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Evidence-biased
Antidepressant Prescription
Overmedicalisation,
Flawed Research,
and Conflicts of Interest
Michael P. Hengartner
Evidence-biased Antidepressant Prescription
Michael P. Hengartner
Evidence-biased
Antidepressant
Prescription
Overmedicalisation, Flawed Research,
and Conflicts of Interest
Michael P. Hengartner
School of Applied Psychology
Zurich University of Applied Sciences
Zurich, Switzerland
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature
Switzerland AG 2022
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether
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Contents
References265
Index351
v
List of Tables
vii
1
Introduction: How Did I Get Here?
I believe that the enduring skepticism and distorted views about antide-
pressant drugs are due to the stigma of mental illness and prejudice toward
the medical specialty responsible for its study and care. This historical
stigma is perpetuated by lay and professional groups, who oppose the use
and deny the efficacy of psychotropic medication for ideologic reasons or
organizational biases. Psychiatry has the dubious distinction of being the
only medical specialty with an anti-movement that is constantly challeng-
ing and undermining the field. The other source of opposition comes from
anti-scientific or anti-medical groups who draw the battle lines along
whether medical or psychotherapeutic treatment modalities can or should
be used … Doctors should not be fooled by the pharmacologic naysayers,
and no patient with major depressive disorder should be denied the effec-
tive treatment that can be hugely beneficial for them [2].
symptoms was not evidently clear from the outset, but I was told that I
must search the data to find the “truth”. Searching the data means to run
various statistical models with changing definitions of predictor and out-
come variables, checking the impact of different control variables on the
results and thus deriving the “best” model. According to this exploratory
approach, the “best” model is the statistical analysis that confirms your
hypothesis. Thus, eventually we were able to demonstrate a prospective
association between cannabis use and the occurrence of psychotic symp-
toms, and we published the results in a leading medical journal [35]. But
was the “best” model necessarily the most accurate model? Did we really
detect a true association, or did we rather adjust our statistical analysis
until it confirmed our hypothesis (also referred to as data dredging or
p-hacking)? As the saying goes, “if you torture the data long enough, it
will confess to anything”. It is now widely accepted that this is poor sci-
entific practice that substantially increases the risk of false positive results,
that is, statistical artifacts or chance findings [36–40]. But back in late
2010, as a PhD student, I simply did what I was told by my supervisors
(and taught in university), even though it didn’t feel right. I was not
aware yet of the compelling scientific literature that strongly advised
against such questionable research practices.
The publication of our cannabis-psychosis paper coincided with the
proclamation of the replication crisis in psychology [41–44]. My intu-
ition that psychological and psychiatric research, and by extension
research in general, was often unreliable, irreproducible, and systemati-
cally biased towards spectacular but most likely false positive findings,
became a prominently discussed hot topic. I was immediately intrigued
by this flood of new research that exposed so many pernicious problems
in contemporary psychological research. In my new position as research
associate for Drs Rössler and Angst I prepared various research papers. I
quickly gained experience in data analysis and I also acquired profound
knowledge in statistics and research methodology. I dug deeper into the
metascience literature and found deeply concerning evidence for what I
have expected for so long, but never was told as a student and junior
researcher. A large portion, presumably a majority, of research findings in
psychology, psychiatry, and biomedicine, is most likely false or massively
exaggerated [45–50]. I learned about p-hacking, the fabrication of
6 M. P. Hengartner
statistically significant results [39], about the flaws and limitations of sta-
tistical significance testing [51], and about publication bias, the selective
reporting of favourable (i.e. hypothesis-confirming) research find-
ings [52].
In 2014, about a year after I had completed my PhD, I left the
Psychiatric University Hospital of Zurich to assume a tenured position at
the Zurich University of Applied Sciences. Metascience, research meth-
odology, statistics, and the philosophy of science became my primary
research interests. I started to write papers about methodological flaws
and research biases and how these can easily produce false-positive results
in biomedical and psychological research [53, 54]. I also wrote about the
systematic biases in psychotherapy research [55]. But my biggest interest
was in antidepressants for depression, and this preference changed my
career fundamentally.
