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DEVELOPMENT AID
AND
ADAPTATION TO
CLIMATE CHANGE
IN
DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
Carola Betzold and Florian Weiler
Development Aid and Adaptation to Climate
Change in Developing Countries
Carola Betzold • Florian Weiler
v
vi PREFACE
and turn the conference paper into a book-length project. Without this
encouragement, we would not have written this book, and so we would
like to thank Christina first and foremost. We would also like to extend our
gratitude to the entire editing and production team for their support.
While statistical analyses of aid data served as the starting point of our
research project, we noted that numbers can only tell us so much. We
hence extended our first attempt at understanding how adaptation aid is
distributed through in-depth qualitative case studies. These built mainly
on semi-structured interviews with practitioners and other stakeholders
and observers in the aid sector in Germany, Sweden, and the United
Kingdom, our case study countries. We are very grateful to all our interview
partners for taking the time to speak to us and sharing their experiences and
perspectives. Funding from the Fritz Thyssen Foundation made it possible
for us to travel to Germany, Sweden, and the United Kingdom to conduct
interviews face-to-face.
We would also like to thank the many colleagues who helped develop
our research and this book. Thanks in particular to Anaïd Flesken for
helpful comments on previous versions of the book. Participants at the
workshop ‘Climate Finance: Taking Stock, Future Directions for Policy and
Research’ held in Lund in April 2015 provided useful comments on parts of
the project, as did Katja Michaelowa, Axel Michaelowa, Paula Castro, and
participants at the Climate and Environment Workshop held in Zurich in
January 2015. Matthew Dornan contributed to our larger research project
and provided valuable input on the aggregate analysis of all donors. Tobias
Jakobi helped with some technical questions. All errors remain of course
our own.
1 Introduction 1
1.1 Definition of Key Concepts 3
1.1.1 Adaptation to Climate Change 4
1.1.2 Vulnerability 4
1.2 The Cost of Climate Change Adaptation 7
1.3 Financing Climate Change Adaptation 9
1.4 Overview of the Book and Contributions 11
References 15
2 The History and Political Economy of Adaptation Aid 21
2.1 History of Adaptation and Adaptation Finance in
Climate Change Negotiations 22
2.1.1 Adaptation at the Sidelines: The Early Years of
Climate Change Negotiations 22
2.1.2 Adaptation to the Fore: Adaptation Finance from
2001 to 2009 25
2.1.3 Finance Breakthrough: Adaptation Finance Since
2009 26
2.2 Adaptation Finance or Adaptation Aid? The Question of
Additionality 28
vii
viii CONTENTS
xi
xii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
xiii
xiv LIST OF FIGURES
Fig. 5.5 Effects of the donor interest variables for the full principal
adaptation aid models of the selection stage (above) and the
allocation stage (below), including 95% confidence intervals 151
Fig. 7.1 All substantive effects for the full model for both adaptation
aid allocation stages. (a) Selection stage. (b) Allocation stage 206
LIST OF TABLES
xv
CHAPTER 1
Introduction
Open the newspaper on any given day and you will likely find reports on
devastating weather extremes somewhere on the globe. For instance, in late
September/early October 2016, hurricane Matthew made headlines. In
Haïti, it left more than 500 people dead, tens of thousands homeless, and
hundreds of thousands in need of food assistance (OCHA 2016). Economic
damage across the hurricane’s path through Haïti, Cuba, the Bahamas,
and the USA’s south-eastern coast is estimated at over $8 billion (AIR
Worldwide 2016). In March 2015, tropical cyclone Pam in the Pacific left
the island state of Vanuatu in ruins. While the death toll was thankfully
much lower than in Haïti, with 16 killed, over half of the population was
affected and much of the country’s infrastructure destroyed. Estimated
economic damage reached $450 million—equivalent to 64% of Vanuatu’s
gross domestic product (GDP) (Esler 2015). We could list more extreme
weather events, such as floods and droughts, as well as slow-onset processes
that are less likely to make headlines but are potentially just as devastating,
such as ocean acidification, coral bleaching, or coastal erosion as a result of
sea-level rise.1
The list of climate change impacts is long. While it is impossible
to attribute any single event to global climate change, climate change
does increase the frequency and intensity of weather extremes as well as
contributes to changes like coastal erosion and flooding (IPCC 2014).
Devastating disasters like the ones listed above are likely the ‘new normal’,
a glimpse into ‘a climate future that is less predictable and more extreme’
(Byanyima et al. 2016). Coping with and adapting to this climate future is
becoming more and more important and urgent around the globe—and
nowhere more so than in the countries of the Global South. Developing
countries not only feel the brunt of climate change impacts, as the weather
extremes mentioned earlier illustrate, they also have fewer resources and
less capacity to cope with and adapt to these adverse effects—and they
have at the same time historically contributed the least to anthropogenic
climate change (Mertz et al. 2009).
In light of this ‘double injustice’ of climate change, developed countries
have a moral as well as a legal obligation to help vulnerable develop-
ing countries adapt. The 1992 United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change (the Convention, or UNFCCC) requires developed
countries to assist financially particularly vulnerable developing countries;
more recent agreements, including the 2016 Paris Agreement, confirm this
obligation and specifically call on developed countries to increase the level
of financial assistance for adaptation (see Chap. 2 for a detailed overview).
This is what this book is about: financial support for adaptation to
climate change from developed countries to developing countries. More
specifically, we focus on bilateral official development assistance (ODA)
that targets climate change adaptation in recipient countries—what we call
adaptation aid. As we explain in greater detail below, bilateral adaptation
aid is an important subset of adaptation finance and includes: support for
projects such as building seawalls and (re-)planting mangroves; building
or enhancing rainwater tanks; developing maps of safe areas in the case of
hurricanes and other storms (see Noble et al. 2014, 844ff).
Support for adaptation raises many questions. Which adaptation actions
are funded through international adaptation aid, and why? How effectively
and sustainably do these adaptation actions reduce recipients’ vulnerability
and increase their resilience? How much finance is needed and how much is
available for adaptation measures in developing countries? To what extent
are adaptation (aid) and development (aid) different, and how? How can
we measure and monitor adaptation finance flows? Where does this finance
come from, and where does it go (e.g. Peterson Carvalho and Terpstra
2015)? In this book, we examine this last issue of distribution at the
national level. Which countries receive how much support for adaptation,
and why? How do donors allocate their adaptation aid across recipient
countries? To what extent are the most vulnerable countries prioritised in
adaptation aid allocation, as developed countries agreed and as we would
expect from a climate justice perspective (cf. Barrett 2014)? We address
1.1 DEFINITION OF KEY CONCEPTS 3
grants or loans to countries and territories on the DAC List of ODA Recipients
(developing countries) and to multilateral agencies which are: (a) undertaken
by the official sector; (b) with promotion of economic development and
welfare as the main objective; (c) at concessional financial terms (OECD
2016).
donors only those developed countries that report their ODA to the OECD.
1.1.2 Vulnerability
The purpose of adaptation is to reduce vulnerability. Just like adaptation,
‘vulnerability’ is complex and contested and has been conceptualised in
different ways (Adger 2006; Füssel 2007; Muccione et al. 2017). Broadly
1.1 DEFINITION OF KEY CONCEPTS 5
vulnerability
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