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Petroleum Reservoir Modeling and Simulation. Geology, Geostatistics, and Performance Reduction Sanjay Srinivasan full chapter instant download
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About the Authors
Sanjay Srinivasan, Ph.D., is a professor of petroleum and natural gas engineering at
the Pennsylvania State University and holds the John and Willie Leone Family Chair
in Energy and Mineral Engineering. He is a member of the International Association
for Mathematical Geosciences, the Society of Exploration Geophysicists, and the
Society of Petroleum Engineers.
ISBN: 978-1-25-983430-1
MHID: 1-25-983430-1
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1 Introduction
1.1 Introductory Concepts
1.1.1 Stochastic Reservoir Modeling
1.1.2 Flow Modeling in Highly Heterogeneous Reservoirs
1.1.3 Linking Geostatistical Modeling to Flow Modeling
1.2 Reference
2 Spatial Correlation
2.1 Spatial Covariance
2.2 Semi-Variogram
2.2.1 Variogram Inference
2.2.2 Variogram Characteristics
2.2.3 Pure Nugget Effect
2.2.4 Behavior Next to the Origin
2.2.5 Outliers and Semi-Variogram Inference
2.2.6 Proportion Effect
2.3 Variogram Modeling
2.3.1 Positive Definiteness
2.3.2 Allowable Linear Combinations
2.3.3 Legitimate Structural Models
2.3.4 Positive Combinations
2.3.5 Geometric Anisotropy
2.3.6 Coordinate Transform in 2D
2.3.7 Modeling Anisotropy in 3D
2.3.8 Semi-Variogram Computation in 3D
2.3.9 Zonal Anisotropy
2.3.10 Modeling Strategy
2.3.11 3D Model
2.4 References
3 Spatial Estimation
3.1 Linear Least Squares Estimation or Interpolation
3.2 Linear Regression
3.2.1 Linear Least Squares—An Interpretation
3.2.2 Application to Spatial Estimation
3.3 Estimation in General
3.3.1 Loss Function—Some Analytical Results
3.4 Kriging
3.4.1 Expected Value of the Error Distribution
3.4.2 Error Variance
3.4.3 An Example
3.5 Universal Kriging
3.5.1 Kriging with a Trend Function
3.5.2 Ordinary Kriging
3.5.3 Universal Kriging Estimate for Trend
3.6 Kriging with an External Drift
3.7 Indicator Kriging
3.7.1 Non-Parametric Approach to Modeling Distributions
3.7.2 Kriging in Terms of Projections
3.7.3 Indicator Basis Function
3.7.4 Indicator Kriging
3.8 Data Integration in Kriging
3.8.1 Simple Co-Kriging Estimator
3.8.2 Simplified Models for Data Integration
3.8.3 Linear Model of Coregionalization
3.9 References
4 Spatial Simulation
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Kriging—Limitations
4.3 Stochastic Simulation
4.3.1 Lower-Upper (LU) Simulation
4.3.2 Sequential Simulation
4.4 Non-Parametric Sequential Simulation
4.4.1 Interpolating within the Range of Thresholds Specified
4.4.2 Tail Extrapolation
4.4.3 Data Integration within the Indicator Framework
4.4.4 Markov−Bayes Approach
4.5 Data Integration Using the Permanence of Ratio Hypothesis
4.5.1 The Tau Model
4.5.2 The Nu Model
4.6 References
A Quantile Variograms
Index
CHAPTER 1
Introduction
Thealgorithms
authors have envisioned this book to be a reference and a repository of
and tools for practicing reservoir modelers and engineers. The book is
written from the perspective of a practitioner of geostatistics and flow simulation.
There are certainly many books currently available in the market that focus on
specific topics in geostatistical reservoir modeling or numerical flow simulation, but
it is difficult to find a book that covers the basic concepts relevant to both realms of
study. In fact, it can be argued that geostatistical reservoir modeling and flow
modeling are so inseparably intertwined that talking at length about one without
extensively talking about the other would render advanced topics such as model
calibration or history matching and upscaling/scale-up of models inaccessible to all
but a select few. It is to remedy this relative deficiency that the authors conceived of
this reference with the fond hope that both students in introductory courses on
geostatistical modeling and numerical flow simulation, as well as advanced
researchers working at the interface between reservoir modeling and numerical flow
modeling, would find something of value in the book. The various chapters are
structured to cover a broad range of relevant topics. In addition, some concepts that
have emerged from research on some of the more advanced topics are also presented
that can provide some fuel for future research. Besides having worked numerical
examples and case studies embedded throughout the text, software modules (e.g.,
EXCEL® and MATLAB® codes) are also provided, on this book’s website
(www.mhprofessional.com/PRMS), for accomplishing the modeling and analysis
examples presented in the text. These, we hope, will be of some value to the
practicing engineer.