But there was not only delight and appreciation for my critical research
on the benefit–harm ratio of antidepressants. Some people, especially
psychiatrists, attacked me fiercely on social media, but also in their
reviewer comments on articles I submitted for publication. Some accused
me of spreading conspiracy theories and misinformation. Akin to Dr
Lieberman in his blanket condemnation of researchers who question the
clinical significance of antidepressants quoted at the beginning of this
book [2], they alleged I was running an anti-scientific, ideologically
biased crusade against psychiatry. My former PhD supervisor, Dr. Wulf
Rössler, who also supported me as co-author on two controversial papers,
once warned me that some leaders in the field would push back hard. He
cautioned that by pursuing this kind of research I would soon make pow-
erful enemies. He was right. There were times I felt exhausted and crest-
fallen, demoralised by insults on social media and irritating ad hominem
attacks by anonymous reviewers.
I soon realised that the debate was highly polarised and hateful. Even
scientific arguments could quickly turn into scathing and discrediting
accusations. But there was also interest in my arguments and honest will-
ingness to discuss the scientific evidence. A few debates were indeed con-
structive, especially when opponents were willing to discuss my scientific
arguments instead of simply attacking me as a person for the kind of
research I do. I also learned that many practicing psychiatrists and GPs
were simply not aware of these pervasive issues that, to me, seemed so
evident after my scrutiny of the literature. Some also admitted honestly
to me, in confidence, that they were not allowed to raise these issues in
the clinic, fearing disapproval and rejection from their colleagues and
supervisors.
After I completed my habilitation (qualification for professorship and
highest academic degree in Switzerland and various other countries) at
the medical faculty of the University of Zurich, I gave my inaugural
speech at the university in February 2019. I lectured about threats to
evidence-based antidepressant prescribing. I detailed the selective report-
ing of efficacy and safety outcomes in antidepressant trials, which lead to
a systematic overestimation of benefits and underestimation of harms.
This is not just a provocative, misinformed opinion (as some psychiatrists
had suggested), it is a well-established scientific fact consistently
1 Introduction: How Did I Get Here? 9
Antidepressant Prescribing
The introduction of the SSRIs in the late 1980s led to a massive increase
in antidepressant prescribing. In 1980, Americans filled about 30 million
antidepressant prescriptions, in 2001 that number rose to a staggering
2 Antidepressants in Clinical Practice 13
2011 to 2014, 68% of antidepressant users aged 12 years and older had
been taking the drugs for at least two 2 years, and about 25% had been
taking the drugs for 10 years and more [107]. According to Mojtabai and
Olfson [124], 7% of the US adult population had been on antidepres-
sants for at least 2 years in the year 2009/2010, as compared to 3% in the
year 1999/2000. In a large general practice study from the Netherlands,
in the period 2005–2015, 44% of antidepressant users had been taking
the drugs for 15 months and longer, as compared to 30% in the period
1995–2005 [126]. Finally, in England, as of 2018, altogether 52% of
antidepressant users had been on the drugs continuously for more than
12 months [113], and according to a large general practice study in
Scotland, 47% of adult antidepressant users were on the same drug for at
least 2 years [127].
A third prescription trend that is worth mentioning is the growing rate
of psychotropic polypharmacy. That is, antidepressants are increasingly
prescribed in combination with other psychiatric drugs. In US psychiat-
ric outpatient practice, from 1996 to 2006, 23% of adult antidepressant
users were additionally prescribed sedative-hypnotic drugs (mostly ben-
zodiazepines and Z-drugs), 13% were co-medicated with antipsychotics,
and further 13% with a second antidepressant. The rate of polypharmacy
had significantly increased from 1996 to 2006 [128]. Polypharmacy has
also increased in youths. For example, in the Swedish population aged
12–17 years, polypharmacy in antidepressant users increased from 49%
in 2006 to 70% in 2013. For the vast majority of youths using antide-
pressants, polypharmacy comprised co-medication with sedative-
hypnotics and, considerably less so, with antipsychotics [122].
In sum, not only is an increasing proportion of the population pre-
scribed antidepressants each year, people on antidepressants also use the
drugs continuously for an ever-growing period and are increasingly co-
medicated with other psychotropic drugs, especially sedative-hypnotics.
