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Chapter 6
Discrete Probability Distributions
Section 6.1
1. A random variable is a numerical measure of the outcome of a probability experiment, so its value is
determined by chance.
2. A discrete random variable is a random variable that has either a finite number of possible values or a
countable number of possible values. The values of a discrete random variable can be plotted on a number
line with space between the points. A continuous random variable is a random variable that has an infinite
number of possible values that are not countable. The values of a continuous random variable can be plotted
on a line in an uninterrupted fashion. Examples will vary. One possibility of a discrete random variable is the
number of books on a randomly selected shelf in a library. One possibility of a continuous random variable is
the weight of a randomly selected adult female.
3. For a discrete probability distribution, each probability must be between 0 and 1 (inclusive) and the sum of
the probabilities must equal one.
4. The mean of a discrete random variable can be thought of as the mean (or average) outcome of the probability
experiment if we repeated the experiment a large number of times.
5. (a) The number of light bulbs that burn out, X, is a discrete random variable because the value of the
random variable results from counting.
Possible values: x = 0,1, 2,3,..., 20
(b) The time it takes to fly from New York City to Los Angeles is a continuous random variable because
time is measured. If we let the random variable T represent the time it takes to fly from New York City
to Los Angeles, the possible values for T are all positive real numbers; that is t > 0 .
(c) The number of hits to a web site in a day is a discrete random variable because the value of the random
variable results from counting. If we let the random variable X represent the number of hits, then the
possible values of X are x = 0,1, 2,....
(d) The amount of snow in Toronto during the winter is a continuous random variable because the amount
of snow is measured. If we let the random variable S represent the amount of snow in Toronto during
the winter, the possible values for S are all nonnegative real numbers; that is s ≥ 0 .
6. (a) The amount of time it takes for alight bulb to burn out is a continuous random variable because time is
measured. If we let the random variable T represent the time it takes for a light bulb to burn out, the
possible values for T are all positive real numbers; that is t > 0 .
(b) The weight of a T-bone steak is a continuous random variable because weight is measured. If we let
the random variable W represent the weight of a T-bone steak, the possible values for W are all positive
real numbers; that is w > 0 .
(c) The number of free-throw attempts before a shot is made is a discrete random variable because the
value of the random variable results from counting. If we let the random variable X represent the
number of free-throw attempts before a shot is made, the possible values of X are x = 1, 2,....
(d) The number of people who are blood type A in a random sample of 20 people is a discrete random
variable because the value of the random variable results from counting. If we let the random variable
X represent the number of people in the sample with blood type A, the possible values of X are
x = 0,1, 2,...20.
7. (a) The amount of rain in Seattle during April is a continuous random variable because the amount of rain
is measured. If we let the random variable R represent the amount of rain, the possible values for R are
all nonnegative real numbers; that is, r ≥ 0 .
(b) The number of fish caught during a fishing tournament is a discrete random variable because the value
of the random variable results from counting. If we let the random variable X represent the number of
fish caught, the possible values of X are x = 0,1, 2,....
(c) The number of customers arriving at a bank between noon and 1:00 P.M. is a discrete random variable
because the value of the random variable results from counting. If we let the random variable X
represent the number of customers arriving at the bank between noon and 1:00 P.M., the possible
values of X are x = 0,1, 2,...
(d) The time required to download a file from the Internet is a continuous random variable because time is
measured. If we let the random variable T represent the time required to download a file, the possible
values of T are all positive real numbers; that is, t > 0 .
8. (a) The number of defects in a roll of carpet is a discrete random variable because the value of the random
variable results from counting. If we let the random variable X represent the number of defects in a
roll of carpet, the possible values of X are x = 0,1, 2,...
(b) The distance a baseball travels in the air after being hit is a continuous random variable because
distance is measured. If we let the random variable D represent the distance the ball travels after being
hit, the possible values for D are all positive real numbers; that is, d > 0 .
(c) The number of points scored during a basketball game is a discrete random variable because the value
of the random variable results from counting. If we let the random variable X represent the number of
points scored, the possible values for X are x = 0,1, 2,...
