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Daniel Rauhut · Birgit Aigner-Walder
Rahel M. Schomaker
The Economics of
Immigration Beyond
the Cities
Theoretical Perspectives
and Empirical Insights
The Economics of Immigration Beyond the Cities
Daniel Rauhut
Birgit Aigner-Walder • Rahel M. Schomaker
The Economics of
Immigration Beyond
the Cities
Theoretical Perspectives and Empirical Insights
Daniel Rauhut Birgit Aigner-Walder
Centro de Estudos Geograficos Carinthia University of Applied
Universidade de Lisboa Sciences
Lisbon, Portugal Villach, Austria
Rahel M. Schomaker
Carinthia University of Applied
Sciences
Villach, Austria
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature
Switzerland AG 2023
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the
Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of
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electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now
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Preface
The initiative for this book was triggered by the MATILDE project, a
Horizon 2020 project coordinated by the University of Eastern Finland.
The aim of the MATILDE project was to analyse the economic and social
impacts of non-EU immigration to rural and mountainous regions. This
volume brings together two different developments. First, it looks beyond
the conventional categorisation of immigrants based on their cause of stay
(labour migrants, tied movers, students, refugees, asylum-seekers, etc.),
which is a categorisation that has difficulty in explaining if this new labour
is demanded or not on the labour market, or to what extent it is allowed
to work or not. Second, as economic structures differ geographically
within countries, the labour market integration of the new labour added
can be expected to display geographically different outcomes.
Within the MATILDE project, this volume has a special function.
While a major activity of the project was to collect data on the economic
implications of non-EU immigration to rural and mountainous regions in
selected case study regions, we have tried to identify the overarching key
questions regarding the economic consequences of non-EU immigration
to these areas beyond the cities. Notably, the economic effects of immigra-
tion to areas beyond major cities and metropolitan areas materialise differ-
ently than seen in the cities.
There are several excellent books that explore the economics of immi-
gration at a more technical and mathematical level, as well as many books
targeting specialised academic disciplines. This volume is intended to tar-
get a wider audience including practitioners and stakeholders. It should be
seen as an introductory non-technical book that lends an economic
v
vi PREFACE
1 What
Is This Book About? Introductory Positioning 1
1.1 Trends in Migration Flows and Policies 1
1.2 Migration Flows and the Spatial Distribution of Immigrants 3
1.3 Economic Structure and Spatiality 5
1.4 The Economic Effects of Immigration 6
1.5 The Aim and Scope of This Book 10
1.6 Methodological Considerations and Personal Reflections 11
1.7 The Structure of the Book 12
References 13
2 Economic
Theory and Migration 21
2.1 Determinants of International Migration 21
2.2 Economic Effects of International Migration 24
Costs of Immigration 24
Benefits of Migration 26
Questioning the Assumptions 29
Other Aspects 31
2.3 Previous Empirical Results on the Effects of Immigration 33
Economic Consequences at an Aggregate Level 34
Economic Consequences at an Individual Level 40
2.4 Summary 43
References 44
vii
viii Contents
3 Migration
Beyond the Cities 51
3.1 Urban-Rural Divide 51
3.2 Attractiveness of Regions Beyond the Cities for Migrants 52
The Theoretical Perspective 52
Empirical Evidence on the Regional Preferences of Migrants 55
3.3 Effects of Migration on a Regional Level—Empirical
Evidence 57
3.4 Analytical Framework on the Effects of Migration in
Non-urban Areas 59
The Case of an Excess Demand for Labour 59
The Case of an Excess Supply for Labour 61
Other Aspects 65
3.5 Concluding Remarks and Guiding Research Questions 66
References 67
5 Immigration
Beyond the Cities: An Analysis 83
5.1 Labour Market Needs in Rural Areas—An Ageing Europe 83
5.2 The Potential of Migrants—Educational Attainment Level
and Employment Situation 90
5.3 Migrants as Consumers—The Economic Situation of
Migrants 96
5.4 Migrants as Innovators?—A Way Out of a Potential Vicious
Circle of Underdevelopment 99
5.5 Overall Economic Effects of Migration—TCN and
Economic Growth104
5.6 Do Regions Beyond the Cities Gain Nevertheless?—The
Relevance of Fiscal Regulations110
5.7 Summary114
References115
Contents ix
6 Policy Considerations123