Although antidepressants are increasingly prescribed for anxiety, insom-
nia, and non-psychiatric conditions (e.g. pain), another consistent find-
ing is that, across countries and age groups, by far the most frequent
treatment indication is still depression [96-99, 129-131].
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Sergeant Montgomery, of the prison. Brock made no effort to secure
counsel, or to summon any witnesses, but merely expressed a
desire to have his uncle sell his land, a tract of two hundred acres
owned by him in Coffee County, Ala., and turn the proceeds over to
his mother.
On the 16th of October, by appointment, the U. S. District
Attorney, A. M. Lea, Col. J. H. Neville, Special Counsel employed by
the Government to assist in the trial, and the express officials, who
were familiar with the facts, all met at Jackson, Miss., to arrange for
the approaching trial of L. C. Brock and Rube Smith. All of these
gentlemen called in company upon Brock, in his cell at the
penitentiary, and District Attorney Lea told Brock if he had any
witnesses he desired summoned he would have subpœnas issued,
and that he was free to choose as to whether he would plead guilty
or employ counsel. Brock then and there reiterated his determination
to plead guilty, so frequently made prior to that time to the author,
and said he had no money, and did not intend to employ any
counsel. He said he was willing to testify against Smith, but
remarked:
“What will people think of me for doing that—see how the world
looks upon Bob Ford?”
When told that all fair-minded and Christian people would
applaud him for standing on the side of honesty and truth, he added:
“Well, the Bible does not give Judas Iscariot a very fair name.”
And so it was easily discovered that the ill-fated criminal was
battling against opposing ideas. On the one hand he was confronted
with the certainty of conviction and an ignominious death at the
hands of the hangman, on the other life imprisonment, with the
added alternative of standing as a witness against his copartner in
crime and assisting to fasten guilt upon him. He had often said:
“I prefer death to imprisonment for life, for what is life without
liberty.”
On Saturday, the 8th of November, two days before his suicide,
he said to a fellow prisoner, whose hat was worn and old:
“You need a new hat; you may have mine Monday.”
Brock had evidently made up his mind, as indicated by these
remarks, to take his own life. About nine o’clock on the morning of
November 10, 1890, the day set for his trial, Detective Thomas
Jackson and United States Marshal Mathews went to the
penitentiary building to bring the prisoner to the Federal Court, as he
had been notified would be done. Sergeant Montgomery sent the
officer of the prison charged with the special surveillance of Brock to
bring him into his office, where the detective and marshal awaited
him. At night he was confined in one of the cells on the ground floor
of the prison, but was permitted to occupy during the day one of the
guard rooms situated on the third floor of the building. The prisoner
was in this room when the keeper went after him to bring him to the
sergeant’s office. Just as the keeper was in the act of unlocking the
door, Brock walked to the iron barred window of the room, and
beckoning to a fellow convict standing in the yard of the prison, threw
out of the window the following note:
All other rewards for Rube Burrow have been paid to Carter and
his associates. The rewards for Brock and Smith, excepting those
offered by the Government and the State of Mississippi, have also
been paid to the parties interested.
William Brock, of Texas, was in nowise related to L. C. Brock.
The two men never met, and that two of Burrow’s clansmen bore the
same name was merely a coincidence.
The question recurs, “Does train-robbing pay?”
Here were men whose untoward inclinings, fostered by evil
association, inflamed them with a passion for lawlessness. Their
brawny arms were uplifted against the laws of God and man for
ambition’s sake. They loved pillage for booty’s sake.
Behold the hapless fate of the five men who linked their fortunes
together, commencing with the date of the Genoa robbery in
December, 1887. William Brock, although sentenced to a short term
of imprisonment, will carry to his grave the stigma of an ex-convict.
Rube Smith has entered the gloomy portals of a prison, in which he
is doomed to spend the remaining days of his life—a fate more
horrible than death.
Rube Burrow, Jim Burrow and L. C. Brock lie in unhallowed
graves, their memories kept alive only by the recollection of their
atrocious deeds, leaving their kindred and friends to realize the bitter
truth that
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