(d) The square footage of a house is a continuous random variable because area is measured. If we let A
represent the square footage of a house, the possible values for A are all positive real numbers; that is,
a>0.
9. Yes, because ∑ P( x) = 1 and 0 ≤ P( x) ≤ 1 for all x.
10. Yes, because ∑ P( x) = 1 and 0 ≤ P( x) ≤ 1 for all x.
15. We need the sum of all the probabilities to equal 1. For the given probabilities, we have 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.7 .
For the sum of the probabilities to equal 1, the missing probability must be 1 − 0.7 = 0.3 . That is, P ( 4) = 0.3 .
16. We need the sum of all the probabilities to equal 1. For the given probabilities, we have
0.30 + 0.15 + 0.20 + 0.15 + 0.05 = 0.85 . For the sum of the probabilities to equal 1, the missing probability
must be 1 − 0.85 = 0.15 . That is, P ( 2) = 0.15 .
σ X 2 = ∑ ⎡ ( x − µ X ) ⋅ P ( x )⎤
2
(d)
⎣ ⎦
= (0 − 3.210) (0) + (1 − 3.210) (0.161) + ... + (9 − 3.210) (0.010)
2 2 2
≈ 3.0159
σ X = σ X 2 = 3.0159 ≈ 1.7366 or about 1.7 televisions per household.
σ X 2 = ∑ ⎡( x − µ X ) ⋅ P ( x )⎤
2
(d)
⎣ ⎦
= (0 − 2.519) (0.073) + (1 − 2.519) (0.117 ) + ... + (4 − 2.519) (0.230)
2 2 2
≈ 1.382
σ X = σ X 2 = 1.382 ≈ 1.176 or about 1.2 activities.
σ X 2 = ∑ ⎡ ( x − µ X ) ⋅ P ( x )⎤
2
(d)
⎣ ⎦
= (0 − 1.6273) (0.1677 ) + (1 − 1.6273) (0.3354) + ... + (5 − 1.6273) (0.0248)
2 2 2
≈ 1.389
σ X = σ 2 X ≈ 1.389 ≈ 1.179 or about 1.2 hits
(e) P ( 2) = 0.2857
(f) P ( X ≥ 10) = P (10 or 11 or 12 ) = P(10) + P(11) + P (12) = 0.019 + 0.004 + 0.006 = 0.029
Since the probability is small (less than 0.05), this would be considered somewhat unusual.
21. (a) Total number of World Series (b)
= 17 + 18 + 19 + 33 = 87.
x (games played) P ( x)
17
4 ≈ 0.1954
87
18
5 ≈ 0.2069
87
19
6 ≈ 0.2184
87
33
7 ≈ 0.3793
87
(c) µ X = ∑ ⎡⎣ x ⋅ P ( x )⎤⎦
≈ 4 ⋅ (0.1954) + 5 ⋅ (0.2069) + 6 ⋅ (0.2184) + 7 ⋅ (0.3793) ≈ 5.7816 or about 5.8 games
The World Series, if played many times, would be expected to last about 5.8 games on average.
σ X2 = ∑ ( x − µx ) ⋅ P ( x )
2
(d)
≈ (4 − 5.7816) 2 ⋅ 0.1954 + (5 − 5.7816) 2 ⋅ 0.2069 + (6 − 5.7816) ⋅ 0.2184 + (7 − 5.7816) ⋅ 0.3793
2 2
≈ 1.3201
σ X = σ 2X ≈ 1.3201 ≈ 1.1490 or about 1.1 games
22. (a) x (ideal #) P (x) x (ideal #) P ( x) (b)
10 70
0 ≈ 0.0111 4 ≈ 0.0778
900 900
30 17
1 ≈ 0.0333 5 ≈ 0.0189
900 900
520 3
2 ≈ 0.5778 6 ≈ 0.0033
900 900
250
3 ≈ 0.2778
900
(c) µ X = ∑ ⎡⎣ x ⋅ P ( x )⎤⎦
≈ 0 (0.0111) + 1(0.0333) + 2 (0.5778) + ... + 6 (0.0033) ≈ 2.448
The average ideal number of children is about 2.4 children.
