sup | LW (s)ds|)
nδ≤t≤(n+1)δ nδ≤t≤(n+1)δ nδ
≤ E(W (nδ)) + I ≤ M( p) + I ,
where
t
x p+1 y p+1 u p+1
I =E sup −− −
p + 1 4( p + 1) 4( p + 1)
nδ≤t≤(n+1)δ nδ
v p+1 k1 2 p k2 2 p
− − r − j + K ds
4( p + 1) 2 2
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 25 of 35 146
t x p+1 t 1
≤E sup ds + (y p+1 + u p+1 + v p+1 )ds
nδ≤t≤(n+1)δ nδ p+1 nδ 4( p + 1)
t k1 2 p k2 2 p
+ r + j + |K | ds
nδ 2 2
1 (n+1)δ 1 (n+1)δ
≤ E(x p+1 )ds + E(y p+1 + u p+1 + v p+1 )ds
p+1 nδ 4( p + 1) nδ
(n+1)δ
k1 2 p k2 2 p
+ E
r + j ds + |K |δ
nδ 2 2
≤ M1 ( p) by (8.1),
In view of Borel-Cantelli lemma [48], we derive that for all but finitely many n and
almost all ω ∈ ,
So there has a n(ω) which satisfies the above equation if n ≥ n(ω). For almost all
ω ∈ and n ≥ n(ω), if nδ ≤ t ≤ (n + 1)δ,
ln(W (t)) (1 + ) ln nδ
≤ = 1 + a.s..
ln t ln nδ
In the reason,
ln(W (t))
lim sup ≤ 1 + a.s..
t→∞ ln t
ln(W (t))
lim sup ≤ 1 a.s..
t→∞ ln t
146 Page 26 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
ln x(t) ln y(t) u v
lim sup ≤ 0, lim sup ≤ 0, lim = 0, lim = 0, a.s..
t→∞ t t→∞ t t→∞ t t→∞ t
9 Extinction
Under the influence of environmental crises such as climate change and environmental
pollution, although some species can withstand these threats, not all species can adapt,
and they are gradually heading for extinction.
Theorem 9.1 For any initial value (x(0), y(0), u(0), v(0), r (0), j(0)) ∈ R4+ × R2 , if
c2 (r̄ −r1 )
j̄ > b+β(r̄ −r1 ) , the solution of system (1.5) has the property
and
r̄ − r1
lim x1 (t) = , a.s..
t→∞ b
Proof To begin with, we suppose initial value (x(0), y(0), u(0), v(0), r (0), j(0)) ∈
R4+ × R2 , and then the solution satisfies
Therefore,
t
ln x(t) − ln x(0) 0 (r (s) − r̄ )ds
1 t
≤ (r̄ − r1 )ds + − b x(t) , a.s. (9.1)
t t 0 t
t
x(s)ds
where x(t) = 0
t , and by Lemma (2.3) we know that
r̄ − r1
lim sup x(t) ≤ .
t→∞ b
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 27 of 35 146
c2 (r̄ −r1 )
when j̄ > b+β(r̄ −r1 ) , we easily obtain
r̄ − r1
lim inf x(t) ≥ .
t→∞ b
Therefore
r̄ − r1
lim x(t) = a.s..
