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MODULE B REVISION_25867414_2024_07_08_07_35
MODULE B REVISION_25867414_2024_07_08_07_35
MODULE B
COMPLETE
REVISION PDF
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Risk Introduction:
reaching appointments.
3. Definition of Risks:
Uncertainties leading to adverse outcomes compared to
plans.
4. Inherent Business Risks:
All business involves varying levels of unavoidable risk.
CRMC:
Ensures robust credit risk, including rating processes.
rates.
Clears new credit products/processes.
ORMC:
Ensures operational risk robustness, analyzes frauds.
branch levels.
Guidelines for risk-taking with prudential limits.
Execution:
Reporting:
Regular reports to senior management or board of
directors.
Evaluate material risks, assumptions, and adjust the
1. Control Structure:
Essential for effective risk management.
Involves independent reviews and audits.
Board oversight through a dedicated Committee.
2. Risk Management Review:
Periodic checks for integrity and accuracy.
Monitored by the Board Committee on Risk Management.
3. Mitigation Strategies:
Aim to reduce uncertainties.
Involves contracts and financial instruments.
Trading Book:
1. Liquidity Risk:
of deposits.
Time Risk: Non-receipt of expected inflows of funds.
1. Definition:
Exposure to adverse movements in interest rates affecting
Net Interest Income, Net Interest Margin, or Market Value
of Equity.
3. Examples:
Mismatch risk: Asset maturing in two years funded by a
liability maturing in six months, causing changes in net
interest income.
1. Scenario:
Banks price assets and liabilities based on different
benchmarks in floating interest rate situations.
Non-parallel movements in yield curves affect Net Interest
Income (NII).
2. Example:
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Liability linked to 91 days T-Bill funds an asset linked to
364 days T-Bill, causing variation in net interest earned.
Yield curve risk is a type of basis risk.
3. Embedded Option Risk:
Significant market interest rate changes lead to
prepayment, exercise of call/put options, or premature
deposit withdrawal.
Higher and faster interest rate changes increase embedded
option risk, reducing projected cash flow and income.
4. Reinvestment Risk:
Uncertainty in reinvesting future cash flows due to varying
market interest rates.
Mismatches in cash flows expose banks to NII variations.
Example: Different rates offered by banks for the same
deposit tenor.
Price Risk:
1. Definition:
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Occurs when assets are sold before stated maturities,
particularly affecting the trading book.
Bond prices and yields are inversely related.
2. Market Risk Components:
Part of Interest Rate Risk (IRR) affecting interest rate
instruments' prices.
Pricing Risk for assets in the trading book (excluding
commodities in India).
Foreign Currency Risk (Forex Risk).
1. Definition:
Loss risk due to adverse exchange rate movements during
an open position in foreign currency.
1. Definition:
Arises when a bank struggles to conclude a large
transaction near the current market price.
1. Credit Risk:
Potential of a borrower or counterparty failing to meet
obligations.
Loans and corporate bonds are major sources of credit risk
for banks.
2. Counterparty Risk:
1. Definition:
Risk of loss from inadequate internal processes, people,
systems, or external events.
Excludes strategic and reputation risks per Basel
Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS).
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2. Scope:
Encompasses various risks, including fraud,
communication, documentation, competence, model,
cultural, external events, legal, regulatory, and system
risks.
Transaction Risk:
1. Definition:
Arises from fraud (internal and external), failed business
processes, and challenges in maintaining business
continuity and information management.
Compliance Risk:
1. Definition:
Strategic Risk:
1. Definition:
Arises from adverse business decisions, improper
implementation, or lack of responsiveness to industry
changes.
Reflects the gap between strategic goals, business
strategies, deployed resources, and the quality of
implementation.
Reputational Risk:
Model Risk:
1. Definition:
Models predict values based on specific parameters
influencing the variable's value.
Model Risk:
1. Definition:
Gap between predicted and observed values in models.
Affects profit and loss in pricing models and risk
assessment in risk measurement models.
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2. Reasons for Model Risk:
Incorrect or irrelevant assumptions.
Omissions of parameters for simplification.
Statistical errors, insufficient data, and misjudgment in
handling outliers.
3. Validation:
Models validated through back testing.
Validation conducted by personnel not involved in model
design.
Summary of Risks:
1. Definition:
From climate change and mitigation.
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Impacts: Physical and transition risks.
2. Physical Risks:
Acute (floods) and chronic (rising sea levels).
Varies geographically.
Results in economic and financial damage.
3. Transition Risks:
Shift to low-carbon economy.
Drivers: Climate policies, tech advances, sentiment shifts.
Examples: Valuation reduction, tech-driven energy
transition.
Influences economy and financial system.
1. Importance:
Systemic Risk:
1. Herstatt Risk:
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Time lag in dollar payments led to Herstatt Risk.
German regulators liquidated Bank Herstatt before
payments completed.
2. Formation of BCBS:
G-10 countries formed BCBS in 1974 post-Herstatt
incident.
BCBS under BIS, with Central Bank Governors from
participating countries.
G-20 now includes major economies; accepted Basel-III at
5th G-20 summit (Nov 2021).
3. G-20 Meetings:
G-20, major economies coordinating global policies.
Recent meeting in Rome (Oct 2021) focused on COVID-19
response.
4. Basel Committee Evolution:
assessment.
Effective use of disclosure for market discipline.
1. Pre-Lehman Crisis:
1. Pillar 2 Focus:
Includes model risk, credit-risk mitigants, and
securitization.
2. Causes of Banking Problems:
Liquidity Risk
Limitations:
Estimating Volatility:
Back Testing:
Stress Testing:
1. Lacks transparency.
2. Relies on practitioner choices.
3. No attached probabilities.
4. Limited role in IT investments.
1. Implements policies.
2. Sets risk-adjusted limits.
Set by authority.
Daily sensitivity measures.
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Stop-loss triggers.
Basis risk limits.
Risk Monitoring:
Models Analysis:
Risk Reporting:
Risk Terminology:
Organization:
Executes strategies.
Implements policies.
Manages day-to-day activities.
Credit Risk Management Department (CRMD):
1. Default Risk:
Borrower fails to make payments.
Involves recovery rate.
2. Credit Spread Risk:
Worsening credit quality.
Reflected in credit spread widening.
Firm-specific, often through rating downgrade.
Not marked-to-market.
Default event crucial.
Capital market portfolios marked-to-market.
Exhibit credit spread volatility.