σ X2 = ∑ ( x − µx ) ⋅ P ( x )
2
(d)
≈ (0 − 2.448)2 ⋅ 0.0111 + (1 − 2.448)2 ⋅ 0.0333 + ... + (6 − 2.448) ⋅ 0.0033 ≈ 0.689
2
(c) µ X = ∑ ⎡⎣ x ⋅ P ( x )⎤⎦
≈ 1 ⋅ (0.11160) + 2 ⋅ (0.0983) + 3 ⋅ (0.1777 ) + 4 ⋅ (0.1645) + 5 ⋅ (0.4435) ≈ 3.7211 or about 3.7 stars
If we surveyed many Paper Toss players, the mean rating would be 3.7.
σ X2 = ∑ ( x − µx ) ⋅ P ( x )
2
(d)
≈ (1 − 3.7211) 2 ⋅ 0.1160 + (2 − 3.7211) 2 ⋅ 0.0983 + ... + (5 − 3.7211) ⋅ 0.4435 ≈ 1.9808
2
x (# tickets) P (x)
169
0 ≈ 0.8535
198
21
1 ≈ 0.1061
198
4
2 ≈ 0.0202
198
4
3 ≈ 0.0202
198
(c) µ X = ∑ ⎡⎣ x ⋅ P ( x )⎤⎦
≈ 0 (0.8535) + 1(0.1061) + 2 (0.0202) + 3 (0.0202) ≈ 0.2071
If we surveyed many drivers, the mean number of speeding tickets in the past 12 months would be
about 0.2.
σ X2 = ∑ ( x − µx ) ⋅ P ( x )
2
(d)
≈ (0 − 0.2071) 2 ⋅ 0.8535 + (1 − 0.2071) 2 ⋅ 0.1061 + (2 − 0.2071) 2 ⋅ 0.0202 + (3 − 0.2071) 2 ⋅ 0.0202
≈ 0.3258
σ X = σ 2X ≈ 0.3258 ≈ 0.5708 or about 0.6 speeding tickets
(d) E ( X ) = µX = ∑ x ⋅ P ( x)
= 1(0.011) + 2 (0.028) + 3 (0.228) + ... + 9 (0.005)
= 4.320 or about 4.3
We would expect the unit to have about 4.3 rooms, on average.
27. E ( X ) = ∑ x ⋅ P ( x )
= (200)(0.999544 ) + ( 200 − 250, 000)(0.000456 ) = $86.00
If the company sells many of these policies to 20-year old females, then they will make an average of $86.00
per policy.
28. E ( X ) = ∑ x ⋅ P ( x )
= (350)(0.998734) + (350 − 250, 000)(0.001266) = $33.50
If the company sells many of these policies to 20-year old males, then they will make an average of $33.50
per policy.
29. Let X = the profit from the investment
Profit, x ($) 50,000 10,000 −50, 000
Probability 0.2 0.7 0.1
E ( X ) = (50, 000)(0.2) + (10, 000)(0.7 ) + ( −50,000)(0.1) = 12,000
The expected profit for the investment is $12,000.
30. Let X = the profit for reselling the property = sale price – cost. The total cost to Shawn and Maddie will be
$50,000 + $27,000 = $77,000.
Profit, x ($) 43,000 23,000 3,000 −17,000
Probability 0.15 0.45 0.25 0.15
E ( X ) = (43, 000)(0.15) + (23, 000)(0.45) + (3, 000)(0.25) + (−17, 000)(0.15) = 15, 000
Shawn and Maddie can expect to earn a profit of $15,000, on average, if they resold many similar properties.
31. Let X = player winnings for $5 bet on a single number.
Winnings, x ($) 175 −5
1 37
Probability
38 38
⎛1⎞ ⎛ 37 ⎞
E ( X ) = (175) ⎜ ⎟ + ( −5) ⎜ ⎟ = −$0.26
⎝ 38 ⎠ ⎝ 38 ⎠
The expected value of the game to the player is a loss of $0.26. If you played the game 1000 times, you
would expect to lose 1000 ⋅ ($0.26) = $260 .
