Professional Documents
Culture Documents
When considering a fund
When considering a fund
provide the optimal risk-reward combination. Many websites provide various volatility measures for
mutual funds free of charge; however, it can be hard to know not only what the figures mean but also
how to analyze them. Furthermore, the relationship between these figures is not always obvious. Read
on to learn about the four most common volatility measures and how they're applied in the type of risk
analysis that is based on modern portfolio theory. (Learn more about modern portfolio theory .
1. Standard Deviation
As with many statistical measures, the calculation for standard deviation can be intimidating, but, as
the number is extremely useful for those who know how to use it, there are many free mutual fund
screening services that provide the standard deviations of funds.
The standard deviation essentially reports a fund's volatility, which indicates the tendency of the
returns to rise or fall drastically in a short period of time. A security that is volatile is also considered
higher risk because its performance may change quickly in either direction at any moment. The
standard deviation of a fund measures this risk by measuring the degree to which the fund fluctuates
in relation to its mean return, the average return of a fund over a period of time.
A fund that has a consistent four-year return of 3%, for example, would have a mean, or average, of
3%. The standard deviation for this fund would then be zero because the fund's return in any given
year does not differ from its four-year mean of 3%. On the other hand, a fund that in each of the last
four years retured -5%, 17%, 2% and 30% will have a mean return of 11%. The fund will also exhibit
a high standard deviation because each year the return of the fund differs from the mean return. This
fund is therefore more risky because it fluctuates widely between negative and positive returns within
a short period.
A note to remember is that, because volatility is only one indicator of the risk affecting a security, a
stable past performance of a fund is not necessarily a guarantee of future stability. Since unforeseen
market factors can influence volatility, a fund that this year has a standard deviation close or equal to
zero may behave differently in the following year.
Ways to Measure Volatility
Volatility is something that we can use when looking for good breakout trade opportunities.
Volatility measures the overall price fluctuations over a certain time and this information can be used
to detect potential breakouts.
There are a few indicators that can help you gauge a pair's current volatility. Using these indicators
can help you tremendously when looking for breakout opportunities.
1. Moving Average
Moving averages are probably the most common indicator used by traders and although it is a simple
tool, it provides invaluable data.
Simply put, moving averages measures the average movement of the market for an X amount of time,
where X is whatever you want it to be.
For example if you applied a 20 SMA to a daily chart, it would show you the average movement for
the past 20 days.
There are other types of moving averages such as exponential and weighted, but for the purpose of
this lesson we won't go too much in detail on them.
For more information on moving averages or if you just need to refresh yourself on them, check out
our lesson on moving averages.
2. Bollinger Bands
Bollinger bands are excellent tools for measuring volatility because that is exactly what it was
designed to do.
Bollinger bands are basically 2 lines that are plotted 2 standard deviations above and below a moving
average for an X amount of time, where X is whatever you want it to be.
So if we set it at 20, we would have a 20 SMA and two other lines. One line would be plotted +2
standard deviations above it and the other line would be plotted -2 standard deviations below.
When the bands contract, it tells us that volatility is low.
When the bands widen, it tells us that volatility is high
3. Average True Range (ATR)
Last on the list is the ATR.
The ATR is an excellent tool for measuring volatility because it tells us the average trading range of
the market for X amount of time, where X is whatever you want it to be.
So if you set ATR to 20 on a daily chart, it would show you the average trading range for the past 20
days.
When ATR is falling, it is an indication that volatility is decreasing. When ATR is rising, it is an
indication that volatility has been on the rise
To determine how well a fund is maximizing the return received for its volatility, you can compare
the fund to another with a similar investment strategy and similar returns. The fund with the lower
standard deviation would be more optimal because it is maximizing the return received for the amount
of risk acquired. Consider the following graph:
• Risk
• Systematic risk
• Unsystematic risk
• Return
• Portfolio
• Beta
• Leverage
• Diversification
SYSTEMATIC RISK
Systematic risk is due to the influence of external factors on an organization. Such factors are
normally uncontrollable from an organization's point of view.It is a macro in nature as it affects a
large number of organizations operating under a similar stream or same domain. It cannot be planned
by the organization.