6.1 Existing Policies123
The Idea of an A-spatial Economic Structure 123
Immigrant Settlement Strategies 125
The Labour Market Situation for Immigrants 126
The Role of the European Union 129
6.2 The Needed Policy Design131
The Economic Heterogeneity of Immigrants 131
The Policy Actors 133
Policy Challenges to Address 135
6.3 Potential Ways Forward138
A New Classification for Migrants 138
A New System of Distribution of Refugees 140
The Chicken or the Egg: Which Came First? 141
6.4 Concluding Remarks142
References144
7 The
Multi-faceted Implications of Immigration:
Reflections and Conclusions155
7.1 What Are the Main Findings?155
7.2 Policy Options157
7.3 Looking Onwards and Outwards160
7.4 Conclusion163
References165
Index167
About the Authors
xi
xii ABOUT THE AUTHORS
xiii
xiv List of Figures
xv
CHAPTER 1
stakeholders hope for a quick fix on how refugees become integrated into
the host community, historical experiences suggest that this process can
take quite some time. One example is that the last refugee camp in
Germany after World War II was not closed until 1960 (Rauhut, 2014).
Over the last 30 years, Europe has experienced several major refugee
flows, with a major impact on most Member States. The Yugoslavian civil
war in the early 1990s generated the biggest refugee flow in Europe since
World War II, with refugees spread across Europe (de Haas et al., 2016).
The 2015 ‘refugee crisis’ generated another major refugee flow. Its origin
is multifaceted. One issue deals with the inability to uphold and control
EU external borders, and a second relates to the fact that Turkey decided
to stop preventing refugees from crossing the border into the EU. This
was a protest against the EU closing the door on Turkey becoming an EU
candidate country. In this sense, the refugee crisis was predominantly a
political crisis (Laine, 2020). Thirdly, the recent refugee flow from Ukraine
has caused 7.8 million Ukrainians to seek refuge in EU countries, with a
further 6.9 million Ukrainians displaced in Ukraine. Although the Russian
war on Ukraine has not come to an end, the number of refugees to the EU
is already twice as high as the number of refugees in Europe after World
War II, but these numbers of refugees, asylum-seekers and displaced per-
sons are already obsolete (Rauhut et al., 2022).
Contrasting the trends and eventual turning points in migration to the
European Union against the immigration policies of the EU Member
States, immigration policies appear to have taken impression of these
developments. STEM-workers (science, technology, engineering, mathe-
matics) and other highly skilled labour are attracted in most countries.
Many countries apply separate visa rules for this kind of labour, and as
English is the lingua franca within these branches, STEM-workers are
highly mobile (Chiswick, 2019; Hogarth, 2021). To attract highly inter-
national and mobile labour, not only the construction of visa rules is an
important aspect. Tax rules (e.g., Portugal—see Silva, 2022) and welfare
services (e.g., Sweden—Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2005) are
examples of tools that have been employed to attract this labour. In many
cases, international students who have studied science, technology, engi-
neering and mathematics are welcome to stay in the country of study after
graduation (e.g., the US—Chiswick, 2019), which is another tool used to
attract this demanded labour.
Over the last few decades, immigration policy has changed for these
types of potential immigrants. The applied changes aim at simplifying
1 WHAT IS THIS BOOK ABOUT? INTRODUCTORY POSITIONING 3
immigration for highly attractive labour and are a response to the high
demand for this kind of labour (Hogarth, 2021; Rothwell & Ruiz, 2013).
Asylum-seekers and refugees have also experienced changes in the immi-
gration policies, but in the opposite direction. In most cases, countries
have made it more difficult for asylum-seekers and refugees to enter a
country (del Guercio, 2019), and it is felt that the return rate of asylum-
seekers who have had their applications rejected and of irregular migrants
should be increased (Ataç & Schütze, 2020). This is a parallel develop-
ment to the increasing global trend in refugees (UNHCR, 2022; OECD,
2021). For tied movers and family reunification, the ability to be provided
with appropriate housing and subsistence by family already residing in the
country is an important consideration to be granted a visa (European
Union, 2003).1 Consequently, family reunification for low-income house-
holds is difficult as they have difficulties in meeting the economic require-
ments for obtaining a visa in many countries (MIPEX, 2020).
