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3. 2021_Articulo_3
3. 2021_Articulo_3
3. 2021_Articulo_3
Review
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Handling editor: Prof. Jiri Jaromir Klemeš The last two decades have witnessed a substantial increase in literature on the life cycle costing of Wastewater
treatment. Lack of commonly agreed methodology of life cycle costing resulted in the use of different frameworks
Keywords: and methodologies. Methods and approaches in conducting life cycle cost analysis are also evolving, and a
Economic assessment gradual shift from conventional to environmental and societal life cycle costing is witnessed in the last decade.
Lifecycle cost analysis
However, a detailed systematic review of methods and approaches of life cycle costing in Wastewater treatment
Life cycle assessment
is still lacking. A comprehensive and systematic review provides an opportunity to record existing development
Systematic literature review
Cost breakdown structure in the field and identify areas where more research is needed. For this purpose, this paper systematically reviews
Uncertainty the literature on the life cycle cost analysis of wastewater treatment, focusing on purpose, approach, method
ology, integration with life cycle assessment, cost estimation, and dealing with uncertainty. The analysis of 83
identified case studies indicated that most of the studies are conducting for affordability and comparative
analysis. A gradual shift from conventional to environmental life cycle cost analysis is also observed. 44% of the
studies are integrated with Life cycle assessment through different methods. However, in these integrated
studies, life cycle cost analysis is used as a secondary tool to supplement the life cycle assessment. Analytical and
statistical methods are generally used for cost estimation. Deterministic methods are most common to deal with
uncertainties. Based on the comprehensive review of case studies, it is suggested that future research should aim
at developing a framework for life cycle cost analysis that could consider and allocate all costs associated with
the Wastewater treatment process.
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: ilyas@kiu.edu.pk (M. Ilyas), freselam@ump.edu.my (F.M. Kassa), mridzuand@ump.edu.my (M.R. Darun).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.127549
Received 21 July 2020; Received in revised form 14 May 2021; Accepted 15 May 2021
Available online 20 May 2021
0959-6526/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
Within the field of WWT, LCCA and LCA were first applied in the late a logical conclusion. Therefore, a visual examination of the contents of
nineteens. Since then, in the last two decades, there has been an the articles needs to be done (Ke et al., 2009). Further, the methodology
increasing volume of literature exploring the environmental and eco of scientific work should also be examined to prevent systematic errors
nomic analysis of WWT technologies, plants, and processes. A variety of and biases to establish quality (Moheret al. 1995). To achieve this end,
methods and frameworks has been employed to analyze the economic well-designed, high-quality studies may be included, and inferior studies
and environmental impact of WWT. It is clear that LCCA is a valuable may be rejected. Alternatively, the effects of individual studies can be
tool to elucidate the broader economic impact of design, construction, weighted according to their position in the quality hierarchy. (Pullin and
and operation decisions; however, different methods and frameworks Stewart, 2006).
used in LCCA need to be thoroughly investigated to identify best prac Next is to summarize the evidence, which is carried out after identi
tices and state of the art. With the growing interest of researchers and fying relevant work and quality. Usually, data is summarized and clas
practitioners in the use of LCC in the WWT process, it is imperative to do sified in tables based on characteristics, themes, methodology, and
a comprehensive review of the methods, procedures, models, and quality. The application of statistical tools can also be used (Khan et al.,
practices. To the best of the author’s knowledge, to date, a compre 2003; Pullin and Stewart, 2006). Finally, the last step is interpreting the
hensive review on LCC of WWT processes does not exist. Therefore, this findings to reach a logical conclusion (Fig. 1).
paper aims to perform a systematic review of case studies in the field of
LCC of WWT. 3. Results
In this backdrop, this study adopts a systematic review technique
recommended by (Khan et al., 2003). The focus of this study is LCC 3.1. Framing research questions for review
approaches, methods, models, and its integration with LCA. Objectives
are: The central point of this review is to report and analyze general
trends in LCC regarding approaches, methodologies, cost estimation
1. To report the general trends in life cycle costing through a systematic techniques, LCC-LCA integration, and the way uncertainties are treated
review. The analysis shall cover Life cycle costing goals, approaches, in the analysis. The general research question being addressed in this
frameworks, methodologies, cost estimating techniques. review is “What are the general trends in life cycle costing in terms of
2. To identify and report methods for integrating economic and envi approaches, methodologies, cost estimating techniques, integration
ronmental impacts. with LCA, and dealing with uncertainties."
3. To explore the ways and means through which uncertainties are
addressed in LCCA. 3.1.1. Scoping the study
A crucial step in the systematic review process is to thoroughly
2. Methods define the scope of the research question (Armstrong et al., 2011). This
review aims to report general trends in LCC. Only economic aspects are
Above mentioned objectives are addressed through a systematic re discussed in this review. The economic aspect implies financial flows as
view proposed by (Adams et al., 2017; Khan et al., 2003; Lee et al., well as the monetary value attributed to social and environmental fac
2016). Systematic review is widely used in many applied disciplines for tors. The overall focus of this review is applied case studies. Theoretical
retrieving scientific information to facilitate the decision-making pro papers are not included in the review. Further, those cases are included,
cess. (Pullin and Stewart, 2006). Framework for a systematic review is which are mainly concerned with wastewater treatment (WWT). Few
fully developed in health sciences, and many other disciplines are also case studies from waste treatment, water treatment, and energy pro
using it due to its rigorous process and evidence-based analysis. The duction from WWT, which uses similar methods and technologies, are
purpose of using this method is to reduce subjectivity (Zamagni et al., also included in the review.