The types of systematic risk are depicted and listed below.
1. Interest rate risk
2. Market risk and
3. Purchasing power or inflationary risk.
Now let's discuss each risk classified under this group.
3. Political Risk
This is also higher in emerging economies. It is the risk that a country's government will suddenly
change its policies. For example, today with the continuing raging debate on FDI in retail, India's
policies will not be looking very attractive to foreign investors, and stock prices are negatively
affected.
4. Reinvestment Risk
This is the risk that you lock into a high yielding fixed deposit or corporate deposit at the highest
available rate (currently above 9.50%), and when your interest payments come in, there is no
equivalent high interest rate investment avenue available for you to reinvest these interest proceeds
(for example if your interest is paid out after 1 year and the prevailing interest rate is 8% at that time).
Currently as we are at an interest rate peak, it would be advisable to lock in for a longer tenor
(provided your financial goal time horizon permits) to avoid facing reinvestment risk.
5. Interest Rate Risk
A golden rule in debt investing is this: Interest Rates go up, prices of bonds go down. And vice versa.
So for example in our situation today, we appear to be at an interest rate peak. This means that since
interest rates are going to go down from here, prices of bonds are going to go up. So if you were to
invest in debtfunds now, you would be buying at a low, and can sit back and watch as your
investments start to give gains as interest rates fall.
6. Foreign Exchange Risk
Forex risk applies to any financial instruments that are denoted in a currency other than your own. For
example, if a UK firm has invested in India, and the Indian investment does well in rupee terms, the
UK firm might still lose money because the Rupee has depreciated against the Pound, so when the
firm decides to pull out its investment on maturity, it gets fewer pounds on redemption. With the
recent very sharp fall in the rupee, the forex risk of our country as an investment destination has
greatly increased.
7. Inflationary Risk
Inflationary risk, or simply, inflation risk, is when the real return on your investment is reduced due to
inflation eroding the purchasing power of your funds by the time they mature. For example, if you
were to invest in a fixed deposit today and you were to earn a 10% interest on it in 1 year's time, then
if inflation has been 8% in that year, your real rate of return comes down to 2%, keeping purchasing
power in mind.
8. Market Risk:
This is the risk that the value of your investment will fall due to market risk factors, which include
equity risk (risk of stock market prices or volatility changing), interest rate risk (risk of interest rate
fluctuations), currency risk (risk of currency fluctuations) and commodity risk (risk of fluctuations in
commodityprices). There are other types of risk too, such as legislative risk, global risk,timing risk
and more, but for the scope of this article, the ones explained aboveare the main ones you need to
keep in mind, both on a macro (country) and a micro (individual investments) level.
ELIMINATION OF RISKS
There is some good news though credit risk can be simply eliminated by investing in sovereign
securities-securities issued by the government. There is simply no risk of default. Or so we hope, for
retail investors,MFs offer gilt schemes,where almost the entire corpus is invested in securities thereby
achieving the same result .interest rate risk discussed earlier is always prevalent.However,it comes
into play only when a transaction is undertaken during the pendency of the fixed income
instrument .Ergo ,it follows that if the investment is held till maturity; there would be no interest rate
risk. Investments such as Public Provident Fund(PPF),relief bonds etc are normally held till
maturity.These are examples where both the risks inherent in debt instruments are at a bare minimum.
Government Action Risk
This is a unique kind of risk,which has reared its ugly head in recent times. In the previous paragraph,
it is mentioned that the interest rate risk is eliminated by simply holding the instrument till maturity.
However, such principles of investment had not contended with unilateral governmental action. For
example, the rates of ppf over the past three years have been consistently reduced by the authorities
from 12%p.a to 8%p.To add insult to injury these rates are applicable on the entire corpus and not on
additional investment. Relief bonds have come down to8%rates in other small saving instruments
have also been slashed across the board.Unfortunately,there is no escape from this risk that of our
government.