Europe and the countries within the European Union have experienced
significant changes in international migration trends over the last decades.
Some scholars argue that the period between 1950 to the mid-1970s is
characterised by labour migration and migration flows related to decolo-
nisation, the period between the mid-1970s to the end of 1980s is charac-
terised by the oil crisis and migration control, while the migration flows
since the 1990s are dominated by refugees (Van Mol & de Valk, 2013).
During the period up to the 1990s, low-skilled labour was headed for the
big cities, as the prospects of finding a low-productive and labour-intensive
job were highest in the cities. At the same time, the metropolitan areas
attracted the well-educated labour, and most countries also experienced
an urbanisation process during this period, which meant that native labour
left rural areas in favour of urban areas (Vandermotten et al., 2004). To
large extent, these demographic changes reflected a changing economic
geography of Europe (Champion et al., 1996).
1
Most EU Member States and European Free Trade Association (EFTA) States are subject
to the EU’s Family Reunification Directive. However, Denmark, Iceland, Ireland, Norway,
Switzerland and the UK permitted family reunification for refugees along similar lines, but
with extra requirements (UNHCR, 2015).
4 D. RAUHUT ET AL.
MARYLAND.
Nov. 27th, 1860. Gov. Hicks declined to call a special session of the
Legislature, in response to a request for such convening from
Thomas G. Pratt, Sprigg Harwood, J. S. Franklin, N. H. Green,
Llewellyn Boyle, and J. Pinkney.
December 19th. Gov. Hicks replied to A. H. Handy, Commissioner
from Mississippi, declining to accept the programme of Secession.
20th. Wm. H. Collins, Esq., of Baltimore, issued an address to the
people, in favor of the Union, and in March a second address.
31st. The “Clipper” denied the existence of an organization in
Maryland to prevent the inauguration of President Lincoln.
A. H. Handy of Mississippi addressed citizens of Baltimore in favor
of disunion.
January 3d, 1861. Henry Winter Davis issued an address in favor
of the Union.
3d. Numerous Union meetings in various part of the State. Gov.
Hicks issued an address to the people against secession.
11th. John C. Legrand in a letter to Hon. Reverdy Johnson replied
to the Union speech of the latter.
14th. James Carroll, former Democratic candidate for Governor,
announced his desire to go with the seceding States.
16th. Wm. A. Spencer, in a letter to Walter S. Cox, Esq., declared
against the right of Secession but for a Convention.
16. Marshal Kane, in a letter to Mayor Berrett, denied that any
organization exists to prevent the inauguration of President Lincoln,
and said that the President elect would need no armed escort in
passing through or sojourning within the limits of Baltimore and
Maryland.
24th. Coleman Yellott declared for a Convention.
30th. Messrs. John B. Brooke, President of the Senate, and E. G.
Kilbourn, Speaker of the House of Delegates, asked the Governor to
convene the Legislature in response to public meetings. Senator
Kennedy published his opinion that Maryland must go with Virginia.
February 18th. State Conference Convention held, and insisted
upon a meeting of the Legislature. At a meeting in Howard Co.,
which Speaker E. G. Kilbourn addressed, a resolution was adopted
that “immediate steps ought to be taken for the establishment of a
Southern Confederacy, by consultation and co-operation with such
other Southern and Slave States as may be ready therefor.”
April 21st. Gov. Hicks wrote to Gen. Butler, advising that he do not
land his troops at Annapolis. Butler replied that he intended to land
there and march thence to Washington. Gov. Hicks protested against
this and also against his having taken forcible possession of the
Annapolis and Elkridge railroad.
24th. A special election of ten delegates to the Legislature took
place at Baltimore. The total vote cast in all the wards was 9,249. The
total vote cast at the Presidential election in November, 1860, was
30,148.
26th. Legislature reassembled at Frederick, Annapolis being
occupied by Union troops.
29th. Gov. Hicks sent a message to the Legislature communicating
to them the correspondence between himself and Gen. Butler and
the Secretary of War relative to the landing of troops at Annapolis.