2012).
The first step in the systematic review is to develop clear and specific 3.1.2. Inclusion/exclusion criteria
research questions (Khan et al., 2003; Pullin and Stewart, 2006). The The selection of articles is based on the inclusion-exclusion criteria.
questions are critical to the process because they generate the literature The inclusion criteria are covering those articles which are published in
search terms and determine relevance criteria (Khan et al., 2001). The peer-review journals. Gray literature and articles written in languages
questions should be applied in nature to address policy and practice other than english are not included. Further, only case studies are
issues and, therefore, should be framed in consultation with industries considered for review (Table 1).
and practitioners (Pullin and Stewart, 2006). Developing a review pro Inclusion criteria were set, keeping in view quality parameters. A
tocol brings transparency and rigour to the study and can also serve as a total of 1600 papers were retrieved initially, and after applying quality
guideline for the reviewer by establishing inclusion and exclusion parameters, only 83 case studies were selected for detailed analysis.
criteria (Pullin and Stewart, 2006). Searching of keywords is also a
prerequisite to meet the requirements of the study (Ke et al., 2009). 3.1.3. Identifying search key words
The second step is to identify relevant work through relevant data The following keywords are identified for database search. “Life
sources (Khan et al., 2003). This is to be done through a systematic Cycle Costing”, Life Cycle Cost analysis"," LCC”, “Life Cycle cost AND
search in all possible databases, articles, journals, and periodicals. The framework”, “Life cycle cost AND estimation”, “Cost Estimation Tech
widest possible range of sources should be considered to capture infor niques”, “Cost Estimation Relation”, “Life Cycle Cost AND Case studies”,
mation (Pullin and Stewart, 2006). There should be a logical link be “Life Cycle Cost AND Wastewater Treatment”, “Life cycle cost analysis
tween the articles selected and the research questions. Consequently, AND Waste treatment".
data search should flow from research questions (Khan et al., 2003). The
preliminary search involves searching through keywords, abstracts, and 3.2. Identification of relevant work
titles (Lee et al., 2016). These keywords are used in identified journal
databases (Ke et al., 2009). LCC was originally designed by the US Department of Defense (DoD)
The third step is to assess the quality of relevant research studies to for the procurement of military equipment. LCC is predominantly used
ensure academic rigour and precision. (Khan et al., 2003). For analysis in military and construction, but the adaptation of the LCC method by
of relevant articles, quality assessment is an essential requirement to other industries and sectors is gaining momentum, resulting in the
move further. A preliminary search is required to be filtered (Lee et al., proliferation of literature across various fields of studies. Hence the use
2016). A broad-spectrum of themes need to be narrowed down to reach of “Life cycle cost” or “Life Cycle Cost Analysis” as the keyword in a
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M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
search engine generates a plethora of literature. Korpi and Ala-Risku To ensure the quality of selected case studies inclusion criteria were
(2008) also noted that literature on LCC is quite fragmented and used set keeping in view quality parameters. Visual examination of the con
databases to identify LCC case studies instead of journals. tents of papers is conducted by authors and papers were filtered keeping
in view inclusion criteria. Methods used in papers were assessed for their
3.2.1. Selection of databases quality and those papers were included in the review which takes a life
Web of Sciences and Scopus are chosen for journal article search for cycle view and includes acquisition and operation cost over the lifespan
their broader coverage of peer-reviewed articles. Google scholar is also of the process and employs dynamic or quasi dynamic models for eco
utilized for the identification of additional case studies on the LCC of nomic analysis. Only peer-reviewed case studies on LCC of WWT pub
WWTPs. lished after 2000 are reported in this study. Introductions, book reviews,
forums, editorials, discussions, and standards are reviewed but not re
3.2.2. Perform preliminary search ported and finally, 83 case studies are selected for detailed analysis.
A preliminary search was carried out through keywords in Web of
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M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
Important themes identified for analysis and synthesis are (1) pur 4.1. Purpose of study
pose of LCC analysis; (2) LCC approach; (3) Integration with LCA; (4)
Type of integration; (5) Cost estimation techniques and data collection; LCC was initially designed to assist decision making for procurement
(6) Cost aggregation, lifespan and discounting; (7) Comparison of cost purposes from the client’s point of view (Korpi and Ala-Risku, 2008).
categories and technologies; (8) Uncertainty analysis. The Discussion The purpose and nature of LCC depend on the product and process under
section revolves around a detailed analysis and synthesis of these consideration. Smit (2012) mentioned that LCC can be used in different
themes. ways and is useful in a wide range of applications such as alternative
solutions and source selection, evaluating affordability of a process,
3.4.1. Time span managing and controlling the current budget, developing a profile of
Case studies that are examined range from 2000 to 2020. The reason future expenditures, analyzing cost reduction opportunities, assessing
for 2000 as a starting year is because, before 2000, a full-scale LCC in areas of financial risks and uncertainties and improving processes of the
WWT was not conducted. The first LCC study in WWT was reported in organization (Barringer et al., 1995; Korpi and Ala-Risku, 2008). clas
1997. Most of the case studies are conducted in the last five years (63%). sified LCC on the bases of purpose into the following categories:
From Fig. 2, it is clear that there is an increasing trend in conducting LCC Affordability studies measure the impact of LCC on budget and
case studies. Further, it is pertinent to mention that case studies pub operations.
lished in the last five years are integrated with LCA, which means that Source selection studies compare competing products/process based
environmental analysis is also carried out along with economic analysis on LCC.
