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07/03/2023

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Basics of Bod Valuation


Chapters 6

Introduction and Yield to Maturity (YTM)

Terminology

Government Bonds The Treasury Yield Curve

Corporate bonds

Wrapping up

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Introduction

Agenda for this Unit

Debt Market in a Glance

Bond Payments Terminology

Check yourself

Bond Price Terminology

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07/03/2023

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

The Debt Market in a glance

US Bond Market
Debt holders

Households
Mortgages, Home‐Equity loans, Car loans, Student loans

States and Local Municipalities


Infrastructure, fund projects with public benefit

Government
Government operations and Infrastructure

Corporations
Capital Expenditures, Investments

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

The Debt Market in a glance


Classic types of debt securities

Public debt
Traded on exchanges and include government and corporate bonds

Private debt
Bank loans and loans provided by private debt funds

“Risk free” Payments


Government debt, debt issued by government sponsored
agencies (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

Risky Payments
Corporate debt, Mortgage Backed Securities,
Asset Backed Securities
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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Bond Payments Terminology

Contract Payment Schedule

Face value
Principal amount paid at maturity date and used to
calculate the coupon payments

Coupons
Periodical payments made out to bond holders (e.g., quarterly,

semi‐annually or annually)

Coupon rate
The annual amount of dividends is given by the coupon rate times the

face value. This amount is then dividend by the number of coupon

payments per year to obtain each coupon payment amount. 5

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Bond Payments Terminology

Spelling out the Payments

Face value: $10,000 paid on May 15, 1985

Coupons: Semi-annual
(every six months)

Coupon rate: 4.25% of $10,000 or $425 per-annum

Coupon payment: Each coupon payment = $212.5

=(Coupon Rate)x(Face Value)/(# payments per annum)

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07/03/2023

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Check yourself

Face value: $1,000 paid at maturity

Coupon rate: 5% semi-annual

Coupon payment: $25 every six months

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Bond Price Terminology

Relating Price to Face Value

A bond is issued at a Premium 𝑷𝟎 𝑭 Are investors better off investing


Annual coupon rate is higher than
in bonds issued at a discount?
the ytm of the bond

A bond is issued at a Discount 𝑷𝟎 𝑭


Annual coupon rate is lower than
the ytm of the bond

A bond is issued at Par 𝑷𝟎 𝑭


Annual coupon rate equals
the ytm of the bond 8
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07/03/2023

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Yield to Maturity (YTM)

Agenda for this Unit

Definition of YTM

Bond Prices and Yield to Maturity (YTM)

Calculating YTM

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Yield to Maturity (YTM)

The Yield to Maturity of a bond or YTM is the discount rate

that sets the present value of the promised bond payments

equal to the current market price of the bond.

𝑷𝟎 𝑃𝑉 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡 𝐶𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠, 𝒚𝒕𝒎

Different way to look at it: The bond YTM is basically the potential IRR

of the investment in the bond if all bond payments are received

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07/03/2023

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Bond Prices and Yields


𝑷𝟎 𝑃𝑉 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡 𝐶𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠, 𝒚𝒕𝒎
The value of a bond depends on
Specified payments
Interest rates in the economy
Risk of default

The Yield to Maturity (YTM) is implied by the Price

Market information on bonds is often quoted in terms of


the implied YTM and not the actual prices.

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Calculating YTM

Problem: Consider a ten‐year $1000 bond with a 5% coupon rate and annual coupons. If the bond
is currently trading for a price of $962.31, what is the bond’s yield to maturity?

𝑷𝟎 𝑃𝑉 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡 𝐶𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠, 𝒚𝒕𝒎

$50 $1,000
$𝟗𝟔𝟐. 𝟑𝟏
1 𝒚𝒕𝒎 1 𝒚𝒕𝒎

How can we solve this equation?


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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

𝑃𝑉 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡 𝐶𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠, 𝒛


Calculating YTM
$50 1 $1,000
Look for the solution f 𝑧 ∗ 962.31: f 𝒛 1
𝒛 1 𝒛 1 𝒛

f 𝑧∗ 962.31 → 𝑧 ∗ 5.5%

𝒚𝒕𝒎=5.5%
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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Government Issued Bonds

Agenda for this Unit

Types of government bonds

YTM of government bonds

The treasury yield curve

Deriving the treasury yield curve

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Types of Government Bonds

Long term coupon paying bonds What is an important difference


between government issued
Government bonds mature anywhere between 10 to 20 bonds and corporate bonds from
years the perspective of inventors?
Mid term coupon paying bonds

Treasury notes mature anywhere between 2 to 10 years


and offer semiannual coupons

Short term “zero coupon” bonds


Treasury bills mature anywhere between four weeks to one
year and often do not pay coupons

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

YTM of Government Bonds

The price of a government issued bond depends on

Specified contract payments


𝑷𝟎 𝑃𝑉 𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑜𝑛𝑑 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠, 𝒚𝒕𝒎
Interest rates in the economy

Risk of default

How do short-term and long-


The Treasury Yield Curve or Term Structure of
Interest Rates term yields relate?

