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Recentralisation
in Colombia
Julián D. López-Murcia
Executive Politics and Governance
Series Editors
Martin Lodge
London School of Economics and Political Science
London, UK
Kai Wegrich
Hertie School of Governance
Berlin, Germany
The Executive Politics and Governance series focuses on central govern-
ment, its organisation and its instruments. It is particularly concerned with
how the changing conditions of contemporary governing affect perennial
questions in political science and public administration. Executive Politics
and Governance is therefore centrally interested in questions such as how
politics interacts with bureaucracies, how issues rise and fall on political
agendas, and how public organisations and services are designed and oper-
ated. This book series encourages a closer engagement with the role of
politics in shaping executive structures, and how administration shapes
politics and policy-making. In addition, this series also wishes to engage
with the scholarship that focuses on the organisational aspects of politics,
such as government formation and legislative institutions. The series wel-
comes high quality research-led monographs with comparative appeal.
Edited volumes that provide in-depth analysis and critical insights into the
field of Executive Politics and Governance are also encouraged.
Editorial Board
Philippe Bezes, CNRS-CERSA, Paris, France
Jennifer N. Brass, Indiana University Bloomington, USA
Sharon Gilad, Hebrew University Jerusalem, Israel
Will Jennings, University of Southampton, UK
David E. Lewis, Vanderbilt University, USA
Jan-Hinrik Meyer-Sahling, University of Nottingham, UK
Salvador Parrado, UNED, Madrid, Spain
Nick Sitter, Central European University, Hungary
Kutsal Yesilkagit, University of Utrecht, the Netherlands
Recentralisation
in Colombia
Julián D. López-Murcia
Universidad de La Sabana
Chía, Colombia
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer
Nature Switzerland AG 2022
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the
Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of
translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on
microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval,
electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now
known or hereafter developed.
The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this
publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are
exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.
The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information
in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the
publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect
to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The
publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and
institutional affiliations.
This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature
Switzerland AG.
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
To my kind-hearted and bright children, Arturo and Emma.
Preface
vii
viii Preface
also identifies and conceptualises the heresthetic strategies used by the last
five administrations to re-assert themselves vis-à-vis subnational
governments.
The research for this book began ten years ago at Oxford, where I had
the privilege of being supervised by two outstanding scholars: Christopher
Hood and Eduardo Posada-Carbó. With skill, patience and generosity,
they pushed me to develop careful empirical research and sophisticated
conceptual development to the best of my ability. Doing research under
their supervision was one of the most amazing and memorable experiences
in my life.
I would like to thank all the academics who discussed different parts of
this research at the annual meetings of the American Political Science
Association (2015, 2016 and 2019), as well as at the international con-
gress of the Latin American Studies Association (2014, 2015 and 2016).
Particularly, Tulia Falleti and Kent Eaton, whose work I extensively discuss
in the book, as well as Jean-Paul Faguet, Gary Marks, Lisbeth Hooghe,
Claudia Avellaneda, Juan Cruz Olmeda, Martha Arretche, Sara
Niedzwiecki, Lucas González, Eduardo Moncada, Maria Escobar-
Lemmon and Lorena Moscovich. At Oxford, I had the privilege of receiv-
ing feedback from Lawrence Whitehead, Malcolm Deas, Tim Power,
Patricio Silva, David Doyle, Ezequiel González-Ocantos and Carlos
Caballero Argáez.
I also had the opportunity to discuss different parts of this work in
Mexico and Colombia. Among others, at the Centro de Investigación y
Docencia Económicas (CIDE) in México City, the Universidad de Los
Andes, the Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, the Universidad del Rosario
and the Universidad de La Sabana, as well as at the Centre for Regional
Studies of the Banco de la República, the National Planning Department
(DNP) and Fedesarrollo. I would like to specially thank Jaime Bonet,
Javier Pérez Valbuena, Ricardo Bello, Edwin López and Gustavo Zafra,
who were extremely generous with their advice, criticism and contribu-
tions, and Vanessa Suelt, Dario Restrepo, Liliana Estupiñan and Roberto
García for their valuable comments. Also, I want to thank Leonardo Villar,
Javier Pérez Burgos and Natalie Gómez for inviting me (a non-economist
with a critical view of the role of Colombia’s technocracy) to discuss this
research at Fedesarrollo (for decades, the most influential economic think-
tank of Colombia) and the DNP. While deficiencies inevitably remain,
they would have been far worse without the perceptive criticisms and com-
ments of all these people.
