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Full download Climate Change: Observed Impacts on Planet Earth 3rd Edition Trevor M. Letcher (Editor) file pdf all chapter on 2024
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CLIMATE CHANGE
THIRD EDITION
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CLIMATE
CHANGE
OBSERVED IMPACTS ON PLANET
EARTH
THIRD EDITION
Edited by
TREVOR M. LETCHER
Emeritus Professor, School of Chemistry, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
Elsevier
Radarweg 29, PO Box 211, 1000 AE Amsterdam, Netherlands
The Boulevard, Langford Lane, Kidlington, Oxford OX5 1GB, United Kingdom
50 Hampshire Street, 5th Floor, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States
Copyright © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or
mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without
permission in writing from the publisher. Details on how to seek permission, further information about the
Publisher’s permissions policies and our arrangements with organizations such as the Copyright Clearance
Center and the Copyright Licensing Agency, can be found at our website: www.elsevier.com/permissions.
This book and the individual contributions contained in it are protected under copyright by the Publisher
(other than as may be noted herein).
Notices
Knowledge and best practice in this field are constantly changing. As new research and experience broaden
our understanding, changes in research methods, professional practices, or medical treatment may become
necessary.
Practitioners and researchers must always rely on their own experience and knowledge in evaluating and
using any information, methods, compounds, or experiments described herein. In using such information or
methods they should be mindful of their own safety and the safety of others, including parties for whom
they have a professional responsibility.
To the fullest extent of the law, neither the Publisher nor the authors, contributors, or editors, assume any
liability for any injury and/or damage to persons or property as a matter of products liability, negligence or
otherwise, or from any use or operation of any methods, products, instructions, or ideas contained in the
material herein.