t→∞ b
10 Numerical Simulations
The existence of theory is not enough to explain its rationality, so we use numerical
simulation to verify the conclusions in this paper. In the section, we mainly use the
Milstein’s Higher Order Method mentioned in [53], and then
ri c1 yi
xi+1 = xi + xi − r1 − bxi − t,
1 + f vi 1 + βxi
c2 xi
yi+1 = yi + yi − ji − hyi + t,
1 + βxi
u i+1 = u i + σ (yi − u i )t,
146 Page 28 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
1.6 1.1
Stochastic solution Deterministic solution
1.4
1
1.2
0.9
1
y(t)
y(t)
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2 0.5
0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
x(t) x(t)
Fig. 1 The phase diagrams of x(t), y(t) in stochastic system (1.5) and deterministic system (1.3) under
the condition (10.1)
1.6 1.1
Stochastic solution Deterministic solution
1.4 1
1.2 0.9
1 0.8
v(t)
v(t)
0.8 0.7
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.5
0.2 0.4
0.5 1 1.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
u(t) u(t)
Fig. 2 The phase diagrams of u(t), v(t) in stochastic system (1.5) and deterministic system (1.3) under the
condition (10.1)
vi+1 = vi + σ (u i − vi )t,
√
ri+1 = ri + k1 (r̄ − ri )t + σ1 t,
√
ji+1 = ji + k2 ( j̄ − ji )t + σ2 t,
0.35
Stochastic solution
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
j(t)
0.1
0.05
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
r(t)
Fig. 3 The phase diagrams of r (t), j(t) in stochastic system (1.5) and deterministic system (1.3) under the
condition (10.1)
2 4
Stochastic solution
1.5 Deterministic solution 3
x(t)
1 2
0.5 1
0 0
0 100 200 300 0 0.5 1 1.5
Time t Frequency histogram and density function of x
3 2
Stochastic solution
Deterministic solution 1.5
2
y(t)
1
1
0.5
0 0
0 100 200 300 0 1 2 3
Time t Frequency histogram and density function of y
Fig. 4 The stationary distribution and density function of x(t), y(t) in stochastic system (1.5)
Part 1. Our priority is to give the initial value (x(0), y(0), u(0), v(0), r (0), j(0)) =
(0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5) and the parameter values in system (1.3) and (1.5):
2.5 2
Stochastic solution
2 Deterministic solution 1.5
1.5
u(t)
1
1
0.5
0.5
0 0
0 100 200 300 400 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Time t Frequency histogram and density function of u
2.5 2
Stochastic solution
2 Deterministic solution 1.5
1.5
v(t)
1
1
0.5
0.5
0 0
0 100 200 300 400 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Time t Frequency histogram and density function of v
Fig. 5 The stationary distribution and density function of u(t), v(t) in stochastic system (1.5)
1.5 5
Stochastic solution
4
1
3
r(t)
2
0.5
1
0 0
0 50 100 150 200 0 0.5 1 1.5
Time t Frequency histogram and density function of r
0.8 5
Stochastic solution
0.6 4
0.4 3
j(t)
0.2
2
0
1
-0.2
0
0 50 100 150 200 -0.5 0 0.5
Time t Frequency histogram and density function of j
Fig. 6 The stationary distribution and density function of r (t), j(t) in stochastic system (1.5)
represent the trend of (1.3) and the blue curves represent the trend of (1.5). The graphs
in the right represent the density function and frequency histogram of the random
system.
Part 2. Display a group of data of the extinction of random system:
The above data meet the condition in Theorem 9.1. In Figs. 7, 8 and 9, the red curves
in the left represent the trend of (1.3) and the blue curves represent the trend of (1.5).
The graphs in the right represent the frequency histograms of the random system. And
in those figures, we can see that the curves of y(t), u(t) and v(t) tend to zero and there
is no frequency histogram. The same result is also shown in Fig 10.
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 31 of 35 146
2.5 4
Stochastic solution
2 Deterministic solution 3
1.5
x(t)
2
1
1
0.5
0 0
0 100 200 300 1 1.5 2
Time t Frequency histogram of x
0.5 1
Stochastic solution
0.4 Deterministic solution 0.8
0.3 0.6
y(t)
0.2 0.4
0.1 0.2
0 0
0 100 200 300 0 100 200 300 400 500
Time t Frequency histogram of y
Fig. 7 The change curves and frequency histograms of x(t) and y(t) with the condition (10.2)
0.5 1
Stochastic solution
0.4 Deterministic solution 0.8
0.3 0.6
u(t)
0.2 0.4
0.1 0.2
0 0
0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300
Time t Frequency histogram of u
0.5 1
Stochastic solution
0.4 Deterministic solution 0.8
0.3 0.6
v(t)
0.2 0.4
0.1 0.2
0 0
0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300
Time t Frequency histogram of v
Fig. 8 The change curves and frequency histograms of u(t) and v(t) with the condition (10.2)
In nature, there is a way of survival that is both interdependent and competitive among
different populations, namely the predator–prey model. In the paper, we investigate
a stochastic predator–prey system with fear, Holling-II response function, distributed
delay and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. In view of the above aspects,
we successfully obtain the stability of equilibrium point for ordinary differential sys-
tem at first. Then the existence and uniqueness of positive solutions for stochastic
system is got and the stationary distribution is reached followed, and the conclusion
reveals the effects of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process on the existence of stationary dis-
tribution. In addition, we present an exact local expression for the density function of
146 Page 32 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
1.5 5
Stochastic solution
4
1
3
r(t)
2
0.5
1
0 0
0 50 100 150 200 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Time t Frequency histogram of r
1 5
Stochastic solution
0.8 4
0.6 3
j(t)
0.4 2
0.2 1
0 0
0 50 100 150 200 0 0.5 1
Time t Frequency histogram of j
Fig. 9 The change curves and frequency histograms of r (t) and j(t) with the condition (10.2)
Fig. 10 The extinction of y(t), u(t) and v(t) in system (1.3) with initial value (x(0), y(0), u(0),
v(0), r (0), j(0)) = (0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5)
the six-dimensional random system near the unique positive equilibrium. In particu-
lar, we obtain the pth moment boundedness, the asymptotic behavior of the solution
and extinction of the stochastic system. At last we confirm the theoretical results by
numerical simulation in the last section.