Preface ix
xi
Praise for Recentralisation in Colombia
“This carefully-researched book helps us better understand how and why countries
experience recentralisation – a global trend that has received far less attention than
decentralisation but that promises to be just as important. Based on scores of
interviews with high-level officials across five presidential administrations in
Colombia, López-Murcia provides a compelling explanation of recentralisation as
the result of interactions between economic performance and institutional con-
text. This is a timely contribution to the literature on multilevel governance.”
—Kent Eaton, Professor of Politics, Politics Department,
University of California, Santa Cruz, USA
xv
xvi Contents
Index233
About the Author
xvii
Abbreviations
xix
xx Abbreviations
Fig. 1.1 Transfers as per cent of GDP (-) and Central Government
Revenues (--) (2002–2019) 5
Fig. 1.2 Timetable of the main recentralising reforms 7
Fig. 1.3 Colombia’s GDP (1994–2020) 11
Fig. 3.1 Causal mechanisms (links) between a growing GDP and less
recentralisation in a PDI context 46
Fig. 3.2 Causal mechanisms (links) between a decreasing GDP
and more recentralisation in a PDI context 46
Fig. 3.3 Causal mechanisms (links) between a growing GDP and more
recentralisation in a PRI context 47
Fig. 3.4 Causal mechanisms (links) between a decreasing GDP and less
recentralisation in a PRI context 48
Fig. 5.1 Causal mechanisms (links) between a growing GDP and less
recentralisation during the Samper presidency 89
Fig. 6.1 Causal mechanisms (links) between a decreasing GDP
and more recentralisation during the Pastrana presidency 108
Fig. 7.1 Transfers in constant prices (2008) 117
Fig. 7.2 Number of municipalities decertified by the
SSPD (2008–2014) 122
Fig. 7.3 Causal mechanisms (links) between a growing GDP
and more recentralisation during the Uribe presidency 142
Fig. 8.1 Difference in royalties between 2011 and 2012 (per
Department in million pesos) 151
Fig. 8.2 Causal mechanisms (links) between a growing GDP
and more recentralisation during the Santos presidency 175
xxi
xxii List of Figures
xxiii
CHAPTER 1
Around the world, the COVID-19 pandemic has once again put the dis-
tribution of responsibilities, resources and authority between different lev-
els of government at the heart of political debate. Political leaders and
common citizens in a number of cities began to claim more powers and
resources for their local mayors, who were perceived as far more attentive
than the central governments to deal with the crisis (see BBC 2020; El
Clarin 2020; Neira 2020). In Colombia, along with the debate on which
level of government must be accountable for the number of cases, deaths
and consequences of the policy responses, emerged the question on how
and why the country ended up so recentralised.
This book offers a new approach: an interactive and cross-temporal
framework to explain recentralisation. According to the main argument of
the book, Colombia’s increases in the levels of recentralisation were the
outcomes of the interaction between economic performance and institu-
tional contexts (summarised in Table 1.1). When an economic crisis
(decreasing GDP) takes place in a predominantly decentralised institu-
tional context (PDI), one can expect an increase of recentralisation. If an
economic boom (growing GDP) occurs in the same context, one should
expect a decrease of recentralisation. In turn, if there is an economic crisis
in a predominantly recentralised institutional context (PRI), one can expect
less recentralisation. If, instead, an economic boom occurs in the same
context, one should expect even more recentralisation. The causal
FOOTNOTES:
[15] Other illustrations of auto-corruption may be found in
speculation by inside officials on the basis of crop reports not yet
made public, and in real-estate deals based on a knowledge of
projected public improvements.
[16] Misperformance and neglect of duty do not clearly include
cases of usurpation with corrupt motives; hence the addition of
this clause to the definition. Some usurpations may of course be
defended as involving high and unselfish motives, and hence free
from corruption.
[17] Mr. Seeley has shown, of course, that no actual despotism,
so-called, really conforms to this conception, but for purposes of
argument, at least, the assumption may be permitted to stand.
[18] Political Science Quarterly, vol. xix (1904), p. 673.
[19] Cf. C. Howard, “The Spirit of Graft,” Outlook, vol. lxxxi
(1905), p. 365.