E ( X ) = ∑ x ⋅ P ( x)
1 = ( x )(0.00000000684) + ( 200, 000)(0.00000028)
+ (10, 000)(0.000001711) + (100)(0.000153996) + (7 )(0.004778961)
+ (4)(0.007881463) + (3)(0.01450116) + (0)(0.9726824222)
1 = 0.196991659 + 0.00000000684 x
0.803008341 = 0.00000000684 x
117,398,880.3 = x
118, 000, 000 ≈ x
The grand prize should be at least $118,000,000 for you to expect a profit after many $1 plays.
(Note: prior to the changes mentioned in part (a), the grand prize only needed to be about $100 million
to expect a profit after many $1 plays)
(c) No, the size of the grand prize does not affect your chance of winning. Your chance of winning the
grand prize is determined by the number of balls that are drawn and the number of balls from which
they are drawn. However, the size of the grand prize will impact your expected winnings. A larger
grand prize will increase your expected winnings.
34. (a) Let X = the number of points received for the question.
x −1 0 1
4
P ( x ) 0.80 0 0.20
⎛ 1⎞
E ( X ) = ⎜ − ⎟ (0.8) + (0)(0) + (1)(0.2) = −0.2 + 0.2 = 0
⎝ 4⎠
(note: the middle term (0)(0) is not really necessary since we are assuming the student does not leave
the problem blank.)
(b) Answers will vary. There is a deduction for wrong answers to compensate for the fact that you could
simply have guessed correctly. In the long run, pure guessing will lead to 80% incorrect answers and
20% correct answers. The deduction attempts to take this expected result into account.
35. Answers will vary. The simulations illustrate the Law of Large Numbers.
36. Answers will vary. The simulations illustrate the Law of Large Numbers.
37. (a) The mean is the sum of the values divided by the total number of observations.
The mean is: µ X = 160 529
≈ 3.3063 or about 3.3 credit cards
(b) The standard deviation is computed by subtracting the mean from each value, squaring the result, and
summing. Then, to get the population variance, we divide the sum by the number of observations.
The square root of the variance is the standard deviation.
∑ ( x − µx ) (3 − 3.3063)2 + (2 − 3.3063) 2 + ... + (5 − 3.3063)
2 2
σ X2 = = ≈ 5.3585
N 160
σ X = σ 2X ≈ 5.3585 ≈ 2.3148 or about 2.3
(d)
(e) µ X = ∑ ⎡⎣ x ⋅ P ( x )⎤⎦
≈ 1 ⋅ (0.14375) + 2 ⋅ (0.275) + 3 ⋅ (0.26875) + + 10 ⋅ (0.0125) + 20 ⋅ (0.00625)
≈ 3.3063 or about 3.3 credit cards
σ X2 = ∑ ( x − µx ) ⋅ P ( x )
2
≈ 5.234961
σ X = σ 2X ≈ 5.234961 ≈ 2.3076 or about 2.3 credit cards
Section 6.2
1. trial
2. success; failure
3. True
4. ≤
5. np
6. np (1 − p ) ≥ 10
7. This is not a binomial experiment because there are more than two possible values for the random variable
‘age’.
8. This is not a binomial experiment because there are more than two possible values for the random variable
‘mileage’.
9. This is a binomial experiment. There is a fixed number of trials ( n = 100 where each trial corresponds to
administering the drug to one of the 100 individuals), the trials are independent (due to random selection),
there are two outcomes (favorable or unfavorable response), and the probability of a favorable response is
assumed to be constant for each individual.
10. This is a binomial experiment. There is a fixed number of trials ( n = 1200 where each trial corresponds to
surveying one of the 1200 registered voters), the trials are independent (due to random selection), there are
two outcomes (reform or don’t reform), and the probability of each response is assumed to be constant for
each voter.
11. This is not a binomial experiment because the trials (cards) are not independent and the probability of getting
an ace changes for each trial (card). Because the cards are not replaced, the probability of getting an ace on
the second card depends on what was drawn first.
12. This is a binomial experiment. There is a fixed number of trials ( n = 3 where each trial consists of drawing a
card), the trials are independent (since the cards are drawn with replacement), there are two outcomes (king or
not a king), and the probability of drawing a king remains fixed.