(Fig. 2). Design tradeoff studies evaluate the design aspect of process and plant
that impact LCC.
3.4.2. Distribution of case studies Repair level analysis quantifies maintenance demand and costs over
The review is primarily on WWT; however, few studies from water the life cycle of process or product.
treatment, waste treatment, and energy production from WWT, which Warranty and repair cost estimate the cost of failure of equipment
uses similar technologies and methods, are also included in the review. over the useful life.
72% of the total reviewed case studies are WWT. These case studies are Supplier sales strategy is conducted to give an overview to the clients
published in 43 different journals. Journal of Cleaner Production pub about operating costs and the initial cost of the product.
lished most of the cases on LCC (12 case studies) followed by Journal of Greene and Shaw (1990) provide several types of LCC, which include
Water, Science, and technology (6 case studies), Journal of water comparative analysis, cost-effectiveness analysis, maintenance concept
research (5 case studies), Journal of Resource, Conservation & Recycling analysis, LCC estimates for source selection, Trade studies, Cost-benefit
(4 case studies), Waste Management and Bio-resource technology (3 analysis, Repair level analysis, and provisioning analysis. Ratna Reddy
case studies each) (Fig. 3). et al. (2012) included service delivery as a potential purpose in the
sustainable development paradigm.
3.4.3. Distribution of cases across countries Classification of case studies is based on (Barringer et al., 1995; Korpi
Selected cases were conducted in 30 different countries. USA has the and Ala-Risku, 2008). As per classification, most of the case studies are
highest number of case studies (18), followed by China (10), India (6), comparative studies (45), followed by affordability studies (25), Design
South Korea (5), UK, Japan, and Spain (4 each). 2 cases did not specify tradeoff (11), and Repair level analysis (2) (Fig. 5).
the country (Fig. 4). It is pertinent to mention here that 84% of the case studies on WWT
LCC are conducted for planning and budgeting (affordability) or alter
4. Discussion: interpretation of the findings nate selection (comparative). No case study was conducted for source
selection, warranty & repair cost analysis, and supplier sales strategy.
Based on an extensive review of 83 case studies, different themes are The possible reason is that WWT is considered a public service rather
identified and presented in section 3. In this section, these themes are than a business venture. In typical manufacturing products usually, LCC
discussed in detail to find out and interpret relevant approaches, is conducted as a tool for source selection, or warranty & repair cost
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M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
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M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
enormous changes in its application and scope. Its application to other 4.3. Integration with LCA
sectors like construction, energy, and aircraft has increased. The meth
odology of LCC has also evolved over a period of time. Currently, the Out of 83 case studies, 44 (51.8%) have been integrated with LCA,
application of LCC is not restricted to source selection in purchases. It which triggered an interest to explore how these integrations are carried
has been used for design tradeoffs, optimization, planning, budgeting, out. Even though both LCC and LCA belong to the family of life cycle
repair level analysis, and as a marketing tool. approach, there are significant differences in their methodology and
Sustainable development practices have forced organizations to techniques. LCA is typically applied for environmental assessment and
focus on economic, environmental, and societal aspects and the conse accounting for the environmental impact of product and services. Its
quences of their product and services (Martinez-Sanchez et al., 2015). methodology is standardized and structured into four stages, which are
Academicians and practitioners are trying to integrate these three as i) Goal and Scope definition, ii) inventory analysis, iii) impact assess
pects of life cycle management. (Heijungs et al., 2013; Rebitzer et al., ment, and iv) interpretation (Barrios et al., 2008). Three different types
2003). of LCA’s used in case studies are Process-LCA, Economic-input output
SETAC classified LCC into conventional LCC, Environmental LCC and LCA (EIO-LCA) and hybrid LCA. Regardless of differences, LCA and LCC
Societal LCC. The goal, scope, system boundaries, application of dis are combined in a single case study through different integration
count rate, and functionality are the basis of LCC classification (Rebitzer methods. Miah et al. (2017) classified LCC-LCA integration into six types
et al., 2003). (Type I to Type VI). This study adopts that classification and distributed
Conventional LCC has its roots in public and military procurement case studies accordingly.
and was subsequently broadened in terms of purpose and application 4.3.1 Independent LCC & LCA can be defined as an independent
when adopted by corporations. Conventional LCC is purely a financial economic and environmental analysis of the same product or process.