BENEFITS TO A SHAREHOLDER
Why should you purchase shares of a company? What are benefits that accrue to as a shareholder?
Apart from the right to vote and decide the future course of action that a company takes, the real
benefit that you, as a shareholder have is in form of participation that you get in profit made by the
company. At the same time, your liability is limited Only to the face value of the shares held by you.
The benefits distributed by the company to its shareholders.
1. Monetary Benefits and 2) Non Monetary Benefits.
Monetary Benefits:
A. Dividend:
An equity shareholder has a right on the profits generated by the company. Profits are distributed in
part or in full in the form of dividends. Dividend is an earning on the investment made in shares, just
like interest in case of bonds or debentures. A company can issue dividend in two forms: a) Interim
Dividend and b) Final Dividend. While final dividend is distributed only after closing of financial
year; companies at times declare an interim dividend during a financial year. Hence if X Ltd. earns a
profit of Rs 40 crore and decides to distribute Rs 2 to each shareholder, a holding of 200 shares of X
Ltd. would entitle you to Rs 400 as dividend. This is a return that you shall earn as a result of the
investment made by you by subscribing to the shares of X Ltd.
B. Capital Appreciation:
A shareholder also benefits from capital appreciation. Simply put, this means an increase in the value
of the company usually reflected in its share price. Companies generally do not distribute all their
profits as dividend. As the companies grow, profits are re-invested in the business. This means an
increase in net worth, which results in appreciation in the value of shares. Hence, if you purchase 200
shares of X Ltd at Rs 20 per share and hold the same for two years, after which the value of each
share is Rs 35. This means that your capital has appreciated by Rs 3000.
1. Non-Monetary Benefits: Apart from dividends and capital appreciation, investments in shares
also fetch some type of non-monetary benefits to a shareholder. Bonuses and rights issues are two
such noticeable benefits.
A. Bonus:
An issue of bonus shares is the distribution free of cost to the shareholders usually made when a
company capitalises on profits made over a period of time. Rather than paying dividends, companies
give additional shares in a pre-defined ratio. Prima facie, it does not affect the wealth of shareholders.
However, in practice, bonuses carry certain latent advantages such as tax benefits, better future
growth potential, an increase in the floating stock of the company, etc. Hence if X Ltd decides to issue
bonus shares in a ration of 1:1, every existing shareholder of X Ltd would receive one additional share
free for each share held by him. Of course, taking the bonus into account, the share price would also
ideally fall by 50 percent post bonus. However, depending upon market expectations, the share price
may rise or fall on the bonus announcement.
B. Rights Issue:
A rights issue involves selling of ordinary shares to the existing shareholders of the company. A
company wishing to increase its subscribed capital by allotment of further shares should first offer
them to its existing shareholders. The benefit of a rights issue is that existing shareholders maintain
control of the company. Also, this results in an expanded capital base, after which the company is able
to perform better. This gets reflected in the appreciation of share value.
C. Risks In equity investment:
Although an equity investment is the most rewarding in terms of returns generated, certain risks are
essential to understand before venturing into the world of equity. These can be described as follows:
1.Market/ Economy Risk:
The performance of any company depends on the growth of an economy. An economy, which
continues to prosper, ensures that companies operating in it benefit from its growth. However, an
equity shareholder also runs the risk of any downturn in the economy affecting the performance of his
company. Economy related risks are usually reflected in the factors such as GDP growth, inflation,
balance of payment positions, interest rates, credit growth etc. A slowdown in the economy pinches
almost all sectors, especially infrastructure, services and manufacturing companies.
2.Industry Risk:
All industries undergo some kind of cyclical growth. Shareholders get rewarded most during the
expansion stage. For instance, the last few years have been very rewarding for investors in real estate.