13. This is not a binomial experiment because the number of trials is not fixed.
14. This is not a binomial experiment because the number of trials is not fixed.
15. This is a binomial experiment. There is a fixed number of trials ( n = 100 where each trial corresponds to
selecting one of the 100 parents), the trials are independent (due to random selection), there are two outcomes
(spanked or never spanked), and there is a fixed probability (for a given population) that a parent has ever
spanked their child.
16. This is not a binomial experiment because the trials may not be independent. Since we are selecting
individuals (households) without replacement that make up a large portion of a small population, the trials
might not be independent of each other.
17. Using P( x) = n Cx p x (1 − p) n − x with x = 3 , n = 10 and p = 0.4 :
10!
P(3) = 10 C3 ⋅ (0.4)3 ⋅ (1 − 0.4)10−3 = ⋅ (0.4)3 ⋅ (0.6)7
3!(10 − 3)!
= 120 ⋅ (0.064) ⋅ (0.0279936) ≈ 0.2150
29. (a)
Distribution x ⋅ P ( x) ( x − µx ) 2 ⋅ P ( x )
x P( x) 0.0000 0.3812
0 0.1176 0.3025 0.1936
1 0.3025 0.6483 0.0130
2 0.3241 0.5557 0.2667
3 0.1852 0.2381 0.2881
4 0.0595 0.0510 0.1045
5 0.0102 0.0044 0.0129
6 0.0007 ∑ 1.8000 1.2600
(b) µ X = 1.8 (from first column in table above and to the right)
σ X = σ 2X = 1.26 ≈ 1.1 (from second column in table above and to the right)
(d)
30. (a)
Distribution x ⋅ P ( x) ( x − µx ) 2 ⋅ P ( x )
x P( x) 0.0000 0.0625
0 0.0039 0.0313 0.2813
1 0.0313 0.2188 0.4375
2 0.1094 0.6563 0.2188
3 0.2188 1.0938 0.0000
4 0.2734 1.0938 0.2188
5 0.2188 0.6563 0.4375
6 0.1094 0.2188 0.2813
7 0.0313 0.0312 0.0625
8 0.0039 ∑ 4.0000 2.0000
(b) µ X = 4.0 (from first column in table above and to the right)
σ X = σ 2X = 2.0 ≈ 1.4 (from second column in table above and to the right)
(d)
31. (a)
Distribution x ⋅ P ( x) ( x − µx ) 2 ⋅ P ( x )
x P( x) 0.0000 0.0002
0 0.0000 0.0001 0.0034
1 0.0001 0.0025 0.0279
2 0.0012 0.0260 0.1217
3 0.0087 0.1557 0.2944
4 0.0389 0.5840 0.3577
5 0.1168 1.4016 0.1314
6 0.2336 2.1024 0.0188
7 0.3003 1.8020 0.3520
8 0.2253 0.6758 0.3801
9 0.0751 ∑ 6.7500 1.6876
(b) µ X = 6.75 (from first column in table above and to the right)
σ X = σ 2X = 1.6876 ≈ 1.3 (from second column in table above and to the right)
(d)
32. (a)
Distribution x ⋅ P ( x) ( x − µx ) 2 ⋅ P ( x )
x P( x) 0.0000 0.4295
0 0.1074 0.2684 0.2684
1 0.2684 0.6040 0.0000
2 0.3020 0.6040 0.2013
3 0.2013 0.3523 0.3523
4 0.0881 0.1321 0.2378
5 0.0264 0.0330 0.0881
6 0.0055 0.0055 0.0197
7 0.0008 0.0006 0.0027
8 0.0001 0.0000 0.0002
9 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
10 0.0000 ∑ 1.9999 1.6000
(b) µ X = 2.0 (from first column in table above and to the right)
σ X = σ 2X = 1.6000 ≈ 1.3 (from second column in table above and to the right)
(d)
33. (a)
Distribution x ⋅ P ( x) ( x − µx ) 2 ⋅ P ( x )
x P( x) 0.0000 0.0250
0 0.0010 0.0098 0.1568
1 0.0098 0.0878 0.3952
2 0.0439 0.3516 0.4690
3 0.1172 0.8204 0.2053
4 0.2051 1.2305 0.0000
5 0.2461 1.2306 0.2049