evaluation and takes into consideration various phases in the product Under independent integration, LCC and LCA are conducted on the same
life cycle. Only internal costs, borne by anyone of the actor in the value case study, and results are presented in the form of a portfolio. 14 case
chain process are considered for analysis. The analysis is carried out studies out of 44 are integrated through this type, such as Glick and
from the perspective of one actor, mainly manufacturer or user. The cost Guggemos (2013) conducted Economic input-output LCA and Conven
estimation process considers the time value of money by discounting the tional LCCA focusing on sustainability consideration of Wastewater
future cost. infrastructure in the USA, Rashidi et al. (2018) conducted life cycle
Environmental LCC is strongly linked with environmental assessment economic and environmental assessments of emerging energy-efficient
and has its roots in life cycle assessment. It takes into consideration the WWT processes for Climate Change Adaptation, Kamble et al. (2019)
cost borne by all actors. Along with internal costs, it also includes certain used LCC and LCA for economic and environmental performance eval
external costs in its assessment, hence broadening the scope of Con uation of municipal WWTPs in India, Morelli et al. (2018) calculates
ventional LCC. Mainly Environmental LCC is conducted parallel to LCA, effect of nutrient removal and resource recovery on LCC and environ
and the same system boundaries and life cycle inventory are utilized to mental impacts of a small scale water resource recovery facility, Cash
monetize and internalize externalities. This is why Environmental LCC is man et al. (2018) carried out LCA and LCCA of aerobic and anaerobic
also called LCA based LCC. Discounting and the time value of money is membrane bioreactor systems, whereas (Diaz-Elsayed et al., 2017;
not as rigorously applied as applied in Conventional LCC. Its method Longo et al., 2017) performed economic and environmental evaluation
ology is still evolving, and academic discourse on its applicability can be using hybrid LCA and Conventional LCC (Fersi et al., 2015; Roldán et al.,
witnessed from case studies. Reich (2005) defined Environmental LCC as 2020; Wang et al., 2016). used economic input-output LCA to perform
a weighting of the environmental impacts of LCA in monetary terms. an economic analysis of WWTPs (Hong et al., 2009; Smith et al., 2014;
Few authors (Hall et al., 2018; Rebitzer et al., 2003; Swarr et al., 2011) Vineyard et al., 2015; Xu et al., 2014). used process LCA to integrate the
linked Environmental LCC with sustainability and proposed a frame economic and environmental evaluation of WWTPs.
work for Life cycle sustainability assessment (LCSA) by adding Envi 4.3.2 Techno-Economic Environmental Integration (TEEI) can be
ronmental LCC with LCA and Societal LCA. defined as an independent LCA and LCC on the same product/process
Societal LCC has a link with cost-benefit analysis and takes into ac supplemented by technical analysis of product/process. Usually, techno-
count the societal aspect. Societal LCC is the latest development in the economic and environmental assessments are carried out for a new
life cycle approach, and its methodology is still in its embryonic stage; a process or product at the feasibility stage. Six case studies (Lazic et al.,
detailed framework and model are yet to develop. However, Marti 2017; Mu et al., 2016; Schoen and Bagley, 2012; Sills et al., 2016; Xin
nez-Sanchez et al. (2015) proposed a unit cost model for Societal LCC et al., 2016) were integrated through a techno-economic and environ
and conducted Societal LCC along with Conventional LCC and Envi mental assessment. Pretel et al. (2015) conducted a detailed techno
ronmental LCC in the same case study. Societal LCC aims to evaluate a logical, environmental, and economic assessment using a quantitative
given scenario’s economic efficiency at the societal level and estimate sustainable design framework (QSDF). A detailed designed analysis of
welfare loss or gain (Martinez-Sanchez et al., 2015; Rigamonti et al., Anaerobic Bioreactor Membrane (AnMBRs) is conducted for design
2019). Theregowda et al. (2016) proposed LC3 model by monetizing tradeoff.
external costs imposed on society through the direct or indirect envi 4.3.3 LCA-LCC integration through Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
ronment and health cost (Table 2). (MCDA) combines and quantifies LCA and LCC with other input pa
It is pertinent to mention here that 44 case studies are conducted in rameters to rank product/process alternatives. This tool is widely used
parallel to LCA, which shows that financial analysis and environmental to compare the alternative course of action and to determine the best
assessment is given equal importance. Detailed discussion on the inte from the group of alternatives. Seven case studies are integrated through
gration of LCC and LCA is presented in the next section. MCDA. Different types of MCDAs were used in these case studies.
Akhoundi and Nazif (2018) used the evidential reasoning (ER) approach
as MCDA and considered economic, environmental, technological, cul
tural, and sociological aspects of wastewater reuse. Chhipi-Shrestha
Table 2
et al. (2017) developed, tested, and implemented a decision support tool
LCC approach.
named Fitwater, and ranked various WWT alternatives based on LCC,
Approach Number of Case Studies Percentage health risk, amount of reclaim water, energy use, and corban emission.
Conventional LCC 69 83% Yoon et al. (2019) developed and calibrated an input-output decision
Environmental LCC 12 14.6% support model for wastewater infrastructure systems by incorporating
Societal LCC 2 2.4%
environmental, technical, economic, political, and social dimensions.
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Table 3
LCC-LCA integration.
Reference LCC Type LCA Type Integration Type
CLCC ELCC SLCC Process EIO Hybrid Independent LCA-LCC TEE Integration MCDA Integration ELCC EE
Integration
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M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
Table 5 WWT range between 20 and 30 years except for few studies (Abdallah
Data source. et al., 2020; Smith et al., 2014; Stephan and Stephan, 2017; Vineyard
Data Source Count Percentage et al., 2015; Younis et al., 2020) used higher expected life of the WWTPs.