However, once the industry reaches a maturity stage, the rewards from investment are limited.
Further, companies belonging to industries where growth has retarded incur losses or declining gains.
Industry specific government regulations too impact returns from investments made therein.
3.Management Risk:
The management is the face of an enterprise. It is the team which gives direction to the future course
of action that a company will take. Quality of management is hence paramount. Management changes
often have a serious impact on policy matters of companies, thereby impacting the share price. A
management which is unable to meet the challenges posed by competition is likely to suffer in
performance.
4.Business Risk:
Business risk is a function of the operating conditions faced by a company and the variability that
these conditions inject into operating income and hence expected dividends. Business risk can be
classified into two broad categories: external and internal. Internal business risk is largely associated
with the efficiency with which a company conducts its operations within the broader environment
imposed upon it. External risk is the result of operating conditions imposed upon the company by
circumstances beyond its control.
5.Financial Risk:
Financial risk is associated with the way in which a company finances its activities. A company,
borrowing money for business, creates fixed payment obligations in form of interest that must be
sustained. Beyond a specified limit, the residual income left for shareholders gets reduced, thereby
affecting the returns on shares. More importantly, it increases default risk, i.e, a heavily leveraged
company, is at a greater risk of not being able to meet its liabilities and hence going bankrupt.
COMPANY PROFILE
SMC Group, founded in 1990, is India’s best Equity Broking House and the Largest Distribution
Network, providing a wide range of financial services and investment solutions. A blend of extensive
experience, diverse talent and client focus has made us achieve this landmark.
Over the years, SMC has expanded its operations domestically as well as internationally. Existing
network includes regional offices at Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Cochin, Ahmedabad, Jaipur,
Hyderabad, Bangalore plus a growing network of 2300+ offices spread across 425 cities/towns in
India.
We offer a diverse range of financial services which includes institutional and retail brokerage of
equity, currency, commodities, derivatives, online trading, depository services, fixed Deposits, IPOs
and mutual funds distribution, dedicated desk for NRI and institutional clients, insurance broking,
clearing services, margin funding, investment banking, portfolio management, wealth
advisory&research. We have a highly efficient workforce of over 6000 employees and over 7500
financial advisors serving the financial needs of more than 6, 00,000 satisfied investors.
We are also amongst the first financial firms in India to expand operations in the lucrative gulf
market, by acquiring license for broking and clearing member with Dubai Gold and Commodities
exchange (DGCX.
Integrity and honesty: Integrity, honesty and transparency are the underlying principles in all our
dealings.
Personalizedattention: The most valued asset is our relationship with the clients, which has been built
over years by giving personalized attention.
Network which works: SMC has a vast network extending to 425+cities and towns ensuring easy
accessibility, convenience and hassle free trading experience.
Research based advisory services: SMC offers proactive and timely world class research based advice
and guidance to its clients to enable them to take informed decisions.
Our Credentials
• Best Equity Broking House (Source: BSE-Dun and Bradstreet, 2010)
• Largest distribution network in the country (Source: BSE-Dun and Bradstreet, 2010)
• Awarded the Fastest Growing Retail Distribution Network in financial services (Source:
Business Sphere, 2010)
• Received Major Volume Driver award from BSE for 3 years consecutively(2004-05, 2005-06
and 2006-07)
• Nominated amongst the top 3, in the CNBC Opt mix Financial Services Award 2008 under
"National Level Retail Category"
• Amongst the First Financial Firms in India to expand operations in the lucrative gulf market,
by acquiring license for broking and clearing member with Dubai Gold and Commodities exchange
(DGCX)
• One of the largest proprietary desk for doing near risk-free arbitrage in equities and
commodities
Institute of Economic Studies (IES) has honored our Chairman with the ‘Pride of India’ and ‘Udyog
Rattan’ awards. Also, IIFS has conferred him with ‘Glory of India’ award recently
Memberships & Registrations
Trading Member of NSE, BSE, NCDEX, MCX, DGCX, NMCE, ICEX, ACE, MCX-SX, National
Spot Exchange Ltd.(NSEL) & NCDEX Spot Exchange Ltd.( NSPOT).