6 0.2051 e0.8204 0.4686
7 0.1172 0.3512 0.3950
8 0.0439 0.0882 0.1568
9 0.0098 0.0100 0.0250
10 0.0010 ∑ 5.0005 2.5016
(b) µ X = 5.0 (from first column in table above and to the right)
σ X = σ 2X = 2.5016 ≈ 1.6 (from second column in table above and to the right)
(d)
34. (a)
Distribution x ⋅ P ( x) ( x − µx ) 2 ⋅ P ( x )
x P( x) 0.0000 0.0000
0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0007
1 0.0000 0.0006 0.0080
2 0.0003 0.0083 0.0486
3 0.0028 0.0661 0.1691
4 0.0165 0.3303 0.3197
5 0.0661 1.0570 0.2537
6 0.1762 2.1139 0.0121
7 0.3020 2.4159 0.1933
8 0.3020 1.2080 0.4349
9 0.1342 ∑ 7.2000 1.4400
(b) µ X = 7.2 (from first column in table above and to the right)
σ X = σ 2X = 1.44 = 1.2 (from second column in table above and to the right)
(d)
35. (a) This is a binomial experiment because it satisfies each of the four requirements:
1) There are a fixed number of trials ( n = 15 ).
2) The trials are all independent (randomly selected).
3) For each trial, there are only two possible outcomes (‘on time’ and ‘not on time’).
4) The probability of “success” (i.e. on time) is the same for all trials ( p = 0.65 ).
(b) We have n = 15 , p = 0.80 , and x = 10 . In the binomial table, we go to the section for n = 15 and the
column that contains p = 0.80 . Within the n = 15 section, we look for the row x = 10 .
P (10) = 0.1032
There is a probability of 0.1032 that in a random sample of 15 such flights, exactly 10 will be on time.
(c) P ( X < 10) = P ( X ≤ 9) , so using the cumulative binomial table, we go to the section for n = 15 and
the column that contains p = 0.8 . Within the n = 15 section, we look for the row x = 9 . We find
P ( X ≤ 9) = 0.0611 . In a random sample of 15 such flights, there is a 0.0611 probability that less than
10 flights will be on time.
(d) Here we wish to find P ( X ≥ 10) . Using the complement rule we can write:
P ( X ≥ 10) = 1 − P ( X < 10) = 1 − P ( X ≤ 9) = 1 − 0.0611 = 0.9389 In a random sample of 15 such
flights, there is a 0.9389 probability that at least 10 flights will be on time.
(e) Using the binomial probability table we get:
P (8 ≤ X ≤ 10) = P (8) + P (9) + P (10) = 0.0138 + 0.0430 + 0.1032 = 0.1600
(c) If fewer than half covered their mouth, then at least half did not cover their mouth. In other words, 5
or more out of the 10 people did not cover their mouth.
P( X ≥ 5) = P (5) + P(6) + P (7) + P(8) + P (9) + P(10)
= 10 C5 ⋅ (0.267)5 ⋅ (0.733)5 + 10 C6 ⋅ (0.267)6 ⋅ (0.733) 4 + 10 C7 ⋅ (0.267)7 ⋅ (0.733)3
+ 10 C8 ⋅ (0.267)8 ⋅ (0.733) 2 + 10 C9 ⋅ (0.267)9 ⋅ (0.733)1 + 10 C10 ⋅ (0.267)10 ⋅ (0.733)0
= 252 ⋅ (0.267)5 ⋅ (0.733)5 + 210 ⋅ (0.267)6 ⋅ (0.733)4 + 120 ⋅ (0.267)7 ⋅ (0.733)3
+ 45 ⋅ (0.267)8 ⋅ (0.733)2 + 10 ⋅ (0.267)9 ⋅ (0.733)1 + 1 ⋅ (0.267)10 ⋅ (0.733)0
= 0.0724 + 0.0220 + 0.0046 + 0.0006 + 0.0001 + 0.0000
= 0.0996 or 0.0997, depending upon rounding
In a random sample of 10 people, there is a probability of 0.0997 that fewer than half will cover their
mouth when sneezing. This is not unusual.