In these cases, the lifespan has been determined based on the design life
Internal Records 51 61%
Database 13 16% of the plant. The studies that focus on the WWT technologies determined
Past studies 8 10% lifespan based on the technologies’ design or service life. Generally, case
Survey 4 5% studies did not specify the exact method through which they have
Multiple sources 7 8% defined the lifespan. Zhao et al. (2019) are of the view that the timespan
of the installed equipment is usually considered to be the manufacturer’s
used in case studies. While summing up the costs, the selection of guarantee period, which is often 10–30 years, depending on the contract
appropriate indicators like Net Present Value (NPV), Net Future Value and often obtained from the suppliers. Lee et al. (2017) used expert
(NFV), Annual equivalent worth (AEW), and the way discounting is opinion and fixed asset service life table (2013) for the determination of
carried out has an impact on the analysis. In the reviewed case studies, a service life. Tsagarakis and Papadogiannis (2006) reiterated that the
diverse range of indicators is used. Discounted cash flows have been lifetime of WWT projects are difficult to estimate accurately since no
calculated through different formulas. The review of case studies shows previous experience exists in most of the cases (Tsagarakis and Papa
that different methods have been used for different types of LCC. In dogiannis, 2006; Zhou et al., 2019). suggest a sensitivity analysis of
CLCC, initial cost along with operation and maintenance cost is included lifetime to assess the risk over projects assumed lifetime.
in aggregating costs of WWTPs while the end-of-life (Disposal cost/re
sidual value) is ignored in most of the case studies. ELCC studies bifur 4.6. Comparison of cost categories and technologies
cate costs into internal and external costs. Internal cost includes the
budget cost (Construction, operation, maintenance costs) and transfer The review of case studies shows that cost categories vary in different
payment (taxes and subsidies). External costs or externalities that occur types of LCC. In CLCC, initial cost and operational cost is included in
outside the economic system are monetized through different ap aggregating overall costs of WWTPs which are, to a great extent similar
proaches (Chen et al., 2020; Rigamonti et al., 2019). Those studies that to those proposed in ISO 15686-5 (2017). Most of the studies do not
monetize the environmental impact and categorize it as environmental include the end-of-life cost (only 9 out of 83 included EoL cost) in
cost are also considered ELCC (Liai et al., 2017; Talang et al., 2020). examining the economic impact of alternative processes. This implies
The discount rate is a key variable in discounting future costs and an disposal cost is negligible which does not have a huge impact on the
essential element of LCCA. Discount rates can be derived from the op overall LCC result or the residual value of infrastructure is insignificant
portunity rate of return expected from investing in an activity other than at the end of life. Few studies also included replacement cost (13 out of
the activity being studied (Kehily, 2011). In the case-studies, the dis 83). Generally, in WWT, the major contributors to operation cost are
count rate ranges from 4% to 10%. The discount rate applied in LCCA of energy cost, chemical cost, sludge disposal cost, and maintenance cost.
the private sector is higher than that of the public sector. Furthermore, Most of the case studies structure their operational cost including these
CLCC employs a higher discount rate than SLCC whereas, ELCC gener cost items. The studies combining environmental and economic assess
ally does not incorporate discounting in LCC calculation and analysis is ment in one case study does not identify cost categories in detail, often
performed through a steady-state model as opposed to CLCC that em ignore replacement and end-of-life cost, making it difficult to make a
ploys dynamic or Quasi-dynamic model for cost analysis. comparative analysis of cost categories in different stages of the life
Through discounting, LCC of differing option is brought to a com cycle. Rashidi et al. (2018) noted that this practice is because economic
parable base year. NPV is the basic tool for discounting and comparison analysis in the field of WWTPs has received less attention than envi
of the money values at different times. Most of the case studies used NPV ronmental or technological assessment despite having its significant role
for incorporating the time value of money. Few case studies analyzing in the decision-making process. LCC studies of advanced WWT tech
the alternatives with different timespan used Equivalent Annual Cost nologies are scarce, differing in age, geographical focus, methodologies,
(EAC) such as Koul and John (2015) used Net Present Worth for LCC and assumptions, making the comparison difficult (Tarpani and Aza
calculation (Schoen and Bagley, 2012; Yerri and Piratla, 2019), calcu pagic, 2018). Cost categories also vary in different WWT methods. Be
lated LCC using Present Worth Factor, Kamble et al. (2019) used Uni sides these limitations, an attempt has been made to calculate and
form Present Worth Factor to estimate present worth of O&M cost spent compare the relevant share of each category’s cost percentage against
every year (Diaz-Elsayed et al., 2017; Pretel et al., 2015), converted the the total cost of different methods and techniques used in WWTPs.
present value of each scenario into Uniform Annual Cost to consider the Therefore, the discussion below should be interpreted with that in mind
varying lifespans of the system (Vineyard et al., 2015; Wood et al., 2015; (Table 6).