[20] Outlook, 65:115 (May 12, 1905).
[21] Political Science Quarterly, vol. xviii (1902), p. 188.
[22] Atlantic, vol. xcv (1905), p. 781.
[23] J. E. C. Bodley, France, bk. iii, ch. vi, p. 306.
CORRUPTION: A PERSISTENT PROBLEM OF
POLITICAL AND SOCIAL LIFE
III
CORRUPTION: A PERSISTENT PROBLEM OF POLITICAL
Here the point is that a corrupt local government need occasion little
or no disadvantage during a state of war provided the army can be
relied upon thoroughly. Further the poet warns against agitation for
the reform of internal abuses lest it might weaken the country in the
presence of a foreign foe. Doubtless both points are well taken so far
as an immediate emergency is concerned. If war is not imminent,
however, that government would certainly be making the best
preparation against future trouble which sought to establish the
highest standard of honesty in both its civil and military services.
Thus the Freiherr vom Stein immeasurably strengthened Prussia for
the final conflict with Napoleon by reforming the rotten boroughs of
his country and appealing on the basis of this reform to the
patriotism of the liberal classes of his fellow citizens. Moreover there
would seem to be little real danger of urging internal reforms so
violently during periods of warfare as to cripple military strength. Of
course if a government has been reduced to the last extremity of
unpopularity by past mismanagement, revolutionists might take
advantage of a declaration of war to tear it to pieces, hailing foreign
troops as allies rather than opponents. In the more advanced
countries of the modern world, however, the spirit of nationality and
patriotism is so highly developed that internal reforms are instantly
relegated to the background at the least threat of foreign
embroilment. To such peoples the poet’s adjuration to
is hardly needed.
Definite instances of corruption affecting certain spheres or
departments of government particularly may readily be suggested.
There is much that is significant in the corruption of the judicial
officials of China. Ultimately they became so rapacious that
merchants feared to come before them, preferring to leave
commercial differences to be settled by the arbitration of officers of
guilds of which the business men themselves were members. Thus
corruption of one social organ may lead to its atrophy and the
corresponding strengthening of another social organ which takes
over the functions of the former. Assuming that the function is as well
performed in the second case, the internal life of the whole structure
in which the transition takes place may be very little affected except
while the change is going on. If, however, the state is continually
weakened by such transfers while at the same time the functions
remaining to it become rotten with corruption it may finally reach the
condition of abject defencelessness which China has shown in its
relations with other nations.
Another very curious case of corruption limited to certain spheres
of government is furnished by Japan. In his authoritative work on that
country,[36] Captain Brinkley expresses the opinion that the higher
and lower official classes are free from corruption while the middle
grade is more or less given over to it. The passage containing this
statement is so germane to the present discussion that it may be
quoted in full:
“There is an old and still undecided controversy among foreign
observers as to bribery in Japan. Many Japanese romancists
introduce the douceur in every drama of life, and historical annals
show that from the seventeenth century downward Japanese rulers
legislated against bribery with a degree of strenuous persistence
which seems to imply conviction of its prevalence. Not only were
recipients of bribes severely punished, but informers also received
twice the amount in question. Japanese social relations, too, are
maintained largely by the giving and taking of presents. Visits to make
or renew an acquaintance are always accompanied by gifts; the four
seasons of the year are similarly marked; even deaths call for a
contribution to funeral expenses; nearly all services are ‘recognised,’
and guests carry back from their entertainer’s house a box of
confectionery or other edibles in order that the households may not be
entirely excluded from the feast. The uses of such a system evidently
verge constantly on abuses, and prepare the observer to find that if
the normal intercourse of life sanctions these material aids, abnormal
occasions are likely to demand them in much greater profusion. All
evidence thus far obtained goes to prove that Japanese officials of the
highest and lowest classes are incorruptible, but that the middle ranks
are unsound. A Japanese police constable will never take a bribe nor
a Japanese railway employé a pour boire, and from Ministers of State
to chiefs of departmental bureaux there is virtual freedom from
corruption. But for the rest nothing can be claimed, and to the case of
tradespeople, inferior agents, foremen of works, contractors, and so
on, the Japanese proverb may probably be applied that ‘even hell’s
penalties are a matter of money.’”
A third illustration of the uneven distribution of corruption
throughout a political structure may be found in our own case. In the
United States, as is well known, the general opinion of the honesty
and efficiency of the federal government is extremely high; state
government enjoys considerably less repute; and municipal
government is pretty commonly and indiscriminately condemned.