ISBN: 978-0-12-821575-3
Contributors xi II
Preface to third edition xv
Tools used to investige and predict
climate change
I 3. Climate change through
Introduction Earth history
Jan Zalasiewicz and Mark Williams
1. Global warmingda complex situation
Trevor M. Letcher 1. Introduction 49
2. Climate models 50
1. Introduction 3 3. Long-term climate trends 51
2. The greenhouse effect and global warming 3 4. Early climate history 52
3. Feedback mechanisms to further increase the 5. Phanerozoic glaciations 54
heating of the planet 5 6. The Mesozoicdearly Cenozoic
4. Our present situation 5 greenhouse 55
5. Urgent action is required 7 7. Development of the Cenozoic
6. Global warming, climate change, and the new icehouse 56
pandemicdCOVID-19 8 8. Astronomical modulation of climate 57
7. Why is the world so slow in overcoming global 9. Milankovitch cyclicity in Quaternary
warming? 9 (Pleistocene) climate history 57
8. Social and ethical impacts of climate change 12 10. Quaternary sub-Milankovitch
9. What can we do? 13 cyclicity 59
10. Conclusion 16 11. The Holocene 59
References 16 12. Climate of the Anthropocene 60
13. Conclusions 61
2. Greenhouse gases and the emerging References 61
climate emergency
Richard Tuckett 4. Numerical modeling of the global
climate and carbon cycle system
1. Introduction 19 Chris D. Jones
2. Myths about the greenhouse effect 21
3. Origin of the greenhouse effect: “primary” and 1. Introduction 67
“secondary” effects 23 2. Numerical modeling for climate and the earth
4. The physical properties of greenhouse gases 29 system 68
5. Interpretation of data for the properties of 3. Modeling the global carbon
greenhouse gases 33 cycle 78
6. What has changed in the past decade? 36 4. Summary and conclusions 84
Acknowledgments 44 Glossary 85
References 44 References 86
v
vi CONTENTS
21. Marine biodiversity and climate change 4. Evidence that plant disease patterns have changed
Boris Worm and Heike K. Lotze due to climate change 505
Acknowledgments 510
1. Introduction 445 References 510
2. Climate change in the oceans 446
3. Effects of climate change on marine 25. Invasive plants and climate change
biodiversity 446 Anna Turbelin and Jane A. Catford
4. Cumulative impacts and indirect effects of climate
change 456 1. Introduction 515
5. Biodiversity as insurance against climate change 2. A brief introduction into plant
impacts 458 invasions 516
6. Conclusions 459 3. How can climate change influence plant invasion
Acknowledgments 459 success? 520
References 459 4. Current and projected levels of plant invasions
under climate change 526
22. Intertidal indicators of climate and 5. Can plant invasions influence climate change?
global change 530
Nova Mieszkowska
6. Conclusion 531
References 532
1. Introduction 465
2. Climate change and biogeography 466 26. Biological diversity and
3. Mechanisms and microclimate 474 climate change
4. Additional impacts of global change 476 Rik Leemans, Sarahi Nunez, and Rob Alkemade
5. Conclusions 477
Acknowledgments 478 1. Introduction 541
References 478 2. A quick history of biodiversity impact
assessments 543
23. Lichens as an indicator of climate and 3. Observed changes in biodiversity 544
global change 4. Future changes in biodiversity 545
André Aptroot, Norbert J. Stapper, Alica Kosuthová, and
5. IPCC's reason for concern diagram 549
Kok (C.M.) van Herk 6. Are the Paris Accords effective to protect
biodiversity? 552
1. Introduction 483 7. Conclusions 553
2. Predicted effects 484 References 554
3. Observed effects 485
4. Uncertain effects 492 27. The role of forests in the carbon cycle
5. Habitats with vulnerable lichens 493 and in climate change
References 495 Matthew D. Hurteau
7. Cosmic rays/space factors and global 5. Engineering and the carbon cycle 778
warming 754 6. Nutrient engineering 787
8. The influence of asteroids and great meteorites 7. Albedo engineering 789
impacts on the Earth’s climate 759 8. Engineering-based decision-making 791
9. The influence of nearby supernova on the Earth’s References 795
climate 760 Further reading 796
10. Discussion and conclusions 760
References 764 35. Societal adaptation to climate change
Daniel A. Vallero
1. Introduction 799
V 2. Risk and vulnerability 801
Societal aspects of global change 3. Disease occurrence and transmission 801
4. Ocean and large-scale surface water changes 805
34. Engineering aspects of 5. Resilience 808
6. Extreme events 810
climate change 7. Food and water supply 811
Daniel A. Vallero
8. Conclusions 813
References 814
1. Introduction 771
2. The role of the engineer 771
3. Global greenhouse gases 774 Index 817
4. Engineering aspects of the “spheres” 775
Contributors
Rob Alkemade Environmental Systems Analy- Martin Edwards Marine Biological Association,
sis Group, Wageningen University and Plymouth, United Kingdom; Marine Institute,
Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands; PBL University of Plymouth, Plymouth, United
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Kingdom
Agency, The Hague, The Netherlands P.D. Esker Department of Plant Pathology and
André Aptroot Laboratório de Botânica, Lique- Environmental Microbiology, Penn State Uni-
nologia, Instituto de Biociências, Universidade versity, University Park, PA, United States
Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Campo Wolfgang Fiedler Department of Migration and
Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil Immuno-Ecology, Max Planck Institute of An-
Martin J. Attrill School of Biological and Marine imal Behavior, Radolfzell, Germany; Depart-