The U.S. Treasury yield curve is the benchmark for the credit
market because it reports the yields of risk‐free fixed income
investments across a range of maturities.

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07/03/2023

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Lookup Dynamic Yield Curve


The Treasury Yield Curve https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/yieldcurve.php

Four classic shapes

Upward slopping
Long term yields are higher than short term yields

Downward slopping (inverted)


Long term yields are lower than short term yields

Flat
Little variation between short‐term and long‐ What’s the current shape
term yields of the Yield Curve?
Humped
Highest rates are in the mid‐term
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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Deriving the Treasury Yield Curve from


Prices of Zero Coupon Bonds
The Yield to Maturity of a government issued zero coupon bond with price 𝑷𝟎 and s
years to maturity is denoted by 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝒔 Can two “zero coupon” Gov bonds with same
maturity trade with different ytm’s?

𝟏
𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝒔
𝑷𝟎 ⟹ 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝒔 1
1 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝒔 𝑷𝟎

The No‐Arbitrage Principle implies that 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝒔 is the appropriate risk free rate to
discount all risk free cash flows received in s years from any traded security

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07/03/2023

Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Practice (Bond price from Yield Curve)

Problem: Consider a four‐year $10,000 treasury note with a 7% coupon rate and annual coupons.
What is the price of this bond if 𝑦𝑡𝑚 2%, 𝑦𝑡𝑚 3%, 𝑦𝑡𝑚 5%, 𝑦𝑡𝑚 5.5%?

$ $ $ $ ,
𝑷𝟎
𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟏 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟐 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟑 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟒

$686 $660 $605 $8,637 $10,588

Does it surprise you that this bond is trading


at a premium?
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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Practice (Yield Curve from Bond Prices)

Problem: Consider the following government issued bonds and calculate 𝑦𝑡𝑚 , 𝑦𝑡𝑚 , 𝑦𝑡𝑚 , 𝑦𝑡𝑚 .

$10,000 $10,000
𝑃 $9,852.2 ⟹ 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟏 1 1.5%
1 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟏 $9,852.2

$10,000 $10,000
𝑃 $9,518.1 ⟹ 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟐 1 2.5%
1 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟐 $9,518.1
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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Practice (continued)

Problem: Consider the following government issued bonds and calculate 𝑦𝑡𝑚 , 𝑦𝑡𝑚 , 𝑦𝑡𝑚 , 𝑦𝑡𝑚 .

$100,000 $100,000
𝑃 $92,183.8 ⟹ 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟑 1 2.75%
1 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟑 $92,183.8

$100,000 $100,000
𝑃 $88,848.7 ⟹ 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟒 1 3.0%
1 𝒚𝒕𝒎𝟒 $88,848.7

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Corporate Bonds

Agenda for this Unit

YTM of Corporate Bonds

The expected return on debt

A glance into credit risk

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

YTM of Corporate Bonds


Yields on Five‐Year bonds

Why are corporate yields higher


than the treasury yield?

Should the investor in Smithfield


Foods bond expect 5% return?

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Introducing the Expected Return on Debt


Corporate Bond Price:

𝑃𝑉 𝑷𝒓𝒐𝒎𝒊𝒔𝒆𝒅 𝐵𝑜𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠, 𝒚𝒕𝒎 𝑬𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒄𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝑷𝒓𝒐𝒎𝒊𝒔𝒆𝒅


Expected return on debt
𝒓𝑫 𝒚𝒕𝒎
𝑃

𝑃𝑉 𝑬𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒄𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝐵𝑜𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠, 𝒓𝑫

What can we say about the relation


between ytm and rD?

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

A Glance into Credit Risk


Credit Rating Agency (CRA) How do credit ratings relate to bond yields?

CRAs evaluate the likelihood of


default and provide bond ratings

Credit Rating Agency (CRA)


Ratings divide bonds into risk categories later

used by investors, banks and regulators in

their risk management.

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Basics of Bond Valuation| Chapters 6 Prof. Nisan Langberg

Wrapping Up: Basics of Bond


Valuation
Chapter 6

Bond Terminology Yield to Maturity

Treasury Yield Curve Deriving bond prices from the

yield curve
Deriving the yield curve Debt cost of capital verses YTM
from bond prices

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