The House of Delegates voted against Secession, 53 to 13. Senate
unanimously.
May 2d. The Committee on Federal Relations, “in view of the
seizure of the railroads by the General Government and the erection
of fortifications,” presented resolutions appointing Commissioners to
the President to ascertain whether any becoming arrangements with
the General Government are practicable, for the maintenance of the
peace and honor of the State and the security of its inhabitants. The
report was adopted, and Otho Scott, Robt. M. McLane, and Wm. J.
Ross were appointed such Commissioners.
Mr. Yellott in the Senate introduced a bill to appoint a Board of
Public Safety. The powers given to the Board included the
expenditure of the two millions of dollars proposed by Mr. Brune for
the defence of the State, and the entire control of the military,
including the removal and appointment of commissioned officers. It
was ordered to a second reading by a vote of 14 to 8. The Board was
to consist of Ezekiel F. Chambers, Enoch Louis Lowe, John V. L.
MacMahon, Thomas G. Pratt, Walter Mitchell, and Thomas Winans.
Gov. Hicks was made ex-officio a member of the Board. This
measure was strongly pressed by the Disunionists for a long time,
but they were finally compelled to give way, and the bill never
passed.
6th. The Commissioners reported the result of their interview with
the President, and expressed the opinion that some modification of
the course of the General Government towards Maryland ought to be
expected.
10th. The House of Delegates passed a series of resolutions
reported by the Committee on Federal Relations by a vote of 43 to 12.
The resolutions declare that Maryland protests against the war, and
does earnestly beseech and implore the President of the United
States to make peace with the “Confederate” States; also, that “the
State of Maryland desires the peaceful and immediate recognition of
the independence of the Confederate States.” Those who voted in the
negative are Messrs. Medders, Lawson, Keene, Routzahn, Naill,
Wilson of Harford, Bayless, McCoy, Fiery, Stake, McCleary, and
Gorsuch.
13th. Both Houses adopted a resolution providing for a committee
of eight members, (four from each House) to visit the President of
the United States and the President of the Southern Confederacy.
The committee to visit President Davis were instructed to convey the
assurance that Maryland sympathizes with the Confederate States,
and that the people of Maryland are enlisted with their whole hearts
on the side of reconciliation and peace.
June 11th. Messrs. McKaig, Yellott and Harding, Commissioners to
visit President Davis, presented their report; accompanying which is
a letter from Jefferson Davis, expressing his gratification to hear that
the State of Maryland was in sympathy with themselves, was enlisted
on the side of peace and reconciliation, and avowing his perfect
willingness for a cessation of hostilities, and a readiness to receive
any proposition for peace from the United States Government.
20th. The House of Delegates, and June 22d, the Senate adopted
resolutions unqualifiedly protesting against the arrest of Ross
Winans and sundry other citizens of Maryland, as an “oppressive and
tyrannical assertion and exercise of military jurisdiction within the
limits of Maryland, over the persons and property of her citizens, by
the Government of the United States.”
MISSOURI.
South Carolina.
To Alabama, A. P. Calhoun.
To Georgia, James L. Orr, Ex-M. C.
To Florida, L. W. Spratt.
To Mississippi, M. L. Bonham, Ex-M. C.
To Louisiana, J. L. Manning.
To Arkansas, A. C. Spain.
To Texas, J. B. Kershaw.
To Virginia, John S. Preston.
Alabama.
Georgia.
Mississippi.
South Carolina.
Alabama.
W. P. Chilton.
Stephen F. Hale.
David P. Lewis.
Thomas Fearn.
Richard W. Walker.
Robert H. Smith.
Colin J. McRae.
John Gill Shorter.
J. L. M. Curry, Ex-M. C.
Florida.
Mississippi.
W. S. Wilson.
Wiley P. Harris, Ex-M. C.
James T. Harrison.
Walter Brooke, Ex-U. S. Senator.
William S. Barry, Ex-M. C.
A. M. Clayton.
Georgia.
Louisiana.
Duncan F. Kenner.
Charles M. Conrad, Ex-U. S. Senator.
Henry Marshall.
John Perkins, jr.
G. E. Sparrow.
E. De Clouet.
Texas.