Sciences, Marine Institute, Plymouth Univer- ment of Biology, University of Konstanz,
sity, Drake Circus, Plymouth, United Kingdom Konstanz, Germany
Jonathan Bamber Bristol Glaciology Centre, Helen S. Findlay Plymouth Marine Laboratory,
University of Bristol, School of Geographical Plymouth, United Kingdom
Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom Nicola L. Foster School of Biological and Marine
Jane A. Catford Department of Geography, Sciences, Marine Institute, Plymouth Univer-
Kings College London, London, United sity, Drake Circus, Plymouth, United Kingdom
Kingdom Jennifer Francis Woodwell Climate Research
Shabtai Cohen Department of Environmental Center, Falmouth, MA, United States
Physics and Irrigation, Institute of Soil, Water K.A. Garrett Plant Pathology Department, Food
and Environmental Sciences, Agricultural Systems Institute, Emerging Pathogens Insti-
Research Organization, The Volcani Centre, tute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL,
Rishon LeZion, Israel United States; Department of Plant Pathology,
Anne Sophie Daloz Center for International Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS,
Climate Research (CICERO), Oslo, Norway United States
E.D. De Wolf Department of Plant Pathology, Ed Garrett Department of Environment and
Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS, Geography, University of York, Heslington,
United States York, United Kingdom
Lev I. Dorman Cosmic Ray and Space Weather Roland Gehrels Department of Environment
Centre with Emilio Segrè Observatory on Mt and Geography, University of York, Hesling-
Hermon, affiliated to Tel Aviv University (city ton, York, United Kingdom
Tel Aviv), Ariel University (city Ariel), Shamir L. Gomez-Montano Department of Plant Pa-
Research Institute (city Katsrin), and Israel thology, Kansas State University, Manhattan,
Space Agency of the Ministry of Science (city KS, United States
Tel Aviv), Israel; Cosmic Ray Department of
Patricia Handmann GEOMAR Helmholtz Cen-
Pushkov’s IZMIRAN Russian Academy of
tre for Ocean Research, Kiel, Germany
Science, Moscow, Russia
xi
xii CONTRIBUTORS
Jim Haywood University of Exeter and Met Nova Mieszkowska School of Environmental
Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool,
Regine Hock Department of Geosciences, Uni- United Kingdom; Marine Biological Associa-
versity of Oslo, Oslo, Norway; Geophysical tion of the UK, The Laboratory, Citadel Hill,
Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fair- Plymouth, United Kingdom
banks, AK, United States Julian B. Murton Department of Geography,
Matthew D. Hurteau Department of Biology, University of Sussex, Brighton, United
University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, Kingdom
United States M. Nita School of Plant and Environmental
Matthias Huss Swiss Federal Institute for For- Sciences, Virginia Tech, AHS Jr. AREC, Win-
est, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), chester, VA, United States
Birmensdorf, Switzerland; Laboratory of Hy- Sarahi Nunez Environmental Systems Analysis
draulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), Group, Wageningen University and Research,
ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland; Department Wageningen, The Netherlands
of Geosciences, University of Fribourg, Fri- Shannon L. Pelini Department of Life Sciences,
bourg, Switzerland Bowling Green State University, Bowling
Chris D. Jones Met Office Hadley Centre, Exe- Green, OH, United States
ter, United Kingdom Deepa S. Pureswaran Canadian Forest Service,
Torsten Kanzow Alfred Wegener Institute, Laurentian Forestry Centre, Quebec City, QC,
Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Canada
Research, Bremerhaven, Germany; Bremen Thomas Reichler Department of Atmospheric
University, Bremen, Germany Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City,
Alica Kosuthová Department of Botany, Swed- UT, United States
ish Museum of Natural History, Stockholm, Nathalie Schaller Center for International Cli-
Sweden mate Research (CICERO), Oslo, Norway
Rattan Lal Carbon Management and Seques- David Schroeder Centre for Polar Observation
tration Center, The Ohio State University, Co- and Modelling, Department of Meteorology,
lumbus, OH, United States University of Reading, Reading, United
Rik Leemans Environmental Systems Analysis Kingdom
Group, Wageningen University and Research, Clemens Schwingshackl Center for Interna-
Wageningen, The Netherlands tional Climate Research (CICERO), Oslo,
Trevor M. Letcher University of KwaZulu- Norway
Natal, Durban, South Africa; Laurel House, Jana Sillmann Center for International Climate
Stratton on the Fosse, United Kingdom Research (CICERO), Oslo, Norway
Heike K. Lotze Biology Department, Dalhousie A.H. Sparks University of Southern Queens-
University, Halifax, NS, Canada land, Centre for Crop Health, Toowoomba,
Lucas J. Lourens Department of Earth Sciences, QLD, Australia
Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Gerald Stanhilly Department of Environmental
Utrecht, The Netherlands Physics and Irrigation, Institute of Soil, Water
Audrey M. Maran Department of Life Sciences, and Environmental Sciences, Agricultural
Bowling Green State University, Bowling Research Organization, The Volcani Centre,
Green, OH, United States Rishon LeZion, Israel
y
Deceased May 3, 2019. Gerald Stanhill was a pioneer of Agricultural Meteorology, and his major
contribution to global dimming is part of his legacy.