The results of the paper extend the deterministic theory, ponder on the changes in
population structure caused by random fluctuations in the environment, and provide
new insights for the study of the equilibrium state of the population system. We can use
similar methods to study reciprocal models and competitive systems with Ornstein–
Uhlenbeck process. But there are still many interesting aspects to explore. And when
we study the existence of stationary distribution, we have to get a strong sufficient
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 33 of 35 146
condition. If these conditions are not met, does the stationary distribution exist? This
is a question worthy of follow-up consideration.
Author Contributions Yaxin Zhou: Software, Validation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Data Curation,
Writing - Original Draft, Writing - Review & Editing. Daqing Jiang: Conceptualization, Methodology,
Validation, Formal analysis, Visualization, Supervision, Funding acquisition.
Funding The work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 11871473),
the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. 22CX03030A), the Innovation fund
project for graduate student of China University of Petroleum (East China) supported by “the Fundamental
Research Funds for the Central Universities” (Nos. 24CX04049A, 24CX04050A).
Data Availability Data sharing not applicable to this article as no datasets were generated or analysed during
the current study.
Declarations
Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
References
1. Shaikhet, L., Abbas, S.: Novel stability conditions for some generalization of Nicholson’s blowflies
model with stochastic perturbations. Anziam J. 64, 394–405 (2022)
2. Abbas, S., Niezabitowski, M., Grace, S.R.: Global existence and stability of Nicholson blowflies model
with harvesting and random effect. Nonlinear Dyn. 103, 2109–2123 (2021)
3. Huang, R., Wang, Y.S., Wu, H.: Population abundance in predator–prey systems with predator’s dis-
persal between two patches. Theor. Popul. Biol. 135, 1–8 (2020)
4. Mandal, P.S., Banerjee, M.: Stochastic persistence and stationary distribution in a Holling–Tanner type
prey–predator model. Phys. A 391, 1216–1233 (2012)
5. Zhang, Q.M., Jiang, D.Q., Liu, Z.W., O’Regan, D.: The long time behavior of a predator–prey model
with disease in the prey by stochastic perturbation. Appl. Math. Comput. 245, 305–320 (2014)
6. Zhang, C.H., Yan, X.P., Cui, G.H.: Hopf bifurcations in a predator–prey systems with a discrete and a
distributed delay. Nonlinear Anal. Real 11, 4141–4153 (2010)
7. Gramlich, P., Plitzko, S.J., Rudolf, L., Drossel, B., Gross, T.: The influence of dispersal on a predator–
prey system with two habitats. J. Theor. Biol. 398, 150–161 (2016)