• Clearing Member in NSE (F&O, Currency), BSE (F&O, Currency),
MCX (Commodities), NCDEX, MCX-SX, ICEX, ACE & DGCX
• Depository Participant with CDSL & NSDL
• Category 1 Merchant banker
• Corporate Insurance Broker for Life & General Insurance
(Registered with IRDA)
• Distributor of IPOs & Mutual Funds (Registered with AMFI)
• Portfolio Management Services (PMS) registered with SEBI
• Non-Banking Financial Company (NBFC) registered with RBI
• Association with London based ICON Capital,
(Registered under FSA & NSA ,London)
ACE Derivatives and commodities Exchange (ACE)
Register
With more than 2300 offices across 425 cities and a substantial client base of over 6, 00,000 satisfied
investors, SMC is known for its life-long and steady relationships with all its Business
Partners/Associates. We believe in long-term commitment and association that plays a vital role in the
growth of any business.
SMC believes in growing with its Business Partners/Associates. Our dedicated efforts and continuous
improvement in our services has made us one of the most respected and largest broking houses with a
huge network of Business Partners/Associates across India. SMC provides its sub-broker with the
right tools and support. Association with SMC means a strong bond with
one of the largest broking firms of India. SMC invites you to become a Business Partners/Associates
Offerings
SMC facilitates trading activities in all the major market segments including; equity, derivatives,
commodities, interest derivatives and currency futures. It’s robust and user-friendly trading platform
enables to execute trades simultaneously across all Segments. We also have whole bucket of other
services like online trading, depository, IPO, mutual funds, insurance broking, institution broking,
margin funding, NRI services, clearing services, investment banking, PMS
• A broking house having perfect blend of latest technology and rich experience of over 20
years. Technological tools include VPN network of HCL Comnet, HECL, Aircel& Tulip.
• Best Equity Broking House (Source: BSE-Dun and Bradstreet, 2010)
• Largest distribution network in the country (Source: BSE-Dun and Bradstreet, 2010)
• Received Major Volume Driver award from BSE for 3years consecutively
• Awarded fastest growing Retail Distribution Network in financial services (source: Business
sphere, 2010)
• Large avenues of investment solutions and financial services under one roof.
• Overall support in start-up, training, marketing, advertising, client acquisition and recruiting
etc.
• Perfect back office support which helps you to make their dealing with company as well as
clients in very efficient manner
• Strong research support backed by high end technology
• One of the best trading platforms in terms of speed, convenience and risk management
• Marketing support though TV, Newspapers, Website, Brochures, Posters, Personalized
solution and attention offered to each investor
Research
Overview
With the EIC (Economy, Industry, Company) approach, our Research team offers timely Research
reports covering investment summary, trend of world markets, sector trends, commodity trends. The
same is covered in our esteemed weekly magazine “Wise Money”. We have a team of highly
experienced analysts, who cover stocks, commodity, currency, mutual funds and special reports. All
our research reports, estimates and enhanced analytics are available on our website
www.smctradeonline.com
Our offerings
Equity Reports:
• Morning Mantra
• Evening Buzzer
• Derivatives
• IPO Reports
• Wise Money equity content.
Commodities Reports:
• Morning Mantra- Agri
• Morning Mantra- metals & energy
• Afternoon Metals & Energy
• Evening Buzzer- Agri& Metals
• Special Commodities Updates
• Trading opportunity report
• DGCX Daily
Currency Reports:
• Currency Daily
• Afternoon Currency Buzzer
Mutual fund Reports:
• NFO Analysis
• Mutual Fund Tracker
• Mutual Fund Weekly update
• Portfolio Monitor
Special reports:
• Result Updates
• Pre-Budget Analysis
• Post-Budget Analysis
Newsletters:
• Wise Money