CONTRIBUTORS xiii
Norbert J. Stapper Büro für Ökologische Stud- Kok (C.M.) van Herk Lichenologisch Onder-
ien, Monheim am Rhein, Germany zoeksbureau Nederland, Soest, The Netherlands
Georgiy Stenchikov King Abdullah University Martin Visbeck GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre
of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Makkah, for Ocean Research, Kiel, Germany; Kiel Uni-
Saudi Arabia versity, Kiel, Germany
Martin Stendel Department of Climate and Peter Wadhams Department of Applied Math-
Arctic Research, Danish Meteorological Insti- ematics and Theoretical Physics, University of
tute, Copenhagen, Denmark Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Peter Thorne ICARUS Climate Research Centre, Rachel White Department of Earth, Ocean and
Department of Geography, Maynooth Univer- Atmospheric Sciences, University of British
sity, Maynooth, Ireland Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
Richard Tuckett School of Chemistry, Univer- Mark Williams School of Geography, Geology
sity of Birmingham, Birmingham, United and the Environment, University of Leicester,
Kingdom Leicester, United Kingdom
Anna Turbelin Department of Geography, Paul D. Williams Department of Meteorology,
Kings College London, London, United King- University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
dom; Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, Agro- Tim Woollings Department of Physics, Univer-
ParisTech, Ecologie Systématique Evolution, sity of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Orsay, France
Boris Worm Biology Department, Dalhousie
Carol Turley Plymouth Marine Laboratory, University, Halifax, NS, Canada
Plymouth, United Kingdom
Jan Zalasiewicz School of Geography, Geology
Daniel A. Vallero Pratt School of Engineering, and the Environment, University of Leicester,
Duke University, Durham, NC, United States Leicester, United Kingdom
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Preface to Third Edition
Since the first and second editions of This book, like the earlier edition, is not
Climate Change: Observed Impacts on Planet intended to compete with the Intergovern-
Earth were published in 2009 and 2016, the mental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) re-
evidence of a changing climate has become ports but offers support through a different
even more apparent. As a result, the time approach. Many of the authors were not
had come to put these new developments involved in recent assessments of the IPCC,
into a new book. This, together with the and here they present fresh evaluations of
interest shown in the first two editions, has the evidence testifying to a problem that was
culminated in the third edition of Climate described by Sir David King in the first edi-
Change. Many new chapters have been tion as the most severe calamity our civili-
added, and chapters for the first edition have zation has yet to face.
been updated to highlight new evidence that Unlike other books of similar title, this book
our climate is changing. The third edition has the advantage that the chapters have once
will have 35 chapters of which 11 will be again each been written by world-class scien-
new topics and new authors. tists and engineers working in their respective
The evidence that our climate is warming fields. As a result, the new volume presents a
is overwhelming. This evidence comes not balanced picture across the whole spectrum of
only from land and sea surface temperature climate change. With this lineup of authorita-
records but also from indicators such as the tive and well-researched topics, any doubts
coverage of Arctic sea icedall of which, and about whether climate change is taking place or
much more, is discussed in this book. Most not will be immediately dispelled on reading
scientists in the world now accept that this book.
anthropogenic activities and specifically the The new edition is divided into five
emissions of greenhouse gases are respon- sections:
sible for the major part of the observed • Introduction
warming. May 9, 2013, was an auspicious • Tools Used to Investigate and Predict
day for the warming of the planet, when it Climate Change
was reported by both the National Oceanic • Indicators
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) • Other Possible Contributing Factors to
and the Scripps Institute of Oceanography Climate Change
that the daily mean concentration of CO2 in • Societal Aspects of Global Change
the atmosphere at Mauna Loa laboratory This edition contains 36 chapters as
exceeded 400 ppm (400 mmol/mol or 400 opposed to the 33 in the second edition and
106) for the first time in millions of years. It 25 in the first edition. The new chapters are
reached a maximum of 417 ppm on June 10, as follows:
2020. • Climate change: a complex problem
xv
xvi PREFACE TO THIRD EDITION
• Modeling of carbon and greenhouse gas global average regarded by many scientists
cycles in relation to climate change as the upper limit in temperature within the
• Loss of oxygen in the oceans and climate next 50 years. If we do not take action to halt
change this rise in temperature, we must expect the
• Permafrost and climate change serious consequences of extreme weather:
• The jet stream and climate change droughts, floods, sea level rises, winds, wild
• Extreme weather and climate change fires, excessive heat, unpredictable extreme
• Melting glaciers and climate change weather patterns, and storms. The book is a
• Insect communities and climate change clarion call to humans to take immediate
• Invasive plants and climate change action to reduce the amount of CO2 that we
• Biological diversity and climate change are pumping into the atmosphere, which
• The role of forests in the carbon cycle and arguably can best be accomplished by
climate change reducing our dependency on fossil fuels. We
The audience we hope to reach are policy must strive to stop burning coal and oil in
makers in local and central governments; our power stations with the ultimate aim of
students, teachers, researchers, professors, keeping most of the fossil fuel in the ground
scientists, engineers, and managers working and find new, renewable ways of producing
in fields related to climate change and future electricity and propelling our vehicles.
energy options; editors and newspaper re- The International System of Quantities (SI
porters responsible for informing the public; units) has been used throughout the book,
and the general public who need to be aware and where necessary, other units are given in
of the impending disasters that a warmer parentheses. Furthermore, the authors have
Earth will bring. A summary is provided at rigorously adhered to the IUPAC notation
the beginning of each chapter for those and spelling of physical quantities. For
interested in a brief synopsis, and copious example, the symbols for minute, hour, day,
references are provided for those wishing to and year are min, h, d, and a, respectively.