8. Liu, M., Wang, K.: A note on a delay Lotka–Volterra competitive system with random perturbations.
Appl. Math. Lett. 26, 589–594 (2013)
9. Liu, L.D., Meng, X.Z., Zhang, T.H.: Optimal control strategy for an impulsive stochastic competition
system with time delays and jumps. Phys. A 477, 99–113 (2017)
10. Qiu, H., Deng, W.M.: Optimal harvesting of a stochastic delay competitive Lotka–Volterra model with
lévy jumps. Appl. Math. Comput. 317, 210–222 (2018)
11. Nakata, Y., Muroya, Y.: Permanence for nonautonomous Lotka–Volterra cooperative systems with
delays. Nonlinear Anal-Real 11, 528–534 (2010)
12. Yang, Y., Wu, C.F., Li, Z.X.: Forced waves and their asymptotics in a Lotka–Volterra cooperative
model under climate change. Appl. Math. Comput. 353, 254–264 (2019)
13. Huang, J.H., Zou, X.F.: Traveling wavefronts in diffusive and cooperative Lotka–Volterra system with
delays. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 271, 455–466 (2002)
14. Das, A., Samanta, G.P.: Modeling the fear effect on a stochastic prey–predator system with additional
food for the predator. J. Phys. A Math. Theor. 51, 465601 (2018)
15. Dutta, P., Sahoo, D., Mondal, S., Samanta, G.: Dynamical complexity of a delay-induced eco-epidemic
model with Beddington–DeAngelis incidence rate. Math. Comput. Simulat. 197, 45–90 (2022)
16. Sahoo, D., Samanta, G.: Oscillatory and transient dynamics of a slow–fast predator-prey system with
fear and its carry-over effect. Nonlinear Anal. Real. 73, 103888 (2023)
146 Page 34 of 35 Y. Zhou, D. Jiang
17. Sahoo, D., Samanta, G., Sen, M.D.l.: Impact of fear and habitat complexity in a predator–prey system
with two different shaped functional responses: a comparative study. Discrete Dyn. Nat. Soc. 2021,
6427864 (2021)
18. Pangle, K.L., Peacor, S.D., Johannsson, O.E.: Large nonlethal effects of an invasive invertbrate predator
on zooplankton population growth rate. Ecology 88, 402–412 (2007)
19. Sahoo, D., Samanta, G.P.: Impact of fear effect in a two prey-one predator system with switching
behaviour in predation. Differ. Equ. Dyn. Syst. 32, 377–399 (2024)
20. Wang, X.Y., Zanette, L., Zou, X.F.: Modelling the fear effect in predator–prey interactions. J. Math.
Biol. 73, 1179–1204 (2016)
21. Elliott, K.H., Betini, G.S., Norris, D.R.: Fear creates an Allee effect: experimentalevidence from
seasonal populations. Proc. R. Soc. B 284, 20170878 (2017)
22. Zhang, H.S., Cai, Y.L., Fu, S.M., Wang, W.M.: Impact of the fear effect in a prey–predator model
incorporating a prey refuge. Appl. Math. Comput. 356, 328–337 (2019)
23. Shao, Y.F.: Global stability of a delayed predator–prey system with fear and Holling-type II functional
response in deterministic and stochastic environments. Math. Comput. Simulat. 200, 65–77 (2022)
24. Holling, C.S.: The functional response of predator to prey density and its role in mimicry and population
regulation. Mem. Entomol. Soc. Can. 45, 1–60 (1965)
25. Liu, Q.: The effects of time-dependent delays on global stability of stochastic Lotka–Volterra compet-
itive model. Phys. A 420, 108–115 (2015)
26. Zhang, X.H., Li, W.X., Li, M., Wang, K.: Dynamics of a stochastic Holling II one-predator two-prey
system with jumps. Phys. A 421, 571–582 (2015)
27. Zuo, W.J., Zhou, Y.X.: Density function and stationary distribution of a stochastic SIR model with
distributed delay. Appl. Math. Lett. 129, 107931 (2022)
28. Zuo, W.J., Jiang, D.Q., Sun, X.G., Hayat, T., Alsaedi, A.: Long-time behaviors of a stochastic cooper-
ative Lotka–Volterra system with distributed delay. Phys. A 506, 542–559 (2018)
29. Sun, X.G., Zuo, W.J., Jiang, D.Q., Hayat, T.: Unique stationary distribution and ergodicity of a stochastic
logistic model with distributed delay. Phys. A 512, 864–881 (2018)
30. Macdonald, N.: Time Lags in Biological Models. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg (1987)
31. Liu, M., Wang, K.: Staionary distribution, ergodicity and extinction of a stochastic generalized logistic
system. Appl. Math. Lett. 25, 1980–1985 (2012)
32. Jiang, D.Q., Shi, N.Z., Li, X.Y.: Global stability and stochastic permanence of a non-autonomous
logistic equation with random perturbation. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 340, 588–597 (2008)