Even in the case of the latter, however, it is worth while to observe
that in some cities otherwise considered almost hopelessly bad,
certain departments, notably public schools and fire protection, are
recognised as being managed on a much higher plane than other
branches of the municipal service. In such cases public recognition
of the importance of the departments concerned has led to an
insistence on efficiency and honesty that has proven effective. The
conclusion would seem to be well founded, therefore, that a proper
recognition by our city population of the vital importance of other
branches of the service, such as sanitation, refuse disposal, water
supply, building and housing inspection, letting of contracts, and so
on, would go far toward bringing about much needed improvements.
It would also appear that corruption may be omnipresent and yet
not extremely harmful because of the moderation of its demands. A
practical politician once remarked that “the people will never kick on
a ten per cent rake off.” It is quite possible that the effort to wipe out
so modest a tribute by a reform agitation opposed to the principle of
the thing might cost more in effort or even in campaign expenses
than would be represented by the saving to the municipal treasury or
public. Obviously, however, the advisability of an effort for the
establishment of honest government is not to be calculated in
financial values only. The moral effect of a corrupt exaction of ten per
cent which no one thinks it worth while to attack may be worse than
the moral effect of a fifty per cent exaction which is vigorously
condemned. A purely Machiavellian machine leader may also
discern a degree of danger lurking in a government ten per cent
corrupt due to the very fact that the electorate accepts it with
quiescence. Under such conditions it is difficult to convince the more
greedy minor politicians that while they can get ten per cent without
a murmur they could not take twenty or even fifteen per cent without
serious trouble. The great expenses of political management which
the leaders are called upon to meet must also incline them at times
to exactions beyond the verge of prudence.
From the point of view of an organisation politician, therefore, the
determination of the limits within which corruption seems safe is a
serious and ever present problem. Certain features of the situation
may be noted as exerting an influence in favour of a moderate policy.
One of these is the contractual nature of many corrupt practices that
are alleged to be common. For example, franchises sought by
dishonest means usually possess a value which is pretty exactly
known to the intending purchasers. The amount which they are
actually willing to pay may be determined only after close bargaining
and the allowance of a large discount owing to the danger
inseparable from this method of acquisition. Immunity to carry on
businesses under the ban of the law is subject to the same rule.
The “Gambling Commission” which was said to exist in New York
in 1900-’01, and to have been “composed of a Commissioner who is
at the head of one of the city departments, two State Senators, and
the dictator of the pool-room syndicate of this city,”[37] owed its
partial exposure to a violation of this rule. The “Commission” was
alleged to have established a regular tariff for the various forms of
gambling as follows:—Pool Rooms, $300 per month; Crap Games,
and Gambling Houses (small), $150 per month; Gambling Houses
(large), $1000 per month; Envelope Games, $50 per month. These
rates would seem sufficiently high to provoke complaint from those
who had to pay them. Nevertheless the exposure, which came from
the gamblers themselves, was not so much due to the size of the
exactions as to the great increase in the number of the gambling
houses which the “Commission” licensed in order to secure larger
revenues. In the end, as one member of the sporting fraternity
phrased it, “there were not enough suckers to go ’round.” The whole
incident illustrates the principle, if the word can be used in such an
unhallowed connection, that in order to enjoy any permanent
success, corruption must by all means avoid extreme rapacity; it
must endeavour to keep alive that which it feeds on. Castro, for
example, was a highwayman rather than a grafter. He lacked the
moderation, the fine sense of proportion, necessary to qualify one for
success in the latter rôle. To paraphrase a familiar principle of
taxation, a part of income may be taken but corrupt encroachments
on capital sums are dangerous.
Prudential considerations restraining corruption are apt to be much
more keenly felt by a thoroughly organised machine than in cases
where corruption is practised by disorganised groups and individuals
each seeking its or his own advantage regardless of any common
interest. The “cohesive power of public plunder,” as President
Cleveland ponderously phrased it, may thus come to operate as a
moderating force. Notoriously corrupt city governments have not
infrequently distinguished themselves by maintaining extremely low
tax rates, or at least rates which appear to be low. Largely on this
basis a quasi-philosophic defence of corrupt municipal rule was
made several years ago by Daniel G. Thompson.[38] Arguing that