study each chapter topic in greater detail. Also, the relationship between a physical
The IPCC assessments have produced two quantity and its unit is given by physical
basic conclusions: firstly, that the current quantity ¼ number times unit, and by
climate changes are unequivocal, and sec- example temperature ¼ 270 K or rearranged
ondly, that this is largely due to the emission to give: 270 ¼ temperature/K. This rela-
of greenhouse gases resulting from human tionship makes the statement concerning
activity. This book reinforces these two con- units unambiguous.
clusions and the chapters on “Indicators” The book has an international flavor with
and on the “Other Possible Contributing the chapters written by authors from at least
Factors to Climate Change” are particularly 15 countries including Brazil, Canada,
relevant. Furthermore, the section on Denmark, Germany, Ireland, Israel, the
“Modeling” further supports these conclu- Netherlands, Norway, Russia, South Africa,
sions through simulations of past climate Spain, Sweden, the Kingdom of Saudi Ara-
changes and projections of future climate bia, the United Kingdom, and the United
changes. States.
Projections of our global warming indi- The success of the book ultimately rests
cate that the temperature will exceed the 2 C with the 60 authors and coauthors, and as
PREFACE TO THIRD EDITION xvii
editor, I should like to thank all of them for Robertson of Elsevier whose expertise
their cooperation and their highly valued, steered this book to its publication.
willing, and enthusiastic contributions. I
wish to thank my wife, Valerie Letcher, for Trevor M. Letcher
her help with difficult grammatical issues Laurel House, Fosse way, Stratton on the
and for help while I wrote and edited. Fosse, BA3 4QN, United Kingdom
Finally, my thanks are due to Naomi
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P A R T I
Introduction
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scampering away from us in every direction, possible and impossible,
by thousands—nay, by myriads. The bed was literally brown with
them; and ever, as we moved a limb, fresh gangs of latent devourers
fled from beneath, and scoured across the sheets. They had lost the
supernatural form our dreams had given them, and assumed the
more homely one of ordinary fleas—of fleas of all sizes from a pea to
a pin’s head! Old Nereus gave us some relief, for we rushed into his
arms as soon as doors could be opened, and bolts forced out of their
sockets; but, for many a long day after, we bore about us a vivid
impression of our visitants at Aberdaron.
Do not, therefore, venture to sleep in a Welsh cottage; nor scarcely
in a farm-house: trust yourself only to an inn,—your chances of
sound rest and an untenanted bed are at least more favourable there;
—but if ever you are benighted and forced to remain away from
headquarters, make up your mind fairly to bivouac it amid the fern
and the heather, or else sit up at your vigils by your host’s fire-side.
The chirping cricket and the purring cat shall then be your sole
companions.
We might detain you till doomsday with these “incidents of travel;”
but we shall leave you to make your own experiments;—yet, ere you
venture into the wilds of Taffyland, peruse and carry with you for
your use and edification the following:—
TRIADS FOR TRAVELLERS.
Three mountains that every body goes up: Snowdon, Cadair Idris,
and Penmaen Mawr.
Three mountains that nobody will repent going up: Holyhead
Mountain, Carn Madryn, and the Breiddin.
Three mountains that nobody goes up: Plinlimmon, Arrenig, and
Carnedd Llewelyn.
Three castles that every body sees: Caernarvon, Conwy, and
Harlech.
Three castles that every body ought to see: Beaumarais, Criccaeth,
and Denbigh.
Three castles that nobody sees: Flint, Dolwyddelan, and Castell
Prysor.
Three wells that every body should go and drink from: Holywell,
Wygfair, and Ffynnon Beuno.
The three great waterfalls of Caernarvonshire: Rhaiadr-y-Wenol,
the Falls of the Conwy, and the Falls of the Ogwen.
The three great waterfalls of Merionethshire: Pistill-y-Cain,
Rhaiadr-y-Mawddach, and Rhaiadr ddu.
The three grandest scenes in Wales: Llyn Idwal, Y-Glas Llyn, and
Pen-y-Cil.
The three sweetest scenes in North Wales: Beddgelert, Tan-y-
Bwlch, and the Banks of the Menai.
The three beautiful lakes: Llyn Gwynant, Llyn Peris, and Llyn
Tegid.
Three vales that every body ought to see: the Vale of Ffestiniog, the
Vale of Llanrwst, and the Vale of Dolgelly.