33. Liu, Q., Jiang, D.Q., Shi, N.Z.: Threshold behavior in a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with standard
incidence and regime switching. Appl. Math. Comput. 316, 310–325 (2018)
34. Mu, X.J., Jiang, D.Q., Hayat, T., Alsaedi, A., Ahmad, B.: Dynamical behavior of a stochastic Nichol-
son’s blowflies model with distributed delay and degenerate diffusion. Nonlinear Dyn. 103, 2081–2096
(2021)
35. Mao, X.R., Marion, G., Renshaw, E.: Environmental Brownian noise suppresses explosions in popu-
lation dynamics. Stoch. Proc. Appl. 97, 95–110 (2002)
36. Ji, C.Y., Jiang, D.Q., Shi, N.Z.: Analysis of a predator–prey model with modified Leslie–Gower and
Holling-type II schemes with stochastic perturbation. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 359, 482–498 (2009)
37. Upadhyay, R.K., Mukhopadhyay, A., Iyengar, S.R.: Influence of environmental noise on the dynamics
of a realistic ecological model. Fluct. Noise Lett. 7, 61–77 (2007)
38. Zhang, S.Q., Meng, X.Z., Feng, T., Zhang, T.H.: Dynamics analysis and numerical simulations of a
stochastic non-autonomous predator–prey system with impulsive effects. Nonlinear Anal. Hybrid Syst.
26, 19–37 (2017)
39. Huang, C.M., Gan, S.Q., Wang, D.S.: Delay-dependent stability analysis of numerical methods for
stochastic delay differential equations. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 236, 3514–3527 (2012)
40. Li, D.S.: The stationary distribution and ergodicity of a stochastic generalized logistic system. Statist.
Probab. Lett. 83, 580–583 (2013)
41. Zhao, Y., Yuan, S.L.: Survival and stationary distribution analysis of a stochastic competitive model
of three species in a polluted environment. Bull. Math. Biol. 77, 1285–1326 (2015)
42. Mu, X.J., Jiang, D.Q., Hayat, T., Alsaedi, A., Liao, Y.: A stochastic turbidostat model with Ornstein–
Uhlenbeck process: dynamics analysis and numerical simulations. Nonlinear Dyn. 107, 2805–2817
(2022)
43. Zhou, B.Q., Jiang, D.Q., Hayat, T.: Analysis of a stochastic population model with mean-reverting
Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process and Allee effects. Commun. Nonlinear Sci. 111, 106450 (2022)
The Behavior of a Predator–Prey System... Page 35 of 35 146
44. Yang, Q., Zhang, X.H., Jiang, D.Q.: Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic food chain system with
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process. J. Nonlinear Sci. 32, 34 (2022)
45. Shi, Z.F., Jiang, D.Q.: Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic HTLV-I infection model with general
infection form and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. Chaos Solut. Fract. 165, 112789 (2022)
46. Zhou, Y.X., Jiang, D.Q.: Dynamical behavior of a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with Ornstein–
Uhlenbeck process and standard incidence rate after dimensionality reduction. Commun. Nonlinear
Sci. 116, 106878 (2023)
47. Zhang, X.F., Yuan, R.: A stochastic chemostat model with mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process
and Monod-Haldane response function. Appl. Math. Comput. 394, 125833 (2021)
48. Mao, X.R.: Stochastic Differential Equations and Applications. Horwood Publishing, Chichester
(1997)
49. Khasminskii, R.Z.: Stochastic Stability of Differential Equations. Springer, Heidelberg Publishing
(1980)
50. Zhou, B.Q., Jiang, D.Q., Dai, Y.C., Hayat, T.: Threshold dynamics and probability density function of
a stochastic avian influenza epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and psychological effect. J.
Nonlinear Sci. 33, 29 (2023)
51. Liu, H., Ma, Z.: The threshold of survival for system of two species in a polluted environment. J. Math.
Biol. 30, 49–61 (1991)
52. Gardiner, C.W.: Handbook of Stochastic Methods for Physics. Springer, Berlin (1983)
53. Higham, D.J.: An algorithmic introduction to numerical simulations of stochastic differential equations.
SIAM Rev. 43, 525–546 (2001)
Publisher’s Note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps
and institutional affiliations.
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under
a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted
manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable
law.