40. (a) We illustrate how to compute the probability by hand:
15!
P( X = 2) = 15 C2 ⋅ (0.047) 2 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15− 2 = ⋅ (0.047)2 ⋅ (0.953)13
2!(15 − 2)!
= 105 ⋅ (0.047) 2 ⋅ (0.953)13 = 0.1240
In a random sample of 15 randomly observed individuals, there is a probability of 0.1240 that exactly 2
will cover their mouth with a tissue.
(b) Computing the probabilities by hand, we find:
P( X < 3) = P ( X = 0) + P( X = 1) + P ( X = 2)
= 15 C0 ⋅ (0.047)0 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15− 0 + 15 C1 ⋅ (0.047)1 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15−1 + 15 C2 ⋅ (0.047) 2 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15− 2
= 1⋅ (0.047)0 ⋅ (0.953)15 + 15 ⋅ (0.047)1 ⋅ (0.953)14 + 105 ⋅ (0.047)2 ⋅ (0.953)13
= 0.4857+0.3593+0.1240
= 0.9690 or 0.9691, depending upon rounding
In a random sample of 15 randomly observed individuals, there is a probability of 0.9691 that less than
3 people will cover their mouth with a tissue.
(c) Computing the probabilities by hand, we find:
P( X > 4) = 1 − P( X ≤ 4)
= 1 − [ P ( X = 0) + P( X = 1) + P( X = 2) + P( X = 3) + P( X = 4) ]
= 1 − [ 15 C0 ⋅ (0.047)0 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15− 0 + 15 C1 ⋅ (0.047)1 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15−1 + 15 C2 ⋅ (0.047) 2 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15− 2
+ 15 C3 ⋅ (0.047)3 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15−3 + 15 C4 ⋅ (0.047) 4 ⋅ (1 − 0.047)15− 4 ]
= 1 − [0.4857+0.3593+0.1240 + 0.0265+0.0039]
= 0.0005 or 0.0006, depending upon rounding
In a random sample of 15 randomly observed individuals, there is a probability of 0.0005 that more
than 4 people will cover their mouth with a tissue. This event is unusual, since the probability is less
than 0.05. It would be surprising to observe this.
2
41. (a) The proportion of the jury that is Hispanic is: = 0.1667. So, about 16.67% of the jury is Hispanic.
12
(b) We can compute this by hand or use the binomial probability table. By hand, we have:
P( X ≤ 2) = P ( X = 0) + P( X = 1) + P ( X = 2)
= ⋅ (0.45)0 ⋅ (1 − 0.45)12− 0 + 12 C1 ⋅ (0.45)1 ⋅ (1 − 0.45)12−1 + 12 C2 ⋅ (0.45)2 ⋅ (1 − 0.45)12 − 2
12 C0
12! 12! 12!
= ⋅ (0.45)0 ⋅ (0.55)12 + ⋅ (0.45)1 ⋅ (0.55)11 + ⋅ (0.45) 2 ⋅ (0.55)10
0!(12 − 0)! 1!(12 − 1)! 2!(12 − 2)!
= 1⋅ (0.45)0 ⋅ (0.55)12 + 12 ⋅ (0.45)1 ⋅ (0.55)11 + 66 ⋅ (0.45)2 ⋅ (0.55)10
= 0.0008+0.0075+0.0339
=0.0421 or 0.0422, depending on rounding
In a random sample of 12 jurors, there is a probability of 0.421 that 2 or fewer would be Hispanic.
(c) The probability in part (b) is less than 0.05, so this is an unusual event. I would argue that Hispanics
are underrepresented on the jury and that the jury selection process was nor fair.
42. Computing the probability by hand, we get:
P( X ≥ 17) = 1 − P( X < 17)
= 1 − [ P ( X = 0) + P( X = 1) + P( X = 2) + + P ( X = 15) + P( X = 16)]
= 1 − [0.00002 + 0.0002 + 0.0012 + 0.0045 + 0.0124 + 0.0271 + 0.0491 + 0.0756 + 0.1014
+ 0.1200 + 0.1272 + 0.1218 + 0.1062 + 0.085 + 0.0628 + 0.043 + 0.0275]
= 0.0348 or 0.0350, depending on rounding
In a random sample of 175 adult Americans, there is a probability of 0.0348 that at least 17will say their car is
red.