Yoon et al., 2019), applied EAC using annuity-due formulae to compare The comparison of cost categories makes it evident that the operation
options (Roldán et al., 2020; Tsagarakis and Papadogiannis, 2006), and maintenance cost far exceeds the capital cost. Furthermore, the
applied Total Annual Economic Cost as a decision criterion, Xu et al. operation cost depends on the technology used as different WWT tech
(2019) calculated discounted lifetime costs using Net Annual Value. EAC nologies have different operations and capital costs. Ambre et al. (2019)
is calculated by transforming the equivalent value of cash flows into a calculated LCC of 50m MLD WTP and found that the major cost driver
series of uniform annual payments. (Mulubrhan et al., 2016). considering 30 years lifespan is the operation and maintenance cost,
One of the most relevant and difficult aspects when conducting an which is 72.5% of the total LCC. Initial construction cost is the second
LCC is the definition of the lifespan considered in the analysis. The major cost, which is 22.2% of the total LCC, followed by the replacement
lifespan considered in analysis has a huge impact on LCC results and it is cost, which is 4.6% of the total LCC. Chen et al. (2014) found that energy
obvious that the longer the lifespan, the higher the operation and cost contributes 40% to the total operating cost of WWTPs. Glick and
maintenance cost. The weight of cost categories without the reference of Guggemos (2013) are convinced that community-scale technologies are
lifespan may lead to imprecise and unclear results. The significance of economically sustainable than the centralized system. They calculated
lifespan in LCC is irrefutable however case studies in WWT did not give the LCC of 11 km sewer main and found that maintenance cost con
due importance to life span and a large number of case studies (19 out of tributes 15.3% of the total LCC over 25 years of lifespan, whereas the
83) did not specify the lifespan. Even those case studies which specify first cost contributes 84.7% of the total cost. Hall et al. (2018) calculated
the lifespan, has defined it without any evidence support that it repre ELCC considering 20 years lifespan of two different cases and found that
sents an approximate life cycle of WWTPs. The estimated life of the operating cost is about 56% and 70% of total cost whereas capital cost
contributes 44% and 20% to the total cost. The second case was a novel
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Table 6
Cost categories.
Author LCC Type LCA Cost categories Included in LCCA Life span
Initial Cost Operation Cost Maintenance cost Replacement cost External cost EoL
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M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
Table 6 (continued )
Author LCC Type LCA Cost categories Included in LCCA Life span
Initial Cost Operation Cost Maintenance cost Replacement cost External cost EoL
application of embryonic technologies in WWT, focusing on no waste. operational cost for hybrid CW is 31%, and the one that utilizes artificial
Jiran et al. (2019) estimated the LCC of membrane system using the ABC aeration is 28% considering 20 years lifespan; however, the construction
method and found that O & M cost contributed 79.9% of the total LCC and replacement cost of the second CW is higher than the hybrid CW
over 10 years lifespan, whereas membrane design and fabrication resulting in higher LCC. Linares et al. (2016) presented a detailed eco
contributed 10.6% of LCC. EoL contributes 9.5% to the total LCC. They nomic analysis for 20 years lifespan of a hybrid forward osmosis –
further divided the cost of each category into the overhead, material, low-pressure reverse osmosis (FO-LPRO) process, a conventional
and labour cost. Lazic et al. (2017) compared treatment efficiency, seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) desalination process, an MBR –
environmental impact, and LCC of eight advanced WWT processes. They reverse osmosis – advance oxidation process (MBR-RO-AOP) and,
found that investment cost (CAPEX) is not directly related to effluent SWRO + MBR-RO-AOP for wastewater treatment and reuse. The most
quality. Operating cost (OPEX), on the other hand, are directly related to economically feasible scenario is FO-LPRO with the lowest LCC. The
effluent quality. This is because energy cost is more than 50% of the total operational cost of the four scenarios mentioned above is 45, 61, 41,
operating cost. .Upon evaluating the overall cost of eight 100,000 pe 47% respectively. Park et al. (2015) concluded that the capital cost of a
plant size WWTPs with different technologies used for WWT. Lazic et al. ceramic membrane WWTP is 16% larger than that of a polymeric
(2017) found that OPEX is the dominating cost over the 20 years of the membrane WWTP. The yearly operating cost of the polymeric mem
plant’s lifetime and therefore determines the overall LCC. For the eight brane is 2.5 times larger than that of ceramic membrane WTP. The
different WWTPs OPEX/NPV (%) is 56, 58, 54, 55, 57, 54, 53, and 51%. replacement cost for polymeric membranes contributes around 60% of
Rashidi et al. (2018) calculated the LCC of three emerging processes, the total cost for 20 years of operation (Saleh et al., 2018). compared
membrane bioreactors (MBRs), microbial fuel cells (MFCs), and micro LCC of three centralized WWTPs; (Conventional Activated Sludge plant,
bial electrolysis (MEC), and compared them with the conventional Oxidation Ditch plant, SBR plant) and two decentralized WWTPs
techniques (anaerobic, anoxic, and oxic, A2O). They found that A2O+ (Activated Sludge plant, Waste Stabilization Pond plant). They
MFC has the lowest LCC as compare to the other three techniques. The concluded that oxidation ditch and Activated sludge are the most
operational cost percentage over 20 years for A2O, A2O+ MBR, A2O+ economical methods for centralized WWTPs and decentralized WWTPs
MFC, A2O+ MEC are 52, 49, 38 and 44% respectively. Rawal and respectively over a period of 15 years. Cashman et al. (2018) compared
Duggal (2016) compared the LCC of three different design options LCC of the aerobic membrane bioreactors (AeMBR) and anaerobic
(trickling filter, waste stabilization pond, activated sludge process). The membrane bioreactors (AnMBR) and concluded that AnMBR costs
Operation cost of each option is 49.6, 16.2, and 57% respectively for remained higher than the AeMBR under all scenarios for 20 years of
lifespan of 20 years. Based on LCC, Waste stabilization ponds are more lifespan. Sills et al. (2016) compared the economic performance of
economical in the long run beside having high initial cost as compared to WWTP anaerobic baffled reactor (ABR) with trickling filter (TF) and
the other two options. Koul and John (2015) compared LCC of Anaer anaerobic digestion (AD). The ABR is the least expensive technology
obic Sludge Blanket (UASBR), Sequencing Batch Reactor (SBR) and with an LCC in terms of 30 years NPV, which is 40% lower than the TF
Moving Bed Biofilm Reactor (MBBR) technologies. They found that assembly. Lin et al. (2011) calculated the LCC of a Submerged anaerobic
UASBR is more cost effective over a period of 30 years than the other two membrane bioreactor (SAnMBR) for WWT. They found that membrane
technologies. Tarpani and Azapagic (2018) compared four advanced cost contributes 72% of the total life cycle capital cost, whereas energy
WWT options, which are granular activated carbon (GAC), nano cost is the largest contributor (79%) in the life cycle operational cost.
