Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Volatility $ Trading Range
Volatility $ Trading Range
KING GEORGE-11
EMAIL tradinglegacy11@gmail.com
1. WAVES (VOLATILITY)
We have learnt about Waves in the Advanced Pure Price Action Course.
And we said that Bullish Waves goes up and Bearish Waves Goes down
always. Let’s do a little revision. During an Uptrend, Up-Waves or
Impulsive Waves must be bigger than Retracement or Down-Waves and
during Downtrend, Down-Waves or Impulsive Waves must be bigger than
Corrective or Up-Waves. Why is such a case? Bigger Impulsive Waves
during Uptrend shows the Trend strength and same but the opposite is
true for Downtrend. You all know what am talking about here folks. Lets
see the Scenario on the Charts Below.
The chart above its for uptrend. We just doing little revisions about
Waves. As we can see Up-Waves are progressively Big than Down-Waves.
Let’s see for a Downtrend now below
Same for downtrend on the chart above aswell. The Down-Waves are
progressively bigger than Up-Waves. Those are trend Characteristics. But
this is not the purpose of this Portable Document Format (PDF). Let’s
quickly go to the main reason for the birth of this Pdf. Determining Waves
in terms of Volatility. For it is the more professional way of talking about
Trends weakness and strength.
How do we measure Volatility in Waves? The size of the Wave shows us how
much that wave has moved from point A to B. It shows us how volatile that move
is. One Wave is always more volatile than the other. Let’s now get to the charts
and see the volatility.
Like you can see from the above Chart. There is Waves from 1 up-to 10. Both
up and down waves. Because we are in Bearish Bias trend, the Volatility to the
downside is more than to the upside. But as the trend continues volatility to the
downside start to decrease and the one to the upside is now increasing. This
could have been much more better illustrated if I used trading view to show you
the Volatility increase and decrease as the trend moves. So what is the essence of
talking about volatility? It shows when the bears are exiting and bulls coming in.
Wave 1 and 2 has much more high volatility or it is more volatile than all the
Waves. This is a good bearish sign. Wave 3 came in with useless volatility
showing us that bulls are trying to push in but to no use. Wave 4 shows
decreasing in Volatility, price did not move much but still we have to look at
more factors to consider a good trading decision. Wave 5 came in and produced
volatility which is almost equal to the previous volatility. Wave 6 came in with
much more volatility than the previous two waves confirming more bearish bias. I
can keep on going and going. But like you know the concept is the same with
waves. Here we just talk in terms of volatility to get much more sense. As such,
you can go and with the analysis. Know this, when the trend is about to change,
volatility in the direction of the trend decreases continuously. Let me see if I have
any chart of trading view so that you see volatility on trading view.
From the chart above you can see that as price was progressing downwards with
Big Volatility. It reached a point where it showed constraint volatility to the
downside and unconstraint Volatility to the upside until the trend reversed. We
can call that as Ease of Movement in price waves to the upside. Lol! In honour of
mummy, it’s Ease of Movement in Price Waves. Ok! Let’s make a transition to
our second Theme called Trading Range. We will apply volatility and EoM in
Trading Range to identify Institutional Trend Riders and to be able to ride the
trend with them. Lets move on.
Institutional Contrarians are responsible for the whole market move, they are the
ones responsible for shaking out Retail Traders during Accumulation and
Distribution.
Institutional Trend Riders just follow the trend the moment it start moving. They
don’t trade the Trading Ranges. They jump into the market after Institutional
Contrarians are done with shaking out Retail Folks then price is about to trend up
or down, that’s when Institutional Trend followers jump in and Ride the trend
together with Contrarians.
Professional Trader can also be a Retail Trader and Proprietary trader. These
have medium skills, knowledge and not sentiment driven at most time. Don’t live
in hope at many times. Less panic and excitement. They are shrewd and most of
the time know what they are doing. They are very patient and always wait for days
to take a trade because that’s when there trusted setup comes and when it does,
they ride the markets as-well. A professional Trader can be an Institutional Trend
Rider as-well if properly trained and with proper knowledge and skills. But it
takes years of study and some kind of Frustrations. Lol! Am telling you. He can
be a Contrarian as-well, but that is another story of Pain and deep study because
you will need to understand everything that goes on the Chart.
Without wasting much of the time. Lets take a look at a Trading Range.
How do I know that, it’s accumulation? Apart from looking at the background to
see if all the phases are complete, you need also to gain the dexterity to identify a
phase, by using phase analysis. Ok? I know you are saying “yes!” Lol! So let’s put
waves in there we see more clearly.
Some sold on those arrows. Yes they did. And if they are scalpers, yes they
gambled and left with their profits. But watch out next time. When it goes against
you. You will blow your account. Lets see another point where they sold below
You see again. They sold on that and they got shaked out as price reversed to the
upside. Ok we have seen Retail traders lack of skill and knowledge. Let’s catch
another last one folks. Because some retail traders bought at the bottom below,
they bought early and they were stopped out by institutional Contrarians. See
below
You see from the above chart, If anybody placed their stops just below their entry
points, then that move in the black circle could have stopped them out. Ok
enough of this lets now see how we can trade together with Institutional Trend
Followers. We jump in when they jump in. But we can jump in together with
them at the same time, but now i don’t know how to explain that possibility. I
want to explain it but I just can’t write it down, I don’t how to write it because it’s
not an easy explanation. As such I will just show you how to jump in when they
jump in. Let’s see the chart below
You see that blue big up-wave on the chart which breached the Supply line? Yes I
see it. Lol! Yes, good that’s the Institutional Trend followers buying together with
Institutional Contrarians because they have seen that now all Retail Traders are
out, lets ride the market now. You see all this while during the Trading Range,
Institutional Trend Followers weren’t participating in the trades, they were waiting
for the right course of action, opportunity. Patience folks. While Retail Traders
were busy buying and selling and losing on top of that. So how do you jump in
after they enter? Lets see below
You have to jump in on Test after the breach of the Supply line. I hope am clear
on how to trade the Trading Range.
The opposite but the same is true for the Distribution. Because I won’t go on and
explain about distribution. Just do this on your own folks. All the things I have
done in this lecture. Apply them for distribution but in an opposite way. But
same things.
Am ending this lesson here. No more secrets or knowledge to regurgitate for now
which you can understand.