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The Only Technical Analysis Book - Brian Hale_Part 13
The Only Technical Analysis Book - Brian Hale_Part 13
First, you must identify the securities you are interested in.
Count the number of equities trading near their yearly highs.
Sort the selected securities from highest to lowest to see which
performs best.
Plan an entry: you may wish to enter an instrument while displaying
short-term strength, or you may want to wait for a pullback and
purchase on weakness. Either technique can work, but whichever one
you choose, it’s crucial that you follow through with it.
Plan your exit: going into the trade, you should determine at what
moment or under what conditions you will take profits, or you will
leave with a loss.
Day Trading
Nowadays, more and more people are becoming interested in day trading as
they seek financial independence and the freedom to live on their terms.
Day trading is a type of trading style that involves buying and selling
positions within the same day. Opening and closing a position within a single
trading day is considered a day trade. However, if the same position is held
overnight and closed the next day, it is no longer considered a day trade.
Day traders usually count on technical analysis to make profits quickly and
may use margin to increase their buying power. They aim to make profits by
capitalizing on small price movements that occur within the market during a
single trading day.
To become successful as a day trader, you must have a refined strategy with
specific rules and money management parameters. Day traders look for
volatile stocks because it presents an opportunity for profit. Generally, the
more a stock moves, the greater the potential profit or loss for a trader.
Risk management is important for day traders as they seek to limit their
losses while allowing their winning trades to continue to run. By practicing
excellent risk management skills, day traders can protect their capital while
earning substantial profits.
Day traders can be considered risk managers as they put their capital at risk
to earn profits. However, they may struggle to make consistent profits if they
fail to manage their risks effectively.
While there are many strategies for increasing day-trading profits, the
following three are particularly crucial:
Trade with money you know you can afford to lose: Setting aside
some money for day trading is critical. However, don’t trade more
than that amount, and don’t trade with any of your mortgages or rent
money. Why? Because you might misplace it.
Start small: You will make mistakes and lose money day trading,
especially in the beginning. So keep a close eye on your losses until
you get some experience.
Don’t quit your day job: You could have a lucky streak, especially if
the market is on a long winning streak. However, before quitting your
job and expanding your efforts, you must observe how your trading
method performs when the market is volatile, especially during a
recession. Then, when you are consistently profitable, you can choose
whether you should continue your day job or leave it.
The stock market is a popular choice for day traders due to its size, activity,
and relatively low or nonexistent commissions. However, day traders can
also trade bonds, options, futures, commodities, and currencies.
When choosing a security to trade, day traders usually look for securities
with good volume, as they are liquid and can be bought and sold without
significantly affecting the price. Currency markets are also highly liquid.
Additionally, securities should have some volatility, but not too much, as
volatility is necessary for a day trader to make a profit. Day traders should
also know how the security trades and what triggers its movements, such as
earnings reports or trading ranges. Following the news can help create
volatility and liquidity and provide ideas for trading.
To succeed in day trading, you want to learn to use various technical
analysis tools such as moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and chart
patterns to identify potential trade opportunities. For example, you may want
to use a fifty-day moving average to determine the overall trend of a stock
and a twenty-day moving average to identify potential entry and exit points.
Fibonacci retracements identify potential price levels where security may
experience support or resistance. The most commonly used levels are 38.2%,
50%, and 61.8%. You can use these retracement levels as potential entry and
exit points.
Chart patterns are also used to identify possible trend reversals or
continuation patterns. You can use various chart patterns, such as triangles,
head, and shoulders, or double top and bottom, to identify potential trade
opportunities. For example, you may use a bullish flag pattern to identify a
possible long trade or an inverse head and shoulders pattern to identify a
potential short trade.
Again, it’s important to reiterate that day trading can be risky and that no
trading strategy is foolproof. So, as a day trader, you must have a solid
understanding of technical analysis tools and risk management strategies
before implementing a day trading strategy. It is also important to have a
disciplined approach to trading, including a trading plan and the ability to
stick to it, to minimize emotional decision-making and maximize potential
profits.
Scalping
Scalping, also called scalp trading, involves short intervals between opening
and closing a trade. This trading strategy can be compared to action-packed
thriller movies full of suspense and excitement. It is a high-speed and
adrenaline-pumping style of trading that can be overwhelming.
Scalp trades are generally closed out within a few seconds to a few minutes
at the maximum. The ultimate goal for scalpers is to profit from small price
movements in the market over a very short time frame, often just a few
seconds or minutes.
Scalping is a trading strategy that demands expertise and a disciplined
approach to risk management. If you enjoy fast-paced trading and
excitement, lack the patience to wait for extended trades, and can devote
several hours to monitoring charts, then scalping might be an ideal approach.
However, you must know how to think quickly and adjust direction based on
market movements to succeed as a scalper.
On the other hand, if fast-moving environments easily stress you and you
can only dedicate a few hours to monitoring charts, then scalping may not
suit you.
Therefore, if you prefer taking your time to analyze the market’s overall
picture and executing fewer trades with higher profit potential, then scalping
is probably not for you, and you might want to explore swing trading instead.
Identifying trends, anticipating market movements, and understanding
market psychology are crucial to effectively executing the scalping strategy.
Effective scalpers should also be skilled in reading and interpreting short-
term charts, making decisions based on stock charting within short intervals.
Key indicators such as moving averages and Fibonacci retracement levels are
important for scalpers to determine if they can execute a trade. Although
scalpers often experience losing trades, a successful scalping strategy and
discipline can help them maximize wins and minimize losses.
Scalping contradicts the traditional approach of holding onto rallying stocks,
at least in short/medium term. Instead, scalpers sell their positions even if the
stock is experiencing a large uptick. They may re-enter the security later but
have the discipline to exit a stock even if they are making significant gains. In
contrast, traditional day traders tend to hold onto the stock, believing it will
continue to rise.
Ultimately, you should understand that all of these trading strategies come
with significant risk. In essence, you’re deciding to invest in a security based
on recent activity by other market participants.
Also, remember that the market can always move unexpectedly, and there is
no assurance that it will continue in a predicted direction. Unforeseen events,
such as a significant news release, can impact how the market is perceived by
investors, leading to selling. Additionally, if many investors already have a
long position in a security, they may start taking profits, which could
outweigh new buyers entering the market, resulting in a price decline.
Therefore, you must learn to risk your money wisely in the market. Aside
from having sound trading strategies to attack the market with, you also want
an excellent system that serves as a defensive mechanism for managing your
money effectively. The next chapter will cover more about this.
Key Takeaways