filtration (NF), solar-photo Fenton (SPF), and ozonation. They Brepols et al. (2010) found that the capital and operational cost of the
concluded that the LCC’s main contributors over 30 years lifespan are MBR is higher than that of conventional activated sludge considering 30
the operating costs (~ 80%–90%) for all the treatment methods. years of operations. Fersi et al. (2015) calculated LCC over 20 years of
Ozonation is the least expensive option to operate whereas, SPF is the lifespan of anaerobic digestion used in WWTP for energy recovery and
costliest. Muñoz et al. (2008) compared SPF, Lamp photo-Fenton (LPF), found that operation cost represents about 33% of the total investment
and Ozonation options for WWT and found that LPF is the least expen cost and electricity cost is the biggest cost driver in operations and
sive among alternative options. The 15 years operational cost as a per represents about 73% of operational cost and 24% of investment cost.
centage of LCC for SPF, LPF, and ozonation is 62, 91, and 69%, Yoon et al. (2019) compared LCC of four different alternative scenarios;
respectively. The capital cost of the LPF is approx. five times less than on-site system, cluster system, satellite system and collective system.
the other two options. Kamble et al. (2019) carried out LCC of six Considering 20 years lifespan, the operational cost as a percentage of
technologies; sequencing batch reactor (SBR), membrane bioreactor EAC of each alternative is 39, 29, 25, and 13%, respectively. The total
(MBR), moving bed biofilm reactor (MBBR), activated sludge process cost of the on-site system is less than other alternatives. Tsagarakis and
(ASP), soil biotechnology (SBT), and aerated lagoons (AL). From an Papadogiannis (2006) compared various components of operational
economic viewpoint, MBBR and ASP technologies are more viable as costs over a period of 15 years of different WWTPS in Greece. Personal
compared to other technologies. The operation cost percentage for 50 cost (48%), energy cost (36%), chemicals (7%), maintenance (8%), and
years lifespan of SBR, MBR, MBBR, ASP, SBT, and AL are 42, 60, 32, 50, other costs (1%) are calculated as a percentage of total average cost.
1, 21%, respectively. Resende et al. (2019) compared the LCC of two From a technological viewpoint, waste stabilization pond (WSP) is the
different constructed wetlands (CW) for WWT and found that the LCC of most cost-effective system followed by extended aeration with air dry
hybrid CW is lower than those that use artificial aeration. The ing, then extended aeration with mechanical dewatering and finally the
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M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
Red beds which are least cost-effective technology used for WWT. Dogot Table 7
et al. (2010) calculated the Relative share (%) of investment and oper Methods of uncertainty analysis.
ational costs for each component of 111 WWTPs. 75.6% of investment Method Count Percentage
cost represents equipment’s, construction, pipes and elec
Deterministic Methods Sensitivity Analysis 28 45%
trical/mechanical work. From treatment method’s perspective, trickling Scenario Analysis 18 29%
filters has the lowest operational cost (31 €/p.e) followed by the aerated Others 5 8%
lagoon (34 €/p.e), then activated sludge (45 €/p.e), then biodisk (48 Probabilistic Methods Monte Carlo Simulation 5 8%
€/p.e). The natural lagoon has the highest operational cost (107 €/p.e). Others 3 5%
Possibilistic Methods Fuzzy Set Methods 1 1.6%
Meerholz and Brent (2013) compared various technologies used in Markov Chain 1 1.6%
petrochemical WWTPs and found that Retrofit MBBR has the maximum Others 1 1.6%
affordability followed by MBBR, alternate aeration technology, biolog
ical aerated filter (BAF), MBR, activated sludge, pure oxygen dosing, and
High-rate compact reactor (HCR) respectively. Li et al. (2011) compared conducted by altering one or more parameters and assessing this alter
10 different techniques of WWT in petrochemical industries. Economic ation’s impact on overall LCC. The most widely used and altered pa
assessment reveals that the traditional biological filter and coagu rameters are the discount rate, lifetime, and energy costs. Scenario
lation–flotation process is the least expensive techniques, respectively, analysis is another widely used deterministic method. In most cases, two
whereas, precipitation and biological aerated filters are the most different scenarios are developed and then subsequently compared.