The three rich vales: the Vale of the Clwyd, the Vale of the Dee, and
the Vale of the Severn.
Three passes that every body ought to go through: the Pass of
Llanberis, the Pass of Pont Aberglaslyn, and the Pass of Nantfrancon.
Three good pools for anglers: Llyn Tegid, Lyn Ogwen, and Llyn
Cwlid.
Three good rivers for fishermen: the Dee, the Conwy, and the
Vyrniw.
The three finest abbeys of North Wales: Valle Crucis, Cymmer, and
Basingwerk.
The three finest churches in North Wales: Wrexham, Gresford,
and Mold.
The three bridges of North Wales: Conwy Bridge, Menai Bridge,
and Llanrwst Bridge.
Three out-of-the-way places that people should go to: Aberdaron,
Amlwch, and Dinas Mowddwy.
Three islands that are worth visiting; Puffin Island, Bardsey
Island, and the South Stack.
Three places that no man dares go to the end of; Twll Du in the
Llidr, Cilan Point in Llyn, and Sarn Badric off Barmouth.
Three things that nobody knows the end of; a Welchman’s
pedigree, a Welchwoman’s tongue, and the landlord’s bill at ——.
Three things, without which no pedestrian should adventure into
Wales; a stout pair of shoes, a light wallet, and a waterproof cape.
(Some learned travellers have proposed to substitute “stick” for
“wallet” in this Triad, but the fact is that, when you go to Wales, you
may cut your stick.)
The three companions of the Welsh tourist; a telescope, a sketch
book, and a fishing rod.
The three luxuries of travelling in Wales; a stout pony, a pleasant
companion, and plenty of money.
Three things which, who ever visits Wales, is sure to take away
with him; worn-out shoes, a shocking bad hat, and a delightful
recollection of the country.
Three things without which no man can enjoy travelling in Wales;
good health, good spirits, and good humour.
The three nastiest things in Wales; buttermilk, cwrw dda, and
bacon and eggs.
Three things that the tourist should. not do; travel in the dark—
wait in doors because it may be a rainy day—and try and keep his feet
dry.
The three qualifications for properly pronouncing the Welsh
language; a cold in the head, a knot in the tongue, and a husk of
barley in the throat.
The three languages which a man may speak in Wales when he
does not know Welsh: that of the Chinese, that of the Cherokees, and
that of the Houhnyhms.
The three languages which will carry a man all over Wales without
knowing a word of Welsh; that of the arms, that of the eyes, and that
of the pocket—Farewell! dear reader, nos-dda-wch!
LIFE AND TIMES OF LORD HARDWICKE.[20]
It may fairly be presumed that a laugh went round the table; but
Powis was so fully convinced that he had hit upon the true reason,
that on meeting Yorke some months after, he inquired gravely about
the progress of his volume.
However, Powis seems to have been a mark for the wits, as we find
by some lines on the Bench, by the memorable Duke of Wharton:—
“When Powis sums up a cause without a blunder;
And honest Price shall trim and truckle under;
When Eyre his haughtiness shall lay aside,
And Tracy’s generous soul shall swell with pride,
Then will I cease my charmer to adore,
And think of love and politics no more.”
Yorke was now beginning to feel his way in his profession; and if
poverty had been his original stimulus, he had a fair prospect of
exchanging it for wealth. The dictum of Thurlow on this subject is
proverbial. When asked by some friend to advise his son as to “the
way he should go” to rise at the bar, that rough functionary said, “Let
him spend all his fortune—then marry, and spend his wife’s fortune;
and then let him return to his books, and he may have some chance
of business.”
But Yorke, without spending either his or his wife’s fortune, had
already taken the first step to official distinction by entering
Parliament, May 2, 1719. He was chosen member for Lewes in
Sussex. The simplicity of this transaction affords a curious contrast
to the performances of the present day. The Duke of Newcastle sent a
letter to the “free and independent electors,” evidently directing
them to elect his friend Mr Yorke. The letter was duly answered by
an address from one hundred and thirty-two electors, in this style:—
“We, whose names are hereunto subscribed, the constables and
inhabitants of the borough of Lewes, having heard your Grace’s letter
publicly read, do not only herein return your Grace our hearty thanks
for the honour you have done us in recommending so fit a person as
Mr Yorke, to serve as one of our representatives in parliament for
this town, for the present vacancy, but also beg leave to assure your
Grace, that we do unanimously and entirely approve of him, and
shall be ready on all occasions to show the regard we have to the
favour your Grace has pleased to lay upon us.