The chapters in this book can be grouped into two parts. The first four chapters
f ocus on var i ous as pect s of geostati s t i cs and s t ochast ic res ervoi r modeling. An
inspiration for this first part is the concise and yet fairly comprehensive review that
Prof. Andre Journel presented in his Fundamentals of Geostatistics in Five Lessons (
Journel, 1989). While that short-course reference starts with an initial discussion of
basic concepts from probability and statistics, this work skips that initial discussion
under the premise that a student intending to work in this area would have sufficient
background in probability and statistics. The discussion on spatial correlations and
the inference of spatial continuity measures included in the first chapter of the short-
course notes are discussed at length in Chap. 2 of this book. As in Andre’s reference,
kriging and spatial estimation are the focus of Chap. 3. Rather than splitting the
discussion on kriging into a chapter on simple kriging (and its dual interpretation)
and another chapter on kriging under constraints, both these variants of kriging are
included in one chapter in this book. Data integration through co-kriging, as well as a
discussion on the non-parametric form of kriging, i.e., indicator kriging, is also
thrown in for good measure. This results in a rather long chapter but hopefully one
that will provide a good foundation to the reader for exploring additional concepts in
subsequent chapters. Stochastic simulation is the subject of Chap. 4, where the
discussion starts with a simple decomposition of the covariance matrix and the use of
those decompositions for stochastic simulation. Then sequential simulation
techniques are discussed and the chapter culminates with techniques for data
integration within non-parametric schemes for sequential simulation. Some of the
details of the Markov−Bayes algorithm for accomplishing the integration can be
found in App. B. Much of the development in geostatistics over the past decade has
been in the area of pattern simulation or multiple point geostatistics. Chapter 5
presents a discussion on multiple point geostatistics starting from the concept of
indicator basis function. The single extended normal equation is presented as a
special case of the indicator basis function and some of the key techniques based on
the concept of the single normal equation are discussed. Some tricks to make these
simulations efficient are also discussed. The chapter ends with a musing on the use of
the extended indicator basis function for stochastic simulation. Admittedly, this is
still a nascent idea, but one that may become much more mainstream in the coming
years with the advent of faster computers, etc. There have also been many
developments in the area of spectral simulation and simulation using cumulants.
These will hopefully make their way into future editions of the book. Similarly, the
area of spatiotemporal geostatistics has also attracted much research. Some
perspectives regarding that development would also hopefully make their way into
future versions of this book.
The last four chapters focus on various aspects of flow simulation. Chapter 6
presents the basic mass conservation and momentum balance equations for multi-
phase flow, relevant auxiliary equations, and the corresponding initial and boundary
conditions. Formulation of an isothermal black-oil model based on the control
volume finite difference scheme is emphasized. More advanced topics are presented
in Chap. 7, including the issues of accuracy and stability of numerical schemes and
unstructured meshes. Finally, numerical schemes for modeling media with dual- and
triple-porosity systems, as in the case of fractured media, are discussed. Chapter 8
will focus specifically on upscaling, which is an essential link between geological
modeling and reservoir flow modeling. Various approaches, including statistical
(static) upscaling, as well as flow-based (dynamic) upscaling, are introduced in order
to derive the effective medium properties for both flow (e.g., permeability) and
transport (e.g., dispersivity) properties. Finally, Chap. 9 discusses the topic of
dynamic flow data integration or history matching, which refers to the process of
calibrating reservoir models to reflect the observed production characteristics.
There are many existing techniques for perturbing uncertain reservoir model
parameters such that the simulation prediction becomes consistent with the actual
production observations. Data inversion techniques, including both local (gradient-
based) and global schemes, are widely adopted. Various data-assimilation techniques
are also discussed to handle continuous data integration. Probabilistic history
matching methods, which aim to sample an ensemble of realistic models from the
posterior probability distribution, are emphasized.
As they say, “smartness is in standing on the shoulders of giants” in order to make
limited forays into the frontiers of knowledge. While presenting this book, one would
be remiss if the contributions of these giants are not respectfully acknowledged.
These giants have not only added significantly to the body of knowledge in the areas
of geostatistical reservoir modeling and numerical flow simulation, but also have
nurtured a future generation of researchers who have further extended the knowledge
base in those areas. The authors of this book owe an eternal debt to these teachers
who have nurtured them and brought them to this point. It is also very important to
point out that any defects in this rendition are entirely attributable to the authors and
their limitations rather than a reflection on the teachers who imparted this knowledge
to them. To the students picking up this book, it is the sincere hope that they are as
spellbound by the inner details of the algorithms and methods discussed in this book
as the authors themselves are.
• I n t he m
appi ng bet we ent he perm
eabi l i tyvar i at i ons i nt he reservoi r
and the response data , there are
that the application of the inverse transfer function TF-1 in order to model the
permeability variations will not result in a unique solution. There are at least
two ways to address the non-uniqueness of this inverse problem:
1. Constrain the permeability field k(u) to as much different data as possible,
for example, well logs, seismic, production data, etc., to reduce the
number of degrees of freedom. This requires an understanding of
geostatistical methods for reservoir modeling and data assimilation.