expensive techniques. Hong et al. (2009) compared five alternative In contrast to deterministic methods, where parameters are altered,
treatment scenarios, including incineration, composting, anaerobic probabilistic methods assess parameters’ uncertainty by assigning
digestion, landfilling, and land application for sewage sludge treatment. probability distribution functions (PDFs) to selected uncertain parame
They claim that scenarios melting and incineration and melting with ters through sampling methods. Monte Carlo Simulation is the most
digestion are economically affordable methods. Xu et al. (2014) widely used sampling method. Out of 8 case studies that applied prob
compared six scenarios and concluded that anaerobic digestion has the abilistic methods, 5 (Diaz-Elsayed et al., 2017; Longo et al., 2017; Sills
lowest environmental and economic burden. Liai et al. (2017) applied et al., 2016; Smith et al., 2014; Zhu et al., 2012) applied Monte Carlo
LCC to two different techniques in WWTPs and found that the blasting Simulation. In contrast to Probabilistic methods, the Possibilistic
aeration system is better than the surface aeration system. They also method can represent uncertainty with much weaker statements of
found that LCC mainly depends on energy consumption as 50% of knowledge. The possibility function represents uncertainty by express
operating cost over 20 years of lifespan is attributed to energy con ing the degree of possibility for a certain situation where data is
sumption. Smith et al. (2014) made an LCC comparison of anaerobic incomplete and ambiguous. Possibilistic methods like fuzzy logic tech
membrane bioreactor (AnMBR), high rate activated sludge with anaer niques provide a formal treatment for these kinds of incomplete and
obic digestion, (HRAS+AD) conventional activated sludge with anaer ambiguous data, which are often based on expert judgments. However,
obic digestion (CAS+AD) and aerobic membrane bioreactor with these methods are not widely used in WWT. Only 4 case studies
anaerobic digestion (AeMBR+AD) technologies in WWT processes. Both (Akhoundi and Nazif, 2018; Altarabsheh et al., 2016; Li et al., 2011;
HRAS+AD and AnMBR had lower life cycle costs for 40 years of lifespan Yoon et al., 2019) applied Possibilistic techniques to deal with
than CAS+AD and AeMBR+AD, respectively. Talang et al. (2020) uncertainties.
compared five treatment schemes; contact stabilization, In Summary, if we compare these three methods, Deterministic
activated-sludge with nutrient removal, cyclic activated-sludge, two- methods are the easiest to use, and, thus, the most frequently used
stage activated-sludge, and vertical loop reactor activated-sludge. They methods to address uncertainties. However, their simplicity also limits
concluded that vertical loop reactor activated sludge is the most the extent of their usefulness in explaining uncertain parameters.
cost-effective scheme with the lowest environmental impacts. Probabilistic methods can provide insights into uncertainty in LCC, but
it requires complete historical data, which in most cases are not avail
4.7. Uncertainty and risk analysis able or incomplete. Possibilistic methods can be used where data is
incomplete and ambiguous as this technique can give a formal treatment
LCC is a forecast of the future, and in any forecasting method, un to ambiguous information.
certainties are inherent and embedded. Uncertainty in input values
means that actual outcomes may differ from estimated (Rawal and 5. Future research direction
Duggal, 2016). Ignoring uncertainties may result in misguided de
cisions. Different authors used different methods to deal with un It has been noticed that in LCCA of WWTPs, most of the studies
certainties, which can be classified into deterministic methods, partially analyzed LCC, especially when LCCA is integrated with LCA.
probabilistic methods, and Possibilistic methods. Aspects that are most often compromised are a lack of detailed cost
Deterministic methods use point estimates and assume a singular breakdown structure and oversimplification of LCC calculation. Modern
outcome. Sensitivity analysis is the most widely used deterministic cost estimation techniques such as ABC, ANN and fuzzy logic are also not
method to deal with uncertainty. Probabilistic methods include employed. Further, the end-of-life cost is also ignored in the overall
randomly selected parameters in a variety of sampling methods. (Zhu analysis. While dealing with uncertainties, the Deterministic approach,
et al., 2012). Monte Carlo simulation is the most widely used probabi as opposed to the probabilistic approach, is used in most of the studies.
listic method. Possibilistic methods use much weaker statements of Future research should address these challenges by suggesting a
knowledge and structure expert opinions for previously unknown or simplified, precise and easy to use LCC method that could increase the
largely missing values. ANN, Fuzzy logic techniques, and Markov Chain applicability and validity of the analysis. Specific aspects which require
methods can be classified as Possibilistic methods (Table 7). the researcher’s attention are:
In total, 62 case studies considered and incorporated uncertainty
analysis in their studies. 21 case studies ignored uncertainty in their • While there has been considerable research on LCC, most of the
analysis. Most of the studies (51) used deterministic methods. The most literature is conceptual in nature. Little data on LCC application,
frequently applied deterministic methods is sensitivity analysis, corresponding cost model and cost data is available.
mentioned or used in 28 case studies (45%), and Scenario analysis, • A growing number of researchers are interested in assigning mone
mentioned in 18 case studies (29%). Other deterministic methods used tary values to environmental and social impacts to allow these as
are regression analysis and scatter plots. Sensitivity analysis is pects to be factored into LCC analyses. Although SETAC has provided
12
M. Ilyas et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 310 (2021) 127549
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