43. (a) We have n = 100 and p = 0.80 .
µ X = n ⋅ p = 100 (0.80) = 80 flights; σ X = np (1 − p ) = 100(.80)(1 − .80) = 16 = 4 flights
(b) We expect that, in a random sample of 100 flights from Orlando to Los Angeles, 80 will be on time.
(c) Since np (1 − p ) = 16 ≥ 10 the distribution is approximately bell shaped (approximately normal) and
we can apply the Empirical Rule.
µ X − 2σ X = 80 − 2 (4) = 72
Since 75 is less than 2 standard deviations below the mean, we would conclude that it would not be
unusual to observe 75 on-time flights in a sample of 100 flights.
44. (a) We have n = 200 and p = 0.9 .
µ X = n ⋅ p = 200 (0.9) = 180 smokers; σ X = np (1 − p ) = (200) ⋅ (0.9) ⋅ (0.1) = 18 ≈ 4.2
(b) In a random sample of 200 adult smokers, we expect 180 to have started before turning 21 years old.
(c) Since np (1 − p ) = 200 (0.9)(0.1) = 18 ≥ 10 , we can use the Empirical Rule to check for unusual
observations.
185 is above the mean, and we have µ X + 2σ X = 180 + 2 (4.2) = 188.4 .
This indicates that 185 is within two standard deviations of the mean. Therefore, it would not be
considered unusual to find 185 smokers who started before turning 21 years old., from a sample of 200
smokers.
45. (a) We have n = 500 and p = 0.45 .
µ X = n ⋅ p = 500 (0.45) = 225 adult Americans;
σ X = np (1 − p ) = 500(.45)(1 − .45) = 123.75 ≈ 11.1 adult Americans
(b) In a random sample of 500 adult Americans, we expect 225 to believe that the overall state of moral
values in the United States is poor.
(c) Since np (1 − p ) = 500 (0.45)(0.55) = 123.75 ≥ 10 , we can use the Empirical Rule to check for unusual
observations.
240 is above the mean, and we have µ X + 2σ X = 225 + 2 (11.1) = 247.2 > 240 .
This indicates that 240 is within two standard deviations of the mean. Therefore, it would not be
considered unusual to find 240 people who believe the overall state of moral values in the United
States is poor in a sample of 500 adult Americans.
46. (a) We have n = 240 and p = 0.05 .
E ( X ) = µ X = n ⋅ p = 240 (0.05) = 12 patients with insomnia
We would expect 12 patients from a sample of 240 to experience insomnia as a side effect.
(b) Since np (1 − p ) = 11.4 ≥ 10 , we can use the Empirical Rule to check for unusual observations.
σ X = np (1 − p ) = (240) ⋅ (0.05) ⋅ (0.95) ≈ 3.4
20 is above the mean, and we have µ X + 2σ X = 12 + 2 (3.4) = 18.8 .
This indicates that 20 is more than two standard deviations above the mean.
It would be unusual to observe 20 patients from a sample of 240 experience insomnia as a side effect
because P ( 20) = 240 C20 ⋅ (0.05) (0.95)220 ≈ 0.0088 < 0.05 .
20
Language: English
CONTENTS
I. 5
II. 13
III. 20
IV. 31
V. 40
VI. 48
VII. 55
VIII. 69
IX. 79
X. 86
XI. 99
XII. 113
XIII. 124
XIV. 139
XV. 154
XVI. 170
XVII. 184
XVIII. 193
XIX. 202
XX. 215
Truly yours
G. A. Custer
MY LIFE ON THE PLAINS.
OR,
GEN. G. A. CUSTER, U. S. A.
NEW YORK:
SHELDON AND COMPANY,
677 BROADWAY, AND 214 & 216 MERCER STREET,
Under Grand Central Hotel.
1874.
Entered according to Act of Congress, in the year 1874, by
SHELDON & Co.,
In the Office of the Librarian of Congress, at Washington.