2. Accept that there are several solutions, say L realizations of the
permeability field kℓ(u), u ∈ Reservoir, ℓ = 1, . . . , L such that they yield
flow response that match the data to an acceptable level and
reflect some prior geological information. This again entails the
application of stochastic methods for reservoir modeling.
1.2 Reference
Journel, A. G. (1989). Fundamentals of Geostatistics in Five Lessons. Washington
DC: Americal Geophysical Union.
CHAPTER 2
Spatial Correlation
The following broad steps can be envisioned for modeling a petroleum reservoir:
In this chapter, we will first begin with a discussion related to the inference and
modeling of spatial covariances and semi-variograms. It is important to realize that
these pair-wise correlation measures are adequate (optimal) to represent the
variability exhibited by multi-Gaussian phenomena. Representing non-Gaussian
phenomena using these pair-wise measures could result in the higher-order moments
remaining unconstrained and that may impart some unintended patterns of spatial
variability in the random function (RF) model. That will motivate our discussion
about multiple point statistics in a later chapter to better constrain the RF models.
Finally, we will make the argument that spatial statistics in the form of covariances,
s emi -
variograms, or even multiple point statistics are but measures summarizing the
bivariate or, more generally, the n-variate joint distributions characterizing the spatial
variability of the phenomenon. Knowing the moments, the multivariate distribution
cannot be constructed uniquely, and this is one of the motivations for a stochastic
framework for modeling reservoirs. Such a framework will yield multiple, equi-
probable representations of the RF model. The topic of stochastic simulation of
reservoirs is also the focus of a separate chapter.
Let us begin our discussion with a brief look at the basic measures for spatial
variability/similarity.
In Eq. (2-2), as the averaging is done over all locations making up the Nh pairs
separated by a lag h, the resultant spatial covariance is only a function of the lag.
Thus, stationarity implies that the spatial covariance is a function only of the two-
point spatial template h. The covariance is computed by specifying a spatial template
(Fig. 2-1) and subsequently, translating the spatial template over the entire stationary
domain. This yields several outcomes for Z(u) (tail value) and Z(u + h) (head value),
and using these outcomes the spatial covariance Ĉ(h) can be computed.
Remarks
• The spatial covariance can also be interpreted as the moment of the bivariate
scatterplot between Z(u) and Z(u + h). The presence of outliers will influence
the moment of the h-scatterplot.
2.2 Semi-Variogram
The inference of a spatial covariance or correlogram is possible when the reservoir
characteristic being modeled is stationary. An alternate measure of spatial variability
is the semi-variogram defined as:
If then
and
then the variogram γZ can be interpreted as the semi-variance of increments
. The inf erence of t he var i ogr a mr equi r es s tati onar i t y
of the increments—referred to as intrinsic stationary (Matheron, 1973). A
phenomenon may not be second-order stationarity (i.e., variance and covariance of
the RF may not exist), but it may be intrinsically stationary; i.e., the increments of the
RF may be stationary and its variance may exist. A small example to illustrate this
point follows.
Consider the following layered system. The values tabulated may be indicative of
variations in some rock property (e.g., permeability). In order that the calculated
statistics are not unduly affected by the lack of statistical mass, a hundred values
were used for each layer, and the table only lists ten of those values per layer.
The last column indicates the mean value for each layer, and it can be observed
that there is a trend exhibited by the mean. If we use the tabulated data to compute
the covariance over a unit lag in the vertical direction using Eq. (2-2), the variation in
the covariance values computed using the values in adjacent layers is tabulated
below:
The first value is the spatial covariance calculated using the values in the first two
rows of the table, the second value is the covariance calculated using the values in the
second and third rows of the table, and so on. It can be seen that the spatial
covariance calculated over the same lag exhibits a systematic variation. This, in turn,
calls into question the validity of pooling data over the entire domain (all
combination of points separated by a unit lag in the vertical direction) in order to
compute a spatial covariance.
The semi-variogram values computed using Eq. (2-4) for the same unit lag in the
vertical direction are summarized below:
The first value is the semi-variance of increments computed using the values in
the first two rows, the second value between the second and third rows, and so on.
The semi-variance behaves in a much more stable manner, and thus the semi-
variogram computed by pooling all the data together is much more interpretable. This
would thus be an example of a phenomenon that is not second-order stationary but is
intrinsically stationary.
In the spatial context, the semi-variogram between a pair of locations u and u’ is
defined as:
Under the intrinsic hypothesis:
The lag h = (u - u’) is the vector distance between pairs of locations within the
stationary domain; i.e., the semi-variogram inferred by invoking intrinsic stationarity
loses any specificity to the location u and instead represents the average variability
exhibited by pairs of points separated by a lag h.
FIGURE 2-2 The h-scatterplot between pairs of values separated by a lag h. Along the
45° bisector Z(u) = Z(u + h).
The projection of any point on the scatterplot to the 45° bisector is denoted as di.
From the figure: