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Trump and the
Remaking of American
Grand Strategy
The Shift from Open
Door Globalism to
Economic Nationalism
Bastiaan van Apeldoorn
Jaša Veselinovič
Naná de Graaff
Trump and the Remaking of American
Grand Strategy
Bastiaan van Apeldoorn · Jaša Veselinovič ·
Naná de Graaff
Trump
and the Remaking
of American
Grand Strategy
The Shift from Open Door Globalism
to Economic Nationalism
Bastiaan van Apeldoorn Jaša Veselinovič
Political Science and Public Political Science
Administration Freie Universität Berlin
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Berlin, Germany
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Naná de Graaff
Political Science and Public
Administration
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer
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Acknowledgements
v
Contents
1 Introduction 1
References 5
2 Theorizing Trump: A Critical Political Economy
Approach 7
IR Theory at a Loss? The Puzzle of Trump’s Foreign Policy 9
IR Debates on the Nature of Trump’s Foreign Policy 9
IR Explanations of Trump’s Foreign Policy? 14
Structure and Agency in US Grand Strategy:
A Elite-Theoretical Perspective Grounded in Critical
Political Economy 18
References 24
3 American Grand Strategy Before Trump: The History
and Nature of Open Door Globalism 33
The Open Door from the End of the Nineteenth Century
Until the End of the Cold War 35
The First Wave of American Expansionism: From
the Open Door Notes to Wilson’s Liberal Internationalism 36
The Second Wave and the Start of the Third Wave
of American Expansionism: The Cold War Years 38
The Open Door in the Post-Cold War Era: The Clinton,
Bush, and Obama Presidencies 41
The Open Door Under Clinton 41
vii
viii CONTENTS
xi
xii LIST OF FIGURES
Introduction
Abstract This chapter introduces our study of how and why Trump
remade American grand strategy. The in-many-ways unprecedented
foreign policy of Donald Trump has—despite a vast literature—thus far
not been subjected to much explanatory analysis. Using an original analyt-
ical model informed by critical political economy and based upon unique
empirical and social network analysis of Trump’s foreign policy-making
elite, this study makes a novel contribution by both assessing the nature
of Trump’s foreign policy and offering a comprehensive explanation of
what we argue to be a significant and probably enduring Trumpian shift
towards a neo-mercantilist economic nationalism. This study explains
this shift both in terms of foreign policy-makers’ embeddedness in elite
networks, and by placing their agency within the changing global and
domestic context.
There are many firsts when it comes to Donald Trump and his pres-
idency. Significantly, as we are writing this, he has just been arrested
in New York for covering up the payment of hush money to a former
porn star and thereby violating federal election law—the first time in
the extent of its embeddedness in wider elite networks—but also puts that
elite agency within a wider social and political context, thereby integrating
structure and agency and emphasizing their interaction over time.
Seeking to assess and explain continuity and change in US foreign
policy generally we focus not on the day-to-day foreign policy-making
but on what is called grand strategy, or what can be viewed as the
“highest” level of foreign policy representing a comprehensive vision of
the state’s critical “interests” and the overarching and long-term goals
following from that, and how best to promote and achieve those goals
(Layne, 2006, p. 13). Never entirely consistent in its concrete applica-
tions, grand strategy cannot fully account for all individual foreign policy
decisions, which are often also influenced by other, contingent factors,
or indeed related to the idiosyncrasies of individual presidents (not just
in Trump’s case). But grand strategy does inform the general direction
of foreign policy-making. It is from this perspective that this study will
analyse Trump’s foreign policy: examining its general outlook and direc-
tion, rather than in any way attempt to examine its many different policy
decisions across sectors and regions in a detailed way.
We do not claim that Trump and his (often internally divided) team
in the four years that he had been in office were able to articulate a
fully fledged grand strategy of their own, let alone pursue such a strategy
consistently. What we do claim is that Trump—and quite consciously—
has succeeded in unmaking what has been America’s grand strategy since
at least World War II (and in many ways has origins much earlier). This
has been the strategy of what we call Open Door Globalism, a strategy of
economic expansionism through the promotion of open markets across
the globe and the institutionalization thereof (after 1945) into a US-
led liberal world order. And this unmaking Trump has done, we will
suggest at the end of this short book, in ways that have outlasted his presi-
dency, that at least in some significant ways endure under his successor Joe
Biden. In that sense, Trump most likely indeed has permanently remade
US foreign policy. Which makes it all the more important to explain this
historical rupture.
Our core argument is twofold. First, we argue that Trump has
broken with Open Door Globalism—both as a worldview and as a grand
strategy—in probably lasting ways by adopting an outlook and strategy
that can be best interpreted as a neo-mercantilist economic nationalism
based upon an “America first” redefinition of US sovereignty and national
interests. Second, we argue that we can explain this Trumpian shift in
4 B. VAN APELDOORN ET AL.
himself and some of his (future) advisers, interpreted the changing global
and domestic context through an economic nationalist “reading” of
the (geo)political conjuncture. Changing context alone cannot explain
changes in US foreign policy, which is why in Chapter 5 we analyse
the actual foreign policy-making actors interpreting and acting upon this
changing context, as based upon their ideas and interests, by mapping and
analysing the social networks of the administration’s top foreign policy-
makers, to identify the social sources of their agency and worldviews. In
contrast to previous presidencies, we find a clear lack of links between
Trump’s policymakers and what for decades has been a core feature of
the foreign policy establishment: its extensive and heavily overlapping
network of foreign policy think tanks and advocacy groups.
In Chapter 6 we analyse both the rhetoric and the evolving practice
of Trump’s foreign policy, to show how Trump’s foreign policy-makers
unmade Open Door Globalism and thereby remade American Grand
Strategy. While Trump’s presidency did not fully replace the Open Door
Globalist worldview with a coherent and fully developed alternative, we
identify a clear ideological shift towards a neo-mercantilist variety of
economic nationalism. Finally, in the Conclusion (Chapter 7), we summa-
rize the results of our research, reflect on the ways in which the Biden
presidency has not seen a return to Open Door Globalism but in fact
doubled down on some aspects of the economic nationalist strategy, and
indicate some avenues for further research.
References
Barnett, M. (2018). What is international relations theory good for? In R. Jervis,
F. J. Gavin, J. Rovner, & D. N. Labrosse (Eds.), Chaos in the liberal order: The
Trump presidency and international politics in the twenty-first century (pp. 8–
21). Columbia University Press.
De Graaff, N., & Van Apeldoorn, B. (2021). The transnationalist US foreign-
policy elite in exile? A comparative network analysis of the Trump administra-
tion. Global Networks, 21(2), 238–264.
Layne, C. (2006). The peace of illusions: American grand strategy from 1940 to
the present. Cornell University Press.
Van Apeldoorn, B., & De Graaff, N. (2016). American grand strategy and
corporate elite networks: The Open Door since the end of the Cold War.
Routledge.
CHAPTER 2
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